We expect Hang Seng Index to be highly volatile in the short term. Market Overview
|
|
- Mervyn Day
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 8 November 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 26, % -0.2% -14.0% -9.5% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10, % 2.4% -12.4% -8.1% Mkt T/O ($ Mn) 97, % 26.7% 1.9% -15.5% Oversea DJIA 26, % -1.2% 7.5% 11.1% NASDAQ 7, % -2.1% 4.2% 11.5% Shanghai SE Composite 2, % -2.8% -16.5% -22.7% Shenzhen Component 7, % -3.8% -27.6% -32.3% Commodities and FX Crude Oil Futures (US$) % -16.9% -10.6% 8.7% Gold Futures (US$) 1, % 3.2% -6.6% -4.5% Baltic Dry Index 1, % -8.8% -2.6% -6.1% USD / Euro % -0.4% -3.8% -1.4% Yen / USD % -0.6% -4.0% 0.1% CNH / USD % 0.1% -8.1% -4.2% Source: Bloomberg Market Overview Hang Seng Index closed up 0.1% at 26,147. HSCEI climbed 0.1%. Heavily weighted Tencent (700) and AIA Group (1299) surged 0.5% and 1.8% respectively. HSBC (5) cut 0.2%. Gaming, airline and coal stocks outperformed the market. Sands China (1928) and Galaxy Entertainment (27) rose 0.4%-0.7%. Air China (753) and China Shenhua (1088) advanced 1.7%-1.9%. Consumption, automobile, power, insurance, PRC banking & property stocks lacked clear direction. WH Group (288), Shenzhou (2313) and Hengan (1044) soared 1.3%-2.0% while Want Want China (151) retreated 0.2%. Geely Automobile (175) and Great Wall Motor (2333) decreased 3.9%-4.9% while Guangzhou Automobile (2238) added 3.4%. China Resources Power (836) fell 1.7% while Huaneng Power (902) increased 0.7%. Zhongan Online (6060) jumped 3.0% while New China Life (1336) tumbled 1.7%. China Vanke (2202) and Shimao Property (813) increased 1.5%-1.7%. China Evergrande (3333) and Logan Property (3380) shrank 0.8%-1.0%. Postal Savings Bank (1658) rose 1.6% while China Minsheng Banking (1988) plunged 0.7%. We expect Hang Seng Index to be highly volatile in the short term HK banking, securities and telecom stocks underperformed the market. BOC Hong Kong (2388) and Hang Seng Bank (11) slid 0.7%-1.2%. China Mobile (941), China Unicom (762) and China Telecom (728) lost 1.3%, 0.8% and 0.5% respectively. Five securities stocks in HSCEI dropped an average 1.7% among which China Galaxy Securities (6881) fell 3.3%. We expect Hang Seng Index to be highly volatile in the short term.
2 Market in Focus China Traditional Chinese Medicine MKT Cap ($Bn) 26.6 Bloomberg Ticker 570 HK Equity 52-week High/Low ($) Rating BUY Free Float (%) 55.6% Target Price $6.70 3M Avg Turnover ($, Mn) 83.6 Promising growth with undemanding valuation Maintain BUY on China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570) Since our BUY commentary dated Aug 27, China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570, CTCM, $5.28) has dropped 12.4% compared with a 5.5% loss for Hang Seng Index. We believe the underperformance is partially due to weak market sentiments on the pharmaceutical sector and concerns over margin squeeze from raw materials costs. We maintain our long-term bullish view on CTCM and believe it will benefit from 1) solid industry development; 2) channel expansion in high-to-low tier hospitals; 3) the increasing penetration rate of TCM granules due to more and more provinces including TCM granules in medical insurance in the future. Fig1: 1 Year Share Price As a recap, CTCM reported a better-than-expected interim results. Revenue and net profit grew 40.1% and 27% to RMB 3.49bn and RMB 760.3mn respectively. Among which revenue from 1) TCM granules, 2) Finished drugs and 3) TCM decoction pieces grew 37.2%, 14.1% and 245.3% to RMB3.49bn, RMB 1.31bn and RMB639.5mn. Gross profit amounted to RMB2.93bn representing an increase of 35.1% as compared with approximately RMB2.17bn for the same period of last year. GPM fell 1.9ppt to 53.7% for the first half of 2018, mainly due to higher contribution from TCM decoction pieces business, whose gross profit margin was lower than other businesses. CTCM targets at revenue of RMB20bn for TCM granules, and 5bn for TCM decoction by 2020, implying a CAGR of 20 to 30%. We continue to take a positive view on TCM granule market. According to Bloomberg estimates, the company s earnings to reach RMB1.49bn in 2018 and RMB1.83bn in 2019, up approximately 26.9% and 23.1% respectively. EPS is expected to reach RMB in 2018 and RMB in Traded at 2018 P/E of 15.2x and 2019 P/E 12.6x, we believe the valuation of CTCM is attractive to long term investors. We maintain our BUY rating on CTCM with 6-month target price of $6.7 based on 2019 P/E of 16.0x. Source: Bloomberg, Mason Securities
3 Technical Ideas Stock Code Rating / Last Closing Price Our TP / Bloomberg TP Cut Loss Greentown Service Group 2869 HK Equity BUY $5.83 $6.41 $7.78 $5.54 MKT Cap ($Bn) / Free Float Turnover / 30D Avg ($Mn) Turnover vs 5D & 30D Avg Forward PER / PBR Net Debt (Cash) / Equity % % 57% 28.5X 6.37X -92% Technical Indicator SMA RSI (14) 48.1 SMA BB (Upper) 5.89 SMA BB (Lower) 5.03 Stock Code Rating / Last Closing Price Our TP / Bloomberg TP Cut Loss CRRC Corp 1766 HK Equity BUY $7.16 $7.88 $8.10 $6.80 MKT Cap ($Bn) / Free Float Turnover / 30D Avg ($Mn) Turnover vs 5D & 30D Avg Forward PER / PBR Net Debt (Cash) / Equity % % 50% 15X 1.41X 9% Technical Indicator SMA RSI (14) 61.9 SMA BB (Upper) 7.16 SMA BB (Lower) 6.65 Source: Bloomberg, Mason Securities
4 Recent Recommendations Date of Issue Stock Pick Recommendation Highlights Rating (TP) 26/10/2018 HHS (1347) 29/10/2018 Kunlun Energy s (135) 30/10/2018 CCCC (1800) 31/10/2018 COG (581) 1/11/2018 Shimao Property (813) 2/11/2018 China Suntien (956) 5/11/2018 Galaxy Entertainment (27) 6/11/2018 ENN Energy (2688) 7/11/2018 A-Living Services (3319) Long term growth prospects remain promising Maintain BUY Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347) The underperformance is mainly driven by a slowdown in the global semiconductor industry. However, we maintain our bullish view on HHS because the company relies on the fast-growing domestic market which is highly promoted by the PRC government Benefit from sustainable LNG consumption growth in China, recommend BUY Kunlun Energy (135) We expect LNG imports will reach approximately 13% CAGR from 2018 to 2025 in China Kunlun Energy s LNG terminals and LNG processing business will benefit from the sustainable LNG import growth given its leading position in LNG industry Third-quarter financial results could be a share price catalyst Maintain BUY CCCC (1800) In order to offset the impact from escalating trade war tension between China and the U.S. and sustain economic growth, we believe the Chinese government will substantially increase infrastructure spending in the fourth quarter that will certainly benefit CCCC China Oriental Group (581): Positive read-through from peers 3Q results, Maintain BUY We expect COG s 3Q18 net profit to reach RMB+2bn and the company will announce its operating data by mid-nov COG is one of the best companies and most efficient steel producers in China in terms of profitability or execution capability Fundamental remains solid - Maintain BUY on Shimao Property (813) We expect contracted sales for 2018 to exceed RMB150bn (RMB120.8bn in first nine months of 2018) representing an increase of 50% yoy and 7% above management target of RMB140bn Cheap valuation at 2018 P/E of 5.0x and 2018 P/B of 0.7x. Upward revision on market earnings consensus is poised Maintain BUY on undemanding valuation Net profit for 9M18 increased by better-than-expected 58.4% yoy to RMB939mn. Earnings upgrade by analysts is very likely. Traded at 2019 P/E of 4.7x and 2019 P/B of 0.62x with a ROE of 14.0%, China Suntien is still undervalued. Current valuation is cheap by historical average - Maintain BUY Galaxy Entertainment (27) Underperformance of CEG is mainly due to a slowdown in Macau s gaming revenue which increased by 17.5% yoy in the first eight months of 2018 but only 2.8% yoy in September and 2.6% yoy in October Consensus growth for 2019 has been adjusted downward to a low-single digit. However, we believe the opening of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau Bridge will improve earnings outlook for gamings stocks in the medium-to-long term ENN Energy (2688) : Recent weakness offers a long-term buying opportunity at reasonable price; BUY We expect domestic production to reach nearly 6% CAGR and LNG imports to reach approximately 13% CAGR from 2018 to 2025 We believe the valuation of ENN is reasonable long term investors Attractive valuation after a deep correction in share price Maintain BUY on A-Living Services (3319) We believe the underperformance is partially due to worries about an increase in employee benefit expenses after a strict enforcement of China s social security taxes in 2019 With share price falling some 30% in three months, the negative impact on 2019 s earnings should be fully discounted in share price in our view BUY ($16.0) BUY ($10.7) BUY ($10.0) BUY ($9.50) BUY ($21.90) BUY ($2.62) BUY ($57.9) BUY ($79.4) BUY ($14.0)
5 Disclosures of Interests Research Analyst Certification The views about any and all of the subject securities and issuers expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the research analyst(s) primarily responsible for this report; and the analysts are paid in part based or the profitability of Mason Securities Limited ( MSL ) and its affiliates (collectively called Mason Group ) which includes revenue from investment banking activities. Research Analyst Conflicts Financial Interest: The research analyst(s) who prepared this report and/or his/her/their associates has/have no financial interests in relation to listed corporation(s) covered in this report. Relevant Relationships: The research analyst(s) who prepared this report and his/her/their associates do not serve as officer(s) of listed corporation(s) covered in this report. Mason Group s Financial Interests and Business Relationships Mason Group may make a market in, or may, as principal or agent, buy or sell securities (or derivatives thereon) of issuer(s) mentioned in this report. Mason Group may have a financial interest in the issuer(s) mentioned in this report, including a long or short position in its/their securities and/or options, futures or other derivative instruments based thereon, or vice versa. Likewise, Mason Group, including its officers or employees may serve or have served as an officer, director or in an advisory capacity for any issuer(s) mentioned in this report. Mason Group may also, from time to time, solicit, perform or have performed investment banking, underwriting or other services (including acting as adviser, manager, underwriter or lender) within the last 12 months for any issuer(s) referred to in this report. Affiliation Mason Group is a wholly owned subsidiary of Mason Group Holdings Limited (00273.hk). More Information can be obtained at the website, Disclaimer This report is provided for information and discussion purposes only. None of the views contained in this report constitute a solicitation or an offer by any member of MSL, their directors, representatives and / or employees to buy or sell, whether as principal or agent, any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments. This report is intended for receipt by those to whom it is supplied by MSL and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation, or which would subject MSL to any regulatory requirement within such jurisdiction or country. Any person or entity who is in possession of this report and who intends to act or rely upon be information contained in it must satisfy himself / herself that he / she is not subject to any local requirement which restricts or prohibits him / her from doing so. Although the information in this report is obtained or compiled from sources that MSL believes to be reliable, it does not represent or warrant, whether expressly or impliedly, the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any such information. MSL expressly disclaims any warranties whether express or implied, of fitness for a particular purpose, or duties of care, in favor of any third party relying upon this reports. Information contained in this report may change at any time and MSL gives no undertaking to provide notice of any such change. Opinions and estimates stated in this report are a reflection of the judgment of MSL as at the date of this report and may also change at any time. MSL gives no undertaking to provide notice of any such change. The instruments and investments discussed in this report may not be suitable for investors, and this report has no regard to the specific investment objectives, investment experience, financial situation or needs of any particular recipient. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their own investment objectives and financial position. The value of, and income from, an investment may vary because of changes in interest rates or foreign exchange rates, changes in the price of securities or indices, changes in operational or financial conditions of companies and other factors. There may be time limitations on the exercise of, or the exercise of rights associated with, the instruments and investments discussed in this report. Past performance is not necessary a guide to future performance. In no event will MSL or any other member of Mason Group be liable or have any responsibility for loss of any find, whether direct, indirect, consequential or incidental, resulting from the act or omission of any third party occurring in reliance upon the contents of this report even if Mason Group is aware of such act or omission at the time that it occurs MSL. All rights reserved. This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of MSL and MSL accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect. Guide to stock ratings Note: Newly issued research recommendations and target prices supersede previously published research. BUY Based on a current 12-month view of total shareholder return (change in share price from current price + projected dividend yield), we expect a positive return of over 10%. HOLD Based on a current 12-month view of total shareholder return, we expect the return to range between +10% to -10%. SELL Based on a current 12-month view of total shareholder return we expect a negative return of over 10%. Research Team Contact Research Team, Mason Securities Limited, Portion 1, 12/F, The Center, 99 Queen s Road Central, Hong Kong Tel: (+852) research@masonhk.com
We expect Hang Seng Index to have a technical support at 24,000. Market Overview
30 October 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 24,812.04 0.4% -10.7% -19.5% -12.4% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10,012.63-0.5%
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to test 27,000 in the worst scenario. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
27 August 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 27,671.87-0.4% - 3.9% - 11.5% - 0.6% HSCEI (H- Shares) 10,779.71-0.3%
More informationHang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Oversea Commodities and FX Market Overview
4 September 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 27,712.54-0.6% 0.1% -9.4% -0.1% HSCEI (H-Shares)
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to maintain a technical rebound in near term. Market Overview. `Hang Seng Index Performance
24 October 2018 `Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 25,346.55-3.1% -7.8% -17.3% -10.0% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10,234.90-2.4%
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to make a technical rebound in near term. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
19 October 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 25,454.55 0.0% -7.1% -17.1% -9.6% HSCEI (H-Shares)
More informationWe believe further upside for Hang Seng Index will be limited in near term. Market Overview. 17 November 2017
17 November 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 29,018.76 0.58 1.12 14.73 30.35 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,533.96 1.06-0.30
More informationWe take a neutral view on Hang Seng Index this month with a trading range of 26,000-28,000. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
10 October 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 26,172.91-0.1% -1.7% -14.8% -8.1% HSCEI (H-Shares)
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to have a technical support at 24,000. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
26 October 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 24,994.46-1.0% -10.1% -16.7% -11.4% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10,176.56-0.5%
More informationWe take a neutral view on Hang Seng Index this month with a trading range of 26,000-28,000. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
9 October 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 26,202.57-1.4% -2.9% -13.3% -7.5% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10,393.29-1.3% -1.6%
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to test 27,000 in the worst scenario. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
28 August 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 28,271.27 2.2% - 1.9% - 8.3% 1.5% HSCEI (H-
More informationWe believe Hang Seng Index will continue to rebound in near term. Hang Seng Index Performance
26 July 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,920.90 0.9% 0.1% -12.8% 7.3% HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,074.16
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to encounter technical resistance at 28,700. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
29 August 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,351.62 0.3% -1.6% -8.1% 2.1% HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,097.59
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to hover between 27,000 and 28,800 but the risk is on the upside. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
3 October 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 27,126.38-2.4% -2.7% -9.9% -1.6% HSCEI (H-Shares)
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to test 27,000 in the worst scenario. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
16 August 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 27,323.59-1.5% -4.3% -12.2% -0.3% HSCEI (H-Shares)
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to make a technical rebound in near term. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
15 October 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 25,266.37-3.5% -4.1% -18.0% -11.2% HSCEI (H-Shares)
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to move within the range of 29,500 and 31,500 in near term. Hang Seng Index Performance
21 June 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 29,696.17 0.8% -4.9% 1.1% 15.6% HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,505.74
More informationWe believe further upside for Hang Seng Index will be limited in near term. Market Overview. 24 November 2017
24 November 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 29,707.94-0.99 5.52 16.83 31.40 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,737.06-1.85 2.91
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to be highly volatile in the short term. Market Overview
28 November Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 26,331.96-0.2% 6.5% -14.5% -11.3% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10,515.30-0.1% 4.5%
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to move within the range of 29,000 and 31,000 in near term. Hang Seng Index Performance
11 May 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 30,809.22 0.9% - 0.3% 5.8% 22.6% HSCEI (H- Shares)
More informationWe believe further upside for Hang Seng Index will be limited in near term. Market Overview. 22 November 2017
22 November 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 29,818.07 1.91 4.67 17.43 31.48 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,874.37 2.91 2.73
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to test 27,000 in the worst scenario. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
17 August 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 27,100.06-0.8% - 3.8% - 12.9% - 0.9% HSCEI
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to be highly volatile in the short term. Market Overview. Hang Seng Index Performance
20 November Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 26,372.00 0.7% 3.2% -15.1% -9.9% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10,631.66 0.5% 4.0% -13.9%
More informationHang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Oversea Commodities and FX Market Overview
22 January 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 32,254.89 0.4% 9.1% 20.8% 40.9% HSCEI (H-Shares)
More informationWe expect to see a technical rebound in Hang Seng Index in near term. Hang Seng Index Performance
4 July 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,545.57-1.4% -7.9% -7.1% 12.4% HSCEI (H-Shares) 10,872.20-1.8%
More informationWe expect Chinese financial stocks to outperform the market in near term. Market Overview. 30 October 2017
30 October 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,438.85 0.84 3.21 15.53 23.89 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,643.57 1.72 6.72
More informationWe believe further upside for Hang Seng Index will be limited in near term. Market Overview. 05 December 2017
05 December 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 29,138.28 0.22 1.87 12.66 29.47 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,518.07 0.60-0.73
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to move within the range of 29,500 and 31,500 in near term. Hang Seng Index Performance
25 May 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 30,760.41 0.3% 1.4% 3.0% 20.0% HSCEI (H- Shares)
More informationWe believe Hang Seng Index may test 27,000 this month in the worst scenario. Hang Seng Index Performance
9 July 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 28,315.62 0.5% - 8.5% - 8.7% 11.7% HSCEI (H-
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to move within the range of 29,500 and. 31,500 in near term. Hang Seng Index Performance
4 June 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 30,492.91 0.1% 1.9% 4.6% 17.6% HSCEI (H- Shares)
More informationWe expect Hang Seng Index to make a technical rebound in near term. Hang Seng Index Performance
27 June 2018 Hang Seng Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Major Market Indicators % Cha nge Hong Kong Close 1- Da y 1- Mth 6 - Mth 12 - Mth Hang Seng Index 28,881.40-0.3% - 5.6% - 2.4% 11.8% HSCEI (H-
More informationMajor Market Indicators
9 th October, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,458.04 0.28 2.85 17.27 19.31 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,459.09 0.54
More informationMajor Market Indicators
4 th October, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,173.21 2.25 1.56 16.12 18.93 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,305.38 3.62
More informationMajor Market Indicators
11 th October, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,490.83 0.58 1.92 18.28 20.98 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,418.76 0.29
More informationMarket Outlook. Expect Hang Seng Index to test 28,000 in August led by H shares. Overweight Chinese banks with ICBC and CCB as top picks
2 nd Aug, 2017 Market Outlook Eric Yuen ericyuen@masonhk.com GDP growth in U.S. and eurozone improved in 2Q17 compared with the previous quarter. GDP growth in China stood at 6.9% yoy in both 1Q17 and
More informationMarket Outlook. Expect Hang Seng Index to move within 23,500-25,000 but the risk is on the downside
4 th May, 2017 Market Outlook Eric Yuen ericyuen@masonhk.com Hang Seng Index climbed for four straight months with a cumulative gain of 11.9% in the first four months of the year. The rally in April is
More informationMajor Market Indicators
10 th October, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,326.59-0.46 2.38 16.75 18.76 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,385.38-0.64
More informationMajor Market Indicators
13 th September, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 27,972.24 0.06 4.05 17.38 20.49 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,242.06 0.19
More informationFurther upside for Hang Seng Index is limited given relatively high P/E valuation and weakness in A share markets. Market Outlook.
28 th Apr, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Index Performance Abs chg % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Day 1-Mth 3-Mth Hang Seng Index 24,698.48 120.05 0.49 1.45 5.73 HSCI 3,376.02 5.36 0.16 1.13 6.19
More informationMarket Outlook. Forecast a trading range of 21,300-22,800 for HSI but the risk is on the downside. Overweight HK and China property stocks
4 th Aug, 2016 Market Outlook Eric Yuen ericyuen@masonsec.com After a strong run in July, Hang Seng Index is presently trading at historical PER of 10.9x compared to 1-year, 3-year and 5-year average of
More informationWe take a neutral view on Hang Seng Index this month with a trading range of 25,000-26,500. Market Outlook. Index Performance
9 th June, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Index Performance Abs chg % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Day 1-Mth 3-Mth Hang Seng Index 26,063.06 88.90 0.34 4.72 10.90 HSCI 3,549.64 16.24 0.46 4.62 9.86
More informationMajor Market Indicators
19 th September, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,159.77 1.27 4.11 15.84 19.57 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,195.98 1.16
More informationWe expect Chinese financial stocks to outperform the market in near term. Market Overview. 19 th October, 2017
19 th October, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Major Market Indicators % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Mth 6-Mth 12-Mth Hang Seng Index 28,711.76 0.05 2.35 20.51 23.20 HSCEI (H-Shares) 11,621.95 0.46
More informationChina TCM (570 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$ H17 earnings beat, 2017 growth guidance reaffirmed; TP raised to HK$5.
Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15 Aug-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Equity Research Healthcare China TCM (570 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$5.40
More informationWe take a neutral view on Hang Seng Index this month with a trading range of 25,000-26,500. Market Outlook. Index Performance
12 th June, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Index Performance Abs chg % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Day 1-Mth 3-Mth Hang Seng Index 26,030.29-32.77-0.13 3.47 10.44 HSCI 3,540.11-9.53-0.27 3.45 9.33
More informationWe take a neutral view on Hang Seng Index this month with a trading range of 25,000-26,500. Market Outlook. Index Performance
6 th June, 2017 Hang Seng Index Performance Index Performance Abs chg % Change Hong Kong Close 1-Day 1-Day 1-Mth 3-Mth Hang Seng Index 25,862.99-61.06-0.24 5.67 9.61 HSCI 3,517.68-4.15-0.12 5.46 8.59 HSCCI
More informationCR Lands. Winner of next 5 years, BUY. March 21, 2018 Equity Research. Stock code: 1109.HK Rating: BUY Price target (HK$) 34.74
Equity Research Winner of next 5 years, BUY 2017 result: slow growth, but high profitability Revenue slightly improved by 8.5% YoY to HKD 118.5 bn. Thanks to GPM growing by 6.5 pts to 40%, gross profit
More informationKWG. Seeking balance between scale and profitability. March 27, 2018 Equity Research. Stock code: 1813.HK Rating: HOLD Price target (HK$) 12.
Equity Research Seeking balance between scale and profitability Downgrade to HOLD and revise down TP to HK$12.50: 2017 result missed our estimation; core net profit dropped by 19% YoY, expansion execution
More informationEarnings sustainability and asset quality remain under pressure
Bank of Chongqing (1963 HK; TP H KD6.85; H OLD) Bank of Chongqing (1963 HK) Equity Research Earnings sustainability and asset quality remain under pressure Huatai Research 30 October 2017 Equity China
More informationCOMPANY UPDATE. May 16, ROE (%) Dividend yield (%)
Summary. Man Wah s relatively weak FY2018 results were somewhat anticipated, given rising commodity prices and RMB appreciation. On the positive side, the China business performed well and will be the
More informationCompany Report. TCL Comm (2618 HK) Strong FY15E ahead backed by solid product roadmap in smartphone/wearables/apps/cloud; Reiterate BUY BUY
Company Report China Merchants Securities (HK) Co.Ltd. Hong Kong Equity Research TCL Comm (2618 HK) Strong FY15E ahead backed by solid product roadmap in smartphone/wearables/apps/cloud; Reiterate BUY
More informationYum Cha 飲茶. November 17, 2014 TALKING POINTS CHART OF THE DAY CHINA S SLOWING CREDIT GROWTH SPURS INTEREST IN YIELDS. INDICES Closing DoD%
Yum Cha 飲茶 November 17, 2014 CHART OF THE DAY CHINA S SLOWING CREDIT GROWTH SPURS INTEREST IN YIELDS INDICES Closing DoD% Hang Seng Index 24,087.4 0.3 HSCEI 10,761.5 (0.4) Shanghai COMP 2,478.8 (0.3) Shenzhen
More informationCRCC (1186.HK) Railway Sector 6 March 2013
INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH CRCC (1186.HK, Buy) Thoughts on MOR Reforms and Earnings Preview 6 March 2013 CRCC (1186.HK) Railway Sector 6 March 2013 Thoughts on MOR Reforms and Earnings Preview CRCC s share
More informationPICC Group (1339 HK)
Equity Research Financials PICC Group (1339 HK) Accumulate (Maintained) Target price: HK$4.40 Company undervalued; maintain Accumulate Positive signs for both the P&C sector in China and PICC P&C We see
More informationHSI revived as bargain hunting emerged
Turnover (HK$ bn) Hang Seng Index EAST ASIA SECURITIES COMPANY LIMITED 9/F, 10 Des Voeux Road Central, Hong Kong. Dealing: 2308 8200 Facsimile: 3608 6113 Restricted circulation Weekly Report 10 th August
More informationSECTOR: Banking HSI: 22,561 PRICE:HK$5.37
Recommendation BUY Target Price: HK$6.92 (+28.9%) Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (1398.HK) 5 March 2013 SECTOR: Banking HSI: 22,561 PRICE:HK$5.37 EARNINGS (RMBm) KEY DATA For the fiscal year ended
More informationYum Cha 飲茶. November 16, MFSL balance (RMB bn) RESEARCH NOTES TALKING POINT - A-SHARES: PICK-UP IN TRADING VELOCITY AND MFSL BALANCE
Yum Cha 飲茶 TALKING POINT - A-SHARES: PICK-UP IN TRADING VELOCITY AND MFSL BALANCE INDICES Closing DoD% Hang Seng Index 22,323.9 0.5 HSCEI 9,398.1 0.6 Shanghai COMP 3,207.0 (0.1) Shenzhen COMP 2,124.4 0.5
More informationYum Cha 飲茶. July 18, 2018
Yum Cha 飲茶 INDICES Closing DoD% Hang Seng Index 28181.7 (1.3) HSCEI 10591.7 (1.1) Shanghai COMP 2798.1 (0.6) Shenzhen COMP 1600.1 (0.2) Gold 1241.5 (0.5) BDIY 1695.0 1.7 Crude Oil, WTI(US$/BBL) 68.1 0.0
More informationYum Cha 飲茶. May 29, 2018 TALKING POINT LARGE SOUTHBOUND INFLOW TO HUANENG-H AGAIN RESEARCH NOTES SNIPPETS. INDICES Closing DoD%
Yum Cha 飲茶 INDICES Closing DoD% Hang Seng Index 30792.3 0.7 HSCEI 12115.2 0.6 Shanghai COMP 3135.1 (0.2) Shenzhen COMP 1806.1 (0.2) Gold 1298.1 (0.3) BDIY 1077.0 (2.9) Crude Oil, WTI(US$/BBL) 67.9 (4.0)
More informationCITIC Securities [6030.HK; CH]
CITIC Securities [6030.HK; 600030.CH] CITIC Securities (CITICS) reported a net profit of RMB2.9bn in Q2 2018, up 10%. The major lines of business still managed to achieve single-digit revenue growth, which
More informationCompany Update. China Oriental Group (581 HK) Rating: Buy; TP: HK$8.4. HK equity market China Materials Steel. 04 Sep Reverse NDR Takeaways
Company Update HK equity market China Materials Steel China Oriental Group (581 HK) Reverse NDR Takeaways Last week, we hosted a reverse NDR with China Oriental Group (COG) in Shanghai, which was generally
More informationHang Seng Indexes Announces Index Review Results
6 February 2018 Hang Seng Indexes Announces Index Review Results Hang Seng Indexes Limited ( Hang Seng Indexes ) today announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes for the quarter
More informationLuk Fook (590 HK) Hold Target price: HK$ Downgrade to Hold on more challenging HK & Macau market outlook. Equity Research Consumer Discretionary
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Luk Fook (590 HK) Hold Target price: HK$24.60 Albert Yip, CFA SFC CE No. ADT599 albertyip@gfgroup.com.hk +852 3719 1010 GF Securities (Hong Kong) Brokerage Limited
More informationCompany Report. TCL Comm (2618 HK) NDR takeaways: Conservative shipment outlook; Positive on stable margin NEUTRAL WHAT S NEW N/A.
Company Report China Merchants Securities (HK) Co., Ltd. Hong Kong Equity Research TCL Comm (2618 HK) NDR takeaways: Conservative shipment outlook; Positive on stable margin Expect FY15E Smartphone/tablets/feature
More informationAnta Sports (2020 HK)
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Anta Sports (2020 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$18.50 Product mix improvement in 4Q15 order book 4Q15 order book kept at low-teen, better product mix Order
More informationAnta Sports (2020 HK)
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Anta Sports (2020 HK) Hold (downgraded) Target price: HK$22.80 Albert Yip, CFA SFC CE No. ADT599 albertyip@gfgroup.com.hk +852 3719 1010 GF Securities (Hong Kong)
More information10 March 2008 Flash Comment
1 March 28 Flash Comment Zijin Mining (2899.HK) FY7 Result Review Expected Return Rating : BUY Price (7/3/8) : HK$1.8 Target Price : HK$14 Expected Capital Gain : 38.8% Expected Dividend Yield : 2.2% Expected
More informationAnta Sports (2020 HK)
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Anta Sports (2020 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$18.50 Strong FY14 results; order book momentum maintained FY14 results above expectation Net profit jumped
More informationYum Cha 飲茶. January 29, 2016 RESEARCH NOTES SNIPPETS TALKING POINT - POTENTIAL RISKS OF STOCK-PLEDGED LENDING. INDICES Closing DoD%
Yum Cha 飲茶 INDICES Closing DoD% TALKING POINT - POTENTIAL RISKS OF STOCK-PLEDGED LENDING January 29, 2016 Hang Seng Index 19,195.8 0.8 HSCEI 8,028.6 0.9 Shanghai COMP 2,655.7 (2.9) Shenzhen COMP 1,629.1
More informationLink REIT 领展房地产基金 (823 HK)
Link REIT 领展房地产基金 (823 HK) Riding the momentum of retail recovery Link REIT announced its FY18 annual result yesterday. It is in line with our estimates. Total distributable income in FY18 grew 7% YoY
More informationTechnical Action 28 May 2008
Technical Action 28 May 2008 CNOOC (883.HK) Time to Take Profit Based on our technical analysis, we recommend investors to take profit in CNOOC, following its strong rally over the past two months. CNOOC
More informationTCL Communication (2618 HK) Painful transition period. Buy (Maintain) Target Price HK$2.33 Up/downside +28.5% Current price HK$1.
Securities Analysis (Equity) TCL Communication (218 HK) Painful transition period 1H12 profit warning. TCL Com announced profit warning on 15 Jul and expected to record a significant drop in 2Q12 net profit
More information2018 Insurance Sector Outlook
Equity Research Financials 2018 Insurance Sector Outlook Positive (maintained) Felix Luo SFC CE No. AQF573 felixluo@gfgroup.com.hk +852 3719 1048 GF Securities (Hong Kong) Brokerage Limited 29-30/F, Li
More informationIndexing Investment. under Stock Connect Program. Anita Mo. Head of Business Development. A joint venture of
Indexing Investment under Stock Connect Program Anita Mo Head of Business Development A joint venture of Nov 2016 1 China Exchanges Services Company Ltd. 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 2 Cross Border Asset Allocation
More informationMarket Snapshot. Further re-rating of low valuation sectors ahead; high growth sectors to recover. Equity Research Investment Strategy.
Equity Research Market Snapshot Further re-rating of low valuation sectors ahead; high growth sectors to recover Alex Fan, CFA SFC CE No. ADJ672 alexfan@gfgroup.com.hk +852 3719 1047 GF Securities (Hong
More informationRecommendation: BUY. CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd. (3899.HK) 18 August 2014 TP: HK$14.2 (+42.7%) SECTION 1 RESULTS BRIEFING SECTION 2 COMPANY BACKGROUND
Recommendation: BUY TP: HK$14.2 (+42.7%) CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd. (3899.HK) 18 August 2014 SECTOR: Oil & Gas equipment HSI: 24,955.46 PRICE: HK$9.95 EARNINGS (reported in RMBm) KEY DATA For the fiscal
More informationChow Sang Sang (116 HK)
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Chow Sang Sang (116 HK) Hold (maintained) Target price: HK$14.00 1H16 China sales outperformed peers; still cautious on HK market Maintain Hold We revise down our
More informationIGG (8002 HK) Upbeat with Q2 profitability. Results express Share price: HK$5.47. Equity Research Tech, Media & Telecom
Equity Research Tech, Media & Telecom 11 Aug 2014 IGG (8002 HK) Upbeat with Q2 profitability Net profit reached US$19.3m in Q2; mobile game income 83%: IGG announced interim results Sunday evening. For
More informationHK Retail Sector Monthly
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary May 4, 218 HK Retail Sector Monthly March retail sales jump 11.2%; momentum continued into April and Labor Day holiday Albert Yip, CFA SFC CE No. ADT599 albertyip@gfgroup.com.hk
More informationChow Tai Fook (1929 HK)
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) Accumulate Target price: HK$11.60 3QFY15 sales disappoint SSS plunge 21% YoY in HK and Macau The sluggish sales was attributable to protest
More informationCRRC (1766 HK) Accumulate (maintained) Target price: HK$8.20. Weak 1H17 results, but management s optimistic view on EMU orders eases market concern
Equity Research Rail Equipment CRRC (1766 HK) Accumulate (maintained) Target price: HK$8.2 Dominic Chan, CFA, FRM SFC CE No. APP69 dominicchan@gfgroup.com.hk +852 3719 1218 GF Securities (Hong Kong) Brokerage
More informationChina Property Monthly
Research Sector Report China Property Monthly Hong Kong China GFA sold declined by 6.9% yoy as of April GFA sold declined by 6.9% yoy as of April. According to China NBS, as of April 2014, real estate
More informationGeely Auto (175 HK) EPS (Rmb) Turnover (Rmb m) Net profit. Sources: Company data, GF Securities (Hong Kong)
Equity Research Auto Geely Auto (175 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$ 33.29 Chongjing Deng SFC CE No. BEY953 dengchongjing@gf.com.cn +86 2 8757 6482 GF Securities (Hong Kong) Brokerage Limited 29-3/F,
More informationLeju Holdings (LEJU US)
Equity Research Property Leju Holdings (LEJU US) Hold (Initiation) Target price: US$16.00 Fairly valued major real estate services provider; initiate at Hold Major real estate services provider in China
More informationBUY CMEC [1829.HK] May 19, More new flow on overseas contract is expected to come under, upgrade to BUY. Infrastructure Sector
CMEC [9.HK] More new flow on overseas contract is expected to come under, upgrade to BUY A total of US$21bn of major economic corporation contracts were signed (or reinforced) after the visiting activities
More informationKingsoft (3888 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$ Q16 results in line, renewed growth outlook; maintain Buy with target price of HK$20.
Equity Research Information Technology Kingsoft (3888 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$2.77 2Q16 results in line, renewed growth outlook; maintain Buy with target price of HK$2.77 2Q16 results in
More informationHaitong Securities [6837.HK]
July 14, 2015 Haitong Securities [6837.HK] Solid 1H Result Provides Buffer; Margin Financing Risk Manageable We believe a 36% correction of Haitong Securities (HTS) share price since early June has been
More informationCOMPANY / INDUSTRY NEWS
June 27, 2016 Company background. Shun Tak Holdings, which was listed on the main board in 1973, is a conglomerate with businesses including property, transportation, hospitality and investment. Most of
More informationSilicon Works (108320)
Company Note June 8, 2018 12M rating BUY (Maintain) OLED growth starts with Silicon Works 12M TP W56,000 Up/downside +38% from W56,000 2Q18 OP to surge 165% YoY to W8.4bn Despite disappointing 1Q18 results,
More information23,315 PRICE: HK$3.55 EARNINGS
Recommendation: BUY TP: HK$4.87(+37.2%) Comba Telecom Systems Holdings Limited (2342.HK) 06 October 2014 SECTOR: Telecom Equipment HSI: 23,315 PRICE: HK$3.55 EARNINGS (reported in HK$m) KEY DATA For the
More informationYum Cha 飲茶. March 28, 2017 TALKING POINT - DOUBLE HIT IN LATE MARCH RESEARCH NOTES SNIPPETS. INDICES Closing DoD%
Yum Cha 飲茶 INDICES Closing DoD% Hang Seng Index 24193.7 (0.7) HSCEI 10362.0 (1.1) Shanghai COMP 3267.0 (0.1) Shenzhen COMP 2039.4 (0.4) Gold 1254.4 0.9 BDIY 1282.0 3.4 Crude Oil, WTI(US$/BBL) 47.7 (0.5)
More informationCOMPANY / INDUSTRY NEWS Harmonicare Medical Holdings Limited [1509.HK, HK$5.00, NOT RATED] Lackluster outlook with rich valuation
We recently visited Shenzhen Harmonicare Hospital, which is part of Harmonicare Medical. The latter s existing traditional gynecology (GYN) hospitals are maturing and delivering stagnant growth. Further
More informationLuk Fook (590 HK) Strong 1Q gem-set SSS in China. Core profit (HK$ m) Net profit (HK$ m) Turnover (HK$ m)
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Luk Fook (590 HK) Hold (maintained) Target price: HK$23.10 Strong 1Q gem-set SSS in China China gem-set SSS outperformed CTF SSS in China improved from -5% in 1QFY15
More informationAnhui Conch [0914.HK]
Anhui Conch [0914.HK] Due to high base effect in 1H14 and weak cement price trend year-to-date, we forecast Anhui Conch s 1H15 recurring net profit to decline 41% year-on-year (YoY) to RMB3.45bn. As a
More informationGoodbaby (1086 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$ H16 results miss, but margin expansion continues. Equity Research Consumer Discretionary
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Goodbaby (1086 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$4.20 1H16 results miss, but margin expansion continues Maintain Buy Net profit rose 21% YoY to HK$107m in 1H16,
More informationStrategy. October 10, 2018
Strategy October 10, 2018 Following a correction of more than 20% YTD, the valuation of the large cap A-shares has dropped to about 10x rolling forward PER, largely in line with the level of the Hang Seng
More informationHang Seng Indexes Announces Index Review Results
10 February 2017 Hang Seng Indexes Announces Index Review Results Hang Seng Indexes Limited ( Hang Seng Indexes ) today announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes for the quarter
More informationHong Kong Exchange [0388.HK]
Hong Kong Exchange [0388.HK] We believe the proposed establishment of New Board Premium and New Board Pro will be another game changer for the HKEx after the launch of the Stock Connect in November 2014.
More informationGuotai Junan International [1788.HK]
Guotai Junan International [788.HK] Correction Overdone; Valuation Back to Crisis Level; Reiterate BUY The share price of Guotai Junan International (GTJAI) dropped nearly % within the past month, as the
More informationPeak Sport (1968 HK)
Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Sport (1968 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$2.41 Signing of NBA All-Star player to enhance brand equity and ease concerns Signing of Dwight Howard to enhance
More informationChina P&C Insurance Sector
Research Sector Report Hong Kong China Valuation not attractive enough; Downgrade to Neutral Industry-wide Combined Ratio has increased since 2013. For example, PICC P&C s (02328) aggregate combined ratio
More information