Companies Run By Shareholders For Shareholders. Lehman Brothers 2005 Fixed Income Energy Conference May 26, 2005

Transcription

1 Companies Run By Shareholders For Shareholders Lehman Brothers 2005 Fixed Income Energy Conference May 26, 2005

2 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward looking statements, including these, within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section n 21E of the Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. The future results s and securities values of Kinder Morgan Inc., Kinder Morgan Energy Partners, L.P. and Kinder Morgan Management, LLC (collectively known as Kinder Morgan ) ) may differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements contained throughout this presentation and in documents filed with the SEC. Many of the factors that will determine these results and values are beyond Kinder Morgan's ability to control or predict. These statements are necessarily based upon various assumptions involving judgments with respect to the future, including, among others, the ability to achieve synergies and revenue growth; national, international, i regional and local economic, competitive and regulatory conditions and developments; ; technological developments; capital markets conditions; inflation rates; interest est rates; the political and economic stability of oil producing nations; energy markets; weather conditions; environmental conditions; business and regulatory or legal decisions; ions; the pace of deregulation of retail natural gas and electricity and certain agricultural a products; the timing and success of business development efforts; terrorism; and other r uncertainties. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on any forward-looking statement. 2

3 Kinder Morgan System Map 2 2 Pacific Northern CALNEV TransColorado Pacific 3 KMCO2 3 KMIGT Wink Cochin Trailblazer Yates SACROC KMTP 2 NGPL KM Tejas North Cypress NGPL Plantation KINDER MORGAN HEADQUARTERS HOUSTON, TEXAS Central Florida NGPL (KMI)) NGPL GAS STORAGE (KMI) RETAIL GAS DISTRIBUTION (KMI) GAS-FIRED POWER PLANTS (KMI) PRODUCTS PIPELINES (KMP) PRODUCTS PIPELINES TERMINALS (KMP) TRANSMIX FACILITIES (KMP) NATURAL GAS PIPELINES (KMI-KMP) NATURAL GAS STORAGE (KMI-KMP) NATURAL GAS PROCESSING (KMP) CO2 PIPELINES (KMP) CO2 OIL FIELDS (KMP) CRUDE OIL PIPELINES (KMP) TERMINALS 3 (KMP)

4 Kinder Morgan: Three Securities Kinder Morgan Energy Partners Market Equity (a) $9.7 Debt (a) 4.9 Enterprise Value $14.6B Incentive Distribution Kinder Morgan, Inc. Market Equity (b) $9.6 Debt (b) 2.7 Enterprise Value $12.3B 2005E EBITDA 2005E Dist. CF $1,581mm $1,178mm 2005E EBITDA 2005E Dist. CF $1,142mm $623mm Additional Shares KMR (LLC) 56 million i-units i (a) KMP Cash Distribution (Partnership) 153 million units (a,c) KMI (Inc) 123 million shares 15 mm 41 mm 133 mm 20 mm 95 mm 28 mm KMI Public Float KMI Public Float Mgmt (a) KMEP market cap based on 153 million common units at a price of $47.35 and 56 million KMR i-units at a price of $44.19 as of May 20, Debt balance, as of March 31, 2005, excluding the fair value of interest rate swaps, net of cash. (b) KMI market cap based on 123 million shares at a price of $75.97 as of May 20, Market equity also includes $284 million of capital trust securities (TRUPS). Debt balance as of March 31, 2005, excluding fair value of interest rate swaps. (c) Includes 5.3 million Class B units owned by KMI. Class B units are unlisted KMP common units. 4

5 Consistent Track Record Total Distributions (GP + LP) ($mm) KMP Distribution / Unit (a) $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 $17 GP LP $30 $153 $198 CAGR = 60% $333 $548 $701 $827 $978 $1, E $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 $0.63 $1.13 $1.30 $2.72 $2.50 $2.20 $1.90 $1.45 CAGR = 20% $2.96 $ E KMI Earnings Per Share Debt to Total Capital (b) $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.74 $1.28 CAGR = 34% $1.96 $2.84 $3.33 $3.81 $ % 80% 60% 40% 20% KMP KMI 67% 61% 49% 46% 51% 48% 54% 52% 51% 31% 39% 46% 47% 43% 39% 39% $ E 0% E (a) (b) Declared 4Q distribution annualized (i.e. multiplied by four) Excludes loss/gains in Other Comprehensive Income related to hedges; KMI 2004 excludes cash on hand from TransColorado sale 5

6 KMP & KMI are Conservatively Capitalized ($ millions) Credit Summary Long-term Debt Rating 2005 Budget Estimates Debt / EBITDA EBITDA / Interest Exp. Net Debt / Total Cap (a) KMP Baa1/BBB+ 3.0x 6.3x 51% KMI Baa2/BBB 2.4x 7.5x 39% Total Revolver Outstanding CP Excess Capacity CP Capacity (b) KMP $1, $987 (a) Excludes loss/gain from other comprehensive income (b) At March 31, 2005 (c) Remaining in 2005 KMI $ $ Long-term Debt Maturities 2005 (b,c) KMP $5 $45 $255 $5 $250 KMI $5 $5 $5 $305 $5 6

7 KMP is Growing Equity Distribution Coverage Published Budget vs. Actual Coverage 1.1x 1.0x Budgeted Actual 1.04x 1.02x 1.00x 1.00x 1.05x 1.08x 1.06x $250 $200 Internally Generated Cash Flow Available for Reinvestment ($mm) KMR Distributions $215 Coverage $ x $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 ($mm) E Approximate $ Coverage (a) $18 Budget Actual $11 $28 $46 $39 $150 $100 $50 $0 $136 $108 $28 $ E $ E (a) Approximate coverage is the actual net income before DD&A less sustaining cap ex, divided by the cash required to pay the declared distribution to the LPs and the incentive 7 distribution to the GP.

8 The Kinder Morgan Strategy Same Strategy Since Inception Focus on stable, fee-based assets which are core to the energy infrastructure of growing markets Increase utilization of assets while controlling costs Classic fixed cost businesses with little variable costs Improve productivity to drop all top-line growth to bottom line Leverage economies of scale from incremental acquisitions and expansions Reduce needless overhead Apply best practices to core operations Maximize benefit of a unique financial structure which fits with strategy MLP avoids double taxation, increasing distributions from high cash c flow businesses Strong balance sheet allows flexibility when raising capital for acquisitions / expansions 8

9 Management Philosophy Low Cost Asset Operator Senior management limited to $200,000 per year in base salary No planes, sports tickets, etc. Attention to Detail Weekly operations and financial assessment Monthly and quarterly earnings Quarterly strategic review Disciplined Capital Allocation Consistent return hurdles Consistent assumptions Accountability Risk Management Avoid businesses with direct commodity price exposure where possible Hedge commodity price risk 9

10 Management Philosophy (continued) Transparency Cash is King Publish budget, compare to actual quarterly results on conference e calls Publish detailed information for analyst conference Get the cash! monthly accounts receivable meetings Return cash to investors; let investor make reinvestment decision Alignment of Incentives Bonus targets are tied to published budget All employees have equity-based incentives. Rich Kinder owns 20% equity stake in KMI, largest in S&P 500 energy He receives $1 per year in salary, no bonus, no options Business Unit Autonomy Experienced business unit presidents 23 years average industry experience Presidents run own businesses Corporate: capital allocation, accountability, common culture, access a to capital 10

11 Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP and KMR)

12 Solid Asset Base Generates Stable Fee Income Terminals 55% Liquids, 45% Bulk Geographic and product diversity 3-44 year average contract life CO 2 25% CO 2 transport and sales 75% oil production related Expected production hedged: 2005=100%; 2006=90%; 2007=77% KMP 2005 DCF (a) Terminals 16% CO 2 28% Product Pipelines 30% Natural Gas Pipelines 26% Products Pipelines Refinery hub to population center strategy 64% Pipelines 31% Associated Terminals (b) 5% Transmix No commodity price risk Natural Gas Pipelines 51% Texas Intrastate 49% Rockies Little incidental commodity risk (a) (b) Budgeted 2005 distributable cash flow before G&A and interest Terminals are not FERC regulated except portion of CALNEV 12

13 Long-Term Growth Drivers Business Segment Products Pipelines Natural Gas Pipelines CO 2 Growth Drivers Gasoline demand tracks demographic growth Serve 8 of 10 fastest growing metropolitan areas Price escalator = PPI Advantage to existing assets Natural gas demand growth = 1.5%/year (a) US is infrastructure constrained LNG requires new infrastructure Advantage to existing assets Production at SACROC and Yates Additional Permian Basin Opportunities Opportunities in new basins CO 2 Expertise (a) Terminals Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA) 2005 Annual Energy Outlook Increasing product specifications Changing regulations Advantage to existing assets 13

14 2005 Expansion KMP 2005 Expansion Capital Budget Business Segment Product Pipelines Natural Gas Pipelines CO 2 Terminals Total 2005 Budget ($mm) $185 $130 $238 $53 $606 East Line, Carson Dallas, Rancho, Markham, TransColorado SACROC and Yates Major Projects Pasadena, Carteret, Tampaplex 14

15 Approximately $9 Billion in Capital Invested at KMP ($ millions) $8,000 Total Invested by Type $2,000 $1,600 $1,200 $800 $400 $1,618 Total Invested by Year $1,065 $1,020 $1,893 $1,261 $6,000 Expansion $4,000 Acquisition $6,976 $873 $1,232 $2,000 $4,000 $3,000 $0 $3,191 Acquisitions $2,948 $1,986 Expansions Total Invested by Segment $ $2,000 $1,545 $1,278 $1,000 $0 Note: Investment is defined as Gross PP&E plus Investments and Intangibles, less cumulative sustaining capex, minority interest (KMI), deferred taxes and assumed liabilities Products Natural Gas CO2 Terminals 15

16 Illustrative Disciplined Investment Process and Accountability Decision Accountability Acquisition/Expansion Model EBITDA Sustaining Capital Distributable CF Purchase Price Multiple IRR (a) $60 (10) X 17% 2004 DCF Add: Acquisition/Expansion 2005 DCF Segment Budget Board Review Acquisition $ $ Results EBITDA Sust. Capital DCF $60 (10) $50 $62 (11) $51 (a) Assumes 60% equity, 40% debt 16

17 Leads to Attractive Return on Capital Return on Investment: Products Pipelines 11.9% 11.8% 12.8% 12.9% 12.6% Natural Gas Pipelines CO Terminals KMP Return on Investment (a) 12.3% 12.7% 12.6% 13.1% 13.7% KMP Return on Equity 17.4% 19.0% 21.9% 23.2% 25.2% (a) G&A is deducted in calculating KMP s return on investment, but is not allocated to the segments and therefore not deducted in calculating the segment information. See Appendix from the 2005 Analyst Conference presentation, available at for details on calculations. 17

18 Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI)

19 Solid Asset Base Generates Stable Fee Income Investment in KMP (a) General partner interest earns incentive distributions Owns 17% of total limited partner units KMI 2005 Segment Income (b) NGPL FERC regulated with 3 year average contract life Primary customers are Chicago local distribution companies Little incidental commodity risk KMP 53% NGPL 39% Retail Power Equity interest in five plants Power 1% Retail 7% Natural gas distribution service Serve Colorado, Wyoming and Nebraska 240,000 customers (a) (b) Includes: (i) general partner interest, (ii) earnings from 20 million KMP units and (iii) earnings from 15 million KMR shares. Budgeted 2005 segment earnings before G&A and interest. 19

20 Over $2.7 billion returned to investors $2,800 $2,766 $2, E (a) $565 $1,800 $1,300 $839 $778 $1,149 $2,201 $800 $343 $222 $300 $496 $556 -$200 Dividends Share Repurchase Change in Net Debt Total (a) 2005E numbers include $118 million in share repurchase from TransColorado sale. 20

21 Tremendous Historical Incremental Returns Return on Investment: Investment in KMP 11.2% 16.9% 21.4% 25.0% 29.6% NGPL Retail Power KMI Return on Investment (a,b) 10.5% 11.7% 12.4% 13.3% 14.8% KMI Return on Equity 16.6% 19.0% 18.5% 21.3% 23.2% (a) (b) G&A is deducted in calculating KMI s return on investment, but is not allocated to the segments and therefore not deducted in calculating the segment information. See Appendix from the 2005 Analyst Conference presentation, available at for details on calculations. Totals include all assets owned in given year, even if subsequently divested. 21

22 Risks Regulatory Pacific Products Pipeline FERC/CPUC case Periodic rate reviews Unexpected FERC policy changes Environmental Terrorism Interest Rates 50% of debt is floating rate Budget assumes approximately 100 bps increase in floating rates over the year The full-year impact of a 100-bp increase in rates equates to an approximate $24 million increase in expense at KMP and $15 million at KMI 22

23 Summary Stable Cash Flow Own assets core to energy infrastructure Internal Growth Opportunities Critical Mass Well-located located assets/favorable demographics Fixed Cost Business Drop growth to bottom line Unique Structure Tax Efficient Incentive Fee Management Philosophy Low-Cost Operator Focused on cash Disciplined Investment KMP/KMR: 6-7% Yield and 8-10% Long-Term Growth KMI: 3.7% Yield and 10-12% 12% Long-Term Growth 23

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