Table 1: Logit and Zero-truncated Estimates for Models of Black Representation School Boards and City Councils with Mixed Systems School Board City Council Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Legislative Size -0.086-0.155-0.047 0.030*** (0.106) (0.106) (0.045) (0.006) % Black VAP 0.073* 0.022 0.051*** 0.019*** (0.036) (0.013) (0.015) (0.003) % Latino VAP 0.028-0.026-0.006 0.004 (0.020) (0.018) (0.013) (0.004) % White BA -0.109 0.037 0.008-0.029*** (0.057) (0.035) (0.028) (0.008) Black-White Segregation 0.018-0.006 0.031* 0.002 (0.018) (0.016) (0.013) (0.004) Past Representation 3.194*** 0.021 3.000*** 0.114*** (0.566) (0.062) (0.358) (0.019) % Black Employment 0.048-0.014-0.097* 0.011 (0.068) (0.041) (0.041) (0.015) Log of Population 1.144** -0.183 0.553* 0.109* (0.422) (0.189) (0.251) (0.048) South 0.267 0.029 1.211** 0.088 (0.512) (0.549) (0.467) (0.079) 1985 0.686 1.017* 0.612-0.010 (1.445) (0.423) (0.454) (0.107) 1990 0.588-0.090 1.174* -0.003 (0.808) (0.345) (0.496) (0.111) 1995 0.935 0.419 1.035* -0.090 (0.751) (0.343) (0.490) (0.114) 2000 0.435 0.292 0.840-0.165 (0.875) (0.392) (0.498) (0.130) Constant -20.692** 4.323-1.632-2.326 (7.520) (3.331) (4.003) (1.274) N 150 66 544 244 χ 2 64.860 97.553 137.569 567.373 AIC 119.977 196.958 355.162 733.418 BIC 162.126 227.613 415.347 782.378 1
Table 2: Logit Estimates for Models of Black Representation Pair-wise Post-matching Subsamples City Councils Subsample 1 Subsample 2 Subsample 3 SMD AL SMD Mixed AL Mixed Legislative Size 0.202*** 0.448** 0.194*** -0.197*** 0.270*** 0.376* (0.057) (0.140) (0.058) (0.055) (0.070) (0.184) % Black VAP 0.166*** 0.146** 0.166*** 0.067* 0.098*** 0.135*** (0.031) (0.045) (0.032) (0.031) (0.017) (0.033) Log of Population 0.365 1.099 0.503 0.396 0.276 0.800 (0.280) (0.739) (0.303) (0.336) (0.224) (0.492) % Latino VAP -0.012-0.038-0.017 0.025-0.016-0.040 (0.018) (0.063) (0.019) (0.025) (0.017) (0.043) % White BA -0.033 0.098-0.040 0.106** 0.022 0.074 (0.025) (0.055) (0.026) (0.040) (0.016) (0.043) % Black Employment -0.014-0.092-0.010-0.130* -0.043-0.111 (0.050) (0.096) (0.051) (0.065) (0.040) (0.127) South 0.279-0.534 0.248 0.878 0.343 0.538 (0.644) (1.245) (0.653) (0.883) (0.513) (0.943) Past Representation 2.328*** 3.981*** 2.370*** 3.032*** 2.996*** 3.089*** (0.408) (0.939) (0.420) (0.525) (0.367) (0.818) Black-White Segregation 0.053** 0.076 0.050* 0.086*** 0.008 0.048 (0.019) (0.044) (0.020) (0.025) (0.014) (0.039) 1985 0.698 1.710 0.584 0.519 0.239 0.998 (0.570) (1.207) (0.584) (0.683) (0.498) (1.031) 1990 1.793** 4.382** 1.735** 1.407* 0.805 1.060 (0.618) (1.459) (0.640) (0.713) (0.511) (1.031) 1995 0.322 1.569 0.198 2.117* -0.180 2.961* (0.640) (1.309) (0.667) (0.870) (0.569) (1.181) 2000 0.272 1.173 0.488 2.551** -0.043 0.832 (0.686) (1.429) (0.726) (0.988) (0.589) (1.183) Constant -10.520* -19.404* -12.115* -0.928-5.207-10.035 (4.332) (9.890) (4.773) (5.640) (3.758) (12.646) N 416 196 395 295 464 214 χ 2 347.971 205.489 339.499 259.401 358.084 215.673 AIC 232.939 92.876 217.652 165.543 279.612 109.014 BIC 289.369 138.770 273.356 217.161 337.571 156.138 2
Table 3: Zero-Truncated Poisson Estimates Models of Black Representation Pair-wise Post-matching Subsamples City Councils Subsample 1 Subsample 2 Subsample 3 SMD AL SMD Mixed AL Mixed Legislative Size 0.026*** 0.038 0.022*** 0.037* 0.108** 0.013 (0.006) (0.037) (0.006) (0.018) (0.033) (0.037) % Black VAP 0.011*** 0.045* 0.010** 0.018*** 0.018*** 0.013 (0.003) (0.018) (0.003) (0.006) (0.005) (0.007) Log of Population -0.004-0.132 0.023-0.009-0.020 0.317* (0.055) (0.197) (0.056) (0.098) (0.071) (0.150) % Latino VAP -0.019*** -0.029-0.019*** 0.003-0.009-0.004 (0.006) (0.025) (0.006) (0.006) (0.011) (0.010) % White BA -0.014-0.006-0.012-0.022-0.028* -0.046* (0.008) (0.018) (0.008) (0.014) (0.014) (0.021) % Black Employment 0.004 0.033 0.008 0.001 0.012 0.034 (0.014) (0.039) (0.014) (0.029) (0.018) (0.041) South 0.104-1.117** 0.064 0.095-0.380 0.179 (0.124) (0.409) (0.129) (0.157) (0.238) (0.209) Past Representation 0.096*** 0.128 0.100*** 0.105* 0.057 0.121 (0.013) (0.149) (0.013) (0.041) (0.053) (0.066) Black-White Segregation 0.002 0.016 0.002 0.016 0.011-0.002 (0.004) (0.016) (0.004) (0.010) (0.006) (0.010) 1985 0.144 0.206 0.151-0.109 0.278 0.184 (0.138) (0.241) (0.138) (0.205) (0.223) (0.282) 1990 0.259 0.151 0.268 0.051 0.298 0.078 (0.134) (0.278) (0.137) (0.204) (0.226) (0.304) 1995 0.289* -0.565 0.346* -0.117-0.069 0.126 (0.137) (0.439) (0.140) (0.214) (0.240) (0.269) 2000 0.151 0.187 0.180-0.057 0.273-0.095 (0.134) (0.367) (0.136) (0.239) (0.220) (0.275) Constant -0.242-3.160-0.794-1.047-2.151-5.978 (1.210) (3.098) (1.247) (2.320) (1.756) (4.132) N 209 59 195 137 130 113 χ 2 459.445 69.616 430.294 153.965 158.130 69.275 AIC 704.629 229.118 661.713 426.241 333.887 258.462 BIC 751.422 258.203 707.535 467.120 374.033 296.645 3
Table 4: Logit Estimates for Models of Black Representation Pair-wise Post-matching Subsamples School Boards Subsample 1 Subsample 2 Subsample 3 SMD AL SMD Mixed AL Mixed Legislative Size 0.141-0.088 0.141-0.653-0.135 0.517 (0.116) (0.224) (0.116) (0.530) (0.085) (0.326) % Black VAP 0.119*** 0.141** 0.119*** 0.203** 0.085*** 0.189 (0.027) (0.054) (0.027) (0.076) (0.013) (0.097) % Latino VAP -0.003 0.025-0.003 0.116* 0.003 0.014 (0.014) (0.028) (0.014) (0.053) (0.011) (0.049) % White BA 0.016-0.096 0.016-0.200-0.026-0.032 (0.034) (0.064) (0.034) (0.133) (0.014) (0.145) Black-White Segregation -0.042** -0.016-0.042** 0.083** 0.001-0.003 (0.015) (0.021) (0.015) (0.030) (0.007) (0.030) Past Representation 1.911*** 4.407*** 1.911*** 2.805** 2.761*** 4.482*** (0.417) (0.717) (0.417) (0.940) (0.251) (1.231) % Black Employment -0.121** -0.098-0.121** -0.040-0.001-0.039 (0.040) (0.059) (0.040) (0.122) (0.017) (0.176) Log of Population 0.606* 0.567 0.606* 1.269 0.512*** 1.070 (0.257) (0.403) (0.257) (0.673) (0.151) (0.791) South 0.401-0.092 0.401-0.379-0.986-4.670 (0.468) (0.968) (0.468) (1.346) (0.706) (2.875) 1985-0.281-0.183-0.281 0.264 0.200 3.672* (0.647) (0.901) (0.647) (1.180) (0.378) (1.736) 1990-0.143-2.289* -0.143 0.218-0.221 1.461 (0.628) (0.999) (0.628) (1.336) (0.373) (1.655) 1995-0.032-0.705-0.032 1.332-0.373 2.236 (0.647) (0.929) (0.647) (1.327) (0.384) (1.529) 2000 0.283-0.595 0.283 0.783 0.211 0.104 (0.611) (0.963) (0.611) (1.431) (0.347) (1.526) Constant 1.167 0.397 1.167-14.884-7.330** -19.083 (3.486) (6.207) (3.486) (12.656) (2.346) (19.950) N 274 176 274 96 735 93 χ 2 202.871 144.190 202.871 80.359 458.358 78.719 AIC 204.915 119.119 204.915 80.948 534.011 74.973 BIC 255.499 163.505 255.499 116.848 598.409 110.430 4
Table 5: Zero-Truncated Poisson Estimates Models of Black Representation Pair-wise Post-matching Subsamples School Boards Subsample 1 Subsample 2 Subsample 3 SMD AL SMD Mixed AL Mixed Legislative Size 0.071-0.017 0.071 0.251 0.072-0.046 (0.039) (0.174) (0.039) (0.266) (0.044) (1.293) % Black VAP 0.016 0.026 0.016 0.053** 0.025*** -0.004 (0.010) (0.021) (0.010) (0.019) (0.004) (0.082) % Latino VAP 0.008-0.041 0.008 0.017-0.002-0.045 (0.006) (0.030) (0.006) (0.036) (0.005) (0.052) % White BA 0.005 0.008 0.005-0.010-0.007* 0.001 (0.011) (0.031) (0.011) (0.060) (0.003) (0.104) Black-White Segregation -0.002-0.004-0.002 0.018-0.002-0.060 (0.005) (0.012) (0.005) (0.024) (0.003) (0.038) Past Representation 0.267*** 0.110 0.267*** -0.048 0.121*** 0.139 (0.061) (0.111) (0.061) (0.110) (0.034) (0.397) % Black Employment -0.002 0.072-0.002 0.057 0.001 0.372* (0.018) (0.059) (0.018) (0.057) (0.011) (0.173) Log of Population 0.066 0.594 0.066-0.709* 0.161* -1.248 (0.091) (0.429) (0.091) (0.329) (0.071) (0.995) South -0.167-0.121-0.167-0.313 0.289 0.250 (0.163) (0.500) (0.163) (1.019) (0.229) (1.997) 1985 0.581 0.758 0.581 0.582 0.177 2.707* (0.312) (0.485) (0.312) (0.561) (0.192) (1.163) 1990 0.246 0.224 0.246-0.098 0.095 3.202* (0.307) (0.494) (0.307) (0.604) (0.205) (1.377) 1995 0.438 0.386 0.438 0.225 0.401* 1.972 (0.297) (0.469) (0.297) (0.575) (0.202) (1.341) 2000 0.492 0.554 0.492 0.769 0.261 1.479 (0.282) (0.554) (0.282) (0.626) (0.212) (1.476) Constant -2.020-14.089-2.020-0.387-3.021* -15.494 (1.878) (7.739) (1.878) (5.084) (1.175) (8.979) N 138 65 138 53 267 37 χ 2 75.247 57.189 75.247 41.462 270.385 25.483 AIC 362.480 173.668 362.480 143.433 653.078 111.622 BIC 403.462 204.109 403.462 171.017 703.300 134.175 5
Table 6: Cross Sectional Models for City Councils (2000) Logit Zero-Truncated Poisson SMD AL SMD AL Legislative Size 0.213-0.010 0.013-0.052 (0.117) (0.117) (0.015) (0.062) % Black VAP 0.219*** 0.106** 0.024* -0.003 (0.059) (0.035) (0.010) (0.007) Log of Population 0.253 1.237 0.084 0.069 (0.359) (0.671) (0.160) (0.083) % Latino CVAP -0.018-0.012-0.003-0.008 (0.029) (0.022) (0.004) (0.011) % White BA 0.031 0.092* 0.020-0.034 (0.113) (0.036) (0.034) (0.019) % Black Employment -0.097-0.209* 0.001-0.038 (0.132) (0.086) (0.029) (0.045) % Black Homeowner 0.074-0.019-0.009 0.007 (0.059) (0.040) (0.017) (0.013) South 0.386 0.623 0.024-0.463 (0.984) (1.737) (0.293) (0.285) Past Representation 2.757* 3.498*** 0.120** 0.187** (1.308) (0.981) (0.037) (0.068) Black-White Segregation -0.000 0.030-0.015 0.008 (0.051) (0.031) (0.013) (0.008) Constant -3.833-1.375-0.400 3.137 (9.750) (5.803) (3.247) (3.592) N 96 88 53 26 χ 2 48.916 34.574 136.222 131.705 AIC 62.008 61.636 200.116 97.080 BIC 90.216 88.887 221.789 110.919 6
Table 7: Cross Sectional Models for School Boards (2000) Logit Zero-Truncated Poisson SMD AL SMD AL Legislative Size 0.375 0.036 0.191** 0.048 (0.397) (0.184) (0.061) (0.043) % Black VAP 0.105 0.169*** 0.048*** 0.021 (0.107) (0.046) (0.010) (0.015) Past Representation 25.290 4.260*** 0.298*** 0.149* - (0.710) (0.043) (0.058) Log of Population -0.329-0.629 0.035 0.193 (1.014) (0.528) (0.142) (0.129) South -20.684*** -0.061-0.483* 0.474** (2.725) (1.069) (0.236) (0.147) % Latino NC 0.015 0.023 0.007 0.006 (0.063) (0.026) (0.007) (0.005) % Black Homeowner -0.009 0.028-0.019-0.003 (0.083) (0.018) (0.018) (0.009) % Black Employment 0.045 0.000 0.063 0.006 (0.240) (0.049) (0.046) (0.021) % White BA 0.129-0.131** -0.032* 0.003 (0.134) (0.040) (0.013) (0.012) % Latino VAP 0.011 0.100** 0.038*** 0.022* (0.036) (0.035) (0.008) (0.010) Black-White Segregation 0.025 0.021-0.007 0.006 (0.055) (0.017) (0.007) (0.005) Constant -9.234 1.042-7.552-4.249 (23.216) (7.379) (4.597) (2.477) N 64 155 37 60 chi2-71.669 289.754 173.730 aic 41.436 108.732 111.443 160.222 bic 65.183 145.253 130.774 185.355 7
Testing for Interaction Effects In order to avoid interacting two continuous variables in the BlackVAP*segregation interaction models, we followed Trounstine and Valdini s (2008) lead and transformed black VAP into a dichotomous dummy variable that equals 1 when black VAP is moderate, 0 otherwise. We then tested our interactions two ways. First, we constructed the dummy variable utilizing the thresholds we empirically estimated: =1 when the black VAP in the council/school district was +/- 1standard deviations from the empirical threshold we estimated. For example, school boards in 2000 using SMDs with a black VAP threshold between 16% and 55% were coded 1, 0 otherwise. Second, we followed Trounstine and Valdini s method (2009, p. 559), which estimated the moderate threshold as between 100/seats/2 and 50%. For example, a school boards in 2000 with 7 seats would be coded as 1 if the black VAP was between 7.1% and 50%. As is illustrated from the examples given, our method takes into account electoral structure, whereas Trounstine and Valdini s method takes into account legislative size.these dummy variables were then interacted with segregation (Tables 9 & 10) to test our hypothesis that school districts and/or councils may in fact need to be hypersegregated in order to concentrate the black population into a single district. Following similar logic, we ran interactions models of legislative size and segregation in Tables 8 and 11, again using the moderate threshold dummy as a measure of black VAP. 8
Table 8: Segregation * Legislative Size: School Boards (2000) Authors Threshold Trounstine and Valdini s Threshold SMD AL SMD AL Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Legislative Size 1.644* -0.188-0.175 0.037 0.137 0.018-0.047 0.062-0.773-0.19-0.175-0.061-0.373-0.198-0.199-0.065 Population (log) -1.002 0.21-0.284 0.028-1.05-0.022-0.216 0.043-0.73-0.178-0.378-0.086-0.957-0.134-0.424-0.089 Black White Segregation 0.029-0.004 0.026 0.011*** 0.038 0.001 0.031 0.011*** -0.026-0.005-0.016-0.003-0.03-0.005-0.017-0.003 Latino VAP 0.036 0.029*** 0.01 0.003 0.014 0.013** 0.004 0.004-0.06-0.006-0.015-0.004-0.034-0.005-0.017-0.003 White BA 0.12 0.053*** 0.014 0.013*** 0.079 0.016 0.022* 0.013*** -0.074-0.015-0.01-0.003-0.044-0.012-0.009-0.003 Black Employment -0.125 0.045 0.076* 0.034-0.119 0.068 0.084* 0.031-0.142-0.041-0.039-0.018-0.157-0.044-0.038-0.018 South -1.288-0.689* -1.705 0.585*** -0.327-0.459-0.991 0.661*** -2.774-0.299-0.998-0.146-2.016-0.342-0.783-0.13 Past Representation 7.330** 0.310*** 4.441*** 0.205*** 6.568*** 0.221*** 4.225*** 0.210*** -2.663-0.049-0.551-0.038-1.684-0.036-0.554-0.032 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) 13.897-0.962-3.18 0.387-8.677-1.486-3.068-0.707 Size*Segregation -1.624 0.308 0.572-0.028-0.96-0.199-0.405-0.087 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) -0.867-1.289 3.005 0.643-4.059-1.556-2.439-0.778 Size*Segregation 0.401 0.162-0.238-0.075-0.519-0.215-0.313-0.098 Constant 3.728-7.161-5.91-4.558** 14.335-5.988-9.054-4.689*** -16.001-3.948-6.033-1.403-19.419-3.771-6.488-1.413 N 68 39 208 83 68 39 208 83 χ 2 43.733 182.876 88.457 158.761 54.594 142.945 82.39 161.879 AIC 46.417 114.347 157.32 233.949 48.52 124.143 153.959 234.361 BIC 70.831 132.647 194.033 260.556 72.935 142.442 190.671 260.968 9
Table 9: Segregation * Black VAP: School Boards (2000) Authors Threshold Trounstine and Valdini s Threshold SMD AL SMD AL Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Legislative Size 1.644* -0.188-0.175 0.037 0.137 0.018-0.047 0.062-0.773-0.19-0.175-0.061-0.373-0.198-0.199-0.065 Population (log) -1.002 0.21-0.284 0.028-1.05-0.022-0.216 0.043-0.73-0.178-0.378-0.086-0.957-0.134-0.424-0.089 Black White Segregation 0.029-0.004 0.026 0.011*** 0.038 0.001 0.031 0.011*** -0.026-0.005-0.016-0.003-0.03-0.005-0.017-0.003 Latino VAP 0.036 0.029*** 0.01 0.003 0.014 0.013** 0.004 0.004-0.06-0.006-0.015-0.004-0.034-0.005-0.017-0.003 White BA 0.12 0.053*** 0.014 0.013*** 0.079 0.016 0.022* 0.013*** -0.074-0.015-0.01-0.003-0.044-0.012-0.009-0.003 Black Employment -0.125 0.045 0.076* 0.034-0.119 0.068 0.084* 0.031-0.142-0.041-0.039-0.018-0.157-0.044-0.038-0.018 South -1.288-0.689* -1.705 0.585*** -0.327-0.459-0.991 0.661*** -2.774-0.299-0.998-0.146-2.016-0.342-0.783-0.13 Past Representation 7.330** 0.310*** 4.441*** 0.205*** 6.568*** 0.221*** 4.225*** 0.210*** -2.663-0.049-0.551-0.038-1.684-0.036-0.554-0.032 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) 13.897-0.962-3.18 0.387-8.677-1.486-3.068-0.707 MBV*Size -1.624 0.308 0.572-0.028-0.96-0.199-0.405-0.087 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) -0.867-1.289 3.005 0.643-4.059-1.556-2.439-0.778 MBV*Size 0.401 0.162-0.238-0.075-0.519-0.215-0.313-0.098 Constant 3.728-7.161-5.91-4.558** 14.335-5.988-9.054-4.689*** -16.001-3.948-6.033-1.403-19.419-3.771-6.488-1.413 N 68 39 208 83 68 39 208 83 χ 2 43.733 182.876 88.457 158.761 54.594 142.945 82.39 161.879 AIC 46.417 114.347 157.32 233.949 48.52 124.143 153.959 234.361 BIC 70.831 132.647 194.033 260.556 72.935 142.442 190.671 260.968 10
Table 10: Segregation * Black VAP: City Councils (2000) Authors Threshold Trounstine and Valdini s Threshold SMD AL SMD AL Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Legislative Size 0.072 0.047** -0.188 0.016 0.078 0.025-0.2 0.026-0.058-0.018-0.173-0.056-0.062-0.019-0.174-0.056 Population (log) 0.149 0.071-0.297 0.034-0.011-0.026-0.224 0.059-0.458-0.175-0.385-0.087-0.41-0.18-0.415-0.101 Black White Segregation 0.019 0.008 0.014 0.009** 0.015 0.099** 0.034 0.013** -0.043-0.006-0.017-0.003-0.044-0.034-0.024-0.004 Latino VAP -0.026-0.017 0.01 0.004-0.029-0.009 0 0.003-0.023-0.011-0.016-0.004-0.023-0.01-0.016-0.004 White BA -0.141-0.043 0.012 0.013*** -0.148-0.022 0.025* 0.013*** -0.092-0.031-0.011-0.003-0.114-0.027-0.01-0.003 Black Employment -0.013-0.006 0.082* 0.037* 0 0.01 0.081* 0.031-0.08-0.035-0.04-0.018-0.086-0.027-0.036-0.018 South 0.92 0.413* -0.83 0.591*** 1.945* 0.413-0.989 0.623*** -0.848-0.209-0.665-0.151-0.8-0.275-0.825-0.128 Past Representation 3.725** 0.075* 4.527*** 0.208*** 3.531** 0.110*** 4.226*** 0.222*** -1.253-0.036-0.553-0.035-1.158-0.032-0.56-0.03 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) -3.897 0.518* -2.350* -0.014-3.632-0.245-1.142-0.311 MBV*Size 1.079* -0.03 0.095** 0.004-0.483-0.017-0.032-0.007 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) 1.378 6.215** 1.466 0.19-3 -2.361-1.327-0.278 MBV*Size -0.004-0.100** -0.005-0.003-0.06-0.036-0.029-0.007 Constant -2.529-0.162-5.64-4.692** -2.12-6.235-7.75-4.727** -8.294-3.34-6.186-1.433-8.531-3.375-6.09-1.559 N 96 53 208 83 96 53 208 83 χ 2 51.777 194.671 89.02 162.261 56.658 403.989 82.423 163.137 AIC 73.819 201.456 153.709 233.79 77.205 198.376 154.435 234.569 BIC 102.027 223.129 190.422 260.397 105.413 220.049 191.148 261.176 11
Table 11: Segregation * Legislative Size: City Councils (2000) Authors Threshold Trounstine and Valdini s Threshold SMD AL SMD AL Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Logit ZTP Legislative Size 0.108 0.021-0.111-0.084 0.078 0.025-0.064-0.068-0.063-0.018-0.135-0.052-0.062-0.019-0.156-0.054 Population (log) 0.267 0.048 0.732 0.107-0.011-0.026 0.76 0.124* -0.512-0.175-0.602-0.069-0.41-0.18-0.726-0.06 Black White Segregation 0.032 0.004 0.018 0.01 0.015 0.099** -0.015 0.003-0.05-0.01-0.032-0.006-0.044-0.034-0.026-0.006 Latino VAP -0.038-0.016 0-0.016-0.029-0.009-0.002-0.006-0.032-0.012-0.051-0.013-0.023-0.01-0.034-0.011 White BA -0.192-0.031 0.025-0.03-0.148-0.022-0.003-0.048-0.099-0.027-0.037-0.021-0.114-0.027-0.051-0.029 Black Employment -0.027 0.028-0.123-0.05 0 0.01-0.1-0.037-0.09-0.031-0.091-0.03-0.086-0.027-0.108-0.039 South 1.225 0.266 1.257-0.769** 1.945* 0.413 0.903-0.59-0.948-0.229-2.267-0.27-0.8-0.275-2.111-0.327 Past Representation 3.941** 0.105** 4.280*** 0.205*** 3.531** 0.110*** 4.689*** 0.188** -1.408-0.035-0.975-0.06-1.158-0.032-1.01-0.066 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) 9.229* 0.324-4.113 2.044*** -3.9-0.879-2.924-0.42 Size*Segregation -0.144* -0.004 0.130* -0.025*** -0.068-0.015-0.064-0.007 Moderate Black VAP (MBV) 1.378 6.215** -4.893* 0.242-3 -2.361-2.495-1.027 Size*Segregation -0.004-0.100** 0.117* 0.003-0.06-0.036-0.046-0.015 Constant -3.013-2.392-0.727 3.736-2.12-6.235-1.932 2.759-9.28-3.54-6.387-2.308-8.531-3.375-6.3-2.854 N 96 53 88 26 96 53 88 26 χ 2 54.017 138.869 42.928 165.215 56.658 403.989 36.135 160.64 AIC 71.703 204.07 69.281 92.232 77.205 198.376 67.458 96.12 BIC 99.911 225.743 96.532 106.071 105.413 220.049 94.708 109.959 12