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Transcription:

Thai Beverage PLC. H1 09 Financial Results 14 August 2009

Note on Forward Looking Statements The following presentation may contain forward looking statements by the management of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited ( ThaiBev"), relating to financial or other trends for future periods, compared to the results for previous periods. Some of the statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to the financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. Forward looking information is based on management's current views and assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those in the statements as originally made. Such statements are not, and should not be construed as a representation as to future performance of ThaiBev. In particular, such targets should not be regarded as a forecast or projection of future performance of ThaiBev. It should be noted that the actual performance of ThaiBev may vary significantly from such targets. Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 2

Understanding this Presentation Reporting of business segments The Company disposed of its entire shareholding in Thai Alcohol Public Company Limited on 30 September 2008. Accordingly, the operation of the industrial alcohol business segment is shown for 2008 only. Current operations by business segments consist of beer, spirits, nonalcoholic beverages and food. The Company acquired Oishi Group Public Company Limited (Oishi) on 30 September 2008 and accounted for the business combination in a manner similar to a pooling of interests. The Company restated the statements of income for the second quarter and the six-month period ended 30 June 2008 to include the revenues and expenses of Oishi in the Company performance for comparison. All monetary amounts in millions of Thai Baht unless otherwise stated Volumes in millions of liters unless otherwise stated EBITDA = Earnings from total revenues before interest expense, income tax, depreciation, and amortization Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 3

Highlights

Increase in The Excise Tax The Ministry of Finance declared an increase in the excise taxes of certain categories of alcoholic beverages, effective from 7 May 2009 onwards. The excise tax is imposed by one of two methods, whichever is higher: an ad valorem rate or a specific rate. The ad valorem rate is a percentage of the ex-factory price. The specific rate is an amount in Baht on every one litre of pure alcohol of the product. White spirits: The specific rate: from 110 -> 120 Baht per litre of pure alcohol The ad valorem rate: unchanged The specific rate > the ad valorem rate Compounded spirits: The specific rate: from 280 -> 300Baht per litre of pure alcohol The ad valorem rate: unchanged The specific rate > the ad valorem rate Beer The specific rate: unchanged The ad valorem rate: from 55% -> 60% The ad valorem rate > the specific rate The new excise taxes caused a rise in the Company s white spirits, compounded spirits and beer of 8.4%, 7.1% and 26.7% respectively. However, the Company passed on the tax increase to its customers directly. Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 5

Interim Dividend Dividend Payment Interim'08 Interim'09 Net Profit belonging to the Company (M) 5,019 * 5,773 Number of Shares (M) 25,110 25,110 Interim Dividend (M) 3,013 3,767 Earnings per share (Baht) * 0.20 0.23 Dividend Payout Ratio 60% 65% Dividend per share (Baht) 0.12 0.15 * Net profit and Earnings per share in 2008 are not restated and do not include Oishi. Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 6

Consolidated: H1 09 Highlights Group H1'08 H1'09 Change Sales Revenue 53,868 54,347 0.9% COGS (38,424) (38,109) % of Sales Revenue 71.3% 70.1% SG&A & Other Expenses (7,673) (7,483) % of Sales Revenue 14.2% 13.8% EBITDA 10,504 11,013 4.8% Net Profit 5,301 5,814 9.7% Less: Minority interests (158) (41) Net Profit belonging to the Company 5,143 5,773 12.2% Margin* EBITDA 19.5% 20.3% Net Profit 9.8% 10.7% * margins are % of sales revenue Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 7

Contribution per Business Segment H1 09 Net Profit Sales 103.4% 63.9% 29.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.0% 4.3% 2.8% -9.6% -0.3% Beer Spirits Non-Al Beverages Food Elimination Beer Spirits Non-Al Beverages Food Elimination Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 8

Total Sales Volume 431 Volume (M Liters) H1'08 H1'09 317 212 245 64 77 3 4 6 6 23 24 * Beer Spirits Oishi Energy drink Soda Water -26.5% 15.4% 19.8% 47.1% 7.7% 2.2% * ThaiBev started energy drink business in Mar 2008 Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 9

Business Segments

Spirits Spirits H1'08 H1'09 Change Sales Revenue 28,718 34,729 20.9% COGS (18,924) (22,369) % of Sales Revenue 65.9% 64.4% SG&A (3,513) (3,634) % of Sales Revenue 12.2% 10.5% EBITDA 7,548 9,902 31.2% Net Profit 4,265 6,016 41.1% Margin* EBITDA 26.3% 28.5% Net Profit 14.9% 17.3% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales revenue UP increase in sales volume and sales price COGS (%) DOWN decrease in fuel costs SG&A (%) DOWN decrease in transportation costs EBITDA UP increase in sales revenue and higher margins Net Profit UP increase in EBITDA and decrease in interest expenses Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 11

Spirits: Revenue-Cost Break Down (% of total revenue) H1 09 48.9% 17.3% 8.0% 10.4% 5.2% 6.5% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% Net profit Int. exp.+ Inc. Tax SG&A Excise Tax Packaging Raw Material Depreciation Labor Other Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 12

Beer Beer H1'08 H1'09 Change Sales Revenue 21,272 15,925-25.1% COGS (16,764) (13,395) % of Sales Revenue 78.8% 84.1% SG&A (3,179) (3,048) % of Sales Revenue 14.9% 19.1% EBITDA 2,424 443-81.7% Net Profit (Loss) 879 (560) -163.7% Margin* EBITDA 11.4% 2.8% Net Profit(-Loss) 4.1% -3.5% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales revenue DOWN decrease in sales volume COGS (%) UP higher raw material costs, packaging SG&A (%) UP increase of idle costs although there was a decrease of sales promotion and transportation costs EBITDA DOWN decrease of sales, increase in raw materials, packaging, and idle costs Net Profit DOWN decrease of EBITDA Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 13

Beer: Revenue-Cost Break Down (% of total revenue) H1 09 54.3% 1.4% 18.9% 13.8% 7.5% 2.6% 1.1% 3.9% -3.5% Net profit Int. exp.+ Inc. Tax SG&A Excise Tax Packaging Raw Material Depreciation Labor Other Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 14

Update: International Business Chang Beer Chang beer has continued to see sales growth however in Europe, Australia and the USA as it is a relatively new entry. In the US especially, as total imports of beer decline, Chang sales have risen approximately 60%. As more people have chosen to remain at home, the proportion of Chang sold offpremise has started to outweigh the proportion sold on-premise. In the UK and US, this has led to more emphasis on sales to supermarkets and chains. Mekhong Mekhong has only really been introduced to the UK and US in late 2007, and it is still early in the product cycle to state how successful it will become over time. However, Mekhong is expected to continue to do well in up-market cocktail bars and good Thai restaurants. Inver House s products Single malt portfolio continues to grow with strong performances in a number of key markets including the important travel retail channel and more recently with the launch of ancnoc in Sweden. International Beverage has recently launched a new super premium gin, Caorunn. The gin is distilled at the Group s Balmenach Distillery situated in the heart of the Speyside region of Scotland. The launch of Caorunn Gin continues to build on the strategy of premiumisation and further develops the Group s portfolio of luxury spirits brands. Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 15

Non-alcoholic Beverages Non-alcoholic Beverages H1'08 H1'09 Change Sales Revenue 1,909 2,319 21.5% COGS (1,380) (1,443) % of Sales Revenue 72.3% 62.2% SG&A (420) (533) % of Sales Revenue 22.0% 23.0% EBITDA 339 526 55.2% Net Profit 118 301 155.1% Margin* EBITDA 17.8% 22.7% Net Profit 6.2% 13.0% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales revenue UP increase of Oishi beverages sales COGS (%) DOWN Oishi products create higher margin by using ThaiBev s own direct-sales force SG&A (%) UP increase in staff costs and marketing expenses EBITDA UP increase in gross profit Net Profit UP increase in EBITDA and decrease in interest expenses Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 16

Food Food H1'08 H1'09 Change Sales Revenue 1,251 1,558 24.5% COGS (720) (915) % of Sales Revenue 57.6% 58.7% SG&A (458) (586) % of Sales Revenue 36.6% 37.6% EBITDA 149 142-4.7% Net Profit 82 57-30.5% Margin* EBITDA 11.9% 9.1% Net Profit 6.6% 3.7% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales revenue UP more number of branches and sales promotion COGS (%) UP increase in food costs due to more variety of foods SG&A (%) UP higher staff costs, branch rental fee and sales promotion expenses EBITDA DOWN higher in SG&A Net Profit DOWN decrease in EBITDA and increase in interest expenses Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 17

Financials

Interest Bearing Debt Interest Bearing Debt 31-Dec-08 30-Jun-09 (Million Baht) Current Bank overdrafts 760 738 Short-term loans from financial institutions 7,941 8,366 Current portion of long-term loans 5,325 4,725 14,026 13,829 Non-current Long-term loans from financial institutions 3,265 1,090 3,265 1,090 Total 17,291 14,919 Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 19

Financial Ratios Ratios 31-Dec-08 30-Jun-09 Current Ratio 1.54 1.58 Total Debt to Equity 0.48 0.42 Net Asset Value per Share (Baht) 2.14 2.21 Net Asset Value per Share (SGD)* 0.09 0.09 * exchange rate at THB 24: SGD 1 Turnovers (days) Jan-Dec 08 Jan-Jun 09 A/R Turnover 6 5 Inventory Turnover Beer Business Finished Goods 32 39 Spirits Business Finished Goods (exc. Legacy Stocks) 68 67 Current ratio UP increase in cash from operation Debt ratio DOWN repayment in loans Note: use 365 days to calculate turnover Thai Beverage PLC.: H1 09 Page 20

Q&A