BP Midstream Partners LP 3Q 2018 Results

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Transcription:

NOVEMBER 14, 2018 BP Midstream Partners LP 3Q 2018 Results Rip Zinsmeister Chief executive officer Craig Coburn Chief financial officer 3Q 2018 RESULTS 1

Cautionary statement FORWARDLOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation includes various forward looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, regarding BP Midstream Partners LP s ( BP Midstream, we, us or our ) strategy, future operations, financial position, estimated revenues and losses, projected costs, prospects, plans and objectives of management are forwardlooking statements. These statements often include the words could, believe, anticipate, intend, estimate, expect, project and similar expressions are intended to identify forwardlooking statements, although not all forwardlooking statements contain such identifying words. These forwardlooking statements are based on BP Midstream's current expectations and assumptions about future events and are based on currently available information as to the outcome and timing of future events. In accordance with safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, these statements are accompanied by cautionary language identifying important factors, though not necessarily all such factors, which could cause future outcomes to differ materially from those set forth in forwardlooking statements. In particular, expressed or implied statements concerning future actions, future drop downs, volumes, capital requirements, conditions or events, future impact of prior acquisitions, future operating results or the ability to generate sales, the potential exposure of BP Midstream to market risks, and statements relating to expected Adjusted EBITDA, future growth, income, cash flow and the amount of distributions are forwardlooking statements. Forwardlooking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Future actions, conditions or events and future results of operations may differ materially from those expressed in these forwardlooking statements. Forwardlooking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation, and we disclaim any obligation to update such statements for any reason, except as required by law. All forwardlooking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this paragraph. Many of the factors that will determine these results are beyond our ability to control or predict. These factors include the risk factors described in BP Midstream s annual report for the year ended December 31, 2017 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC ) on March 22, 2018, as updated by our subsequent filings with the SEC. If any of those risks occur, it could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forwardlooking statement. Because of these risks and uncertainties, you should not place undue reliance on any forwardlooking statement. This presentation has been prepared by BP Midstream and includes market data and other statistical information from sources believed by BP Midstream to be reliable, including independent industry publications, government publications or other published independent sources. Some data are also based on BP Midstream s good faith estimates, which are derived from its review of internal sources as well as the independent sources described above. Although BP Midstream believes these sources are reliable, it has not independently verified the information and cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness. NONGAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES BP Midstream has included the nongaap financial measures Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution based on information in its financial statements. Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution are supplemental financial measures that management and external users of BP Midstream s financial statements, such as industry analysts, investors, lenders and rating agencies may use, to assess: (i) BP Midstream s operating performance as compared to other publicly traded partnerships in the midstream energy industry, without regard to historical cost basis or, in the case of Adjusted EBITDA, financing methods; (ii) the ability of BP Midstream s business to generate sufficient cash to support its decision to make distributions to its unitholders; (iii) BP Midstream s ability to incur and service debt and fund capital expenditures; and (iv) the viability of acquisitions and other capital expenditure projects and the returns on investment of various investment opportunities. BP Midstream believes that the presentation of Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution provides useful information to management and investors in assessing its financial condition and results of operations. The GAAP measures most directly comparable to Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution are net income and net cash provided by operating activities. Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution should not be considered as an alternative to GAAP net income or net cash provided by operating activities, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution have important limitations as analytical tools because they exclude some but not all items that affect net income and net cash provided by operating activities. Adjusted EBITDA or cash available for distribution should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of results as reported under GAAP. Additionally, because Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution may be defined differently by other companies in the industry, BP Midstream s definition of Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies, thereby diminishing its utility. For reconciliations of Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution to their most directly comparable GAAPmeasures, see Supplementary Information. References to pro forma asset portfolio mean our asset portfolio immediately following our initial public offering on October 30, 2017, presented if we owned such assets for full years 2016 and 2017. BP Midstream presents such data on a pro forma basis for illustrative purposes only. The presentation of data on a pro forma basis does not purport to project (and should not be read as projecting) our future performance on a 12month basis or in any other future time period. The Partnership is unable to provide financial guidance for projected net income or net cash provided by operating activities without unreasonable effort, and, therefore, is unable to provide a reconciliation of its Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distributions projections to net income or net cashprovided by operating activities, the most comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. The Partnership has not included a reconciliation of projected cash available for distribution to the nearest GAAP financial measure for 2018 because it cannot do so without unreasonable effort and any attempt to do so would be inherently imprecise. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 2

Agenda Operational results Financial results Financial frame Asset dropdowns Q&A 3Q 2018 RESULTS 3

2018 Asset dropdown 3entities $468 m 9.4 x $140145 m Acquired equity interests Purchase price EBITDA multiple 1 2018 CAFD guidance Dropdown assets 45% interest in Mardi Gras 22.6916% interest in Ursa oil pipeline 25% interest in KM Phoenix refined products terminals JV Purchase price $468 million; effective Oct 1 st, 2018 Immediately accretive Transaction rationale Provides projected embedded organic distribution growth of midteens through 2019 High quality assets Stable, predictable cash flows with wellestablished producers; strategically located; highly integrated with BP Organic growth opportunities with nominal capital spend by the Partnership Balances offshore and onshore cash flows; increases portfolio diversity Financial impact 9.4x EBITDA 1 multiple 100% debt financed Debt to Adjusted EBITDA expected to be within financial frame of <3.5x Increases 2018 full year cash available for distribution guidance to $140145 million 1) Based on estimated 2019 2020 average EBITDA expected to be generated by the dropdown assets. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 4

Operational results 2,000 BP2 Caesar Pipeline Gross Throughput 1 mboed River rouge Cleopatra Diamondback Proteus Mars Endymion 2Q 18 3Q 18 1.50 Pipeline Average Revenue per Barrel 1,2 $ per boe 1,500 1.00 1,000 500 0.50 0 2Q 18 3Q 18 1) Cleopatra gas volumes are converted to mboed by dividing mmscf/d by 5.8. 2) Based on reported revenue from transportation and allowance oil divided by delivered barrels over the same time period. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 5 0.00 Total Wholly Owned Assets Mars Mardi Gras Joint Ventures

Financial results 1 ($ million) 3Q17 2 2Q18 3Q18 3Q18 IPO Forecast Revenue 3 27.0 28.9 32.1 27.7 Costs and expenses 8.4 9.5 11.2 11.3 Operating income Income from equity method investments Other loss (income) Interest expense, net Income tax expense 18.6 0.4 7.4 19.4 20.8 20.9 22.6 16.4 24.1 0.2 Net income 11.6 40.2 43.5 40.3 Less: Predecessor net income prior to the IPO on October 30, 2017 Net income subsequent to the IPO 40.2 43.5 40.3 Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests 9.7 8.3 10.5 Net income attributable to the Partnership 30.5 35.2 29.8 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the Partnership 33.6 37.7 32.3 Cash available for distribution attributable to the Partnership 32.5 34.1 32.9 1) Rounding convention has been modified to ensure key line items sum correctly. 2) Predecessor financials. 3) 3Q18 Revenue includes $3.9 million of deficiency revenue recognized under the throughput and deficiency agreements. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 6

Financial frame 2018 Portfolio post 2018 drop 2019 4 Portfolio post 2018 drop Through 2020 4 Organic and inorganic Pipelines Gross throughput 1 Average revenue per barrel 1,2 Terminals Distribution ~1.5mboed Broadly flat with 2017 3 >$1m ~1.7mboed Broadly flat with 2018 $56m Sufficient to support 56% organic distribution growth Financing costs 3 month LIBOR + 0.85% 5 3 month LIBOR + 0.85% 5 Consistent with 2019 Total ~$9m ~$15m Maintenance 6 Capex (included in Total) Cash available for distribution ~$12m ~$12m Upper end of range $140145m $160170m Consistent with 2019 Sufficient for midteens per unit annual distribution growth Debt 1) Pipeline gross throughput and average revenue/bbl for Mars, Mardi Gras and Ursa joint ventures are presented on a full year 100% basis. 2) Cleopatra gas volumes are converted to mboed by dividing mmscf/d by 5.8. 3) Portfolio basis. Average revenue/bbl for 2017: Wholly owned: $0.73; Mars $1.41; Mardi Gras JV: $0.67. 4) Subject to change with future dropdown activity and capital structure adjustments. Gross Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio not to exceed 3.5 times; target credit metrics consistent with investment grade 5) Calculated on balances outstanding under the Partnership s revolving credit facility. Excludes customary fees, such as a commitment fee of 0.10% and a utilization fee of 0.20%. 6) Total includes maintenance capital expenditure and revex for wholly owned assets and maintenance capital incurred by joint ventures. Capex is a subset of the Total and includes maintenance capital expenditure for wholly owned assets only. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 7

Asset dropdowns Deliver unit holders consistent, toptier distribution growth Organic Growth 5 6% per annum per unit + Inorganic Growth Pipeline throughput increases (i.e. new production from sanctioned projects in GoM 2 ) Business development opportunities 2018 dropdown provides embedded organic distribution growth of midteens through 2019 Minimal or no capital ROFO 1 assets Bottom two layers of dropdown inventory pyramid (i.e. Downstream pipelines & Midstream assets in US fuels & trading business) Assets BP may acquire Strong Sponsor Strategic, highly integrated assets to BP Preinvestment by BP Capital recycling alignment Midteens per unit annual distribution growth through 2020 1) Right of first offer. 2) Gulf of Mexico offshore. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 8

Q&A Rip Zinsmeister Craig Coburn Brian Sullivan Chief Executive Officer Chief Financial Officer Vice President, Investor Relations 3Q 2018 RESULTS 9

BP Midstream Partners LP 3Q 2018 RESULTS Supplementary Information 3Q 2018 RESULTS 10

Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and CAFD to Net Income 1 ($ million) 3Q17 2 2Q18 3Q18 3Q18 IPO Forecast Net income 11.5 40.2 43.5 40.3 Add: Depreciation Income tax expense Interest expense, net Cash distributions received from equity method investments 3 0.7 7.4 0.7 27.2 0.7 27.8 0.7 0.2 29.4 Less: Income from equity method investments 20.8 22.6 24.1 Adjusted EBITDA 19.6 47.3 49.4 46.5 Less: Adjusted EBITDA attributable to noncontrolling interests 13.7 11.7 14.2 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the Partnership 33.6 37.7 32.3 1) Rounding convention has been modified to ensure key line items sum correctly. 2) Predecessor financials. 3) These amounts represent 100% of the cash distributions from Mars and Mardi Gras Joint Ventures prior to distribution to noncontrolling interests. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 11

Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and CAFD to Net Income 1 Continues from previous slide ($ million) 3Q17 2 2Q18 3Q18 3Q18 IPO Forecast Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the Partnership 33.6 37.7 32.3 Add: Net adjustments from volume deficiency agreements (0.5) (2.7) Less: Net interest paid/(received) 0.2 0.2 Maintenance capital expenditures 0.4 0.9 (0.8) Cash available for distribution attributable to the Partnership 32.5 34.1 32.9 1) Rounding convention has been modified to ensure key line items sum correctly. 2) Predecessor financials. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 12

Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and CAFD to Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities 1 ($ million) 3Q17 2 2Q18 3Q18 Net cash provided by operating activities 13.8 45.8 45.7 Add: Income tax expense Interest expense, net 7.4 Distributions in excess of earnings from equity method investments 5.0 4.3 Change in operating assets and liabilities (2.0) (3.5) (0.5) Less: Noncash adjustments (0.4) 0.1 Adjusted EBITDA 19.6 47.3 49.4 Less: Adjusted EBITDA attributable to noncontrolling interests 13.7 11.7 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the Partnership 33.6 37.7 1) Rounding convention has been modified to ensure key line items sum correctly. 2) Predecessor financials. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 13

Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and CAFD to Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities 1 Continues from previous slide ($ million) 3Q17 2 2Q18 3Q18 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the Partnership 33.6 37.7 Add: Net adjustments from volume deficiency agreements (0.5) (2.7) Less: Net interest paid/(received) 0.2 Maintenance capital expenditures 0.4 0.9 Cash available for distribution attributable to the Partnership 32.5 34.1 1) Rounding convention has been modified to ensure key line items sum correctly. 2) Predecessor financials. 3Q 2018 RESULTS 14

Gross Debt to Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the Partnership 1 ($ million) 3Q17 2 2Q18 3Q18 Gross debt Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the Partnership 33.6 37.7 Gross Debt to Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the partnership ratio (times) 1) Rounding convention has been modified to ensure key line items sum correctly. 2) Predecessor financials 3Q 2018 RESULTS 15

Dropdown inventory pyramid (e.g. 35% of Mardi Gras) 3Q 2018 RESULTS 16