Session 032 PD - Life Insurance Capital Framework in Canada. Moderator: Benjamin L. Marshall, FSA, CERA, FCIA, MAAA

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Session 032 PD - Life Insurance Capital Framework in Canada Moderator: Benjamin L. Marshall, FSA, CERA, FCIA, MAAA Presenters: Henri Boudreau Lisa Marie Peterson, FSA, FCIA SOA Antitrust Compliance Guidelines SOA Presentation Disclaimer

A New Chapter in Capital Requirements for Canadian Life Insurers: The Life Insurance Capital Adequacy Test (LICAT) Henri Boudreau, Managing Director, Insurance Capital Lisa Peterson, Director, Life Insurance Capital Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) October 16, 2017

What we will cover today Overview of OSFI and the Canadian Landscape Developing the LICAT Demystifying the LICAT Available Capital Capital Requirements Implementing the LICAT 2

What we will cover today Overview of OSFI and the Canadian Landscape Developing the LICAT Demystifying the LICAT Available Capital Capital Requirements Implementing the LICAT 3

Who is OSFI? Our mandate is to protect depositors, policyholders and other creditors by: developing guidance on risk management and mitigation assessing the safety and soundness of financial institutions intervening promptly when corrective actions need to be taken 4

Life Insurance Sector in Canada Who OSFI regulates Over 70 domestic companies and foreign branches Three major players Hold 90% of assets Operations in Canada, the U.S., Europe and Asia 5

What we will cover today Overview of OSFI and the Canadian Landscape Developing the LICAT Demystifying the LICAT Available Capital Capital Requirements Implementing the LICAT 6

New Capital Framework for Life Insurers Current Framework Minimum Continuing Capital and Surplus Requirements (MCCSR) New Framework Life Insurance Capital Adequacy Test (LICAT)* LICAT represents an evolution in OSFI s solvency expectations Better aligns capital and risk measures with the life insurance business Incorporates lessons learned from financial crisis Framework more compatible with future IFRS changes (e.g. IFRS 17) Considers advancements in international standards * Foreign insurers operating in Canada on a branch basis are subject to the Life Insurance Margin Adequacy Test (LIMAT) 7

LICAT Development QIS s Draft LICAT v.1 LICAT v.1 Test Run 1 Draft LICAT v.2 Final LICAT v.2 LICAT Effective 2009-2015 Mar 2016 Sep 2016 Oct 2016 Jun 2017 Fall 2017 Jan 2017 Jan. 1, 2018 LICAT developed using Quantitative Impact Studies (QISs), adding one risk component at a time OSFI and industry are in Implementation phase LICAT v.2 needed to add clarifications and address outstanding issues, calibration following Test Run 1 8

What we will cover today Overview of OSFI and the Canadian Landscape Developing the LICAT Demystifying the LICAT Available Capital Capital Requirements Implementing the LICAT 9

LICAT General Approach A mix of factor-based approaches and prescribed shock assumptions Most risks are measured at target, at a level of confidence of CTE99 over a one year horizon More advanced risk-based techniques to measure Credit, Market and Insurance risks Explicit measure of Operational risk requirement Risk sensitive measure of credit for par and adjustable products Diversification credits 10

Construct of LICAT Ratios Available Capital (AC) + Surplus Allowance (SA): Specified GAAP risk margins using CALM*: - All risk margins for risk free interest rate assumptions associated with insurance contracts, and - All risk margins associated with insurance assumptions (e.g. mortality, morbidity, lapse) + Eligible Deposits (ED): Unregistered reinsurers deposits in excess of liabilities ceded, subject to limits Base Solvency Buffer (BSB): (capital requirements credits) x scalar *Canadian Asset Liability Method 11

Construct of LICAT Ratios AAAA + SSSS + EEEE TTTTTTTTTT RRRRRRRRRR = BBBBBB TTTTTTTT 11 AAAA + 77777 SSAA + 77777 EEEE CCCCCCCC RRTTTTRRRR = BBBBBB Where: AC = Available Capital SA = Surplus Allowance ED = Eligible Deposits BSB = Base Solvency Buffer Supervisory Ratios LICAT (effective 1.1.2018) Total MCCSR (current framework) LICAT (effective 1.1.2018) Core MCCSR (current framework) Target 100% 150% 70% 105% Minimum 90% 120% 55%/50% 60% 12

LICAT Available Capital Updated qualifying criteria for instruments: No step-ups, no innovatives The 2015 MCCSR guideline incorporated updated criteria for all capital instruments issued on or after August 7, 2014 Transition measures outlined in LICAT for instruments issued prior to August 7, 2014 Most deductions from Tier 1: Intangibles Deferred tax assets Encumbered assets Better Quality Capital Restrictions: Capital instruments issued by consolidated subsidiaries to 3 rd parties may be subject to a limit Revised limits Common Equity 75% Net Tier 1 Net Tier 1 Net Tier 2 Still reviewing application of NVCC for life insurers: Pending developments on NVCC & bail-in internationally, and review of resolution framework for insurers in Canada If NVCC applies to life insurers, outstanding instruments, other than common shares, would likely be non-qualifying and transition would be needed to the new regime 13

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Credit Risk Factor-based approach Base Solvency Buffer = Factor x Exposure Amount Factors depend on both rating and maturity of underlying assets Rating Effective Maturity In Years 1 2 3 4 5 10 AAA 0.25% 0.25% 0.50% 0.50% 1.00% 1.25% AA 0.25% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00% 1.25% 1.75% A 0.75% 1.00% 1.50% 1.75% 2.00% 3.00% BBB 1.50% 2.75% 3.25% 3.75% 4.00% 4.75% BB 3.75% 6.00% 7.25% 7.75% 8.00% 8.00% B 7.50% 10.00% 10.50% 10.50% 10.50% 10.50% Lower than B 15.50% 18.00% 18.00% 18.00% 18.00% 18.00% If an asset is backed by collateral or has a guarantee, credit risk factor may be reduced (substitution approach) All unrated bonds, loans, and derivatives exposures receive factor of 6% Internal ratings are not allowed Registered reinsurance assets subject to a 2.5% credit risk factor Derivatives and commitments: factors applied to credit equivalent amount (rather than full value) 14

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Market Risk Interest Rate Risk: 4 scenarios Risk of loss from changes in interest rates Shock-based scenarios, discount rates as per LICAT Required Capital = MAX (Scenario 1, Scenario 2, Scenario 3, Scenario 4) Shock 1 Shock 2 Shock 3 Shock 4 15

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Market Risk Equity Risk: Risk of loss due to potential changes in prices of equity investments Factors apply to market value of exposures Common Equity 35% Developed markets, listed and non-substantial 40% Developed markets, nonlisted/ substantial 45% Other markets, listed and non-substantial 50% Other markets, non-listed / substantial Preferred Shares 3% P1 5% P2 10% P3 20% P4 Common equity risk factor P5 and unrated 16

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Market Risk (cont d) Real Estate Risk: Risk of loss due to changes in amount and timing of CF from investments in real estate Required capital determined on a property-by-property basis Investment properties vs. owneroccupied/other properties Plant and Equipment: 30% BS Value Investment Properties Leases in force Interest Rate Risk Credit Risk = PV(CF) x Factor Residual Value 30% risk factor Owner-Occupied/Other Properties If FV available Otherwise Plant & Equipment BS Value 70% FV 30% BS value 30% BS value 17

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Market Risk (cont d) Currency Risk: Risk of loss due to changes in amount and timing of CF arising from changes in currency exchange rates Two steps to calculate required capital: 1. Measure exposure in each currency position 2. Calculate required capital for the portfolio of positions in different currencies Required Capital = 30% x (MAX[Net open long positions per currency*, Net open short positions per currency] + Net open position in gold) *[Actual net long positions per currency can be reduced by 120% of BSB in the currency to calculate the net open long position for LICAT purposes] 18

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Insurance Risk Components: Mortality Risk Morbidity Risk Longevity Risk Lapse Risk Expense Risk Sub-Components: Level Trend Volatility Catastrophe Required Capital for each component = RRRR llllllllll + RRRR tttttttttt + 2 2 RRRR vvvvvv + RRRR cccccc Prescribed shocks applied to projected CF for each risk sub-component Required Capital sub-component = PV( shocked values - best estimate) 19

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Operational Risk Premiums & Account Values 1.Business Volume 2.Large Increase in Business Volume 3.General Required Capital Operational Risk Requirement Risk on risk 20

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Segregated Funds Guarantee Risk Work to develop standard approach has begun - separate track Fall 2016: QIS#1 to test methodologies and assumptions Summer 2017: QIS#2 to test methodologies and assumptions Summer 2018 QIS#3 (planned) New approach will form Chapter 7 of the LICAT Guideline Planned effective date is subject to consideration of impact of IFRS 17 21

LICAT Base Solvency Buffer Credits $Bn 200 150 100 50 LICAT Required Capital Components Total Requirements for Diversifiable Risks Before Credits Credits Total Requirements Net of Credits 0 Credit Market Insurance Sub-Total Diversific. Par & Adj Operational Seg Funds Total Within insurance and its sub-risks: Within Mortality and Within Morbidity Across Insurance sub-risks (correlation matrix) Between risks: Credit/Market risks and Insurance risk Participating and Adjustable: credit depends on loss absorption capacity, combined with a minimum required capital for each risk and limits on gross adjustability Other smaller credits (e.g. policyholder deposits, groups business) Must meet specific LICAT criteria to qualify for credits 22

LICAT Reinsurance Registered Reinsurance Unregistered Reinsurance - Generally, reinsurer is regulated in Canada - Generally, reinsurer is not a Canadian-regulated entity - Reduces base solvency buffer - Does not reduce the base solvency buffer - No additional credits beyond reduction of base solvency buffer - Credit for reinsurance fully reflected as a reduction in the base solvency buffer - Credit for unregistered reinsurance is provided in the numerator of the solvency ratio in the form of Eligible Deposits - Limit on Eligible Deposits is set so that final reported ratio, with deposits included, cannot exceed the ratio had it been calculated net of all reinsurance 23

LICAT Impacts Impact on individual life insurers dependent on what businesses they are engaged in, what risks that they take on and how these are managed. Overall level of capital in excess of supervisory targets is not expected to change significantly for the industry as a whole LICAT ratios and MCCSR ratios not directly comparable 24

What we will cover today Overview of OSFI and the Canadian Landscape Developing the LICAT Demystifying the LICAT Available Capital Capital Requirements Implementing the LICAT 25

LICAT Implementation Considerable undertaking for OSFI and the industry Resources Systems Sensitivity Analysis Reporting Strategic Integration Learning and Communication Test run #2 exercise: mandatory for all insurers 26

LICAT What is next? Fall 2017 Final LICAT Guideline January 1, 2018 LICAT effective date Annual reviews of the guideline 2019 LICAT 2020 LICAT 2021 LICAT IFRS 16 Segregated Fund Guarantee Risk? IFRS 9 IFRS 17 27

Questions and discussion 28

Annex I: Structure of OSFI Internal Audit Superintendent Office of the Chief Actuary Regulation Sector Supervision Sector Corporate Services Sector Accounting Policy Division Capital Division Legal Services Division Legislation & Approvals Division Research Division Private Pension Plans Division Insurance Deposit Taking Risk Support Life Insurance Group P&C Group Mortgage Insurance Group Actuarial Division Conglomerate Group Small and Medium Sized Banks Common Supervisory Services Analytics Governance AML Credit Risk Capital Markets Operational Communications and Consultation Finance and Corporate Planning Human Resources & Administration IM/IT Services 29

Annex II: Where to go for additional information? Information OSFI s website DRAFT Life Insurance Capital Adequacy Test (LICAT) (June 2017) Insurance Companies Act (ICA) Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions Act (OSFI Act) Location www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca http://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/eng/fi-if/rg-ro/gdn-ort/glld/pages/licat18_index.aspx http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/i-11.8/index.html http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/o-2.7/index.html 30