May 2017 Investor Meetings

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Transcription:

May 2017 Investor Meetings

Safe Harbor Statement This presentation includes forward-looking statements (statements which are not historical facts) within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements concerning the Company's prospects, resources, capabilities, current or future financial trends or operating results, long-term growth capability, demand for the Company s products, future plans for introduction of new products and the anticipated outcome of new business initiatives, estimates of market size and opportunities for growth, planned capital expenditures, anticipated synergies and other benefits of the acquisition of Octane Fitness, and potential uses of our capital resources, including statements regarding potential share repurchases, acquisitions or dividend programs. Factors that could cause Nautilus, Inc.'s actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include our ability to acquire inventory from sole source foreign manufacturers at acceptable costs, within timely delivery schedules and that meet our quality control standards, availability and price of media time consistent with our cost and audience profile parameters, a decline in consumer spending due to unfavorable economic conditions in one or more of our current or target markets, failure successfully integrate the Octane Fitness business, an adverse change in the availability of credit for our customers who finance their purchases, our ability to pass along vendor raw material price increases and increased shipping costs, our ability to effectively develop, market and sell future products, our ability to protect our intellectual property, and the introduction of competing products. Additional assumptions, risks and uncertainties are described in detail in our registration statements, reports and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the "Risk Factors" set forth in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, as supplemented by our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Such filings are available on our website or at www.sec.gov. You are cautioned that such statements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. Unless otherwise indicated, all information regarding our operating results pertain to continuing operations. Nautilus, Inc. 2017 2

Who We Are Mission is to provide innovative solutions that make fitness more attainable and motivate people to live healthier lives Double-digit Revenue Growth Coupled with Even Faster EBITDA Growth We have a strong portfolio of brands, including three of the top five in the industry* $336 $406 $61 Consumer insights driven innovation and new products pipeline Multichannel growth strategy to meet consumer needs wherever they shop Focused on profitable growth and increasing shareholder value $ Millions $180 $194 $274 $43 $34 $219 $19 $14 $7 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Revenue EBITDA* *Non-GAAP information, see Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP *Based on a 2016 national consumer research study 3

Strong Brands Innovation Quick, Proven Results Quality and Value High Awareness Authentic Professional Grade Leader in Zero Impact Cardio 4

Industry Leading Product Quality & Innovation Award winning Bowflex Max Trainer M7 model launched early 2016 Bowflex HVT TM Strength and cardio in one workout, launched May 2017 Octane XT-ONE TM, the next generation cross-trainer Walk, run, hike, and climb on one machine 560 SelectTech Dumbells Award winning first ever smart dumbbells Bowflex Results Series TM Premium treadmills and ellipticals, launching Fall 2017 First of a kind Zero Runner ZR8000 Enabling everyone to run safely and comfortably 5

Diversified Multichannel Growth Strategy Direct to Consumer Unique innovative products Growing with five-year 16% revenue CAGR Higher gross margins coupled with higher media expense structure Low working capital requirements Media penetration and conversion strategy Outstanding customer service Retail Channel Composed of Mass Retail and recently acquired Specialty and Direct Commercial channels (Octane Fitness) Robust growth with four-year 29% revenue CAGR Lower gross margins coupled with lower sales expense structure Broad distribution network Consumer insight driven products Highest consumer ratings 29% Combined Channel Mix 11% Reported under Retail segment 4% 55% 6

Ecommerce Driving Growth Robust Direct Channel Web Sales Growth 60% 63% 56% $143 $136 51% 52% 47% $98 2016 Key Web Metrics 4.6 billion impressions 13 million web visits to Bowflex.com/ca 56% of web visits from mobile devices (phone & tablet) 30+ web properties $63 $71 $50 $ Millions 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Web Sales % of Direct 7

Delivering Solid Financial Performance Strong revenue growth $406 Coupled with improving profitability 11.0% 12.0% 13.1% $53 Resulted in robust cash generation $41 $46 $336 7.2% $40 $34 $274 5.5% $180 $194 $219 12.8% 25.4%22.3% 20.9% 2.0% $30 $21 7.1% 7.5% $16 $13 $ Millions $ Millions $4 $11 $ Millions $5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Revenue Revenue Growth Operating Income % of Revenue Cash Flow From Operations 8

FY 2017 Expected to Continue Growth Trend $406 Revenue $426 - $434 Operating Income $53 $56 - $57 Full year guidance of 5% - 7% revenue and operating income growth o o 2017 expected to be more backend loaded with return to double-digit pace of growth in the second half of 2017 First half will be slower vs. prior year due to tougher comps and lower media response rates $ Millions 2016 2017 Guidance $ Millions 2016 2017 Guidance Q1 2017 revenue & operating income in line with guidance o Revenue of $113M vs. guidance of $110- $112M and Q1 2016 revenue of $121M. Decline vs. prior year related to lower o TreadClimber sales. Operating Income of $13M vs. guidance of $13-14M and Q1 2016 of $19M. Decline vs. prior year due to lower revenue and increased investment. 9

Focused on Increasing Shareholder Value Pretax EPS* $1.65 Increasing shareholder value driven by superior operating results $1.27 $0.95 NLS stock consistently outperforming benchmarks $0.51 $0.34 $0.10 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 *Non-GAAP Information, see Appendix for a reconciliation to GAAP 10

Five Key Growth Drivers Mass Retail Growing market share but still below 5% New Distribution Octane acquisition provides accelerator into specialty, vertical, and commercial markets Innovation Cadence of new products with enhanced consumer experience and engagement International Large market, small share. Nautilus and Octane brands recognized worldwide. Strategic Additional M&A opportunities to advance existing strategies 11

Five Key Growth Drivers Mass Retail Mass Retail New Distribution Balance of sales between traditional storefront and faster growing e-commerce Current small market share provides opportunity for growth within existing market 3% $3.8B North America Market Size* Nautilus Market Share Innovation Broaden assortment of SKUs among existing customers International Strategic Expand use of brand portfolio to address new price points and consumer segments Continue to ramp treadmills growth post launch in late 2014 Enter $200M handheld fitness market $1.0B North America Consumer Treadmill Market* *Based on SFIA 2016 Manufacturers Sales by Category Report; values reflect wholesale pricing 12

Five Key Growth Drivers New Distribution Mass Retail New Distribution Innovation International Strategic Large and growing markets Incremental sales opportunity with favorable pricing and margin dynamics Octane acquisition enhances position Brand centric Nautilus and Schwinn have strong legacy and are widely recognized by consumers; Octane has strong brand equity Develop & launch key products to address these markets Pursue strategic partnerships to build market share US Specialty Market*, $0.3B US Commercial Market**, $1.3B Q3 2017 Airdyne X Launch into Commercial and Specialty *Based on internal analysis; values reflect wholesale pricing; **Based on SFIA 2016 Manufacturers Sales by Category Report 13

Five Key Growth Drivers Mass Retail 65% of 2016 revenue was from products and categories launched in the last three years Innovation New Distribution Innovation International Strategic Reinvent consumer experience with real-time coaching, tracking, and motivation Innovating with apps and connectivity options Partnering with leading platforms to seamlessly sync and share workout data Continuously innovating consumer engagement to leverage changing industry dynamics HOME GOAL AWARD JOURNAL 14

Five Key Growth Drivers Mass Retail New Distribution Innovation International Large potential opportunity outside North America to grow low current market share Nautilus and Octane brands widely recognized worldwide Aggressively adding best of breed distributor partners in target countries Introduced Max Trainer into international market in Q3 2015 EMEA, $3.0B International Estimated Global Market Size by Region* Asia Pacific, $1.1B North America, $5.1B 2016 Nautilus Regional Mix EMEA 4% APLA 3% Latin America, $0.4B Strategic North America 93% *Compilation of industry and internal data; values reflect wholesale pricing 15

Five Key Growth Drivers Strategic Mass Retail New Distribution Innovation International Company in solid position to expand Strong balance sheet with >$88M in cash Significant free cash flow Leverageable infrastructure to capture synergies to accelerate existing strategies through further acquisitions (e.g. strength and handheld fitness) Invest in intellectual property portfolio to drive new product innovation and potentially increase royalty stream Explore opportunities in incremental adjacent categories Strategic 16

Long-term Goals Long-term Goals

The Road Map for Profitable Growth Our approach to profitable growth focuses on three major areas: New Product Innovation Process Rigor IP Portfolio Brand Engagement Margin Discipline Footprint Expansion Operational Excellence New Price Points Leverage Infrastructure New Core Categories Continuous Cost Improvements Plus Growth Supply Chain Efficiency Access to Broader Audience Media Planning 18

Targeted Operating Metrics Long-term Run Rate Revenue Growth 10-12% Operating Income Growth Growth in excess of revenue growth Operating Income % of Revenue EBITDA % of Revenue 11-15% 13-17% 2013 Results 12.8% 48.5% 7.2% 8.9% 2014 Results 25.4% 91.8% 11.0% 12.5% 2015 Results 22.3% 33.6% 12.0% 12.9% 2016 Results 20.9% 32.6% 13.1% 15.1% Long-term Run Rate reflects management assessment of Nautilus organic growth capability over the next 3-5 years Annual results will fluctuate within stated Long-term Run Rate due to industry dynamics and specific product life cycles 2017 full year guidance of 5-7% revenue growth and similar operating income growth 19

Capital Deployment Initiatives Organic Growth Acquisition Strategy Return Capital to Shareholders New Product Introductions Expanding Distribution Infrastructure Investments Enhance or Accelerate Revenue Growth Drivers Opportunistically Expand IP Portfolio Add l $10M Share Buyback Program Announced Q1 2016 Potential for Special/Ongoing Dividend Program Priority #1 #2 #3 20

Key Takeaways Leading portfolio of fitness brands Unique & innovative products and IP Solid sales & earnings growth; significantly improved profitability Strong financial condition Scalable platform & infrastructure Experienced management team that delivers on expectations 21

THANK YOU 22

Appendix

P&L Summary All values in $ millions except per share amounts 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Retail Revenue $ 68.6 $ 63.9 $ 76.8 $ 93.2 $ 106.2 $ 177.9 $ 38.8 $ 37.8 Direct Revenue 107.1 125.0 136.7 175.6 225.6 225.1 81.2 74.7 Royalties 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.6 4.0 3.1 0.9 0.7 Total Revenue 180.4 193.9 218.8 274.4 335.8 406.0 120.9 113.3 Retail Gross Margin 16.0 14.4 19.5 23.7 26.9 58.8 11.6 12.1 % of Retail Rev 23.4% 22.5% 25.3% 25.4% 25.3% 33.1% 29.9% 32.0% Direct Gross Margin 57.7 71.6 81.7 111.2 142.4 149.7 53.9 48.9 % of Direct Rev 53.9% 57.3% 59.7% 63.3% 63.1% 66.5% 66.3% 65.5% Royalty 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.6 4.0 3.0 0.9 0.7 Total Gross Margin 78.5 91.0 106.5 140.6 173.2 211.5 66.3 61.7 % of Rev 43.5% 46.9% 48.7% 51.2% 51.6% 52.1% 54.9% 54.5% Selling and Marketing 54.5 58.6 66.5 81.1 101.6 115.4 35.2 37.7 General and Administrative 17.1 17.7 18.7 22.1 21.4 28.8 8.2 7.5 Research and Development 3.2 4.2 5.6 7.2 9.9 13.9 3.6 3.9 Total Operating Expense 74.9 80.4 90.8 110.4 133.0 158.1 47.0 49.1 % of Rev 41.5% 41.5% 41.5% 40.2% 39.6% 38.9% 38.9% 43.3% Retail Operating Income 9.5 7.9 11.4 13.3 12.9 29.5 3.9 2.2 % of Retail Rev 13.8% 12.3% 14.9% 14.2% 12.1% 16.6% 10.2% 5.9% Direct Operating Income (Loss) 3.0 12.5 14.1 29.3 39.9 43.2 21.1 15.3 % of Direct Rev 2.8% 10.0% 10.3% 16.7% 17.7% 19.2% 26.0% 20.5% Royalties and Unallocated Corporate (8.8) (9.7) (9.8) (12.5) (12.5) (19.3) (5.8) (4.9) Total Operating Income (Loss) $ 3.6 $ 10.6 $ 15.7 $ 30.2 $ 40.3 $ 53.4 $ 19.3 $ 12.7 % of Rev 2.0% 5.5% 7.2% 11.0% 12.0% 13.2% 16.0% 11.2% Other Expense (Income) 0.4 0.2 (0.3) (0.1) 0.2 1.8 0.5 0.4 Pretax Income (Loss) $ 3.2 $ 10.4 $ 16.0 $ 30.2 $ 40.0 $ 51.6 $ 18.8 $ 12.3 Pretax Income (Loss) per Diluted share $ 0.10 $ 0.34 $ 0.51 $ 0.95 $ 1.27 $ 1.65 $ 0.60 $ 0.40 Income Tax Expense (Benefit) 0.7 (0.2) (32.1) 9.8 13.2 16.5 7.2 4.1 Net Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $ 2.5 $ 10.6 $ 48.1 $ 20.4 $ 26.8 $ 35.1 $ 11.6 $ 8.2 Net Income (Loss) per Diluted share $ 0.08 $ 0.34 $ 1.53 $ 0.64 $ 0.85 $ 1.12 $ 0.37 $ 0.26 24

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Pretax Income per Diluted Share from Continuing Operations (unaudited): 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Pretax income (loss) per diluted share from continuing operations $ 0.10 $ 0.34 $ 0.51 $ 0.95 $ 1.27 $ 1.65 Income (loss) per diluted share from income tax provision (0.02) 0.01 1.02 (0.31) (0.42) (0.53) Net income (loss) per diluted share from continuing operations (1) $ 0.08 $ 0.34 $ 1.53 $ 0.64 $ 0.85 $ 1.12 Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) from Continuing Operations (unaudited): Values in $ millions 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net income (loss) from continuing operations $ 2.5 $ 10.6 $ 48.1 $ 20.4 $ 26.8 $ 35.1 Interest expense (income), net 0.4 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.2) 1.7 Income tax expense (benefit) of continuing operations 0.7 (0.2) (32.1) 9.8 13.2 16.5 Depreciation and amortization 3.8 3.3 3.3 4.0 3.4 7.9 EBITDA from continuing operations (1) $ 7.4 $ 13.6 $ 19.4 $ 34.2 $ 43.2 $ 61.1 (1) May not add due to rounding 25