Pennsylvania Survey Results
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- Willis Hunter
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1 Pennsylvania Survey Results Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey s job performance? Approve...32% Disapprove...42%...27% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Katie McGinty? Favorable...25% Unfavorable...37%...38% The candidates for US Senate are Pat Toomey and Katie McGinty. If the election was today, who would you vote for? Pat Toomey...42% Katie McGinty...41% Undecided...17% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Kaine? Favorable...31% Unfavorable...25%...% Does Tim Kaine s selection as Hillary Clinton s running mate make you more or less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, or does it not make a difference? More likely...18% Less likely...19% Doesn't make a difference...60%... 3% Q6 Q7 Q8 Q9 Do you support or oppose requiring a criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm?...87%... 7%... 6% Would you support or oppose a bill barring people on the terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm?...85%... 8%... 8% Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?...58%...31%...10% The minimum wage is currently $7.25- which of the following would you support mostincreasing it to $15 an, increasing it to $12 an, increasing it to $10 an, keeping it at $7.25 an, or eliminating the minimum wage altogether? Increase to $15 an...25% Increase to $12 an...20% Increase to $10 an...31% Keep at $7.25 an...10% 11% Eliminate minimum wage altogether % Survey of 1,505 likely voters
2 Q10 Do you think the Senate should have confirmation hearings for the nominee to fill Antonin Scalia s seat on the Supreme Court, or should he be rejected without being given any consideration? Should have confirmation hearings...62% Should be rejected without being given any consideration... 18%...20% Q11 In the last presidential election, did you vote for Obama or? Obama...49%...40% Don't remember... 11% Q12 Would you describe yourself as very, somewhat, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?...14%...20% rate...% conservative...23% conservative...14% Q13 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman...53% Man...47% Q14 If you are a, press 1. If a, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press %...40%...14% Q15 If you are white, press 1. If American, press 2. If other, press 3. White...80% American...12% Other... 7% Q16 If you are years old, press 1. If, press 2. If, press 3. If you are older than, press %...27%...36% than...23% Q17 Phone...80% Internet...20% Survey of 1,505 likely voters
3 Toomey Approval Approve 32% 15% 53% 30% Disapprove 42% 60% 23% 26% 27% 25% 23% 44% McGinty Favorability Favorable 25% 43% 8% 10% Unfavorable 37% 17% 59% 43% 38% 40% 33% 47% Toomey/McGinty Pat Toomey 42% 11% 80% % Katie McGinty 41% 71% 8% 22% Undecided 17% 18% 12% 33% Kaine Favorability Favorable 31% 53% 7% 16% Unfavorable 25% 7% 47% 23% % 40% 46% 61% Kaine Running Mate Selection More/Less Likely More likely Less likely 19% 6% 31% 30% Doesn't make a difference 18% 33% 3% 8% 60% 57% % 55% 3% 3% 1% 7% Background Check / 87% 93% 81% 83% 7% 3% 12% 6% 6% 4% 7% 11%
4 Terrorist Watch List Gun Ban / 85% 90% 81% 71% 8% 4% 11% 12% 8% 5% 8% 16% Assault Weapon Ban 58% 81% 34% % 31% 10% 55% 43% 10% 9% 11% 12% Minimum Wage Increase Increase to $15 an Increase to $12 an Increase to $10 an Keep at $7.25 an Eliminate minimum wage altogether 25% % 5% 10% 20% 26% 12% 19% 31% 23% 38% 44% 10% 3% 19% 10% 11% 2% 23% 11% 3% 2% 3% 5% Senate Should/Should Not Have Confirmation Hearings Should have 62% 80% % % confirmation hearings Should be rejected 18% 4% 34% 25% without being given any consideration 20% 16% 22% 30% rate Toomey Approval Approve 32% 14% 13% 28% 50% 54% Disapprove 42% % 61% 41% 21% 25% 27% 21% 25% 31% % 21% conservative rate conservative McGinty Favorability Favorable 25% 50% 41% % 8% 1% Unfavorable 37% 14% 21% % 54% 69% 38% 36% 38% 42% 38% 30%
5 rate Toomey/McGinty Pat Toomey 42% 14% 16% 33% 69% 82% Katie McGinty 41% 68% 68% % 17% 3% Undecided 17% 18% 16% 22% 13% 14% conservative rate Kaine Favorability Favorable 31% 61% 51% 28% 14% 4% Unfavorable 25% 8% 7% 17% 42% 55% % 31% 42% 55% 44% 41% Kaine Running Mate Selection More/Less Likely More likely Less likely Doesn't make a difference conservative rate 18% 44% 30% 15% 7% 3% 19% 9% 9% 19% 25% 32% 60% % 58% 63% % 64% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% Background Check / conservative rate 87% 86% 93% 91% 84% 78% 7% 6% 3% 5% 9% 14% 6% 8% 4% 4% 7% 9% Terrorist Watch List Gun Ban / conservative rate 85% 82% 90% 91% 82% 71% 8% 12% 6% 2% 5% 22% 8% 7% 3% 7% 13% 7% conservative rate Assault Weapon Ban 58% 84% 78% 61% 43% 23% 31% 9% 16% 26% 44% % 10% 6% 6% 13% 13% 12% Minimum Wage Increase Increase to $15 an Increase to $12 an Increase to $10 an Keep at $7.25 an Eliminate minimum wage altogether conservative rate 25% 54% 36% 25% 11% 6% 20% 24% 30% 19% 17% 5% 31% 10% 27% 40% 37% 30% 10% 4% 3% 5% 19% 24% 11% 4% 4% 9% 15% 28% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 7% conservative rat- conser- e vative Senate Should/Should Not Have Confirmation Hearings Should have 62% 83% 83% 63% 47% 36% confirmation hearings Should be rejected 18% 4% 7% 15% 26% 41% without being given any consideration 20% 13% 11% 22% 26% 23%
6 Wom... Man Toomey Approval Approve 32% 28% 37% Disapprove 42% 40% 43% 27% 32% 20% Wom... Man McGinty Favorability Favorable 25% % 21% Unfavorable 37% 31% 43% 38% 40% 36% Wom... Man Toomey/McGinty Pat Toomey 42% 34% 51% Katie McGinty 41% % 36% Undecided 17% 20% 14% Wom... Man Kaine Favorability Favorable 31% 33% 27% Unfavorable 25% 21% % % 46% 44% Kaine Running Mate Selection More/Less Likely More likely Wom... Man Less likely 19% 17% 21% Doesn't make a difference 18% 20% 17% 60% 59% 62% 3% 5% 1% Background Check / Wom... Man 87% 89% 85% 7% 5% 10% 6% 7% 5%
7 Terrorist Watch List Gun Ban / Wom... Man 85% 87% 82% 8% 5% 10% 8% 8% 7% Wom... Man Assault Weapon Ban 58% 63% 53% 31% 23% 40% 10% 13% 7% Minimum Wage Increase Increase to $15 an Increase to $12 an Increase to $10 an Keep at $7.25 an Eliminate minimum wage altogether Wom... Man 25% 27% 23% 20% 22% 17% 31% 32% 30% 10% 9% 12% 11% 8% 15% 3% 3% 2% Wom... Man Senate Should/Should Not Have Confirmation Hearings Should have 62% 64% 60% confirmation hearings Should be rejected 18% 12% 24% without being given any consideration 20% 23% 16% Toomey Approval Approve 32% 19% 49% 26% Disapprove 42% 57% 25% 36% 27% 24% 26% 38% McGinty Favorability Favorable 25% 42% 11% 11% Unfavorable 37% 23% 54% 33% 38% 35% 35% 56%
8 Toomey/McGinty Pat Toomey 42% 16% 74% 37% Katie McGinty 41% 69% 12% 31% Undecided 17% 15% 14% 32% Kaine Favorability Favorable 31% 48% 13% 21% Unfavorable 25% 9% 43% 25% % 43% 44% 53% Kaine Running Mate Selection More/Less Likely More likely Less likely 19% 10% 30% 15% Doesn't make a difference 18% 32% 6% 10% 60% 54% 62% 73% 3% 4% 1% 3% Background Check / 87% 92% 84% 81% 7% 3% 11% 6% 6% 5% 5% 13% Terrorist Watch List Gun Ban / 85% 89% 81% 83% 8% 4% 11% 10% 8% 7% 8% 8% Assault Weapon Ban 58% 76% 37% 60% 31% 14% 51% 33% 10% 10% 11% 7%
9 Minimum Wage Increase Increase to $15 an Increase to $12 an Increase to $10 an Keep at $7.25 an Eliminate minimum wage altogether 25% 42% 9% 15% 20% 26% 12% 20% 31% 23% 39% 37% 10% 3% 20% 9% 11% 4% 18% 17% 3% 2% 3% 2% Senate Should/Should Not Have Confirmation Hearings Should have 62% 78% % 60% confirmation hearings Should be rejected 18% 6% 32% 17% without being given any consideration 20% 16% 23% 24% White Toomey Approval Approve 32% 35% 18% 25% Disapprove 42% 40% 46% 48% 27% 25% 36% 27% White McGinty Favorability Favorable 25% 25% 26% 24% Unfavorable 37% 38% 25% 42% 38% 37% 48% 33% White Toomey/McGinty Pat Toomey 42% 48% 13% 25% Katie McGinty 41% 35% 71% 49% Undecided 17% 17% 16% 25% White Kaine Favorability Favorable 31% % 38% 40% Unfavorable 25% 28% 7% 11% % 43% 54% 49%
10 Kaine Running Mate Selection More/Less Likely More likely White Less likely 19% 21% 9% 11% Doesn't make a difference 18% 13% 42% 33% 60% 63% 42% 56% 3% 2% 7% - Background Check / White 87% 88% 87% 73% 7% 7% 3% 17% 6% 5% 10% 10% Terrorist Watch List Gun Ban / White 85% 86% 80% 75% 8% 7% 9% 16% 8% 7% 11% 9% White Assault Weapon Ban 58% 55% 71% 75% 31% 34% 19% 23% 10% 11% 11% 2%
11 Minimum Wage Increase Increase to $15 an Increase to $12 an Increase to $10 an Keep at $7.25 an Eliminate minimum wage altogether White 25% 19% 61% 28% 20% 20% 18% 20% 31% 34% 13% 30% 10% 12% 4% 5% 11% 12% 5% 13% 3% 3% - 4% White Senate Should/Should Not Have Confirmation Hearings Should have 62% 61% 72% 63% confirmation hearings Should be rejected 18% 19% 6% 22% without being given any consideration 20% 20% 23% 15% Toomey Approval Approve 32% 23% % 35% 36% Disapprove 42% 36% 37% % 46% 27% 41% 34% 20% 19% McGinty Favorability Favorable 25% 34% 15% 27% 30% Unfavorable 37% 27% 34% 41% 40% 38% 40% 51% 33% 30% Toomey/McGinty Pat Toomey 42% 35% 32% 50% 46% Katie McGinty 41% 46% 39% 40% 41% Undecided 17% 19% % 10% 14% Kaine Favorability Favorable 31% 34% 27% 28% 36% Unfavorable 25% 14% 24% 28% 26% % 52% 48% 43% 38%
12 Kaine Running Mate Selection More/Less Likely More likely Less likely 19% 18% 14% 18% 26% Doesn't make a difference 18% 28% 17% 16% 19% 60% 47% % % 55% 3% 7% 4% 1% 1% Background Check / 87% 80% 84% 91% 89% 7% 10% 8% 6% 6% 6% 10% 8% 4% 5% Terrorist Watch List Gun Ban / 85% 82% 82% 85% 88% 8% 11% 8% 7% 5% 8% 6% 9% 7% 7% Assault Weapon Ban 58% 63% 55% 56% 63% 31% 28% 32% 35% 26% 10% 9% 13% 9% 11%
13 Minimum Wage Increase Increase to $15 an Increase to $12 an Increase to $10 an Keep at $7.25 an Eliminate minimum wage altogether 25% 43% 22% 20% 27% 20% 13% 21% 19% 23% 31% 22% 30% 35% 31% 10% 7% 12% 13% 6% 11% 10% 11% 12% 11% 3% 4% 3% 2% 2% Senate Should/Should Not Have Confirmation Hearings Should have 62% 58% % 61% % confirmation hearings Should be rejected 18% 10% 18% 22% 17% without being given any consideration 20% 32% 18% 17% 18% Pho... Intern... Toomey Approval Approve 32% 33% 27% Disapprove 42% 44% 34% 27% 23% 39% Pho... Intern... McGinty Favorability Favorable 25% 27% 17% Unfavorable 37% 39% 28% 38% 34% 54% Pho... Intern... Toomey/McGinty Pat Toomey 42% 46% 27% Katie McGinty 41% 39% 47% Undecided 17% 15% 26% Pho... Intern... Kaine Favorability Favorable 31% 30% 32% Unfavorable 25% 27% 15% % 43% 52%
14 Kaine Running Mate Selection More/Less Likely More likely Pho... Intern... Less likely 19% 21% 8% Doesn't make a difference 18% 18% 22% 60% 60% 60% 3% 1% 10% Background Check / Pho... Intern... 87% 87% 87% 7% 8% 3% 6% 5% 11% Terrorist Watch List Gun Ban / Pho... Intern... 85% 84% 87% 8% 8% 6% 8% 8% 7% Pho... Intern... Assault Weapon Ban 58% 57% % 31% 34% 21% 10% 9% 14% Minimum Wage Increase Increase to $15 an Increase to $12 an Increase to $10 an Keep at $7.25 an Eliminate minimum wage altogether Pho... Intern... 25% 23% 32% 20% 18% 27% 31% 31% 30% 10% 12% 6% 11% 14% 2% 3% 2% 3% Pho... Intern... Senate Should/Should Not Have Confirmation Hearings Should have 62% 63% 60% confirmation hearings Should be rejected 18% 20% 11% without being given any consideration 20% 17% %
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