I N D I A N R O A D S

Similar documents
Kalpataru Power. Rating: Target price: EPS: Rating CMP. Target BUY. Rs Rs.256

Road Sector Update Analysis on Ashoka Buildcon, IRB Infra, KNR Constructions & Sadbhav Engineering June, 2015

Ramco Cement. Rating: Target price: EPS: Rating CMP. Target BUY. Rs.415. Rs. 360

TTK Prestige. Channel-check takeaways Growth recovery pace sees moderation, competitive headwinds continue to prevail. Target CMP. Rating Rs.

DEWAN HOUSING. PNC Infratech Ltd. Hold. Growing business at cheap valuation

PGCIL Order Inflow Analysis

Ambuja Cements. Rating: Target price: EPS: Rating CMP. Target BUY. Rs.225. Rs. 195

MCX Ltd. Rating: Target price: EPS: Tepid volume growth continues. Target. Rating CMP. Rs. 1,080 SELL. Rs. 1,176

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year FY15 121, % 16, % FY16E 137, % 20,

Century Plyboards (India)

Dr Reddy s Laboratories

Investor Presentation February 2017

Financial summary. Year

Century Plyboards (India)

HCL Technologies. Rating: Target price: EPS: Target CMP. Rating. Rs. 826 REDUCE. Rs.760

Adani Ports & SEZ Rating: Target price: EPS:

Developing Infrastructure for Better Tomorrow RESULT UPDATE PRESENTATION Q2FY19

Key estimate revision. Year CY14 87,383 11,148 6, CY15E 1,20,126 17,838 9,

WELCOME SHAREHOLDERS. 25 th Annual General Meeting September 19, 2018

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year FY16E 29, % 3,583 2, FY17E 26, % 3,478 2,

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year

Q3 & 9M FY18 Result Update. January 2018

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year FY14 391,088 45,198 34, FY15E 354,262 35,426 23,

MCX Ltd. Rating: Target price: EPS: Is commodity option a game changer for MCX? - Unlikely. Target. Rating CMP. Rs. 1,080 SELL. Rs.

Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Ltd.

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year

India Cements Rating: Target price:

Equitas Holdings. Rating: Target price: ABV: Target CMP. Rating. Rs Rs. 226 BUY

Elgi Equipments. Analyst Meet Update. CMP Rs Key takeaways from the analyst meet

IRB Infrastructure (IRBINF) 235

ITC. Rating: Target price: EPS: Relative better visibility despite the smoke, Maintain BUY CMP. Target. Rating. Rs.389. Buy. Rs.

SUBSCRIBE to H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd. Strong player in government s renewed focus sector

Systematix. Indian Road Sector. Institutional Equities SECTOR REPORT. Not so slippery anymore; prefer well oiled and gripped companies.

Key estimate revision. Year FY14 23,28,609 3,48,027 1,40, FY15E 25,74,029 3,94,133 1,69,

Ashoka Buildcon (ASHBUI) 239

IRB Infrastructure (IRBINF) 220

IRB Infrastructure (IRBINF) 231

Ashoka Buildcon Limited Welcomes Shareholders for 24 th Annual General Meeting February 2016

Note on Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending Rate (MCLR)

KNR Constructions Robust Performance on Execution Ramp-up

Orient Paper and Industries

IRB Infrastructure (IRBINF) 256

IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd.

Strategy. Disinvestment is the key next trigger; The $10bn Question

Construction. 4QFY18E Results Preview 14 APR Parikshit D Kandpal

IRB Infrastructure (IRBINF) 254

Ashoka Buildcon (ASHBUI) 209

Construction & Infra. 1QFY19E Results Preview 10 JUL Parikshit D Kandpal

IRB Infrastructure Developers

IRB Infrastructure Developers

Igarashi Motors India

Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Ltd.

ROAD DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA 2016

ROAD DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA

Infrastructure Development Finance Company Limited

Sadbhav Engineering Ltd - BUY

Consumer Durable Channel-check Update

Bajaj Corp Q2FY18 Result Update ADHO volume picks up; Nomarks to perform in coming qtrs

Chennai Petroleum Corp

Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited Q1 FY2019 Earnings Conference Call. August 09, 2018

PNC Infratech Limited

Batlivala & Karani MONTHLY UPDATE. 09 October Weakness in pricing...!!! Outlook and valuation. Price volatility in western region continued...

MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd.

PGCIL order inflow analysis and a comparative study on Transmission EPC players

Weak quarter but well placed

Ashoka Buildcon Ltd AGLL IN; ASBL.BO

Idea Cellular. Company Note. Merger Synergies, compelling valuations. Sector: Telecom CMP: ` 89

Bajaj Corp. Sales inline; soft A&P & higher other income aids PAT. Q3FY17 Result Update. Sector: FMCG. CMP: ` 385 Recommendation: BUY

Bharat Road Network Limited

ROADS For updated information, please visit June 2018

HG Infra Engineering Ltd.

IRB InvIT Fund. Corporate Presentation. April 2017

Banking Weekly - Update for the week ended Jan 08, 2016

Simplex Infrastructures

Corporate Presentation March 2017

No.11016/2/2008-AIS-1I Government of India Ministry of Personnel, Public Grievances and Pensions Department of Personnel and Training

Larsen & Toubro Ltd.

Inox Wind BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP Target Price `390 `505. 2QFY2016 Result Update Capital Goods. 3 year price chart

IL&FS Transportation Networks Ltd. Analyst Meet June 1, 2015 CIN - L45203MH2000PLC129790

Market share recovery, price hike, content leverage to drive growth

ROADS For updated information, please visit July 2018

PNC Infratech Ltd.: Q3FY18 Result Update

KNR CONSTRUCTIONS LTD

PNC Infratech. IPO Review. Price band ICICI Securities Ltd Retail Equity Research. Investment Rationale Experienced, established EPC player

HOLD. Deleveraging story playing out RAMCO CEMENTS. Target Price: Rs 503. Q4 performance

EARNINGS PRESENTATION H1-FY18 / Q2-FY18

NHAI awards gathering steam

Dilip Buildcon Ltd. 1 P a g e. Stock Details. Dilip Buildcon 2.1% Sensex 0.9%

BUY. Efforts on cost cutting paying off RAMCO CEMENTS. Target Price: Rs 435. Key highlights. Key drivers FY15 FY16E FY17E

Bharat Road Network Ltd

Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Ltd

Reliance Infrastructure CMP: INR528

Experience of Implementing Transportation PPPs in India. Abhijit Bhaumik August 6, 2015

Investor Presentation

Cement Sector 27 February 2018

Dilip Buildcon. Strong comeback BUY RESULT REVIEW 1QFY19 16 AUG Highlights of the quarter. CMP (as on 16 Aug 2018) Rs 847 Target Price Rs 1,434

Bajaj Corp. Q1FY17 Result Update Weak Sales growth, Margin Expansion continues. Sector: FMCG CMP: ` 404. Recommendation: BUY

Price survey, production analysis and capacity details

Ahluwalia Contracts (India)

Transcription:

I N D I A N R O A D S Industry Update December 23, 2016 VIJAYARAGHAVAN SWAMINATHAN raghavan@sparkcapital.in +91 44 4344 0022 BHARANIDHAR VIJAYAKUMAR bharanidhar@sparkcapital.in +91 44 4344 0038

Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Industry Update - Roads Execution risks and Traffic risks come to the fore Sector View Cautious Industry Update Demonetisation impact on Toll collection and Traffic: Our channel checks (at 25 toll roads in 12 states) indicate that on an average the traffic count has dropped by ~15% (yoy compared to similar period in 2015) and consequently the toll collection has dropped by ~12% (since start of regular toll collection). However, there were stretches where the traffic has either grown yoy in this period or has not been significantly affected (predominantly in West Bengal, Orissa and Gujarat stretches). Stretches in Tamil Nadu wer affected more due to disruption in traffic/ low vehicular movement due to the acting Chief Minister passing-away and due to a strong cyclone. We also noted that in all the stretches that we spoke to, card swiping machines (POS terminals) have been installed in all the lanes and the percentage of card payment has gone up steadily over the last few weeks. NHAI interaction and Industry Update: Project award activity on the national highway front (both by NHAI and MoRTH) has slowed down in the last few months with a total award of 4,592kms till Nov-2016 (18% achievement of the overall target of 25,000kms for FY17). Of this NHAI has awarded 2,509kms (17% achievement of the 15,000kms target) and MoRTH has awarded 2,082kms (21% achievement of the 10,000kms target). Seasonality, land acquisition problems, delay in execution of the projects awarded in 2016 (Delhi Meerut expressway and Meerut Bulandshahr Expressway in particular) and large number of pending Financial Closures (FC) for the Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects (only 8 out of 27 projects awarded has FC, while 2 have been terminated) are the principal reasons for the hold-up in awarding activity. Bankers have been loath to agree for the terms of the HAM model (low compensation in case project is terminated has been an issue); short execution track-record with low equity funding capability from the winning concessionaires also have been the reasons for the delay in financial closures. We expect stronger players like Ashoka Buildcon and PNC Infratech to eventually finalise the financial package for their recently won HAM projects, while projects of newer players are more likely to be terminated. However, with the tender pipeline strong in the end of December and in 4QFY17E, we expect project award activity to pick-up; this should enable NHAI to award atleast 5,000kms in FY17E Effect on Stocks under coverage: Loss of toll revenues is likely to create short term cashflow mismatch for players with several projects in their portfolio (IRB, Sadbhav and Ashoka); though this will be offset in the long-term by mix of cash compensation plus increase in concession term. Toll roads are likely to see very low/ no traffic growth yoy for the next few months due to the impact on economic activity post demonetisation; this is likely to affect IRB, Sadbhav and Ashoka the most in our coverage. Delays in project execution (primarily due to land acquisition) is already evident in the pace of execution in all the Companies we cover. PNC Infratech is the worst affected (80% of road projects awarded since FY16 is delayed) followed by Ashoka Buildcon (47%), Sadbhav (43%) and KNR (19%) We cut our rating for Sadbhav Engineering and PNC Infratech from BUY to ADD due to the risks highlighted above affecting them more than others (traffic risk is likely to have a stronger effect on Sadbhav given the higher D/E ratio and due to higher equity requirement for the 5 HAM projects, while concentration risk is likely to be higher for PNC with 5 projects in U.P. and Bihar not being able to achieve land acquisition). Overall, EPC/road construction companies are expected to be impacted the LEAST from the demonetization process and the execution is likely to recover 1QFY18. EPC companies with strong orderbook, lean balance sheet are likely to benefit from increased spending expected in roads, metros, building and irrigation sectors. This along with reduction in cost of debt is likely to result in better fortunes for the sector. We continue to remain positive on KNR Constructions (due to 37% revenue growth for FY16-18E compared to <20% for the others and with relatively lower project delays) and on Ashoka Buildcon (due to road assets benefitting from mining activity and due to a well funded BOT portfolio). BUY KNR (TP: 185/ share), Ashoka Buildcon (TP: 200/ share); ADD Sadbhav Engineering (TP: 290/ share), PNC Infratech (TP: 130/ share), IRB (TP: 190/ share) Date Dec 23, 2016 Market Data SENSEX 25979 Nifty 7979 Market Performance % 1m 3m 12m ASBL 8% -10% -23% KNRC 14% 14% 37% PNCL -8% -15% -3% IRB 8% -21% -20% SADE -8% -10% -23% SENSEX 0% -10% 2% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% ASBL IN IRB IN SADE IN KNRC IN PNCL IN SENSEX Page 2

Valuation Matrix Company Revenues, Rs.mn EBITDA, Rs.mn PAT, Rs.mn RoE Standalone Numbers FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E Ashoka Buildcon 19,667 19,358 20,121 27,121 2,498 2,652 2,802 3,438 1,422 1,594 1,480 1,769 14% 12% 9% 9% IRB 26,579 21,084 31,311 36,238 8,382 7,207 9,597 10,124 3,342 1,925 3,625 3,142 14% 7% 12% 9% KNR Constructions 8,761 9,025 14,081 16,835 1,262 1,553 2,052 2,436 730 1,611 1,410 1,423 13% 25% 18% 15% PNC Infratech 15,610 20,142 19,432 24,186 2,166 2,660 2,970 3,234 1,004 2,427 2,506 2,018 15% 23% 17% 13% Sadbhav Engineering 29,698 31,862 34,255 45,330 3,002 3,254 3,702 4,961 1,137 1,338 1,559 2,117 10% 9% 10% 12% Company Revenues, Rs.mn EBITDA, Rs.mn PAT, Rs.mn RoE Consolidated Numbers FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E Ashoka Buildcon 23,197 26,145 27,319 35,277 5,110 7,721 8,146 9,665 815 584 643 1,356 6% 4% 3% 7% IRB 37,319 38,475 51,302 59,777 17,537 22,117 26,606 30,235 4,591 5,429 6,359 7,134 14% 14% 14% 12% KNR Constructions 9,312 9,951 14,789 17,634 1,268 1,742 2,605 3,072 697 1,263 1,085 1,209 10% 17% 15% 14% PNC Infratech 18,609 23,946 25,173 30,072 2,799 4,073 5,648 5,957 912 2,161 1,589 1,322 12% 20% 11% 9% Sadbhav Engineering 34,480 38,775 45,401 58,561 5,867 8,035 12,055 15,184 (1,758) (468) 577 1,692-13% -3% 3% 6% Company CMP Shares M.Cap Net Debt to Equity (x) P/E (x) Price / BV (x) Consolidated Numbers Rs. (mn) Rs. bn FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E Ashoka Buildcon 155 187 29.0 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.6 35.6 49.6 45.1 21.4 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 200 Buy IRB 195 351 68.4 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.1 11.9 10.8 9.6 9.7 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.1 190 Add KNR Constructions 160 141 22.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 6.5 3.6 4.1 3.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 185 Buy PNC Infratech 105 257 26.9 1.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 29.5 12.5 16.9 20.4 3.1 2.1 1.8 1.7 130 Add Sadbhav Engineering 260 171 44.5 3.8 3.7 3.0 2.4 NM NM NM 26.3 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.5 290 Add Target Price Price (Rs.) Rating Page 3

Effect on Toll Collections/ Traffic post demonetisation Decrease Increase Neutral 1. What is the effect of demonetisation on toll collection? (% drop/ growth) 2. Effect on traffic post demonetisation? (% drop/ growth) 3. Are you collecting toll in Cash or have u installed POS machines? Delhi Gurgaon Agra Jaipur Kishangarh Ahmedabad Vadodara Kiratpur Kurali Dhule Nashik Gonde Vadape Dewas Wainganga Parwanoo Gwalior Dewas Hyderabad GUJARAT Panagarh RAJASTHAN Jaipur Kishangarh 1. 25% 2. 30% Ahmedabad Vadodra 1. Normal 2. Normal Lucknow Raebareli Barwa Chandikhol Bhubaneswar Beawar- Pali- Pindwara 1. 15% 2. 20% Godhra - Gujarat / MP Border 1. 20% 2. 20% DELHI MADHYA PRADESH Indore Dewas 1. 15% 2. 15% MAHARASHTRA Delhi Gurgaon 1. 20% 2. 40% MP/Maharashtra Border Dhule 1. 10% 2. 10 % Pimpalgoan - Nashik Gonde 1. 25% Now 5% 2. 5% UTTAR PRADESH Lucknow-Raibrelly 1. 25% 2. 30-35% Agra - Gwalior 1. 45% 2. 50% WEST BENGAL Barwa adda- Panagarh 1. 10-15% 2. Normal Chattisgarh/Maharashtra Border - Wainganga Bridge 1. 10-15% 2. 10-15 % Vadape - Gonde 1. 10-15% 2. 15-20% Agra-Aligarh 1. 10-15% 2. 10-15% PUNJAB Moradabad -Bareilly 1. Not much affected 2. Normal Dhankuni kharagpur 1. Not much affected 2. Normal Kiratpur - Kurali, Zirakpur Parwanoo 1. Not much affected 2. Normal ANDHRA PRADESH ORISSA Bangalore Walajapet Nellore Tada Poonamallee Tambaram Tindivanam Madurai Tuticorin Hyderabad - Bangalore 1. 15% 2. 20 % TAMIL NADU Tambaram-Tindivanam 1. 35% 2. 30 to 40% Tada - Nellore 1. 20% 2. 40 % Madurai Tuticorin 1. Not much affected 2. Normal Bhubaneshwar- Jagatpur - Chandikhole 1. 10% 2. 5-6% Walajhapet - Poonamalai 1. 30% 2. 25% Bhadrak - Balasore 1. 5% 2. 10% Page 4

Kms/ day Kms/ day kms kms Industry Update - Roads National Highways award and construction history National Highway Projects Awarded (kms) 230% National Highway Constructed (kms) 37% 14% 9,794-80% 6,321 25% 5% 7,890 8,295 5,013 5,732 4% 4,250 4,440 6,061 1,916-26% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 kms Awarded yoy growth, % FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 kms constructed yoy growth, % National Highway Projects Awarded (kms/ day) National Highway Constructed (kms/ day) 27 22 23 17 14 16 12 12 17 5 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 kms awarded per day FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 kms constructed per day Page 5

NHAI Update slowdown in projects awarded in the last few months; targets set by Govt. unlikely to be achieved National Highways - Project Award Target & Achievement YTDFY17 National Highways - Road Construction Target & Achievement YTDFY17 Total 4,592 25,000 Total 3,591 15,000 MoRTH 2,082 10,000 MoRTH 2,174 7,000 NHAI 2,509 15,000 NHAI 1,417 8,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Achievement (kms) Target (kms) Achievement (kms) Target (kms) Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Spark Capital Research NHAI Project Awards NHAI Project Awards NHAI Project Awards Kms FY16 YTDFY17 nos. FY16 YTDFY17 Rs. mn FY16 YTDFY17 BOT 873 332 BOT 7 3 BOT 119,341 35,841 EPC 3,149 1,155 EPC 63 20 EPC 481,298 158,636 HAM 345 1,022 HAM 9 16 HAM 83,339 144,784 Total 4,368 2,509 Total 79 39 Total 683,978 339,260 BOT Build Own/ Operate Transfer, EPC Engineering Procurement & Construction, HAM Hybrid Annuity Model Page 6

NHAI Update only 8 out of 25 HAM projects awarded so far has achieved Financial Closure NHAI - Hybrid Annuity Projects awarded so far Rs. mn Rs. mn # Bidder FC? months since award Road Award Date kms State 1 Agroh Infra No 2 4 laning of Tarsod-Fagne NH-6 Nov-16 87 Maharashtra 10,210 10,210 2 Agroh Infra Yes 8 4 laning of Kagavadar - Una May-16 41 Gujarat 7,236 5,550 3 Agroh Infra No 6 4 laning of Kodinar to Veraval NH-8E Jul-16 42 Gujarat 8,300 6,700 4 APCo Infratech No 12 Meerut - Bulandshahar Jan-16 61 U.P. 6,832 8,680 5 APCo Infratech No 12 Delhi - Meerut Expreeway PKG III Jan-16 22 Delhi & U.P. 10,816 10,570 6 Ashoka Concessions No 5 4/ 6 Laning of Kharar to Ludhiana section NH-95 Aug-16 76 Punjab 13,883 20,700 7 Chetak Enterprises No 5 2 laning Shimla Bypass (Kaithlighat to Shimla Section) Aug-16 27 H.P. 15,832 15,830 8 Dineshchandra R Agrawal No 7 4 laning Salasar - Nagaur section of NH-65 Jun-16 120 Rajasthan 6,372 5,330 9 Eagle Infra No 8 4 laning Laddowal bypass linking NH-95 with NH-1 May-16 17 Punjab 3,920 3,920 10 GR Infra No 5 4 laning Phagwara to Rupnagar Aug-16 81 Punjab 11,696 14,440 11 MBL Infra No 7 6 laning of Udaipur Bypass Jun-16 24 Rajasthan 7,260 7,790 12 MBL Infra No 10 4 laning of Chultmalpur - Ganeshpur Mar-16 53 Uttarakhand and U.P. 14,430 9,420 13 MBL Infra No 10 4 laning of Gagalgeri - Yamunanagar Mar-16 51 U.P. 16,680 11,840 14 MEP Infra & Sanjose India Infra No 8 4 laning of Talaja - Mahuva May-16 45 Gujarat 8,346 6,490 15 MEP Infra & Sanjose India Infra No 7 4 laning of Mahuva to Kagavadar PKG-III Jun-16 40 Gujarat 7,632 6,047 16 MEP Infra & Sanjose India Infra Yes 10 4 laning Ring Road / bypasses for Nagpur City PKG-I Mar-16 34 Maharashtra 5,460 5,310 17 MEP Infra & Sanjose India Infra Yes 10 4 laning Ring Road / bypasses for Nagpur City PKG-II Mar-16 28 Maharashtra 5,917 6,390 18 Oriental Structural No 3 4 laning of Binjhabahal - Telebani Oct-16 78 Odisha 10,090 11,614 19 PNC Infratech No 6 4 laning Dausa - Lalsot - Kauthun section of NH-11A Jul-16 83 Rajasthan 6,887 8,200 20 Sadbhav Infra Yes 8 4 laning of Bhavnagar - Talaja May-16 48 Gujarat 9,982 4,950 21 Sadbhav Infra Yes 8 4 laning of Una - Kodinar May-16 41 Gujarat 7,631 8,550 22 Sadbhav Infra No 4 2/4 laning of Tiger Reserve Boundary to Bangalore section Sep-16 171 Karnataka 9,507 7,995 23 Sadbhav Infra Yes 10 4 laning of Rampur - Kathgodam PKG-I Mar-16 43 U.P. 8,990 6,030 24 Sadbhav Infra Yes 10 4 laning of Rampur - Kathgodam PKG-II Mar-16 45 Uttarakhand and U.P. 7,200 5,250 25 Welspun Enterprises Yes 12 Delhi - Meerut Expreeway PKG I Jan-16 9 Delhi & U.P. 7,014 7,360 26 Gawar Infra - - Samrala Chowk-Ludhiana Apr-16 Punjab 8,530 10,490 27 Overseas Infra - - Kishangarh-Udaipur-Ahmedabad (Package VI) Apr-16 Gujarat - - Only 8 HAM projects have got Financial Closure so far and it is evident that Companies with proven track record and balance sheet ability are not facing significant delays. Two projects (Gawar Infra and Overseas Infra) have been terminated so far due to problems in achieving financial closure NHAI cost Final Cost Page 7

NHAI land acquisition history Land Acquisition, hectares Compensation deposited with Competent Authority State FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Rs. mn FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Haryana 687 218 87 1,662 Uttar Pradesh 4,939 13,210 13,932 49,493 Rajasthan 1,506 458 1,723 1,264 Bihar 1,643 5,253 6,308 21,125 Maharashtra 391 1,336 561 988 West Bengal 7,820 9,861 11,744 19,137 Orissa 396 236 190 940 Maharashtra 4,310 9,251 6,103 19,086 Karnataka 213 668 749 676 Haryana 8,037 5,370 22,101 16,624 Bihar 439 235 351 539 Jharkhand 860 244 101 15,562 West Bengal 176 299 222 537 Himachal Pradesh 18 5,156 130 9,203 Uttrakhand 11 23 89 437 Andhra Pradesh 3,920 4,501 1,192 6,975 Gujarat 550 302 151 373 Tamil Nadu 3,964 3,318 3,117 6,742 Tamil Nadu 803 315 855 325 Rajasthan 816 2,696 4,337 5,320 Andhra Pradesh 197 455 153 316 Orissa 1,766 697 4,973 5,202 Uttar Pradesh 473 1,227 566 307 Uttrakhand 2,998 592 983 4,465 Punjab 41 47 50 233 Karnataka 4,003 4,767 7,369 3,421 Himachal Pradesh 0 159 0 208 Gujarat 1,668 1,036 2,166 2,606 Jharkhand 120 37 0 204 Madhya Pradesh 908 5,957 0 1,745 Chhattisgarh 381 563 66 115 Kerala 1,375 2,592 2,745 1,547 Madhya Pradesh 483 1,992 883 111 Jammu & Kashmir 905 1,294 484 894 Kerala 2 5 24 40 Chhattisgarh 2,755 907 956 783 Jammu & Kashmir 15 66 0 12 Meghalaya 79 627 249 228 Assam 41 0 0 0 Assam 277 310 1,244 44 Goa 0 0 0 0 Goa 0 0 0 0 Meghalaya 0 14 13 0 Punjab 985 300 36 0 Total India 6,925 8,655 6,733 9,287 Total India 54,043 77,939 90,270 190,200 We analysed the data given by Ministry of Road Transport and Highways on the land acquisition status of NHAI, key takeaways are: 9,287hectares of land was obtained in possession in FY16 by NHAI for roads (38% yoy growth). Haryana (1,662 Ha), Rajasthan (1,264 Ha), Maharashtra (988 Ha), Orissa (940 Ha), Karnataka (676 Ha), Bihar (539 Ha) are the top states in which most land have been taken into possession Rs. 190.2bn has been deposited by NHAI in FY16 towards compensation for land (111% yoy growth) vs. Rs. 90.3bn in FY15 U.P. (Rs. 49.5bn), Bihar (Rs. 21.1bn), West Bengal (Rs. 19.1bn), Maharashtra (Rs. 19.1bn), Haryana (Rs. 16.6bn) and Jharkhand (Rs. 15.6bn) are the top states where most compensation had been paid in FY16 Given >40% of the remaining road projects to be awarded by NHAI are in U.P.(10%), Rajasthan, Orissa, Maharashtra, Karnataka we are likely to see large amounts being spent in these states for land acquisition in the future also Intensity of land acquisition in FY17 is likely to be lower which we believe is the reason for 47% lower allocation in FY17 budget to NHAI from Central Road Fund NHAI is looking to acquire 10,000ha for FY17E (4000ha already acquired till September; FY16 9000ha). Cost of land acquisition is expected to be ~Rs 300bn in FY17. Our channel checks indicate that the new land acquisition act is hurting the projects badly where the increasing cost of land acquisition pose risk to the sector Page 8

Competition for projects NHAI projects won Rs. mn kms No. of projects Bidder FY16 YTDFY17 FY16 YTDFY17 FY16 YTDFY17 Larsen & Toubro 57,039 17,001 480 127 8 2 PNC Infratech 52,747 6,887 409 83 5 1 Dilip Buildcon 42,512 24,290 469 194 5 2 IL&FS Transportation 41,739 0 335 0 2 0 Gayatri Projects 39,653 25,100 279 153 5 1 Jaiprakash Associates 37,727 0 156 0 3 0 MBL Infra 31,110 7,260 104 24 2 1 Punj Lloyd 31,019 0 201 0 4 0 Sadbhav Engineering 27,202 0 133 0 4 0 GR Infra 22,497 11,696 325 81 4 1 Oriental Structural Engineers 22,483 10,090 162 78 2 1 KNR Constructions 22,324 16,642 142 143 2 1 HCC 21,687 0 32 0 1 0 Gammon India 21,370 11,674 40 95 1 1 Essel Infraprojects 21,287 0 70 0 1 0 ApCo Infratech 17,648 0 83 0 2 0 IRB Infra 16,572 24,839 125 239 1 2 Jai Kumar InfraProjects 16,294 0 40 0 3 0 Sadbhav Infra 16,190 27,120 88 260 2 3 Ashoka Buildcon 15,645 4,580 43 57 3 1 Corsan Corviam Construction 14,080 0 72 0 1 0 Uniquest Infra Ventures 13,775 0 109 0 1 0 BSCPL Infra 11,675 0 45 0 1 0 MEP Infra & Sanjose India 11,377 15,979 62 85 2 2 Backbone Enterprises 10,697 2,275 81 54 1 1 Welspun Enterprises 7,014 0 9 0 1 0 Others 40,618 133,828 277 835 12 19 Total 683,978 339,260 4,368 2,509 79 39 Competitive intensity for EPC projects remain similar to FY16 with more than 20 active bidders still in the fray; due to non achievement of Financial Closure of HAM projects, competition has significantly reducedto <5 players at present for HAM projects; competition for BOT projects is comparatively lower at around 5 players Players like Dilip Buildcon, Gayatri Projects, MEP Infra and GR Infra continue to be aggressive and show enough appetite to win more projects L&T and PNC Infratech who were the top winners in FY16 have not won as many projects in YTDFY!& FY17 so far has also seen newer players like Agroh Infratech, KMC Constructions, Eagle Infra, H G Infra and Dineshchandra R Agarwal Infracon winning several projects In the companies under our coverage, Sadbhav, KNR and Ashoka Buildcon all continue to win projects in FY17 as well Page 9

Status of orders won recently for Companies under coverage Progress of Road Projects won since FY16 Original Cost Remaining Work Year Months Mode Awarder State Rs. mn Rs. mn Ashoka Buildcon/ Ashoka Concessions 6 lane Eastern Peripheral Expressway PKG-IV Aug-15 FY16 17 EPC NHAI Uttar Pradesh 7,890 7,131 JNPT Port Road Phase-II PKG-IV Sep-15 FY16 16 EPC NHAI Maharashtra 4,140 3,834 Bagewadi-Bailhongal-Saundatti Sep-15 FY16 16 Annuity State Karnataka 2,350 2,543 Hungund-Muddebihal-Talikot Sep-15 FY16 16 Annuity State Karnataka 2,050 2,466 Islampur By pass Oct-15 FY16 15 EPC NHAI West Bengal 2,770 2,761 Road network of Hulhumale Oct-15 FY16 15 EPC Maldives Maldives 1,239 NA 2 laning Pasighat-Mariyang Nov-15 FY16 14 EPC NHIDCL Arunachal P. 917 NA Govindpur-Tundi-Giridih & Dumka-Hannsidha Feb-16 FY16 11 EPC State Jharkhand 4,016 3,863 2 laning of Pasighat to Bomjur Mar-16 FY16 10 EPC NHIDCL Arunachal P. 763 NA 4/2 laning of Govindpur-Chahs-WB border Jul-16 FY17 6 EPC NHAI Jharkhand 4,860 4,854 4/6 Laning of Kharar-Ludhiana Aug-16 FY17 5 HAM NHAI Punjab 12,737 12,737 Total 43,732 40,189 % of slow moving orders 47% KNR Construction Chittagong City Outer Ring Road Mar-15 FY15 22 EPC Bangladesh Bangladesh 2,577 2,577 4 laning Madurai Ramanathapuram Apr-15 FY16 21 EPC NHAI Tamilnadu 9,371 6,526 Upgrading Kanchipuram - Vandavasi Apr-15 FY16 21 EPC State Tamilnadu 1,852 1,315 Upgrading Arcot Villupuram road Apr-15 FY16 21 EPC State Tamilnadu 3,213 2,787 Upgrading Malliyakarai-Erode road Apr-15 FY16 21 EPC State Tamilnadu 2,271 1,682 4 laning of Kazhakkottam to Mukkola May-15 FY16 20 EPC NHAI Kerala 6,691 4,985 Mohanpur Behat Mau & Behat Mau Jul-15 FY16 18 EPC State Madhya P. 2,556 2,018 2 tier flyover in Salem Feb-16 FY16 11 EPC State Tamilnadu 2,951 2,724 Dindigul-Bangalore Road (Pollachi to Coimbatore Section) May-16 FY17 8 EPC MoRTH Tamilnadu 4,149 4,149 4 laning of Hubli - Hospet section of NH-63 Aug-16 FY17 5 EPC NHAI Karnataka 6,680 6,674 Total 42,311 35,437 % of slow moving orders 19% Source: Company, Spark Capital Research Remaining works is as at Sept 2016 Page 10

Status of orders won recently for Companies under coverage Progress of Road Projects won since FY16 Original Cost Remaining Work Year Months Mode Awarder State Rs. mn Rs. mn PNC Infratech 4 laning Bhojpur to Buxar Aug-15 FY16 17 EPC NHAI Bihar 4,770 4,770 4 laning Koilwar to Bhojpur Aug-15 FY16 17 EPC NHAI Bihar 4,540 4,540 2 laning Aligarh - Moradabad Mar-16 FY16 10 EPC NHAI U.P. 6,450 6,450 4 laning of Varanasi - Gorakpur PKG-II Mar-16 FY16 10 EPC NHAI U.P. 8,690 8,690 4 laning of Nagina - Kashipur Mar-16 FY16 10 EPC NHAI U.P. 11,560 11,560 Sharda Sahayak Feeder Canal Roads Mar-16 FY16 10 EPC State U.P. 2,057 NA 4/2 laning Dausa-Lalsot-Kauthun Jul-16 FY17 6 HAM NHAI Rajasthan 8,810 8,810 Total 46,877 44,820 % of slow moving orders 80% PNC infratech s NHAI projects that it won in FY16 is facing severe land acquisition issues with land availability of only ~60% at the Varanasi Gorakhpur, Nagina Kashipur, Bhojpur Buxar and Koilwar Bhojpur projects Sadbhav Engineering/ Sadbhav Infrastructure Project UP/Haryana border-yamuna Nagar- Panchkula PKG II May-15 FY16 20 EPC NHAI Haryana 4,680 3,770 UP/Haryana border-yamuna Nagar- Panchkula PKG I May-15 FY16 20 EPC NHAI Haryana 4,360 3,180 4 Laning Tapa to Bathinda Jun-15 FY16 19 EPC MoRTH Punjab 2,314 1,890 6 lane Eastern Peripheral Expressway PKG-I Aug-15 FY16 17 EPC NHAI Haryana /U.P. 7,920 6,050 6 lane Eastern Peripheral Expressway PKG-II Aug-15 FY16 17 EPC NHAI Haryana/ U.P. 7,560 6,230 4 laning of Rampur-Kathgodam PKG-I Mar-16 FY16 10 HAM NHAI U.P. 6,030 6,030 4 laning of Rampur-Kathgodam PKG-II Mar-16 FY16 10 HAM NHAI U.P. 5,250 5,250 4 laning of Bhavnagar - Talaja May-16 FY17 8 HAM NHAI Gujarat 6,500 6,500 4 laning of Una - Kodinar May-16 FY17 8 HAM NHAI Gujarat 4,950 4,950 2/4 laning of Tiger Reserve to Bangalore Sep-16 FY17 4 HAM NHAI Karnataka 8,550 8,550 Total 58,114 52,400 % of slow moving orders 43% Source: Company, Spark Capital Research Remaining works is as at Sept 2016 Though financial closure exists for the HAM projects, Appointed Date is pending for these projects as Company is waiting for 80% of land to be made available Page 11

Construction Business Orderbook, P&L Construction Business Rs. mn FY16 FY17E FY18E Construction Business Rs. mn FY16 FY17E FY18E Ashoka Buildcon KNR Construction Order Inflow 27,016 47,390 32,000 Order Inflow 28,905 23,587 24,000 Roads 27,016 37,604 26,000 Roads 28,905 16,829 20,000 Others 0 9,786 6,000 Others 0 6,758 4,000 Order Book 28,328 56,871 63,072 Order Book 34,634 44,308 51,473 EPC Revenues 17,819 18,847 25,799 EPC Revenues 9,025 13,913 16,835 growth, % -2% 6% 37% growth, % 3% 54% 21% EBITDA 2,652 2,804 3,441 EBITDA 1,553 2,027 2,436 margin, % 14% 14% 13% margin, % 17% 15% 14% PAT 1,594 1,481 1,772 PAT 1,611 1,388 1,421 growth, % 12% -7% 20% growth, % 18% 10% 8% EPS, Rs./ share 8.5 7.9 9.5 EPS, Rs./ share 11.5 9.9 10.1 EPC biz value @15x FY18 EPS 142 EPC biz value @15x FY18 EPS 152 Construction Business Rs. mn FY16 FY17E FY18E Construction Business Rs. mn FY16 FY17E FY18E PNC Infratech Sadbhav Engineering Order Inflow 39,740 30,000 30,000 Order Inflow 38,114 55,000 48,200 Roads 38,067 28,600 28,500 Roads 38,114 40,000 35,000 Others 1,673 1,400 1,500 Others 0 15,000 13,200 Order Book 55,370 65,938 71,752 Order Book 74,871 95,616 98,486 EPC Revenues 20,142 19,432 24,186 EPC Revenues 31,862 34,255 45,330 growth, % 29% -4% 24% growth, % 7% 8% 32% EBITDA 2,660 2,970 3,234 EBITDA 3,254 3,702 4,961 margin, % 13% 15% 13% margin, % 10% 11% 11% PAT 2,427 2,506 2,018 PAT 1,338 1,559 2,117 growth, % 142% 3% -19% growth, % 18% 17% 36% EPS, Rs./ share 9.5 9.8 7.9 EPS 7.8 9.1 12.3 EPC biz value @15x FY18 EPS 118 EPC biz value @15x FY18 EPS 185 Page 12

Cash flow comfort in the Companies under coverage Ashoka Buiidcon Rs. mn FY16P FY17E FY18E Standalone Cash Flow: OCF 3,366 3,158 3,803 Less: Interest 557 406 416 Less: Tax 696 665 853 Less: Working Capital 5,787 (2,168) 1,848 KNR Construction FY16P FY17E FY18E Standalone Cash Flow: 2,964 2,414 2,587 123 191 247 (22) 249 251 369 220 607 PNC Infratech FY16P FY17E FY18E Standalone Cash Flow: 2,861 2,799 3,376 332 106 206 (423) 588 627 (396) (798) 1,760 Sadbhav Engineering FY16P FY17E FY18E Standalone Cash Flow: 3,060 3,702 4,961 862 953 953 263 275 1,043 710 (493) (385) Apart from KNR all the other 3 Companies resorted to raising funds in the Equity markets to meet their funding requirements Less: CAPEX 277 350 350 Less: Dividend 413 337 337 Cash Flow Before Equity & Debt (4,363) 3,568 (1) Add: Equity 4,916 0 0 Add: Debt 0 0 1 Net Cash available 553 3,568 0 641 800 600 68 33 33 1,786 922 848 0 0 0 204 931 0 1,990 1,853 848 2,173 2,100 350 772 772 772 403 31 (339) 4,347 0 0 0 0 0 4,750 31 (339) 1,042 800 300 141 141 141 41 2,025 2,909 4,250 0 0 0 0 0 4,291 2,025 2,909 KNR funded the loss of the Walayar Vadakkancherry project through promoters infusion and internal accruals Road Assets CashFlow (Stake adjusted) Revenues 8,453 10,342 11,302 EBITDA 6,647 8,326 9,220 Less: Interest 4,810 5,508 5,627 Less: Tax 394 451 509 Less: Repayment 527 588 957 Net Cash 916 1,780 2,127 Starting Cash 1,679 4,676 Cash from EPC 3,568 0 Road Assets CashFlow 141 708 799 (7) 553 636 206 677 614 0 0 0 1,838 955 139 (2,052) (1,078) (116) 450 1,225 1,853 848 Road Assets CashFlow 4,386 6,733 6,625 1,743 3,545 3,332 1,341 2,312 2,327 0 0 0 428 767 1,333 (25) 466 (328) 1,066 770 31 (339) SIPL Cash flow 7,422 11,367 13,452 4,773 8,577 10,447 6,398 6,769 6,665 (95) 206 257 5,930 4,341 2,640 (7,460) (2,738) 885 1,263 89 2,025 2,909 KNR and PNC Infratech are the most comfortable in meeting their cash requirements of the Road Asset portfolio as they have fewer assets and fewer/ no BOT or HAM project yet to put-in equity Cash from BOT 1,780 2,127 (1,078) (116) 466 (328) (2,738) 885 Less: Equity for BOT/ HAM projects 2,350 3,000 Ending Cash - Consolidated 1,679 4,676 3,803 Debt Standalone 2,883 Consolidated 41,277 0 0 450 1,225 1,957 70 7,369 793 793 1,066 770 (689) 60 17,250 460 2,760 1,263 89 1,123 10,588 79,522 Debt at KNR and PNC Infratech is low when compared to Ashoka Buildcon and Sadbhav Engg Page 13

Valuation Summary SoTP Valuation Ashoka Buildcon Stake Valuation Method Projects ACL's Stake ASBL's Stake Total Equity Value ACL's Value ASBL's Value per share Rs. mn Rs. mn Rs. mn Rs. % Nashirabad Railway-Over Bridge 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 130 130 1 0% KSHIP WAP-2 - Modhul Nipani 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 557 557 3 1% Total Value for ABL's Road Assets (a) 687 687 4 2% NH-6 Bhandara Road 51% 31% FCFE using 14% CoE 1,939 989 603 3 2% NH-6 Durg Bypass 51% 31% FCFE using 14% CoE 3,365 1,716 1,047 6 3% Jaora Nayagaon Road 73% 45% FCFE using 14% CoE 8,027 3,026 4,736 25 13% NH-4 Belgaum-Dharwad Road 100% 61% FCFE using 14% CoE 3,392 3,392 2,069 11 6% NH-6 Sambalpur-Baragarh Road 100% 61% FCFE using 14% CoE 1,839 1,839 1,122 6 3% NH-6 Dhankuni to Kharagpur Section 100% 61% FCFE using 14% CoE 4,873 4,873 2,973 16 8% Chennai ORR 50% 31% FCFE using 14% CoE 4,552 2,276 1,388 7 4% Total Value for ACL's Road Assets (b) 27,987 18,112 13,938 74 37% Construction & RMC Business 100% 15x FY18E EPS 22,847 22,847 122 61% Total Value for Construction Business (c ) 22,847 22,847 122 61% Ashoka Buildcon (a) + (b) + (c ) 51,521 18,112 37,472 200 100% Page 14

Valuation Summary SoTP Valuation - IRB Infra Developers IRB's Stake Valuation Method Equity Value Value to IRB per share % Projects % Rs. mn Rs. mn Rs. Mumbai Pune BOT, MPEW & NH4 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 7,664 7,664 22 11% Surat Dahisar Road, NH 8 90% FCFE using 14% CoE 4,779 4,301 12 6% Bharuch Surat BOT, NH 4 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 1,181 1,181 3 2% Thane Ghodbunder Toll Road BOT 100% FCFE using 14% CoE (841) (841) (2) -1% Tumkur Chitradurg, NH 4 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 1,501 1,501 4 2% Talegaon Amravati, NH 6 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 2,082 2,082 6 3% Thane Bhiwandi Bypass BOT 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 0 0 0 0% Pune Nashik BOT, NH 50 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 1,779 1,779 5 3% Pune Sholapur BOT 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 1,096 1,096 3 2% Pathankot Amritsar, NH 15 100% FCFE using 14% CoE (1,563) (1,563) (4) -2% Jaipur Deoli, NH 12 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 5,651 5,651 16 8% Ahmedabad Vadodara -NH 8 & Ahmedabad Vadodara 100% FCFE using 14% CoE Expressway 6,300 6,300 18 9% Goa/ Karnataka Border to Kundapur, NH- 17 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 6,695 6,695 19 10% Omallur -Salem Namakkal Section of NH-7 74% at investment value 1,300 962 3 1% Solapur -Yedeshi section of NH-211 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 5,764 5,764 16 9% Yedeshi Aurangabad section of NH-211 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 6,514 6,514 19 10% Kaithal Rajasthan Border section of NH 152/65 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 8,489 8,489 24 13% Agra - Etawah 100% FCFE using 14% CoE 8,527 8,527 24 13% Total Value Road Assets 66,918 66,102 188 99% Other investments - Airports, Real Estate 100% at investment value 586 586 2 1% IRB Infrastructure Developers Page 15

Valuation Summary SoTP Valuation - KNR Constructions - Stake Method Project Equity Value Value for KNR per share % BoT Projects KNR Walayar Tollways Private Ltd 100% FCFE with 14% CoE 1,545 1,545 11 6% KNR Muzaffarpur Barauni Tollway Private Ltd 51% FCFE with 14% CoE (510) (260) (2) -1% Total for BOT Projects 1,036 1,285 9 5% Standalone/ EPC Business 100% 15x FY18E EPS 24,426 24,426 174 95% Total Value for KNR Constructions 25,712 183 100% Page 16

Valuation Summary SoTP Valuation PNC Infratech PNC's Stake Valuation Methodology Equity Value PNC's Share per share value % Standalone EPC Business (a) 100.0% 15x FY18E EPS 30,275 30,275 118 90% Road Assets Gwalior Bhind Road 100.0% FCFE using 14% CoE 790 790 3 2% Kanpur Kabrai Road 100.0% FCFE using 14% CoE 881 881 3 3% Ghaziabad Aligarh Road 35.0% FCFE using 15% CoE 3,136 1,098 4 3% Rae Bareli Jaunpur Road 100.0% FCFE using 14% CoE (21) (21) (0) 0% Bareilly Almora Road 100.0% FCFE using 14% CoE 245 245 1 1% Industrial Estate Asset PNC Delhi Industrialinfra Pvt Ltd 100.0% FCFE using 14% CoE 426 426 2 1% Road Toll Collection Concession PNC Kanpur Ayodhya Tollways Pvt Ltd 100.0% FCFE using 14% CoE 76 76 0 0% Total Value for Assets (b) 5,534 3,496 14 10% Total PNC Infratech (a) + (b) 35,808 33,770 132 100% Page 17

Valuation Summary Total Equity Value to Sadbhav per SoTP Valuation - Sadbhav Engineering Stake Valuation Method Value SIPL Value Engineering share % Projects SIPL's stakesel's stake Rs. mn Rs. mn Rs. mn Rs. EPC Business Sadbhav Engineering Standalone 100% 15x FY18E EPS 31,762 31,762 185 64% Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Ltd (SIPL) Aurangabad Jalna 100% 68% FCFE using 13% CoE 2,409 2,409 1,647 10 3% Ahmedabad Ring Road 100% 68% FCFE using 13% CoE 2,497 2,497 1,707 10 3% NH-7 Nagpur - Seoni 100% 68% FCFE using 13% CoE 127 127 87 1 0% Maharashtra Border Checkpost 78% 53% FCFE using 13% CoE 12,058 9,405 6,429 37 10% NH-13 Bijapur - Hungund 77% 53% FCFE using 13% CoE 8,234 6,340 4,334 25 7% NH-202 Hyderabad Yadgiri 100% 68% FCFE using 13% CoE 3,900 3,900 2,666 16 4% NH-3 Dhule - Palesnar 100% 68% FCFE using 13% CoE 4,515 4,515 3,086 18 5% NH-71A Rohtak Panipat 100% 68% FCFE using 13% CoE 833 833 569 3 1% NH-8 Shreenathji - Udaipur 100% 68% FCFE using 13% CoE 6,036 6,036 4,126 24 7% Total Value for Operational Road Assets 40,611 36,064 24,650 144 40% NH-758 Bhilwara - Rajsamand 100% 68% FCFE using 14% CoE 2,249 2,249 1,537 9 2% NH-7 Rohtak - Hissar 100% 68% FCFE using 14% CoE 908 908 620 4 1% SH-3 Mysore Bellary 74% 51% FCFE using 14% CoE 4,428 3,277 2,240 13 4% Total Value for Under Construction Road Assets 7,585 6,433 4,397 26 7% Less: Net Debt at SIPL standalone in FY17E 68% 7,516 7,516 5,137 30 8% Total Value for SIPL 40,679 34,981 23,910 139 48% Value of SIPL after giving holdco discount 25% holdco discount 30,509 26,236 17,932 105 36% Total Value for Sadbhav Engineering 62,271 49,694 290 100% Page 18

Disclaimer Absolute Rating Interpretation BUY Stock expected to provide positive returns of >15% over a 1-year horizon REDUCE ADD Stock expected to provide positive returns of >5% <15% over a 1-year horizon SELL Stock expected to provide returns of <5% -10% over a 1-year horizon Stock expected to fall >10% over a 1-year horizon Spark Disclaimer Spark Capital Advisors (India) Private Limited (Spark Capital) and its affiliates are engaged in investment banking, investment advisory and institutional equities and infrastructure advisory services. Spark Capital is registered with SEBI as a Stock Broker and Category 1 Merchant Banker. We hereby declare that our activities were neither suspended nor we have defaulted with any stock exchange authority with whom we are registered in the last five years. We have not been debarred from doing business by any Stock Exchange/SEBI or any other authorities, nor has our certificate of registration been cancelled by SEBI at any point of time. Spark Capital has a subsidiary Spark Investment Advisors (India) Private Limited which is engaged in the services of providing investment advisory services and is registered with SEBI as Investment Advisor. Spark Capital has also an associate company Spark Infra Advisors (India) Private Limited which is engaged in providing infrastructure advisory services. This document does not constitute or form part of any offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. This document is provided for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice, and nothing in this document should be construed as an advice to buy or sell or solicitation to buy or sell the securities of companies referred to in this document. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject Spark Capital and/or its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to a certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such applicable restrictions. This material should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. Spark Capital makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information and opinions contained in this document. Spark Capital, its affiliates, and the employees of Spark Capital and its affiliates may, from time to time, effect or have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document. They may perform or seek to perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any company referred to in this report. This report has been prepared on the basis of information, which is already available in publicly accessible media or developed through an independent analysis by Spark Capital. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, Spark Capital and its affiliates are under no obligation to update the information. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that prevent Spark Capital and its affiliates from doing so. Neither Spark Capital nor its affiliates or their respective directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be responsible or liable in any manner, directly or indirectly, for views or opinions expressed in this report or the contents or any errors or discrepancies herein or for any decisions or actions taken in reliance on the report or the inability to use or access our service in this report or for any loss or damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including without limitation loss of revenue or profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of or reliance on this report. Page 19

Disclaimer (Cont d) Spark Capital and/or its affiliates and/or employees may have interests/positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. To enhance transparency, Spark Capital has incorporated a disclosure of interest statement in this document. This should however not be treated as endorsement of views expressed in this report: Disclosure of interest statement Analyst financial interest in the company Group/directors ownership of the subject company covered Investment banking relationship with the company covered Spark Capital s ownership/any other financial interest in the company covered Associates of Spark Capital s ownership more than 1% in the company covered Any other material conflict of interest at the time of publishing the research report Receipt of compensation by Spark Capital or its Associate Companies from the subject company covered for in the last twelve months: Managing/co-managing public offering of securities Investment banking/merchant banking/brokerage services products or services other than those above in connection with research report Whether Research Analyst has served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company covered Whether the Research Analyst or Research Entity has been engaged in market making activity of the Subject Company; Yes/No No No No No No No No No No Analyst Certification of Independence The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst s compensations was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation or views expressed in the report. Additional Disclaimer for US Institutional Investors This research report prepared by Spark Capital Advisors (India) Private Limited is distributed in the United States to US Institutional Investors (as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) only by Auerbach Grayson, LLC, a broker-dealer registered in the US (registered under Section 15 of Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). Auerbach Grayson accepts responsibility on the research reports and US Institutional Investors wishing to effect transaction in the securities discussed in the research material may do so through Auerbach Grayson. All responsibility for the distribution of this report by Auerbach Grayson, LLC in the US shall be borne by Auerbach Grayson, LLC. All resulting transactions by a US person or entity should be effected through a registered broker-dealer in the US. This report is not directed at you if Spark Capital Advisors (India) Private Limited or Auerbach Grayson, LLC is prohibited or restricted by any legislation or regulation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you. You should satisfy yourself before reading it that Auerbach Grayson, LLC and Spark Capital Advisors (India) Private Limited are permitted to provide research material concerning investment to you under relevant legislation and regulations; Page 20