Appendix (for online publication)
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1 Appendix (for online publication) Figure A1: Log GDP per Capita and Agricultural Share Notes: Table source data is from Gollin, Lagakos, and Waugh (2014), Online Appendix Table 4. Kenya (KEN) and Indonesia (IDN) are highlighted.
2 Figure A2: Agricultural Share and Agricultural Productivity Gap Notes: Table source data is from Gollin, Lagakos, and Waugh (2014), Online Appendix Table 4. Kenya (KEN) and Indonesia (IDN) are highlighted.
3 Figure A3: Types of Individual Agricultural Productivity Data Lower quality measures Higher quality measures (A) Indonesia Source of agricultural Self-employed profits (commercial and Wage employment productivity and hours subsistence agriculture) 1 Individual-years in Agriculture 55,149 24,567 Individuals in Agriculture 6, *** (0.032) [142,993] 4, (0.026) [149,939] Agriculture productivity gap (Standard error) [Individual-months] Source of agricultural productivity and hours Less reliable individual agricultural productivity data 2 Self-employed profits (subsistence agriculture) Self-employed profits (commencial agriculture) 0.078*** (0.021) 275,600 Wage employment Individual-months in Agriculture 16,830 2,991 4,124 14,422 Individuals in Agriculture 1, (0.189) [36,536] (0.121) [97,572] Agriculture productivity gap (Standard error) [Individual-months] (B) Kenya (0.106) 4,791 Notes: 1 The IFLS does not distinguish between profits in subsistence and commercial agriculture. 2 Less reliable agricultural productivity data encompasses individualmonths where the only source of agricultural productivity data is from activities where the respondent is not the main decision maker and other household members contribute some hours. All estimates can be found in Table 8.
4 Figure A4: Event Study of Urban Migration for Urban Survivors (A) Indonesia Urban Wage Gap (log points) Rural Urban Not Survivor Survivor Urban Survival Rate (percent) Years relative to first urban move
5 (B) Kenya Urban Wage Gap (log points) Rural Urban Survivor Not Survivor Urban Survival Rate (percent) Years relative to first urban move Notes: Event study coefficients reported in top half of figure separately for survivors and not-survivors. Survivor status is defined as having no rural observations from period zero (when the individual moved an urban area) to the period of interest, corresponding exactly to the survivor rate graph on the lower half of the figure. Survivor coefficients (black line in the top half) obtained by interacting a survivor indicator with post-event time indicators described in Section IV.D; not-survivor coefficients (grey line in the top half) is the event time indicator interacted with one minus the survivor indicator. Panel A reports results for Indonesia, and Panel B reports results for Kenya. Please refer to Figure 4 notes for additional details on included control variables and computation of survivor rates.
6 Figure A5: Event Study of Rural Migration Urban Wage Gap (log points) Urban Rural Rural Survival Rate (percent) Years relative to first rural move Notes: Figure uses data on individuals in the IFLS who are born in urban areas. Event time indicator variables defined analogously to Figure 4 except with respect to individuals first observed rural move. Coefficients multiplied by negative 1 to interpret difference in earnings as an urban premium. Sample includes 1,296 movers with wage observations at the time of move and one period prior; 636 individuals report wages five years later. Please refer to Figure 4 notes for additional details on included control variables and computation of survivor rates.
7 Figure A6: Event Study of Rural Migration for Survivors Urban Wage Gap (log points) Urban Rural Not Survivor Survivor Rural Survival Rate (percent) Years relative to first rural move Notes: Figure uses data on individuals in the IFLS who are born in urban. Event study coefficients reported in top half of figure separately for survivors and not-survivors. Survivor status is defined as having no urban observations from period zero (when the individual moved a rural area) to the period of interest, corresponding exactly to the survivor rate graph on the lower half of the figure. Survivor coefficients (black line in the top half) obtained by interacting a survivor indicator with post-event time indicators described in Section IV.D; not-survivor coefficients (grey line in the top half) is the event time indicator interacted with one minus the survivor indicator. Panel A reports results for Indonesia, and Panel B reports results for Kenya. Please refer to Figure 4 notes for additional details on included control variables and computation of survivor rates.
8 Table A1: Correlates of Rural Migration Indonesia (Born Urban) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) Primary Ed *** *** *** (0.017) (0.025) (0.018) Secondary Ed *** *** *** (0.009) (0.012) (0.010) College *** * (0.011) (0.014) (0.012) Female *** *** *** (0.009) (0.010) (0.009) Raven s Z-score *** (0.006) (0.006) Constant 0.642*** 0.463*** 0.379*** 0.374*** 0.359*** 0.675*** 0.671*** (0.016) (0.007) (0.005) (0.006) (0.005) (0.024) (0.017) Observations Notes: This table is a rural migration analog of Table 3. Each cell represents a regression coefficient with an indicator for being a rural migrant as the dependent variable. The sample is restricted to individuals born in urban areas. Please see notes from Table 3. Table A2: Correlates of Employment in Non-Agriculture Indonesia (Born Urban) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) Primary Ed *** 0.133*** 0.160*** (0.015) (0.022) (0.015) Secondary Ed *** *** *** (0.005) (0.006) (0.005) College *** * (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) Female *** *** *** (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) Raven s Z-score *** *** (0.003) (0.004) Constant 0.733*** 0.863*** 0.913*** 0.912*** 0.928*** 0.741*** 0.713*** (0.015) (0.005) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.021) (0.015) Observations Notes: This table is a analogous to Table 4 but is estimated on individuals born in urban areas. Please see notes from Table 4.
9 Table A3: Correlates of Meals Eaten Kenya (1) (2) (3) Log Consumption Log Earnings Log(Meals) 0.194* 0.278*** 0.228*** (0.090) (0.065) (0.066) Number of observations Notes: Each cell reports a regression coefficient with the log of meals as the independent variable; dependent variables listed in the header of the table. These regressions do not have the sample restrictions found in Table 2. Log of household per capita consumption in column 1 available only for a subset of individuals from KLPS 3. Robust standard errors clustered by individual reported below in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
10 Table A4: Kenya Urban Towns Population Percentage of Urban Individual-Months Nairobi 3,133, Mombasa 938, Busia 61, Nakuru 307, Kisumu 409, Eldoret 289, Kakamega 91, Kitale 106, Bungoma 81, Naivasha 181, Gilgil 35, Other Notes: This table presents a list of reported towns from urban individual-month observations. Urban status is defined based on respondent answering that they live in a large town or city. Column 3 lists the fraction of individual months in analysis from a particular town. The source for town populations is the 2009 Kenya Census.
11 Table A5: Non-Agricultural/Agricultural Gap in Earnings using Alternative Definition of Agriculture (A) Indonesia Dependent variable: Log Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Only non-agricultural employment 0.619*** 0.302*** 0.088*** (0.012) (0.011) (0.016) (0.018) Any non-agricultural employment 0.728*** 0.357*** 0.304*** 0.123*** (0.013) (0.012) (0.017) (0.020) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals (B) Kenya Dependent variable: Log Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Only non-agricultural employment 0.747*** 0.521*** 0.210** (0.061) (0.056) (0.084) (0.097) Any non-agricultural employment 0.814*** 0.571*** 0.369*** (0.064) (0.059) (0.091) (0.108) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: Panel A uses data from the IFLS, and Panel B uses data from the KLPS. The table repeats some of the analyses shown in Tables 5 and 6 with alternate definitions of non-agriculture. In the first Only non-agricultural employment, an individual-time is considered agricultural if any of their jobs are agricultural, and non-agricultural otherwise. In the second, Any non-agricultural employment, an individual-time is considered non-agricultural if any of their jobs are non-agricultural, and agricultural otherwise. For columns 4 and 8, the dependent variable is the log of earnings divided by hours worked. Control variables include log hours, log hours squared, age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3, 4, 7 and 8, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
12 Table A6: Non-Agricultural/Agricultural Gap in Earnings Within Rural Areas (A) Indonesia Dependent variable: Log Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) Non-agricultural employment 0.563*** 0.312*** 0.245*** 0.065*** (0.015) (0.013) (0.020) (0.024) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals (B) Kenya Dependent variable: Log Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) Non-agricultural employment 0.340*** 0.206*** * (0.072) (0.066) (0.119) (0.143) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: Panel A uses data from the IFLS, and Panel B uses data from the KLPS. The table repeats some of the analyses shown in Table 5, but restricts the sample to observations where the individual resides in rural areas. For column 4, the dependent variable is the log of earnings divided by hours worked. Control variables include log hours, log hours squared, age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3 and 4, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
13 Table A7: Gap in Earnings for those Aged 30 or Younger, Indonesia Dependent variable: Log Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 0.527*** 0.293*** 0.160*** (0.019) (0.018) (0.031) (0.038) Urban 0.431*** 0.257*** 0.082*** (0.014) (0.012) (0.017) (0.020) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: This table uses data from the IFLS. The table repeats some of the analyses shown in Tables 5 and 6 but restricts the sample to observations where the individual is aged 30 years or fewer to allow better comparability to the KLPS sample. For columns 4 and 8, the dependent variable is the log of earnings divided by hours worked. Control variables include log hours, log hours squared, age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3, 4, 7 and 8, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
14 Table A8: Gap in Wage Earnings (A) Indonesia Dependent variable: Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 1.073*** 0.366*** 0.219*** (0.018) (0.015) (0.022) (0.026) Urban 0.581*** 0.210*** 0.049*** (0.015) (0.011) (0.013) (0.016) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals (B) Kenya Dependent variable: Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 0.872*** 0.651*** 0.404*** (0.070) (0.065) (0.096) (0.121) Urban 0.732*** 0.629*** 0.198*** 0.132** (0.040) (0.036) (0.049) (0.053) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: Panel A uses data from the IFLS, and Panel B uses data from the KLPS. The table repeats some of the analyses shown in Tables 5 and 6, but instead of using all available earnings as the dependent variable, this table only includes earnings from wage employment. For columns 4 and 8, the dependent variable is earnings from wage employment divided by hours worked. Control variables include log hours, log hours squared, age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3, 4, 7 and 8, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
15 Table A9: Gap in Self-Employment Earnings (A) Indonesia Dependent variable: Log Self-Employment Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 0.380*** 0.264*** 0.068** 0.084*** (0.017) (0.016) (0.028) (0.032) Urban 0.420*** 0.242*** (0.018) (0.017) (0.023) (0.027) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals (B) Kenya Dependent variable: Log Self-Employment Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment (0.156) (0.140) (0.160) (0.189) Urban 0.671*** 0.486*** (0.096) (0.089) (0.125) (0.151) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: Panel A uses data from the IFLS, and Panel B uses data from the KLPS. The table repeats some of the analyses shown in Tables 5 and 6, but instead of using all available earnings as the dependent variable, this table only includes earnings from self-employment. For columns 4 and 8, the dependent variable is earnings from self-employment divided by hours worked. Control variables include log hours, log hours squared, age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3, 4, 7 and 8, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
16 Table A10: Alternative Samples Kenya (A) Subsistence agriculture included also if not main decision maker Dependent variable: Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 0.785*** 0.544*** 0.273*** (0.062) (0.058) (0.089) (0.105) Urban 0.856*** 0.675*** 0.261*** 0.165*** (0.038) (0.035) (0.047) (0.050) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals (B) Subsistence agriculture not included Dependent variable: Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 0.646*** 0.447*** 0.178* (0.068) (0.063) (0.096) (0.120) Urban 0.833*** 0.666*** 0.243*** 0.145*** (0.039) (0.035) (0.047) (0.050) Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: Panels A and B use data from the KLPS, described in Section 3. Panel A also includes productivity from subsistence agriculture if the individual is not the main decision maker for the agricultural activity. Panel B excludes all data from subsistence agriculture. For columns 4 and 8, the dependent variable is total earnings divided by hours worked. Control variables include log hours, log hours squared, age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3, 4, 7 and 8, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
17 Table A11: Gap in Food and Non-Food Consumption, Indonesia (A) Food Consumption Dependent variable: Log Food Consumption (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Non-agricultural employment 0.459*** 0.156*** 0.104*** (0.010) (0.007) (0.011) Urban 0.274*** 0.083*** (0.010) (0.007) (0.011) Individual fixed effects N N Y N N Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y N Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals (B) Non-Food Consumption Dependent variable: Log Non-Food Consumption (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Non-agricultural employment 0.942*** 0.433*** 0.164*** (0.013) (0.011) (0.017) Urban 0.613*** 0.242*** 0.042*** (0.013) (0.010) (0.016) Individual fixed effects N N Y N N Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y N Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: Both panels use data from the IFLS. Panels A and B repeat the consumption analyses shown in Table 9, broken down by food and non-food consumption respectively. Please refer to Table 9 for further details. Control variables include age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3 and 6, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
18 Table A12: Gap in Consumption (Main Analysis Sample), Indonesia (A) Total Consumption Dependent variable: Log Consumption (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Non-agricultural employment 0.649*** 0.237*** 0.084*** (0.012) (0.009) (0.014) Urban 0.379*** 0.129*** (0.012) (0.008) (0.013) Individual fixed effects N N Y N N Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y N Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals
19 (B) Food Consumption Dependent variable: Log Food Consumption (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Non-agricultural employment 0.474*** 0.146*** 0.066*** (0.012) (0.008) (0.013) Urban 0.257*** 0.077*** (0.011) (0.008) (0.012) Individual fixed effects N N Y N N Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y N Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals (C) Non-Food Consumption Dependent variable: Log Non-Food Consumption (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Non-agricultural employment 0.951*** 0.413*** 0.113*** (0.015) (0.012) (0.019) Urban 0.575*** 0.225*** (0.014) (0.010) (0.017) Individual fixed effects N N Y N N Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y N Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: All regressions use data from the IFLS. This table repeats the analyses shown in Table 9 and A11 using the main analysis sample, which excludes individual-year observations without earnings measures. Thus, the sample size is smaller than in Table 9. Control variables include age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3 and 6, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
20 Table A13: Unemployment and Job Search Behavior, Kenya (A) Unemployment Dependent Variable: Unemployment or Subsistence Agriculture Dependent Variable: Unemployment (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Urban 0.033*** 0.027** *** 0.141*** 0.116*** (0.012) (0.012) (0.021) (0.008) (0.008) (0.012) Individual fixed effects N N Y N N Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y N Y Y Mean dependent variable Number of observations Number of individuals (B) Search Behavior Dependent variable: Total Hours Job Search (1) (2) (3) Urban 1.242*** 1.216*** 1.792*** (0.144) (0.150) (0.266) Individual fixed effects N N Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Mean dependent variable Number of observations Number of individuals
21 Notes: Panel A reports urban gaps in unemployment. The first three columns define an individual as being unemployed if they are searching for work and have no income from wage or salary employment. The second three columns define an individual as being unemployed if they are searching for work and have no income from wage, salary, or proceeds from subsistence agriculture reported in the agricultural module. Sample sizes differ from analysis of wage gaps because questions about job search are contemporaneous to the time of the survey and are not retrospective. The dependent variable in Panel B is the number of hours a person reports to be searching for work; this variable equals 0 if the person is not searching for work. Like Panel A, data was only collected on search behavior contemporaneous to the time of the survey and thus sample sizes are smaller. Control variables include age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3 and 6, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. All regressions are clustered at the individual level. Robust standard errors are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
22 Table A14: Alternative Coefficient Standard Error Estimation (A) Indonesia Dependent variable: Log Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 0.703*** 0.351*** 0.252*** 0.078*** (0.013) (0.012) (0.018) (0.021) [0.013] [0.012] [0.018] [0.021] {0.012} {0.012} {0.018} {0.021} Urban 0.537*** 0.227*** 0.028** (0.012) (0.010) (0.013) (0.014) [0.012] [0.010] [0.013] [0.014] {0.012} {0.010} {0.013} {0.015} Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals
23 (B) Kenya Dependent variable: Log Earnings (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Non-agricultural employment 0.784*** 0.551*** 0.284*** (0.063) (0.058) (0.090) (0.106) [0.063] [0.058] [0.091] [0.107] {0.062} {0.060} {0.093} {0.105} Urban 0.862*** 0.683*** 0.263*** 0.165*** (0.039) (0.035) (0.047) (0.050) [0.039] [0.035] [0.047] [0.050] {0.038} {0.035} {0.046} {0.052} Individual fixed effects N N Y Y N N Y Y Control variables and time FE N Y Y Y N Y Y Y Number of observations Number of individuals Notes: Panel A uses data from the IFLS, and Panel B uses data from the KLPS. The table repeats some of the analyses shown in Tables 5 and 6 and presents cluster robust standard errors computed several ways. For each coefficient, standard errors in parentheses in row 2 are the default standard errors reported by Stata. Rows 3 and 4 in single and double square brackets, respectively, report cluster robust standard errors CR2 and CR3 (Bell and McCaffrey 2002) that correct variance matrix bias by transforming residuals (see also Cameron and Miller, 2015). Row 5 in curly braces reports block bootstrapped errors for 1,000 bootstrap samples between stars. And, Row 6 in triangular brackets reports standard errors with Young (2016) effective degrees of freedom corrections. For columns 4 and 8, the dependent variable is the log of earnings divided by hours worked. Control variables include log hours, log hours squared, age, age squared, years of education, years of education squared and an indicator for being female. When also including individual fixed effects in columns 3, 4, 7 and 8, the control variables are reduced to only age squared. Significance stars reported reflect hypothesis tests using t-statistics computed from default standard errors, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
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