Highveld Steel and Vanadium. Annual Results 31 December 2009

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Transcription:

Highveld Steel and Vanadium Corporation Limited Annual Results 31 December 2009

Disclaimer 2 Forward looking statements This document may contain forward looking information and statements about Highveld Steel and Vanadium Corporation Limited (Highveld) and its subsidiaries. These statements may include financial projections and estimates and underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future performance. These forward looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this presentation. Highveld s management believes that the expectations reflected in such forwarded looking statements are reasonable; however, neither the Corporation nor any of its affiliates, advisors, or representatives accept any responsibility for any loss arising from the use of any opinion expressed or forecast or data herein. Highveld undertakes no obligation to publicly update its forward looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Reliance of third party information The views expressed here contain information that has been derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Highveld. No offer of securities This presentation should not be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell Highveld securities. Financial information Highveld s results are reported under International Financial Reporting Standards(IFRS).

Contents 3 Introduction and overview Financial results Operational results -Global trends - Sales, price trends, production - Key strategic focus Chief Executive Officer Financial Director Chief Executive Officer Summary Chief Executive Officer

Introduction and overview 4 Scott MacDonald Chief Executive Officer

Introduction 5 Second largest steel producer in South Africa One of the leading producers in the global vanadium market 85% owned by Evraz Primary listing on the JSE -share code HVL Sponsored Level 1 ADR Programmetraded under the symbol HGVLY EBITDA of R438 m in 2009 Net asset value (NAV) per share improved by 8%

Highveld operation 6 Highveld Mapochs Mine Steelworks Hochvanadium Opencast Mining Iron Making Steel Making Strip Mining Crushing Washing and Screening Mined Lumpy Ore Pre- Reduction Kilns Submerged Arc Furnace / OSB Shaking Ladle BOF Ladle Furnace Casters Mills Vanadium Slag Vertically integrated operation Globally one of the richest vanadium-bearing titaniferous ore reserves Proven reserves = 30,3 mt LOM = 30 years New order mining rights application submitted BEE transaction 26% shareholding to BEE partner and community trust Unique manufacturing process for vanadium extraction

Evraz s global business 7 In 2008, Evraz produced 17.7 million tons of crude steel, 13.3 million tons of pig iron and 16.1 million tons of rolled products. 2008 consolidated revenue amounted to $20.4 billion. Consolidated net profit after tax amounted to $1.7 billion. By the end of 2008 the number of employees totalled approximately 134,000 people.

Financial results 8 Bernie de Beer Financial Director

2009 Group financial summary 9 Rm 2009 2008 Change Revenue * 4 252 8 022 (47%) EBITDA 438 3 321 (87%) EBITDA margin 10% 41% Headline earnings 167 2 572 (94%) NAV per share (cents) 3 101 2 866 8% Cash and Cash equivalents ** 1 074 1 601 (33%) Steel sales ( 000 tons) 581 668 (13%) Vanadium slag sales (tons V) 454 1 313 (65%) Ferrovanadium sales (tons V) 4 884 5 195 (6%) * Excludes discontinued operations ** As of the end of the period

Financial highlights 2009 10 Group Revenue and EBITDA (Rm) Group revenue decreased by 47% vs. 2008 and EBITDA decreased by 87% vs. 2008 - Reduced global demand - Decrease in average prices -Change in product mix Group revenue increased by 33% 1Q09 vs. 4Q09 Energy costs a focus area Rationalisation in 2009 should yield sustainable future benefits No dividend payments 1697 587 2218 2461 1050 1010 1646 674 926 978 178 4 1114 1234 111 145 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 Revenue Group revenue +33% EBITDA Steel Operations Cost Distribution 13.4% 16.2% 17.1% 17.1% 16.8% 13.1% 13.7% 14.0% 12.5% 14.0% 27.2% 24.0% 2008 2009 Raw materials Energy Auxiliary Materials Services Staff costs Selling, Admin and Other

11 Highveld Steelworks EBITDA : 2009 vs. 2008 (R'000s) 2500000 2,355,638 2000000 616,543 1500000 658,295 1000000 706,970 534,144 43,975 132,971 66,921 95,442 14,628 358,946 500000 20,981 43,682 110,442 43,355 5,580 13,463 22,910 550 269,555 0

Group operating costs 12 Rm 2009 2008 Change Raw materials 790 1 083 (27%) Energy 530 487 9% Auxiliary materials 496 533 (7)% Services 1 127 1 991 (43%) Staff costs 790 890 (11%) Selling, administration and other 467 295 58% Depreciation 232 240 (3%)

Cash flow 13 Rm 2009 2008 Change Cash generated from operations 35 3 849 (99%) Net interest and investment income 69 145 (52%) Taxation paid (565) (530) 7% CAPEX (196) (543) (64%) Proceeds from sale of discontinued 164 1055 (84%) operations Dividends and short-term loans 2 (3 156) (100%) Sub-total (491) 820 Effect of foreign exchange rate changes on cash (36) 13 Net cash flow (527) 833 (163%) Cash and Cash equivalents 1 074 1 601 (33%)

Financial ratios 14 Rm 2009 2008 Change Return on Capital Employed (ROCE%) 5.1% 103.1% (95%) Current ratio 2.71 1.93 40% Quick ratio 1.61 1.45 11% Net cash to shareholders equity 34.9% 54.3% (36%) Total liabilities to shareholders equity 59.3% 81.0% 27%

Share price performance 15 200 180 Commodities boom 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 Price reduced by 64% in four week period Global economic downturn - credit crunch - 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Operational results 16

Global trends 17 Key drivers of steel are GDP growth and construction, fabrication, engineering shipbuilding, transport, automotive and engineering industries steel consumption growth Key drivers of vanadium are GDP growth and steel consumption growth 2010 global GDP growth forecast - 2.7% (Source: World Bank) 2010 emerging economies GDP growth forecast 5.2% (Source: World Bank) 2010 BRIC GDP growth (Source: Goldman Sachs) Brazil 5.8% Russia 5.8% India 8.2% China 11.4% Global apparent steel consumption estimated 9,2% -1.206 m tons (Source: Worldsteel Association) Global steel output predicted to rise 4 10% (Source: Steel Times International) GDP growth for top 10 crude steel consuming countries (Source: CIA Factbook) Country 2009 estimate China 9.0% United States -2.4% Japan -5.7% South Korea -9.8% India 6,1% Russia -7.9% Brazil 0.1% Turkey -5.8% Mexico -1.1% Iran 2.6% South Africa 1,9%

Global steel consumption trends 18 Top 10 apparent steel use countries (million tons) (Source: Worldsteel Association) 426 404 98 62 76 61 59 50 53 54 35 28 24 21 21 16 17 15 16 17 China United States Japan South Korea India Russia Brazil Turkey Mexico Iran 2008 actual 2009 estimate Global apparent steel use decreased by 14.9% 2009 vs. 2008 China nearing 50% of global consumption Top 5 consuming countries 62% of estimated global consumption in 2009 Top 10 consuming countries - 71% of estimated global consumption in 2009

Global crude steel production trends 19 Global crude steel production (million tons) (Source: Worldsteel Association) 849 851 0.2% 904 6.2% 970 7.3% 1071 10.4% 1144 6.8% 1247 9.0% 1346 1326 7.9% -1.5% 1219-8.1% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2000 2007: 7 years progressive growth in crude steel production 2008 2009: reduced production following global economic downturn 2010: predicted 4 10% increase in steel production due to increased price of scrap, improved trading conditions in the US and inventory restocking

Global crude steel production trends 20 Top 10 crude steel producing countries (million tons) (Source: Worldsteel Association) 500 568 119 88 69 91 60 58 55 57 54 49 46 33 37 30 34 27 31 20 China Japan Russia United States India South Korea Germany Ukraine Brazil Italy 2008 actual 2009 estimate China 47% of global crude steel production in 2009 Top 5 producing countries 68% of estimated global production in 2009 Top 10 producing countries 81% of estimated global production in 2009

21 Highveld steel sales by geographic region 2.1% 2.7% Sales by Geographic Area - 2008 4.8% 3.6% 0.1% 86.7% South Africa Rest of Africa North Am erica Europe Asia Rest of World 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% Sales by Geographic Area - 2009 15.2% 0.2% SA focus market Leading local supplier of heavy structural sections and plate Established niche markets in Europe and North America Focus on African and South American growth markets 76.0% South Africa Rest of Africa North Am erica Europe Asia Rest of World

Highveld steel price trends 22 Highveld steel price trends ($/ton) 30.4% 20.8% (13.4%) 5.0% 36.3% 46.2% 13.2% 6.9% (54.1%) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Global pricing driven by supply demand balance Improved prices in 2010 following improved global demand Increased global commodity prices influencing input costs will drive increased steel product prices

Highveld ferrovanadium price trends 23 Highveld ferrovanadium price trends ($/kgv) 190.9% 68.6% (39.1%) (10.3%) (11.1%) (12.5%) 42.9% 120% (61.0%) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Ferrovanadium pricing adversely influenced by global economic downturn 2010: improved price stability Anticipated future demand to exceed increases in steel consumption due to increased vanadium content in steel used in developing economies

Highveld steel price trends 24 Prices for Highveld Steel Products 2008/09 (Rand/ton) 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 Semi-finished, local Flat-rolled, local Structural, local Semi-finished, export Flat-rolled, export Structural, export

Highveld ferrovanadium price trends 25 $/kg V Prices for Highveld Ferrovanadium 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10-1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 Highveld price LMB Average price

Highveld steel production 26 '000 tons 200 Production of Rolled Products +46% 150 100 84 105 79 61 14 42 55 36 55 68 50 0 78 82 97 74 98 107 64 59 3 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 Semi-finished Flat-rolled Structural High volume of semi-finished product to Asian markets in 1Q09 and 2Q09 to support capacity utilisation Improved market conditions 3Q09 and 4Q09 Current capacity utilisation 95%

Highveld ferrovanadium production 27 7387 7636 Highveld ferrovanadium production (tons) 7828 7285 8754 8565 7572 8679 6782 3.4% (4.6%) 7.4% 11.8% (2.2%) (11.6%) 14.6% (21.9%) 4930 (27.3%) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Key strategic focus areas 28 Environment Energy saving projects Atmospheric emissions - Equipment focus - AQA/APPA working towards compliance - Green Scorpions Mapochs mine integrated water use licence BEE Corporate Governance Competition Commission Enquiry SHQ

Summary 29 50 profitable years of operation Financial focus on cost and working capital management; and CAPEX planning Market focus is on growing markets South Africa, Africa and South America Competitive advantages: Vertically integrated operation Significant global vanadium feedstock producer Reduced reliance on high quality metallurgical coal Access to Evraz: -strategic global infrastructure - global marketing network Highveld is in an excellent position to benefit from the renewing strengths in world commodity markets

30 Thank you Questions

Crude steel production trends 31 China crude steel production (million tons) 2000-2009 129 152 182 222 283 353 419 489 500 568 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 India crude steel production (million tons) 2000-2009 46 49 53 55 57 27 27 29 32 33 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Crude steel production trends 32 South Africa crude steel production (million tons) 2000-2009 8.5 8.8 9.1 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.7 9.1 8.3 7.5 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Highveld production 33 Highveld steel production (tons) 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Continually cast blocks Rolled products Long products Flat products

Highveld production 34 Highveld vanadium slag production ('000 tons) 70.4 73.7 74.4 69.8 67.6 66.8 65.0 65.7 65.7 4.7% 1.0% (6.2%) (3.2%) (1.2%) (2.7%) 1.1% 0.1% 45.3 (31.1%) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009