Analyst Presentation 9M2015 Frankfurt November 5, 2015

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Transcription:

Analyst Presentation 9M2015 Frankfurt November 5, 2015 Dr Stefan Schulte CEO Dr Matthias Zieschang CFO

2 Disclaimer This document has been prepared by Fraport solely for use in this presentation. The information contained in this document has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty whether express or implied is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained therein. Neither the company nor any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss arising from any use of this document or its content or otherwise arising in connection with this document. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any shares and neither this document nor any part of it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This document contains forwardlooking statements that are based on current estimates and assumptions made by the management of Fraport to the best of its knowledge. Such forwardlooking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, the nonoccurrence or occurrence of which could cause the actual results including the financial condition and profitability of Fraport to differ materially from or be more negative than those expressed or implied by such forwardlooking statements. This also applies to the forward looking estimates and forecasts derived from thirdparty studies. Consequently, neither the company nor its management can give any assurance regarding the future accuracy of the opinions set forth in this document or the actual occurrence of the predicted developments. By accepting this document, you agree with the foregoing.

3 Agenda Financial Highlights Traffic Insight News from FRA Airport Charges at FRA T3 Ground Breaking Retail Multichannel Greek Airports Outlook 2015 Financials 9M2015 in Detail

4 Financial Highlights Fraport Group Figures 9M 2015 (P&L) in mil. 9M2015 9M2014 yoy Revenue 1,967 1,797 +10 % EBITDA 689 621 +11 % EBIT 444 396 +12 % Group Result* 262 220 +19 % Traffic Figures up, FRA with 3.6% upside in passenger traffic Revenue increased by 9.5% (IFRIC12 adjusted +9.4%) GroupEBITDA rose to 689 million, an upside of 11% All segments contributing, mostly Retail and External performance Group Result increased by 19% mostly due to operating performance * Before minorities

5 Financial Highlights Fraport Group Figures 9M2015 (Cash Flow, Debt, Capex) in mil. 9M2015 9M2014 yoy Operating Cash Flow 525 409 +28% Capex* 165 205 20% Dividend from Investments 29 31 8% Free Cash Flow 389 236 +65% Gearing in %** 82% 97% 15PP Net Debt** 2,762 3,013 8 % Operating Cash Flow significantly up due to good operating performance Combined with downward trend in Capex and slightly lower dividends from at equity investments, Free Cash Flow moved substantially up Gearing & Net Debt down despite dividend payment * as used in PPE, airport operating projects, investment property, and other intangible assets ** yearend figures for 2014

6 Agenda Financial Highlights Traffic Insight News from FRA T3 Ground Breaking Airport Charges at FRA Retail Multichannel Greek Airports Outlook 2015 Financials 9M2015 in Detail

7 Traffic Insight Group Passenger Development (stakes above 10%) IATA Code Airport Share Sep 2015 D previous year YTD 2015 D previous year FY 2014 CAGR 2010 2014 FRA Frankfurt, Germany 100% 5,804 1.2% 47,281 +3.6% 59,566 +3.0% LJU Ljubljana, Slovenia 100% 158 +10.1% 1,136 +10.9% 1,307 1.4% LIM Lima, Peru 70% 1,448 +8.4% 12,615 +8.9% 15,659 +11.1% BOJ Burgas, Bulgaria 60% 342 +3.2% 2,306 6.9% 2,530 +7.5% VAR Varna, Bulgaria 60% 204 +10.7% 1,286 0.1% 1,387 +3.1% AYT Antalya, Turkey 51% 3,660 +0% 22,984 1.7% 27,979 +6.0% LED St. Petersburg, Russia 35.5% 1,399 0.4% 10,851 3.8% 14,265 +14.0% HAJ Hanover, Germany 30% 573 2.4% 4,184 +4.1% 5,292 +1.1% XIY Xi an, China 24.5% 2,899 12.3% 24,776 +13.4% 29,177 +12.8%

8 Traffic Insight Frankfurt Airport Sep 2015 D % YTD 9M 2015 D % FY 2014 Passengers in `000 5,804 1.2 47,281 +3.6 59,566 Movements 42.220 0.5 358,299 +0.4 469,026 MTOW in `000 tons 2,610 0.2 22,481 +2.8 28,958 Cargo in `000 tons 167 4.8 1,532 2.7 2,132 90% 85% 80% Seat load factor 2015 2014 YTD 2015 YTD 2014 Passenger per movement +4.8 Pax 75% 70% 65% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 New passenger guidance FY2015: Between +~3% and +~4% Passenger figures according to ACI, commercial traffic only; cargo includes air freight and air mail

9 Traffic Insight Frankfurt Airport Passenger Flows YTD 09/2015 Western Europe Domestic Eastern Europe North America D 43% +3% D 11% +5% D 9% +4% D 14% +1% Latin America D 4% +1% Frankfurt Airport Africa D 4% +3% Middle East D 5% +6% Far East D 11% +6% Continental Intercontinental D Traffic Share YTD vs. previous year D 62% +4% D 38% +4%

10 Traffic Insight Winter Schedule FRA 2015/2016 1 No significant changes in airline portfolio 2 Winter schedule with a moderate seat upside close to 2% 3 Passenger flight movements stable 4 Lufthansa JUMP program positive but minimal impact Winter schedule from end of October 2015 to end of March 2016

11 Agenda Financial Highlights Traffic Insight News from FRA Airport Charges at FRA T3 Ground Breaking Retail Multichannel Greek Airports Outlook 2015 Financials 9M2015 in Detail

12 News from FRA Airport Charges at FRA Application for Airport Charge increase filed in at Hesse Ministry of Economics, Energy, Transportation and State Development (HMWEVL) in July 2015 Intended increase of 1.9% on airport charges for 2016 Reflecting both: airline needs for cost control and the airport s need for adequate return on capital Fraport AG retracted its application on October 29, 2015 Currently, the HMWEVL and Fraport AG have differing views regarding the calculation of essential cost elements including capital costs Until a new airport charge schedule comes into force the current charge schedule will remain valid also beyond January 1, 2016 Fraport AG will reexamine the issue and submit a new application in 2016

13 News from FRA Terminal 3: Ground Breaking in October 2015 Capex budget 2.53.0 bn. in total Additional passenger capacity 14 million Floor space ca. 90,000 sqm Large stateoftheart Retail facilities 24 gate positions at the building 4 CheckinAreas with 100 counters Opening 2022 Focus 2016 on excavation works

14 News from FRA Retail Multichannel starts Q2/2016 ff. 12/2015 Q1/2016 Online Payment & Home Delivery Q2/2016 Rollout Interactive Airport Desk I AID Additional delivery options Online Platform 09/2015 Test phase Interactive Airport Desk I AID Loyalty programm Relaunch Travel Homepage & App

15 Agenda Financial Highlights Traffic Insight News from FRA Airport Charges at FRA T3 Ground Breaking Retail Multichannel Greek Airports Outlook 2015 Financials 9M2015 in Detail

16 Greek Airports Status Quo The preferred investor Fraport AG Copelouzos group (Slentel Ltd) extended the validity of their offer in Oct 2015 Also the reserve candidates extended the validity of their offers The concession agreement is expected to be signed with the Fraport AG Copelouzos group by the end of 2015 Takeover of the airports (Closing) is expected to take place in autumn 2016 Target of Fraport Consortium remains to finance the project partly via debt on the level of the concession companies Growth rates remain good in Greece: September 2015 yoy traffic growth of around 6.9 %

17 Agenda Financial Highlights Traffic Insight News from FRA Airport Charges at FRA T3 Ground Breaking Retail Multichannel Greek Airports Outlook 2015 Financials 9M2015 in Detail

18 Outlook 2015 Guidance slightly lifted driven by FRA Traffic New Outlook 2015 Passengers FRA Between +~3% and +~4% Revenue (IFRIC 12 adjusted) revenue between ~ 2.55 and ~ 2.6 bn. EBITDA between ~ 840 and ~ 850 mil. EBIT between ~ 520 and ~ 530 mil. Group result* between ~ 275 and ~ 295 mil. Dividend proposal stable *Group result before minorities

19 Agenda Financial Highlights Traffic Insight News from FRA Airport Charges at FRA T3 Ground Breaking Retail Multichannel Greek Airports Outlook 2015 Financials 9M2015 in Detail

20 Group P&L 9M 2015 Group Financials reflect growing Operations P&L in mil. 9M 15 9M 14 % Revenue 1,967 1,797 +9.5 excl. IFRIC 12 1,957 1,789 +9.4 EBITDA 689 621 +10.8 EBIT 444 396 +12.1 EBT 384 325 +18.1 Group result 262 220 +19.1 EPS in 2.64 2.22 +18.9 Comments All segments with growing earnings Tailwind from Retail, FRA pricing, US$ conversion, and new investments Improvement in financial result despite negative CHF loan valuation Group result and EPS with doubledigit increase 1,797 Revenue by segment in mil. +93 1,967 +22 +34 +22 EBITDA by segment in mil. +36 689 621 +4 +22 +5 Revenue 9M 2014 Aviation Retail & Real Estate Ground Handling External Activities & Services Revenue 9M 2015 EBITDA 9M 2014 Aviation Retail & Real Estate Ground Handling External Activities & Services EBITDA 9M 2015 Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up, percent changes based on unrounded figures

21 Group P&L 9M 2015 External Activities increase its Share in Group EBITDA mil. + 68 mil. +168 +3 +4 621 56 3 41 7 689 EBITDA 9M 2014 Revenue ex. IFRIC 12 IFRIC 12 revenue Other income Cost of materials ex. IFRIC 12 IFRIC 12 cost of materials Staff cost Other opex EBITDA 9M 2015 Segment share in Group EBITDA 9M 2014 Segment share in Group EBITDA 9M 2015 External Activities & Services Ground Handling 20,0% 5,7% 31,8% Aviation External Activities & Services Ground Handling 23,2% 5,9% 29,3% Aviation 42,5% Retail & Real Estate 41,6% Retail & Real Estate Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up

22 Group P&L 9M 2015 Group Result up due to higher EBITDA & Financial Result + 42 mil. + 0.42 mil. 220 +68 +11 19 17 262 2.22 2.64 Group result 9M 2014 EBITDA D&A Financial result Taxes Group result 9M 2015 EPS 9M 2014 EPS 9M 2015 Split of financial result Comments mil 9M 15 9M 14 % Interest income 22 27 20.3 Interest expenses 120 135 At equity result 38 45 16.0 Other result 1 8 >100 Financial result 60 71 Improved interest result from lower interest rates, lower debt, and lower interest cost added back on provisions Split of equity result: Antalya down due to less Russian travelers Xi an and Hanover up Other financial result up, despite negative impact from CHF loan market valuation Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up, percent changes based on unrounded figures

23 Group Asset & Financial Situation 9M FCF per Share at 4.2 Operating cash flow Intangible assets PPE Airport operating projects Investment property DVDs from investments Free cash flow mil. 525 409 6 4 +29 389 140 10 9 +31 236 186 8 7 9M 2015 9M 2014 YTD development Sharp increase in OCF due to good earnings and lower cash outs for interests and taxes FRA capex 25% on previous year Stable remaining cash in and outflows Incl. DVD pay out FCF provided c. 260 mil. retained cash 2015 Outlook Capex won t exceed 2014 level FCF expected to remain above 10% of net debt Including DVD payout, FCF will lead to deleverage at high single digit percentage point level Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up

Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up 1) FCF predividend payout; figures correspond to 6M figures 2) Net debt divided by equity less noncontrolling interests and profit earmarked for distribution 24 Group Asset & Financial Situation Strong FCF eases Balance Sheet Dynamics FCF 1 Liquidity Gross debt Net debt Equity Gearing 2 mil. 3.926 4.192 2.762 3.013 3.454 3.286 82% 97% 389 236 1.164 1.180 Sept. 30, 2015 Dec. 31, 2014 Cash development FCF of 389 mil. clearly above previous year Repayment of gross debt and cash out for DVD led to slight decline in liquidity Net debt clearly below 3bn, 2015 net debt/ebitda therefore c. at 3.2x Balance sheet Group result, valuation of derivatives, and currency effects lead to increase in equity to more than 3.4 bn Gearing c.15 PP down on Dec. 31, 2014 Equity ratio at 37.6% (Dec. 31, 2014: 34.4%) Slightly diluting effects from accrued interest

25 Segment Aviation Incremental Revenue almost completely offset P&L in mil. 9M 15 9M 14 % Revenue 707 673 +5.0 Airport charges 587 558 +5.2 Security Services 91 83 +9.0 Other 29 33 9.5 EBITDA 202 198 +2.0 EBIT 112 110 +1.8 Employees 6,019 6,070 0.8 Comments FRA traffic drives revenue growth Headwind from: Revenue increase slowed down by flat movement development and FraConnect 13 mil. impact from wage increases Other income 4 mil. down due to release of provisions in 2014 Additional opex from creation of provisions, noncapitalizable capex, and quality measures EBITDA performance in mil. Revenue split 198 +34 4 11 15 202 Security Services 12,8% 4,2% Other EBITDA 9M 2014 Revenue Other income Staff cost Other EBITDA 9M 2015 83,0% Aviation charges Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up, percent changes based on unrounded figures

26 Segment Retail & Real Estate More Traffic & higher spend per Passenger strong Result P&L in mil. 9M 15 9M 14 % Revenue 357 335 +6.5 Retail 157 141 +11.1 Real Estate 134 133 +0.6 Parking 62 58 +7.8 EBITDA 286 264 +8.3 EBIT 224 202 +10.7 Comments Strong revenue increase from retail and parking businesses Cost level flat on previous year EBITDA and EBIT increase in same magnitude as revenue EBITDA margin >80% Employees 619 615 +0.7 EBITDA performance in mil. Revenue split 264 +22 +3 1 2 286 Parking 1,1% Other 17,4% 43,9% Retail EBITDA 9M 2014 Revenue Other income Staff cost Other EBITDA 9M 2015 Real Estate 37,6% Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up, percent changes based on unrounded figures

27 Segment Retail & Real Estate Retail per Passenger 6.7% up on Previous Year Retail revenue per Passenger 9M 12: 3.12 9M 13: 3.44 9M 14: 3.27 9M 15: 3.49 3,40 3,10 2,95 3,95 3,74 3,42 3,24 4,11 3,95 3,93 3,69 3,22 3,41 3,26 3,04 FY 12: 3.32 FY 13: 3.60 FY 14: 3.43 mil. Shopping Services Advertis. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 25 29 30 31 27 31 33 33 26 29 32 32 30 34 35 11 12 13 13 11 13 14 13 12 14 14 13 13 14 16 6 6 6 10 6 8 9 11 7 7 8 10 7 9 10

28 Segment Retail & Real Estate Development of Core Spending Destinations Volume Development % 20 10 0 10 20 15 15 12 14 11 0 6 3 Change in % 2 China Japan Russia Korea Brazil vs. 9M 14 USA Germany Turkey Canada India 13 Retail Revenue per Passenger % 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 23 20 14 11 5 2 2 10 Change in % China Japan Russia Korea Brazil vs. 9M 14 USA Germany Turkey Canada India 11 21

29 Segment Ground Handling Positive Earnings Momentum due Tight Cost Management P&L in mil. 9M 15 9M 14 % Revenue 518 496 +4.4 Ground Handling 292 287 +2.0 Infrastructure 226 209 +7.7 EBITDA 41 35 +15.1 EBIT 10 7 +34.7 Employees 9,297 8,954 +3.8 Comments Revenue increase from higher volumes and prices in infrastructure Staff cost up due to volume and price EBITDA with good growth supported by lower other opex Despite higher D&A, EBIT up EBITDA performance in mil. Revenue split 35 +22 2 17 +3 41 Infrastructure 43,5% 56,5% Ground Handling EBITDA 9M 2014 Revenue Other income Staff cost Other EBITDA 9M 2015 Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up, percent changes based on unrounded figures

30 Segment External Activities & Services Growth from Lima and new Investments P&L in mil. 9M 15 9M 14 % Revenue 386 293 +31.9 excl. IFRIC 12 376 285 +31.7 AMU 44 8 >100 Ljubljana 27 EBITDA 160 124 +28.9 EBIT 99 77 +28.2 Employees 4,901 4,687 +4.6 Comments Strong increase from Lima traffic and positive US$ effect Full YTD contribution of AMU & LJU Lower earnings from Varna/Burgas and termination of Saudi mgmt. contracts Other income up from Air IT book gain Strong increase in EBITDA and EBIT EBITDA performance in mil. Revenue split 124 +18 +11 +8 3 3 1 +6 160 Ljubljana Other 6,9% 16,0% EBITDA 9M 2014 AMU LJU LAP Twin Star Saudi Arabia Air IT Other EBITDA 9M 2015 Airmall 11,5% 12,8% Twin Star 52,8% Lima Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up, percent changes based on unrounded figures

31 External Activities Fully consolidated Investments 1 Airmall 2 Ljubljana 2 Lima Twin Star mil. 9M 15 9M 14 % 9M 15 9M 14 % 9M 15 9M 14 % 9M 15 9M 14 % Revenue ex IFRIC 12 44 8 >100 27 204 194 156 149 30.9 31.7 50 49 55 54 10.0 8.4 EBITDA margin adjusted 10 22.6% 2 22.6% >100 11 40.8% 74 36.5% 38.4% 57 36.5% 38.1% 31.0 32 65.1% 65.3% 35 64.0% 65.4% 8.5 EBIT margin adjusted 4 8.6% 1 9.5% >100 3 12.7% 61 30.1% 31.6% 46 29.5% 30.8% 33.3 24 48.1% 48.3% 27 48.5% 49.6% 10.9 Result 4 1 >100 3 33 22 46.6 17 19 10.9 Passengers in mil. 1.1 1.0 10.8 12.6 11.6 8.9 3.6 3.8 4.6 1) Figures refer to IFRS accounting, not local GAAP, percent changes based on unrounded figures 2) Airmall acquired August 2014 and Ljubljana October 2014

32 External Activities At Equity consolidated Investments Antalya Pulkovo Hanover Xi An mil. 9M 15 9M 14 % 9M 15 9M 14 % 9M 15 9M 14 % 9M 15 9M 14 % Revenue ex IFRIC 12 250 272 8.0 181 101 272 109 33.6 7.7 111 108 3.3 143 106 35.3 EBITDA margin adjusted 217 86.7% 241 88.4% 9.8 101 55.9% 61.1% 88 32.1% 46.2% 15.5 23 20.7% 22 20.3% 5.5 68 47.4% 47 44.0% 45.8 EBIT margin adjusted 144 57.5% 167 61.2% 13.7 72 39.9% 43.5% 56 20.5% 29.5% 29.2 8 7.2% 7 6.5% 14.3 32 22.5% 20 18.7% 62.6 Result 67 85 21.4 25 80 >100 4 2 >100 19 13 47.3 Passengers in mil. 23.0 23.4 1.7 10.9 11.3 3.8 4.2 4.0 4.1 24.8 21.8 13.4 Except for Xi an all figures refer to IFRS accounting, percent changes based on unrounded figures

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34 Appendix Group P&L 9M 2015

35 Appendix Group Cash Flow Statement 9M 2015

36 Appendix Financial Position as at September 30, 2015

37 Appendix Special Effects 9M 2015 mil. 9M 15 9M 14 Group financial result Market valuation of derivatives & F/X fluctuations 0.9 7.2 Segment External Activities IFRIC 12 revenue 10.2 7.5 AMU Holdings acquired August 2014 Revenue 44.3 8.4 EBITDA 10.0 1.9 EBIT 3.8 0.8 Aerodrom Ljubljana acquired Oct. 2014 Revenue 26.7 EBITDA 10.9 EBIT 3.4 Air Transport IT disposed April 2015 Revenue 4.9 9.7 EBITDA 0.3 1.4 EBIT 0.1 1.1 Fraport Saudi Arabia ended June 2014 Revenue 9.5 EBITDA 3.1 EBIT 3.0

38 Appendix 9M Effects on Aviation EBITDA Balanced with staff cost Mainly FraConnect kickback More provisions released in 2014 Mainly wage increases, thereof: 8 mil. balanced in rev. Mainly: noncapitalizable capex, provisions created & quality measres mil. 198 +29 +8 4 4 11 14 202 EBITDA 9M 2014 Aviation charges Security revenue Other revenue Other income Staff cost Other EBITDA 9M 2015 Split of aviation charges 9M 2015 % share in aviation charges mil 9M 15 9M 14 % Passenger 396 373 6.1 Security 5,6% Parking 6,1% Takeoff & emission 123 120 2.0 Parking 36 34 6.0 Security 33 31 5.7 Takeoff & emission 20,9% 67,4% Passenger Total 587 558 5.2 Due to commercial rounding slight discrepancies may occur when summing up, percent changes based on unrounded figures

39 Appendix Maturity Profile & Cash Position as at September 30, 2015 mil. 4.500 4.000 3.925,5 Fraport debt conditions on average ~ 3.3 % interest rate ~ 4.9 years maturity 3.500 3.000 2.500 Bookvalue nominal 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 1.163,6 Liquidity as of Sep 30, 2015 Financial Liabilities 1132,8 471,9 377,2 517,3 422,8 413,9 238,0 321,2 5,1 2,6 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024++

40 Appendix IR Contact Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide 60547 Frankfurt am Main www.meetir.com +49 69 690 74842 investor.relations@fraport.de Stefan J. Rüter Head of Finance & Investor Relations +49 69 69074840 s.rueter@fraport.de Svenja Ebeling Investor Relations Assistant +49 69 69074842 s.ebeling@fraport.de Marc Poeschmann Manager Investor Relations +49 69 69074845 m.poeschmann@fraport.de Florian Fuchs Manager Investor Relations & Financial Reporting +49 69 69074844 f.fuchs@fraport.de