Oklahoma Department of Career and Technology Education Information Commons October 2016 Kiamichi Technology Center - McAlester Economy Overview Report Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com
Parameters Regions Code Description 40063 Hughes County, OK 40077 Latimer County, OK 40091 McIntosh County, OK 40121 Pittsburg County, OK Timeframe 2015-2016 Datarun 2016.3 QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, and Self-Employed Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 1
Economy Overview Population (2016) 88,760 Jobs (2016) 29,617 Average Earnings (2016) $44,964 Unemployed (5/2016) 2,267 Completions (2015) 537 GRP (2014) $2,635,757,955 Exports (2014) $5,372,163,723 Imports (2014) $5,079,421,933 Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 2
Population 88,760-2.4% 2016 Population Population Growth for the Last 5 Years 2.3% of State State Growth 4.0% Age Group 2016 Population % of Population Under 5 years 5,212 5.9% 5 to 9 years 5,404 6.1% 10 to 14 years 5,509 6.2% 15 to 19 years 5,171 5.8% 20 to 24 years 5,075 5.7% 25 to 29 years 5,323 6.0% 30 to 34 years 5,551 6.3% 35 to 39 years 5,005 5.6% 40 to 44 years 4,941 5.6% 45 to 49 years 5,138 5.8% 50 to 54 years 6,135 6.9% 55 to 59 years 6,360 7.2% 60 to 64 years 6,067 6.8% 65 to 69 years 5,432 6.1% 70 to 74 years 4,703 5.3% 75 to 79 years 3,388 3.8% 80 to 84 years 2,301 2.6% 85 years and over 2,046 2.3% Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 3
Jobs by Industry 29,617 51.3% 48.7% Total Jobs (2016) Male Female (National: 51.6%) (National: 48.4%) NAICS Industry 2016 Jobs 11 Crop and Animal Production 525 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 1,299 22 Utilities 173 23 Construction 1,811 31 Manufacturing 1,586 42 Wholesale Trade 363 44 Retail Trade 3,936 48 Transportation and Warehousing 1,024 51 Information 189 52 Finance and Insurance 732 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 233 54 55 56 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 730 44 1,288 61 Educational Services 49 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 2,989 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 214 72 Accommodation and Food Services 2,162 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 1,095 90 Government 9,175 99 Unclassified Industry 0 Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 4
Average Earnings by Industry $44,964 Avg. Earnings (2016) 73% of Nation Avg. NAICS Industry Avg. Earnings (2016) 11 Crop and Animal Production $20,300 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction $88,480 22 Utilities $109,611 23 Construction $43,047 31 Manufacturing $61,108 42 Wholesale Trade $56,183 44 Retail Trade $28,378 48 Transportation and Warehousing $59,582 51 Information $49,771 52 Finance and Insurance $46,736 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing $32,823 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services $48,903 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises $79,634 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services $37,117 61 Educational Services $34,341 62 Health Care and Social Assistance $37,198 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $25,309 72 Accommodation and Food Services $16,403 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) $24,877 90 Government $54,486 99 Unclassified Industry $0 Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 5
Unemployment by Industry 2,267 Total Unemployment (5/2016) NAICS Industry Unemployed (5/2016) % of Regional Unemployme nt 11 Crop and Animal Production 2 0% 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 307 14% 22 Utilities 14 1% 23 Construction 106 5% 31 Manufacturing 193 8% 42 Wholesale Trade 16 1% 44 Retail Trade 275 12% 48 Transportation and Warehousing 47 2% 51 Information 12 1% 52 Finance and Insurance 27 1% 53 54 55 56 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 18 1% 42 2% 1 0% 89 4% 61 Educational Services 0 0% 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 116 5% 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 12 1% 72 Accommodation and Food Services 98 4% 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 68 3% 90 Government 438 19% 99 No Previous Work Experience/Unspecified 387 17% Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 6
NAICS Industry Top Program Completions Unemployed (5/2016) % of Regional Unemployme nt CIP Program Completions (2015) 51 Health professions and related programs 146 13 Education 93 19 52 Family and consumer sciences/human sciences Business, management, marketing, and related support services 58 50 48 Precision production 35 46 Construction trades 28 43 Homeland security, law enforcement, firefighting and related protective services 19 42 Psychology 19 47 26 Mechanic and repair technologies/technicians Biological and biomedical sciences 18 18 Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 7
Gross Regional Product (GRP) $1,646,276,683 $834,383,709 $155,097,563 $2,635,757,955 Earnings (2014) Property Income (2014) Taxes on Production (2014) Total GRP (2014) NAICS Industry GRP (2014) % of Total 11 21 Crop and Animal Production Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction $177,157,330.91 7% $546,431,062.60 21% 22 Utilities $48,628,439.45 2% 23 Construction $110,388,012.35 4% 31 Manufacturing $163,566,074.86 6% 42 Wholesale Trade $45,654,841.89 2% 44 Retail Trade $162,066,852.61 6% 48 Transportation and Warehousing $88,915,627.36 3% 51 Information $22,427,613.20 1% 52 53 54 55 56 Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services $76,195,993.03 3% $43,152,879.54 2% $52,047,044.40 2% $8,887,765.68 0% $58,994,195.61 2% 61 Educational Services $2,031,363.94 0% 62 71 Health Care and Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $125,877,030.27 5% $6,819,833.57 0% Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 8
NAICS Industry GRP (2014) % of Total 72 81 Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration) $57,104,561.04 2% $41,463,480.99 2% 90 Government $555,596,267.50 21% Other Non-Industries $242,351,684.17 9% Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 9
Region Exports $5,372,163,723 Exports (2014) 85% of Supply NAICS Industry Exports (2014) 11 Crop and Animal Production $414,644,964 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction $796,275,787 22 Utilities $59,965,647 23 Construction $143,809,914 31 Manufacturing $508,838,687 42 Wholesale Trade $53,583,758 44 Retail Trade $165,277,990 48 Transportation and Warehousing $177,544,478 51 Information $24,916,793 52 Finance and Insurance $76,393,896 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing $58,545,578 54 55 56 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services $52,710,707 $15,399,577 $74,810,957 61 Educational Services $1,452,341 62 Health Care and Social Assistance $129,593,494 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $7,098,676 72 Accommodation and Food Services $59,000,551 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) $45,349,758 90 Government $2,506,950,170 Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 10
Region Imports $5,079,421,933 $1,051,573,691 Imports (2014) Locally Produced & Consumed (2014) 83% of Demand 17% of Demand NAICS Industry Imports (2014) 11 Crop and Animal Production $133,827,246 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction $71,197,301 22 Utilities $55,838,942 23 Construction $191,156,285 31 Manufacturing $909,336,210 42 Wholesale Trade $242,397,325 44 Retail Trade $188,614,646 48 Transportation and Warehousing $134,284,570 51 Information $189,315,526 52 Finance and Insurance $269,433,066 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing $144,909,756 54 55 56 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services $253,138,493 $79,360,421 $67,296,874 61 Educational Services $60,362,630 62 Health Care and Social Assistance $344,145,701 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $40,622,260 72 Accommodation and Food Services $97,523,921 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) $69,717,002 90 Government $1,536,943,759 Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 11
Regional Trends Region 2015 Jobs 2016 Jobs Change % Change Region 30,053 29,617-436 -1.5% Kiamichi Technology Center - Hugo 20,637 20,632-5 0.0% Kiamichi Technology Center 100,832 100,123-709 -0.7% United States 155,992,069 158,866,954 2,874,885 1.8% Pioneer Technology Center 35,416 34,942-474 -1.3% Growing & Declining Occupations Occupation Change in Jobs (2015-2016) Retail Salespersons 27 Cashiers 23 Waiters and Waitresses 11 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers -26 Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining -34 Roustabouts, Oil and Gas -35 Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 12
Growing & Declining Industries Industry Change in Jobs (2015-2016) Warehouse Clubs and Supercenters 46 Full-Service Restaurants 26 Oil and Gas Pipeline and Related Structures Construction 21 Temporary Help Services -40 State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals -41 Support Activities for Oil and Gas Operations -259 2016 Educational Attainment Education Level 2016 Population 2016 Percent Less Than 9th Grade 3,613 5.8% 9th Grade to 12th Grade 7,050 11.3% High School Diploma 23,750 38.1% Some College 13,797 22.1% Associate's Degree 4,973 8.0% Bachelor's Degree 5,905 9.5% Graduate Degree and Higher 3,302 5.3% Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 13
2016 Age Cohort Demographics Age Cohort 2016 Population 2016 Percent Under 20 years 21,295 24.0% 20 to 39 years 20,954 23.6% 40 to 59 years 22,574 25.4% 60 to 79 years 19,590 22.1% 80 years and over 4,347 4.9% 2016 Race/Ethnicity Demographics Race/Ethnicity 2016 Population 2016 Percent All Other Race/Ethnicities 4,256 4.8% Black, Non-Hispanic 3,159 3.6% Two or More Races, Non-Hispanic 6,685 7.5% American Indian or Alaskan Native, Non-Hispanic 14,430 16.3% White, Non-Hispanic 60,230 67.9% Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 14
Top Regional Businesses Business Name Business Size Choctaw Nation Health Svc Large (250+) Mcalester Regional Health Ctr Large (250+) Walmart Supercenter Large (250+) State Penitentiary Large (250+) Us Pipeline Inc Large (250+) Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 15
Appendix A - Data Sources and Calculations Input-Output Data The input-output model in this report is Emsi's gravitational flows multi-regional social account matrix model (MR-SAM). It is based on data from the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey and American Community Survey; as well as the Bureau of Economic Analysis' National Income and Product Accounts, Input-Output Make and Use Tables, and Gross State Product data. In addition, several Emsi in-house data sets are used, as well as data from Oak Ridge National Labs on the cost of transportation between counties. Completers Data The completers data in this report is taken directly from the national IPEDS database published by the U.S. Department of Education's National Center for Education Statistics. Demographic Data The demographic data in this report is compiled from several sources using a specialized process. Sources include annual population estimates and population projections from the US Census Bureau, birth and mortality rates from the US Health Department, and projected regional job growth. Industry Data Emsi industry data have various sources depending on the class of worker. (1) For QCEW Employees, Emsi primarily uses the QCEW (Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), with supplemental estimates from County Business Patterns and Current Employment Statistics. (2) Non-QCEW employees data are based on a number of sources including QCEW, Current Employment Statistics, County Business Patterns, BEA State and Local Personal Income reports, the National Industry-Occupation Employment Matrix (NIOEM), the American Community Survey, and Railroad Retirement Board statistics. (3) Self-Employed and Extended Proprietor classes of worker data are primarily based on the American Community Survey, Nonemployer Statistics, and BEA State and Local Personal Income Reports. Projections for QCEW and Non-QCEW Employees are informed by NIOEM and long-term industry projections published by individual states. Institution Data The institution data in this report is taken directly from the national IPEDS database published by the U.S. Department of Education's National Center for Education Statistics. Unemployment Data The unemployment data in this report comes from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Local Area Unemployment Statistics and is updated every two months. Occupation Data Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 16
Emsi occupation employment data are based on final Emsi industry data and final Emsi staffing patterns. Wage estimates are based on Occupational Employment Statistics (QCEW and Non-QCEW Employees classes of worker) and the American Community Survey (Self-Employed and Extended Proprietors). Occupational wage estimates also affected by county-level Emsi earnings by industry. Educational Attainment Data Emsi's educational attainment numbers are based on Emsi's demographic data and the American Community Survey. By combining these sources, Emsi interpolates for missing years and projects data at the county level. Educational attainment data cover only the population aged 25 years or more and indicate the highest level achieved. Infogroup Business-Level Data Data for individual businesses is provided by Infogroup, which maintains a database of more than 16 million U.S. business entities. Note that in aggregate it will not be consistent with Emsi labor market data due to differences in definitions, methodology, coverage, and industry/geographic classification. State Data Sources This report uses state data from the following agencies: Arkansas Department of Workforce Services; Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, Kansas Wage Survey; Missouri Department of Economic Development; Oklahoma Employment Security Commission; Texas Workforce Commission Emsi Q3 2016 Data Set www.economicmodeling.com 17