THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. Battleground 55 #14396: Weighted Tables Aguust 23-28, 2014

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1 RG1 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS ONE RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO SENEL U.S. SENATE ELECTION STATUS BY STATE COMPSEN COMPETITIVE SENATE RACES GOVEL GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION STATUS BY STATE GENDER GENDER RSEXEMP SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C EMPSTAT RAGE AGE/C Northeast Midwest South South Central Central Plains Mountain States West California Florida Texas New York Rest of country GOP held seat up DEM held seat up No Senate election States w/ competitive Senate race States w/o competitive Senate race GOP held seat up DEM held seat up No Gubernatorial election Male Female Male / employed Male / not employed Female / employed Female / not employed Not employed Employed Retired Refused or over / refused 17% 21% 5% 12% 46% % 24% 3% 14% 41% 204 9% 16% 8% 19% 48% % 17% 5% 8% 47% 233 7% 23% 3% 8% 58% 92 16% 14% 7% 21% 42% 77 18% 23% 1% 6% 51% 70 21% 27% 4% 8% 40% % 28% 5% 6% 41% % 24% 11% 35% 54 8% 23% 4% 7% 58% 65 25% 32% 1% 4% 38% 60 16% 18% 5% 14% 47% % 19% 3% 6% 54% % 19% 6% 16% 45% % 23% 4% 11% 42% 493 8% 19% 6% 13% 54% % 21% 4% 12% 44% % 18% 3% 11% 50% % 24% 5% 13% 39% % 20% 5% 10% 49% % 19% 3% 12% 50% % 23% 6% 11% 42% % 21% 2% 15% 49% % 17% 4% 8% 52% % 27% 6% 11% 36% % 19% 7% 11% 47% % 22% 8% 14% 39% % 23% 4% 13% 43% % 17% 4% 8% 53% % 5% 8% 33% 40% 10 23% 26% 5% 17% 28% % 19% 4% 15% 46% % 22% 3% 9% 53% % 17% 4% 9% 50% % 24% 13% 9% 43% 41 Page 1

2 RAGEBG2 AGE/C RR96FL AGE / SEX RRACE RACE/C WHITE SENIORS GENRACE RACE BY GENDER RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C RPTYID89 SEX / PARTY ID RPTY90FL AGE / PARTY IDENTIFICATION RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C / refused Male / under 55 Male / 55+ Female / under 55 Female / 55+ White Black / African American Hispanic / Latino White seniors White men White women Black men Black women Hispanic men Hispanic women Independent Democrat Male / GOP Female / GOP Male / DEM Female / DEM Male / IND Female / IND Under 55 / GOP 55 & over / GOP Under 55 / DEM 55 & over / DEM Under 55 / IND 55 & over / IND Ticket splitter Democrat 19% 23% 5% 16% 38% % 22% 3% 9% 53% % 17% 4% 9% 50% % 24% 13% 9% 43% 41 13% 19% 3% 17% 48% % 19% 2% 5% 53% % 26% 6% 12% 37% % 19% 6% 10% 46% % 16% 5% 12% 52% % 36% 1% 9% 15% % 34% 3% 12% 32% 91 19% 31% 4% 6% 40% 41 15% 15% 6% 10% 54% % 24% 4% 13% 42% % 15% 3% 12% 56% % 18% 7% 13% 49% % 32% 19% 12% 51 38% 40% 2% 3% 17% 71 8% 32% 4% 10% 46% 48 31% 37% 2% 14% 16% 43 1% 4% 4% 13% 78% % 21% 5% 13% 44% % 37% 5% 10% 15% 416 2% 4% 2% 10% 82% 209 1% 4% 6% 15% 74% % 38% 3% 12% 12% % 37% 6% 9% 17% % 21% 3% 16% 47% % 22% 8% 9% 40% 81 2% 4% 5% 15% 73% 235 0% 3% 2% 9% 85% % 42% 3% 13% 13% % 33% 7% 7% 17% % 24% 5% 18% 31% % 17% 5% 7% 60% 84 2% 6% 4% 12% 76% % 19% 7% 12% 44% 48 33% 36% 5% 11% 15% 483 Page 2

3 PARTISAN PARTISAN RIDEOL IDEOLOGY/C RRIDEOL IDEOLOGY/C RPTYID98 TARGET GROUPS PARIDEOL PARTY / IDEOLOGY RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY MOVEMENT/C REDUC EDUCATION/C SEXED2 GENDER AND EDUCATION SEXEDWH NON-COLLEGE GRADUATES RUNION MEMBER OF LABOR UNION/C Hard GOP Soft GOP Ticket splitter Soft DEM Hard DEM Conservative Moderate Liberal Very conservative Somewhat conservative Moderate / liberal Independent Conservative DEM Mod / lib DEM Liberal DEM Mod / conservative DEM Independent Mod / liberal GOP Conservative GOP Yes / Yes No / unsure Less than high school High school graduate Some college College graduate Male college graduates Male non-college graduates Female college graduates Female non-college graduates White non-college graduate Minority non-college graduate s Union household Non-union household 1% 3% 3% 12% 81% 373 7% 15% 5% 13% 60% 114 5% 22% 7% 18% 48% 51 34% 28% 5% 12% 20% 88 34% 38% 5% 10% 13% 390 6% 12% 4% 12% 65% % 17% 7% 12% 48% 52 35% 35% 5% 11% 15% 375 4% 5% 4% 8% 80% 226 7% 17% 4% 15% 56% % 33% 5% 11% 19% 427 1% 4% 4% 13% 78% % 21% 5% 13% 44% % 34% 4% 11% 28% % 39% 5% 10% 10% % 38% 5% 9% 9% % 32% 6% 14% 25% % 19% 7% 12% 44% 48 7% 8% 2% 19% 65% 56 1% 6% 4% 12% 78% 428 8% 4% 2% 6% 79% 133 4% 8% 5% 10% 74% 92 20% 25% 5% 13% 37% 790 4% 41% 8% 3% 43% 40 16% 15% 3% 13% 53% % 18% 5% 11% 51% % 23% 4% 12% 40% % 23% 2% 13% 44% % 14% 3% 12% 57% % 23% 7% 12% 37% % 22% 6% 10% 46% % 13% 5% 13% 59% % 34% 3% 7% 30% % 23% 4% 12% 40% % 28% 1% 8% 39% % 20% 5% 12% 47% 883 Page 3

4 RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C MOMDAD PARENTS BUNDY MARITAL STATUS / CHILDREN GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL GENMAR2 GENDER, MARITAL, AND RACE MOMMAR MOTHERS BY MARITAL STATUS ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS Single Married No longer married Dad Mom Married / children Married / no children Divorced / children Divorced / no children Single / children Single / no children / mixed Single women Married women No longer married women Single men Married men No longer married men White single men White single women White married men White married women White no longer married men White no longer married women Single mothers Married mothers No longer married mothers Non-mothers Upper class Middle class Low income Working class Unemployed Refused 24% 28% 3% 13% 32% % 18% 4% 12% 52% % 23% 7% 10% 42% % 18% 2% 9% 61% % 23% 6% 14% 40% % 21% 5% 12% 50% % 16% 3% 12% 53% % 24% 16% 43% 21 24% 29% 5% 11% 32% 83 27% 18% 7% 48% 27 24% 29% 4% 14% 29% % 18% 10% 9% 49% % 29% 4% 3% 34% % 20% 6% 14% 44% % 23% 10% 11% 42% % 26% 2% 24% 30% 98 13% 16% 3% 9% 59% % 22% 2% 10% 41% 88 17% 12% 3% 30% 38% 67 18% 22% 6% 7% 47% 49 11% 14% 3% 9% 62% % 17% 6% 14% 50% % 22% 6% 54% 59 11% 17% 11% 13% 48% % 35% 2% 10% 25% % 13% 5% 50% 23 14% 24% 7% 16% 38% % 31% 10% 40% 16 17% 20% 4% 11% 47% % 17% 11% 10% 38% 70 17% 20% 4% 13% 46% % 24% 5% 9% 46% % 33% 2 59% 41% 1 5% 21% 10% 9% 55% 20 Page 4

5 CLARAC ECONOMIC CLASS AND RACE CLARACM ECONOMIC CLSS, RACE, MARITAL STATUS RDENOM CHURCH/C RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH/C ACTIVE ACTIVE CHURCH ATTENDEES SEXBORN GENDER AND BORN AGAIN RACEVANG RACE / EVANGELICAL Middle class whites Middle class African Americans Middle class Hispanics Middle class other races Middle class white married Middle class African American married Middle class Hispanic married Middle class other race married Roman Catholic Baptist / Evangelical Mainline Protestant None At least once a week At least once a month Infrequently Never Active Roman Catholics Active Baptists / Evangelicals Active Mainline Protestants Active other Male born again / evangelicals Male not evangelical Female born again / evangelicals Female not evangelical White Evangelical Non-white Evangelical 15% 16% 4% 13% 52% % 40% 1% 11% 12% 71 15% 33% 3% 13% 36% 59 22% 26% 3% 6% 44% 26 17% 22% 7% 9% 44% % 17% 4% 12% 54% % 40% 25% 14% 31 11% 25% 3% 15% 46% 37 17% 25% 4% 55% 16 20% 22% 6% 11% 41% % 19% 3% 14% 50% 216 9% 15% 5% 11% 60% % 21% 5% 12% 44% % 15% 1% 8% 58% 65 25% 32% 5% 13% 25% % 14% 4% 13% 53% % 18% 5% 13% 48% % 24% 3% 10% 48% 188 6% 39% 8% 8% 39% 35 16% 11% 3% 10% 60% 81 11% 12% 2% 14% 61% % 19% 6% 13% 40% 150 8% 11% 14% 67% 36 18% 25% 5% 11% 41% % 13% 3% 14% 60% % 22% 2% 11% 45% % 22% 5% 11% 48% % 23% 7% 11% 38% 353 4% 9% 5% 12% 70% % 36% 3% 13% 19% 110 Page 5

6 IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY / EVANGELICAL CHRISTIANS RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN COUNTRY ARE GOING/C RGENCONG GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT/C RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C RBOJA1 APPROVE OBAMA / ECONOMY/C RBOJA5 APPROVE OBAMA / JOBS/C R APPROVE OBAMA / IMMIGRATION/C BOJACT OBAMA JOB APPROVAL COUNT RCONJA CONGRESSIONAL JOB APPROVAL/C PARIHCT ISSUE HANDLING BY PARTY COUNT White conservative Non-white conservative White non-conservative Non-white non-conservative Right direction Wrong track Undecided Democrat on issues on 7-9 issues on 4-6 issues on 1-3 issues on 0 issues GOP on 9-11 issues GOP on 6-8 issues GOP on 3-5 issues GOP on 0-2 issues 2% 5% 4% 12% 77% % 40% 5% 14% 25% 64 16% 23% 9% 13% 39% 43 47% 30% 11% 12% 46 40% 39% 4% 10% 8% % 34% 13% 10% 14% 94 9% 14% 4% 13% 61% 706 2% 6% 3% 13% 77% % 20% 8% 16% 44% % 38% 5% 10% 12% % 38% 6% 10% 9% % 26% 9% 33% 21% 52 1% 6% 3% 11% 79% % 38% 6% 10% 11% % 34% 17% 5% 32% 20 3% 7% 3% 13% 73% % 38% 4% 12% 13% 477 8% 13% 35% 20% 25% 33 2% 6% 3% 11% 78% % 55% % 46 21% 79% % 45% 3% 5% 3% % 34% 10% 17% 13% 135 6% 16% 8% 31% 40% 100 0% 13% 3% 18% 66% 123 4% 8% 88% % 24% 4% 15% 41% 160 6% 12% 13% 7% 62% 46 18% 21% 4% 11% 46% 809 1% 2% 2% 12% 83% 331 7% 9% 8% 15% 60% 114 9% 18% 8% 16% 49% % 39% 4% 9% 13% 445 Page 6

7 PECSTA PERSONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION OVER PAST FOUR YEARS UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING IN UPCOMING ELECTION Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same / refused Extremely likely Very likely Somewhat likely 32% 34% 5% 12% 17% 290 5% 9% 2% 10% 74% % 23% 6% 14% 40% % 20% 33% 4 18% 18% 3% 10% 51% % 20% 7% 20% 35% % 33% 6% 6% 39% % 21% 5% 12% 46% 1015 Page 7