Thursday, June 29, 2017 MAJOR COMMODITIES. News & Development. For Private Circulation Only
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1 Thursday, June 29, 2017 For Private Circulation Only MAJOR COMMODITIES Commodity Expiry High Low Close Change Commodity Expiry High Low Close ($) Change Gold Aug Gold (Oz) Aug Silver Jul Silver (Oz) Jul Crude Oil Jul Crude Oil Aug Natural Gas Jun Natural Gas Jul Copper Jun Copper 3M Nickel Jun Nickel 3M Aluminium Jun Aluminium 3M Lead Jun Lead 3M Zinc Jun Zinc 3M News & Development U.S. crude oil inventories edged up last week while gasoline stocks decreased, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, providing a modest lift to oil prices that have been pressured by an ongoing supply glut.
2 Gold Gold prices rose on Wednesday as the dollar weakened for a second straight day following a global cyber attack and a delay to U.S. healthcare legislation that fueled doubts about President Donald Trump's ability to pass measures expected to boost the economy. The dollar sank to its lowest level since November while the euro hit a one-year high after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi on Tuesday appeared to hint that stimulus could be trimmed this year, though sources later said he had been misinterpreted. While the weak greenback was seen giving support to gold prices, rising yields on U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury notes were seen preventing stronger gains. Gold Strategy S2 S1 Close R1 R2 Aug Sideways We expect gold prices to trade sideways on the back of short covering after drop in prices. Silver Silver was up 0.9 percent at $16.81 an ounce. Silver Strategy S2 S1 Close R1 R2 Jul S We expect silver prices to trade positive on the back of short covering after drop in prices. Page 2
3 Crude Oil Oil futures climbed more than 1 percent on Wednesday to their highest in more than a week as buyers were encouraged by a small weekly decrease in U.S. production and shrugged off a surprise build in crude inventories in the world's top oil consumer. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said crude stocks rose 118,000 barrels last week, while weekly production declined 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 9.3 million bpd. That was the biggest decline in weekly output since July Other analysts and traders noted the U.S. production decline last week was related to temporary factors like Tropical Storm Cindy in the Gulf of Mexico and maintenance work in Alaska that will likely be reversed in coming weeks. U.S. output during the week ended June 16 reached almost 9.4 million bpd, the most since August OPEC and the other producers, trying to reduce a crude glut, agreed in May to extend the supply cut through March But OPEC has exempted Nigeria and Libya from cutting output. OPEC delegates have said they will not rush to cut crude output further or end the exemptions, although a meeting in Russia next month is likely to consider further steps to support the market. Crude Oil Strategy S2 S1 Close R1 R2 Jul Sideways We expect crude oil prices to trade sideways on the back of EIA Crude oil Inventory Data. Natural Gas We expect Natural gas prices to trade positive on the back of favorable weather conditions. Nat Gas Strategy S2 S1 Close R1 R2 Jul S \ Page 3
4 Base Metals Aluminium prices held near six-week lows on Thursday as the market focused on rising supplies and exports from top producer China, lower output costs and higher inventories. China's aluminium exports are rising. In May the country exported 460,000 tonnes of unwrought aluminium and aluminium products, up from April's 430,000 tonnes. China's aluminium production last year accounted for 55 percent of the global total, estimated at nearly 59 million tonnes, according to International Aluminium Institute. Its output has been rising since March. Zinc closed up 2.3 percent at $2,700 a tonne. Earlier it touched $2,710, its highest since April 7, on falling stocks in LME warehouses, which are down nearly 30 percent since January to 304,000 tonnes, and on cancelled warrants -- metal earmarked for delivery -- at above 65 percent. Jun Strategy S2 S1 Close R1 R2 Copper S Nickel S Alum Sideways Lead S Zinc Sideways We expect base metal prices likely to trade volatile on the back of mixed fundamentals. LME Inventories Copper Lead Zinc Aluminium Nickel Current Stock Change % Change % -0.48% -0.67% -0.23% -0.19% Page 4
5 DATE TIME (IST) COUNTRY ECONOMIC DATA CONSENSUS PREVIOUS IMPACT Thu Jun 29 6:00pm USD Final GDP q/q 1.20% 1.20% High USD Unemployment Claims 241K 241K High For Further Assistance Contact: Ashish Shah Tejas Nikhar Devashish Srivastava AVP ashish.shah@sushilfinance.com Sr. Research Analyst tejas.nikhar@sushilfinance.com Research Analyst devashish.srivastava@sushilfinance.com WE / OUR CLIENTS / OUR RELATIVES MAY HAVE PERSONAL TRADING / INVESTMENT INTEREST IN THE STOCKS MENTIONED HERE IN. STATEMENT OF DISCLAIMER This report includes information from sources believed to be reliable but no independent verification has been made and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This report cannot be construed as a request to engage in any transaction involving the purchase or sale of a futures contract. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. Additional information with respect to any commodities referred to herein will be available on request. Sushil Global Commodities Pvt. Ltd. and its connected companies, and their respective Directors, Officers and employees, may, from time to time, have a long or short position in the commodities mentioned and may sell or buy such commodities. Sushil Global may act upon or make use of information contained herein prior to the publication thereof. This data sheet is for private circulation only. While utmost care has been taken in preparing the above, we claim no responsibility for its accuracy. We shall not be liable for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use thereof and the investors are requested to use the information contained herein at their own risk. Sushil Global Commodities Private Limited Member: NCDEX, FMC Regn.No MCX, FMC Regn.No Genius, 4 th Road, Khar (W), Mumbai Tel.: Fax: commodities@sushilfinance.com Page 5
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