ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSED CHANGES TO THE FLORIDA WORKERS COMPENSATION HEALTH CARE PROVIDER REIMBURSMENT MANUAL EFFECTIVE UPON ADOPTION

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NCCI estimates that the proposed changes to the Florida Workers Compensation Health Care Provider Reimbursement Manual (FWCRM) would result in an overall Florida workers compensation system cost impact of +1.9% (+$54.4M 1 ). Please note that the estimated cost impact is based on the provisions summarized below which may differ from the final implemented version and the effective date of those changes. If the enacted version is different from the provisions included here, NCCI will provide an updated analysis at that time. Summary of Changes The Florida Division of Workers Compensation (FL DWC) proposes to update Schedule B and Schedule C of the FWCRM for professional health care providers from the 2008 Medicare Resource Based Relative Value Scale (RBRVS) geographic-specific reimbursement levels to 2013 Medicare RBRVS geographic-specific reimbursement levels. There are no proposed changes to the Maximum Reimbursement Allowances (MRAs) in schedule A. (Note that the MRAs in the current and proposed FWCRMs are limited to no less than the MRAs published in the 2003 FWCRM). Below is a summary of the 3 sections of the FWCRM: Schedule A: Contains MRAs for all anesthesia services, dental and certain injection services, services performed outside of the state of Florida, and services performed by workers compensation certified providers not specifically addressed in the FWCRM. Schedule B: Contains MRAs for surgical procedures performed by physicians. In addition, maximum reimbursement levels for surgical procedures performed by physician assistants and advanced registered nurse practitioners are based on 85% of the MRAs listed in schedule B. Schedule C: Contains MRAs for non-surgical procedures (excluding anesthesia) performed by physicians, physical and occupational therapists, audiologists, psychologists, independent clinical laboratories, and freestanding imaging/x-ray centers. Maximum reimbursement levels for nonsurgical procedures performed by physician assistants, advanced registered nurse practitioners, dietitians, nutritionists, and nutrition counselors are based on 85% of the MRAs listed in schedule C. Maximum reimbursement levels 1 Overall system costs are based on 2012 net written premium for insurance companies including an estimate of selfinsured premium as provided by Florida Division of Workers Compensation. The estimated dollar impact of +$54.4M is the percent impact displayed multiplied by $2,863M. This figure does not include the policyholder retained portion of deductible policies, or adjustments for subsequent changes in premium levels. The use of premium as the basis for the dollar impact assumes that expenses and other premium adjustments will be affected proportionally to the change in benefit costs. Page 1 of 7 9/17/2013

for non-surgical procedures performed by licensed clinical social workers are based on 75% of the MRAs listed in schedule C. o Reimbursement for hospital outpatient services in Florida is currently reimbursed under the 2006 Florida Workers Compensation Hospital Reimbursement Manual. This manual contains 3 categories of reimbursement: Category 1: Any scheduled outpatient radiology or clinical laboratory services that are not performed in conjunction with a scheduled surgery shall be reimbursed by the schedule of MRAs listed in the FWCRM. In addition, any outpatient physical, occupational, and speech therapy is reimbursable by the listed MRA in the FWCRM. Category 2: The maximum reimbursement level for scheduled outpatient surgeries is 60% of usual and customary charges (UCC). In addition, any scheduled radiology and clinical laboratory services performed in conjunction with, as defined as being performed on the day of or up to three days before a scheduled surgery, are also reimbursed at 60% of UCC. These services are not subject to the FWCRM. Category 3: All other outpatient procedures shall be reimbursed at 75% of UCC. These services are not subject to the FWCRM. Actuarial Analysis NCCI s methodology to evaluate the impact of medical fee schedule changes includes three major steps: 1. Calculate the percentage change in maximum reimbursements. a. Compare the prior and revised maximum reimbursements by procedure code and determine the percentage change by procedure code. b. Calculate the weighted average percentage change in maximum reimbursements for the fee schedule using observed payments by procedure code as weights. 2. Estimate the price level change as a result of the revised fee schedule a. NCCI research by Frank Schmid and Nathan Lord (2013), The Impact of Physician Fee Schedule Changes in Workers Compensation: Evidence From 31 States, suggests that a portion of a change in maximum reimbursements is realized on payments impacted by the change. b. In response to a fee schedule decrease, NCCI research indicates that payments decline by approximately 50% of the fee schedule change. Page 2 of 7 9/17/2013

i. The assumption for the percent realized for fee schedule decreases is 50%. c. In response to a fee schedule increase, NCCI research indicates that payments increase by approximately 80% of the fee schedule change and the magnitude of the response depends on the relative difference between actual payments and fee schedule maximums (i.e. the price departure). i. The formula used to determine the percent realized for fee schedule increases is 80% x (1.10 + 1.20 x (price departure)). 3. Estimate the share of costs that are subject to the fee schedule a. The estimated share is based on a combination of fields, such as procedure code, provider type, and place of service, as reported on the FL DWC detailed medical data, to categorize payments that are subject to the fee schedule. Physicians Services In Florida, payments for physician s services represent 31.8% 2 of total medical payments. To calculate the percent change in maximums for physician services, we calculate the percent change in maximums for each procedure code. The overall change in maximums for physician s services is a weighted average of the percent change in MRA (proposed MRA/ current MRA) by procedure code weighted by the observed payments by procedure code as reported in detailed medical data provided by FL DWC for Service Year 2012. The MRAs by medical procedure depend on the geographic locality and place of service where the procedure is performed. The place of service is split into two distinct categories: 1. Facility Inpatient Hospital, Outpatient Hospital Department, Hospital Emergency Room, and Skilled Nursing Facility 2. Non-Facility Home, Adult Home, Office, Partial Hospital, Intermediate Care Facility, and Outpatient Clinic Other than Outpatient Hospital The facility and non-facility MRAs under the current and proposed FWCRM were calculated using the following formulas: MRA, Surgical Services = [(Work RVU x Work GPCI) + (Transitioned PE RVU x PE GPCI) + (MP RVU x MP GPCI)] x Medicare Conversion Factor x 140% MRA, Non-Surgical Services = 31, 2012. The total observed payments for Service Year 2012 was $1.3B. The total payments for physician services subject to the FWCRM are $0.4B. Page 3 of 7 9/17/2013

[(Work RVU x Work GPCI) + (Transitioned PE RVU x PE GPCI) + (MP RVU x MP GPCI)] x Medicare Conversion Factor x 110% Where: RVU = Medicare s Relative Value Unit for Physicians GPCI = Medicare s Geographic Practice Cost Index PE = Practice Expense MP = Medical Malpractice Insurance 2008 Medicare CF = $36.0666 2013 Medicare CF = $34.0230 GPCIs measure the resource cost differences by geographic area in the three components of the fee schedule physician work, practice expenses (PE) (such as employee wages, rents, and medical equipment and supplies) and malpractice insurance (MP). Medicare specifies three GPCI localities for Florida. Locality 03 represents the greater Ft. Lauderdale area (including West Palm Beach), locality 04 represents the greater Miami area, and locality 99 represents the rest of Florida. (Note the FWCRM uses the label 01/02 instead of 99 for the rest of Florida locality). For purposes of estimating the impact, an average MRA is calculated for each medical procedure using the following geographic weights: Locality 01/02: 60% Locality 03: 25% Locality 04: 15% The facility and non-facility maximums for each procedure are the weighted average of the maximum reimbursement for each locality (after limiting the reimbursement to be no less than the 2003 MRA). Page 4 of 7 9/17/2013

The overall weighted average percent change in MRAs is +10.8%. Please note that while the Medicare CF decreased from 2008 to 2013 and the PE and GPCI factors remained unchanged, the RVU s did experience a relatively large increase. Therefore, the overall increase in cost is attributed to the increase in RVUs. The impact by category is shown in the table below. Physician Service Category Distribution of Payments 2 Percent Change In MRAs Anesthesia 2.8% 0.0%* Surgery 16.8% +6.4% Radiology 12.7% +1.5% Pathology & Laboratory 3.2% +0.1% Medicine 24.4% +18.6% Evaluation & Management 28.4% +17.6% HCPCS ** 0.1% +19.4% Payments with no Specific MRA 11.6% 0.0% Overall Physician Payments 100.0% +10.8% *Assumes no change to anesthesia reimbursement ** HealthCare Common Procedure Coding System Since the overall average maximum reimbursement for physicians increased, the percent expected to be realized from the fee schedule increase is estimated according to the formula 80% x (1.10 + 1.20 x (price departure)). The observed price departure for physician payments is -9% 3. The percent realized is estimated to be 79% (= 80% x (1.10 + 1.20 x (-0.09))). The impact on physician payments due to the proposed physician fee schedule change is +8.5% (= +10.8% x 0.79). The above impact of +8.5% is then multiplied by the Florida percentage of medical costs attributed to physician payments (31.8%) to arrive at the impact on medical costs of +2.7%. The resulting impact on medical costs is then multiplied by the percentage of Florida benefit costs attributed to medical benefits (68.8% 4 ) to arrive at the estimated impact on Florida overall workers compensation costs of +1.9% ($54.4M). 31, 2012. The total observed payments for Service Year 2012 was $1.3B. The total payments for physician services subject to the FWCRM are $0.4B. 3 A departure of -9% implies that the ratio of actual payments to the prior fee schedule maximums is 0.91. 4 Based on Policy Years 2010-2011 Financial Call data projected to 1/1/2014. This estimated date is subject to change depending on the effective date of the proposal. Page 5 of 7 9/17/2013

Hospital Outpatient Analysis In Florida, payments for Category 1 hospital outpatient services represent 4.0% 2 of total hospital outpatient payments. The changes to the FWCRM also impact Category 1 hospital outpatient services. To calculate the percent change in maximums for hospital outpatient services, we calculate the percent change in maximums for each procedure code. The overall change in maximums for hospital outpatient services is a weighted average of the percent change in MRA (proposed MRA/ current MRA) by procedure code weighted by the current costs by procedure code as reported in detailed medical data provided by FL DWC for Service Year 2012. The overall weighted average percent change in MRAs is estimated to be +10.0% on Category 1 hospital outpatient payments. Since the overall average maximum reimbursement for Category 1 hospital outpatient services increased, the percent expected to be realized from the fee schedule increase is estimated according to the formula 80% x (1.10 + 1.20 x (price departure)). NCCI observed that the ratio of category 1 payments 2 to the fee schedule maximums was very close to unity. For this reason a departure of 0.0% was selected. The percent realized is therefore estimated to be 88% (= 80% x (1.10 + 1.20 x (0.00))). The impact on Category 1 hospital outpatient payments due to the proposed fee schedule change is +8.8% (= +10.0% x 0.88). The above impact of +8.8% is then multiplied by the ratio of category 1 hospital outpatient payments to total hospital outpatient payments in Florida (4.0% 2 ) to arrive at the impact on hospital outpatient costs of +0.3%. The resulting impact of +0.3% is then multiplied by the Florida percentage of medical costs attributed to hospital outpatient payments (18.8% 2 ) to arrive at the impact on medical costs of +0.1%. The resulting impact on medical costs is then multiplied by the percentage of Florida benefit costs attributed to medical benefits (68.8% 4 ) to arrive at the estimated impact on Florida overall workers compensation costs of +0.1% ($+2.9M). 31, 2012. The total observed payments for Service Year 2012 was $1.3B. 4 Based on Policy Years 2010-2011 Financial Call data projected to 1/1/2014. This estimated date is subject to change depending on the effective date of the proposal. Page 6 of 7 9/17/2013

The impacts due to the proposed changes to the FWCRM are summarized in the following table: Summary of Impacts due to the proposed changes to the FWCRM Impact (1) Impact on Physician Costs in Florida +8.5% (2) Physician Costs as a Percentage of Medical Costs in Florida 2 31.8% (3) Impact of Physician changes on Medical Costs in Florida = (1) x (2) +2.7% (4) Impact on Hospital Outpatient Costs in Florida +0.3% (5) Hospital Outpatient Costs as a Percentage of Medical Costs in Florida 2 18.8% (6) Impact of Hospital Outpatient changes on Medical Costs in Florida = (4) x (5) +0.1% (7) Total Impact on Medical Costs in Florida = (3) + (6) +2.8% (8) Medical Costs as a Percentage of Overall Workers Compensation System costs 4 68.8% (9) Total Impact on Overall Workers Compensation System Costs in Florida = (7) x (8) +1.9% 31, 2012. The total observed payments for Service Year 2012 was $1.3B 4 Based on Policy Years 2010-2011 Financial Call data projected to 1/1/2014. This estimated date is subject to change depending on the effective date of the proposal. Page 7 of 7 9/17/2013