ANGLO AMERICAN CREATING LONG TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE

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Transcription:

ANGLO AMERICAN CREATING LONG TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE Merrill Lynch Conference May 2006 1 This presentation is being made only to and is directed only at (a) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the Order ) or (b) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as relevant persons ). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.

Anglo American A focused mining group (i) Overview 2

A focused mining group Anglo American Platinum Diamonds Base Metals Coal Industrial minerals Ferrous Metals Paper and Packaging Gold Precious metals and minerals Bulk and Base Metals Mondi to be separated and listed on LSE in 2006/2007 Shareholding in AGA reduced to 41.8% 3

Strong operational performance Compound annual growth rates EPS CAGR: 21% 300 EBITDA CAGR: 19% 250 DPS CAGR: 16% 200 150 100 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 4

Share price performance 350 300 Anglo: +205% since listing 250 200 150 100 FTSE 100: (3%) since Anglo listing 50 0 5/24/1999 03/07/2000 12/19/2000 10/05/2001 7/24/2002 05/09/2003 2/20/2004 12/03/2004 9/21/2005 5

Strong balance sheet Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Gearing¹ 14.4% 27.9% 32.0% 25.4% 17.0% EBITDA interest cover² 58.4x 50.5x 9.3x 18.5x 20.0x 8.6 8.2 $bn 5.6 5.0 2.0 Net Debt 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ¹ Net debt/net Debt+Net Assets less investments in associates ² 2001-2003 EBITDA interest cover under UK GAAP 6

Returns to shareholders Total dividend up 29% to 90c per share in 2005 Special dividend of 33cps Buyback doubled to $2bn Buyback to date: $600m 7

Anglo American A focused mining group (ii) Driving the growth 8

Delivering production growth 2000-2005 production growth Platinum +31% Diamonds +36% Copper +19% Zinc +105% Coal +45% 9

Future growth strong project Project pipeline pipeline $5.8bn of approved projects $10-15bn of future projects MEREBANK $174m FINSCH $130m KROONDAL $138m TICOR 1 $137m INYANDA $30m GRASSTREE $107m 2006 BLACK MTN $110m BUNDOORA $49m CHAGRES $21m ISIBONELO $65m GROOTEGELUK $55m MARIKANA JV $18m CERREJÓN 1 $50m MPONENG $80m MOTOTOLO JV $100m 2007 SASA marine $52m TICOR 2 $54m CUIABÁ $51m DAWSON $426m SNAP LAKE $230m CERREJÓN 2 $43m EL SOLDADO $80m MOAB KHOTSONG $288m UNKI $84m LAKE LINDSAY $361m MAFUBE $132m VICTOR $356m VOORSPOED $80m PPRUST NORTH replacement $230m SISHEN EXPANSION $559m 2008 2009 LEBOWA $179m BODDINGTON $181m PPRUST NORTH expansion $692m SISHEN SOUTH Iron ore QUELLAVECO Copper GROSVENOR Coal TWICKENHAM Platinum XIWAN Coal COLLAHUASI EXPANSION Copper SOUTH AFRICA EXPANSION Coal BARRO ALTO Nickel MORANBAH SOUTH Coal FALEME Iron ore CULLINAN EXPANSION Diamonds SADDLER S CREEK Coal MONASH ENERGY Coal LOS BRONCES EXPANSION Copper GAMSBERG Zinc MORRO SEM BONE Nickel GAHCHO KUE Diamonds Anglo Platinum Diamonds AngloGold Ashanti Coal Ferrous Metals Industrial Minerals Paper & Packaging Base Metals Selected major authorised projects. Selected future projects unshaded. 100% of subsidiaries and AA plc s share of JV s and associates. Full production dates. 10

Base Metal projects Barro Alto feasibility study for 33ktpa nickel project to be completed and approval sought during 2006 US$1000m Los Bronces - Potential expansion to over 400ktpa, FS underway for completion in 2007, permit applications in process US$750m Collahuasi - Potential debottlenecking to increase production by 20% US$150m Quellaveco - feasibility study completed in 2000 and project placed on hold, awaiting permits etc. Options under review US$1000m +60% Copper +120% Nickel +80% Zinc Potential production increase should all projects be approved 11

Further base metal project pipeline Gamsberg - New discovery at Gamsberg East 40m @ 7.7%Zn and 10g/tAg, further targets to be tested - US$1000m Ore resources at Collahuasi are sufficient to further double copper production, active exploration programmes for water are in place Strong greenfield nickel laterite pipeline Morro Sem Bone - Pre-feasibility study underway - estimate 47Mt @ 1.76% Ni Jacare - Advancing to resource definition - estimate 430Mt @ 1.33% Ni Additional drilled resources in Chile Los Bronces 700Mt @ 0.8% Cu El Soldado 70Mt @ 0.8% Cu 12

Platinum projects 5 yr production growth 2000-2005 (refined pt): production increased by 31% (CAGR 5.5%) Projects completed - BRPM & JV with Royal Bafokeng - Polokwane -Modikwa Projects in progress Kroondal ($138m) Mototolo ($100m) and Marikana ($18m) JVs concluded Lebowa Merensky replacement project ($179m) Future projects Studies continue on: - Ga Phasha - Pandora - Der Brochen - Twickenham - Styldrift - Booysendal -ACP - Western Limb Tailings - PMR expansion Projects approved PPRust North replacement project ($230m) PPRust North expansion project ($692m) 3.4 3.2 3 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 2 Platinum: volume growth ahead of demand m oz 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 13

Coal:significant project growth 5 yr production growth 2000-2005: production increased by 45% Projects under development Metallurgical coal capacity to increase by c.50% in next three years $835 million Dawson expansion on track - Increases coking/thermal coal production from 7mtpa to 12.7mtpa $516 million Lake Lindsay metallurgical coal project approved - Increases coking coal production from 6mtpa to 10mtpa mt 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 Coal: strong volume growth 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Cerrejon expansion to 28mtpa to be completed by end 2006 - Approval given to expand to 32mtpa $264m Mafube JV approved Future projects Further unapproved projects: 14 - South Africa expansion - Australia: Monash - China: Xiwan and other Saddlers Creek - Canada: Hillsborough Moranbah South Grosvenor

Iron ore growth strategy Production set to increase from 33mtpa to 56mtpa in 5 years: 100 90 80 Production (Mtpa) 70 60 50 40 30 Thabazimbi SEP 1 SEP 2 Phase 1 Phoenix SEP 1A Sishen South Ph 2 Sishen South Ph 1 Faleme Pellets Pre-Feasibility: 27.9 Mtpa Feasibility: 9.0 Mtpa 20 Scoped: 42 Mtpa 10 Sishen 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 15

Diamond project growth De Beers 5 yr production growth 2000-2005: production increased by 36% Projects under development $791m Victor project approved in August 2005-6m carats over the life of mine - Full production in 2009 $513m Snap Lake project - 19m carats over the life of mine - Full production in 2008 SASA marine ($115m) and Voorspoed ($177m) projects approved Future projects Further projects in Botswana and Canada 16

Capacity increases Long lead times Pre Feasibility Feasibility Permitting Construction Commissioning & ramp up Year 1 3 4 6 ½ 8 Generally 4-6 years delay from decision to full production 17

Jul-00 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 18 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 Skorpion production Zn price (nominal) 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - Jan-99 Jul-99 Jan-00 Zn price (US$/lb) Zn production (t) FS started Capacity increases Project approval Construction started Production started Design capacity

Anglo American A focused mining group (iii) Strategic update 19

AngloGold Ashanti Shareholding in AGA reduced from 50.8% to 41.8% Registered secondary offering of 16.3 million shares plus 3.4 million shares under a greenshoe option completed in April 2006 Proceeds of $973 million Shares sold at a 21.4% premium to price pre 26 October 2005 strategy announcement 41.8% stake currently worth $6.3bn 20

Strategic review: Mondi Mondi to be listed in 2006/7 on LSE Separation options being explored Financial, legal and other preparatory work underway Support for growth options to be continued 21

Strategic review: Tarmac New structure and strengthened management team to drive improvements Focus on scale and leadership positions to deliver performance Intensive review well underway, phase one complete Growth and turnaround opportunities identified Sales of underperforming and non core businesses being initiated Phase 2 review underway Bolt-on acquisitions being pursued, strengthening route to market 22

Strategic review Sale process proceeding Indicative bids received Short listed buyers currently completing due diligence Tongaat Hulett operating profit up 90% Tongaat Hulett Board announced: Hulamin to be unbundled and listed BEE equity participation to be introduced in both Tongaat- Hulett and Hulamin 23

Record operating performance in 2005 Summary One of the strongest project pipelines in the industry Delivering on strategic restructuring $2.5bn capital return to shareholders Positive outlook for global economic prospects and metals 24