The TPP Agreement: An Opportunity for Vermont. Trade & Investment with TPP Countries Is Good for Vermont. Jobs Exports Investment

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Overview The Trans- Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement will strengthen trade and investment relationships between the United States and 11 other countries in the Asia- Pacific region. The TPP will help expand existing trade between Vermont and six current U.S. free trade agreement (FTA) partners, which will support economic growth and jobs in Vermont. (Opportunity #1, Page 3) The TPP will also open new markets for Vermont with five Asia- Pacific countries that are not current U.S. FTA partners, benefiting a variety of Vermont businesses, farmers, and workers. (Opportunity #2, Page 4) In addition, the TPP will help increase investment ties between Vermont and all TPP countries, supporting economic growth and jobs in Vermont. (Opportunity #3, Page 5) What Is the TPP? The United States and 11 other countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam) have completed the Trans- Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement, which will support economic growth and jobs by removing trade barriers for goods and services, improving intellectual property protection, and creating new 21 st century trade rules. The TPP will help increase U.S. trade and investment ties with these countries, which have a combined population of 490 million people and account for about 14 percent of global trade. 1 For additional information on the TPP negotiations, please see http://businessroundtable.org/resources/trans- pacific- partnership- overview. Trade & Investment with TPP Countries Is Good for Vermont Vermont has important trade and investment ties with TPP countries. In 2014, U.S. trade exports and imports of goods and services with TPP countries supported an estimated 36,500 jobs in the state. 2 Vermont exported $2.2 billion worth of goods to TPP countries in 2014. The TPP will help build on these trade and investment relationships and support the Vermont jobs that depend on them. Jobs Exports Investment 36,500 61% 60 Number of Vermont Jobs Supported by Trade with TPP Countries Share of Vermont Goods Exports Bound for TPP Countries Number of TPP Companies with Investments in Vermont 1

Vermont Goods & Services Exports to TPP Countries, 2014 Existing FTA Partner New FTA Partner Canada $1.7 Billion Japan $177 Million Mexico $269 Million Peru* $4 Million Chile $8 Million Malaysia $201 Million Singapore $86 Million Australia $42 Million Vietnam* $2 Million Brunei* $74,000 *No services export data are available for Brunei, Peru, and Vietnam. Totals for these countries reflect only goods exports. New Zealand $7 Million 2

Opportunity #1: Expand Trade between Vermont and Existing FTA Partners The TPP agreement will provide Vermont with an opportunity to increase its goods and services trade with several current U.S. FTA partners and ensure that such trade remains rules- based, open, and competitive. Of the 11 TPP countries, six (Australia, Canada, Chile, Mexico, Peru, and Singapore) are current U.S. FTA partners and generate substantial trade in both goods and services: Vermont exported $1.9 billion worth of goods (e.g., semiconductors and components, dairy products, and computer equipment) to these six countries in 2014 accounting for roughly 52 percent of Vermont's goods exports globally. 3 Vermont exported $204 million worth of services (e.g., travel services, management and consulting services, and insurance services) to these six countries in 2014 accounting for roughly 21 percent of Vermont's services exports globally. 4 Vermont Goods Exports to TPP Countries that Are Existing U.S. FTA Partners $2.5 BILLION $2.0 $1.5 $1.0 $0.5 $0.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Vermont Services Exports to TPP Countries that Are Existing U.S. FTA Partners $250 MILLION $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 Vermont's goods exports to these countries have fluctuated since 2006. Vermont's services exports to these countries have increased by 55% since 2006. 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 The TPP agreement will help support this trade and ensure that it is subject to 21 st century trade rules. Specifically, the TPP provides an opportunity to grow these goods and services exports still further and to address a range of important barriers that continue to impede exports to these countries. The TPP agreement also will help Vermont manufacturers buy the inputs they need to produce competitive products. Currently, roughly 64 percent of all U.S. imports from TPP countries consist of raw materials, components, machinery, and other goods used to grow crops or make products in the United States. 5 For example, Canada and Mexico play key roles in global supply chains. A significant share of the value of U.S. imports from Canada and Mexico (74 percent and 59 percent, respectively) is used as intermediate inputs for making finished U.S. products. 6 The TPP will help to support these global supply chains and facilitate further trade with current bilateral FTA partners. 3

Opportunity #2: Open New Markets in Countries that Are Not Current FTA Partners The TPP will also provide Vermont with an opportunity to open new markets for its goods and services in countries that are not current U.S. FTA partners. Of the 11 TPP countries, five (Brunei, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Vietnam) are not current U.S. FTA partners. With a combined population of 253 million people and a combined economy of $5.3 trillion, 7 these new FTA TPP countries have the potential to be vibrant new markets for Vermont exports. Vermont has good trade ties with several of these countries. Vermont exported $314 million in goods and $73 million in services in 2014 to the new FTA TPP countries. 8 However, Vermont producers currently face steep tariffs and other barriers to certain exports to these countries. The TPP provides an avenue for removing these barriers and increasing Vermont exports. Current Tariffs on Selected Top Vermont Exports to New FTA TPP Countries Export Market Product Tariff Rate Tariff Elimination Malaysia Copper cables 25.0% Within 6 years Vietnam Infant formula and other food preparations Up to 20.0% Within 4 years Japan Wool socks 5.3% Immediately New Zealand Sporting goods 5.0% Immediately Japan Insulated ignition wiring sets Up to 4.8% Immediately Source: TPP Full Text, accessed through USTR.gov In addition, the TPP could expand the number of Vermont producers who benefit from trade because the new FTA TPP countries tend to buy a diverse mix of products. Vermont Goods Exports to New FTA TPP Countries by Industry, 2014 Percent of Total ($314 million) Semiconductors & Components 85% ($266 M) Computer Equipment 3% ($9.2 M) Navigational & Meas. Instruments 2% ($7.4 M) Household Appliances 2% ($5.4 M) Other 8% ($27 M) 4

Opportunity #3: Strengthen Investment Ties between Vermont & All TPP Countries The TPP agreement will help strengthen investment ties between Vermont and all 11 TPP countries. Companies headquartered in TPP countries have already invested more than $720 billion in the United States and employ nearly 1.6 million Americans. 9 About 60 Vermont businesses are subsidiaries of companies based in TPP countries serving as an important source of business investment and job creation in the state. 10 For instance, Canadian and Japanese companies alone employed approximately 3,200 employees in Vermont in 2013. 11 By removing barriers and strengthening partnerships, the TPP will encourage companies based in TPP countries to increase their business investment in Vermont, supporting economic growth and jobs throughout the state. Selected Vermont Companies with Existing Trade & Investment Ties to TPP Countries Imported from TPP Partner Exported to TPP Partner Foreign Direct Investment by TPP Partner Green Mountain Power Corporation (Colchester) is a subsidiary of a Canadian energy company. Nutrilinx LLC (Hardwick) has imported enzymes and fat powders from Malaysia. The Burton Corporation (Burlington) has imported branded bags from Vietnam. New England Woodcraft (Forest Dale) has exported furniture to Japan. NSK Steering Systems America (Bennington) is a subsidiary of a Japanese automotive parts manufacturer. Ibex Outdoor Clothing (White River Junction) has imported wool fabrics from New Zealand. JBL Foods (Manchester Center) has imported apple juice concentrate from New Zealand. TD Bank (Brattleboro and numerous other locations) is a subsidiary of a Canadian financial services provider. Source: Panjiva; Uniworld BP 5

Endnotes 1 World Trade Organization s 2015 Trade Profiles. 2 Trade Partnership Worldwide, LLC, Trade and American Jobs, The Impact of Trade on U.S. and State- Level Employment: 2016 Update. 3 The Trade Partnership derived from U.S. government and private industry data. 4 The Trade Partnership derived from U.S. government and private industry data. Note: services export data are not available for all TPP countries. 5 The Trade Partnership derived from Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau data. 6 The Trade Partnership derived from Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau data. 7 World Trade Organization s 2015 Trade Profiles. 8 The Trade Partnership derived from U.S. government and private industry data. Note: services export data are not available for all TPP countries. 9 U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10 Uniworld BP, Directory of Foreign Investment in the United States. 11 U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Contact: David Thomas, Business Roundtable, 202-496- 3262, dthomas@brt.org 6