Select 30i70e Managed Portfolio. Portfolio Review First Quarter 2013
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1 Portfolio Review First Quarter 2013 Q1
2 Portfolio Managers Economic Overview Income investors in the first quarter of 2013 favoured high-yield corporate bonds, where yields declined amid robust issuance and strong demand. Although data showed signs of economic improvement, the U.S. Federal Reserve reiterated its commitment to its quantitative easing strategy until the country s unemployment rate declines to 6.5%. The Bank of Canada also kept rates on hold, based on tepid economic expansion and weaker housing prices. Canadian income trusts and real estate investment trusts were modestly positive for the period. Canadian stocks as reflected by the S&P/TSX Composite Index added 3.3% in the quarter, with health care, industrials and consumer discretionary sectors making the strongest gains. The overall advance was dampened, however, by negative results for the materials sector, as weaker commodity prices and sluggish global economic growth dragged down share prices. Meanwhile, U.S. stocks as measured by the S&P 500 Index reached a record high in the quarter, gaining 13.2% in Canadian dollar terms. U.S stocks were buoyed by better-than-expected earnings reports and stronger economic data, including firm job growth, a recovery in housing and higher GDP. Defensive sectors, such as health care, consumer staples and utilities, led the rise. Cyclical sectors including technology and materials lagged. Underlying Fund Allocations CI Income Advantage Fund 29.0% Select U.S. Equity Managed Fund 24.6% Select International Equity Managed Fund 21.2% Select Canadian Equity Managed Fund 19.9% Harbour 4.9% Cash 0.5% Top Ten Holdings Microsoft Corp. 0.9% Toronto-Dominion Bank 0.7% Suncor Energy Inc. 0.7% Schlumberger NV 0.6% Roche 0.6% U.S. Treasury Note 1.625% 15Nov22 0.5% Bank of Nova Scotia 0.5% Empire Co. 0.5% Atco Ltd. 0.5% Boeing Corp. 0.5% Overseas equity markets posted mainly positive returns in the quarter. In Europe, gains were moderate. The 10 billion bailout of the Cypriot banking system penalized bond and large deposit holders, shook markets and dampened returns for financial stocks across the region. Markets in South Korea and Singapore were also positive, but results were negative in China and Hong Kong as investors remained wary of weaker growth in the region and the impact of expected economic reforms in China. Japan had the strongest global stock market returns, benefiting from strong monetary and fiscal stimulus aimed at raising inflation and weakening the yen to boost exports. 26 Portfolio Select Series
3 Portfolio Performance (Class A) 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Since Inception (November 2006) 0.7% 6.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.2% 3.1% N/A 1.7% Asset Allocation Overview and Activity Different types of investments will respond differently to the markets, reinforcing the importance of a multi-level diversification strategy. A balanced asset mix ensures that investors are not dependent on any one asset class or security type to provide returns. CI Investment Consulting combines its portfolio construction expertise with ongoing comprehensive research and recommendations from State Street Global Advisors, a world leader in asset allocation, to create portfolios designed to capture evolving opportunities in the various asset classes. This report is designed to provide you with an up-to-date portfolio overview of the, including the allocations across asset class, geographic region, equity sector and market capitalization. The arrows indicate whether the allocation for each category has increased or decreased since the previous quarter-end. Asset Class Geographic Regions 27.0% 20.0% 16.2% 11.3% 7.3% 6.6% 6.3% 3.9% 1.4% U.S. equity Canadian equity Cash European equity Asian equity Canadian bond Foreign bond Emerging markets equity Other equity 30.6% 26.6% 23.1% 4.4% 4.3% 3.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.7% 1.6% U.S. Canada Cash & Others Emerging markets Japan United Kingdom Switzerland Germany France Australia Equity Market Cap Equity Industry Sector 80.7% 16.2% 3.1% Large cap Mid-cap Small cap 24.0% 12.9% 10.9% 10.7% 9.9% 9.4% 8.6% 6.6% 3.6% 3.2% 0.2% Financial services Energy Information technology Industrials Consumer staples Consumer discretionary Health care Materials Utilities Telecommunications Other Portfolio Select Series 27
4 Portfolio Commentary The portfolio rose 6.7% during the quarter, significantly outperforming its benchmark (30% DEX Universe Bond Index, 28% S&P/TSX Composite Index, 21% MSCI World Index C$ and 21% MSCI World Index local currency), which rose 5.4%. Performance was driven mainly by overweight allocations to foreign equity markets and strong performance from the Canadian equity managers. The income portion of the portfolio also added value, benefitting from allocations to high-yield bonds, the U.S. dollar and high-dividend stocks. During the quarter, U.S. equities continued to strengthen, handily outperforming Canadian stocks, which were held back by weakness in the resource sectors. International equity markets were boosted by strength in Japan, Australia and some European countries, notably Switzerland. Emerging markets delivered limited gains, in contrast to a strong High-yield and investment-grade corporate bonds continued to perform well, benefiting from capital appreciation and higher coupons. The U.S. dollar strengthened against the Canadian dollar due to improving economic fundamentals south of the border. In the income portion, our overweight allocation to dividend-paying equities was the largest contributor to performance, particularly from our positions in real estate and infrastructure securities. Canadian government bond holdings had the weakest performance, but our significant underweight allocation to this asset class added to relative performance. Within the income section, we are continuing to favour corporate bonds, global bonds and currencies, while maintaining underweight allocations to Canadian government bonds. Having a diversified and flexible framework allows us to take advantage of changes in valuations in the market and continue providing steady income returns with low volatility. We expect to achieve modest growth and inflation protection through our allocation to high-quality dividend-paying equities. The equity portion of the portfolio made a significant contribution to performance, as all three equity funds performed well. Select U.S. Equity Managed Fund made the largest contribution in the equity category. The sector allocation of the portfolio s overall equity portion is more diversified than that of the Canadian economy and the S&P/TSX Composite Index, which has over 75% of its value concentrated in three sectors: energy, materials and financials. We continue to focus on company fundamentals and valuations to add value and avoid undue concentration in any one sector. From a regional perspective, the equity portion continued to have an overweight allocation to the U.S. and an underweight position in Canada, with a neutral position in international equities. U.S. equities are supported by a diverse economy, with large exposure to global markets and strong representation in all major industrial sectors, making it an attractive asset class on a risk-adjusted basis. Select Canadian Equity Managed Fund is positioned quite differently from its benchmark, the S&P/TSX Composite Index. The fund has underweight allocations to the resources and financials sectors, and overweight positions in other areas such as information technology, consumer staples and consumer discretionary positioning that we believe enhances risk-adjusted return potential. The fund outperformed due to strong stock selection in resources and financials and an underweight exposure to gold producers. The portions of the fund managed by QV Investors and Cambridge Global Asset Management were the largest contributors on an absolute basis. Select U.S. Equity Managed Fund outperformed benchmark, due to added value from currency management. The underlying managers, as a group, performed in line with the benchmark, benefiting from strong stock selection in industrials and materials, which was offset by a cash allocation and stock selection in health care. The fund favours areas of the market that are tied to economic growth, while underweighting defensive sectors. 28 Portfolio Select Series
5 Select International Equity Fund produced a strong return but slightly underperformed the MSCI EAFE Index, as stock selection in consumer discretionary offset gains in financials. In terms of sector allocation, the fund had overweight positions in information technology and energy, a significant cash position and underweight allocations to materials, industrials and utilities. Geographically, the international fund had overweight positions in emerging markets, mainly in Asia and Latin America, and underweight allocations to Australia, France, the U.K. and the peripheral European countries. Our allocation to emerging markets detracted value due to muted performance following a strong calendar Our long-term outlook remains favourable for these countries, particularly China, where we expect to see businesses continuing to benefit from rising personal wealth and domestic consumption. Historically, emerging market equities have offered higher returns with additional volatility. While we expect this tradeoff to continue, we believe the long-term rewards justify the risks. Alfred Lam, CFA, Vice-President and Portfolio Manager Yoonjai Shin, CFA, Director Marchello Holditch, Senior Analyst Lewis Harkes, CFA, Senior Analyst Andrew Ashworth, Analyst Portfolio Select Series 29
6 Portfolio Select Series Portfolio Management Team Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC follows a fundamental value approach in which the team seeks out high-quality undervalued companies worldwide. Founded by John Hock and associates, Altrinsic is based in Greenwich, Connecticut, and manages over US$13 billion in assets. Cambridge Global Asset Management manages over $6 billion in assets and is led by Chief Investment Officer Alan Radlo and Portfolio Managers Robert Swanson and Brandon Snow. Combined, they have over 65 years of investment experience and have managed a number of multi-billion-dollar mutual fund portfolios. Cambridge Global Asset Management is a division of CI Investments and has offices in Boston and Toronto. Epoch Investment Partners, Inc. is a New York-based investment management firm founded by Wall Street veteran William Priest and associates. Epoch uses a unique value-based approach that focuses on companies with superior shareholder yield. It manages over US$24 billion. Harbour Advisors, a division of CI Investments, is led by Portfolio Managers Gerry Coleman and Stephen Jenkins. Harbour s approach entails buying high-quality businesses at a sensible price, and following a patient, long-term outlook. Mr. Coleman s expertise has been recognized by his selection as Fund Manager of the Year in 2008 and Harbour manages about $14 billion. QV Investors Inc. is a Calgary-based, employee-owned portfolio management firm that serves individual and institutional investors. QV follows a value-based approach in which it seeks companies with better returns and lower valuations than those of the market. The firm is led by Chief Investment Officer Leigh Pullen and manages $4 billion in assets. Signature Global Advisors advantage is its approach in which asset class and sector specialists combine their research to develop a comprehensive picture of a company and its securities. The team of 32 investment professionals is led by Chief Investment Officer Eric Bushell, who was named Morningstar Fund Manager of the Decade in Signature manages over $40 billion. Picton Mahoney Asset Management is a portfolio management firm led by David Picton and Michael Mahoney. The use of quantitative analysis is the foundation of their approach. Picton Mahoney maintains a disciplined focus on fundamental change, coupled with strong risk controls and portfolio construction techniques. The firm manages about $7 billion. Tetrem Capital Management is an employee-owned investment management firm founded by Chief Investment Officer Daniel Bubis. It is based in Winnipeg and has an office in Boston. Tetrem uses a disciplined investment approach to invest in undervalued Canadian and U.S. companies. The firm manages about $5 billion.
7 For more information on Portfolio Select Series, please contact your CI Sales Representative or visit All commentaries are published by CI Investments Inc., the manager of all the funds described herein. They are provided as a general source of information and should not be considered personal investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Every effort has been made to ensure that the material contained in the commentaries is accurate at the time of publication. However, CI Investments Inc. cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness and accepts no responsibility for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the information contained herein. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Unless otherwise indicated and except for returns for periods less than one year, the indicated rates of return are the historical annual compounded total returns including changes in security value. All performance data assume reinvestment of all distributions or dividends and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any securityholder that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Mutual fund securities are not covered by the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation or by any other government deposit insurer and there can be no assurances that the CI Money Market Funds will maintain its net asset value per security at a constant amount or that the full amount of your investment in these funds will be returned to you. CI Investments, the CI Investments design, Synergy Mutual Funds, Harbour Advisors, Harbour Funds, Cambridge and American Managers are registered trademarks of CI Investments Inc. Portfolio Select Series, Portfolio Series, Signature Funds, Signature Global Advisors and Cambridge Global Asset Management are trademarks of CI Investments Inc. Cambridge Global Asset Management is the business name of CI Global Holdings Inc.Certain portfolio managers of Cambridge Global Asset Management are registered with CI Investments Inc. First published January Queen Street East, Twentieth Floor, Toronto, Ontario M5C 3G7 I Head Office / Toronto Calgary Montreal Vancouver Client Services English: French: FSC FPO _E (04/13)
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