SITE CENTERS NOVEMBER 2018

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Transcription:

SITE CENTERS NOVEMBER 2018

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS The Company considers portions of the information contained in this presentation to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, both as amended, with respect to the Company s expectations for future periods and for historical periods for which financial statements have not yet been issued. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that its expectations will be achieved. For this purpose, any statements contained herein that are not historical fact may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. There are a number of important factors that could cause the Company s results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, including, among others, local conditions such as supply of space or a reduction in demand for real estate in the area; competition from other available space; dependence on rental income from real property; the loss of, significant downsizing of or bankruptcy of a major tenant and the impact of any such event on rental income from other tenants and our properties; redevelopment and construction activities may not achieve a desired return on investment; our ability to buy or sell assets on commercially reasonable terms; our ability to complete acquisitions or dispositions of assets under contract; our ability to secure equity or debt financing on commercially acceptable terms or at all; our ability to enter into definitive agreements with regard to our financing and joint venture arrangements or our failure to satisfy conditions to the completion of these arrangements; the termination of any joint venture arrangements or arrangements to manage real property; property damage, expenses related thereto and other business and economic consequences (including the potential loss of rental revenues) resulting from extreme weather conditions in locations where we own properties, and the ability to estimate accurately the amounts thereof; sufficiency and timing of any insurance recovery payments related to damages from extreme weather conditions; any changes in strategy; the success of our deleveraging strategy; and our ability to maintain REIT status. With respect to five-year growth targets provided in this presentation, such metrics are goals, not projections, and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond the control of the Company and its management; actual results will vary and those variations may be material. For additional factors that could cause the results of the Company to differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements, please refer to the Company s most recent reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly revise these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that arise after the date of the presentation. NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES This presentation includes references to certain non-gaap financial measures. Reconciliations of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found at the end of this presentation. 2

SITE CENTERS 5-YEAR BUSINESS PLAN RETURN FOCUSED 5% PREMIER OPERATING PLATFORM AVG OFFO/NAV GROWTH COMPELLING REDEVELOPMENT PIPELINE OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING 2.75% BALANCE SHEET STRENGTH A V G S S N O I GROWTH 3

HIGHER QUALITY AND FOCUSED PORTFOLIO 160 128 78 WHOLLY OWNED PROPERTIES MAR. 3, 2017 DEC. 1, 2017 OCT. 9, 2018 INCREASE OF MSA CONCENTRATION +20% 80% AVG HH INCOME, ABR PSF & GREEN STREET TAP SCORE OF NOI IN 12 MARKETS 4

TOP QUARTILE DEMOGRAPHICS ASSETS ARE CONCENTRATED IN AFFLUENT COMMUNITIES WITH BARRIERS TO ENTRY AND COMPELLING DEMOGRAPHICS. SITE CENTERS PROPERTIES ARE IN THE TOP QUARTILE WHEN COMPARED TO ALL U.S. OPEN-AIR SHOPPING CENTERS. 83rd PERCENTILE 78th PERCENTILE PERCENTILE RANK OF OPEN-AIR SHOPPING CENTER PROPERTIES 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% $0K $40K $40K $50K $50K $60K $60K $70K $ 101k SITC PORTFOLIO $70K $80K $80K $90K $90K $100K $100K $110K $110K $120K $120K $130K $130K $140K $140K $150K $150K + PERCENTILE RANK OF OPEN-AIR SHOPPING CENTER PROPERTIES 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0K 20K 20K 40K 116k SITC PORTFOLIO 40K 60K 60K 80K 80K 100K 100K 120K 120K 140K 140K 160K 160K 180K 180K 200K 200K 220K 220K 240K 240K 260K 260K 280K 280K 300K + 300K AVG HH INCOME (3-MILE) POPULATION (3-MILE) 5

COMPELLING RELEASING ECONOMICS RECENT BANKRUPTCIES HAVE HIGHLIGHTED THE QUALITY AND EMBEDDED MARK-TO-MARKET OF SITE CENTERS REAL ESTATE. BANKRUPTCIES ALSO PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO RECAPTURE CONTROL OF GLA AND PARKING FIELDS AT DOMINANT ASSETS. FIVE-YEAR FORECASTS ASSUME ANNUAL BANKRUPTCIES CONSISTENT WITH LAST THREE YEARS. +30% +37% +18% SPREAD SPREAD SPREAD (EXCLUDES VALUE CREATION FROM CONTROL AT SHOPPERS WORLD AND PERIMETER POINTE) Note: Spread includes executed leases and leases in progress 6

ANCHOR OPPORTUNITIES AND MOMENTUM 18 OF 60 ANCHOR OPPORTUNITIES HAVE EXECUTED LEASES ACROSS 15 DIFFERENT RETAIL BANNERS 4 ANCHOR LEASES EXECUTED SINCE INVESTOR DAY ANCHOR ABR CADENCE ($MM) $4.5 ($MM) $4.0 $3.5 $3.0 $2.5 $2.0 60% OF 60 VACANT ANCHOR BOXES SIGNED OR IN PROGRESS $1.5 $1.0 $0.5 $0.0 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 LEASED LEASE IN PROGRESS LOI 7

SHOP OPPORTUNITY MATTRESS FIRM BANKRUPTCY PROVIDES OPPORTUNITY TO RE-TENANT SHOP SPACE AT A POSITIVE MARK-TO-MARKET 24 wholly owned locations with average unit size of 4,750sf (1.0% of PRS ABR) - 6 leases rejected to date (+10% expected mark-to-market) - Assets with a Mattress Firm are 96% leased (excluding Perimeter Pointe) with $17.51/ft ABR and 65 Green Street TAP Score 3Q14 3Q17 93.4% 91.0% 3Q18 TARGET 88.7% 94% 8

2019 OUTLOOK $ 1.15-1.20 1-2% OFFO SSNOI $ 17-21mm $ 14-17mm $ 63mm $ 24-26mm JV FEES INTEREST INCOME G&A (1) RVI FEE INCOME (1) Includes change in presentation of property management fees announced with 3Q2018 results. 9

PORTFOLIO TOOLKIT 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING LEASING REDEVELOPMENT ACQUISITIONS 10

WINTER GARDEN VILLAGE ORLANDO, FL 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING 2.8% 5YR NOI CAGR 10% ROI EXECUTED LEASES WITH BURLINGTON AND NIKE IMPROVE LEASED RATE TO 100% 11

WANDO CROSSING MT. PLEASANT, SC 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING THE EXPANSION OF EXISTING GLA TO ACCOMMODATE TOTAL WINE IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TRADE AREA AND DRIVE CF CAGR. 12

PORTFOLIO TOOLKIT 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING LEASING REDEVELOPMENT ACQUISITIONS 13

REDEVELOPMENT PIPELINE 1 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT 2 ADD 3 OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING GROWING PIPELINE OF OPPORTUNITIES PROVIDES OPTIONALITY FOR DEVELOPMENT OR MONETIZATION MAJOR REDEVELOPMENT MSA ACRES SITE COVERAGE OCC (%) ESTIMATED SPENDING ($MM) Lee Vista Promenade Orlando, FL 74 10% 95% 39 West Bay Plaza Cleveland, OH 17 21% 42% 28 Collection at Brandon Blvd. Tampa, FL 17 31% 92% 28 Shoppers World Boston, MA 255 7% 82% 75-125 Sandy Plains Village Atlanta, GA 17 23% 56% 20-30 Perimeter Pointe Atlanta, GA 31 27% 71% 75-125 Duvall Village Washington, D.C. 12 16% 32% 10-20 Fairfax Towne Center Washington, D.C. 23 25% 98% 55-75 Nassau Park Pavilion Princeton, NJ 113 23% 96% 20-25 Melbourne Shopping Center Melbourne, FL 19 26% 72% 7-12 578 15% 83% $350-$500MM 8% Returns NON-RETAIL COMPONENT 14

COMPELLING LAND USAGE ECONOMICS $10 $0 $0 $0 $30 ABR ONLY 25% OF LAND IS GENERATING RENT AND THEREFORE... $ 12 $ 4 ABR BUILDING SF SITE SF 15

SHOPPING CENTERS ARE INEFFICIENT USERS OF LAND $18 MULTI-FAMILY $14 $15 SUBURBAN OFFICE $9 $6 INDUSTRIAL $5 ABR $ 12 SHOPPING CENTERS $ 4 ABR BUILDING SF SITE SF 16

THE COLLECTION AT BRANDON BLVD. BRANDON, FL 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING EXECUTED LEASES WITH LUCK Y S MARKET AND BEALLS OUTLET TO STABILIZE IN 2020 AT 9% YIELD SITE CENTERS HAS NO DIRECT EXPOSURE TO SEARS/KMART NO DILUTION 17

FAIRFAX TOWNE CENTER FAIRFAX, VA 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING $ 149k AVG HH INCOME 0.5 FAR MULTI-FAMILY OPPORTUNITY ON UNUSED L AND NO DILUTION 18

SHOPPERS WORLD FRAMINGHAM, MA 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING $ 128k AVG HH INCOME 92k SF RECAPTURED SIGNIFICANT OPPORTUNITY FOR DENSITY NO DILUTION 19

PERIMETER POINTE ATLANTA, GA 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING 353k SF RETAIL 100k SF RECAPTURED ASSET ZONED FOR MIXED-USE NO DILUTION 20

463 159 376 658 PERIMETER POINTE ATLANTA, GA 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING 31 33 30% LANDLORD CONTROL 50 RECAPTURED 100K SF ($1.4MM OF LOST RENT) 21

PERIMETER POINTE AT L A N TA, G A 1 AT T R AC T AND ADAPT 2 ADD 3 OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING 22

PORTFOLIO TOOLKIT 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING LEASING REDEVELOPMENT ACQUISITIONS 23

High Cap Rate MARKET DISLIKES Tier II Markets Large Assets Power Centers Short Duration At Risk Tenancies Opportunistic Investing Low Cap Rate MARKET LIKES Coastal Grocery Centers Small Assets Lease Term Credit Quality 24

SHIFTING MARKET SHARE 1 2 3 A T T R A C T AND ADAPT ADD OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTING 50% DECLINE IN TRANSACTION VOLUME FROM DECLINING INSTITUTIONAL DEMAND PROVIDES OPPORTUNITY FOR WELL-CAPITALIZED BUYERS TRANSACTION VOLUME DOWN 48% SINCE 2015 INSTITUTIONAL MARKET SHARE DOWN 23% TTM RETAIL TRANSACTION VOLUME ($MM) $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 2Q14 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 SHARE OF RETAIL TRANSACTION VOLUME 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 3.0% 3.0% 42.0% 4.0% 51.0% 51.0% 8.0% 39.0% 4.0% 64.0% 4.0% 28.0% 2016 2017 2H18 A USER/OTHER PRIVATE CROSS-BORDER INSTITUTIONAL / REIT / LISTED 25

MELBOURNE SHOPPING CENTER MELBOURNE, FL 20mm $ INVESTMENT 15% 5YR NOI CAGR 7% C A P R AT E 5.40 $ SF ABR 65% OCCUPANCY 54 $ SF PURCHASE

Appendix

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES - DEFINITIONS FFO is a supplemental non-gaap financial measure used as a standard in the real estate industry and is a widely accepted measure of real estate investment trust ( REIT ) performance. Management believes that both FFO and Operating FFO ( OFFO ) provide additional indicators of the financial performance of a REIT. The Company also believes that FFO and Operating FFO more appropriately measure the core operations of the Company and provide benchmarks to its peer group. FFO is generally defined and calculated by the Company as net income (loss), adjusted to exclude (i) preferred share dividends, (ii) gains and losses from disposition of depreciable real estate property and related investments, which are presented net of taxes, (iii) impairment charges on depreciable real estate property and related investments and (iv) certain non-cash items. These non-cash items principally include real property depreciation and amortization of intangibles, equity income (loss) from joint ventures and equity income (loss) from non-controlling interests and adding the Company s proportionate share of FFO from its unconsolidated joint ventures and non-controlling interests, determined on a consistent basis. The Company s calculation of FFO is consistent with the NAREIT definition. The Company calculates Operating FFO as FFO excluding certain charges, income and gains. Operating FFO is useful to investors as the Company removes non-comparable charges, income and gains to analyze the results of its operations and assess performance of the core operating real estate portfolio. Other real estate companies may calculate FFO and Operating FFO in a different manner. In calculating the expected range for or amount of net (loss) income attributable to common shareholders to estimate projected FFO and Operating FFO for future periods, the Company does not include a projection of gain and losses from the disposition of real estate property, potential impairments and reserves of real estate property and related investments, hurricane-related activity, certain transaction costs or certain fee income which has been denoted as n/a in the accompanying reconciliations. Other real estate companies may calculate expected FFO and Operating FFO in a different manner. The Company also uses net operating income ( NOI ), a non-gaap financial measure, as a supplemental performance measure. NOI is calculated as property revenues less property-related expenses. The Company believes NOI provides useful information to investors regarding the Company s financial condition and results of operations because it reflects only those income and expense items that are incurred at the property level and, when compared across periods, reflects the impact on operations from trends in occupancy rates, rental rates, operating costs and acquisition and disposition activity on an unleveraged basis. The Company presents NOI information on a same store basis or SSNOI. The Company defines SSNOI as property revenues less property-related expenses, which exclude straight-line rental income and expenses, lease termination income, management fee expense, fair market value of leases and expense recovery adjustments. SSNOI also excludes activity associated with development and major redevelopment and includes assets owned in comparable periods (15 months for quarter comparisons). In addition, SSNOI excludes all non-property and corporate level revenue. Other real estate companies may calculate NOI and SSNOI in a different manner. The Company believes SSNOI provides investors with additional information regarding the operating performances of comparable assets because it excludes certain non-cash and non comparable items as noted above. The Company believes that FFO, OFFO and SSNOI are not, and are not intended to be, presentations in accordance with GAAP. FFO, OFFO and SSNOI information have their limitations as they exclude any capital expenditures associated with the re-leasing of tenant space or as needed to operate the assets. FFO, OFFO and SSNOI do not represent amounts available for dividends, capital replacement or expansion, debt service obligations or other commitments and uncertainties. Management does not use FFO, OFFO and SSNOI as indicators of the Company s cash obligations and funding requirements for future commitments, acquisitions or development activities. FFO, OFFO and SSNOI do not represent cash generated from operating activities in accordance with GAAP, and are not necessarily indicative of cash available to fund cash needs. FFO, OFFO and SSNOI should not be considered as alternatives to net income (computed in accordance with GAAP), as indicators of operating performance or as alternatives to cash flow as a measure of liquidity. Reconciliations of projected FFO and projected OFFO for the year ending December 31, 2019 to the most directly comparable GAAP measure of net income (loss) have been provided herein. Reconciliations of 2019 SSNOI and five-year growth targets for SSNOI and Operating FFO to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure are not provided because the Company is unable to provide such reconciliations without unreasonable effort. 28

RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO COMMON SHAREHOLDERS TO FFO AND OPERATING FFO ESTIMATE Per Share - Diluted 2019E Net income attributable to common shareholders $0.20 - $0.27 Depreciation and amortization of real estate 0.86-0.89 Equity in net (income) of JVs (0.04) - (0.05) JVs' FFO 0.10-0.12 FFO (NAREIT) and Operating FFO $1.15 - $1.20 29