Nordea Eiendomskreditt Covered Bonds Q3 2018 Debt investor presentation
Table of contents 1. In brief 2. Cover pool key characteristics 3. Asset quality 4. Covered bond framework 5. Macro 6. Further information 3 6 10 14 16 20 2
3 1. In brief
Nordea covered bond operations Q3 2018 Four aligned covered bond issuers with complementary roles Nordea Eiendomskreditt Nordea Hypotek Nordea Kredit Nordea Mortgage Bank Legislation Norwegian Swedish Danish/SDRO Finnish Cover pool assets Norwegian residential mortgages Swedish residential mortgages primarily Danish residential & commercial mortgages Finnish residential mortgages primarily Cover pool size EUR 11.2bn (eq.) EUR 51.0bn (eq.) Balance principle EUR 19.9bn Covered bonds outstanding EUR 9.2bn (eq.) EUR 31.5bn (eq.) EUR 56.0bn (eq.) EUR 16.7bn OC 21% 62% CC1/CC2 21%/11% 20% Issuance currencies NOK, GBP, USD, CHF SEK DKK, EUR EUR Rating (Moody s / S&P) Aaa / - Aaa / AAA Aaa / AAA Aaa / - Covered bonds are an integral part of Nordea s long term funding operations Issuance in Scandinavian and international currencies ECBC Covered Bond Label on all Nordea covered bond issuance 4
Nordea Eiendomskreditt overview Q3 2018 A 100% owned subsidiary of Nordea Bank Abp (as of 1 October 2018) The purpose of the Issuer is to acquire and provide residential mortgage loans and finance its activities mainly through issuance of covered bonds Loans in Nordea Eiendomskreditt (NE) are originated by Nordea Bank Abp, Norwegian branch and subsequently transferred to NE Collateral must be in the form of mortgages in residential real estate or in shares in housing cooperatives At the time of transfer, the loans are not in default, i.e. payments of installments and interest are not overdue at the time of transfer Approx. 14% market share of outstanding covered issuance in Norwegian market Cost-effective loan origination and service through Nordea Bank s nationwide Norwegian branch network and internet Covered bonds rated Aaa by Moody s 5
6 2. Cover pool characteristics
Cover pool key characteristics Q3 2018 Cover pool summary Pool notional Outstanding Covered Bonds Cover pool content Geographic distribution Asset distribution Weighted average LTV NOK 105.8bn NOK 87.1bn Mortgage loans secured by Norwegian residential collateral Throughout Norway with concentration to urban areas 100% residential 47.9% (indexed, calculated per property) Average loan size NOK 1.5m Over Collateralisation (OC) 21.5%, (2% legal requirement) Rate type Floating 97.9%, Fixed 2.1% Amortisation Bullet/ interest only 33.0%, Amortizing 67.0% Pool type Loans originated by Dynamic Nordea Bank Abp (as of 1 October 2018), Norway Branch 7
Cover pool key characteristics (2) Q3 2018 Cover pool balance by loan category 100% Weighted Average LTV Indexed 90% Summer houses 3% 80% Regulatory limit 75% Tenant owner units 29% 70% 60% Regulatory limit 60% 50% 48,2% 47,5% 44,5% Single family houses 68% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Single-family houses Tenant owner units Summer houses 8
Cover pool geographic distribution Q3 2018 Fylke Loan balance Region Akershus 17,17% East Aust-Agder 1,57% South Buskerud 4,23% East Finnmark 0,46% North Hedmark 1,94% East Hordland 10,96% West Møre og Romsdal 7,58% West Nordland 2,01% North Oppland 3,75% East Oslo 23,19% East Rogaland 4,40% West Sogn og Fjordane 1,17% West Svalbard 0,00% North Telemark 2,98% East Troms 1,18% North Trøndelag 2,24% Mid Vest-Agder 4,26% South Vestfold 3,54% East Østfold 7,39% East 9
10 3. Asset quality
Loan to Value (LTV) Each loan is reported in the highest bucket Q3 2018 Weighted Average LTV Unindexed 48.2% LTV buckets Nominal (NOKm) % Residential Loans >0 - <=40 % 33 356 31,43% >40 - <=50 % 18 930 17,89% >50 - <=60 % 22 704 21,46% >60 - <=70 % 19 301 18,24% >70 - <=80 % 11 628 10,99% Total 105 819 100% Weighted Average LTV - Indexed 47.9% LTV buckets Nominal (NOKm) % Residential Loans >0 - <=40 % 33 931 32,07% >40 - <=50 % 19 170 18,12% >50 - <=60 % 22 807 21,55% >60 - <=70 % 18 941 17,90% >70 - <=80 % 10 970 10,37% Total 105 819 100% 11
Loan structure Q3 2018 Rate type Repayment 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 97,4% 97,7% 98,3% 98,3% 98,5% 98,4% 98,3% 97,9% 2,6% 2,3% 1,7% 1,7% 1,5% 1,6% 1,7% 2,1% 16Q4 17Q1 17Q2 17Q3 17Q4 18Q1 18Q2 18Q3 Floating rate Fixed rate 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Repayment 62,1% 62,6% 65,0% 64,8% 67,7% 67,2% 67,0% 67,0% 37,9% 37,4% 35,0% 35,2% 32,3% 32,8% 33,0% 33,0% 16Q4 17Q1 17Q2 17Q3 17Q4 18Q1 18Q2 18Q3 Amortising Bullet / interest only* 12 * Including Flex loans
Underwriting criteria Q3 2018 Affordability 13 Customers ability to service its commitment out of its cash flow/income is critical Repayment ability of borrowers is calculated using stressed scenarios. Customers must manage 5 percentage points increase on interest rate on all debt Scoring of retail customers Payment history Credit bureau check is always conducted. Potential external payment remarks are revealed Collateral Information from Norwegian official property register in order to secure correct real estate ownership and priority Nordea accepts four sources of real estate valuations: a) Written statement from external authorized valuer b) Last sales price (within 6 months) c) Use of external evaluating system Eiendomsverdi (used by most banks and real estate agents in Norway) d) Written statement from (external) real estate agent
14 5. Covered Bond framework
Norwegian covered bond framework Q3 2018 Legal framework 2 Norwegian Financial Institutions Act (2007) Registration and independent inspector A mortgage credit institution shall for each cover pool establish a register of loans, interest rate contracts and foreign exchange contracts, substitute assets and covered bonds The institution shall put forward an independent inspector who shall be appointed by the FSA Finanstilsynet Limit on LTV ratio based on the current value 75% for housing loans (residential property) 60% for commercial loans (commercial property) Matching cover requirements The value of the cover pool shall at all times exceed the value of covered bonds with a preferential claim over the pool and account shall be taken of the mortgage credit institution s derivative contracts Liquidity requirements The mortgage credit institution shall ensure that the payment flows from the cover pool enable the mortgage credit institution to honour its payment obligations towards holders of covered bonds and counterparties to derivative contracts at any and all times 15
16 6. Macro
Robust Nordic economies GDP development Unemployment rate Comments GDP forecast, % The Nordics are enjoying a solid economic development. While the synchronised global recovery supports exports, the accommodative monetary polices support domestic demand Country 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E Denmark 2.0 2.3 1.0 1.8 1.7 Short-term survey indicators have declined somewhat from elevated levels, but nevertheless suggest that growth will be held up fairly well in the near-term Finland 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.0 1.5 Norway 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.5 Sweden 3.0 2.5 2.8 2.1 1.8 Source: Nordea Markets Economic Outlook September 2018 and Macrobond 17
Household debt remains high, but so is private and public savings Household debt Household savings Public balance/debt, % of GDP, 2018E Comments In all countries, apart from Denmark, household debt continues to rise somewhat faster than income. Meanwhile, households savings rates remain at high levels, apart from Finland where savings have declined somewhat in recent years The Nordic public finances are robust due to the overall economic recovery and relatively strict fiscal policies. Norway is in a class of its own due to oil revenues 18 Source: Nordea Markets, European Commission, Winter 2018 forecast
House price development in the Nordics House prices Household s credit growth Comments Recent quarters have shown stabilisation in the Swedish and Norwegian housing markets, while prices continue to rise in Denmark and to some extent also in Finland. In Sweden house prices declined during H2 2017 but the trend has levelled out in 2018, despite increased regulations which was expected to put downward pressure on house prices. The price correction is probably caused by the marked rise in new buildings seen in recent years. Going forward, largely stagnant prices are expected as mortgage rates are expected to stay low In Norway, primarily in Oslo, house prices turned down during 2017. The downturn was primarily driven by stricter lending requirements introduced 1 January 2017. However, prices have levelled out, and even increased somewhat in Oslo, in recent months. Largely unchanged prices are forecast ahead. 19
20 7. Further information
Covered bonds outstanding volumes Q3 2018 Breakdown by ISIN ISIN Currency Amount (NOKm) Maturity Coupon (%) NO0010647241 NOK 11 070 2019-06-19 FRN NO0010692767 NOK 2 380 2019-06-19 3,05 NO0010703531 NOK 13 115 2020-06-17 FRN NO0010741903 NOK 14 2020-06-17 1,75 NO0010729817 NOK 11 000 2021-06-16 FRN NO0010584345 NOK 9 383 2021-06-16 4,25 NO0010758931 NOK 4 615 2022-06-15 1,08 NO0010759632 NOK 12 000 2022-06-15 FRN NO0010819717 NOK 9 470 2023-06-21 FRN NO0010593064 NOK 550 2025-06-18 4,8 NO0010766827 NOK 500 2031-06-18 1,75 NO0010812084 NOK 300 2043-06-17 2,20 NO0010821986 NOK 300 2048-05-04 2,60 XS1210746134 GBP 1 526 2020-03-30 FRN XS1342698047 GBP 6 518 2019-01-14 FRN XS1487838291 GBP 133 2021-09-09 FRN XS1837099339 GBP 3 270 2023-06-18 FRN XS1451306036 EUR 938 2031-07-15 0,74 Total 87 082 21
Contacts Investor Relations Andreas Larsson Head of Debt IR Nordea Bank AB Mobile: +46 709 70 75 55 Tel: +46 10 156 29 61 andreas.larsson@nordea.com Axel Malgerud Debt IR Officer Nordea Bank AB Mobile: +46 721 41 51 50 Tel: +46 10 157 13 13 axel.malgerud@nordea.com Group Treasury & ALM Nils Gunnar Baumann Chief Treasury Manager Tel: +47 240 15 076 Mobile: +47 932 49 720 nils.gunnar.baumann@nordea.com 22