Q Outlook and Strategy Income Funds

Transcription

1 Q3 Outlook and Strategy Income Funds

2 Industry Recognitions for Asian Fixed Income Capabilities Organiser Award Asia Asset Management Best of the Best Performance Awards 2015: Asian Bonds (3 years) 1 Best of the Best Performance Awards 2014: Asian Bonds (3 years) 1 AsianInvestor AsianInvestor Investment Performance Awards 2014: Best Asian Fixed Income, US dollar 2 AsianInvestor Investment Performance Awards 2013: Best Asian Fixed Income, US dollar 2 BENCHMARK BENCHMARK Fund of the Year Awards 2016: Best-In-Class, Asia High Yield Bond 3 BENCHMARK Fund of the Year Awards 2015: Best-In-Class, Asia Bond 3 Fund Selector Asia The Fund Selector Asia Hong Kong: Platinum Winner in Regional Bond 4 The 2015 Fund Selector Asia Hong Kong: Gold Winner in Regional Bond 4 Fundsupermart.com FSM Fund Picks /18 Asian Fixed Income 5 FSM Fund Picks 2016/17 Asian Fixed Income 5 Lipper Lipper Fund Awards Year Hong Kong: Best Bond Fund, Asia Pacific, Local Currency (3 & 5 years) 6 Lipper Fund Awards Year 2016 Hong Kong: Best Bond Fund, Asia Pacific, Local Currency (3 years) 6 The awards mentioned above were granted to BEA Union Investment Asian Bond and Currency Fund. 1. Source: Asia Asset Management, performance as at 30 September 2015 for 2015 award, as at 30 September 2014 for 2014 award. 2. Source: AsianInvestor, performance as at 31 December 2013 for 2014 award, as at 31 December 2012 for 2013 award. 3. Source: BENCHMARK, performance for A USD (Acc) as at 30 September 2016 for 2016 award, as at 30 September 2015 for 2015 award. 4. Source: Fund Selector Asia, performance as at 30 June 2016 for award, as at 30 June 2014 for 2015 award. 5. Source: Fundsupermart.com, performance for A USD (Acc) as at 31 March for /18 award and as at 31 March 2016 for 2016/17 award. 6. Source: Lipper, performance for A USD (Acc) as at 31 December 2016 for award, as at 31 December 2015 for 2016 award. Award logo from Thomson Reuters Lipper Awards, Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved. Used by permission and protected by the Copyright Laws of the United States. The printing, copying, redistribution, or retransmission of this Content without express written permission is prohibited. 1 Outlook and Strategy on Income Funds

3 Investment Theme U.S. Rate Hike in June, Asian Corporate Bonds Stay Relatively Defensive U.S. raised rate by 25 basis points in June, the federal funds target rate increased to 1% 1.25%. We expect the pace of U.S. rate hikes to be moderate. One more rate hike in the second half of the year is possible, and the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) may also begin to normalise its balance sheet. The Fed s balance sheet actions will be more of a consideration in the fourth quarter or next year it may create upward pressure on the interest rate in the short term, and we expect corporate bonds with a credit spread cushion will be a good defensive tool. U.S. treasury yields traded lower due to a range of global uncertainties have emerged recently, including concern about Trump s ability to implement reforms, terrorist attacks in England, and geopolitical tensions in Korea. We have a positive outlook on the Asian bond market in the long term, given the signs of economic stabilisation, continuous capital inflows into Asian bond market in search of higher yield. China High Yield Bonds Continue to Attract Interest from Chinese Investors Chinese high yield bond market remains resilient, especially the low beta names, due to healthy demand from Chinese investors during a generally weaker risk appetite. Chinese property issuers have been gaining market share and maintaining profit stability with strong cash flows. Meanwhile, Chinese issuers in retail sector are benefitting from a recovery in same-store sales and increased exposure to the catering business; at the same time, they also have better asset coverage ratios. Asian high yield corporate bonds widened substantially due to the potential restructuring risk of an Asian commodity issuer, creating negative sentiment throughout the market. We are cautious on the commodity sector, as commodity prices are still trending down. Macro economic The overall macro environment remains benign, inflation expectations are likely to come down further, we think the overall macro backdrop remains favourable to financial assets especially equities. From an absolute return standpoint, Asian and emerging credits continue to do well on attractive yields and currency strength. Outlook and Strategy on Income Funds 2

4 BEA Union Investment Asian Bond and Currency Fund ( ABC ) as at 31 May BEA Union Investment Asian Bond and Currency Fund seeks regular interest income, capital gains and currency appreciation from an actively managed portfolio of debt securities denominated in Asian or other currencies and primarily issued by Asian government or corporate entities. The fund invests in emerging markets, which are subject to higher liquidity and volatility risks. The fund may invest in lower-rated fixed income instruments, including below investment grade and non-rated debt securities, which are subject to greater credit and liquidity risks than higher-rated securities. The manager may at its discretion make distributions from income and/or capital in respect of the distributing classes of the Fund. Investors should note that the distributions paid out of capital amount to a return or withdrawal of part of the unitholder s original investment or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment. Such distribution may result in an immediate reduction of the net asset value per unit. In terms of currency hedged class units, adverse exchange rate fluctuations between the base currency of the fund and the class currency of the currency hedged class units may result in a decrease in return and/or loss of capital for unitholders. Over-hedged or under-hedged positions may arise and there can be no assurance that these currency hedged class units will be hedged at all times or that the manager will be successful in employing the hedge. Investors may invest in RMB (Hedged) units. It should be noted that the RMB is currently not a freely convertible currency as it is subject to foreign exchange control policies of the Chinese government. There is also no assurance that the RMB will not be subject to devaluation. Any devaluation of the RMB could adversely affect the value of investors investments. There is no guarantee that the hedging strategy will be effective and investors may still be subject to the RMB currency exchange risk. The fund may enter into futures contracts and currency forward contracts for hedging and investment purposes. Given the leverage effect embedded in futures and currency forward contracts, the fund may be exposed to significant losses. Investors should not make an investment decision based solely on this material. Fund Performance Morningstar Overall Rating 1 % YTD 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Since Launch A USD (Acc) A USD (Dis) H HKD (Dis) A AUD Hgd (Dis) # N/A ^ N/A N/A A RMB Hgd (Dis) # N/A ^ N/A N/A #Hgd = Hedged Source: Lipper, as at 31 May. A USD (Acc) and A USD (Dis) were launched on 28 August H HKD (Dis) was launched on 1 June A AUD Hgd (Dis) and A RMB Hgd (Dis) were launched on 30 May Performance is calculated in the respective class of denominated currencies on a NAV to NAV basis. Gross income is re-invested. HKD/USD based investors are exposed to foreign exchange fluctuations. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. ^ Since launch till 31 December of the same year. Portfolio Recap & Strategy Market Review The fund scaled down its high yield risk by reducing holdings in names with weaker credit profiles, especially in the commodities sector, after market sentiment fell due to credit events. The fund remained positive on defensive high yield bonds in property and retail sectors. The fund added positions with attractive carry in the CNH bond market and eased its expectation on the scale of the currency s depreciation. The fund also selectively added other Asian currencies in view of decent fund inflows into the Asian region. Indicative Deposit Rate Latest Month Previous Month Dividend Yield BofA Merrill Lynch Asian Dollar High Yield Corporate Index 6.4% 6.0% Source: Bloomberg. Latest month: as at 31 May ; previous month: as at 30 April Key Economic Indicators GDP (YoY) CPI (YoY) PMI Mar Dec 2016 May Apr May Apr China 6.9% 6.8% 1.5% 1.2% U.S. 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% Source: Bloomberg, as at respective month end. Market Commentary Despite a year-to-date rally in the high yield sector, we are still positive on this asset class in the longer term given the continuous capital inflows into the Asian market in search of higher yields, as well as stronger economic growth, manageable inflation rates, and limited new supply in the near future. The strengthening U.S. economy had led Federal Reserve members to adopt a more hawkish stance, and it is increasingly likely that the central bank will substantially reduce its balance sheet this year, which may increase short-term volatility for Asian bonds and currencies. Despite the uncertainties, the Asian bond market will continue to gain from net fund inflows and a relatively stable economic and political environment. 1. Source: Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Data as of 31 May. The rating is for A USD (Dis). 3 Outlook and Strategy on Income Funds

5 BEA Union Investment Asia Pacific Multi Income Fund ( APM ) as at 31 May BEA Union Investment Asia Pacific Multi Income Fund seeks to achieve income and long-term capital growth by investing in an actively managed portfolio of debt securities, listed REITs, and other listed securities in the Asia Pacific region. The fund invests in emerging markets and may be subject to higher liquidity and volatility risks. The fund invests directly in listed REITs, equities and managed funds, and is thus subject to the risks generally associated with such asset classes, including but not limited to liquidity of the asset class, changes in investment sentiment, political environment, economic, business and social conditions in local and global marketplace. The fund may invest in lower-rated fixed income instruments, including below investment grade and non-rated debt securities, which are subject to greater credit and liquidity risks than higher-rated securities. The manager may at its discretion make distributions from income and/or capital in respect of the distributing classes of the fund. Investors should note that the distributions paid out of capital amount to a return or withdrawal of part of the unitholder s original investment or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment. Such distribution may result in an immediate reduction of the net asset value per unit. In terms of currency hedged class units, adverse exchange rate fluctuations between the base currency of the fund and the class currency of the currency hedged class units may result in a decrease in return and/or loss of capital for unitholders. Over-hedged or under-hedged positions may arise and there can be no assurance that these currency hedged class units will be hedged at all times or that the manager will be successful in employing the hedge. Investors may invest in RMB (Hedged) units. It should be noted that the RMB is currently not a freely convertible currency as it is subject to foreign exchange control policies of the Chinese government. There is also no assurance that the RMB will not be subject to devaluation. Any devaluation of the RMB could adversely affect the value of investors investments. There is no guarantee that the hedging strategy will be effective and investors may still be subject to the RMB currency exchange risk. The fund may enter into futures contracts for hedging and investment purposes. Given the leverage effect embedded in futures contracts, the fund may be exposed to significant losses. Investors should not make an investment decision based solely on this material. Fund Performance Morningstar Overall Rating 1 % YTD 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Since Launch Class A USD (Dis) ^ Class A HKD (Dis) ^ Class A USD (Acc) N/A ^ Class A AUD Hgd (Dis) # N/A ^ N/A N/A Class A RMB Hgd (Dis) # N/A ^ N/A N/A A NZD Hgd (Dis) # N/A N/A ^ N/A N/A #Hgd = Hedged Source: Lipper, as at 31 May. A USD (Dis) and A HKD (Dis) were launched on 11 May 2012, A USD (Acc) was launched on 28 September A AUD Hgd (Dis) and A RMB Hgd (Dis) were launched on 30 May A NZD Hgd (Dis) was launched on 12 December Performance is calculated in the respective class of denominated currencies on a NAV to NAV basis. Gross income is re-invested. HKD/USD based investors are exposed to foreign exchange fluctuations. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. ^Since launch till 31 December of the same year. Portfolio Recap & Strategy The fund scaled down its high yield risk by reducing holdings in names with weaker credit profiles, especially in the commodities sector, after market sentiment fell due to credit events. The fund remained positive on defensive high yield bonds in property and retail sectors. In terms of equity, the fund withdrew its investment in the materials in anticipation of further commodity price weakness. The fund also withdrew its investment in an Australian bank due to a weaker economic outlook and concerns about the local housing market. Using this capital, the fund took advantage of favourable prices to add to certain positions in gambling, telecoms, banking, and industrials. Market Review Indicative Dividend Yield Latest Month Previous Month Dividend Yield of JACI Non-Investment Grade Index 6.6% 6.4% Dividend Yield of Hang Seng Index 3.3% 3.4% Dividend Yield of Bloomberg Asia REIT Index 4.5% 4.5% Source: Bloomberg. Latest month: as at 31 May ; previous month: as at 30 April. Source: Bloomberg, as at respective month end. Key Economic Indicators GDP (YoY) CPI (YoY) PMI Imports (YoY) Exports (YoY) Mar Dec 2016 Apr Mar May Apr Apr Mar Apr Mar China 6.9% 6.8% 1.2% 0.9% % 20.4% 8.0% 16.4% Hong Kong 4.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.5% % 13.0% 7.1% 16.9% Singapore 2.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.7% % 18.9% 4.1% 18.7% Market Commentary It is increasingly likely that the Federal Reserve will substantially reduce its balance sheet this year, which may increase short-term volatility for Asian bonds and currencies. Despite the uncertainties, the Asian bond market will continue to gain from net fund inflows and a relatively stable economic and political environment. Credit rating agency Moody s downgraded China s sovereign credit rating, arguing that the country s financial strength will worsen as economic growth slows down and debt rises, but the statement had no immediate impact on equity markets. 1. Source: Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Data as of 31 May. The rating is for A USD (Dis). Outlook and Strategy on Income Funds 4

6 BEA Union Investment Asian Strategic Bond Fund ( ASB ) as at 31 May 2016 BEA Union Investment Asian Strategic Bond Fund seeks medium to long term capital growth and regular income by primarily (i.e. at least 70% of its non-cash assets) investing in debt securities that are (a) denominated in Asian currencies, or (b) issued or guaranteed by Asian governments or entities incorporated in Asia or have significant operations or assets in, or derive significant portion of revenue or profits from Asia, and denominated in USD or other currencies including Asian currencies. The fund invests in emerging markets and may be subject to higher liquidity and volatility risks. The fund may invest in below investment grade or non-rated debt securities, which are subject to greater credit and liquidity risks than higher-rated securities. The manager may at its discretion make distributions from income and/or capital in respect of the distributing classes of the fund. Investors should note that the distributions paid out of capital amount to a return or withdrawal of part of the unitholder s original investment or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment. Such distribution may result in an immediate reduction of the net asset value per unit. In terms of currency hedged class units, adverse exchange rate fluctuations between the base currency of the fund and the class currency of the currency hedged class units may result in a decrease in return and/or loss of capital for unitholders. Over-hedged or under-hedged positions may arise and there can be no assurance that these currency hedged class units will be hedged at all times or that the manager will be successful in employing the hedge. RMB is currently not freely convertible and is subject to foreign exchange control policies of the Chinese government. Non-RMB based (e.g. Hong Kong) investors are exposed to foreign exchange risk and there is no guarantee that the value of RMB against the investors base currencies (for example HKD) will not depreciate. Any depreciation of RMB would adversely affect the value of investor s investment in the Fund. The fund may use derivative instruments for hedging purposes which may not achieve the intended purpose and may result in significant losses. Investors should not make an investment decision based solely on this material. Fund Performance % Since Launch A USD (Acc) A USD (Dis) A HKD (Dis) Fund performance will be shown when the Fund has 6-month record. A AUD Hgd (Dis) # A RMB Hgd (Dis) # # Hgd = Hedged Portfolio Recap & Strategy Market Review The fund scaled down its high yield risk by reducing holdings in names with weaker credit profiles, especially in the commodities sector, after market sentiment fell due to credit events. The fund remained positive on defensive high yield bonds in property and retail sectors. The fund lengthened its portfolio duration in the second half of the month as headlines about Donald Trump depressed U.S. Treasury yields. Indicative Yield Latest Month Previous Month Dividend Yield BofA Merrill Lynch Asian Dollar Corporate Index 3.9% 3.8% Source: Bloomberg. Latest month: as at 31 May ; previous month: as at 30 April Key Economic Indicators GDP (YoY) CPI (YoY) PMI Mar Dec 2016 May Apr May Apr China 6.9% 6.8% 1.5% 1.2% Hong Kong 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% Source: Bloomberg, as at respective month end. Market Commentary The strengthening U.S. economy had led Federal Reserve members to adopt a more hawkish stance, and it is increasingly likely that the central bank will substantially reduce its balance sheet this year, which may increase short-term volatility for Asian bonds and currencies. Investors may turn cautious as a result of political headlines from the U.S. and E.U. countries as well as unexpected terrorist attacks, all of which will have a generally negative impact on the global bond markets. Despite these uncertainties, the Asian bond market will continue to gain from net fund inflows and a relatively stable economic and political environment. 5 Outlook and Strategy on Income Funds

7 Fund Details BEA Union Investment Asian Bond and Currency Fund Unit Class A USD (Dis) H HKD (Dis) A AUD Hdg (Dis) # A RMB Hgd (Dis) # A USD (Acc) Launch Date 28 Aug Jun May May Aug 2008 Minimum Investment Amount Dividend Frequency HK$10,000 Monthly (aims to provide a monthly dividend, dividend is not guaranteed and distributions may be paid out of income and/or capital 2 ) Record Date 1 14 th day of every month Ex-Dividend Date One business day after Record Date ISIN HK HK HK HK HK Bloomberg BEABCAI HK BEABCHD HK BEAAUHD HK BEARMHD HK BEABCAA HK Base Currency Management Fee US$ 1.00% p.a. Preliminary Charge Up to 5.00% Realisation Charge Dealing Frequency Currently waived Daily (HK business days) BEA Union Investment Asia Pacific Multi Income Fund Unit Class A USD (Dis) A HKD (Dis) A AUD Hgd (Dis) # A NZD Hgd (Dis) # A RMB Hgd (Dis) # A USD (Acc) Launch Date 11 May May May Dec May Sep 2012 Minimum Investment Amount Dividend Frequency HK$10,000 Monthly (aims to provide a monthly dividend, dividend is not guaranteed and distributions may be paid out of income and/or capital 2 ) Record Date 1 14 th day of every month Ex-Dividend Date One business day after Record Date ISIN HK HK HK HK HK HK Bloomberg BEAPMIU HK BEAPMIH HK BEAPAAH HK BEANZDH HK BEAPARH HK BEAPUAA HK Base Currency Management Fee US$ 1.20% p.a. Preliminary Charge Up to 5.00% Realisation Charge Dealing Frequency Currently waived Daily (HK business days) # Hgd = Hedged 1 If such day is not a Business Day, the Record Date will be the immediately preceding Business Day. 2 Dividend only applies to distributing classes and is not guaranteed. The manager may at its discretion make distributions from income and/or capital in respect of the distributing classes of the fund. Investors should note that the distributions paid out of capital amount to a return or withdrawal of part of the unitholder s original investment or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment. Such distribution may result in an immediate reduction of the net asset value per unit. Outlook and Strategy on Income Funds 6

8 Fund Details BEA Union Investment Asian Strategic Bond Fund Unit Class A USD (Dis) A HKD (Dis) A AUD Hdg (Dis) # A RMB Hgd (Dis) # A USD (Acc) Launch Date 24 Feb Minimum Investment Amount Dividend Frequency HK$10,000 Monthly (aims to provide a monthly dividend, dividend is not guaranteed and distributions may be paid out of income and/or capital 2 ) Record Date 1 14 th day of every month Ex-Dividend Date One business day after Record Date ISIN HK HK HK HK HK Bloomberg BEABAUD HK BEABAHD HK BEAAAHD HK BEAARHD HK BEABAUA HK Base Currency Management Fee # Hgd = Hedged 1 If such day is not a business day, the record date will be the immediately preceding business day. 2 Dividend only applies to distributing classes and is not guaranteed. The manager may at its discretion make distributions from income and/or capital in respect of the distributing classes of the fund. Investors should note that the distributions paid out of capital amount to a return or withdrawal of part of the unitholder s original investment or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment. Such distribution may result in an immediate reduction of the net asset value per unit. US$ 1.00% p.a. Preliminary Charge Up to 5.00% Realisation Charge Dealing Frequency Currently waived Daily (HK business days) Investments in the fund(s) are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. For full details and risk factors of the fund(s), please refer to the explanatory memorandum of the fund(s). Investors should also read the explanatory memorandum of the fund(s) for detailed information prior to any subscription. The information contained herein is only a brief introduction to the fund(s). Investors should be aware that the price of units may go down as well as up as the investments of the fund(s) are subject to market fluctuations and to the risks inherent in all investments. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The information contained in this document is based upon information which BEA Union Investment Management Limited considers reliable and is provided on an as is basis. This document does not constitute an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. The fund(s) have been authorized by the Securities and Futures Commission ( SFC ) in Hong Kong. SFC authorisation is not a recommendation or endorsement of a scheme nor does it guarantee the commercial merits of a scheme or its performance. It does not mean the scheme is suitable for all investors nor is it an endorsement of its suitability for any particular investor or class of investors. This material has not been reviewed by the SFC in Hong Kong. Issuer: BEA Union Investment Management Limited Retail Hotline: (852)