Board of Directors Zurich, 24 March, 2009 Dufry Presentation 1Q10 Results

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Transcription:

Dufry Presentation 1Q10 Results May 2010 1

Legal Disclaimer Information in this presentation may involve guidance, expectations, beliefs, plans, intentions or strategies regarding the future. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements included in this release are based on information available to Dufry AG (the Company or DAG ) as of the date of this release, and we assume no duty to update any such forward-looking statements. Factors that could affect the Company s forward-looking statements include, among other things: global GDP trends, competition in the markets in which the Company operates, unfavorable changes in airline passenger traffic, unfavorable changes in taxation and restrictions on the duty-free sale in countries where the company operates. Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or to any US person. In addition, neither this document nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into Canada or Australia or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. 2

Agenda 1. Overview 1Q10 Results 2. Dufry Strategy 3. Financials 4. Conclusion 3

1. Overview 1Q10 Results 4

Main Events 1Q10 Return to growth Strong organic growth of Dufry Positive passenger growth Retail network Openings of 48 new shops in Q1 2010 Opening of shops at Hongqiao airport in Shanghai in March 2010 13 shops with a total of 1 410 square meters including brands like Hugo Boss, Lacoste, Omega, Swarovski Additional 1 500 sqm planned as part of a joint venture Further international expansion of Hudson News is progressing Rio de Janeiro concession Legal case Operations Efficiency Plan improvements generated in 2009 largely maintained EBITDA margin in Q1 10 matches the one in Q1 08, Dufry s best year ever Launch of first projects of Dufry +One and One Dufry initiatives Local suppliers purchasing plan, Global logistic platforms, Global marketing plan, Global brand plan Volcano Ash Impact on Dufry has been limited as only 14% of turnover in Europe 5

Key Figures 1Q10 Turnover and EBITDA Evolution 2,600 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 34.4% 9.5% 1,930 12.5% 2,114 2,379 Turnover at constant FX rates +15.7% to CHF 625 m 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 - EBITDA margin (1) 51.2% 100 950 60.3% 160 1,436 61.6% 13.1% 259 293 301 450 538 50 58 65 '05 '06 '07 '08 09 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 10.5% 11.2% 13.4% 13.9% 12.7% 11.1% 10.8% 11.1% EBITDA 2.6% (1) Turnover 19.6% 15.9% 8.7% 11.6% 585 Gross margin improved to 56.6% from 55.4% EBITDA (1) at constant FX rates + 20.7% - EBITDA margin of 11.1% Note: (1) EBITDA before other operational result 6

PAX Growth March YTD Passenger Growth International PAX Forecast 20% 18.2% 15.0% 15.4% 15% 10% 4.8% 5% 3.5% 2.3% 0% Africa Source: ACI Asia/Pacific Europe Lat Am/Caribbean Middle East North America 8.4% 5.5% World Dufry 2010 2011 2012 2013 EUROPE 1.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% NORTH AMERICA 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% LATIN AMERICA 6.3% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% ASIA/ PACIFIC 12.5% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% MIDDLE EAST 12.6% 8.1% 7.6% 7.2% AFRICA 8.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0% TOTAL 4.7% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% Source: Air4cast; April 2010 Annual Passengers (millions) Long-term Total Passenger Forecast 7,000 6,656.7 6,429.9 6,197.5 7.3% 5,963.0 6,000 5,195.6 5,715.1 5,464.8 4,542.7 4,875.5 4.3% 5,000 3.9% 4,478 3.8% 3.5% 4,230.4 4,338.2 6.6% 5.2% 4.7% 4.6% 4,000 2.5% 3,000-0.2% 2,000 1,000-6.4% 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Airports Council International, Global Traffic Forecast 2008-2019 / Forecast; July 2009 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% Annual Growth Rates 7

Business Development Update Openings in 2009 and Q1 2010 Location Date Additional sqm Grandi Stazioni, Italy Oct-09 1,734 Milan Train Station, Italy Nov-09 1,652 Torino Train Station, Italy Nov-09 686 Europe various locations 510 Europe 4,582 Belgrade, Serbia Mar-09 799 Shanghai, China Mar-10 1,500 Eurasia various locations 405 Eurasia 2,704 Latinoamericana DF, Mexico Nov-09 3,917 Honduras Dec-09 673 Caribbean various locations 438 Central America & Caribbean 5,028 Canada Dec-09 1,600 Florida Oct-09 1,229 Newark Aug-09 643 Hudson US various locations 1,438 North America 4,910 Brazil Jul-09 543 Flagship (Cruise Line) Sep-09 421 Current Project Pipeline by Retail Space North America 32% Europe 3% South America 9% Central America & Caribbean 10% Africa 2% Eurasia 44% Total of 44 projects with 38 800 sqm of new concessions Additional opportunities through acquisitions South America 964 Hudson international locations Oct-09 1,132 Total 19,320 8

Rio de Janeiro International Airport Note: (1) In million Shops Informations RJ Legal case As % of RJ Total Background As % of Brazil As % of Group No. of shops 6 86% 11% 1% SQM 3,947 95% 34% 3% PAX 2009 (1) 2.6 22% 21% 2% Ministério Público Federal (MPF) and Brazilian Airport Authority (Infraero) reviewed certain concessions agreements at Rio de Janeiro International Airport MPF and Infraero have filed a civil lawsuit against Dufry seeking cancellation of agreements Dufry was notified on May 7, 2010, of a provisional order required to vacate certain concessions at the airport within 90 days Order did not address substantive issues raised in the lawsuit Dufry to appeal against decision Dufry s Position Dufry is confident that existing contracts are valid Reviewed by lawyers in the due diligence in 2006 and confirmed recently Agreements were reviewed by the Brazilian Court of Audit (TCU) in 2003 Injunction is not based on an assessment of the existing contract More than 30 years partnership with Infraero Long-standing relationships at all levels Partners in all major airports in Brazil Dufry won concessions for 15 shops with a total of 1 700 sqm in 2009/2010: 2 DF shops and 1 DP in Salvador 2 DF shops in Fortaleza 2 DF shops in Natal 2 DF shops in Curitiba 1 DP shop in Belem 1 DP shop in Salvador 1 DP shop in Campinas 3 DP shops in Rio de Janeiro 9

Dufry 2010-2015 Dufry 2010-15: Strategic Plan EMPLOYEES 14.2857% AIRPORT AUTHORITIES 14.2857% & LANDLORDS ORGANIZATION HR SHAREHOLDERS 14.2857% & INVESTORS Mid-Term Plan 2010-2012 CUSTOMERS 14.2857% DUFRY +1 ONE DUFRY INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 14.2857% SOCIETY 14.2857% SUPPLIERS 14.2857% COMPETITORS Dufry 2010: Focus in Profitable Growth Organic growth based on passenger growth and productivity improvements External growth through new retail space added in last 12 months Manage company based on fundamentals Maintain improvements of efficiency plan generated in 2009 10

2. Dufry Strategy 11

Proven Track Record of Delivering Growth 40 countries 145 airports 1,097 shops Dufry Key Facts Around 340 concessions Retail space of over 146,000 sqm World-wide employee base of 11,200 people Listed on the SIX Swiss Stock Exchange since December 2005 Evolution of Dufry 2003 2009 Notes: (1) EBITDA before other operational result 2003 2009 Growth CAGR % Countries 25 40 60% 8% Airports 47 145 209% 21% Shops 227 1'097 383% 30% Retail Surface (sqm) 36'750 146'000 297% 26% Turnover (CHFm) 686 2'379 247% 23% EBITDA (1) (CHFm) 49 301 514% 35% 12

Leading Global Travel Retailer Mediterranean Corridor Asia Corridor Latin America Corridor 13

Dufry s Performance 1Q10 Dufry per Region Dufry by Product North America 28% Developed Markets South America 25% Emerging Markets Europe 13% Africa 6% Eurasia 9% Central America & Caribbean 19% Watches & jewelry 11% Electronics 3% Tobacco goods 8% Literature & Publications 12% Other 11% Wine & spirits 15% Perfumes & cosmetics 23% Food 17% Dufry by Sector Dufry per Channel Railway stations & other 5% Duty paid 36% Duty free 64% Downtown hotel & resorts 4% Cruise liners & seaports 5% Airports 86% 14

Global Growth Opportunities Passengers Significant historic and projected growth in all areas Productivity Organic growth Penetration Improved retail concept Marketing and branding Average spend per transaction Product mix Pricing New concessions Acquisitions Spend per Passenger 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 14% 10% 8% CAGR 7% 17% 5% 10% 11% Dec '04 Dec '05 Dec '06 Dec '07 Dec '08 Dec '09 Mar '10 Average growth of 6% p.a. Average growth of 13% p.a. Growth driven by a combination of Strong organic growth with its global, balanced portfolio Broad skill set of management enables DAG to win new concessions in mature regions and emerging markets Successful execution of value-enhancing M&A targets Note: (1) On constant FX rates; FX effect -3% p.a. TOP-LINE GROWTH: 26% p.a. (1) 15

Travel Retail Market Trends Travel Retail Industry Retail Trends Other Operators 53% Dufry 6% Top 9 operators 41% Broadening of customer base - Emerging Markets - Lower customer segments Enhance shopping experience - Adapt trends in high street retailing to travel retail - Convenience and experience to increase importance over price advantage Leverage customer information - Space allocation / Product categories - Assortment / Brands - Marketing & Promotion US$million 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Global Duty-Free and Travel Retail Sales 34,000 37,000 34,500 29,000 12,436 27,000 25,000 11,188 12,959 9,449 511 20,000 20,500 8,565 457 7,525 380 8,056 8,782 5,982 5,624 322 352 5,954 6,676 7,056 247 262 4,951 5,011 7,860 8,820 9,604 11,199 11,407 12,115 14,299 15,271 13,209 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Europe Americas Africa Middle East, Asia & Oceania 472 CAGR 2002 2009 8.1% 11.7% 9.7% 6.8% 5.9% 16

3. Financials 17

Merger Completed Dufry AG Shareholder Structure Funds Controlled by Advent 33.5% Hudson Media 4.3% DAG Free Float (Shares + BDRs) 62.2% DUFRY AG, SWITZERLAND January 11th: Proposed Merger of Dufry AG and DSA January 18th: Approval of the Merger by both Board of Directors of Dufry AG and DSA March 19th: Approval of the Merger by SGM of members of DSA March 22nd: Approval of the Merger by EGM of Dufry AG April 12th: Dividends Payment of USD 4.71 for each BDR holders and Shareholders of DSA April 19th: Last day of trading of DSA BDRs April 20th: First trading day of new Dufry AG BDRs (DAGB11) on BM&FBOVESPA 18

Turnover/Net Sales Growth Analysis Turnover Growth Components Turnover Growth at constant FX 15.7% Organic Growth 10.6% New Concessions 5.1% FX Translation Effect -7.0% Reported Growth 8.7% FX Rate Development FX Evolution Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 CHF/USD 2010 1.06 CHF/USD 2009 1.15 1.11 1.06 1.02 % Change 10/09 8.1% CHF/EUR 2010 1.46 CHF/EUR 2009 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.51 % Change 10/09 2.5% Source: Bloomberg Quarterly Organic Growth Sales Growth by Region Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 3.0% 10.6% Constant Growth FX Growth Europe 3.3% 5.3% Africa -2.8% 1.0% Eurasia -1.8% 5.1% Central America & Caribbean 1.9% 10.6% South America 31.7% 42.3% North America 6.8% 14.6% -18.1% -14.5% -14.7% 19

Profitability Analysis EBITDA Growth CHF million Q1 10 Q1 09 Growth EBITDA At constant FX 70.1 58.1 20.7% Reported 64.8 58.1 11.6% EBITDA Margin (Before other operational result) Gross Profit Margin 16% 57% 56.6% As % of Turnover 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 13.4% 13.9% 12.7% 11.1% 10.8% 11.1% as % of Turnover 56% 55% 54% 53% 53.3% 54.5% 55.9% 53.3% 55.4% 2% 0% 52% 2007 2008 2009 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 51% 2007 2008 2009 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 20

Income Statement (CHF million) Dec '03 % Dec '07 % Dec '08 % Dec '09 % Mar '09 % Mar '10 % Turnover 685.7 100.0% 1,930.3 100.0% 2,113.5 100.0% 2,378.7 100.0% 538.3 100.0% 585.0 100.0% Gross profit 318.1 46.4% 1,028.0 53.3% 1,151.9 54.5% 1,329.4 55.9% 298.2 55.4% 331.0 56.6% Concession fees 117.6 17.2% 367.6 19.0% 408.0 19.3% 480.1 20.2% 111.1 20.6% 128.9 22.0% Personnel expenses 92.9 13.5% 234.6 12.2% 276.1 13.1% 361.3 15.2% 89.9 16.7% 95.7 16.4% Other expenses 58.7 8.6% 166.6 8.6% 174.4 8.2% 186.9 7.9% 39.1 7.3% 41.6 7.1% EBITDA (1) 48.9 7.1% 259.3 13.4% 293.4 13.9% 301.1 12.7% 58.1 10.8% 64.8 11.1% Depreciation 20.8 3.0% 33.2 1.7% 39.7 1.9% 63.9 2.7% 16.6 3.1% 16.1 2.8% Amortisation 5.8 0.8% 37.0 1.9% 46.7 2.2% 59.1 2.5% 15.0 2.8% 15.3 2.6% EBIT (1) 22.3 3.2% 189.1 9.8% 207.0 9.8% 178.1 7.5% 26.5 4.9% 33.5 5.7% Other operational result -38.3 3.2-11.9-14.7-1.6-1.7 Financial result -4.7-27.9-47.3-43.4-14.2-5.8 EBT -20.7-3.0% 164.4 8.5% 147.9 7.0% 120.0 5.0% 10.7 2.0% 25.9 4.4% Income tax 12.6 38.3 30.1 22.7 0.4 4.0 As % of EBT 23.3% 20.4% 18.9% 4.1% 15.4% Net Earnings -33.3-4.9% 126.0 6.5% 117.8 5.6% 97.3 4.1% 10.3 1.9% 21.9 3.7% Attributable to: Minority interest 0.1 51.1 67.5 58.8 12.1 13.5 Equity holders of the parent -33.4 75.0 50.3 38.5-1.8 8.4 Net Earnings before amortization (2) 157.3 155.8 143.3 22.5 34.0 Attributable to: Minority interest 60.1 76.8 67.7 14.5 15.9 Equity holders of the parent 97.3 79.0 75.6 8.0 18.1 Notes: (1) EBITDA and EBIT before other operational result (2) Net Earnings adjusted by amortization of acquisitions. Impact in deferred taxes not considered 21

Net Earnings / Earnings Per Share Net Earnings CHF million Q1 10 Q1 09 Growth NET EARNINGS 21.9 10.3 112.4% Proforma post merger Minority Interest 1) 2.0 12.1 Equity Holders of the Parent 1) 19.9-1.8 Reported Minority Interest 13.5 12.1 Equity Holders of the Parent 8.4-1.8 1) DSA Minorities considered as Equity Holders of the Parent in A'10 Earnings Per Share FY 2009 Earnings Per Share Q1 5.0 4.71 1.0 0.91 4.0 3.94 0.8 Per Share (CHF) 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.01 3.06 Per Share (CHF) 0.6 0.4 0.2-0.19 0.42-2009 2009 PF -0.2-0.10 1Q 2009 1Q 2010 Basic EPS Adj. EPS Basic EPS Adj. EPS 22

Seasonality Turnover Turnover Seasonality in CHF million 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 1,930 2,114 2,379 450 538 585 CHF million 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 450 585 538 485 597 538 624 641 619 0 2007 2008 2009 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2009 2010 EBITDA Seasonality EBITDA Margin Seasonality CHF million 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 91 86 81 81 76 71 65 58 50 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2009 2010 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 14.7% 15.0% 13.8% 14.2% 11.1% 12.7% 13.1% 11.1% 10.8% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2009 2010 23

Balance Sheet ASSETS (CHF million) 31/12/2007 31/12/2008 31/12/2009 31/03/2010 Cash & equivalents 125.1 263.7 405.3 456.7 Trade receivables, net 52.0 44.3 48.2 47.0 Inventories 291.4 344.3 306.5 313.7 Other current assets 89.4 121.1 122.4 144.3 Current Assets 557.9 773.4 882.4 961.7 Property, Plant & Equipment 128.5 249.8 241.6 240.2 Intangible assets 1,052.0 1,410.9 1,350.5 1,366.6 Other non-current assets 38.0 175.8 175.6 180.0 Non-Current Assets 1,218.5 1,836.5 1,767.7 1,786.8 TOTAL ASSETS 1,776.4 2,609.9 2,650.1 2,748.5 LIABILITIES & EQUITY (CHF million) 31/12/2007 31/12/2008 31/12/2009 31/03/2010 Trade payables 165.6 151.8 202.0 190.1 Other current liabilities 170.9 230.7 253.3 450.6 Financial Debt 495.5 1,087.9 1,015.0 1,069.9 Other non-current liab. 9.0 8.4 5.1 9.3 Deferred tax liab. 172.9 163.2 163.5 164.7 Provisions + pension plans 24.6 14.3 13.6 13.5 Liabilities 1,038.6 1,656.3 1,652.5 1,898.1 Parent equity 507.8 660.0 674.5 760.4 Minorities 230.1 293.6 323.1 90.0 Equity 737.8 953.6 997.6 850.4 TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY 1,776.4 2,609.9 2,650.1 2,748.5 24

Balance Sheet Mar/10 In CHF million Other non current assets (8%) 180 850 Equity (37%) Intangible assets (60%) 1,367 185 Non current liabilities (8%) 613 Net Debt (27%) PP&E (10%) Current assets, other than cash (22%) 240 505 643 Other current liabilities (28%) Assets Liabilities Note: Total % on Assets and Liabilities considers cash as a reduction debt 25

Cash Flow Statement in millions of CHF 2010 2009 Net debt - Dec 31 (609.8) (824.2) Cash flow before working capital changes 66.3 62.8 Change in net working capital (22.3) 35.8 Income taxes paid (5.3) (7.1) Net cash flows from operating activities 38.7 91.5 Capex (PPE and intantible assets) (20.6) (17.3) (Acquisition) / proceeds from sale of investments, net of cash (5.6) (2.9) Net interest paid (10.0) (9.2) Dividends paid to group and minority shareholders (3.6) (3.9) Other (1.9) 1.6 Cash flows affecting net debt (3.0) 59.8 Currency translation (0.5) (43.1) Net debt - Dec 31 (613.3) (807.5) Capex Evolution Net Working Capital Evolution 30 6% 250 14% (CHF million) 20 10 1.3% 8 3.2% 2.8% 2.6% 17 17 16 2.9% 18 3.5% 21 3% 0% (CHF million) 200 150 100 50 10.4% 10.7% 203 218 9.1% 195 7.8% 174 6.4% 153 7.0% 171 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 0 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 Capex Capex as % of Turnover -3% 0 31/12/08 30/03/09 30/06/09 30/09/09 31/12/09 31/03/10 Net Working Capital NWC as % of Turnover -4% 26

Financing and Covenants Net Debt Evolution Debt by Currency in CHF million 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 943 824 808 723 643 610 613 771 CHF 21% EUR 10% 200 100 0 31 Oct 08 31 Dec 08 31 Mar 09 30 Jun 09 30 Sep 09 31 Dec 09 31 Mar 10 31 Mar 10 PF* Note: Pro Forma net debt includes dividend payment to public shareholders of DSA USD 69% Change in Net Debt 14 2 in CHF million 26 66 610 28 610.8 613 Ratio Covenants Actual Required Net Debt - Dec '09 Cash flow before change in NWC Change in NWC incl. Taxes Capex and Interest and other financing investments FX effect and other Net Debt - Mar '10 Dec '08 Dec '09 Mar '10 Mar '10 Net debt / Adj. EBITDA 3.1x 2.7x 2.6x < 3.0x Adj. EBITDA / Interest exp. 5.6x 7.4x 9.1x > 4.0x 27

Trading Volumes Market Capitalisation Average Trading Volume (CHF million) 2500 2000 1500 1,341 2,415 1,497 62% (CHF million) 14 12 10 8 1000 500 0 630 47% 711 53% 918 38% Mkt Cap DAG (1) Mkt Cap DAG (2) 6 4 2 11/11/2009 08/01/2010 11/01/2010 26/03/2010 29/03/2010 29/04/2010 Controlling Shareholder Free Float DAG CH DSA / DAG BDR Notes: (1) Based on data as per 8 January 2010 (2) Based on data as per 6 May 2010 28

2010 Results Calendar 1Q 2010 Results May 20 th, 2010 Half Year 2010 results August 12 th, 2010 3Q 2010 results November 16 th, 2010 Full Year 2010 results March 24 th, 2011 29

4. Conclusion 30

Conclusion/Outlook Key Targets for 2010 Q1 10 performance has confirmed that growth trend is back as mentioned in Q4 2009 Maintain cost savings from Efficiency Plan in 2009 Q1 EBITDA margin confirms that improvements can be sustained Use lessons learnt in 2009 to manage the business based on fundamentals Gross margin improvement Net Working Capital and Capital Expenditure management Manage expansion according to business performance 31

Thank You 32