OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. BAML Future of Financial Services Conference

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Transcription:

OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. BAML Future of Financial Services Conference November 2017

Forward-Looking Statements & Safe Harbor This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 (the Securities Act ) and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, each as amended, which reflect the current views of Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (the Company or OCG ), with respect to, among other things, its future results of operations and financial performance. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by words such as anticipate, approximately, believe, continue, could, estimate, expect, intend, may, outlook, plan, potential, predict, seek, should, will and would or the negative version of these words or other comparable or similar words. These statements identify prospective information. Important factors could cause actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated in these statements. Forward-looking statements are based on the Company s beliefs, assumptions and expectations of its future performance, taking into account all information currently available to the Company. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and assumptions relating to the Company s operations, financial results, financial condition, business prospects, growth strategy and liquidity, including, but not limited to, changes in the Company s anticipated revenue and income, which are inherently volatile; changes in the value of the Company s investments; the pace of raising new funds; changes in assets under management; the timing and receipt of, and impact of taxes on, carried interest; distributions from and liquidation of the Company s existing funds; the amount and timing of distributions on the Company s Class A units; changes in the Company s operating or other expenses; the degree to which the Company encounters competition; and general political, economic and market conditions. The factors listed in the section captioned Risk Factors in the Company s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ) on March 1, 2017, which is accessible on the SEC s website at www.sec.gov, provide examples of risks, uncertainties and events that may cause the Company s actual results to differ materially from the expectations described in its forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements are made. Except as required by law, the Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. Certain information contained herein concerning economic trends and performance is based on or derived from information provided by independent third-party sources. Oaktree believes that such information is accurate and that the sources from which it has been obtained are reliable; however, Oaktree cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information and has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of such information or the assumptions on which such information is based. Moreover, independent third-party sources cited herein are not making any representations or warranties regarding any information attributed to them and shall have no liability in connection with the use of such information herein. This presentation along with any other information provided with or in connection with this presentation are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute, and should not be construed as (a) a recommendation to buy, (b) an offer to buy or a solicitation of an offer to buy, (c) an offer to sell or (d) advice in relation to, any securities of the Company or securities of any Oaktree investment fund. The Company discloses certain non-gaap financial measures in this presentation, including adjusted net income ( ANI ), distributable earnings ( DE ), fee-related earnings ( FRE ) and economic net income ( ENI ). Reconciliations of these non-gaap financial measures to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the Unites States of America ( GAAP ) are presented in the Appendix. Capitalized terms in the Appendix, including in the footnotes, that are not otherwise defined shall have the meanings ascribed to them in the Company s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2017, filed with the SEC on November 3, 2017, which is accessible on the SEC s website at www.sec.gov. Unless otherwise indicated, all data in this presentation is on a non-gaap basis for Oaktree Capital Group, LLC and is as of September 30, 2017. 1

Oaktree: A Leading Global Alternative Asset Manager overview global footprint 1 A leader and pioneer in alternative asset management with $100 billion of AUM Diversified mix of pro- and counter-cyclical strategies Strong, risk-adjusted investment performance A loyal, blue-chip institutional client base New York Los Angeles Houston Stamford Amsterdam London Frankfurt Dublin Paris Luxembourg Dubai Beijing Seoul Shanghai Tokyo Singapore Hong Kong Attractive growth prospects for new and established strategies Over 900 employees in 18 cities and 13 countries Sydney investment areas historical assets under management Assets Under Management ($ in billions) corporate debt $41.1 distressed debt $25.3 control investing $14.5 As of December 31, unless otherwise indicated ($ in billions) $83 $73 $75 $77 $53 $50 $36 $84 $91 $97 $101 $100 real estate $8.8 convertible securities $5.5 listed equities $4.3 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9/30/17 Evergreen Open-end Closed-end Management fee-generating AUM ("FGAUM") 1 Includes offices of affiliates of Oaktree-managed funds. Oaktree headquarters is based in Los Angeles. 2

Highlights of the Past Year strong investment performance significant realization activity in closed-end funds diverse contributions to incentives expansion of direct lending business and launch of global credit continued growth for doubleline international fundraising growth ample dry powder leaving us well-positioned for future investment opportunities 3

History of Exceptional Investment Performance superior returns, both gross and risk-adjusted, in our open-end funds Annualized gross return since inception 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 6.5% Sharpe ratio since inception 2 0.82 0.58 0.73 0.47 U.S. High Yield Bonds (Inception 1986) European High Yield Bonds (Inception 1999) U.S. High Yield Bonds (Inception 1986) European High Yield Bonds (Inception 1999) Oaktree Benchmark¹ Oaktree Benchmark¹ outstanding track record in our closed-end funds 20.0% 18.9% Aggregate closed-end gross IRR since inception 18.9% 3 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 10.4% 5.1% LTM aggregate gross closed-end return 16.3% 5 Drawn capital since inception $77 billion 3 % of funds more than 18 months old with positive gross and net IRRs since inception 0.0% Oaktree Gross IRR³ S&P 500 MSCI World Annual Return⁴ Annual Return⁴ 1 Detail on benchmarks is presented in the Appendix. 2 The Sharpe Ratio is a metric used to calculate risk-adjusted return. It is the ratio of excess return to volatility, with excess return defined as the return above that of a riskless asset (three-month T-bill) divided by the standard deviation of such returns. The higher the Sharpe Ratio, the greater the return for a given level of risk compared to the risk-free rate. 3 Since oldest strategy inception in October 1988. Excludes closed-end Senior Loan funds, CLOs, Oaktree Asia Special Situations Fund, Asia Principal Opportunities Fund, certain separate accounts and co-investments. 4 Represents annualized time-weighted return since October 1988. 5 Represents time-weighted rate of return for the twelve months ended 9/30/2017. Excludes closed-end Senior Loan funds, CLOs, Oaktree Asia Special Situations Fund, Asia Principal Opportunities Fund, certain separate accounts and co-investments. 98% 4

Significant Realization Activity in Closed-End Funds $10.4bn of closed-end fund distributions over the ltm, up from $6.6bn for the prior ltm Sale for $4.2 billion to Tyson Foods Sale for $3.9 billion to Sinclair Broadcast Group* Multiple secondary offerings in 2017 Multiple secondary offerings in 2017 Sale for $430 million to PSP and ASUR *Announced but not closed 5

Diverse Contributions to Incentives ltm net incentive income $323 million net accrued incentives $900 million Control Investing 55% Other 5% Distressed Debt 25% Real Estate 15% 3-year total net incentive income $625 million Control investing 40% Distressed Debt 39% Control Investing 34% Other 7% Real Estate 20% Net accrued incentives increased 3% yearover-year to $900 million ($5.76 per unit 1 ), despite recognizing greater net incentive income over the last twelve months than in the two prior year periods combined Distressed Debt 41% Real Estate 18% Other As of September 30, 2017 1% 1 Per Operating Group unit (not per Class A unit). Net accrued incentives (fund level) is presented before income taxes. 6

Global Credit Direct Lending Expansion of Direct Lending Business & Launch of Global Credit Organic M&A Launched first institutional Middle Direct Market Lending Direct fund Lending 2017, fund in leveraging 2017, leveraging our our mezzanine debt debt platform with an over 15-year track record In In July October 2017, 2017, Oaktree Oaktree announced closed on a a transaction to become under the which it investment will become adviser the of new two investment BDCs with combined adviser of fee-generating 2 BDCs with AUM combined of $2.4bn* fee-generating AUM of $2.4bn Organic Launched a new multi-strategy product combining the full breadth of Oaktree's more liquid credit strategies Augmented existing team by hiring Wayne Dahl as Oaktree's first Currently Investment manage Risk over Officer $650 million in the strategy (up from $300 million last quarter), with some sizable commitments still in negotiation *Per the latest publicly filed data as of 6/30/2017 7

Continued Growth for DoubleLine assets under management ($ in billions) ($ in millions) contribution to oaktree s investment income $120 $115 $106 100 $81 80 60 $53 $56 $46 40 20 $16 $5 0 9/30/10 9/30/11 9/30/12 9/30/13 9/30/14 9/30/15 9/30/16 9/30/17 Returns: Total Return Bond Fund ($53.6bn) Top 1% in the Morningstar Intermediate Term Bond Category Since Inception (4/6/10-9/30/17) Core Fixed Income Fund ($9.5bn) Top 1% in the Morningstar Intermediate Term Bond Category Since Inception (6/1/10-9/30/17) Shiller Enhanced CAPE ($4.6bn) Top 1% in the Morningstar Large Value Category Since Inception (10/31/13-9/30/17) As of September 2017, DoubleLine Funds had seven mutual funds in the top quartile since inception in the Funds respective Morningstar Categories. $80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 $2 $23 AUM and Flows: $31 $47 DoubleLine Core Fixed Income Fund managed $9.5 billion as of 9/30/17, up 26% year-over-year DoubleLine Shiller Enhanced CAPE fund had $4.6 billion in assets as of the end of 3Q2017, up 12% year-over-year DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed Income Fund managed $1.2 $55 billion as of 9/30/17, up 30% year-over-year $66 $69 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 LTM 9/30/17 8

International Fundraising Growth significant blue-chip clientele 100 largest U.S. pension funds 75 States 38 Corporations 423 growing fundraising outside of the americas 100% ex-americas fundraising contribution 2012-2016 average: 37% 2016: 64% ytd 2017: 50% Colleges, Universities, Endowments & Foundations 367 Sovereign wealth funds 16 75% 20% 18% 18% 2% 9% 12% 23% 11% 42% 37% gross capital raised For the year ended December 31, unless otherwise noted ($ in billions) $19 $15 $13 $12 $13 $12 $11 $10 $23 $12 $12 50% 25% 67% 73% 80% 66% 22% 36% 14% 50% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9/30/17 LTM 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 2017 Americas APAC EMEA 9

Well-Positioned for Future Investment Opportunities near-record dry powder of $21 billion 1 Real Estate 21% continued strength in fundraising Continued fundraising in established strategies, including Real Estate Debt Fund II ( REDF II ) successor to the first Real Estate Debt Fund, a $1 billion fund Opportunities Funds X/Xb 51% European Principal 5% U.S. / European Private Debt 6% Special Situations 5% Power 2% New product development in 2017 has included the Global Credit Fund, two separate Infrastructure fund vehicles focused on transportation and energy, Middle- Market Direct Lending, and Real Estate Income Fundraising pipeline for 2018 includes several follow-on funds such as Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund II, Special Situations Fund II, Power Opportunities Fund V and raises for Evergreen vehicles such as Value Equities Fund Other 7% Strategic Credit 2% While maintaining our focus on risk control and discipline in deploying dry powder 1 Includes $12.4 billion which was not yet generating management fees ( shadow AUM ) as of 9/30/2017. 10

Attractive, Risk Controlled Business Model characteristic benefit diversified range of strategies bulk of management fees from locked-up funds significant amount of committed capital not yet paying fees fre-like income from doubleline stake measured approach to growth in size & products expertise in distressed investing strong balance sheet Ability to capitalize on wide array of markets Steady, predictable management fee stream with limited redemption risk Visibility on future management fees Adds predictable earnings and cash flow Lower risk growth strategy Counter-cyclical fundraising during economic downturns Allows us to fund growth of our current investment strategies along with strategic or opportunistic corporate development initiatives 11

Appendix

Strategy Initiation European Senior Loans European High yield Bonds Asia Principal Real Estate Debt Emerging Markets Opportunities Infrastructure Investing Real Estate Income ² U.S Convertibles High Income Convertibles Oaktree Formation Power Opportunities European Principal Global High Yield Bonds Strategic Credit Value Equities European High Yield Bonds and Senior Loans 1986 1987 1988 1989 1994 1995 1998 1999 2001 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 U.S High Yield Bonds Distressed Opportunities Non U.S Convertibles Special Situations 1 Real Estate Opportunities Emerging Markets Absolute Return Mezzanine Finance U.S Senior Loans Value Opportunities Emerging Markets Equities European Private Debt Emerging Markets Debt Total Return Global Credit Fund Middle Market Direct Lending 1 Effective November 2016, the Global Principal strategy was renamed Special Situations. 2 Effective August 2017, the Real Estate Value-Add strategy was renamed Real Estate Income. 13

Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Metrics For the year ended December 31, unless otherwise noted ($ in thousands) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3Q2017 LTM Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Oaktree Capital Group, LLC to ANI to DE: Net income (loss) attributable to Oaktree Capital Group, LLC.. $ (95,972) $ 107,810 $ 221,998 $ 126,283 $ 71,349 $ 194,705 $ 277,363 Incentive income 1...... - - (64,460) 28,813 (19,002) (1,407) 3,480 Incentive income compensation 1.... - - 46,334 (10,677) 19,009 1,407 (3,480) Investment income 2.... - - - - - (21,814) (26,711) Equity-based compensation 3...... 948,746 36,024 24,613 21,657 16,475 13,626 7,916 Foreign-currency hedging 4...... - - - (2,003) 2,619 1,496 (10,301) Acquisition-related items 5.. - - - 2,442 5,251 (924) (629) Income taxes 6.... 21,088 30,858 26,232 18,536 17,549 42,519 44,401 Non-Operating Group other income 7. - (6,260) - - - - - Non-Operating Group expenses 7... 768 553 1,195 1,645 2,097 1,176 1,078 Non-controlling interests 7...... (446,246) 548,265 824,795 386,398 192,968 341,590 451,511 Adjusted Net Income.. 428,384 717,250 1,080,707 573,094 308,315 572,374 744,629 Investment income 8..... (23,763) (202,392) (258,654) (117,662) (48,253) (221,377) (271,091) Receipts of investment income from funds 9........ 88,693 129,621 128,896 81,438 101,296 66,390 116,017 Receipts of investment income from companies........ 1,496 33,838 35,664 49,546 48,067 63,700 64,330 Equity-based compensation 10..... - - 3,828 19,738 37,906 50,098 52,877 Operating Group income taxes (6,275) (6,136) (6,175) (18) (3,374) (4,635) (7,994) Distributable Earnings $ 488,535 $ 672,181 $ 984,266 $ 606,136 $ 443,957 $ 526,550 $ 698,767 1 This adjustment adds back the effect of timing differences associated with the recognition of incentive income and incentive income compensation expense between adjusted net income and net income attributable to OCG. 2 This adjustment adds back the effect of differences in the recognition of investment income related to corporate investments in CLOs which under GAAP are marked-to-market but for adjusted net income are accounted for at amoritzed cost, subject to impairment. 3 This adjustment adds back the effect of equity-based compensation expense related to unit grants made before our initial public offering, which is excluded from adjusted net income because it does not affect our financial position and from distributable earnings because it is non-cash in nature and does not impact our ability to fund operations. 4 This adjustement adds back the effect of timing differences associated with the recognition of unrealized gains and losses related to foreign-currency hedging between adjusted net income and net income attributable to OCG. 5 This adjustment adds back the effect of acquisition-related items associated with the amortization of intangibles and changes in the contingent consideration liability. 6 Because adjusted net income and distributable earnings are pre-tax measures, this adjustment adds back the effect of income tax expense. 7 Because adjusted net income and distributable earnings are calculated at the Operating Group level, this adjustment adds back the effect of items applicable to OCG, its Intermediate Holding Companies or non-controlling interests. 8 This adjustment eliminates investment income, which with respect to investments in funds is initially largely non-cash in nature and is thus not available to fund our operations. 9 This adjustment characterizes the portion of the distributions received from funds as receipts of investment income or loss. In general, the income or loss component of a distribution from a fund is calculated by multiplying the amount of the distribution by the ratio of our investment's undistributed income or loss to our remaining investment balance. In addition, if the distribution is made during the investment period, it is generally not reflected in distributable earnings until after the investment period ends. 10 This adjustment eliminates the effect of equity-based compensation charges related to unit grants made after our initial public offering, which is excluded from distributable earnings because it is non-cash in nature and does not impact our ability to fund our operations. 14

Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Metrics For the year ended December 31, unless otherwise noted ($ in thousands) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3Q2017 LTM Reconciliation of Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) to ANI to ENI: FRE 1 $ 314,968 $ 307,617 $ 260,115 $ 248,260 $ 214,943 $ 255,863 $ 230,573 Incentive income 303,963 461,116 1,030,195 491,402 263,806 355,152 729,553 Incentive income compensation. (179,234) (222,594) (436,217) (231,871) (141,822) (169,683) (406,629) Investment income 23,763 202,392 258,654 117,662 48,253 221,377 271,091 Equity-based compensation 2...... - (318) (3,828) (19,738) (37,906) (50,098) (52,877) Interest expense, net of interest income (33,867) (31,730) (28,621) (30,190) (35,032) (31,845) (27,182) Other income (expense), net (1,209) 767 409 (2,431) (3,927) (8,392) 99 ANI.... 428,384 717,250 1,080,707 573,094 308,315 572,374 744,628 Change in accrued incentives (fund level), net of associated incentive income compensation 3 (138,872) 254,483 (46,968) (235,303) (188,383) 135,002 27,175 ENI.. $ 289,512 $ 971,733 $ 1,033,739 $ 337,791 $ 119,932 $ 707,376 $ 771,803 Reconciliation of Consolidated Management fees to Non-GAAP Management fees: Management fees - Consolidated.. $ 140,715 $ 134,568 $ 192,605 $ 192,055 $ 195,308 $ 774,587 $ 732,313 Adjustments 4........ 583,606 612,872 557,296 570,768 558,497 11,086 18,785 Management fees - Non-GAAP.. $ 724,321 $ 747,440 $ 749,901 $ 762,823 $ 753,805 $ 785,673 $ 751,098 1 Fee-related earnings is a component of adjusted net income and is comprised of management fees less operating expenses other than incentive income compensation expense and non-cash equity-based compensation expense related to unit grants made after our initial public offering. 2 This adjustment adds back the effect of equity-based compensation expense related to unit grants made after our initial public offering, which is excluded from fee-related earnings because it is non-cash in nature and does not impact our ability to fund our operations. 3 The change in accrued incentives (fund level), net of associated incentive income compensation expense, represents the difference betwee (a) our recognition of net incentive income and (b) the incentive income generated by the funds during the period that would be due to us if the funds were liquidated at their reported values as of that date, net of associated incentive income compensation expense. 4 This adjustment primarily represents the elimination of amounts attributable to the Company's consolidated funds, the reclassification of net gains or losses related to foreign-currency related hedging activities to general and administrative expense, and the elimination of non-controlling interests from adjusted revenues. 15

Benchmark Disclosures benchmark detail U.S. High Yield Bonds: Citigroup U.S. High Yield Cash-Pay Capped Index European High Yield Bonds: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Non-Financial High Yield European Issuers excluding Russia 3% Constrained Index (USD Hedged) 16