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4 th Quarter 2015 Financial Results

Transcription:

Financial Results 1

Note on Forward Looking Statements The following presentation may contain forward looking statements by the management of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited ( ThaiBev"), relating to financial or other trends for future periods, compared to the results for previous periods. Some of the statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to the financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. Forward looking information is based on management's current views and assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those in the statements as originally made. Such statements are not, and should not be construed as a representation as to future performance of ThaiBev. In particular, such targets should not be regarded as a forecast or projection of future performance of ThaiBev. It should be noted that the actual performance of ThaiBev may vary significantly from such targets. 2

Understanding this Presentation Effective from 27 March 2015, all alcoholic beverages and tobacco have been charged an additional 2% of excise tax by law to contribute to National Sports Development Fund. Currently, the Company pays excise tax plus municipal tax, Health Promotion Fund contribution, Thai Public Broadcasting Service levy and the latest one, National Sports Development Fund, for 10.0%, 2.0%, 1.5% and 2.0% of excise tax, respectively. Thus, the Company pays excise tax plus 15.5% of excise tax for the total above mentions. The Company s current selling prices of its alcoholic beverage products have already covered this additional charge. Due to a higher interest rate in Singapore and an appreciation of Baht against Singapore dollar in January 2015, the Company refinanced Singapore dollar loans with Baht short-term loans to avoid the floating interest rate and the currency exposures. Nonetheless, the Company restructured the Baht short-term loans amounting to Baht 25,000 million in June 2015 by issuing 18-month bills of exchange of Baht 5,000 million and entering into long-term loans with financial institutions of Baht 20,000 million. The repayment will vary based on loan terms from 18 months to 36 months during years 2016-2018. On 17 April 2015, Sermsuk Public Company Limited ( Sermsuk ), an indirect subsidiary of the Company, sold and transferred ownership on the plot of land and building to a related company. The net cash received after deducting related expenses was Baht 1,736 million. The Company recognized gain on sales of Baht 446 million presented as a part of other income in the consolidated statement of income. On 19 August 2015, the Company launched the new look Chang Classic bottle. The bottle's colour has also been changed from amber to green. The new Chang Classic will be only a 5.5 percent of alcohol, down from 6 percent of alcohol previously. The new beer is a part of the company's strategy. In addition, the Company discontinued several beer products - Chang Light, Chang Export and Chang Draught and consolidated all its beers under the Chang Classic brand in line with its vision to become a "sustainable leader" in the beer market in ASEAN by 2020. 3

Understanding this Presentation Current operations by business segments consist of spirits, beer, non-alcoholic beverages and food All monetary amounts in millions of Thai Baht unless otherwise stated Volumes in millions of liters unless otherwise stated EBITDA = Earnings from total revenues before interest expense, income tax, depreciation, and amortization 4

Highlights 5

Performance Highlights performance Result within expectation Resilient revenue growth in all beverage segments, amid weak economy Total sales revenue grew 6.2% to Baht 172,049 million Impactful beer launch drove both top line and bottom line of beer business Sales revenue +22.5% Sales volume +17.5% EBITDA +80.9% Net profit +206.8% Satisfactory growth in net profit Net profit from continuing operations grew 5.5% to Baht 22,616 million Recorded the profit sharing on a gain on F&N s disposal of Myanmar Brewery Limited (MBL) in the proportion of our share holding of Baht 3,848 million in 3Q15 6

Group Financial Highlights Revenue from sales (millions baht) 172,049 6.2% EBITDA from continuing operations (millions baht) 32,887 4.3% Net profit from continuing operations (millions baht) 22,616 5.5% Earnings per share (basic)* (baht) 1.05 22.0% * Include the profit sharing on a gain on F&N s disposal of Myanmar Brewery Limited (MBL) in the proportion of our share holding of Baht 3,848 million 7

Dividend Policy: Not less than 50% of net profit after deduction of all specified reserves, subject to our investment plans and as the Board of Directors deems appropriate Dividend Payment 2014 2015 Net Profit belonging to the Company - Include F&N/FCL (Million Baht) 21,694 26,463 Number of Shares (Million Shares) 25,110 25,110 Dividend (Million Baht) 15,317 15,317 Less Interim dividend already paid (Million Baht) 3,767 3,767 Final dividend (Million Baht) 11,550 11,550 Payout ratio 71% 58% Dividend Payment Net Profit belonging to the Company - Include F&N/FCL (Million Baht) 21,694 26,463 Less exceptional item* (Million Baht) - 3,848 Normalized net profit (Million Baht) 21,694 22,615 Payout ratio (Normalized net profit) 71% 68% Dividend per share (Baht) 0.61 0.61 Less Interim dividend already paid (Baht ) 0.15 0.15 Final dividend (Baht) 0.46 0.46 Dividend Yield 3.6% 3.4% * Profit sharing on a gain on F&N s disposal of Myanmar Brewery Limited (MBL) in the proportion of our share holding Yield calculation using: Share price as of 25/2/16 = S$0.700, FX at THB 25.4061: SGD 1 Share price as of 25/2/15 = S$0.705, FX at THB 23.9924: SGD 1 8

Group 2014 2015 Change (M Baht) Sales Revenue 162,040 172,049 6.2% COGS (114,710) (121,830) % of Sales Revenue 70.8% 70.8% SG&A (23,950) (27,027) % of Sales Revenue 14.7% 15.7% EBITDA (exclude F&N/FCL) 28,275 29,070 2.8% Net Profit (exclude F&N/FCL) 19,308 19,630 1.7% F&N/FCL Results (proportion of the holding shares) 2,125 2,986 EBITDA from continuing operations 31,524 32,887 4.3% Net Profit from continuing operations 21,433 22,616 5.5% Gain on disposal of discontinued operations** - 3,848 EBITDA 31,524 36,735 16.5% Net Profit 21,433 26,464 23.5% Consolidated: Highlights Net Profit attributable to: Owners of the Company 21,694 26,463 22.0% Non-controlling interests (261) 0 Margin* EBITDA (exclude F&N/FCL) 17.4% 16.9% Net Profit (exclude F&N/FCL) 11.9% 11.4% EBITDA from continuing operations 19.5% 19.1% Net Profit from continuing operations 13.2% 13.1% EBITDA 19.5% 21.4% Net Profit 13.2% 15.4% * margins are % of sales revenue ** The profit sharing on a gain on F&N's disposal of Myanmar Brewery Limited (MBL) on the proportion of our share holding 9

Group ThaiBev F&N / FCL Total (M baht) 2015 Sales 172,049-172,049 Gross profit 50,219-50,219 EBITDA from continuing operations 29,070 3,817 32,887 Net profit from continuing operations 19,630 2,986 22,616 Gain on disposal of discontinued operations* - 3,848 3,848 EBITDA 29,070 7,665 36,735 Net profit 19,630 6,834 26,464 Consolidated: Highlights 2014 Sales 162,040-162,040 Gross profit 47,330-47,330 EBITDA 28,275 3,249 31,524 Net profit 19,308 2,125 21,433 Increase (Decrease) Sales 10,009-10,009 Gross profit 2,889-2,889 EBITDA from continuing operations 795 568 1,363 Net profit from continuing operations 322 861 1,183 Gain on disposal of discontinued operations* - 3,848 3,848 EBITDA 795 4,416 5,211 Net profit 322 4,709 5,031 % Increase (Decrease) Sales 6.2% - 6.2% Gross profit 6.1% - 6.1% EBITDA from continuing operations 2.8% 17.5% 4.3% Net profit from continuing operations 1.7% 40.5% 5.5% Gain on disposal of discontinued operations* - 100.0% 100.0% EBITDA 2.8% 135.9% 16.5% Net profit 1.7% 221.6% 23.5% * The profit sharing on a gain on F&N's disposal of Myanmar Brewery Limited (MBL) on the proportion of our share holding 10

Sales 100.0% 61.6% 25.1% Contribution per Business Segment 9.6% 3.8% -0.1% Spirits Beer Non-Al Beverages Food Elimination Total 102.7% Net Profit* 100.0% 6.2% 0.3% -9.2% Spirits Beer Non-Al Beverages Food Total * Exclude F&N / FCL 11

% increase/ -% decrease Volume (M Liters) 2014 2015 1,511 1,551 Total Sales Volume 559 566 571 671 Spirits Beer Non-alcoholic 1.2% 17.5% 2.6% % increase/ -% decrease NAB - Volume (M Liters) 2014 2015 868 919 274 305 298 255 71 72 RTD Tea and Jubjai Water Carbonated Soft Drink * Others ** 11.2% 5.9% -14.4% 0.7% * est and 100Plus ** Soda, energy drink, sports drink and other beverages 12

Business Segments 13

Spirits Spirits 2014 2015 Change Sales Revenue 104,592 105,991 1.3% COGS (70,183) (71,013) % of Sales Revenue 67.1% 67.0% SG&A (9,131) (9,787) % of Sales Revenue 8.7% 9.2% EBITDA 27,144 27,053-0.3% Net Profit 20,307 20,169-0.7% (M Baht) Margin* EBITDA 26.0% 25.5% Net Profit 19.4% 19.0% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales Revenue UP an increase in sales volume and sales price COGS (%) DOWN product mix SG&A (%) UP an increase in staff costs EBITDA DOWN an increase in staff costs although there was an increase in gross profit Net Profit DOWN a decrease in EBITDA 14

Spirits: Revenue-Cost Break Down (% of total revenue) 52.5% 19.0% 4.9% 9.2% 4.9% 6.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% NET PROFIT INT. EXP.+ INC. TAX SG&A EXCISE TAX PACKAGING RAW MATERIAL DEPRECIATION LABOR OTHER 15

Beer Beer 2014 2015 Change Sales Revenue 35,193 43,112 22.5% COGS (28,817) (35,024) % of Sales Revenue 81.9% 81.2% SG&A (6,042) (6,798) % of Sales Revenue 17.1% 15.7% EBITDA 1,265 2,289 80.9% Net Profit 396 1,215 206.8% (M Baht) Margin* EBITDA 3.6% 5.3% Net Profit 1.1% 2.8% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales Revenue UP an increase in sales volume and sales price COGS (%) DOWN a decrease in raw material price and higher utilization rate SG&A (%) DOWN a decrease in fixed costs, although there were an increase in staff costs and advertising and promotion expenses EBITDA UP an increase in gross profit and a decrease in fixed cost, although there were an increase in staff costs and advertising and promotion expenses Net Profit UP an increase in EBITDA although there was an increase in corporate income tax 16

Beer: Revenue-Cost Break Down (% of total revenue) 57.5% 2.8% 0.8% 15.7% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% NET PROFIT INT. EXP.+ INC. TAX SG&A EXCISE TAX PACKAGING RAW MATERIAL DEPRECIATION LABOR OTHER 17

Non-alcoholic Beverages Non-alcoholic Beverages 2014 2015 Change Sales Revenue 15,775 16,488 4.5% COGS (11,773) (11,959) % of Sales Revenue 74.6% 72.5% SG&A (6,338) (7,990) % of Sales Revenue 40.2% 48.5% EBITDA (Loss) (excl. gain on sale**) (691) (1,309) -89.4% Net Profit (Loss) (excl. gain on sale***) (1,469) (2,168) -47.6% (M Baht) EBITDA (Loss) (691) (863) -24.9% Net Profit (Loss) (1,469) (1,811) -23.3% Margin* EBITDA (-Loss) -4.4% -5.2% Net Profit (-Loss) -9.3% -11.0% * Margins are % of sales revenue ** Gain on sales of Sermsuk's land and building at Baht 446 million *** Gain on sales of Sermsuk's land and building at Baht 357 million (net of corporate income tax) Sales Revenue UP an increase in sales volume and product mix COGS (%) DOWN product mix SG&A (%) UP a significant increase in advertising and promotion expenses and staff costs EBITDA Loss UP a significant increase in advertising and promotion expenses and staff costs, although there was an increase in gross profit Net Loss UP an increase in EBITDA loss and an increase in depreciation and amortization 18

Food Food 2014 2015 Change Sales Revenue 6,602 6,578-0.4% COGS (4,025) (3,946) % of Sales Revenue 61.0% 60.0% SG&A (2,541) (2,580) % of Sales Revenue 38.5% 39.3% EBITDA 557 591 6.1% Net Profit 74 57-23.0% (M Baht) Margin* EBITDA 8.4% 9.0% Net Profit 1.1% 0.9% * margins are % of sales revenue Sales Revenue DOWN a decrease in average same store sales although there was an increase in number of branches COGS (%) DOWN lower base of gross profit in FY14 due to 50% discount sales promotion SG&A (%) UP an increase in depreciation and amortization expenses EBITDA UP an increase in gross profit Net Profit DOWN an increase in depreciation and amortization expenses, although there was an increase in EBITDA 19

Update: International Business Sales revenue of international business declined slightly by 1.6% due mainly to the lower bulk sales of Scotch whisky Beer - Sales revenue grew 7.3% driven by both currency translational impact and organic growth. The organic growth of 2.2%, was driven by the growth momentum in ASEAN International spirits - Positive sales growth of core brands (Single malts, Gin, Chinese spirits) - Negative sales growth of tail and OEM brands, impacted by the political instability notably Eastern Europe, Latin America and Middle East - Negative sales growth of Bulk sales of Scotch Whisky, impacted by the lower sales to North Asia and the one-off trading transaction which would not be repetitive in 2015 20

Financials 21

Statement of Financial Position Statement of Financial Position 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-15 Change (Million Baht) Assets Current assets 46,068 48,128 2,060 Non-current assets 125,919 133,889 7,970 Total assets 171,987 182,017 10,030 Liabilities Current liabilities 36,036 33,090 (2,946) Non-current liabilities 31,275 29,661 (1,614) Total liabilities 67,311 62,751 (4,560) Shareholders' Equity Total equity 104,676 119,266 14,590 Current assets UP an increase in inventory and cash although there was a decrease in assets classified as held for sales Non-current assets UP an increase in investments in associates Current liabilities DOWN a net decrease in bank overdrafts and loans from financial institutions Non-Current liabilities DOWN a decrease in long-term loans from financial institutions Total equity UP an increase in net retained earnings from profit for the year which deducted with dividend payments 22

Interest Bearing Debt Interest Bearing Debt 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-15 (Million Baht) Current Bank overdrafts 1,363 1,448 Short-term loans from financial institutions 7,173 6,394 Current portion of debentures - 1,000 Current portion of long-term loans 13,411 9,532 21,947 18,374 Non-current Debentures 1,000 1,000 Bill of exchanges - 1,955 Long-term loans from financial institutions 26,555 22,928 27,555 25,883 Total 49,502 44,257 Cash and cash equivalents 2,230 3,490 Net Interest Bearing Debt 47,272 40,767 The periods to maturity of interest-bearing liabilities were as follows Unit: (M Baht) Within one year (2016) 18,374 After one year but within two years (2017) 14,883 After two years but within three years (2018) 11,000 Total 44,257 23

Financial Ratios Ratios 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-15 Current Ratio (times) 1.28 1.45 Liability to Equity Ratio (Gearing Ratio) (times) 0.64 0.53 Interest Bearing Debt to Equity Ratio (times) 0.47 0.37 Net Interest Bearing Debt to Equity Ratio (times) 0.45 0.34 Net Interest Bearing Debt to EBITDA annualized (times) 1.50 1.11 Net asset value per share (Baht) 4.03 4.62 Net asset value per share (SGD)* 0.16 0.18 * exchange rate at THB 25.50 : SGD 1 Turnovers (days) Jan-Dec 14 Jan-Dec 15 A/R Turnover 9 8 Inventory Turnover Spirit Business: finished goods 49 48 Beer Business: finished goods 20 10 Non-alcohol Business: finished goods 34 26 Food Business: finished goods 2 2 Note: use 365 days to calculate turnover Current Ratio UP an increase in inventories and cash, and a net decrease in bank overdrafts and loans from financial institutions Liability to Equity Ratio DOWN an increase in net retained earnings and a net decrease in loans from financial institutions 24

Q&A 25