Promoting Sustainable Development in the Arctic A Private Sector Proposal for Partnership ARCTIC ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FORUM - APRIL 2016
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1 Promoting Sustainable Development in the Arctic A Private Sector Proposal for Partnership ARCTIC ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FORUM - APRIL
2 A UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY: Crea4ng a new category for sustainable investment The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), also known as the Global Goals, were adopted by 193 countries at a UN Summit in September The Goals cover social, environmental and economic targets for global development and tackle some of the most serious issues facing people and the planet. Shipping Energy Ocean Resources Environmental Protec@on By 2030, over 5% of total world trade could be routed along the Northern Sea Route. While Arc@c oil produc@on could double by 2050 under some projec@ons, the Arc@c holds vast renewable poten@al: wind, geothermal, solar, and biomass are all promising areas. Fishery catches in the region could increase by up to 70% over the next 40 years, with even greater poten@al in aquaculture and the blue economy. The Arc@c is warming twice as fast the rest of the world, a warning for the rest of the world but an opportunity for climate science and other research. 2
3 A UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY: Crea4ng a new category for sustainable investment Infrastructure needs around the world are increasing Sustainable Development will require annual worldwide investment of $4.5 trillion Infrastructure, water & sanitazon, and telecom, have an eszmated shor[all of up to $1.6 trillion per year 1 Infrastructure requirements in the ArcZc region alone are expected to reach nearly $1 trillion over the next 15 years Ensuring that future development is genuinely sustainable is a generazonal imperazve Financing for Sustainable Development WEF GAC ArcZc Investment Protocol World Economic Forum Global Agenda Council on the Arc@c A large, diverse group of experts from business, civil society, academia and government have convened to focus on how best to develop the ArcZc region The ArcZc Investment Protocol is the first step toward inclusive, transparent development which is measurable and accountable Sustainable Development Permanent Capital Vehicle 3
4 Promo%ng Sustainable Investment in the Arc%c Step 1: The Arc%c Investment Protocol
5 ARCTIC INVESTMENT PROTOCOL: Guggenheim Partners & World Economic Forum Global Agenda Council on the Arc4c Code of Conduct for Investment in the ArcZc advances sound praczces for sustainable development that is based on the UN s SDGs Ensures private sector organizazons engage in sustainable development for the right reasons Clear standards for responsible business praczces, governance, environmental stewardship and fostering resilient communizes Creates accountability to a pragmazc set of goals 1. Build resilient sociezes through economic development 2. Respect and include local communizes and indigenous peoples 3. Pursue measures to protect the environment of the ArcZc 4. PracZce responsible and transparent business methods 5. Consult and integrate science and tradizonal ecological knowledge 6. Strengthen pan-arczc collaborazon and sharing of best praczces 5
6 Promo%ng Sustainable Investment in the Arc%c Step 2: The Arc%c Infrastructure Inventory
7 THE ARCTIC INFRASTRUCTURE INVENTORY IDENTIFYING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN: (airports, terminals, runways, logiszcs centers) Marine (icebreakers, ferries, ice class vessels, navigazonal aids) Mining (metals, minerals, diamonds, gemstones, uranium, smelters, processing/storage facilizes) Ports (container terminals, oil terminals, LNG terminals, cruise terminals, fishery support) Power (electricity generazon, transmission lines, long distance cables) Railways (freight, passenger, port offloading, municipal) Roads (highways, toll roads, bridges, access roads, ice roads, upgrades/improvements/rehab) Renewable (wind, hydro, geothermal, solar, Zdal, biomass) Social (housing, schools, hospitals, cultural) Telecom (broadband, subsea cables) 7
8 THE ARCTIC INFRASTRUCTURE INVENTORY $400B An exhauszve list of possible projects is being assembled $350B $300B Planned Estimated Need Partnership with nazonal bureaus and ministries, educazon insztuzons, and local and indigenous communizes $250B $200B $150B More than 600 infrastructure opportunizes valued at over US $500 billion $100B $50B $0B Russia US Canada Norway Sweden Iceland Finland Greenland VALUE OF POTENTIAL ARCTIC INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS BY COUNTRY 8
9 SUSTAINABILITY INVESTMENT ASSESSMENT SUSTAINABILITY QUOTIENT SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENT PROCESS Pipeline of Investment -- Universe of Possibili.es Sustainable Investment Assessment -- Sustainability Quo.ent Sustainable Development Infrastructure Inventory -- Viable Projects Sustainable Development Investment Vehicle -- Financing Solu.ons Environmental Soundness Social Harmony Financial Viability ContribuZon To Civil SocieZes 9
10 Promo%ng Sustainable Investment in the Arc%c Step 3: A Permanent Capital Vehicle
11 STEP 3: A PERMANENT CAPITAL VEHICLE Matching the demand from long term, pazent capital with the urgent need for investment in the ArcZc, parzcularly in infrastructure Regional Development Bank (RDB) Model Investments will be guided by the ArcZc Investment Protocol PotenZal models include regional development banks, infrastructure finance companies, and development funds High degree of interest from pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and insurance companies with long term investment horizons and need for stable returns Guggenheim Partners Source: IFC 11
12 STEP 3: A PERMANENT CAPITAL VEHICLE Matching the demand from long term, pazent capital with the urgent need for investment in the ArcZc, parzcularly in infrastructure Regional Development Bank (RDB) Model Investments will be guided by the ArcZc Investment Protocol PotenZal models include regional development banks, infrastructure finance companies, and development funds High degree of interest from pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and insurance companies with long term investment horizons and need for stable returns Guggenheim Partners Source: IFC 12
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