Power Accountants Association Annual Meeting Potential Impacts from Oct 2015 Rate Change
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1 Power Accountants Association Annual Meeting Potential Impacts from Oct 2015 Rate Change Material Provided by: Chris Mitchell Chris Mitchell Management Consultants (CMMC) 5/14/2015 1
2 Definitions of Major Terms Used in Discussion Demand (Max KW) the maximum usage in an individual hour during the month Energy (kwh) the volume of hourly KW used during the month Load Factor kwh in the month / (# of days in a month * Max KW * 24 hours) Customer Class group of customers who are given the same Rate (Sale Price of Product) Fixed Cost a cost that does not vary with sales volume Variable Cost a cost that varies with sales volume Coincident Peak Percent Customer s KW at LPC s Max Demand Hour / Customer s Max KW 2
3 Wholesale Structure Defined and Discussed Outline of Discussion Discussion of Wholesale Structure Types Standard Service Rate Components Potential Wholesale FCA Structure Change Potential Wholesale Standard Service Structure Change Other Retail Rate Structure Topics 3
4 Wholesale Structure Types Wholesale Structure evolved from End-Use-Rates to Demand & Energy and Time-of-Use Rates in April 2011 Starting April 2011 there were three types of Wholesale Structures: Served by Local Power Companies Standard Service Residential, GSA1,2,3 and Outdoor Lighting Excluded From Standard Service (still End-Use-Rates) Example: BCD Served by TVA Direct Serve Industries 4
5 Wholesale Structure Standard Service Rate Components Demand KW Rate (Base + Environmental (0.50) + Adjustments) multiplied by highest hour KW in Month Energy kwh Rate (Base + Environmental ( ) + Adjustments) multiplied by the volume of hourly KW in the month Fuel Cost Adjustment kwh Rate applied to Energy 5
6 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cents per kwh Oct 2015 Wholesale FCA Discussion Starting October 2015 there will be separate FCAs for Standard Service and Excluded Customers 3 Monthly Wholesale Fuel Cost Adjustment Comparison (This Information is Considered Business Sensitive, Proprietary and Confidential) Actual 2012 Actual 2013 Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Actual 2015 Current Forecast Historical Average 6
7 KW by Hour Oct 2015 Wholesale FCA Discussion Under collection of Fuel Cost in a current month is collected in the future through the deferred account 350,000 January 300, , , , ,000 50,000 0 Incremental Hours FY12 (01/12) FY13 (01/13) FY14 (01/14) FY15 (01/15) 7
8 KW by Hour KW by Hour Oct 2015 Wholesale FCA Discussion Residential usage is less in this example during months where under collection is collected --- note: the opposite can happen January March 350, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 50,000 50,000 0 Incremental Hours FY12 (01/12) FY13 (01/13) FY14 (01/14) FY15 (01/15) 0 Incremental Hours FY12 (03/12) FY13 (03/13) FY14 (03/14) FY15 (03/15) 8
9 Oct 2015 Wholesale FCA Discussion My opinion of the impact from FCA structure change: Increase in Standard Service FCA rate volatility Caused by some high load factor customers (BCDs) no longer being included in the FCA for Standard Service. Increase in Standard Service FCA rate level Caused by some high load factor customers (BCDs) no longer being included in the FCA for Standard Service. 9
10 Current Wholesale Rate Structure TVA Wholesale Rates (without fuel cost) Monthly Demand (kw) - the maximum usage in an individual hour during the month Monthly Energy (kwh) - the volume of (kw) used during the month Energy $/kwh Demand $/kw Demand & Energy Options Time of Use Options Month All (Nearly Flat) Seasonal Nearly Flat Modified (New) Type Calendar Wholesale Options (Expired 9/2012) On-Peak Hours Defined On-Peak Off-Peak On-Peak Off-Peak Transition October Transition November Winter December :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Winter January :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Winter February :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Winter March :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Transition April Transition May Summer June :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Summer July :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Summer August :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Summer September :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Notes: (1) All hours for the following observed Federal Holidays are off-peak: - New Year's Day, Memorial Day, Independence Day, Labor Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day (2) All hours are referred to as Central Standard Time or Central Daylight Time, whichever is then in effect (3) Rates include: Demand Environmental rate component of $0.50 and Energy Environmental rate component of $
11 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun FY Average Demand (KW) 18,588 18,871 19,873 22,008 22,125 22,386 24,160 22,748 22,113 20,887 19,870 26,102 25,393 26,345 25,459 24,148 29,935 29,075 28,854 27,798 30,982 29,602 28,370 27,913 29,586 27,569 27,450 27,551 27,041 26,913 26,611 24,237 23,134 27,991 28,396 27,125 25,265 26,015 27,893 30,035 28,563 27,348 25,971 25,390 26,259 28,488 33,619 35,843 36,042 Current Wholesale Demand Rate Max kw 40,000 Demand (KW) Standard Service 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Months Fiscal Year 2012 Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014 Fiscal Year
12 Oct 2015 Wholesale Demand Rates Day-of-Week & Time-of-Day Does Impact Cost TVA Wholesale Demand Rates Max kw - the maximum usage in an individual hour during the month Max On-Peak kw - the maximum usage in an individual hour during on-peak period Determination of Wholesale Rate Applied Determination of On-Peak kw Month Pre-Oct 2015 Oct 2015 Month Weekday (M-F)(3) Type Calendar Max kw Max kw (2) On-Peak (1,2) Type Calendar Hours Non-Summer October Summer October 1 pm - 7 pm Non-Summer November Winter November 4 am - 10 am Non-Summer December Winter December 4 am - 10 am Non-Summer January Winter January 4 am - 10 am Non-Summer February Winter February 4 am - 10 am Non-Summer March Winter March 4 am - 10 am Non-Summer April Summer April 1 pm - 7 pm Non-Summer May Summer May 1 pm - 7 pm Summer June Summer June 1 pm - 7 pm Summer July Summer July 1 pm - 7 pm Summer August Summer August 1 pm - 7 pm Summer September Summer September 1 pm - 7 pm Notes: times shown in Central time zone (1) Oct 2015 On-Peak kw Rate Includes 0.11 revenue Neutral Charge (2) Oct 2015 Max kw includes Environmental rate component of $0.36 and On-Peak kw includes $0.14 (3) All hours for the following observed Federal Holidays are off-peak: - New Year's Day, Memorial Day, Independence Day, Labor Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day 12
13 Oct 2015 Wholesale Demand Rate On-Peak Day-of-Week & Time-of-Day does Impact Cost High Hartselle Coincident LPC Low Coincident Sevier Co. LPC High Coincident Hartselle LPC Low Coincident Sevier Co. LPC Mth & YR Max kw Max On-Peak kw Max kw Max On-Peak kw Mth & YR Max kw Max On-Peak kw Max kw Max On-Peak kw April 2011 Monday, 11, 13:59 Monday, 11, 13:59 Sunday, 10, 16:59 Monday, 25, 16:59 March 2013 Thursday, 07, 6:59 Thursday, 07, 6:59 Monday, 04, 6:59 Monday, 04, 6:59 May 2011 Tuesday, 31, 15:59 Tuesday, 31, 15:59 Sunday, 29, 16:59 Tuesday, 31, 16:59 April 2013 Wednesday, 17, 13:59 Wednesday, 17, 13:59 Thursday, 04, 19:59 Thursday, 04, 18:59 June 2011 Thursday, 02, 15:59 Thursday, 02, 15:59 Tuesday, 07, 16:59 Tuesday, 07, 16:59 May 2013 Tuesday, 21, 15:59 Tuesday, 21, 15:59 Friday, 31, 15:59 Friday, 31, 15:59 July 2011 Tuesday, 12, 15:59 Tuesday, 12, 15:59 Saturday, 23, 16:59 Wednesday, 20, 16:59 June 2013 Wednesday, 12, 14:59 Wednesday, 12, 14:59 Wednesday, 12, 16:59 Wednesday, 12, 16:59 August 2011 Wednesday, 03, 15:59 Wednesday, 03, 15:59 Friday, 05, 16:59 Friday, 05, 16:59 July 2013 Wednesday, 17, 14:59 Wednesday, 17, 14:59 Friday, 19, 16:59 Friday, 19, 16:59 September 2011 Thursday, 01, 15:59 Thursday, 01, 15:59 Saturday, 03, 15:59 Friday, 02, 16:59 August 2013 Friday, 30, 15:59 Friday, 30, 15:59 Saturday, 31, 16:59 Friday, 09, 15:59 October 2011 Monday, 17, 16:59 Monday, 17, 16:59 Sunday, 30, 7:59 Thursday, 20, 18:59 September 2013 Tuesday, 10, 14:59 Tuesday, 10, 14:59 Sunday, 01, 15:59 Wednesday, 11, 15:59 November 2011 Friday, 18, 6:59 Friday, 18, 6:59 Friday, 18, 6:59 Friday, 18, 6:59 October 2013 Friday, 04, 16:59 Friday, 04, 16:59 Saturday, 26, 7:59 Friday, 25, 18:59 December 2011 Thursday, 01, 6:59 Thursday, 01, 6:59 Thursday, 29, 7:59 Thursday, 29, 7:59 November 2013 Thursday, 28, 7:59 Thursday, 14, 6:59 Thursday, 28, 7:59 Friday, 29, 6:59 January 2012 Wednesday, 04, 6:59 Wednesday, 04, 6:59 Wednesday, 04, 6:59 Wednesday, 04, 6:59 December 2013 Wednesday, 11, 6:59 Wednesday, 11, 6:59 Wednesday, 25, 6:59 Friday, 13, 6:59 February 2012 Monday, 13, 6:59 Monday, 13, 6:59 Sunday, 12, 6:59 Monday, 13, 6:59 January 2014 Tuesday, 07, 6:59 Tuesday, 07, 6:59 Tuesday, 07, 6:59 Tuesday, 07, 6:59 March 2012 Tuesday, 06, 6:59 Tuesday, 06, 6:59 Tuesday, 06, 6:59 Tuesday, 06, 6:59 February 2014 Friday, 07, 7:59 Friday, 07, 7:59 Friday, 28, 6:59 Friday, 28, 6:59 April 2012 Monday, 30, 16:59 Monday, 30, 16:59 Saturday, 28, 16:59 Monday, 30, 15:59 March 2014 Monday, 03, 18:59 Tuesday, 04, 6:59 Wednesday, 26, 6:59 Wednesday, 26, 6:59 May 2012 Tuesday, 29, 16:59 Tuesday, 29, 16:59 Sunday, 27, 16:59 Friday, 25, 16:59 April 2014 Wednesday, 16, 6:59 Tuesday, 29, 13:59 Wednesday, 16, 6:59 Tuesday, 15, 18:59 June 2012 Friday, 29, 16:59 Friday, 29, 16:59 Saturday, 30, 16:59 Friday, 29, 16:59 May 2014 Friday, 23, 14:59 Friday, 23, 14:59 Saturday, 31, 16:59 Wednesday, 28, 15:59 July 2012 Thursday, 05, 16:59 Thursday, 05, 16:59 Sunday, 01, 16:59 Thursday, 05, 15:59 June 2014 Wednesday, 18, 16:59 Wednesday, 18, 16:59 Friday, 20, 15:59 Friday, 20, 15:59 August 2012 Wednesday, 01, 15:59 Wednesday, 01, 15:59 Thursday, 02, 16:59 Thursday, 02, 16:59 July 2014 Monday, 14, 14:59 Monday, 14, 14:59 Wednesday, 02, 15:59 Wednesday, 02, 15:59 September 2012 Friday, 07, 16:59 Friday, 07, 16:59 Saturday, 01, 15:59 Friday, 07, 15:59 August 2014 Friday, 22, 15:59 Friday, 22, 15:59 Friday, 29, 16:59 Friday, 29, 16:59 October 2012 Wednesday, 31, 7:59 Thursday, 04, 16:59 Tuesday, 30, 18:59 Tuesday, 30, 18:59 September 2014 Thursday, 11, 14:59 Thursday, 11, 14:59 Monday, 01, 15:59 Tuesday, 02, 15:59 November 2012 Thursday, 29, 6:59 Thursday, 29, 6:59 Sunday, 25, 6:59 Thursday, 29, 6:59 October 2014 Thursday, 02, 13:59 Thursday, 02, 13:59 Monday, 13, 15:59 Monday, 13, 15:59 December 2012 Thursday, 13, 6:59 Thursday, 13, 6:59 Saturday, 29, 18:59 Monday, 31, 7:59 November 2014 Wednesday, 19, 6:59 Wednesday, 19, 6:59 Wednesday, 19, 6:59 Wednesday, 19, 6:59 January 2013 Friday, 04, 6:59 Friday, 04, 6:59 Saturday, 05, 7:59 Friday, 04, 7:59 December 2014 Thursday, 11, 6:59 Thursday, 11, 6:59 Friday, 12, 6:59 Friday, 12, 6:59 February 2013 Friday, 01, 7:59 Friday, 01, 7:59 Sunday, 17, 7:59 Monday, 18, 6:59 January 2015 Thursday, 08, 6:59 Thursday, 08, 6:59 Thursday, 08, 6:59 Thursday, 08, 6:59 Note: On-Peak kw dates highlighted identifies when the Max kw was outside the On-Peak Period 13
14 Oct 2015 Wholesale Demand Rate Financial Impact Estimate of Financial Impact High Hartselle Coincident Utilities LPC Analysis of Wholesale Invoice *** Case 6 using Oct 2014 TVA Approved Wholesale Rates *** Standard Service Method Used to Determine 12 Month Financial Impact: 12 Month Rolling Time Stamp is shown in Central Time Zone *** Highlighted "Yellow" dates identify On-Peak KW is different than Max KW *** Currently Defined Demand (KW) Defined as Max hour in the Month Proposed October 2015 Defined Demand (KW) New Summer Defined (13:59-18:59) and New Winter Defined (4:59-9:59) Monthly KW Peak Wholesale Wholesale On-Peak Max-Peak Total Difference from Current Peak Date KW KW Rate Cost Peak Date KW KW Rate Cost KW Rate Cost Cost Dollar Percent Rolling 12 Mo FY 2011 April 2011 Monday, 11, 13:59 19, ,911 Monday, 11, 13:59 19, , , ,034 2, % FY 2011 May 2011 Tuesday, 31, 15:59 26, ,816 Tuesday, 31, 15:59 26, , , ,769 2, % FY 2011 June 2011 Thursday, 02, 15:59 28, ,899 Thursday, 02, 15:59 28, , , ,004 3, % FY 2012 July 2011 Tuesday, 12, 15:59 29, ,242 Tuesday, 12, 15:59 29, , , ,534 3, % FY 2012 August 2011 Wednesday, 03, 15:59 30, ,848 Wednesday, 03, 15:59 30, , , ,256 3, % FY 2012 September 2011 Thursday, 01, 15:59 29, ,706 Thursday, 01, 15:59 29, , , ,961 3, % FY 2012 October 2011 Monday, 17, 16:59 18, ,311 Monday, 17, 16:59 18, , , ,355 2, % FY 2012 November 2011 Friday, 18, 6:59 22, ,518 Friday, 18, 6:59 22, , , ,981 2, % FY 2012 December 2011 Thursday, 01, 6:59 26, ,966 Thursday, 01, 6:59 26, , , ,837 2, % FY 2012 January 2012 Wednesday, 04, 6:59 27, ,670 Wednesday, 04, 6:59 27, , , ,645 2, % FY 2012 February 2012 Monday, 13, 6:59 28, ,231 Monday, 13, 6:59 28, , , ,354 3, % FY 2012 March 2012 Tuesday, 06, 6:59 19, ,223 Tuesday, 06, 6:59 19, , , ,409 2, % 33,798 FY 2012 April 2012 Monday, 30, 16:59 22, ,988 Monday, 30, 16:59 22, , , ,420 2, % 34,107 FY 2012 May 2012 Tuesday, 29, 16:59 26, ,684 Tuesday, 29, 16:59 26, , , ,611 2, % 34,082 FY 2012 June 2012 Friday, 29, 16:59 30, ,255 Friday, 29, 16:59 30, , , ,558 3, % 34,281 FY 2013 July 2012 Thursday, 05, 16:59 29, ,530 Thursday, 05, 16:59 29, , , ,728 3, % 34,187 FY 2013 August 2012 Wednesday, 01, 15:59 29, ,868 Wednesday, 01, 15:59 29, , , ,124 3, % 34,035 FY 2013 September 2012 Friday, 07, 16:59 27, ,274 Friday, 07, 16:59 27, , , ,307 3, % 33,813 FY 2013 October 2012 Wednesday, 31, 7:59 18, ,934 Thursday, 04, 16:59 18, , , , % 32,445 FY 2013 November 2012 Thursday, 29, 6:59 24, ,963 Thursday, 29, 6:59 24, , , ,621 2, % 32,640 FY 2013 December 2012 Thursday, 13, 6:59 25, ,393 Thursday, 13, 6:59 25, , , ,186 2, % 32,562 FY 2013 January 2013 Friday, 04, 6:59 26, ,484 Friday, 04, 6:59 26, , , ,444 2, % 32,548 FY 2013 February 2013 Friday, 01, 7:59 24, ,852 Friday, 01, 7:59 24, , , ,508 2, % 32,081 FY 2013 March 2013 Thursday, 07, 6:59 25, ,207 Thursday, 07, 6:59 25, , , ,986 2, % 32,674 FY 2013 April 2013 Wednesday, 17, 13:59 20, ,622 Wednesday, 17, 13:59 20, , , ,920 2, % 32,539 FY 2013 May 2013 Tuesday, 21, 15:59 24, ,677 Tuesday, 21, 15:59 24, , , ,343 2, % 32,278 FY 2013 June 2013 Wednesday, 12, 14:59 28, ,343 Wednesday, 12, 14:59 28, , , ,485 3, % 32,116 FY 2014 July 2013 Wednesday, 17, 14:59 28, ,291 Wednesday, 17, 14:59 28, , , ,465 3, % 32,092 FY 2014 August 2013 Friday, 30, 15:59 28, ,388 Friday, 30, 15:59 28, , , ,509 3, % 31,956 FY 2014 September 2013 Tuesday, 10, 14:59 27, ,069 Tuesday, 10, 14:59 27, , , ,088 3, % 31,943 FY 2014 October 2013 Friday, 04, 16:59 22, ,014 Friday, 04, 16:59 22, , , ,435 2, % 33,687 FY 2014 November 2013 Thursday, 28, 7:59 22, ,874 Thursday, 14, 6:59 21, , , ,721 (3,153) -1.50% 27,877 FY 2014 December 2013 Wednesday, 11, 6:59 26, ,218 Wednesday, 11, 6:59 26, , , ,116 2, % 27,981 FY 2014 January 2014 Tuesday, 07, 6:59 35, ,265 Tuesday, 07, 6:59 35, , , ,207 3, % 28,964 FY 2014 February 2014 Friday, 07, 7:59 27, ,449 Friday, 07, 7:59 27, , , ,433 2, % 29,291 FY 2014 March 2014 Monday, 03, 18:59 26, ,159 Tuesday, 04, 6:59 25, , , ,862 2, % 29,214 FY 2014 April 2014 Wednesday, 16, 6:59 19, ,195 Tuesday, 29, 13:59 17, , , ,154 (11,041) -5.99% 15,876 FY 2014 May 2014 Friday, 23, 14:59 23, ,452 Friday, 23, 14:59 23, , , ,997 2, % 15,754 FY 2014 June 2014 Wednesday, 18, 16:59 27, ,035 Wednesday, 18, 16:59 27, , , ,044 3, % 15,621 FY 2015 July 2014 Monday, 14, 14:59 27, ,594 Monday, 14, 14:59 27, , , ,652 3, % 15,505 FY 2015 August 2014 Friday, 22, 15:59 27, ,759 Friday, 22, 15:59 27, , , ,829 3, % 15,454 FY 2015 September 2014 Thursday, 11, 14:59 27, ,092 Thursday, 11, 14:59 27, , , ,122 3, % 15,465 FY 2015 October 2014 Thursday, 02, 13:59 22, ,099 Thursday, 02, 13:59 22, , , ,533 2, % 15,478 FY 2015 November 2014 Wednesday, 19, 6:59 27, ,477 Wednesday, 19, 6:59 27, , , ,556 3, % 21,710 FY 2015 December 2014 Thursday, 11, 6:59 25, ,005 Thursday, 11, 6:59 25, , , ,805 2, % 21,613 FY 2015 January 2015 Thursday, 08, 6:59 36, ,109 Thursday, 08, 6:59 36, , , ,074 3, % 21,635 Total $ 11,524,955 $ 8,334,709 $ 3,301,881 $ 11,636,590 $ 111, % 14
15 Oct 2015 Wholesale Demand Rate Financial Impact Date: September 2012 Max Peak Date: Friday 7, 16:59 ; Max Peak KW: 27,569 Cost Formula: Max KW * Max KW Rate Cost Calculation: 27,569 * = $279,274 Max On-Peak Date: Friday 7, 16:59; Max Peak KW: 27,569; Max On-Peak KW: 27,569 Cost Formula: (Max KW * Max KW Rate) + (Max On-Peak KW * On-Peak Rate) Cost Calculation: (27,569 * 2.75 = $75,815) + (27,569 * 7.49 = $206,492) = $282,307 Financial Impact: $3,033 Date: November 2013 Max Peak Date: Thursday 28, 7:59 ; Max Peak KW: 22,748 Cost Formula: Max KW * Max KW Rate Cost Calculation: 22,748 * 9.27 = $210,874 Max On-Peak Date: Thursday 14, 6:59; Max Peak KW: 22,748; Max On-Peak KW: 21,895 Cost Formula: (Max KW * Max KW Rate) + (Max On-Peak KW * On-Peak Rate) Cost Calculation: (22,748 * 2.75 = $62,557) + (21,895 * 7.49 = $145,164) = $207,721 Financial Impact: ($3,153) 15
16 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun FY Average FY Average Weighted Coincident Peak to TVA Percentage 98.4% 99.8% 98.5% 98.7% 99.9% 99.4% 97.3% 99.7% 94.3% 99.5% 90.8% 97.9% 98.1% 97.5% 93.7% 97.5% 98.3% 95.6% 94.0% 99.4% 92.5% 98.9% 99.4% 96.5% 99.8% 99.3% 96.7% 99.7% 96.1% 99.2% 99.3% 97.0% 98.1% 99.1% 99.3% 96.9% 98.1% Current Wholesale Demand Rate Coincident Peak Example of a highly coincident LPC Coincident Peak to TVA Percentage Standard Service 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Months Fiscal Year 2012 Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014 Fiscal Year
17 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun FY Average FY Average Weighted Coincident Peak to TVA Percentage 63.8% 70.6% 79.1% 78.0% 98.6% 93.4% 96.5% 98.7% 98.2% 94.9% 87.1% 98.5% 83.5% 94.1% 94.2% 90.4% 98.6% 88.5% 88.8% 88.5% 90.6% 96.4% 96.3% 96.3% 86.3% 92.0% 89.6% 89.9% 86.2% 85.7% 96.4% 96.9% 99.1% 98.8% 94.1% 98.1% 93.3% 98.3% 94.2% 89.4% 90.9% 97.5% 94.4% 89.6% 91.2% 97.3% Current Wholesale Demand Rate Coincident Peak Example of a low coincident LPC Coincident Peak to TVA Percentage Standard Service 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Months Fiscal Year 2012 Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014 Fiscal Year
18 Oct 2015 Wholesale Demand Rates Summer On-Peak Period Reduced Two Hours (from 8 to now 6) TVA Wholesale Energy Rates (without fuel cost) Monthly Energy (kwh) - the volume of (kw) used during the month Month Seasonal On-Peak Hours Defined Modified TOU Type Calendar D&E Pre-Oct 2015 Oct 2015 On-Peak Off-Peak Transition October Transition November Winter December :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) 4:00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Winter January :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) 4:00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Winter February :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) 4:00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Winter March :00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) 4:00 A.M. till 10:00 A.M. (Monday through Friday) Transition April Transition May Summer June :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) 1:00 P.M. till 7:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Summer July :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) 1:00 P.M. till 7:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Summer August :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) 1:00 P.M. till 7:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Summer September :00 P.M. till 8:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) 1:00 P.M. till 7:00 P.M. (Monday through Friday) Notes: (1) All hours for the following observed Federal Holidays are off-peak: - New Year's Day, Memorial Day, Independence Day, Labor Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day (2) All hours are referred to as Central Standard Time or Central Daylight Time, whichever is then in effect (3) Rates include: Energy Environmental rate component of $ /15/2015 Provided by Chris Mitchell (CMMC) Contains Business Sensitive Information 18
19 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun FY Average Summer FY Average Winter Percent On-Peak 18.6% 17.8% 19.3% 19.5% 19.7% 21.0% 20.2% 20.2% 20.4% 18.7% 21.1% 21.4% 19.3% 19.7% 20.5% 28.2% 28.4% 31.3% 30.8% 33.3% 32.9% 31.2% 29.7% 28.9% 26.6% 29.3% 30.3% 31.1% 29.0% 30.4% 30.4% 29.2% 30.6% 30.3% Cost of Service Allocation of Wholesale Energy Cost Identify Standard Service On & Off Peak kwh by Month and Allocate to Classes 40% Percent On-Peak Energy (kwh) Standard Service 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Months Fiscal Year 2012 Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014 Fiscal Year 2015 Breakeven Percent 5/15/2015 Provided by Chris Mitchell (CMMC) Contains Business Sensitive Information 19
20 Oct 2015 Wholesale Energy Rate Financial Impact Estimate of Financial Impact High Hartselle Coincident Utilities LPC Analysis of Wholesale Invoice *** Case 6 using Oct 2014 TVA Approved Wholesale Rates with FCA of 0 *** Standard Service Method Used to Determine 12 Month Financial Impact: 12 Month Rolling Energy Currently Defined kwh Proposed October 2015 Defined Demand (kwh) Date On-Peak On-Peak Off-Peak Total On-Peak On-Peak Off-Peak Difference TVA Additional Charge Total Difference from Current Fiscal Year Month KWH Percent KWH Cost KWH Percent KWH Cost Dollars % kwh Cost Cost Dollar Percent Rolling 12 Mo FY 2011 April ,385, , % 7,385, , % $ , ,241 5, % FY 2011 May ,486, , % 10,486, , % $ , ,597 7, % FY 2011 June ,245, % 9,019, ,600 3,233, % 10,031, ,332 (22,267) -4.43% $ , ,750 (12,849) -2.56% FY 2012 July ,034, % 10,296, ,892 3,073, % 11,257, ,737 (21,155) -3.98% $ , ,912 (10,979) -2.07% FY 2012 August ,694, % 9,576, ,544 3,584, % 10,686, ,123 (24,421) -4.49% $ , ,256 (14,289) -2.63% FY 2012 September ,965, % 7,321, ,590 2,247, % 8,038, ,803 (15,787) -4.13% $ , ,107 (8,483) -2.22% FY 2012 October ,277, , % 9,277, , % $ , ,117 6, % FY 2012 November ,574, , % 9,574, , % $ , ,313 6, % FY 2012 December ,157, % 9,334, ,661 2,157, % 9,334, , % $ , ,821 8, % FY 2012 January ,240, % 9,233, ,865 2,240, % 9,233, , % $ , ,012 8, % FY 2012 February ,100, % 8,219, ,617 2,100, % 8,219, , % $ , ,944 7, % FY 2012 March ,734, % 7,785, ,724 1,734, % 7,785, , % $ , ,484 6, % 9,867 FY 2012 April ,227, , % 9,227, , % $ , ,423 6, % 11,176 FY 2012 May ,456, , % 11,456, , % $ , ,858 8, % 11,864 FY 2012 June ,918, % 8,578, ,746 2,989, % 9,507, ,297 (20,450) -4.33% $ , ,170 (11,577) -2.45% 13,137 FY 2013 July ,160, % 10,145, ,844 3,167, % 11,137, ,002 (21,842) -4.10% $ , ,158 (11,685) -2.19% 12,431 FY 2013 August ,301, % 9,001, ,048 3,269, % 10,033, ,340 (22,708) -4.50% $ , ,786 (13,262) -2.63% 13,457 FY 2013 September ,005, % 7,757, ,177 2,282, % 8,481, ,254 (15,922) -4.00% $ , ,896 (8,280) -2.08% 13,660 FY 2013 October ,599, , % 9,599, , % $ , ,156 6, % 13,889 FY 2013 November ,161, , % 10,161, , % $ , ,439 7, % 14,305 FY 2013 December ,013, % 9,288, ,932 2,013, % 9,288, , % $ , ,956 8, % 14,169 FY 2013 January ,549, % 10,007, ,499 2,549, % 10,007, , % $ , ,414 8, % 14,938 FY 2013 February ,196, % 8,854, ,555 2,196, % 8,854, , % $ , ,401 7, % 15,457 FY 2013 March ,380, % 9,174, ,947 2,380, % 9,174, , % $ , ,151 8, % 16,902 FY 2013 April ,513, , % 9,513, , % $ , ,208 6, % 17,104 FY 2013 May ,574, , % 10,574, , % $ , ,587 7, % 16,478 FY 2013 June ,752, % 8,929, ,800 2,855, % 9,826, ,066 (19,734) -4.17% $ , ,070 (10,730) -2.26% 17,325 FY 2014 July ,069, % 9,024, ,460 3,098, % 9,994, ,108 (21,352) -4.33% $ , ,404 (12,055) -2.44% 16,955 FY 2014 August ,103, % 9,199, ,664 3,120, % 10,182, ,044 (21,620) -4.32% $ , ,489 (12,175) -2.43% 18,042 FY 2014 September ,512, % 8,264, ,577 2,669, % 9,106, ,048 (18,528) -4.21% $ , ,410 (10,167) -2.31% 16,156 FY 2014 October ,904, , % 9,904, , % $ , ,640 7, % 16,373 FY 2014 November ,325, , % 10,325, , % $ , ,064 7, % 16,490 FY 2014 December ,382, % 9,801, ,596 2,382, % 9,801, , % $ , ,247 8, % 17,116 FY 2014 January ,239, % 12,178, ,246 3,239, % 12,178, , % $ , ,193 10, % 19,147 FY 2014 February ,434, % 9,201, ,109 2,434, % 9,201, , % $ , ,370 8, % 19,562 FY 2014 March ,190, % 8,209, ,126 2,190, % 8,209, , % $ , ,510 7, % 18,742 FY 2014 April ,990, , % 8,990, , % $ , ,294 6, % 18,371 FY 2014 May ,558, , % 10,558, , % $ , ,035 7, % 18,360 FY 2014 June ,626, % 8,393, ,589 2,754, % 9,264, ,416 (19,173) -4.26% $ , ,950 (10,639) -2.36% 18,450 FY 2015 July ,770, ,790, ,446 2,869, % 9,690, ,631 (19,814) -4.21% $ , ,550 (10,896) -2.32% 19,609 FY 2015 August ,021, % 9,275, ,696 3,061, % 10,235, ,573 (21,123) -4.24% $ , ,014 (11,683) -2.34% 20,102 FY 2015 September ,620, % 8,133, ,284 2,749, % 9,004, ,114 (19,170) -4.33% $ , ,460 (10,824) -2.45% 19,444 FY 2015 October ,556, ,898 2,191, % 7,364, , % $ , ,682 6, % 19,197 FY 2015 November ,658, ,897 1,995, % 8,663, , % $ , ,465 7, % 19,433 FY 2015 December ,229, % 9,030, ,740 2,229, % 9,030, , % $ , ,734 7, % 18,776 FY 2015 January ,657, % 10,587, ,167 2,657, % 10,587, , % $ , ,572 9, % 17,234 Total 18,605,210 18,280,145 (325,065) -1.75% 372,165 18,652,310 47, % 5/15/2015 Provided by Chris Mitchell (CMMC) Contains Business Sensitive Information 20
21 Oct 2015 Wholesale Demand Rate Financial Impact Date: June 2011 Pre-October Structure On-Peak kwh: 4,245,144; Off-Peak kwh: 9,019,248 Cost Formula: (On-Peak kwh * On-Peak Rate) + (Off-Peak kwh * Off-Peak Rate) Cost Calculation result: $502,600 Pre-October Structure On-Peak kwh: 3,233,000; Off-Peak kwh: 10,031,392 Cost Formula: (On-Peak kwh * On-Peak Rate) + (Off-Peak kwh * Off-Peak Rate) + (All kwh * ) Cost Calculation result: reduction of ($22,267) + $9,418 = ($12,849) All non- summer months show an increase because the is applied to all kwh. The result is an increase in kwh cost for Standard Service for the FY. 21
22 Other Retail Rate Structure Topics The Residential and GSA 1 may have too wide of usage pattern to be in a class Consider developing additional classes based on Load Factor Your Residential and GSA 1 classes may not fully address demand cost for low load factor Residential and GSA 1 customers Consider having a low load factor retail rate 5/15/2015 Provided by Chris Mitchell (CMMC) Contains Business Sensitive Information 22
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