GOAL 6 FIRMS PARTICIPATING IN FOREIGN EXPORT TRADE

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GOAL 6 FIRMS PARTICIPATING IN FOREIGN EXPORT TRADE By 2028, New Brunswick will have at least 1,080 firms participating in foreign export trade. Status: NOT PROGRESSING Current Situation As outlined in OneNS, Nova Scotia has set a goal to increase the number of firms participating in international export trade by 50% of its 2012 total. If New Brunswick adopts a similar strategy and uses 2014 as a baseline year, the province would aim to increase the number of firms from 718 (the 2014 total) to 1,080 by 2028. The suggested 2014 baseline (718 firms) reflects the lowest number of New Brunswick firms participating in foreign export trade this decade. More recently, the province saw an increase from 728 firms in 2016 to 775 in 20, even though the total dollar value of New Brunswick exports has been decreasing since 2012. Despite this progress, the number of exporting firms has only fluctuated slightly since 2010, and there is no indication whether 2018 will see yet another increase. Currently, New Brunswick is not on track to meet the suggested target of 1,080 firms participating in foreign export trade by the year 2028. Figure 1: New Brunswick Firms Participating in Export Trade (2010-20) Year Participants 2010 766 2011 760 2012 765 2013 735 2014 718 2015 735 2016 728 20 775 Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0104-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0079)

What This Means Over the last decade, there has been little variation in the number of New Brunswick businesses participating in foreign markets. The province has not seen any clear, long-term upward or downward trends between 2012 and 20, during which time amounts fluctuated only slightly. Although there was a significant jump in the number of firms between 2016 and 20, it is too soon to tell whether this could be the beginning of an upward trend. DEEP DIVE The majority of New Brunswick establishments involved in international export fall into the production categories of manufacturing and agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting, as well as service industries, such as wholesale trade. Figure 2: Exporting Establishments (NB), by Industry (2014, 20) Other services (except public administration) Arts, entertainment, and recreation Health care and social assistance Administrative and support, waste management, and Management of companies and enterprises Professional, scientific, and technical services Real estate and rental and leasing Finance and insurance Information and cultural industries Transportation and warehousing Retail trade Wholesale trade Manufacturing Construction Utilities Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting 2014 20 10 19 5 6 0 3 16 16 13 24 9 12 5 5 29 27 42 71 158 145 267 285 27 7 18 18 93 88 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Industry Number of Exporting Firms (2014) Number of Exporting Firms (20) Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting 93 88 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 18 18 Utilities 7 7 Construction 27 Manufacturing 267 285 Wholesale trade 158 145 Retail trade 42 71

Transportation and warehousing 29 27 Information and cultural industries 5 5 Finance and insurance 5 5 Real estate and rental and leasing 9 12 Professional, scientific, and technical services 24 Management of companies and enterprises 16 13 Administrative and support, waste 16 management, and remediation services Educational services* - - Health care and social assistance* - 3 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 5 6 Accommodation and food services* - - Other services (except public administration) 10 19 Public administration* - - *Statistics Canada has deemed the number of certain establishments unreliable; therefore, many have been omitted. **The total number of exporting establishments does not equal the sum of all establishments from each industry, as certain counts have been omitted. Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0098-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0077) The manufacturing industry accounted for 90% of the value of New Brunswick s merchandise exports in 20, bringing in $39.6 million dollars and producing the largest value per exporting establishment in the province. After manufacturing, the largest value of exports per establishment came from the utilities industry, which produced $19.7 million. However, the high value per establishment in the utilities industry is due to the small number of firms sharing the large profit. Altogether, manufacturing, wholesale trade, and utilities were responsible for 96% of the value of New Brunswick's exports in 20, and they represent over half of the province's exporting establishments. Figure 3: Value of Exports per Establishment (NB), by Sector (20) Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing Information and cultural industries Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, and technical services Management of companies and enterprises Administrative and support, waste management, and Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Other services (except public administration) $1,088,432 $6,050,667 $230,556 $4,031,593 $375,930 $2,529,074 $274,400 $1,864,200 $399,250 $725,500 $99,941 $11,667 $99,667 $312,684 $13,328,231 $19,707,429 $39,564,589 $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000

Industry Value (CAD 20) Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting $ 1,088,432 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction $ 6,050,667 Utilities $ 19,707,429 Construction $ 230,556 Manufacturing $ 39,564,589 Wholesale trade $ 4,031,593 Retail trade $ 375,930 Transportation and warehousing $ 2,529,074 Information and cultural industries $ 274,400 Finance and insurance $ 1,864,200 Real estate and rental and leasing $ 399,250 Professional, scientific, and technical services $ 725,500 Management of companies and enterprises $ 13,328,231 Administrative and support, waste management, and remediation services $ 99,941 Educational services* $ - Health care and social assistance $ 11,667 Arts, entertainment, and recreation $ 99,667 Accommodation and food services* $ - Other services (except public administration) $ 312,684 Public administration* $ - *Statistics Canada has deemed the number of certain establishments unreliable; therefore, value per establishment has been omitted. Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0098-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0077) Within the manufacturing sector, food manufacturing firms comprised the largest number of establishments exporting merchandise from New Brunswick in 20. This follows a regional trend, as Nova Scotia's food manufacturing establishments also make up the bulk of the province's export businesses. Figure 4: Manufacturing Export Establishments (NB), by Sub-Sector (20) Food manufacturing Beverage and tobacco products manufacturing Textile product mills Clothing manufacturing Wood product manufacturing Paper manufacturing Printing and related support activities Chemical manufacturing Plastics and rubber products manufacturing Non-metallic mineral product manufacturing Fabricated metal product manufacturing Machinery manufacturing Computer and electronic products manufacturing Transportation equipment manufacturing Furniture and related products manufacturing Miscellaneous manufacturing 3 3 3 6 7 6 6 8 13 21 23 31 48 64 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Manufacturing Sub-Sector Number of Establishments Food manufacturing 64 Beverage and tobacco products manufacturing 3 Textile mills* - Textile product mills 6 Clothing manufacturing 3 Leather and allied products manufacturing* - Wood product manufacturing 48 Paper manufacturing Printing and related support activities 3 Petroleum and coal products manufacturing* - Chemical manufacturing 7 Plastics and rubber products manufacturing 23 Non-metallic mineral product manufacturing 6 Primary metal manufacturing* - Fabricated metal product manufacturing 31 Machinery manufacturing 21 Computer and electronic products manufacturing 6 Electrical equipment, appliance, and component manufacturing* - Transportation equipment manufacturing 8 Furniture and related products manufacturing 13 Miscellaneous manufacturing *Statistics Canada deemed the data on certain exporting establishments unreliable; therefore, it has been omitted for the sub-sector. Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0098-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0077) Within the manufacturing sub-sector of foreign export businesses, the food and paper manufacturing industries had the highest value of exports per establishment within the New Brunswick in 20. It might have been expected that food manufacturing (which has the largest number of establishments) would provide a large percentage of the province's export value. However, the export values of the paper manufacturing industry are surprisingly above average. While the 64 food manufacturing firms in New Brunswick made $24.2 million in 20, the paper manufacturing firms brought in $68.7 million.

Figure 5: Value of Exports per Establishment (NB), by Manufacturing Sub-Sector (20) Miscellaneous Manufacturing Furniture and Related Products Manufacturing Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Computer and Electronic Products Manufacturing Machinery Manufacturing Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Non-Metallic Mineral Products Manufacturing Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing Chemical Manufacturing Printing and Related Support Activities Paper Manufacturing Wood Product Manufacturing Clothing Manufacturing Textile Product Mills Beverage and Tobacco Products Manufacturing Food Manufacturing $3,262,647 $407,692 $682,625 $6,570,167 $4,270,238 $253,710 $3,362,667 $2,647,478 $2,806,429 $34,667 $,878,354 $261,333 $286,167 $269,000 $24,248,234 $68,655,706 $- $20,000,000.00 $40,000,000.00 $60,000,000.00 $80,000,000.00 Manufacturing Sub-Sector Value of Exports per Establishment (CAD 20) Food manufacturing $ 24,248,234 Beverage and tobacco products manufacturing $ 269,000 Textile mills - Textile product mills $ 286,167 Clothing manufacturing $ 261,333 Leather and allied products manufacturing - Wood product manufacturing $,878,354 Paper manufacturing $ 68,655,706 Printing and related support activities $ 34,667 Petroleum and coal products manufacturing - Chemical manufacturing $ 2,806,429 Plastics and rubber products manufacturing $ 2,647,478 Non-metallic mineral product manufacturing $ 3,362,667 Primary metal manufacturing - Fabricated metal product manufacturing $ 2,053,710 Machinery manufacturing $ 4,270,238 Computer and electronic products manufacturing $ 6,570,167 Electrical equipment, appliance, and component - manufacturing* Transportation equipment manufacturing $ 6,082,625 Furniture and related products manufacturing $ 407,692 Miscellaneous manufacturing $ 3,262,647 Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0098-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0077) *Statistics Canada deemed the data on certain exporting establishments unreliable; therefore, it has been omitted for the sub-sector.

Of the 775 New Brunswick businesses participating in international trade in 2016, over 78% of them exported to only one country. However, the establishments that diversified their partnerships and shipped to multiple countries produced more value. The 4 establishments that exported merchandise to two or more partner countries produced 80% of New Brunswick's $12 million export value, despite making up only 22% of the province's export establishments. These numbers suggest the economic advantage of exporting to multiple locations and participating in international trade, as both factors have the potential to assist the growth of the province's GDP and its international trade balance. Figure 6: Exporting Establishments (NB), by Receiving Countries (20) 4 1 partner country 2 or more partner countries 601 Group Number of Establishments Value of Exports (CAD 20) Share of Firms 1 partner country 601 $ 2,506,042,000 78% 2 or more partner countries 4 $ 10,012,829,000 22% Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0103-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0078)

Figure 7: Value per Establishment (NB), by Number of Partner Countries (20) $60,000,000 $50,000,000 $57,544,994 $40,000,000 $30,000,000 $20,000,000 $10,000,000 $- $4,169,787 1 partner country 2 or more partner countries Group Value per Establishment (CAD 20) 1 partner country $ 4,169,787.02 2 or more partner countries $ 57,544,994.25 Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0103-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0078) The primary destination for New Brunswick's exports is the United States. In 20, the United States received 97% of all the province's international merchandise exports, with products coming from 673 New Brunswick establishments. This is a large increase from the 624 firms that were exporting to the United States only a year earlier (in 2016). Exports to the United States also have the largest value per establishment: in 20, they were worth $16 million. Figure 8: New Brunswick s 10 Largest Export Destinations (20) 97% 3% United States China Japan France Netherlands 0% Mexico 0% 0% 0% 0% Australia 0% United Arab Emirates New Zealand Saudi Arabia Brazil South Africa Argentina

Trading Partner Value of Exports Number of Establishments Value Per Exporting Establishment (CAD 20) United States $11,377,163,000 673 $16,905,146 China $143,497,000 50 $2,869,940 Japan $112,629,000 33 $3,413,000 France $31,440,000 40 $786,000 Netherlands $30,610,000 19 $1,611,053 Mexico $25,401,000 19 $1,336,895 Australia $10,378,000 25 $415,120 United Arab Emirates $5,889,000 16 $368,063 New Zealand $5,058,000 16 $316,125 Saudi Arabia $3,405,000 10 $340,500 Brazil $1,474,000 11 $134,000 South Africa $1,460,000 14 $104,286 Argentina $222,000 5 $44,400 Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-10-0104-01 (formerly CANSIM 228-0079) *Note that the sum of the exporting establishments column exceeds the provincial total of 775. This is because some establishments export to two or more countries. Changes to the Indicator, Baseline or Target: The suggested goal of 1,080 foreign export firms in New Brunswick mirrors the strategy used by OneNS. The OneNS website based its numerical target for Nova Scotian firms participating in international export trade on the province's lowest 6-year participant count (930 firms in 2012). The baseline for New Brunswick's goal (718 firms in 2014) has been rounded slightly to produce an even-numbered target. The strategy for determining value per exporting establishment was also taken from OneNS. Value per exporting establishment was calculated by dividing an industry's total export value by the number of participating firms within that industry. Certain manufacturing sub-sectors were not assigned values per exporting establishment because Statistics Canada deemed the data on certain establishments to be unreliable.