DEUTZ Investor Presentation March 2017

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Transcription:

DEUTZ Investor Presentation March 2017

Agenda DEUTZ strategy & positioning Financials Outlook 2

DEUTZ at a glance Founded in 1864 by N.A. Otto, the developer of the four stroke engine Company profile Independent manufacturer of diesel and gas engines in the 25 to 520 kw power range Worldwide sales channels and service network Leading technology and high-quality products Blue chip customer base Segments DEUTZ Compact Engines: liquid cooled engines < 8 litres cubic capacity DEUTZ Customised Solutions: liquid-cooled engines > 8 litres cubic capacity and air-cooled engines Financials 2016 Revenue 1,260.2 million EBIT 23.4 million Equity ratio 46.3% Management board Dr Frank Hiller (CEO) Dr Margarete Haase (CFO) Michael Wellenzohn (CSO) 3

Customer base Long standing customer relationships (not exhaustive) DEUTZ has a lot of long standing relationships with key customers Customer base extended and diversified with new emissions engines New clients & greater share of wallet (not exhaustive) New customers attracted by the compact design and smart exhaust aftertreatment of the Stage IV / Tier 4 engines Cautious Successful optimism extension for of 2012 customer base 4

DEUTZ engines for EU Stage IV / US Tier 4 emissions standard Competitive product features: compact size, low fuel consumption, smart exhaust after-treatment DEUTZ engine portfolio will satisfy the next EU emissions standard announced for 2019 Stage V ready Expanding product range for EU Stage V emissions standard in 2019: New 3-cylinder TCD 2.2 on same platform with 4-cylinder TCD 2.9; both also in a gas version (LPG) Engine project TCD 5.0 to gain market share in the 100 to 150kW output range DEUTZ intends to expand its product portfolio in the 200 to 700 kw power output range with engines supplied by Liebherr that will be sold under its own brand 5

Application expertise Example: DEUTZ 2.9 litre engine meets technical requirements of different applications and customers Same base engine applied for a wide range of equipment classes DEUTZ application expertise to serve different customer needs 6

Key applications Typical application Markets benefit from macro trends Construction equipment Material handling Agricultural machinery Stationary equipment Automotive Excavator, Wheel loader, Paver Underground mining Forklift truck, Telehandler Aerial work platform Ground support Tractor Harvester Genset Pump Compressor Rolling stock Special vehicle Truck & Bus DEUTZ engines serve a broad range of applications 7

Revenue split by application Automotive 6 % 77.2 million ( 87.9 million) Stationary Equipment 11 % 147.3 million ( 178.1 million) Other 3 % 32.9 million ( 20.5 million) 2016 (2015) 1,260.2 million ( 1,247.4 million) Construction Equipment 28 % 350.0 million ( 334.7 million) Service 23 % 287.3 million ( 278.4 million) Agricultural Machinery 14 % 176.5 million ( 159.3 million) Material Handling 15 % 189.0 million ( 188.5 million) Former Mobile Machinery application reported as Construction Equipment and Material Handling in the future Pro-forma Automotive revenue (1) incl. equity-accounted JV DEUTZ Dalian: 340.2 million (corresponding revenue share amounts to 22 %) (1) Considering 100% of JV revenue 8

Revenue split by region Africa/Middle East 5 % 62.3 million ( 95.5 million) Asia-Pacific 12 % 147.9 million ( 127.6 million) 2016 (2015) 1,260.2 million ( 1,247.4 million) Europe (excl. Germany) 47 % 588.6 million ( 585.5 million) Americas 19 % 239.6 million ( 257.3 million) Germany 17 % 221.8 million ( 163.5 million) Increase in Asia-Pacific (+15.9 %) driven by new customer business; EMEA increased by 3.3 % Revenue decline in Americas (-13.0 %) mainly due to lower investment spending of rental companies Pro-forma revenue (1) including equity-accounted Chinese JV DEUTZ Dalian: 1,563.2 million (-1.5 %); corresponding revenue share of Asia-Pacific amounts to 29 % (1) Considering 100% of JV revenue 9

Emissions standards drive revenue growth Average sales price per engine (indexed; FY 2011 = 100) 100 104 117 116 126 131 EU Stage IV / US Tier 4 engines require exhaust after-treatment devices Growing share of new emissions engines drives revenue growth Positive structural price mix effects are expected to continue in the years to come 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Structural growth due to tighter emissions standards 10

Service business million 241.6 250.3 253.7 259.3 278.4 287.3 Strong resilience of profitable service business through different economic cycles Future growth driven by investments in the service network and multiple service initiatives 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Continuous growth of service revenue 11

Activities in China JV DEUTZ Dalian 273.5 245.7 319.1 359.8 339.5 303.0 Countrywide sales and service network DEUTZ Dalian manufactures diesel engines compliant to Chinese emissions standards 100 89 107 106 75 68 First Automotive Works is our Joint Venture partner and key account for light & medium duty truck engines 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Revenue ( million) (1) Unit sales (thousand) Objective to increase penetration in the Chinese off-road market by customer proximity (1) At-equity consolidated; not reflected in the revenue of DEUTZ Group Well positioned to capture growth opportunities in China 12

Site optimisation Cologne-Porz Cologne-Deutz 2016 Cologne-Porz Ulm Übersee (Chiemsee) 2015/17 Ulm Site optimisation far advanced: measures in Cologne completed; relocation to Ulm to be finalised mid 2017 Efficiency gains of approx. 10 million p.a. from 2017 onwards (higher with better capacity utilisation) Substantial proceeds from sale of property in Cologne-Deutz expected in the near-term Sustainable efficiency improvement by merging facilities 13

R&D expenditure million 84.6 Strong commitment to continuous product innovation 5.5 62.1 4.8 52.6 53.1 40.8 3.6 3.5 3.3 50.4 4.0 Our customers and the environment benefit from lower fuel consumption and emissions Expansion of product range results in temporary R&D increase 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net R&D expenditure Net R&D expenditure ratio (%) Net R&D expenditure budget for 2017: 60-70 million Targeted R&D increase due to product expansion 14

Unit sales & profitability Thousand units 231 179 184 196 138 133 Volatile market environment requires flexible production Stable EBITDA margin at lower unit sales 10.4 9.4 9.8 9.0 9.0 9.1 Ramp-up phase of new engine generation terminated Higher capacity utilisation most important driver for profitability enhancement 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Unit sales EBITDA margin (before exceptional items) % Robust numbers in down cycle & high upside potential at market recovery 15

Cash deployment & dividend policy Financial strength Keep equity ratio above 40 % Robust financial framework in volatile markets Internal funding Invest in profitable organic growth projects and service Continuous product innovation Dividend policy Stable or growing dividend per share Dividend payout ~30 % of earnings over multi year period Stable or growing dividend 16

Summary: DEUTZ key investment highlights Successful extension of customer base Continuous growth of service revenue Expanding product range for Stage V emissions standard Well positioned for market recovery Significant improvement of profitability Sound balance sheet Stable or growing dividend 17

Agenda DEUTZ strategy & positioning Financials Outlook 18

Key figures million FY 2016 yoy Q4 2016 yoy New orders 1,261.4 +2.9 % 326.1 +11.3 % Revenue 1,260.2 +1.0 % 314.7 +2.0 % EBITDA 114.2 +1.8 % 26.3-1.1 % EBIT 23.4 + 18.5 million 3.7 + 9.4 million Net income 16.0 + 12.5 million -2.8 + 1.0 million Free cash flow 4.7-30.3 million 32.7-11.8 million FY 2016 revenue and operating profit improvement in line with our guidance 19

Sales figures million New orders Unit sales Revenue Units million +2.9 % -3.8 % +1.0 % 1,225.9 1,261.4 137,781 132,539 1,247.4 1,260.2 267.5 249.8 12,567 9,360 280.2 259.4 958.4 1,011.6 125,214 123,179 967.2 1,000.8 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 Positive price mix effects due to new emission engines Book-to-bill ratio at 1.0x DEUTZ Compact Engines DEUTZ Customised Solutions 20

Revenue development million +1.0 % 1,247.4 1,260.2-5.6 % -2.2 % +12.1 % +2.0 % 318.1 300.2 352.1 344.2 268.6 301.1 308.6 314.7 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Revenue improved over previous year in H2 2016 Q4 2016 revenue advanced 2.0 % yoy and 4.5 % qoq 2015 2016 21

Operating profit & net income million 2015 2016 112.2 107.3 114.2 90.8 9.0 % 9.1 % 4.9 4.0 +2.6 3.5 23.4 3.5 3.9 16.0 EBITDA D&A EBIT Net Tax Net interest income income expense Slight increase of EBITDA margin despite lower unit sales EBIT improvement supported by lower depreciation Continued low tax rate Net income increased significantly (+ 12.5 million) EBITDA D&A EBIT Net Income Net interest tax income expense x.x % EBITDA margin 22

EBIT million +1.4-8.7 23.4 +25.8 4.9 2015 2016 EBIT margin 0.4 % 1.9 % Operating profit increase driven by segment DEUTZ Compact Engines EBIT at DEUTZ Customised Solutions improved slightly despite lower business volume Prior year result at segment Other was inflated by a positive Joint Venture valuation effect DEUTZ Compact Engines DEUTZ Customised Solutions Other 23

Segment: DEUTZ Compact Engines million 2016 2015 Change in % New orders 1,011.6 958.4 5.6 Unit sales 123,179 125,214-1.6 Revenue 1,000.8 967.2 3.5 EBIT -6.1-31.9 80.9 million Q4 2016 Q4 2015 Change in % New orders 267.9 234.4 14.3 Unit sales 29,869 27,618 8.2 Revenue 251.1 237.1 5.9 EBIT -0.2-15.0 98.7 Strong revenue growth at Agricultural Machinery (+11.8 % yoy) and Construction Equipment (+9.8 % yoy). Service business advanced 4.2 % yoy Revenue of equity-accounted Chinese Joint Venture DEUTZ Dalian decreased by 10.8 % yoy to 303.0 million (-5.7 % yoy in local currency) Substantial EBIT improvement (+ 25.8 million yoy) mainly due to cost improvements and better product mix 24

Segment: DEUTZ Customised Solutions million 2016 2015 Change in % New orders 249.8 267.5-6.6 Unit sales 9,360 12,567-25.5 Revenue 259.4 280.2-7.4 EBIT 32.7 31.3 4.5 million Q4 2016 Q4 2015 Change in % New orders 58.2 58.6-0.7 Unit sales 2,231 2,927-23.8 Revenue 63.6 71.5-11.0 EBIT 5.1 5.3-3.8 Unit sales decline mainly due to Stationary (-33.4 % yoy) and Construction Equipment (-29.3 % yoy) Revenue share of profitable Service business increased to 46.2 % (FY 2015: 42.0 %) EBIT increase attributable to licence proceeds ( 5.5 million) 25

R&D spending & capital expenditure million R&D expenditure Capital expenditure (excl. R&D) Gross expenditure Reimbursements 49.5 8.7 53.5 3.1 0.6 56.8 52.9 Net expenditure 40.8 50.4 56.2 Net R&D expenditure ratio (1) 2015 2016 3.3 % 4.0 % 2015 2016 Net R&D expenditure in line with our guidance (slightly above 50 million) Proportion of capitalised net R&D expenditure: 9.1 million (2015: 13.0 million) Capital expenditure decreased (guidance approx. 55 million) (1) Ratio of net R&D expenditure to consolidated revenue 26

Working capital & operating cash flow million Working capital Operating cash flow 183.6 204.3 103.3 63.8 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016 Working capital ratio 14.7 % 16.2 % Increase of working capital ratio mainly attributable to higher trade receivables at the reporting day 2015 2016 Operating cash flow decline largely due to change in working capital, which increased in 2016 and declined in 2015 27

Free cash flow generation & net financial position million Free cash flow (1) Net financial position 35.0 39.0 31.6 4.7 2015 2016 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016 Free cash flow below prior year level as a result of lower operating cash flow Net financial position remained positive (1) Free cash flow: cash flow from operating and investing activities less net interest expense 28

Equity ratio & funding million 1,088.1 1,059.7 45.5 % 46.3 % 495.6 491.1 160 16 16 27 2 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016 up to 1 year up to 2 years Total assets Equity xx.x % Equity ratio Repayment schedule up to 5 years up to 10 years Duration of credit lines Healthy balance sheet; equity ratio increased by 0.8 %-points to 46.3 % Financing with undrawn facilities available: Credit line of 160 million until May 2020 Loan from European Investment Bank repayable until July 2020 29

Agenda DEUTZ strategy & positioning Financials Outlook 30

Assessment for key end markets, 2017 Unit sales (equipment) Europe North America China Construction equipment 0 % to +5 % -5 % to +5 % +5 % to +10 % Material handling 0 % to +10 % -5 % to +5 % -5 % to +5 % Agricultural machinery -5 % to +5 % Medium & light duty trucks 0 % to +5 % Demand for construction equipment and material handling in Europe is expected to grow Supportive market environment for automotive and construction equipment in China Improvement in North American end markets and European agricultural machinery not visible yet 31

Financial outlook million Revenue FY 2016 reported 1,260.2 FY 2017 guidance marked increase EBIT margin (before exceptional items) 1.9 % moderate increase R&D expenditure (1) 50.4 60-70 Capex (excl. R&D) (1) 52.9 approx. 70 (1) Net of reimbursements R&D expenditure and capex increase due to growth investments for expansion of product range Positive exceptional items: Gain from disposal of building lease from Ad. Strüver in Hamburg (approx. 10 million in Q1 2017) In the near-term, substantial proceeds from 160,000 sqm property sale in Cologne-Deutz expected, to a significant extent potentially already in 2017 32

Financial calendar & contact details Annual general meeting 4 May 2017 Q1 2017 result 9 May 2017 H1 2017 result 3 August 2017 Q1-Q3 2017 result 7 November 2017 Contact details Christian Krupp Tel:+49 (0) 221 822 5400 SVP Finance, Public and Investor Relations Fax:+49 (0) 221 822 15 5400 Ottostrasse 1 Email: krupp.c@deutz.com 51149 Cologne (Porz-Eil), Germany www.deutz.com 33

Disclaimer Unless stated otherwise, all the figures given in this presentation refer to continuing operations. The details given in this document are based on the information available at the time it was prepared. This presents the risk that actual figures may differ from forward-looking statements. Such discrepancies may be caused by changes in political, economic or business conditions, a decrease in the technological lead of DEUTZ's products, changes in competition, the effects of movements in interest rates or exchange rates, the pricing of parts supplied and other risks and uncertainties not identified at the time this document was prepared. The forward-looking statements made in this document will not be updated. 34