Chinese visitors up 16%; strong start to Golden Week

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1 Deutsche Bank Markets Research Asia Hong Kong Consumer Hotels / Leisure / Gaming Industry Date 2 October 2013 Industry Update Chinese visitors up 16%; strong start to Golden Week 1 Oct: Total visitors 6% yoy but Chinese visitors +16% yoy Golden Week started strong yest with Chinese visitors up 16% yoy to 102k. Total visitor arrivals actually fell 6% yoy to 124k. So China now makes up 82% of arrivals (vs 66% on 1 Oct 2012). This year, strong Chinese demand has pushed up hotel rates. This has, in turn, discouraged HK people from visiting. (Recall that, last year, many HK people took advantage of Sheraton's preopening promotion rate of HK$888/night.) This displacement of HK visitors by Chinese visitors is positive for rising bet limits as spend per trip is higher for Chinese visitors (HK$1,800 vs HK$4,200). We expect a recordbreaking October in terms of gaming revenue. Reiterate on Cotai operators. No visible impact from China s ban on zero fare tours Effective 1st Oct, China prohibited travel agencies from offering zero fare tours. This is aimed at protecting group tourists from being forced to buy products from stores where the agencies receive commissions, a practice common in HK. Initially, the market has some concerned on the impact on this new rule on s visitor arrivals. Yesterday s strong Chinese visitor data (16% yoy to 102k) proved that impact was negligible. Similarly, the impact on the HK border was limited. Yesterday, HK received 160k Chinese visitors, up 28%. New infrastructure brings more longstaying travelers to In late June, Gongbei Border Gate added the east wing, thereby expanding handling capacity by 1. This helped reduced queuing time, and arrivals through this border jumped 21% yoy to 85k yesterday (68% of total arrivals). New infrastructure improvements (highspeed rail, expanded border facilities and hotel rooms) are changing s leisure travel landscape. Non Guangdong visitors now account for 36% of total visitors, vs. up from 31% in 1H12. is getting more longstaying visitors, who spend twice that of daytrippers. Given the strong growth in longstaying visitors and rising min bets, we expect strong mass growth (+33% in YTD Aug) will be sustained into the 4Q holiday season and beyond. For 2014, we expect mass gaming revenue will grow 30% yoy, higher than the Street (2 yoy). As such, our 2014 EBITDA forecasts for Cotai operators (Sands, Galaxy & MPEL) are 913% higher than consensus. Reiterate on Sands, Galaxy, MPEL & SJM We value stocks on SOTP. An emerging risk for is the opening up of new gaming jurisdictions (Russia and Japan). Figure 1: visitor arrivals Day Arrivals from Mainland China Total arrivals # of yoy % of total # of yoy 2730 Sep 2012 Thurs to Sun 262,684 64% 408, Sep 2013 Fri to Mon 392,174 49% 7 524,136 28% 01Oct2011 Sat 80,266 na 69% 116,213 na 01Oct2012 Mon 88,028 10% 66% 132,506 14% 01Oct2013 Tues 102,227 16% 82% 124,499 6% Karen Tang Research Analyst (+852) karen.tang@db.com Top picks Galaxy (0027.HK),HKD54.40 Sands China (1928.HK),HKD47.95 Melco Crown (MPEL.OQ),USD32.56 Source: Deutsche Bank Companies Featured Galaxy (0027.HK),HKD54.40 P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Price/book (x) Melco Crown (MPEL.OQ),USD32.56 P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Price/book (x) MGM China (2282.HK),HKD25.75 Hold P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Price/book (x) Sands China (1928.HK),HKD47.95 P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Price/book (x) SJM (0880.HK),HKD21.80 P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Price/book (x) Wynn (1128.HK),HKD26.45 Hold P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Price/book (x) Source: Deutsche Bank Source: Government Tourist Office Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong Deutsche Bank does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. Thus, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS ARE LOCATED IN APPENDIX 1. MICA(P) 054/04/2013.

2 Golden Week visitor arrivals in Figure 2: visitor arrivals Day Arrivals from Mainland China Total arrivals # of yoy % of total # of yoy 27Sep2013 Friday 101,164 43% 83% 133, Sep2013 Saturday 100,074 52% 81% 140, Sep2013 Sunday 94,159 49% 79% 126,409 18% 30Sep2013 Monday 96,777 54% 74% 124,071 17% 2730 Sep 2012 (Thurs to Sun) 262,684 64% 408, Sep 2013 (Fri to Mon) 392,174 49% 7 524,136 28% 01Oct2011 Saturday 80,266 na 69% 116,213 na 01Oct2012 Monday 88,028 10% 66% 132,506 14% 01Oct2013 Tuesday 102,227 16% 82% 124,499 6% Source: Government Tourist Office Figure 3: Mainland Chinese visitor arrivals by entry points # of Day Visitor arrivals Outer Harbour Inner Harbour Border Gate Airport Lotus Bridge Taipa Ferry Others Terminal 27/09/2013 Friday 101,164 10, ,635 3,154 3,468 9, /09/2013 Saturday 100,074 10,384 1,064 72,521 2,992 4,172 8, /09/2013 Sunday 94,159 9, ,324 3,534 4,091 8, /09/2013 Monday 96,777 7, ,796 4,133 4,294 3, /10/2013 Tuesday 102,227 6,668 2,126 78,915 4,357 7,318 2, /10/2013 yoy 16% 1% 31% 21% 51% 4% 10% 37% Source: Government Tourist Office Figure 4: Total visitor arrivals by entry points # of Day Visitor arrivals Outer Harbour Inner Harbour Border Gate Airport Lotus Bridge Taipa Ferry Others Terminal 27/09/2013 Friday 133,164 24,299 1,147 81,026 6,008 4,510 15, /09/2013 Saturday 140,492 29,423 1,521 79,841 5,176 5,667 18, /09/2013 Sunday 126,409 22,402 1,164 76,916 5,326 5,302 15, /09/2013 Monday 124,071 19, ,003 5,534 5,204 8, /10/2013 Tuesday 124,499 16,110 2,546 85,147 5,427 8,241 6, /10/2013 yoy 6% 39% 30% 12% 23% 2% 51% 36% Source: Government Tourist Office Page 2 Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong

3 Mass gaming revenue drivers Figure 5: Gaming spend per visitor is the key driver of mass revenue Gaming spend per visitor yoy % Visitor arrivals yoy % % 41%41% 39%33%30%31% 36% 33% 34%34% 36% 32% 31% 17% 1 8% 30%30% 29% 26% 11% 18% 12% 2% 24% 9% 6% 18% 1 10% 1 29% 18% 1 16% 10% 16% 22% 17% 14% 16% 22% 24%24% 24% 31% 36% 32% 32% 26% 28% 24% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 10% 13% 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 Source: DICJ, DSEC, Deutsche Bank estimates Visitor arrival trends Figure 6: Visitor arrival growth (yoy) recovering 30% 2 20% 18%18% 1 10% 0% 10% 3% 2% 12% 24% 1 17% 1 11% 9% 8% 3% 2%2% Visitor growth recovering 2% 6%6% 10% 10% 1 13% Visa restrictions 20% JulAug 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13JulAug avg Source: DSEC, Deutsche Bank Figure 7: Visitor mix: more visitors coming from outside Guangdong 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 31% 28% 26% 26% 2 24% 23% 28% 29% 29% 29% 27% 28% 29% 2 27% 29% 31% 33% 3 36% JulAug 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 JlAug avg Source: DSEC, Deutsche Bank Rest of the world Taiwan Hong Kong Guangdong province China outside of Guangdong Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong Page 3

4 Sector valuation and price performance Figure 8: gaming operator valuation 30/09/2013 Ticker Rec Price Mkt EV/EBITDA PE EBITDA EPS PEG Div FCF cap (x) (x) growth growth (x) Yield yield local cur US$m 2013E 2014E 2013E 2014E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2013E 2013E 2013E Galaxy 0027.HK , % 23% 17% 41% 29% 16% % 5.1% Melco Crown MPEL.OQ , % 16% 19% 67% 30% 19% % 4.6% MGM China 2282.HK Hold , % 14% 6% 29% 17% 6% nm 4.2% 6.0% Sands China 1928.HK , % 23% 11% 41% 29% 14% % 4.9% SJM 0880.HK , % 14% 3% 7% 14% 3% nm % Wynn 1128.HK Hold , % 7% 7% 7% 9% 3% nm 4.7% 5.6% average % 16% 11% 32% 21% 10% % 5. Cotai stocks 96, % 21% 14% 44% 29% 1 1.8% Peninsula stocks 46, % 12% 12% 13% 4% 4. Source: Deutsche Bank estimates, DataStream Figure 9: gaming operator price performance 30/09/2013 Ticker Mkt Cap Price YTD 1m 3m 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 % from % from T/O Beta US$m local cur LTM hi L3M low (US$m) Galaxy 0027.HK 29, % % 11% 36% 109% 7% 17% 43% 2% 53% Melco Crown MPEL.OQ 17, % 17% 44% 42% 16% 17% 136% 39% 4% 42% 0% 48% MGM China 2282.HK 12, % 11% 2 40% 17% 1 92% 18% 2 24% 0% 27% Sands China 1928.HK 49, % 8% 30% 38% 19% 18% 66% 19% 9% 31% 2% 34% SJM 0880.HK 15, % 10% 19% 2 10% 18% 29% 8% 3% 16% 3% 24% Wynn 1128.HK 17, % 13% 21% 16% 21% 16% 26% 2% 2% 26% 1% 32% average 57% 12% 30% 3 16% 20% 76% 1 30% 1% 36% MSCI HK 12, % 8% 13% 6% 12% 10% 3% 6% 8% 4% 10% MSCI China % 13% 10% 8% 4% 9% 4% 9% 11% 8% 16% MSCI China Consumer Discretionary % 6% 19% 10% 17% 1% 20% 10% 7% 18% 10% 24% MSCI China Consumer Staples 1, % 7% 7% 6% 8% 6% 10% 1% 3% 6% 3% 14% Source: Deutsche Bank, DataStream, Bloomberg Finance LP Figure 10: Sector EV/EBITDA (based on 12m forward consensus EBITDA) (x) Avg 11.0x 6 4 Mar13 Nov12 Mar12 Nov11 Mar11 Nov10 Jul10 Mar10 Nov09 Jul09 Mar09 Nov08 Jul08 Source: Deutsche Bank estimates, IBES consensus, DataStream Page 4 Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong

5 Company valuation charts Figure 11: Consensus EV/EBITDA Galaxy Figure 12: Consensus EV/EBITDA Melco Crown Galaxy Melco Crown Avg 12x Avg 10.1x Jan08 Jul08 Jan09 Jul09 Jan10 Jul10 Jan11 Jan13 Jan08 Jul08 Jan09 Jul09 Jan10 Jul10 Jan11 Jan13 Figure 13: Consensus EV/EBITDA MGM China Figure 14: Consensus EV/EBITDA Sands China MGM China Sands China Avg 9x Avg 14.1x Jan13 Jan10 Jul10 Jan11 Jan13 Figure 15: Consensus EV/EBITDA SJM Figure 16: Consensus EV/EBITDA Wynn SJM Wynn Avg 9x Avg 13x Jul09 Jan10 Jul10 Jan11 Jan13 Jan10 Jul10 Jan11 Jan13 Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong Page 5

6 Appendix 1 Important Disclosures Additional information available upon request For disclosures pertaining to recommendations or estimates made on securities other than the primary subject of this research, please see the most recently published company report or visit our global disclosure lookup page on our website at Analyst Certification The views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the undersigned lead analyst about the subject issuers and the securities of those issuers. In addition, the undersigned lead analyst has not and will not receive any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view in this report. Karen Tang Equity rating key Equity rating dispersion and banking relationships : Based on a current 12 month view of total shareholder return (TSR = percentage change in share price from current price to projected target price plus projected dividend yield ), we recommend that investors buy the stock. Sell: Based on a current 12month view of total shareholder return, we recommend that investors sell the stock Hold: We take a neutral view on the stock 12months out and, based on this time horizon, do not recommend either a or Sell. Notes: 1. Newly issued research recommendations and target prices always supersede previously published research. 2. Ratings definitions prior to 27 January, 2007 were: : Expected total return (including dividends) of 10% or more over a 12month period Hold: Expected total return (including dividends) between 10% and 10% over a 12 month period Sell: Expected total return (including dividends) of 10% or worse over a 12month period % 37 % 24 % 19 % 9 % 11 % Hold Sell Companies Covered Cos. w/ Banking Relationship AsiaPacific Universe Page 6 Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong

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Labour cost inflation - Negative margin read-through from Sands 2Q

Deutsche Bank Markets Research Asia Hong Kong Consumer Hotels / Leisure / Gaming Industry Date 17 July 2014 Industry Update Labour cost inflation - Negative margin read-through from Sands 2Q Staff retention