Simultaneous Monitoring of Multivariate-Attribute Process Mean and Variability Using Artificial Neural Networks

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Simultaneous Monitoring of Multivariate-Attribute Process Mean and Variability Using Artificial Neural Networks"

Transcription

1 Journal of Qualty Engneerng and Producton Optmzaton Vol., No., PP , 05 Smultaneous Montorng of Multvarate-Attrbute Process Mean and Varablty Usng Artfcal Neural Networks Mohammad Reza Malek and Amrhossen Amr Industral Engneerng Department, Shahed Unversty, Tehran, Iran Correspondng Author: Amrhossen Amr (E-mal: Abstract- In some statstcal process control applcatons, the qualty of the product s characterzed by the combnaton of both correlated varable and attrbutes qualty characterstcs. In ths paper, we propose a novel control scheme based on the combnaton of two mult-layer perceptron neural networks for smultaneous montorng of mean vector as well as the covarance matrx n multvarate-attrbute processes whose qualty characterstcs are correlated. The proposed neural network-based methodology not only detects separate mean and varance shfts, but also can effcently detect smultaneous changes n mean vector and covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute processes. The performance of the proposed neural network-based methodology n detectng separate as well as smultaneous changes n the process s evaluated thorough a numercal example based on smulaton n terms of average run length crteron and the results are compared wth a statstcal method based on the combnaton of two control charts that are developed for montorng the mean vector and covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute processes, respectvely. The results of model mplementaton on numercal example show the superor detecton performance of the proposed NN-based methodology rather than the developed combned statstcal control charts. Keywords: Average run length, Covarance matrx, Mean vector, Mult-layer perceptron neural network, Multvarate-attrbute process. I. INTRODUCTION In many statstcal control applcatons, the qualty of the product or the process s characterzed n terms of several correlated qualty characterstcs. In order to montor such processes, dfferent multvarate or mult-attrbute control charts are developed separately by qualty engneerng researchers. Some of the newest multvarate and mult-attrbute control schemes are lsted as follows. Yeh et al. (0) proposed a control chart based on the penalzed lkelhood estmaton of the precson matrx n order to montor multvarte process varablty when the ndvdual observatons are avalable. They compared the proposed control chart wth the competng MaxMEWMV, MEWMS and MEWMC control charts n terms of average run length crteron. Shang et al. (03) proposed a new approach n order to model multstage processes wth bnomal data and developed correspondng montorng and dagnoss schemes by utlzng a herarchcal lkelhood approach and drectonal nformaton based on the Bnary State Space Model (BSSM). Apars et al. (04) proposed some new control schemes for smultaneous montrng of several Posson varables. Ther proposed method can use a multple scheme,.e. one control chart for montorng each qualty characterstc, or can use a multvarate scheme, based on montorng all the attrbutes wth a sngle control chart. L et al. (04) nvestgated the use of log-lnear models for characterzng the relatonshp among categorcal factors n multvarate bnomal and multvarate multnomal processes. Bersms et al. (007) have revewed dfferent procedures for constructon of the multvarate control charts. Topaldou and Psaraks (009) have also revewed the multnomal and mult-attrbute control charts. Nowadays, artfcal neural networks are consdered as the effectve alternatves of control charts n montorng dfferent processes. Recently, many researches have been devoted to the applcaton of artfcal neural networks n Manuscrpt Receved: June 04 and revsed: 0 Aug 04 ISSN: Accepted: 8 Dec 04

2 44 M. R. Malek and A. Amr. Smultaneous Montorng of Multvarate-Attrbute Process montorng multvarate and mult-attrbute processes due to the superor performance of artfcal neural networks n comparson wth control charts. Nak and Abbas (005) proposed an artfcal neural network based model for dagnosng faults n out-of-control states as well as dentfyng aberrant varables when multvarate Hotellng's T control chart s used. Apars et al. (006) ntroduced a neural network based procedure n order to dentfy whch varable have been shfted n stuatons where the T control chart shows an out-of-control state. Hwarng (008) presented a neural network based dentfer to detect mean shfts n the multvarate processes as well as ndcate the varable(s) that cause out-of-control sgnals. Nak and Abbas (008) desgned a neural network for detectng out-of-control states n mult-attrbute processes as well as dagnosng attrbute(s) that cause the sgnals. They presented three numercal examples and compared the performance of the proposed methodology wth mult-attrbute control charts. They found that ther neural network based methodology outperforms the mult-attrbute control charts n detectng dfferent step shfts n the mult-attrbute process mean. Yu and X (009) ntroduced a learnng-based model for montorng and dagnosng out-of-control sgnals n a bvarate process. They proved that the proposed model outperforms the conventonal multvarate control scheme n terms of average run length (ARL) crteron. Yu et al. (009) proposed a method based on the jont use of several selected neural networks to classfy source(s) of out-of-control sgnals n multvarate processes. Hwarng and Wang (00) proposed a neural-network-based dentfer (NNI) for montorng multvarate auto-correlated processes as well as to dentfy the source of the shfts n such processes. Cheng and Cheng (0) presented a neural network-based approach for detectng varance shfts n multvarate processes. They also nvestgated some mportant mplementaton ssues of neural networks such as wndow sze, number of tranng examples, sample sze and tranng algorthm. Ahmadzadeh (0) suggested two approaches ncludng maxmum lkelhood estmator as well as the artfcal neural network n order to estmate the tme of change n the mean parameters of multvarate processes. Saleh et al. (0) proposed a model wth two modules for on-lne analyss of out of control sgnals n multvarate processes. In the frst module, they used a support vector machne classfer to recognze mean and varance shfts. Then n the second module, they appled two neural networks n order to dentfy magntude of mean and varance shfts. Sometmes n real manufacturng systems, the combnaton of both varable and attrbute qualty characterstcs that are correlated expresses the qualty of the product or the process. For example, n the producton process of LED lamps, the number of nonconformtes on a product and ts weght are dscrete and contnuous qualty characterstcs, respectvely that are correlated wth each other. Despte of varous statstcal control schemes as well as artfcal neural networks that are proposed separately for montorng multvarate as well as mult-attrbute processes, only few methods are avalable n the lterature about montorng multvarate-attrbute processes. These few researches are lsted as follows: Kang and Brenneman (0) provded a bootstrap methodology to construct a confdence bound for the overall defect rate of a product whose qualty assessment nvolves multple pass/fal bnary data and multple contnuous data. They supposed that the qualty characterstcs are ndependent. However n most real systems, the ndependence assumpton of multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs s volated. Doroudyan and Amr (0) developed a multvarate T control chart based on the root transformaton method for montorng the mean vector of multvarateattrbute qualty characterstcs. Doroudyan and Amr (03) nvestgated the use of four transformaton methods n order to montor the multvarate-attrbute processes. In the frst approach, the dstrbuton of multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs s transformed to approxmate multvarate Normal dstrbuton and then the transformed data are montored by multvarate control charts. In the second approach, multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs are transformed such a way that the correlaton between the qualty characterstcs becomes roughly equal to zero. Then the unvarate control charts are used n order to montor the transformed qualty characterstcs. In the thrd and fourth approaches, they used a method based on the combnaton of two transformaton technques n order to make the qualty characterstcs ndependent and transform them to Normal dstrbuton. They mentoned that the dfference between the thrd and fourth methods s the order of usng the transformaton technques. Malek et al. (0) desgned an artfcal neural network for detectng mean shfts as well as dagnosng the source of out-of-control sgnals n multvarate-attrbute processes. Malek et al. (03) developed two exponentally weghted movng average (EWMA)-based control charts ncludng

3 JQEPO Vol., No., PP , MEWMS AS as well as MEWMS AT for montorng the covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs usng Normal to anythng (NORTA) nverse technque. Based on the comparson study, they ponted out that the developed control charts outperforms a tradtonal control chart n detectng varance shfts n the process. Amr et al. (04) proposed a neural network-based approach for montorng the varablty of multvarate-attrbute processes as well as dagnosng the qualty characterstc(s) responsble for the out-of-control states. We can conclude from the lterature that there s no method about smultaneous montorng of mean vector as well as covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs. As the man contrbuton, n ths paper frst we desgn two mult-layer perceptron neural networks for montorng mean and varance shfts n multvarate-attrbute processes where the qualty characterstcs are correlated. Then, we use them smultaneously n order to provde a control scheme for smultaneous montorng of the mean vector as well as the covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute processes. We also extend a combned control chart and use t for smultaneous montorng of the multvarte-attrbute process mean and varablty that s the second contrbuton of our work. The neural network-based method as well as the extended control chart are both proposed under the assumpton that the process s montored n Phase II. Consequently, the dstrbuton parameters of multvarate-attrbute process data ncludng the mean vector, covarance matrx as well as correlaton coeffcent between qualty characterstcs are known based on the Phase I analyss. The rest of ths paper s organzed as follows: In secton, the problem and assumptons of the multvarate-attrbute model are brefly defned. In secton 3, the extended multvarate-attrbute control chart for smultaneous montorng of the process mean and varablty s dscussed. In secton 4, two mult-layer perceptron neural networks are desgned for detectng mean and varance shfts n multvarate-attrbute processes. Secton 5 presents the proposed neural networkbased methodology for smultaneous montorng of mean vector as well as covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs. In secton 6, through a smulated example, the performance of the proposed smultaneous neural networks-based procedure s evaluated and compared wth a statstcal method based on the extenson of two control charts. Fnally, the conclusons and the recommendatons for future study are gven n secton 7. II. PROBLEM STATEMENT AND ASSUMPTIONS Consder a multvarate-attrbute process wth p varable and q attrbute qualty characterstcs, where all qualty characterstcs are correlated and characterzed by column vector of X = ( x, x,..., x, x,..., x ). In the vector X, the p p+ p+ q frst p elements are varable and the last q elements are attrbute qualty characterstcs. We assume that the correlaton between multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs s stable durng the process. Both proposed NN-based as well as the extended multvarate-attrbute control chart are nvolved n Phase II. Hence, the mean vector (µ 0 ) and the covarance matrx (Σ 0 ) of qualty characterstcs are known based on the Phase I analyss. The mean vector of the process at n-control state s µ = ( µ,..., µ, µ,..., µ ), where µ ; =,..., p + q are the mean value of p+q qualty 0 p p+ p+ q characterstcs. If a shft n the mean value of at least one qualty characterstc occurs, the multvarate-attrbute process mean consdered to be out-of-control. The covarance matrx of the qualty characterstcs at n-control s determned as follows: σ σ L σ ( p+ σ σ L σ ( p+ Σ 0 =, () M M O M σ σ σ L ( p+ ( p+ p+ q where σ ; =,..., p + q s the varance of th qualty charactrstc and σ ; j s the covarance between th and jth j qualty characterstcs. If a varance shft n at least one qualty characterstc occurs, the covarance matrx goes to an out-of-control state.

4 46 M. R. Malek and A. Amr. Smultaneous Montorng of Multvarate-Attrbute Process III. THE EXTENDED T -MEWMS AS CONTROL CHART In ths secton the extended T -MEWMS AS for smultaneous montorng of mean vector and covarance matrx of correlated multvarate-attrbute data s brefly explaned. The frst multvarate control chart s T control chart that s proposed by Hotellng (947) for montorng the mean vector of the processes wth multvarate Normal data. The statstc of ths control chart n whch the number of samples n each subgroup s equal to n s calculated as follows: T = n( x x) S ( x x). On the other hand, MEWMS AS control chart s proposed by Memar and Nak (0) based on the squared devaton of observatons from target for montorng the covarance matrx of multvarate processes wth Normal data. In order to apply both T and MEWMS AS control charts for montorng the mean vector as well as the covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute processes, frst usng NORTA Inverse method, we transform the dstrbuton of orgnal data to a multvarate Normal dstrbuton. After usng NORTA Inverse transformaton, the jont dstrbuton of the transformed data follows a standardzed multvarate Normal dstrbuton n whch the qualty characterstcs are correlated. In MEWMS AS control chart, after usng the NORTA Inverse transformaton, the correlated data should be ndependent. For ths purpose, we use a transformaton that s proposed by Golnab and Houshmand (999). The ndependent standardzed Normal qualty characterstcs are computed accordng to Equaton (3): / x = Σ ( y µ ), tk 0 tk 0 (3) where µ 0 and Σ 0 are the mean vector and covarance vector of transformed qualty characterstcs, respectvely and obtaned n Phase I analyss,,,, s the tth transformed observaton (based on NORTA Inverse transformaton) n kth subgroup where,, and,,. Note that, s jth element (qualty characterstc) of matrx where.,,, As noted, the MEWMS AS control chart s based on the St statstc that s proposed by Yeh et al. (005). Hence, n ths paper we use the S t statstc based on transformed data wth smoothng parameter of λ accordng to the followng equaton: n n λ S = ( λ) S +, S =. t t 0 n x x k k n x x k k (4) k= k= () The control statstc of MEWMS AS statstc s the sum of the elements of matrx lmts: p + q UCL = χ ( ν ), MEWMSAS αas ν St wth the followng control (5) LCL MEWMSAS = p + q χ ν α AS ( ν ), (6) where p and q are the number of varables and attrbute qualty characterstcs, respectvely and ν = ( n( λ)) λ. The extended T -MEWMS AS control chart alarms an out-of-control sgnal when at least one statstc falls outsde ts correspondng control lmts. Based on smulaton, the control lmts of the extended T and MEWMS AS control charts based on the transformed data wth standardzed multvarate normal dstrbuton are determned such that: () the value of ARL 0 obtaned separately for each control chart be the same, () The desred overall ARL 0 s obtaned by smultaneous applcaton of these control charts. Note that after transformng the orgnal data nto multvarate Normal dstrbuton by NORTA Inverse method, the mean vector and the covarance matrx of qualty characterstcs are ndependent. Consequently, after transformng the data, the control lmts of the extended control charts are determned based on the mutvarte Normal dstrbuton. IV. MONITORING MULTIVARIATE-ATTRIBUTE PROCESSES USING NEURAL NETWORKS In ths secton, the structure and the tranng procedure of two artfcal neural networks proposed for montorng the mean vector and covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute processes are llustrated.

5 JQEPO Vol., No., PP , A. Detectng mean shfts n multvarate-attrbute processes In order to montor the mean vector of multvarate-attrbute processes, a three-layer feed-forward neural network whch uses back-propagaton tranng algorthm wth followng structure s suggested: The number of the nodes n the nput layer of neural network A that s suggested for detectng mean shfts n multvarate-attrbute processes s consdered equal to total qualty characterstcs. For nstance, n a process whose qualty s represented by the combnaton of p varable and q attrbutes wth the correlaton matrx of ρ = [ ρ ]( p+ q ) ( p+ q, ) p+q nodes wll be consdered n the nput layer of neural network A. The nput vector of the neural network A s the column vector of X = [ x j, x j,..., x p+ q, j ] T, where xj, =,,..., p + q s the mean value of th qualty characterstcs n j jth subgroup. The neural network A has one node n ts output layer, where ts observed value determnes the process mean state. It s ponted out n the lterature that one or two hdden layer n most engneerng applcatons wll be enough (Cheng, 995). It s also mentoned that only one hdden layer can properly approxmate any contnuous mappng from the nput patterns to the output patterns n a back propagaton network. Because of lackng any systematc method, the number of nodes n the hdden layer that s hghly problem-dependent s set based on tral and error experments. The sgmod functon s used as the transfer functon n the desgned neural network A for detectng mean shfts n the process. The sgmod transfer functon that s the mostly used functons put the outputs values of the neural network A n the range of [0,]. Fgure () depcts the proposed neural network for detectng mean shfts: In order to tran the neural network A after desgnng ts structure, the proper tranng data sets whch have a crucal effect on the performance of the neural network should be collected. There are several methods for generatng multvarate random numbers n the lterature. The proposed methods n whch the qualty characterstcs are correlated and follow a known margnal dstrbuton are categorzed nto three man types ncludng analytc, numerc and smulaton based methods. In the analytc and numerc approaches, t s assumed that the jont dstrbuton of qualty characterstcs s known. However, n most stuatons ths assumpton s volated. Moreover, these methods are manly applcable n bvarate stuatons. In the smulaton based methods, the random vectors can be generated only by havng the margnal dstrbutons of the qualty characterstcs as well as ther correlaton matrx and knowng the jont dstrbuton of qualty characterstcs s not requred. Ths approach s based on the transformaton of Normal random vectors nto our desrable random vectors. In ths paper, we use the normal to anythng (NORTA) method whch s a smulaton-based method to generate the multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstc. In order to generate the vector X n a multvarate-attrbute process where F s the margnal dstrbuton of th; =,..., p + q qualty characterstc the followng steps should be appled. Suppose the correlaton matrx between the qualty characterstcs s known accordng to Equaton (7): Fg. : The structure of the proposed neural network for montorng the process mean

6 48 M. R. Malek and A. Amr. Smultaneous Montorng of Multvarate-Attrbute Process ρ L ρ,( p+ ρ L ρ,( p+ R X =. (7) M M O M ρ,( p+ ρ,( p+ K. The random vector of Z = ( z,..., z + ) form a multvarate standardzed Normal dstrbuton wth followng correlaton matrx: ρ L ρ,( p+ ρ L ρ,( p+ R Z =. M M O M ρ,( p+ ρ,( p+ K. The vector X s calculated by usng the followng equaton: p q Fx ( Φ( z )) X = M, (9) Fx ( Φ( z )) p+ q p+ q where Φ (.) s the cumulatve dstrbuton functon of a standard Normal dstrbuton. Note that, the correlaton matrx of R z n step depends on the orgnal correlaton matrx of R X. Fndng the elements of the R z matrx to acheve the orgnal correlaton matrx between qualty characterstcs are usually done through smulaton or Newton methods whch are very tme consumng. Ths ssue s mportant especally n stuatons that the number of qualty characterstcs ncreases because the elements of correlaton matrx ncreases. In ths paper, the Gaussan copula functon n MATLAB software s used to fnd the best values of Φ(z ) whch lead to obtanng the orgnal correlaton matrx of qualty characterstcs n both proposed ANN-based method as well as the extended T -MEWMS AS control chart. Ths facltates usng the NORTA method n generatng multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs. For more nformaton about the Gaussan copula method, refer to Cherubn et al. (004). In the tranng process of neural network A, frst for each state that the multvarate-attrbute process mean s out-ofcontrol, we generate 00 random samples of sze n. After that, the n-control random samples of sze n are prepared as equal as the total generated out-of-control random samples. It should be added that, the ncreasng the number of data sets n tranng process do not have a sgnfcant effect on the neural network performance. On the other hand, n the stuatons that the number of tranng data sets s not adequate, learnng performance of the neural network wll not be satsfactory. After generatng all n-control and out-of-control data sets, the sample mean value of each qualty characterstc n the generated dataset s computed and used as the nput value of the desgned neural network A. Fnally, the neural network A for recognzng the process mean state s traned va the generated nput vectors as well as ther correspondng target values. Note that target value for n-control and all out-of-control random samples are consdered equal to zero and one, respectvely. In each teraton of tranng process, the mean square error (MSE) that s based on the dfference between observed values of output layer and the target value s propagated backward from output towards the nput layer. Then the weghts assocated to the connectons are modfed. Ths terated process s contnued untl the MSE crteron decreases adequately. Note that all the smulatons ncludng generatng data sets as well as tranng the neural networks are done n MATLAB computer package. B. Detectng varance shfts n multvarate-attrbute process In order to detect dfferent varance shfts n multvarate-attrbute processes, a three layer perceptron neural network wth back-propagaton tranng algorthm s suggested. The structure of the neural network B that s desgned for montorng the process varablty ncludng the number of the nodes n the nput and output layer, number of hdden layers as well as the transfer functon s smlar to the neural network A that s presented for montorng the process mean. The number of nodes n the hdden layer s also determned based on tral an error procedure. We use the column vector of S j =[S j,s j,,s p+qj ] T as the nput vector of the neural network B, where S j,=,,,p+q s the standard devaton of th qualty characterstcs n jth subgroup. The structure of neural network B s represented n Fgure (): (8)

7 JQEPO Vol., No., PP , Fg. : The structure of the proposed neural network for montorng the process varablty In order to tran the neural network B for recognzng varance shfts, frst we prepare 00 random samples of sze n for each state that covarance matrx of qualty characterstcs s out-of-control. Then as equal as the number of out-ofcontrol random samples, the n-control random samples each of sze n are generated. After that, the sample standard devaton of each qualty characterstc n the generated dataset are calculated and used as the nput vectors of the desgned neural network. Smlar to neural network A, the target value for n-control and out-of-control states are consdered equal to zero and one, respectvely. After generatng all nput vectors as well ther correspondng target values, the neural network B s traned usng back-propagaton tranng algorthm. Note that as smlar to neural network A, the mean square error (MSE) crteron s used for evaluaton of tranng the neural network B. V. PROPOSED NN-BASED METHOD FOR SIMULTANEOUS MONITORING OF PROCESS MEAN AND VARIABILITY After desgnng the structure of neural networks A and B as well as ther tranng steps, the proposed neural network-based control scheme can be mplemented for smultaneous montorng of mean vector as well as covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute qualty characterstcs. For ths purpose, we determne the threshold values for the output neurons of both neural networks A and B. The process state s determned based on the smultaneous comparson between the outputs of two proposed neural networks and ther correspondng threshold values. The threshold values of the neural networks A and B are calculated such that:. When the neural networks A and B are appled separately for detectng mean and varance shfts, respectvely; the n-control average run length (ARL 0 ) obtaned by them should be approxmately equal.. When the neural networks A and B are appled smultaneously, the ARL 0 value obtaned by them should be approxmately equal to ARL 0 obtaned by extended combnatory control charts. The procedure of calculatng the threshold value for the output neuron of both neural networks A and B that are traned for detectng mean and varance shfts s smlar. In order to calculate the threshold value for the output neuron of neural network, whch s desgned for montorng the mean vector (covarance matrx) of the multvarate-attrbute processes, the followng steps should be appled:. Generatng 0000 random samples each of sze n form a multvarate-attrbute process whose mean vector (covarance matrx) s n-control.. Calculatng the sample mean (sample standard devaton) value of qualty characterstcs n each sample taken and enterng the nput vector that s comprsed of p+q elements to the neural network A (B) whch s proposed for detectng mean (varance) shfts. 3. Sortng the observed values of output neuron of neural network A (neural network B) n ascendng order and savng them n a vector lke c (d ). 4. Determnng an element of the vector c (d ) as the threshold value of output neuron of neural network A (neural network B) such that the ARL 0 obtaned by the neural network A (B) becomes equal to a predetermned value. In order to dentfy the process state we set two rules as follows:

8 50 M. R. Malek and A. Amr. Smultaneous Montorng of Multvarate-Attrbute Process. If the observed values of output neurons of both desgned neural networks are equal or less than ther correspondng thresholds, the process s ntroduced as an n-control state.. Otherwse, f the observed values of at least one output neuron of any neural networks A or B are greater than ther correspondng thresholds, the process wll be out-of-control. We also extend a combnatory control charts and compare the results of the proposed neural network-based methodology wth t. For ths purpose, based on NORTA Inverse technque we extend multvarate T and MEWMS AS control charts and apply them for montorng mean vector and covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute processes where the qualty characterstcs are correlated. Then, we apply the extended T -MEWMS AS control charts for smultaneous montorng of mean vector and covarance matrx of multvarate-attrbute processes. VI. NUMERICAL EXAMPLE In ths secton a numercal example based on smulaton s presented to llustrate the hgh performance of the proposed neural network-based method and then the results are compared wth developed multvarate-attrbute T - MEWMS AS control chart. In the numercal example the qualty of product s consdered to be expressed by the combnaton of a Posson attrbute and a Normal varable. The parameters of qualty characterstcs are known based on Phase I analyss. Accordngly, the parameter of Posson attrbute (x ) s equal to 4 and the mean and varance of Normal varable (x ) are equal to 3 and 4, respectvely. The coeffcent constant between qualty characterstcs s consdered equal to and the random samples of sze 0 are used for montorng the process. In order to provde a control scheme for smultaneous montorng of the mean vector and covarance matrx of ths process, two three-layer perceptron neural networks should be desgned. Accordng to subsectons A and B, both neural networks have two (number of qualty characterstcs) and one nodes n ther nput and output layers, respectvely. Based on tral and error experments, the desgned neural networks A and B that are desgned for montorng the mean vector and covarance matrx of the process have one hdden layer wth and 0 nodes, respectvely. Accordng to subsecton A, n order to tran the neural network A for detectng mean shfts, frst for each out-ofcontrol states of the process mean we generate 00 random samples of sze n=0. Because, there are three out-ofcontrol states, we prepare totally 600 out-of-control random samples. After that, 600 n-control random samples of sze n=0 are also generated. Then, the sample mean values of both qualty characterstcs n all 00 generated data sets are calculated and used as the nput vectors of the neural network A. The nput vectors of the proposed neural network A T for detectng mean shfts s the column vector of X = [ x j, x j ], j =,,...,00, whch x j nd x j are the mean j values of Posson and Normal qualty characterstcs n the jth tranng nput vector. It should be mentoned that n order to generate out-of-control random samples, the shft of µ = µ + σ s used n whch µ and µ are the mean value of th qualty characterstc before and after shft, respectvely and σ s the standard devaton of th qualty characterstc under n-control state. Table () represents the requred nformaton n tranng process of the frst neural network: The frst neural network desgned for montorng the multvarate-attrbute process mean s traned wth the generated nput vectors as well as ther correspondng target values usng back-propagaton algorthm. Fnally, the MSE value that s obtaned from tranng step s obtaned equal to TABLE I. DETAILS OF TRAINING THE DESIGNED NN FOR MONITORING THE PROCESS MEAN Shfted qualty Mean process state Number of data sets Mean value of x Mean value of x Target value characterstc - n-control 600 λ = 4 µ = 3 0 x out-of-control 00 λ = 8 µ = 3 x out-of-control 00 λ = 4 µ = 7 x and x out-of-control 00 λ = 8 µ = 7

9 JQEPO Vol., No., PP , 05 5 TABLE II. DETAILS OF TRAINING THE DESIGNED NN FOR MONITORING THE PROCESS VARIABILITY Shfted qualty characterstc Mean process state Number of data sets Varance of of x Varance value of x Target value - n-control 600 λ = 4 σ = 4 0 x out-of-control 00 λ = 6 σ = 4 x out-of-control 00 λ = 4 x and x out-of-control 00 λ = 6 σ = 6 σ = 6 The procedure and the number of data sets requred for tranng second neural network that s desgned for detectng varance shfts s almost dentcal to the frst neural network. The only dfference s that the nput vectors of the second neural network s the column vector of S j =[S j,s j ] T, j=,,,00, whch S j and S j are the sample standard devatons of Posson and Normal qualty characterstcs n the jth tranng data sets. In order to generate out-of-control data sets n tranng process of the second neural network, the shft of σ = σ s used whch σ and σ are the standard devaton of th qualty characterstc before and after shft n ts varablty. The nformaton requred for tranng the second neural network s summarzed n Table (). The second neural network for varance shfts s traned wth the all 00 nput vectors as well as ther correspondng target values usng back-propagaton algorthm. Fnally, the MSE value of the tranng process s obtaned equal to In order to compare the performance of the proposed neural network-based methodology wth the combned T - MEWMS AS control chart, we set the threshold values of the desgned neural networks as well as the parameters of the extended control charts such that the ARL 0 obtaned by both methods become roughly equal to 00. The ARL 0 obtaned by smultaneous applcaton of the desgned neural networks wll be equal to 00 f the ARL 0 obtaned by separate applcaton of each neural network become equal to 400. For ths purpose, accordng to secton 3 the output thresholds of the frst and second neural networks are consdered equal to and 0.900, respectvely. Consequently, based on 0000 replcates the ARL 0 obtaned by the frst and second neural networks n montorng the process mean and the process varablty are to and , respectvely. Then, the overall ARL 0 based on the smultaneous usng of the desgned neural networks s calculated equal to 94.. After calculatng the threshold values of both neural networks, the process state can be determned by smultaneous comparson between outputs values and ther threshold values accordng to secton 3. Note that, the mean and the varance of the Posson qualty characterstc are dependent. Hence, the proposed NNs wll be dependent. It s clear that the dependency between the proposed NNs mproves the detecton performance of the proposed NN-based method. Because t can ncrease the probablty of detectng shfts, even very small shfts n the parameter of Posson qualty characterstc by at least one of the desgned NNs. The results of the proposed neural network-based method n smultaneous montorng of mean vector and covarance matrx of the process n terms of out-of-control average run length (ARL ) crteron are presented n Table (3) and the results are compared wth the combned T -MEWMS AS multvarate-attrbute control chart. For each smultaneous shft, the standard devatons of run lengths are also presented n bracket. The results of both combned methods are obtaned based on 0000 replcates. The results of Table (3) show hgh detecton performance of the proposed neural network-based approach n detectng dfferent smultaneous shfts n the multvarate-attrbute process. The frst column (frst sx smultaneous shfts) of Table (3) are shfts n the mean of x and the varance of x, whle the others are shfts n the varance of x and the mean of x. We can conclude that n the frst sx smultaneous shfts, the proposed methodology outperforms the extended combned T -MEWMS AS control chart, however n the last sx shfts; the detecton performance of both methods s almost the same. The results of Table (3) show that the standard devatons of run lengths for both NN-based approach and the extended control chart are small. Consequently, the performance of both methods n detectng smultaneous shfts n the mean vector and covarance matrx of the process n terms of ARL crteron are vald.

10 5 M. R. Malek and A. Amr. Smultaneous Montorng of Multvarate-Attrbute Process TABLE III. ARL VALUES UNDER DIFFERENT SIMULATNEOUS SHIFTS smultaneous shft ANN T - MEWMS AS ( µ = µ + σ, σ =. σ ).5 (0.95).56 (.30) ( µ = µ + σ, σ =. σ ).55 (0.95).57 (.8) ( µ = µ +.5 σ, σ =. σ ).8 (0.47).3 (0.6) ( µ = µ +.5 σ, σ =. σ ).9 (0.47).0 (0.55) ( µ = µ +.5 σ, σ =. σ ).05 (0.4).07 (0.30) ( µ = µ +.5 σ, σ =. σ ).05 (0.4).06 (0.7) smultaneous shft ANN T - MEWMS AS ( σ =.3 σ, µ = µ σ ).7 (0.46).0 (0.53) ( σ =.35 σ, µ = µ σ ).04 (0.).05 (0.6) ( σ =.4 σ, µ = µ σ ).0 (0.0).0 (0.) ( σ =.3 σ, µ = µ σ ). (0.56).7 (0.49) ( σ =.35 σ, µ = µ σ ).05 (0.30).05 (0.6) ( σ =.4 σ, µ = µ σ ).0 (0.3).0 (0.4) We also evaluate the performance of the proposed method n detectng separate mean and varance shfts and compare t wth T -MEWMS AS control chart. The results of detectng dfferent step shfts n the mean vector and the covarance matrx by both methods n terms of average run length as well as the standard devaton of run lengths crtera are gven n Tables (4) and (5), respectvely. The results of Tables (4) and (5) represent the satsfactory mplementaton of both methods n detectng mean and varance shfts, respectvely. It can be also concluded from Tables (4) and (5) that the standard devatons values of run lengths n NN-based and the extended control chart are adequately small. Obvously, the results of ARL values n detectng dfferent mean shfts as well as the varance shfts are vald. TABLE IV. ARL VALUES UNDER DIFFERENT MEAN SHIFTS Mean shft ANN T -MEWMS AS Mean shft ANN T - MEWMS AS ( µ = µ σ ).76 (.4) 3.47 (3.74) ( µ = µ +.5 σ ).9 (0.48).7 (0.65) ( µ = µ σ ) 9.8 (9.6) 3.36 (3.55) ( µ = µ +.5 σ ).50 (0.87).6 (0.45) ( µ σ, µ σ ) 5.44 (5.0).9 (.67) ( µ +.5 σ, µ +.5 σ ).09 (0.76).04 (0.) ( µ = µ + σ ).58 (0.98).78 (.4) ( µ = µ + σ ).90 (.46).63 (.6) ( µ = µ +.5 σ ).05 (0.4).09 (0.33) ( µ = µ +.5 σ ). (0.37).03 (0.7) ( µ + σ, µ + σ ).35 (.84).9 (0.54) ( µ +.5 σ, µ +.5 σ ).09 (0.3).0 (0.06) TABLE V. ARL VALUES UNDER DIFFERENT VARIANCE SHIFTS Varance shft ANN T - MEWMS AS ( σ =.5 σ ) 4.0 (3.44) 5.8 (6.0) ( σ =.5 σ ) 5.76 (5.43) 4.9 (4.93) ( σ =.5 σ, σ =.5 σ ).7 (.6).04 (.95) ( σ =. σ ).95 (.43).35 (.5) ( σ =.75 σ ).58 (.04).6 (.4) ( σ =. σ, σ =.75 σ ).44 (0.80).4 (0.69) Varance shft ANN T -MEWMS AS ( σ =.3 σ ).0 (0.33).5 (0.44) ( σ = σ ).66 (.07).5 (.4) ( σ =.3 σ, σ = σ ).04 (0.).06 (0.6) ( σ =.35 σ ).0 (0.6).05 (0.) ( σ =.5 σ ).37 (0.70).3 (0.70) ( σ =.35 σ, σ =.5 σ ).0 (0.09).0 (0.07)

11 JQEPO Vol., No., PP , VII. CONCLUSION AND FUTURE RESEARCH In ths paper, we proposed a neural network-based approach control scheme for smultaneous montorng of the multvarate-attrbute process mean and varablty. For ths purpose, frst we desgned two three-layer perceptron neural networks for detectng mean and varance shfts, respectvely. Then, n order to determne the multvarate-attrbute process state, we appled both neural networks smultaneously. Because of lackng any method n the lterature for comparson study, we also developed two multvarate control charts ncludng T and MEWMS AS that are proposed for montorng multvarate process mean and varablty, respectvely. Then we combned and appled them for smultaneous detectng mean and varance shfts n multvarate-attrbute processes. The results of comparson showed that the proposed neural network-based method outperforms the T -MEWMS AS control chart n most smultaneous shfts. The results also confrmed the satsfactory performance of both methods n detectng separate mean and varance shfts n the process. As a future research, dentfyng the magntude of the smultaneous shfts n multvarate-attrbute processes can be nvestgated usng statstcal methods as well as artfcal neural networks. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The authors are grateful to the respectful referees for ther precous comments whch led to mprovement n the paper. REFERENCES. Ahmadzadeh, F. (0). Change pont detecton wth multvarate control charts by artfcal neural network. The Internatonal Journal of Advanced Manufacturng Technology, -, publshed onlne. DOI: 0.007/s Amr, A., Malek, M. R., & Doroudyan, M. H. (05). Montorng Varablty of multvarate-attrbute processes usng artfcal neural network. Producton and Operatons Management, 5 () Apars, F., Avendaño, G., & Sanz, J. (006). Technques to nterpret T control chart sgnals. IIE Transactons, 38(8) Apars, F., García Bustos, S., & Epprecht, E. K. (04). Optmum multple and multvarate Posson statstcal control charts. Qualty and Relablty Engneerng Internatonal, 30() Bersms, S., Psaraks, S., & Panaretos, J. (007). Multvarate statstcal process control charts: an overvew. Qualty and Relablty Engneerng Internatonal, 3(5) Bran Hwarng, H., & Wang, Y. (00). Shft detecton and source dentfcaton n multvarate autocorrelated processes. Internatonal Journal of Producton Research, 48(3) Cheng, C. S. (995). A mult-layer neural network model for detectng changes n the process mean. Computers & Industral Engneerng, 8() Cheng, C. S., & Cheng, H. P. (0). Usng neural networks to detect the bvarate process varance shfts pattern. Computers & Industral Engneerng, 60() Cherubn, U., Lucano, E., & Vecchato, W. (004). Copula methods n fnance. John Wley & Sons. 0. Doroudan, M. H., Amr, A., Root transformaton method for montorng correlated varable and attrbute qualty characterstcs. Proceedngs of th Islamc Countres Conference on Statstcal Scences (ICCS-), Lahore, Pakstan, December 9-, 0.. Doroudyan, M. H., & Amr, A. (03). Montorng multvarate attrbute processes based on transformaton technques. The Internatonal Journal of Advanced Manufacturng Technology, 69(9-) Golnab, S., & Houshmand, A. A. (999). Multvarate shewhart x-bar chart. Inter Stat, 4.

12 54 M. R. Malek and A. Amr. Smultaneous Montorng of Multvarate-Attrbute Process 3. Hotellng, H. (947). Multvarate qualty control. Technques of statstcal analyss. New York: McGraw-Hll, Hwarng, H. B. (008). Toward dentfyng the source of mean shfts n multvarate SPC: a neural network approach. Internatonal Journal of Producton Research, 46(0) Kang, L., & Brenneman, W. A. (0). Product defect rate confdence bound wth attrbute and varable data. Qualty and Relablty Engneerng Internatonal, 7(3) L, J., Tsung, F., & Zou, C. (04). Multvarate bnomal/multnomal control chart. IIE Transactons, 46(5) Malek, M. R., Amr, A., & Doroudyan, M. H. (0). Montorng multvarate-attrbute processes usng artfcal neural network. 4th conference on Computers and Industral Engneerng, Cape Town, South Afrca. (CIE4). 8. Malek, M. R., Amr, A., & Rasoul, M. (03). Montorng Varablty of Multvarate-attrbute Processes Usng EWMA Control Charts Based on NORTA Inverse Technque. 3rd Internatonal Conference on Producton and Industral Engneerng, Jalanhar, Inda, (CPIE-03), pp Memar, A.O. & Nak, S.T.A. (0). Multvarate varablty montorng usng EWMA control charts based on squared devaton of observatons from target. Qualty and Relablty Engneerng Internatonal, 7(8) Nak, S. T. A., & Abbas, B. (005). Fault dagnoss n multvarate control charts usng artfcal neural networks. Qualty and Relablty Engneerng Internatonal, (8) Nak, S. A., & Abbas, B. (008). Detecton and classfcaton mean-shfts n mult-attrbute processes by artfcal neural networks. Internatonal Journal of Producton Research, 46() Saleh, M., Kazemzadeh, R. B., & Salmasna, A. (0). On lne detecton of mean and varance shft usng neural networks and support vector machne n multvarate processes. Appled Soft Computng, (9) Shang, Y., Tsung, F., & Zou, C. (03). Statstcal process control for multstage processes wth bnary outputs. IIE Transactons, 45(9) Topaldou, E., & Psaraks, S. (009). Revew of multnomal and multattrbute qualty control charts. Qualty and Relablty Engneerng Internatonal, 5(7) Yeh, A. B., Huwang, L., & Wu, C. W. (005). A multvarate EWMA control chart for montorng process varablty wth ndvdual observatons. IIE Transactons, 37() Yeh, A. B., L, B., & Wang, K. (0). Montorng multvarate process varablty wth ndvdual observatons va penalsed lkelhood estmaton. Internatonal Journal of Producton Research, 50() Yu, J. B., & X, L. F. (009). A neural network ensemble-based model for on-lne montorng and dagnoss of out-of-control sgnals n multvarate manufacturng processes. Expert Systems Wth Applcatons, 36() Yu, J., X, L., & Zhou, X. (009). Identfyng source (s) of out-of-control sgnals n multvarate manufacturng processes usng selectve neural network ensemble. Engneerng Applcatons of Artfcal Intellgence, () 4-5.

Alternatives to Shewhart Charts

Alternatives to Shewhart Charts Alternatves to Shewhart Charts CUSUM & EWMA S Wongsa Overvew Revstng Shewhart Control Charts Cumulatve Sum (CUSUM) Control Chart Eponentally Weghted Movng Average (EWMA) Control Chart 2 Revstng Shewhart

More information

Tests for Two Correlations

Tests for Two Correlations PASS Sample Sze Software Chapter 805 Tests for Two Correlatons Introducton The correlaton coeffcent (or correlaton), ρ, s a popular parameter for descrbng the strength of the assocaton between two varables.

More information

ISyE 512 Chapter 9. CUSUM and EWMA Control Charts. Instructor: Prof. Kaibo Liu. Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering UW-Madison

ISyE 512 Chapter 9. CUSUM and EWMA Control Charts. Instructor: Prof. Kaibo Liu. Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering UW-Madison ISyE 512 hapter 9 USUM and EWMA ontrol harts Instructor: Prof. Kabo Lu Department of Industral and Systems Engneerng UW-Madson Emal: klu8@wsc.edu Offce: Room 317 (Mechancal Engneerng Buldng) ISyE 512 Instructor:

More information

Economic Design of Short-Run CSP-1 Plan Under Linear Inspection Cost

Economic Design of Short-Run CSP-1 Plan Under Linear Inspection Cost Tamkang Journal of Scence and Engneerng, Vol. 9, No 1, pp. 19 23 (2006) 19 Economc Desgn of Short-Run CSP-1 Plan Under Lnear Inspecton Cost Chung-Ho Chen 1 * and Chao-Yu Chou 2 1 Department of Industral

More information

MgtOp 215 Chapter 13 Dr. Ahn

MgtOp 215 Chapter 13 Dr. Ahn MgtOp 5 Chapter 3 Dr Ahn Consder two random varables X and Y wth,,, In order to study the relatonshp between the two random varables, we need a numercal measure that descrbes the relatonshp The covarance

More information

3: Central Limit Theorem, Systematic Errors

3: Central Limit Theorem, Systematic Errors 3: Central Lmt Theorem, Systematc Errors 1 Errors 1.1 Central Lmt Theorem Ths theorem s of prme mportance when measurng physcal quanttes because usually the mperfectons n the measurements are due to several

More information

ECONOMETRICS - FINAL EXAM, 3rd YEAR (GECO & GADE)

ECONOMETRICS - FINAL EXAM, 3rd YEAR (GECO & GADE) ECONOMETRICS - FINAL EXAM, 3rd YEAR (GECO & GADE) May 17, 2016 15:30 Frst famly name: Name: DNI/ID: Moble: Second famly Name: GECO/GADE: Instructor: E-mal: Queston 1 A B C Blank Queston 2 A B C Blank Queston

More information

Int. Statistical Inst.: Proc. 58th World Statistical Congress, 2011, Dublin (Session STS041) p The Max-CUSUM Chart

Int. Statistical Inst.: Proc. 58th World Statistical Congress, 2011, Dublin (Session STS041) p The Max-CUSUM Chart Int. Statstcal Inst.: Proc. 58th World Statstcal Congress, 1, Dubln (Sesson STS41) p.2996 The Max-CUSUM Chart Smley W. Cheng Department of Statstcs Unversty of Mantoba Wnnpeg, Mantoba Canada, R3T 2N2 smley_cheng@umantoba.ca

More information

/ Computational Genomics. Normalization

/ Computational Genomics. Normalization 0-80 /02-70 Computatonal Genomcs Normalzaton Gene Expresson Analyss Model Computatonal nformaton fuson Bologcal regulatory networks Pattern Recognton Data Analyss clusterng, classfcaton normalzaton, mss.

More information

Capability Analysis. Chapter 255. Introduction. Capability Analysis

Capability Analysis. Chapter 255. Introduction. Capability Analysis Chapter 55 Introducton Ths procedure summarzes the performance of a process based on user-specfed specfcaton lmts. The observed performance as well as the performance relatve to the Normal dstrbuton are

More information

Abstract The R chart is often used to monitor for changes in the process variability. However, the standard

Abstract The R chart is often used to monitor for changes in the process variability. However, the standard An Alternatve to the Stanar Chart chael B.C. Khoo an H.C. Lo School of athematcal Scences, Unverst Sans alaysa, 800 nen, Penang, alaysa Emal: mkbc@usm.my & hclo@cs.usm.my Abstract The chart s often use

More information

Comparison of Singular Spectrum Analysis and ARIMA

Comparison of Singular Spectrum Analysis and ARIMA Int. Statstcal Inst.: Proc. 58th World Statstcal Congress, 0, Dubln (Sesson CPS009) p.99 Comparson of Sngular Spectrum Analss and ARIMA Models Zokae, Mohammad Shahd Behesht Unverst, Department of Statstcs

More information

Chapter 5 Student Lecture Notes 5-1

Chapter 5 Student Lecture Notes 5-1 Chapter 5 Student Lecture Notes 5-1 Basc Busness Statstcs (9 th Edton) Chapter 5 Some Important Dscrete Probablty Dstrbutons 004 Prentce-Hall, Inc. Chap 5-1 Chapter Topcs The Probablty Dstrbuton of a Dscrete

More information

Chapter 3 Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures Part B

Chapter 3 Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures Part B Sldes Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward s Unversty Slde 1 Chapter 3 Descrptve Statstcs: Numercal Measures Part B Measures of Dstrbuton Shape, Relatve Locaton, and Detectng Outlers Eploratory Data Analyss

More information

Using Cumulative Count of Conforming CCC-Chart to Study the Expansion of the Cement

Using Cumulative Count of Conforming CCC-Chart to Study the Expansion of the Cement IOSR Journal of Engneerng (IOSRJEN) e-issn: 225-32, p-issn: 2278-879, www.osrjen.org Volume 2, Issue (October 22), PP 5-6 Usng Cumulatve Count of Conformng CCC-Chart to Study the Expanson of the Cement

More information

Correlations and Copulas

Correlations and Copulas Correlatons and Copulas Chapter 9 Rsk Management and Fnancal Insttutons, Chapter 6, Copyrght John C. Hull 2006 6. Coeffcent of Correlaton The coeffcent of correlaton between two varables V and V 2 s defned

More information

II. Random Variables. Variable Types. Variables Map Outcomes to Numbers

II. Random Variables. Variable Types. Variables Map Outcomes to Numbers II. Random Varables Random varables operate n much the same way as the outcomes or events n some arbtrary sample space the dstncton s that random varables are smply outcomes that are represented numercally.

More information

A Bootstrap Confidence Limit for Process Capability Indices

A Bootstrap Confidence Limit for Process Capability Indices A ootstrap Confdence Lmt for Process Capablty Indces YANG Janfeng School of usness, Zhengzhou Unversty, P.R.Chna, 450001 Abstract The process capablty ndces are wdely used by qualty professonals as an

More information

An Application of Alternative Weighting Matrix Collapsing Approaches for Improving Sample Estimates

An Application of Alternative Weighting Matrix Collapsing Approaches for Improving Sample Estimates Secton on Survey Research Methods An Applcaton of Alternatve Weghtng Matrx Collapsng Approaches for Improvng Sample Estmates Lnda Tompkns 1, Jay J. Km 2 1 Centers for Dsease Control and Preventon, atonal

More information

Copyright 2017 by Taylor Enterprises, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Dr. Wayne A. Taylor

Copyright 2017 by Taylor Enterprises, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Dr. Wayne A. Taylor Taylor Enterprses, Inc. ormalzed Indvduals (I ) Chart Copyrght 07 by Taylor Enterprses, Inc., All Rghts Reserved. ormalzed Indvduals (I) Control Chart Dr. Wayne A. Taylor Abstract: The only commonly used

More information

International ejournals

International ejournals Avalable onlne at www.nternatonalejournals.com ISSN 0976 1411 Internatonal ejournals Internatonal ejournal of Mathematcs and Engneerng 7 (010) 86-95 MODELING AND PREDICTING URBAN MALE POPULATION OF BANGLADESH:

More information

Understanding price volatility in electricity markets

Understanding price volatility in electricity markets Proceedngs of the 33rd Hawa Internatonal Conference on System Scences - 2 Understandng prce volatlty n electrcty markets Fernando L. Alvarado, The Unversty of Wsconsn Rajesh Rajaraman, Chrstensen Assocates

More information

Random Variables. b 2.

Random Variables. b 2. Random Varables Generally the object of an nvestgators nterest s not necessarly the acton n the sample space but rather some functon of t. Techncally a real valued functon or mappng whose doman s the sample

More information

Tests for Two Ordered Categorical Variables

Tests for Two Ordered Categorical Variables Chapter 253 Tests for Two Ordered Categorcal Varables Introducton Ths module computes power and sample sze for tests of ordered categorcal data such as Lkert scale data. Assumng proportonal odds, such

More information

Available online: 20 Dec 2011

Available online: 20 Dec 2011 Ths artcle was downloaded by: [UVA Unverstetsbblotheek SZ] On: 16 May 212, At: 6:32 Publsher: Taylor & Francs Informa Ltd Regstered n England and Wales Regstered Number: 172954 Regstered offce: Mortmer

More information

Interval Estimation for a Linear Function of. Variances of Nonnormal Distributions. that Utilize the Kurtosis

Interval Estimation for a Linear Function of. Variances of Nonnormal Distributions. that Utilize the Kurtosis Appled Mathematcal Scences, Vol. 7, 013, no. 99, 4909-4918 HIKARI Ltd, www.m-hkar.com http://dx.do.org/10.1988/ams.013.37366 Interval Estmaton for a Lnear Functon of Varances of Nonnormal Dstrbutons that

More information

Parallel Prefix addition

Parallel Prefix addition Marcelo Kryger Sudent ID 015629850 Parallel Prefx addton The parallel prefx adder presented next, performs the addton of two bnary numbers n tme of complexty O(log n) and lnear cost O(n). Lets notce the

More information

occurrence of a larger storm than our culvert or bridge is barely capable of handling? (what is The main question is: What is the possibility of

occurrence of a larger storm than our culvert or bridge is barely capable of handling? (what is The main question is: What is the possibility of Module 8: Probablty and Statstcal Methods n Water Resources Engneerng Bob Ptt Unversty of Alabama Tuscaloosa, AL Flow data are avalable from numerous USGS operated flow recordng statons. Data s usually

More information

3/3/2014. CDS M Phil Econometrics. Vijayamohanan Pillai N. Truncated standard normal distribution for a = 0.5, 0, and 0.5. CDS Mphil Econometrics

3/3/2014. CDS M Phil Econometrics. Vijayamohanan Pillai N. Truncated standard normal distribution for a = 0.5, 0, and 0.5. CDS Mphil Econometrics Lmted Dependent Varable Models: Tobt an Plla N 1 CDS Mphl Econometrcs Introducton Lmted Dependent Varable Models: Truncaton and Censorng Maddala, G. 1983. Lmted Dependent and Qualtatve Varables n Econometrcs.

More information

4. Greek Letters, Value-at-Risk

4. Greek Letters, Value-at-Risk 4 Greek Letters, Value-at-Rsk 4 Value-at-Rsk (Hull s, Chapter 8) Math443 W08, HM Zhu Outlne (Hull, Chap 8) What s Value at Rsk (VaR)? Hstorcal smulatons Monte Carlo smulatons Model based approach Varance-covarance

More information

Information Flow and Recovering the. Estimating the Moments of. Normality of Asset Returns

Information Flow and Recovering the. Estimating the Moments of. Normality of Asset Returns Estmatng the Moments of Informaton Flow and Recoverng the Normalty of Asset Returns Ané and Geman (Journal of Fnance, 2000) Revsted Anthony Murphy, Nuffeld College, Oxford Marwan Izzeldn, Unversty of Lecester

More information

A MODEL OF COMPETITION AMONG TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICE PROVIDERS BASED ON REPEATED GAME

A MODEL OF COMPETITION AMONG TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICE PROVIDERS BASED ON REPEATED GAME A MODEL OF COMPETITION AMONG TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICE PROVIDERS BASED ON REPEATED GAME Vesna Radonć Đogatovć, Valentna Radočć Unversty of Belgrade Faculty of Transport and Traffc Engneerng Belgrade, Serba

More information

CHAPTER 3: BAYESIAN DECISION THEORY

CHAPTER 3: BAYESIAN DECISION THEORY CHATER 3: BAYESIAN DECISION THEORY Decson makng under uncertanty 3 rogrammng computers to make nference from data requres nterdscplnary knowledge from statstcs and computer scence Knowledge of statstcs

More information

Introduction to PGMs: Discrete Variables. Sargur Srihari

Introduction to PGMs: Discrete Variables. Sargur Srihari Introducton to : Dscrete Varables Sargur srhar@cedar.buffalo.edu Topcs. What are graphcal models (or ) 2. Use of Engneerng and AI 3. Drectonalty n graphs 4. Bayesan Networks 5. Generatve Models and Samplng

More information

Analysis of Variance and Design of Experiments-II

Analysis of Variance and Design of Experiments-II Analyss of Varance and Desgn of Experments-II MODULE VI LECTURE - 4 SPLIT-PLOT AND STRIP-PLOT DESIGNS Dr. Shalabh Department of Mathematcs & Statstcs Indan Insttute of Technology Kanpur An example to motvate

More information

The Integration of the Israel Labour Force Survey with the National Insurance File

The Integration of the Israel Labour Force Survey with the National Insurance File The Integraton of the Israel Labour Force Survey wth the Natonal Insurance Fle Natale SHLOMO Central Bureau of Statstcs Kanfey Nesharm St. 66, corner of Bach Street, Jerusalem Natales@cbs.gov.l Abstact:

More information

Evaluating Performance

Evaluating Performance 5 Chapter Evaluatng Performance In Ths Chapter Dollar-Weghted Rate of Return Tme-Weghted Rate of Return Income Rate of Return Prncpal Rate of Return Daly Returns MPT Statstcs 5- Measurng Rates of Return

More information

Linear Combinations of Random Variables and Sampling (100 points)

Linear Combinations of Random Variables and Sampling (100 points) Economcs 30330: Statstcs for Economcs Problem Set 6 Unversty of Notre Dame Instructor: Julo Garín Sprng 2012 Lnear Combnatons of Random Varables and Samplng 100 ponts 1. Four-part problem. Go get some

More information

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: What s Wrong With It And How To Fix It

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: What s Wrong With It And How To Fix It Dscounted Cash Flow (DCF Analyss: What s Wrong Wth It And How To Fx It Arturo Cfuentes (* CREM Facultad de Economa y Negocos Unversdad de Chle June 2014 (* Jont effort wth Francsco Hawas; Depto. de Ingenera

More information

Which of the following provides the most reasonable approximation to the least squares regression line? (a) y=50+10x (b) Y=50+x (d) Y=1+50x

Which of the following provides the most reasonable approximation to the least squares regression line? (a) y=50+10x (b) Y=50+x (d) Y=1+50x Whch of the followng provdes the most reasonable approxmaton to the least squares regresson lne? (a) y=50+10x (b) Y=50+x (c) Y=10+50x (d) Y=1+50x (e) Y=10+x In smple lnear regresson the model that s begn

More information

Introduction. Why One-Pass Statistics?

Introduction. Why One-Pass Statistics? BERKELE RESEARCH GROUP Ths manuscrpt s program documentaton for three ways to calculate the mean, varance, skewness, kurtoss, covarance, correlaton, regresson parameters and other regresson statstcs. Although

More information

A Case Study for Optimal Dynamic Simulation Allocation in Ordinal Optimization 1

A Case Study for Optimal Dynamic Simulation Allocation in Ordinal Optimization 1 A Case Study for Optmal Dynamc Smulaton Allocaton n Ordnal Optmzaton Chun-Hung Chen, Dongha He, and Mchael Fu 4 Abstract Ordnal Optmzaton has emerged as an effcent technque for smulaton and optmzaton.

More information

Cyclic Scheduling in a Job shop with Multiple Assembly Firms

Cyclic Scheduling in a Job shop with Multiple Assembly Firms Proceedngs of the 0 Internatonal Conference on Industral Engneerng and Operatons Management Kuala Lumpur, Malaysa, January 4, 0 Cyclc Schedulng n a Job shop wth Multple Assembly Frms Tetsuya Kana and Koch

More information

15-451/651: Design & Analysis of Algorithms January 22, 2019 Lecture #3: Amortized Analysis last changed: January 18, 2019

15-451/651: Design & Analysis of Algorithms January 22, 2019 Lecture #3: Amortized Analysis last changed: January 18, 2019 5-45/65: Desgn & Analyss of Algorthms January, 09 Lecture #3: Amortzed Analyss last changed: January 8, 09 Introducton In ths lecture we dscuss a useful form of analyss, called amortzed analyss, for problems

More information

Lecture Note 2 Time Value of Money

Lecture Note 2 Time Value of Money Seg250 Management Prncples for Engneerng Managers Lecture ote 2 Tme Value of Money Department of Systems Engneerng and Engneerng Management The Chnese Unversty of Hong Kong Interest: The Cost of Money

More information

Likelihood Fits. Craig Blocker Brandeis August 23, 2004

Likelihood Fits. Craig Blocker Brandeis August 23, 2004 Lkelhood Fts Crag Blocker Brandes August 23, 2004 Outlne I. What s the queston? II. Lkelhood Bascs III. Mathematcal Propertes IV. Uncertantes on Parameters V. Mscellaneous VI. Goodness of Ft VII. Comparson

More information

TCOM501 Networking: Theory & Fundamentals Final Examination Professor Yannis A. Korilis April 26, 2002

TCOM501 Networking: Theory & Fundamentals Final Examination Professor Yannis A. Korilis April 26, 2002 TO5 Networng: Theory & undamentals nal xamnaton Professor Yanns. orls prl, Problem [ ponts]: onsder a rng networ wth nodes,,,. In ths networ, a customer that completes servce at node exts the networ wth

More information

Chapter 3 Student Lecture Notes 3-1

Chapter 3 Student Lecture Notes 3-1 Chapter 3 Student Lecture otes 3-1 Busness Statstcs: A Decson-Makng Approach 6 th Edton Chapter 3 Descrbng Data Usng umercal Measures 005 Prentce-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-1 Chapter Goals After completng ths chapter,

More information

A REAL OPTIONS DESIGN FOR PRODUCT OUTSOURCING. Mehmet Aktan

A REAL OPTIONS DESIGN FOR PRODUCT OUTSOURCING. Mehmet Aktan Proceedngs of the 2001 Wnter Smulaton Conference B. A. Peters, J. S. Smth, D. J. Mederos, and M. W. Rohrer, eds. A REAL OPTIONS DESIGN FOR PRODUCT OUTSOURCING Harret Black Nembhard Leyuan Sh Department

More information

Financial Risk Management in Portfolio Optimization with Lower Partial Moment

Financial Risk Management in Portfolio Optimization with Lower Partial Moment Amercan Journal of Busness and Socety Vol., o., 26, pp. 2-2 http://www.ascence.org/journal/ajbs Fnancal Rsk Management n Portfolo Optmzaton wth Lower Partal Moment Lam Weng Sew, 2, *, Lam Weng Hoe, 2 Department

More information

Multifactor Term Structure Models

Multifactor Term Structure Models 1 Multfactor Term Structure Models A. Lmtatons of One-Factor Models 1. Returns on bonds of all maturtes are perfectly correlated. 2. Term structure (and prces of every other dervatves) are unquely determned

More information

A Comparison of Statistical Methods in Interrupted Time Series Analysis to Estimate an Intervention Effect

A Comparison of Statistical Methods in Interrupted Time Series Analysis to Estimate an Intervention Effect Transport and Road Safety (TARS) Research Joanna Wang A Comparson of Statstcal Methods n Interrupted Tme Seres Analyss to Estmate an Interventon Effect Research Fellow at Transport & Road Safety (TARS)

More information

Physics 4A. Error Analysis or Experimental Uncertainty. Error

Physics 4A. Error Analysis or Experimental Uncertainty. Error Physcs 4A Error Analyss or Expermental Uncertanty Slde Slde 2 Slde 3 Slde 4 Slde 5 Slde 6 Slde 7 Slde 8 Slde 9 Slde 0 Slde Slde 2 Slde 3 Slde 4 Slde 5 Slde 6 Slde 7 Slde 8 Slde 9 Slde 20 Slde 2 Error n

More information

Notes on experimental uncertainties and their propagation

Notes on experimental uncertainties and their propagation Ed Eyler 003 otes on epermental uncertantes and ther propagaton These notes are not ntended as a complete set of lecture notes, but nstead as an enumeraton of some of the key statstcal deas needed to obtan

More information

Creating a zero coupon curve by bootstrapping with cubic splines.

Creating a zero coupon curve by bootstrapping with cubic splines. MMA 708 Analytcal Fnance II Creatng a zero coupon curve by bootstrappng wth cubc splnes. erg Gryshkevych Professor: Jan R. M. Röman 0.2.200 Dvson of Appled Mathematcs chool of Educaton, Culture and Communcaton

More information

Price and Quantity Competition Revisited. Abstract

Price and Quantity Competition Revisited. Abstract rce and uantty Competton Revsted X. Henry Wang Unversty of Mssour - Columba Abstract By enlargng the parameter space orgnally consdered by Sngh and Vves (984 to allow for a wder range of cost asymmetry,

More information

OPERATIONS RESEARCH. Game Theory

OPERATIONS RESEARCH. Game Theory OPERATIONS RESEARCH Chapter 2 Game Theory Prof. Bbhas C. Gr Department of Mathematcs Jadavpur Unversty Kolkata, Inda Emal: bcgr.umath@gmal.com 1.0 Introducton Game theory was developed for decson makng

More information

Statistical Delay Computation Considering Spatial Correlations

Statistical Delay Computation Considering Spatial Correlations Statstcal Delay Computaton Consderng Spatal Correlatons Aseem Agarwal, Davd Blaauw, *Vladmr Zolotov, *Savthr Sundareswaran, *Mn Zhao, *Kaushk Gala, *Rajendran Panda Unversty of Mchgan, Ann Arbor, MI *Motorola,

More information

A Bayesian Classifier for Uncertain Data

A Bayesian Classifier for Uncertain Data A Bayesan Classfer for Uncertan Data Bao Qn, Yun Xa Department of Computer Scence Indana Unversty - Purdue Unversty Indanapols, USA {baoqn, yxa}@cs.upu.edu Fang L Department of Mathematcal Scences Indana

More information

An asymmetry-similarity-measure-based neural fuzzy inference system

An asymmetry-similarity-measure-based neural fuzzy inference system Fuzzy Sets and Systems 15 (005) 535 551 www.elsever.com/locate/fss An asymmetry-smlarty-measure-based neural fuzzy nference system Cheng-Jan Ln, Wen-Hao Ho Department of Computer Scence and Informaton

More information

Efficient Sensitivity-Based Capacitance Modeling for Systematic and Random Geometric Variations

Efficient Sensitivity-Based Capacitance Modeling for Systematic and Random Geometric Variations Effcent Senstvty-Based Capactance Modelng for Systematc and Random Geometrc Varatons 16 th Asa and South Pacfc Desgn Automaton Conference Nck van der Mejs CAS, Delft Unversty of Technology, Netherlands

More information

Global sensitivity analysis of credit risk portfolios

Global sensitivity analysis of credit risk portfolios Global senstvty analyss of credt rsk portfolos D. Baur, J. Carbon & F. Campolongo European Commsson, Jont Research Centre, Italy Abstract Ths paper proposes the use of global senstvty analyss to evaluate

More information

An Approximate E-Bayesian Estimation of Step-stress Accelerated Life Testing with Exponential Distribution

An Approximate E-Bayesian Estimation of Step-stress Accelerated Life Testing with Exponential Distribution Send Orders for Reprnts to reprnts@benthamscenceae The Open Cybernetcs & Systemcs Journal, 25, 9, 729-733 729 Open Access An Approxmate E-Bayesan Estmaton of Step-stress Accelerated Lfe Testng wth Exponental

More information

Cracking VAR with kernels

Cracking VAR with kernels CUTTIG EDGE. PORTFOLIO RISK AALYSIS Crackng VAR wth kernels Value-at-rsk analyss has become a key measure of portfolo rsk n recent years, but how can we calculate the contrbuton of some portfolo component?

More information

CHAPTER 9 FUNCTIONAL FORMS OF REGRESSION MODELS

CHAPTER 9 FUNCTIONAL FORMS OF REGRESSION MODELS CHAPTER 9 FUNCTIONAL FORMS OF REGRESSION MODELS QUESTIONS 9.1. (a) In a log-log model the dependent and all explanatory varables are n the logarthmc form. (b) In the log-ln model the dependent varable

More information

Appendix - Normally Distributed Admissible Choices are Optimal

Appendix - Normally Distributed Admissible Choices are Optimal Appendx - Normally Dstrbuted Admssble Choces are Optmal James N. Bodurtha, Jr. McDonough School of Busness Georgetown Unversty and Q Shen Stafford Partners Aprl 994 latest revson September 00 Abstract

More information

Title: Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks

Title: Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks Ttle: Stock Market Predcton Usng Artfcal Neural Networks Authors: Brgul Egel, Asst. Prof. Bogazc Unversty, Hsar Kampus 34342, Istanbul, Turkey egel@boun.edu.tr Meltem Ozturan, Assoc. Prof. Bogazc Unversty,

More information

Path-Based Statistical Timing Analysis Considering Interand Intra-Die Correlations

Path-Based Statistical Timing Analysis Considering Interand Intra-Die Correlations Path-Based Statstcal Tmng Analyss Consderng Interand Intra-De Correlatons Aseem Agarwal, Davd Blaauw, *Vladmr Zolotov, *Savthr Sundareswaran, *Mn Zhao, *Kaushk Gala, *Rajendran Panda Unversty of Mchgan,

More information

Calibration Methods: Regression & Correlation. Calibration Methods: Regression & Correlation

Calibration Methods: Regression & Correlation. Calibration Methods: Regression & Correlation Calbraton Methods: Regresson & Correlaton Calbraton A seres of standards run (n replcate fashon) over a gven concentraton range. Standards Comprsed of analte(s) of nterest n a gven matr composton. Matr

More information

Data Mining Linear and Logistic Regression

Data Mining Linear and Logistic Regression 07/02/207 Data Mnng Lnear and Logstc Regresson Mchael L of 26 Regresson In statstcal modellng, regresson analyss s a statstcal process for estmatng the relatonshps among varables. Regresson models are

More information

Measures of Spread IQR and Deviation. For exam X, calculate the mean, median and mode. For exam Y, calculate the mean, median and mode.

Measures of Spread IQR and Deviation. For exam X, calculate the mean, median and mode. For exam Y, calculate the mean, median and mode. Part 4 Measures of Spread IQR and Devaton In Part we learned how the three measures of center offer dfferent ways of provdng us wth a sngle representatve value for a data set. However, consder the followng

More information

Simulation Budget Allocation for Further Enhancing the Efficiency of Ordinal Optimization

Simulation Budget Allocation for Further Enhancing the Efficiency of Ordinal Optimization Dscrete Event Dynamc Systems: Theory and Applcatons, 10, 51 70, 000. c 000 Kluwer Academc Publshers, Boston. Manufactured n The Netherlands. Smulaton Budget Allocaton for Further Enhancng the Effcency

More information

Spatial Variations in Covariates on Marriage and Marital Fertility: Geographically Weighted Regression Analyses in Japan

Spatial Variations in Covariates on Marriage and Marital Fertility: Geographically Weighted Regression Analyses in Japan Spatal Varatons n Covarates on Marrage and Martal Fertlty: Geographcally Weghted Regresson Analyses n Japan Kenj Kamata (Natonal Insttute of Populaton and Socal Securty Research) Abstract (134) To understand

More information

EDC Introduction

EDC Introduction .0 Introducton EDC3 In the last set of notes (EDC), we saw how to use penalty factors n solvng the EDC problem wth losses. In ths set of notes, we want to address two closely related ssues. What are, exactly,

More information

Available online at ScienceDirect. Procedia Computer Science 24 (2013 ) 9 14

Available online at   ScienceDirect. Procedia Computer Science 24 (2013 ) 9 14 Avalable onlne at www.scencedrect.com ScenceDrect Proceda Computer Scence 24 (2013 ) 9 14 17th Asa Pacfc Symposum on Intellgent and Evolutonary Systems, IES2013 A Proposal of Real-Tme Schedulng Algorthm

More information

1. Introduction. Do Van Thanh 1 *, Nguyen Minh Hai 2 and Do Duc Hieu 3. Abstract

1. Introduction. Do Van Thanh 1 *, Nguyen Minh Hai 2 and Do Duc Hieu 3. Abstract Indan Journal of Scence and Technology, Vol (), DOI: 0.7485/st/08/v/04908, January 08 ISSN (Prnt) : 0974-6846 ISSN (Onlne) : 0974-5645 Buldng Uncondtonal Forecast Model of Stock Market Indexes usng Combned

More information

The Optimal Interval Partition and Second-Factor Fuzzy Set B i on the Impacts of Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting

The Optimal Interval Partition and Second-Factor Fuzzy Set B i on the Impacts of Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting Ch-Chen Wang, Yueh-Ju Ln, Yu-Ren Zhang, Hsen-Lun Wong The Optmal Interval Partton and Second-Factor Fuzzy Set B on the Impacts of Fuzzy Tme Seres Forecastng CHI-CHEN WANG 1 1 Department of Fnancal Management,

More information

Mode is the value which occurs most frequency. The mode may not exist, and even if it does, it may not be unique.

Mode is the value which occurs most frequency. The mode may not exist, and even if it does, it may not be unique. 1.7.4 Mode Mode s the value whch occurs most frequency. The mode may not exst, and even f t does, t may not be unque. For ungrouped data, we smply count the largest frequency of the gven value. If all

More information

ISE High Income Index Methodology

ISE High Income Index Methodology ISE Hgh Income Index Methodology Index Descrpton The ISE Hgh Income Index s desgned to track the returns and ncome of the top 30 U.S lsted Closed-End Funds. Index Calculaton The ISE Hgh Income Index s

More information

Midterm Exam. Use the end of month price data for the S&P 500 index in the table below to answer the following questions.

Midterm Exam. Use the end of month price data for the S&P 500 index in the table below to answer the following questions. Unversty of Washngton Summer 2001 Department of Economcs Erc Zvot Economcs 483 Mdterm Exam Ths s a closed book and closed note exam. However, you are allowed one page of handwrtten notes. Answer all questons

More information

A Set of new Stochastic Trend Models

A Set of new Stochastic Trend Models A Set of new Stochastc Trend Models Johannes Schupp Longevty 13, Tape, 21 th -22 th September 2017 www.fa-ulm.de Introducton Uncertanty about the evoluton of mortalty Measure longevty rsk n penson or annuty

More information

Skewness and kurtosis unbiased by Gaussian uncertainties

Skewness and kurtosis unbiased by Gaussian uncertainties Skewness and kurtoss unbased by Gaussan uncertantes Lorenzo Rmoldn Observatore astronomque de l Unversté de Genève, chemn des Mallettes 5, CH-9 Versox, Swtzerland ISDC Data Centre for Astrophyscs, Unversté

More information

Maturity Effect on Risk Measure in a Ratings-Based Default-Mode Model

Maturity Effect on Risk Measure in a Ratings-Based Default-Mode Model TU Braunschweg - Insttut für Wrtschaftswssenschaften Lehrstuhl Fnanzwrtschaft Maturty Effect on Rsk Measure n a Ratngs-Based Default-Mode Model Marc Gürtler and Drk Hethecker Fnancal Modellng Workshop

More information

New Distance Measures on Dual Hesitant Fuzzy Sets and Their Application in Pattern Recognition

New Distance Measures on Dual Hesitant Fuzzy Sets and Their Application in Pattern Recognition Journal of Artfcal Intellgence Practce (206) : 8-3 Clausus Scentfc Press, Canada New Dstance Measures on Dual Hestant Fuzzy Sets and Ther Applcaton n Pattern Recognton L Xn a, Zhang Xaohong* b College

More information

Scribe: Chris Berlind Date: Feb 1, 2010

Scribe: Chris Berlind Date: Feb 1, 2010 CS/CNS/EE 253: Advanced Topcs n Machne Learnng Topc: Dealng wth Partal Feedback #2 Lecturer: Danel Golovn Scrbe: Chrs Berlnd Date: Feb 1, 2010 8.1 Revew In the prevous lecture we began lookng at algorthms

More information

Elton, Gruber, Brown and Goetzmann. Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis, 7th Edition. Solutions to Text Problems: Chapter 4

Elton, Gruber, Brown and Goetzmann. Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis, 7th Edition. Solutions to Text Problems: Chapter 4 Elton, Gruber, Brown and Goetzmann Modern ortfolo Theory and Investment Analyss, 7th Edton Solutons to Text roblems: Chapter 4 Chapter 4: roblem 1 A. Expected return s the sum of each outcome tmes ts assocated

More information

Examining the Validity of Credit Ratings Assigned to Credit Derivatives

Examining the Validity of Credit Ratings Assigned to Credit Derivatives Examnng the Valdty of redt atngs Assgned to redt Dervatves hh-we Lee Department of Fnance, Natonal Tape ollege of Busness No. 321, Sec. 1, h-nan d., Tape 100, Tawan heng-kun Kuo Department of Internatonal

More information

Measurement of Dynamic Portfolio VaR Based on Mixed Vine Copula Model

Measurement of Dynamic Portfolio VaR Based on Mixed Vine Copula Model Journal of Fnance and Accountng 207; 5(2): 80-86 http://www.scencepublshnggroup.com/j/jfa do: 0.648/j.jfa.2070502.2 ISSN: 2330-733 (Prnt); ISSN: 2330-7323 (Onlne) Measurement of Dynamc Portfolo VaR Based

More information

02_EBA2eSolutionsChapter2.pdf 02_EBA2e Case Soln Chapter2.pdf

02_EBA2eSolutionsChapter2.pdf 02_EBA2e Case Soln Chapter2.pdf 0_EBAeSolutonsChapter.pdf 0_EBAe Case Soln Chapter.pdf Chapter Solutons: 1. a. Quanttatve b. Categorcal c. Categorcal d. Quanttatve e. Categorcal. a. The top 10 countres accordng to GDP are lsted below.

More information

Process Control with Highly Left Censored Data Javier Orlando Neira Rueda a, MSC. a

Process Control with Highly Left Censored Data Javier Orlando Neira Rueda a, MSC. a Process Control wth Hghly Left Censored Data Javer Orlando Nera Rueda a, MSC. a Unversdad UNIMINUTO. Departamento de Ingenera Dagonal 81C Nº 72 B 81, 11001 Bogotá, Colomba javer.nera@unmnuto.edu Andrés

More information

Fast Valuation of Forward-Starting Basket Default. Swaps

Fast Valuation of Forward-Starting Basket Default. Swaps Fast Valuaton of Forward-Startng Basket Default Swaps Ken Jackson Alex Krenn Wanhe Zhang December 13, 2007 Abstract A basket default swap (BDS) s a credt dervatve wth contngent payments that are trggered

More information

An Efficient ANP-BGP Model for Software Production by QFD

An Efficient ANP-BGP Model for Software Production by QFD Australan Journal of Basc and Appled Scences, (0): 002-02, 20 ISSN 99-878 An Effcent ANP-BGP Model for Software Producton by QFD Morteza Jamal Paghaleh Department of Industral Engneerng, Young Researchers

More information

Least Cost Strategies for Complying with New NOx Emissions Limits

Least Cost Strategies for Complying with New NOx Emissions Limits Least Cost Strateges for Complyng wth New NOx Emssons Lmts Internatonal Assocaton for Energy Economcs New England Chapter Presented by Assef A. Zoban Tabors Caramans & Assocates Cambrdge, MA 02138 January

More information

COMPARISON OF THE ANALYTICAL AND NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF A ONE-DIMENSIONAL NON-STATIONARY COOLING PROBLEM. László Könözsy 1, Mátyás Benke 2

COMPARISON OF THE ANALYTICAL AND NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF A ONE-DIMENSIONAL NON-STATIONARY COOLING PROBLEM. László Könözsy 1, Mátyás Benke 2 COMPARISON OF THE ANALYTICAL AND NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF A ONE-DIMENSIONAL NON-STATIONARY COOLING PROBLEM László Könözsy 1, Mátyás Benke Ph.D. Student 1, Unversty Student Unversty of Mskolc, Department of

More information

Equilibrium in Prediction Markets with Buyers and Sellers

Equilibrium in Prediction Markets with Buyers and Sellers Equlbrum n Predcton Markets wth Buyers and Sellers Shpra Agrawal Nmrod Megddo Benamn Armbruster Abstract Predcton markets wth buyers and sellers of contracts on multple outcomes are shown to have unque

More information

Clearing Notice SIX x-clear Ltd

Clearing Notice SIX x-clear Ltd Clearng Notce SIX x-clear Ltd 1.0 Overvew Changes to margn and default fund model arrangements SIX x-clear ( x-clear ) s closely montorng the CCP envronment n Europe as well as the needs of ts Members.

More information

An Efficient Heuristic Algorithm for m- Machine No-Wait Flow Shops

An Efficient Heuristic Algorithm for m- Machine No-Wait Flow Shops An Effcent Algorthm for m- Machne No-Wat Flow Shops Dpak Laha and Sagar U. Sapkal Abstract We propose a constructve heurstc for the well known NP-hard of no-wat flow shop schedulng. It s based on the assumpton

More information

Introduction. Chapter 7 - An Introduction to Portfolio Management

Introduction. Chapter 7 - An Introduction to Portfolio Management Introducton In the next three chapters, we wll examne dfferent aspects of captal market theory, ncludng: Brngng rsk and return nto the pcture of nvestment management Markowtz optmzaton Modelng rsk and

More information

Supplementary material for Non-conjugate Variational Message Passing for Multinomial and Binary Regression

Supplementary material for Non-conjugate Variational Message Passing for Multinomial and Binary Regression Supplementary materal for Non-conjugate Varatonal Message Passng for Multnomal and Bnary Regresson October 9, 011 1 Alternatve dervaton We wll focus on a partcular factor f a and varable x, wth the am

More information

Quiz on Deterministic part of course October 22, 2002

Quiz on Deterministic part of course October 22, 2002 Engneerng ystems Analyss for Desgn Quz on Determnstc part of course October 22, 2002 Ths s a closed book exercse. You may use calculators Grade Tables There are 90 ponts possble for the regular test, or

More information