June 2016 Investor Presentation

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Transcription:

June 2016 Investor Presentation

CABOT OIL & GAS OVERVIEW 2015 Production: 602.5 Bcfe (13% growth) 2015 Year-End Proved Reserves: 8.2 Tcfe (11% growth) 2016E Drilling Activity: ~30 net wells 2016E Production Growth: 2% - 7% Eagle Ford Shale ~85,500 net acres ~1,300 locations No Rigs Currently Running 2015 Drilling Activity: 49 net wells 2016E Drilling Activity: ~6 net wells Marcellus Shale ~200,000 net acres ~3,450 locations Current Rig Count: 1 2015 Drilling Activity: 83 net wells 2016E Drilling Activity: ~24 net wells 2

KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Extensive Inventory of Low-Risk, High-Quality Drilling Opportunities Peer-leading EUR per lateral foot in the Marcellus Shale Recently increased Marcellus EUR per 1,000 feet guidance from 3.6 Bcf to 3.8 Bcf Recent downspacing tests resulted in a 15% increase in Marcellus location count to ~3,450 locations Disciplined Capital Spending Driving Production and Reserve Growth 2016 capital spending guidance of $325 million, a 58% reduction year-over-year 2016 production growth guidance of 2% - 7% despite the significant reduction in spending 2015 reserve growth of 11% despite reduced activity levels and lower price realizations 2015 total company all-sources finding costs of $0.57 per Mcfe Low Cost Structure 2015 Marcellus-only all-sources finding costs of $0.31 per Mcf Q1 2016 total company cash costs 1 of $1.18 per Mcfe Q1 2016 Marcellus-only cash costs 1 of $0.79 per Mcf (direct LOE of $0.03 per Mcf) Focused on Maintaining a Strong Financial Position Conservative leverage position: Net debt / LTM EBITDAX 2 of 1.6x as of 3/31/2016 Financial flexibility: Undrawn $1.6 billion credit facility and $579 million of cash as of 3/31/2016 1 Excludes DD&A, exploratory dry hole cost, stock-based compensation and amortization of debt issuance costs 2 EBITDAX is a non-gaap measure defined as net income plus interest expense, income tax expense, depreciation, depletion and amortization, exploration expense, gains and losses resulting from the sale of assets, non-cash gains and losses on derivative instruments, and stock-based compensation expense and other 3

2016 CAPITAL BUDGET AND OPERATING PLAN CONTINUED FOCUS ON CAPITAL EFFICIENCY 2016E Capital Program: $325 mm (excludes $30 - $35 mm of equity method investments) Land 5% Other 3% 133 Net Wells Drilled ~30 FY 2015 FY 2016E 102 Net Wells Completed Drilling, Completion and Facilities 92% 2016E D&C Capital 1 : $300 mm FY 2015 ~55 FY 2016E Eagle Ford 30% ~5,900 Average Lateral Lengths (Ft.) FY 2015 FY 2016E ~7,000 ~7,400 ~9,500 Marcellus 70% Marcellus Eagle Ford 1 Includes facilities and pumping units 4

PROVEN TRACK RECORD OF PRODUCTION AND RESERVE GROWTH Annual Production (Bcfe) Bcfe 700 600 500 400 300 200 413.6 28.6% 531.8 13.3% 602.5 2016 Guidance: 2% - 7% Liquids Gas 100 0 2013 2014 2015 2016E Year-End Proved Reserves (Tcfe) Tcfe 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.4 8.2 5.5 10.7% 35.7% 2013 2014 2015 Liquids Gas 5

WHILE MAINTAINING A CONSERVATIVE BALANCE SHEET Net Debt to LTM EBITDAX 1 1.6x 1.3x 1.2x 0.9x YE 2012 YE 2013 YE 2014 Q1 2016 1 EBITDAX is a non-gaap measure defined as net income plus interest expense, income tax expense, depreciation, depletion and amortization, exploration expense, gains and losses resulting from the sale of assets, non-cash gains and losses on derivative instruments, and stock-based compensation expense and other 6

INDUSTRY-LEADING COST STRUCTURE Operating Transportation¹ Taxes O/T Income Cash G&A² Financing Exploration³ $2.00 $1.88 $1.74 Cash Unit Costs ($/Mcfe) $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $1.31 $1.30 $1.30 $1.18 $0.00 3-Year F&D Costs: Total Company ($/Mcfe) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 $1.30 $1.02 $0.76 $0.68 $0.62 3-Year F&D Costs: Marcellus Only ($/Mcfe) $0.65 $0.56 $0.48 $0.43 $0.39 1 Includes all demand charges and gathering fees 2 Excludes stock-based compensation 3 Excludes dry hole cost 7

MARCELLUS SHALE

CABOT S MARCELLUS SHALE SUMMARY ~200,000 net acres Operated rig count: 1 2015 activity: 83 net wells drilled / 58 net wells completed Marcellus Planned Lateral Lengths (Ft.) ~7,000 ~5,900 ~5,300 2016E activity: ~24 net wells drilled / ~40 net wells completed Cabot s reduction in drilling and completion activity in 2016 is predicated on lower anticipated natural gas price realizations throughout Appalachia as we await the in-service of new takeaway capacity FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016E Cabot s year-end backlog of uncompleted wells allows for reduced capital spending in 2016, while providing flexibility into 2017 Marcellus well costs have declined to $5.7 million for a 7,000 lateral, driven by continued efficiency gains and lower service costs Recently increased EUR per 1,000 guidance from 3.6 Bcf to 3.8 Bcf, further solidifying Cabot s productivity per well as best-inclass across the Marcellus Year-End Drilled Uncompleted Net Wells 63 47 Success of recent downspacing tests between 700 and 800 feet (down from 1,000 feet) has resulted in a 15% increase in location count to ~3,450 net locations Year-End 2015 Year-End 2016E 9

SUCCESSFUL RESULTS FROM CABOT S DOWNSPACING TESTS HAVE RESULTED IN A 15% INCREASE IN MARCELLUS LOCATIONS Comparison of Cabot s 700- to 800-foot spaced wells vs. 1,000-foot spaced type curve 1,000 Cabot s 1,000-foot spaced Lower Marcellus type curve Average of Cabot s 700 to 800-foot downspaced wells Daily Production per Stage (Mcf/d) 800 600 400 200 0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Days 10

CABOT OIL & GAS CONTINUES TO DRILL THE MOST PROLIFIC WELLS IN THE MARCELLUS SHALE Top 100 Marcellus Wells By Operator 1 Percentage of Operator s Total Wells in Top 100 Peer E 3 Peer D 4 Peer F 3 Peer G 1 Peer H 1 Peer I 1 Cabot Peer E Peer D 4% 6% 21% Peer C 6 Peer I 4% Peer B 6 Peer A 3% Peer H 1% Peer A 7 Peer F 1% Cabot 68 Peer C Peer B 1% <1% Peer G <1% Includes content supplied by IHS Global, Inc.; copyright IHS Global, Inc., 2016, All Rights Reserved. Includes all horizontal / directional Marcellus wells in Pennsylvania and West Virginia with a production start date from January 2012 to December 2015 1 As measured by max 30-day rate Note: Peers include Antero Resources, Chesapeake Energy, Chief Oil & Gas, EQT, PGE, Range Resources, Rice Energy, Vantage Energy and Warren Resources 11

CABOT HAS 17 OF THE TOP 20 WELLS DRILLED IN PENNSYLVANIA SINCE 2012 Cumulative Natural Gas Production (Bcf) 17.0 14.1 13.8 13.6 12.7 12.5 12.3 11.9 11.5 10.8 10.8 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.1 10.0 10.0 Source: PA DEP Oil & Gas Reporting Website; production data through March 2016. Includes all wells drilled on or after 1/1/2012 12

PEER-LEADING EUR AND WELL COSTS IN THE MARCELLUS SHALE EUR / 1,000 of Lateral (Bcf) 3.8 3.0 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 Cabot Peer A Peer B Peer C Peer D Well Cost / 1,000 of Lateral ($000s) $814 $819 $900 $925 $944 Cabot Peer A Peer D Peer C Peer B Peer data from current investor presentations as of June 14, 2016. Peer group includes AR, EQT, RICE, and RRC. Cabot well costs based on a $5.7mm leading-edge well cost and a 7,000 lateral length; well costs includes facilities. 13

CABOT S MARCELLUS DRILLING EFFICIENCIES Marcellus Drilling Days (Spud to TD) 1 16.9 14.3 13.6 12.8 12.4 10.5 9.4 9.4 6.0 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Record 1 Normalized to a 5,000 lateral length 14

ACTIVITY LEVELS IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA ARE DECLINING RAPIDLY Northeast Pennsylvania Horizontal Rig Count 1 Northeast Pennsylvania Wells Completed 2 17 107 11 10 9 68 67 5 3 31 30 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Current Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Source: 1 Baker Hughes North America Rotary Rig Count as of June 10, 2016; 2 FracFocus Chemical Disclosure Registry as of May 18, 2016 Note: Northeast Pennsylvania includes Bradford, Lycoming, Sullivan, Susquehanna, Tioga and Wyoming counties 15

CABOT HAS THE ABILITY TO DOUBLE ITS MARCELLUS PRODUCTION OVER TIME BASED ON ITS PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED FIRM TRANSPORT AND FIRM SALES ADDITIONS 500 Mmcf/d 850 Mmcf/d 135 Mmcf/d 165 Mmcf/d 150 Mmcf/d ~1.8 Bcf/d 3.1 3.0 Based on previously 2.7 announced takeaway 2.8 projects; does not include any potential future capacity on projects that have yet to be announced 1.8 The pace at which new takeaway capacity will be filled with incremental production volumes (as opposed to rerouting existing production) will ultimately be dependent on realized prices and the corresponding economics / returns at those prices ~3.6 Bcf/d Q2 2016 Gross Marcellus Production Guidance Midpoint Atlantic Sunrise (2H 2017) TGP Orion (Q2 2018) Moxie Freedom Power Plant (Q2 2018) PennEast (2H 2018) Constitution Pipeline (2H 2018) Potential Future Production Capacity 16

EAGLE FORD SHALE

CABOT S EAGLE FORD SHALE SUMMARY ~85,500 net acres Eagle Ford Lateral Lengths (Ft.) Buckhorn: ~75,000 net acres Presidio: ~10,500 net acres ~7,300 ~7,400 ~9,500 No rigs currently operating 2015 activity: 49 net wells drilled / 44 net wells completed 2016E activity: ~6 net wells drilled / ~15 net wells completed 2016 activity levels are predicated on meeting all mandatory near-term drilling / operating commitments necessary to maintain current leasehold position FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016E Year-End Drilled Uncompleted Net Wells Anticipate 14 wells in backlog at year-end 2016 23 Flexibility to accelerate completion capital if prices warrant in 2016 14 Gross Eagle Ford locations: ~1,300 locations Year-End 2015 Year-End 2016E 18

CABOT S EAGLE FORD DRILLING EFFICIENCIES Eagle Ford Drilling Days (Spud to TD) 1 15.0 12.5 11.4 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.2 8.0 6.2 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Record Eagle Ford Drilling Costs ($ / Lateral Foot) $419 $370 $400 $344 $296 $280 $232 $205 $181 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Record 1 Normalized to a 7,700 lateral length 19

Thank you The statements regarding future financial performance and results and the other statements which are not historical facts contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, market factors, the market price of natural gas and oil, results of future drilling and marketing activity, future production and costs, and other factors detailed in the Company s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. 20