CANARA ROBECO MEDIUM TERM OPPORTUNITIES FUND FEBRUARY 2018
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1 CANARA ROBECO MEDIUM TERM OPPORTUNITIES FUND FEBRUARY 2018
2 This product is suitable for investors who are seeking* Income/Capital appreciation over medium to long-term Investment in Debt and Money Market securities with a portfolio weighted average maturity between 3 to 7 years *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable
3 Year-on-Year* FINANCIAL YEAR END STRONG INDIAN MACROS CAD 4.8% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% GDP 5.1% 6.6% 7.2% 7.6% 7.1% Fiscal Deficit 4.9% 4.5% 4.1% 3.9% 3.5% Inflation 7.88% 5.37% 5.26% 3.65% 5.21% INR Slow and Steady Improvement since Source: Bloomberg, Motilal Oswal * Data as of February month end of respective years
4 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 KEY MACRO VARIABLES Inflation CPI WPI RBI s comfort zone (2-6%) CPI inflation grew at 4.44% year-on-year in Feb 18, below the print of 5.07% in Jan 18. marking it to be the lowest inflation rate in four months and in the comfort zone for inflation & medium-term target of the central bank. Wholesale prices in India rose by 2.48% year-on-year in Feb 18, after a 2.84% increase in the prior month. It was the lowest wholesale inflation since Jul 17, as cost of food and fuel rose at softer paces. Source: Bloomberg, IIP & WPI base year considered is
5 CRUDE OIL PRICE MOVEMENT Brent Crude was seen trading in a wide range of USD/bbl mark and remained volatile during the last month Geo-political issues in middle east and supply side problems are expected to keep the prices of crude range bound in the coming months Source: Bloomberg. Data as on 20th Mar 18 OPCRTOTL Index (Bloomberg Total OPEC Crude Oil Production Output Data) DOETCRUD Index (United States DOE Crude Oil Total Production Data) CO1 Comdty (Generic 1st 'CO' Future)
6 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec'17 Jan'18 Feb-18 INR Cr FPI INVESTMENTS RBI to increase FPI limit (in phases) to 5%(G-sec) & 2%(SDL) of outstanding stock by March 2018 During the month of Feb 18, FPIs significantly decreased allocation to Indian debt markets to the tune of Rs. 344 crs in Feb 18 from Rs.8523 crs in Jan FPI's Net Flow in Debt (INR Crs) 344 Source: NSDL, SEBI, ICRA MFI Explorer/ Bloomberg. Data from 1st Jan 17 to 28th Feb 18
7 IMPROVED CREDIT QUALITY Fig. 1: Semi-annual trends in credit ratio and debt-weighted credit ratio Fig. 2: Semi-annual trends in debt upgrades and downgrades Credit quality has improved; aided by recent spurt in the government spending & steady growth in private consumption Sustained recovery (indicated by IIP) is still not certain; Investment linked sectors under pressure Source: CRISIL Rating Roundup
8 Current Scenario INVESTMENT GRID RBI not aggressive in changing interest rates Government closely monitoring Fiscal Deficit India feeling the impact of global headwinds With the current credit environment surrounded by uncertainty, a fund is likely to benefit which endeavors to: Benefit from Interest Rate volatility with Moderate Risk and Aims to capture High Quality Corporate Bond Yields Corporate balance sheets loaded with excess debt
9 INVESTMENT STRATEGY Accrual Income Predominant allocation to high credit quality corporate bonds Tactical allocation to G-Sec and money market instruments Capital Appreciati on & Liquidity Investm ent Strategy Average Maturity Average maturity of the fund would be in the range of 3 to 7 years Canara Robeco Medium Term Opportunities Fund offers attractive yields generating Regular Accrual by investing in only High Quality Debt Instruments with Low to Medium Term Duration thereby seeming to be a Perfect Fit in the current Scenario
10 WHY INVEST Accrual Income: Through Corporate Bond Exposure Capital Appreciation: Through G-sec Exposure Benefit from both Accrual and Duration Quality Debt Papers Substantial exposure to AAA papers and AA+ papers Exposure to lower risk, yield generating SDLs Fund will actively manage duration within average maturity range of 3 to 7 years based on fund manager's view on interest rates Active Management Uncertain Macro- Economic Factors Ideal investment horizon of the scheme is 3-5 years, which helps investors mitigate short term volatility
11 PORTFOLIO HIGHLIGHT As per the latest portfolio, a substantial portion of the portfolio was allocated to securities rated AA+ & above, Sovereign and Cash & Cash Equivalents with a view to maximize income while maintaining an optimum balance of safety & liquidity. The fund has optimized returns by keeping its average maturity consistent between 3 to 5 years with a stable underlying Corporate Bond holding. The fund is positioned to benefit from expected downward movements in interest rates owing to the accommodative stance of RBI and expected transmission of rate cuts by the banks.
12 PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT Asset Allocation Rating Allocation 19.00% Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo & Net Current Assets 19.00% Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo & Net Current Assets Treasury Bills/Sovereign 66.33% 14.67% Treasury Bills/ Sovereign 46.78% 14.67% AA+ & Equivaent NCDs/Bonds 19.54% AAA & Equivalent Data as on 28 th Feb 18
13 PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT Maturity Profile Greater than 2 Years 1-2 years 3 to 6 Months 13.62% 13.51% 53.86% Average Maturity Yrs 3.21 Modified Duration to 3 Months 14.80% Yield To Maturity 7.76% Net Current Assets 4.21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Data as on 28 th Feb 18
14 PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT 100% Asset Allocation 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo & Net Current Assets Commercial Paper NCDs/Bonds Treasury Bills/ Sovereign Data as on 28 th Feb 18
15 PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT Rating Allocation 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Cblo/Repo/Reverse Repo & Net Current Assets AAA & Equivalent AA+ & Equivaent A1+ & Equivalent Treasury Bills/Sovereign Data as on 28 th Feb 18
16 FUND FACTS Fund Category Investment Objective Open ended debt scheme The investment objective of the scheme is to generate income and capital appreciation through a portfolio constituted of medium term debt instruments and money market instruments. However, there can be no assurance that the investment objective of the Scheme will be realized Inception Date 7-Feb-14 Asset Allocation GoI & Debt Securities: 60%-100% Money Market Instruments : 0% - 40%. Plans/Options Regular & Direct Plan: Options: Growth / Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly Dividend with payout & Reinvestment Facilities Fund Size Load Structure Benchmark Fund Manager SIP/ STP/ SWP/ Dividend Transfer Facility Rs Crs (Month End AuM) Exit Load: 1% - If redeemed/switched out within 1 year from the date of allotment Nil - If redeemed/switched out after 1 year from the date of allotment CRISIL Composite Bond Fund Index Mr. Avnish Jain Data as on 28 th Feb 18
17 DISCLAIMER The information used towards formulating the outlook have been obtained from sources published by third parties. While such publications are believed to be reliable, however, neither the AMC, its officers, the trustees, the Fund nor any of their affiliates or representatives assume any responsibility for the accuracy of such information. CRMF, its sponsors, its trustees, CRAMC, its employees, officer, directors, etc assume no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this document. Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risk. Investors are requested to read the Scheme related documents carefully before investing. Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all Scheme related documents carefully.
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