Paul Browne, Partner, London Yongmei Cai, Partner, Beijing Jay Lee, Partner, Hong Kong
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1 One Belt One Road and RMB internationalisation: a look at how recent PRC regulatory developments provide significant opportunities for market participants in the Financial Markets in the UK and Europe Paul Browne, Partner, London Yongmei Cai, Partner, Beijing Jay Lee, Partner, Hong Kong
2 One Belt One Road and RMB internationalisation Setting the scene OBOR and RMB internationalisation : what are they and why are they important What we will cover today Key regulatory developments Market trends and opportunities 1 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
3 PRC regulatory developments Fast pace of regulatory change to be considered in context of internationalisation of RMB Some key developments development of offshore RMB bond market 8 October 2015: Cross-border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) to be launched 14 September 2015: NDRC Notice on Corporate Foreign Debt Issuance 1 June 2014: SAFE Rules on Cross-border Guarantees QFII / RQFII QDII / QDII 2 Free Trade Zones Shanghai / Hong Kong Stock Connect also Bond Connect? Panda bonds 2 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
4 Top 10 payment currencies in the world % of global payments, as of March % 44.64% 40% 30% 20% 22.21% 10% 8.49% 3.07% 2.03% 1.93% 1.88% 1.64% 1.17% 1.04% 0% USD EUR GBP JPY CNY CAD AUD CHF HKD THB Source: SWIFT, Standard Chartered Research Simmons & Simmons LLP Simmons & Simmons is an international legal practice carried on by Simmons & Simmons LLP and its affiliated partnerships and other entities. 3 // B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
5 OBOR Purpose and goals Purpose Achieve win-win cooperation that promotes common development and prosperity Enhance mutual understanding and trust, and strengthen all-round exchanges Encourage Chinese firms to go abroad in search of new markets or investment opportunities Help resolve certain strategic problems related to overcapacity, industrial restructuring and imbalance in foreign trade Promote RMB internationalization 4 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
6 OBOR Countries, regions and projects involved Overview map of OBOR routes 5 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
7 OBOR Countries, regions and projects involved Countries In general, approximately: 43 countries in Asia; 16 countries in Europe; 4 countries in the Commonwealth of the Independent States; and 1 country in Africa are involved in the OBOR initiative. The table below sets out the countries involved in the OBOR initiative as of July / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
8 OBOR Countries, regions and projects involved Countries Southeast Asia Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Brunei, Myanmar, Cambodia, Timor-Leste South Asia Central Asia Nepal, Bhutan, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Maldives Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tadzhikistan, Afghanistan West Asia Central and East Europe Iran, Iraq, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Syria, Jordan, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Yemen, Oman, Kuwait, etc. Albania, Bosnia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Czekh, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Romania, Poland, Serbia, etc. The Commonwealth of the Independent States Others Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova Mongolia, Egypt 7 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
9 OBOR Opportunities - Overseas Initial theme -- Overseas projects and financing opportunities Initial projects Transportation infrastructure projects such as railways, ports, roads, airports Central and South East Asia State level Cooperation opportunities with Chinese state resources and financial institutions through: Silk Road Fund Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank ( AIIB ) 8 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
10 OBOR Opportunities Provincial level All 31 Chinese provinces have indicated they will actively participate in the implementation of the OBOR initiative. Two-thirds of these provinces have included it as a development priority and have featured it in their annual work plans for Some examples: Qinghai Province Guangdong Province 9 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
11 OBOR Opportunities Private firms State-owned enterprises and large financial institutions are expected to take the centre stage at the initial phase. Construction machinery companies, building materials producers and infrastructure operating companies. 10 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
12 China onshore assets owned by foreigners Foreign portfolio investment in China s onshore assets is rising 1,400 1,200 1, Equities Bonds CNY bn 0 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Source: PBoC, Standard Chartered Research 11 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
13 RQFII Programme has been expanded globally Data as of end April-2015 Quota ceiling for the region (CNY bn) Number of licences Approved quota (CNY bn) Hong Kong Singapore London Paris Korea Frankfurt Qatar Canada Australia Switzerland Luxembourg Total Source: SAFE, PBoC announcements, Standard Chartered Research Simmons & Simmons LLP Simmons & Simmons is an international legal practice carried on by Simmons & Simmons LLP and its affiliated partnerships and other entities. 12 // B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
14 Faster approvals under QFII, RQFII, and QDII Annual quota approval (CNY bn) 300 R-QFII QFII QDII Jan-Apr Simmons & Simmons LLP Simmons & Simmons is an international legal practice carried on by Simmons & Simmons LLP and its affiliated partnerships and other entities. 13 // B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1 Note: QFII and QDII approvals are converted at USD-CNY=6.2 Source: SAFE, Standard Chartered Research
15 International debt securities by currency Outstanding amount (USDbn), % of world total 10,000 9, % (8.8 tn) 41.1% (9 tn) 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2, % (2.1 tn) 1, % (430 bn) 0.5% (119 bn) USD EUR GBP JPY CNY Source: BIS, Standard Chartered Research. *As of December 2014 Simmons & Simmons LLP Simmons & Simmons is an international legal practice carried on by Simmons & Simmons LLP and its affiliated partnerships and other entities. 14 // B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
16 Offshore RMB Bond Primary Issuances (RMB billion) Source: BOCHY, Bloomberg Simmons & Simmons LLP Simmons & Simmons is an international legal practice carried on by Simmons & Simmons LLP and its affiliated partnerships and other entities. 15 // B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
17 Other developments China ABS Shanghai / Hong Kong Stock Connect Bond Connect 7 th China UK Economic and Financial dialogue 16 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
18 It s not a question of if, it s a question of when. IMF Managing Director Lagarde Simmons & Simmons LLP Simmons & Simmons is an international legal practice carried on by Simmons & Simmons LLP and its affiliated partnerships and other entities. 17 // B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
19 Let s create a golden decade for the UK-China relationship. Hon George Osborne MP, Chancellor of the Exchequer 18 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
20 19 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
21 simmons-simmons.com elexica.com This document is for general guidance only. It does not contain definitive advice. SIMMONS & SIMMONS and S&S are registered trade marks of Simmons & Simmons LLP. Simmons & Simmons is an international legal practice carried on by Simmons & Simmons LLP and its affiliated practices. Accordingly, references to Simmons & Simmons mean Simmons & Simmons LLP and the other partnerships and other entities or practices authorised to use the name Simmons & Simmons or one or more of those practices as the context requires. The word partner refers to a member of Simmons & Simmons LLP or an employee or consultant with equivalent standing and qualifications or to an individual with equivalent status in one of Simmons & Simmons LLP s affiliated practices. For further information on the international entities and practices, refer to simmonssimmons.com/legalresp. Simmons & Simmons LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England & Wales with number OC and with its registered office at CityPoint, One Ropemaker Street, London EC2Y 9SS. It is authorised and regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority. A list of members and other partners together with their professional qualifications is available for inspection at the above address. 20 / B_LIVE_EMEA1: v1
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