ABACUS DFM MODEL PORTFOLIOS
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- Maude Wells
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1 ABACUS DFM MODEL PORTFOLIOS Q4 2018
2 ABACUS DFM MODEL PORTFOLIOS QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE CONTENTS MODEL PORTFOLIOS 1 THE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT REVOLUTION 2 SIGNIFICANCE OF CURRENCY HEDGING 4 INVESTING IN THE ACUMEN STRATEGY 6 ABACUS LOW - DFM 8 ABACUS LOW PLUS - DFM 10 ABACUS MEDIUM MINUS - DFM 12 ABACUS MEDIUM - DFM 14 ABACUS MEDIUM PLUS - DFM 16 ABACUS HIGH - DFM 18 ABACUS LOW PLUS INCOME - DFM 20 ABACUS INCOME - DFM 22 MANAGER COMMENTARY 24 CHARGES 24 GLOSSARY OF TERMS 25
3 MODEL PORTFOLIOS ABACUS DFM MODEL PORTFOLIOS The Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are risk progressive and designed to cater for the varying risk appetite of different investors. Each Abacus DFM Model Portfolio provides investors with multi-asset global coverage with wide diversification across equity, bond, commodity, and property markets. The Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are actively managed and comprise of a blended allocation to Tavistock Wealth s ACUMEN Portfolio range. ABOUT TAVISTOCK WEALTH Tavistock Wealth manages over 1bn of assets in the UK and overseas. We aim to provide private clients with access to institutional quality portfolio management at a retail price. Our model portfolios provide individual investors with the benefit of collective buying power to ensure that the charges they incur for model portfolio management, platform fees and dealing are amongst the lowest in the industry. Tavistock Wealth is a subsidiary of Tavistock Investments Plc, the UK wide financial services group. Currently, Tavistock has over financial advisers helping 50,000+ private clients look after more than 3.5bn of investments. TAVISTOCK GROUP STRUCTURE The Group has separate investment management and advisory businesses. Tavistock Wealth delivers institutional quality portfolio management at a retail price, providing individuals with the benefit of collective buying power to ensure their portfolio management, platform and dealing charges are amongst the lowest in the industry. Our advisory businesses provide compliance, administration and accounting services to the independent financial advisers (Tavistock Partners) and to financial advice firms (The Tavistock Partnership). Tavistock Private Client is a multi-award winning practice that provides independent financial advice and investment management services to higher net worth private clients. INVESTMENT TEAM Christopher Peel is the Chief Investment Officer of Tavistock Wealth and carries direct responsibility for all discretionary investments at the firm. Together with John Leiper, Head of Portfolio Management, and the portfolio management team, they co-manage the risk progressive range of ACUMEN Portfolios (UCITS funds) and the Tavistock PROFILES (model portfolios). Christopher is an economics graduate with more than 30 years experience in financial markets, managing both multi-asset traditional and alternative funds, having held senior management positions at both Citibank and Salomon Brothers.
4 THE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT REVOLUTION INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY We believe that an actively managed, globally allocated, multi-asset portfolio, comprised of low-cost Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), with diversified holdings in equity, bond, commodity and property markets, is statistically more likely to outperform a traditional active manager s portfolio almost all of the time. Much research has demonstrated that only a small minority of traditional active fund managers beat their respective indices over any significant period. Two causes are higher management fees, and the considerable dealing costs required to actively trade hundreds, or sometimes thousands, of individual equity, bond, commodity or property positions. However, the biggest challenge to overcome is the statistical phenomenon of positive skewness. This is the fact that over the last 90 years, the majority of the returns made by an index have been generated by only a small proportion of the stocks in that index. In other words, while a few stocks beat the wider index, the majority usually underperform, so most managers own mainly losing stocks. PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION We believe the best risk adjusted returns can be derived from actively managing a basket of index or tracker holdings, including smart beta products that combine active optimisation techniques with systematic core strategies. Research, monitoring and analysis is carried out by our investment team on a daily, weekly and monthly basis, with the objective of continually improving the effectiveness of every ACUMEN Portfolio. The ACUMEN Portfolios form the building blocks for the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios. Multiple layers of diversification within and between asset classes are designed to mitigate risk. Each regional asset class is optimised separately into a sub-portfolio, and then aggregated into a multiasset portfolio that targets a level of risk consistent with the investment objectives of each ACUMEN Portfolio. Each ACUMEN Portfolio is typically diversified across approximately 50+ ETFs, 8 primary asset classes, 98 countries and over 18,500 underlying positions. In another break with tradition, over 85% of the holdings within each ACUMEN Portfolio are hedged back to the investing currency, be that the pound sterling, the euro or the US dollar.
5 BACKWARD INDUCTION Each ACUMEN Portfolio is optimised using Tavistock s Backward Induction process at a regional asset class, asset class and portfolio level. On average, twenty-two separate optimisations are required to finalise each portfolio of holdings. The process analyses both historical and five-year rolling forecasted data for asset class returns and volatility. The output of this analysis is an ACUMEN Portfolio with the following structure: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS The end portfolio is a blend of the analyses run over the backward and forward-looking time frames. The same set of portfolio constraints and investment guidelines are also given to the quantitative analysis team at ishares (BlackRock) and they separately run a multi-step optimisation utilising their proprietary risk system, known as Aladdin. This vital element of our investment process independently validates the work done internally and helps distil any further improvement. The investment team manages risk using IT systems such as Thomson Reuters Eikon, Lipper for Investment Management, Datastream and AlternativeSoft. The portfolios are actively managed, monitored daily and typically rebalanced on a quarterly basis. DIVERSIFICATION Every portfolio is constructed with these advanced, quantitative, fund management techniques and has exposure to the equity and debt securities of thousands of companies internationally. In our view, the resulting ACUMEN Portfolios are amongst the most diversified multi-asset portfolios in the world.
6 THE SIGNIFICANCE OF CURRENCY HEDGING WHEN ARE CLIENTS SUBJECTED TO CURRENCY RISK? Whenever they are invested in a globally diversified portfolio Whenever they own assets denominated in a currency other than GBP WHAT IS THE RISK TO THE PORTFOLIO? Returns are driven from the currency markets, not from the asset allocation Strategy upon which portfolio is marketed can be made redundant Volatility of portfolio becomes misaligned with client s ATR profile WHAT IS THE RISK TO THE CLIENT? They are subjected to the movements in currency markets when they are not expecting it May subsequently see themselves losing money when expecting to make gains (or vice versa) They are subjected to unexpected levels of volatility May be experiencing Risk Profile 8 volatility when recommended a Risk Profile 5 portfolio WHAT IS THE RISK TO THE ADVISER? By not mentioning currency risk when recommending a global portfolio: Risk of poor advice regarding the driver of a client s returns Risk of poor advice regarding the volatility a client is exposed to Risk of complaints in relation to both of the above No defence for insufficiently explaining the risks at the outset No defence for failing to match a portfolio to a client s needs No defence for not monitoring the ongoing volatility of a portfolio
7 ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE: THE PAST DECADE (FINANCIAL MARKETS +10% P.A. & GBP/USD -10% P.A.) 20% CLIENT S PERFORMANCE BOOSTED VIA CURRENCY EXPOSURE WHEN THEY OWN OVERSEAS ASSETS YOUR CLIENT RETURN YOUR CLIENT RETURN 15% POTENTIAL ANNUAL BOOST YOUR CLIENT RETURN YOUR CLIENT RETURN 10% MARKET RETURN YOUR CLIENT RETURN 5% 0% A potential return of 10% p.a. GREATER than the market OVER THE PAST DECADE ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE: THE NEXT DECADE (FINANCIAL MARKETS +10% P.A. & GBP/USD +10% P.A.) 10% 7.5% CLIENT S PERFORMANCE SUFFERS VIA CURRENCY EXPOSURE IF THEY OWN OVERSEAS ASSETS vs MARKET RETURN YOUR CLIENT RETURN EVERY YEAR! YOUR CLIENT RETURN EVERY YEAR! 5% POTENTIAL ANNUAL SHORTFALL YOUR CLIENT RETURN EVERY YEAR! 2.5% YOUR CLIENT RETURN 0% A potential return of 10% p.a. LESS than the ma rket OVER THE NEXT DECADE EVERY YEAR! YOUR CLIENT RETURN
8 INVESTING IN THE ACUMEN STRATEGY Baskets of ETFs constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using Market leading range of ETFs Mitigation of foreign exchange risk through currency hedging: Ensuring asset allocation is the driver of returns (rather than currency moves) Strategy that remains % fully invested providing clients with the opportunity to: Outperform traditional active managers who must time the market consistently Managed to the European regulatory gold standard - UCITS Compliant: Investment safeguards continually protecting client holdings Run to specific volatility targets: Volatility bands that match the attitude to risk profiles of individual clients ACUMEN Portfolios are built to target a given level of risk. In order to remain within the defined volatility bands, the ACUMEN Portfolios must hedge their overseas currency exposure back to sterling. If overseas exposure is not hedged the currency markets will impact the returns of the portfolio, and more importantly, the level of volatility the portfolio takes. The defined volatility bands are the output of the asset classes contained within the intended strategy (equities, bonds, commodities and property). As the currency markets are not part of the intended strategy, they should not impact the returns nor the volatility of the portfolio, as this is not what the client has signed up for. Currency markets are amongst the most volatile asset classes in our industry. As such, portfolios that do not hedge their overseas exposure run the risk of becoming misaligned with their stated volatility parameters and therefore misaligned with the client s attitude to risk/capacity for loss. CURRENCY HEDGED CURRENCY NOT HEDGED 0% DFM FEE As the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios fully invest across our range of ACUMEN Portfolios, we are able to offer clients all of the benefits of a Discretionary Fund Management (DFM) service for a 0% DFM Fee.
9 ACUMEN PORTFOLIO RISK vs RETURN Abacus DFM Model Portfolios RISK vs RETURN
10 Abacus Low (3) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus Low - DFM is to deliver long term capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments including equities, bonds, commodities and property. RISK PROFILE Abacus Low - DFM is typically comprised of lower and medium risk investments such as cash, bonds and property as well as a few higher risk investments such as equities and commodities. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 3.1% to 4.5% and has a blended allocation to the range of ACUMEN Portfolios. INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds Emerging Market Bonds Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash REGION ALLOCATION North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin 2.0% 1.0% 3.0% 28.5% 4.5% 2.5% 13.0% 16.5% 11.0% 3.5% 5.5% 9.0% 14.0% 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly 28.0% 58.0% Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
11 Abacus Low - DFM * Risk free is 3M Libor 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) Abacus Low - DFM Performance IA Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares 6.89% 5.53% 91.46% 68.94% 62.39% 66.67% 6.01% 4.34% % -4.38% year 3 year 5 year -0.84% 18.67% 28.23% Abacus Low - DFM IA Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares Market Composite Benchmark Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares $ Floating Rate Bond ishares $ Short Duration High Yield Corporate Bond ishares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility ishares Global High Yield Corporate Bond ishares Global Inflation Linked Govt Bond Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 30.5% of the portfolio
12 Abacus Low Plus (4) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus Low Plus - DFM is to deliver long term capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments including equities, bonds, commodities and property. RISK PROFILE Abacus Low Plus - DFM is typically comprised of lower and medium risk investments such as cash, bonds and property as well as a few higher risk investments such as equities and commodities. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 4.6% to 6.0% and has a blended allocation to the range of ACUMEN Portfolios. INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds Emerging Market Bonds Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash REGION ALLOCATION North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin 3.0% 1.0% 3.5% 3.0% 14.0% 13.5% 11.0% 36.5% 5.5% 5.5% 9.5% 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly 8.0% 3.0% 58.5% 24.5% Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
13 Abacus Low Plus - DFM * Risk free is 3M Libor 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) Abacus Low Plus - DFM Performance IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares 7.37% 6.88%.06% 91.28% 62.39% 65.81% 6.36% 6.16% % -6.96% year 3 year 5 year -0.07% 21.03% 31.18% Abacus Low Plus - DFM IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares Market Composite Benchmark Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares $ Floating Rate Bond ishares $ Short Duration High Yield Corporate Bond ishares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility ishares Global Inflation Linked Govt Bond MS SciBeta HFE US Equity 6F EW Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 29.5% of the portfolio
14 Abacus Medium Minus (5) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus Medium Minus - DFM is to deliver long term capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments including equities, bonds, commodities and property. RISK PROFILE Abacus Medium Minus - DFM is typically comprised of lower and medium risk investments such as cash, bonds and property as well as higher risk investments such as equities and commodities. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 6.1% to 7.5% and has a blended allocation to the range of ACUMEN Portfolios. INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds Emerging Market Bonds Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash REGION ALLOCATION North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin 3.5% 1.5% 4.0% 3.5% 14.0% 12.5% 9.0% 42.5% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly 59.0% 23.0% 6.5% 3.0% Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
15 Abacus Medium Minus - DFM * Risk free is 3M Libor 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) Abacus Medium Minus - DFM Performance IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares 7.97% 6.88% % 91.28% 65.81% 65.81% 7.05% 6.16% % -6.96% year 3 year 5 year 1.20% 23.60% 33.57% 225 Abacus Medium Minus - DFM IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares Market Composite Benchmark 225 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares $ Floating Rate Bond ishares $ Short Duration High Yield Corporate Bond ishares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility ishares Global Inflation Linked Govt Bond MS SciBeta HFE US Equity 6F EW Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 27.0% of the portfolio
16 Abacus Medium (6) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus Medium - DFM is to deliver long term capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments including equities, bonds, commodities and property. RISK PROFILE Abacus Medium - DFM is typically comprised of higher risk investments such as equities and commodities but will also contain a few lower and medium risk investments such as cash, bonds and property. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 7.6% to 9.0% and has a blended allocation to the range of ACUMEN Portfolios. INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds Emerging Market Bonds Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash REGION ALLOCATION North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin 4.0% 4.5% 8.5% 1.5% 6.0% 3.5% 14.0% 12.0% 5.5% 4.5% 52.5% 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly 18.0% 59.0% 4.0% 2.5% Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
17 Abacus Medium - DFM * Risk free is 3M Libor 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) Abacus Medium - DFM Performance IA Mixed Investment 40-85% Shares 8.79% 8.69% %.37% 68.38% 62.39% 8.00% 8.54% % % year 3 year 5 year 2.54% 26.% 37.12% Abacus Medium - DFM IA Mixed Investment 40-85% Shares Market Composite Benchmark Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares $ Floating Rate Bond ishares Edge MSCI Europe Multifactor ishares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility ishares Global Inflation Linked Govt Bond MS SciBeta HFE US Equity 6F EW Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 24.0% of the portfolio
18 Abacus Medium Plus (7) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus Medium Plus - DFM is to deliver long term capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments including equities, bonds, commodities and property. RISK PROFILE Abacus Medium Plus - DFM is typically comprised of higher risk investments such as equities and commodities but will also contain a few lower and medium risk investments such as cash, bonds and property. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 9.1% to 10.5% and has a blended allocation to the range of ACUMEN Portfolios. INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds Emerging Market Bonds Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash REGION ALLOCATION North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin 1.5% 5.0% 4.5% 3.5% 13.5% 11.5% 7.5% 7.5% 4.0% 3.0% 62.5% 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly 11.5% 3.0% 60.0% 1.5% Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
19 Abacus Medium Plus - DFM 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Abacus Medium Plus - DFM IA Flexible Investment Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) * Risk free is 3M Libor Performance 9.73% 8.84% % % 69.23% 63.25% 9.06% 9.22% % % year 3 year 5 year 4.20% 30.01% 41.28% Abacus Medium Plus - DFM IA Flexible Investment Market Composite Benchmark Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares Diversified Commodity Swap ishares Edge MSCI Europe Multifactor ishares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility ishares S&P Small Cap 600 MS SciBeta HFE US Equity 6F EW Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 31.0% of the portfolio
20 Abacus High (8) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus High - DFM is to deliver long term capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments including equities, bonds, commodities and property. RISK PROFILE Abacus High - DFM is typically comprised of higher risk investments such as equities and commodities but will also contain a few medium risk investments such as bonds and property. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 10.6% to 12.0% and has a blended allocation to the range of ACUMEN Portfolios. ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds 4.0% Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds Emerging Market Bonds Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash 1.5% 6.0% REGION ALLOCATION 2.0% 6.0% 6.5% 71.0% 2.0% 1.0% INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World 3.5% 3.0% 8.5% 13.0% 10.5% 61.5% MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
21 Abacus High - DFM 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Abacus High - DFM IA Flexible Investment Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) * Risk free is 3M Libor Performance 10.62% 8.84% % % 66.67% 63.25% 9.88% 9.22% % % year 3 year 5 year 5.16% 33.30% 44.28% Abacus High - DFM IA Flexible Investment Market Composite Benchmark Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares Diversified Commodity Swap ishares Edge MSCI Europe Multifactor ishares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility ishares S&P Small Cap 600 MS SciBeta HFE US Equity 6F EW Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 36.5% of the portfolio
22 Abacus Low Plus Income (4) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus Low Plus Income - DFM is to deliver approximately 3% income with the potential for capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments. RISK PROFILE Abacus Low Plus Income - DFM is typically comprised of lower and medium risk investments such as cash, bonds and property as well as a few higher risk investments such as equities and commodities. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 4.6% to 6.0% and has a blended allocation to the range of ACUMEN Portfolios. ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds Emerging Market Bonds Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash 3.0% 6.0% REGION ALLOCATION 10.0% 37.5% 6.5% 30.0% 4.5% 2.5% INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World 2.0% 9.0% 5.5% 16.0% 17.0% 50.5% MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
23 Abacus Low Plus Income - DFM * Risk free is 3M Libor 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) Abacus Low Plus Income - DFM Performance IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares 6.92% 6.88% 91.96% 91.28% 60.68% 65.81% 6.67% 6.16% % -6.96% year 3 year 5 year -0.51% 20.85% 25.09% 225 Abacus Low Plus Income - DFM IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares Market Composite Benchmark 225 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares $ Short Duration High Yield Corp Bond ishares Euro Dividend ishares Global Corporate Bond ishares MSCI USA Dividend IQ Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 34.5% of the portfolio Income Target 3.00% Rolling 1 Year Income Payment 2.56%
24 Abacus Income (5) - DFM INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Abacus Income - DFM is to deliver approximately 4% income per annum, with the potential for capital growth by investing in a range of global financial markets. The portfolio is actively managed and comprised of multi-asset investments. ASSET ALLOCATION Government Bonds 7.5% Corporate Bonds Inflation-Linked Bonds 3.5% Emerging Market Bonds 10.0% 0.5% 29.0% RISK PROFILE Abacus Income - DFM is typically comprised of lower and medium risk investments such as cash, bonds and property as well as higher risk investments such as equities and commodities. The portfolio targets annualised volatility in the range of 7.1% to 9.0%. Developed Market Equities Emerging Market Equities Commodity Equities Property Equities Cash 45.0% 4.5% REGION ALLOCATION INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Asset allocation, rather than stock selection, is the key driver of risk and returns and the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios are structured accordingly, in line with the Investment Association s Sector guidelines. Each portfolio is comprised of holdings in the risk progressive ACUMEN Portfolios, which invest in highly diversified baskets of ETFs providing cost effective and tax efficient exposure to global markets. The ACUMEN Portfolios are constructed and optimised by Tavistock primarily using North America United Kingdom Europe ex UK Asia ex Japan Japan Rest of World 1.5% 7.5% 18.0% 10.0% 14.5% 48.5% MODEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS: Industry Leading Risk Management Access to BlackRock s proprietary risk management software - ALADDIN Analysing $17tn across 33,000 portfolios every minute The ACUMEN Portfolios are optimised periodically through Aladdin Hedged Currency Exposure Overseas portfolio exposure hedged back to GBP No unwanted or unexpected risks within the portfolio Ensuring portfolio will remain aligned with specific volatility target 24/7 Monitoring of Portfolio A team of investment professionals will monitor the portfolio 24/7 Any potential impact of financial markets can be assessed in real-time Improvements to portfolios can be identified quickly Active Management Tavistock Wealth can make changes to the portfolio as required Enables us to react to markets quickly on your behalf Affording you additional protection during times of market volatility
25 Abacus Income - DFM 31st December 8-30th September 2018 Abacus Income - DFM IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares Annualised Return Cumulative Return Positive Months Standard Deviation/Annual Sharpe Ratio * Max Drawdown Return Max Drawdown Duration (Months) * Risk free is 3M Libor Performance 7.57% 6.88% % 91.28% 63.25% 65.81% 7.47% 6.16% % -6.96% year 3 year 5 year 0.47% 24.66% 27.62% 225 Abacus Income - DFM IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares Market Composite Benchmark 225 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Date of data: 30th September Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management. TOP 5 ETF HOLDINGS ishares $ Short Duration High Yield Corp Bond ishares Euro Dividend ishares Global Corporate Bond ishares MSCI USA Dividend IQ Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield Top 5 ETF holdings comprise 46.5% of the portfolio Income Target 3.50% % Rolling 1 Year Income Payment 3.58%
26 MANAGER COMMENTARY - SEPTEMBER 2018 Japanese equities rose towards a 27 year high in September, with the Nikkei 225 equity index up 5.5%. Following his successful re-election on 20th September, Shinzo Abe looks set to become Japan s longest serving Prime Minister. His economic reforms know as Abenomics are starting to bear fruit, with improved corporate profit margins and rising bond yields. In the US, the S&P 500 reached a record high, shrugging off the latest round of tariffs between the US and China. The US economy grew 4.2% in the second quarter, prompting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25bps. An additional rate hike in December is widely expected and we forecast three further quarter point hikes in The 10-year treasury yield rose 20bps to 3.06% and credit spreads tightened marginally during the period. The Brexit negotiations are entering a critical phase. Theresa May took a defiant stance towards EU leaders following the heads of state summit in Salzburg, claiming a lack of good will from the negotiating team in Brussels. UK economic data continues to hold up well and inflation rose in August to 2.7%, highlighting the underlying strength of the economy. Sterling finished the period up 0.5%, at 1.30 against the US dollar. The Dollar Index ended the month unchanged and emerging market currencies stabilised after a volatile August. In commodities, the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodities Index rose 3.93%, driven higher by the energy sector. Brent oil rose 6.85% to $82.72 per barrel. Gold fell -0.% to $1, per ounce. This month we made a number of changes to our equity and fixed income allocations. In equities, we cut our exposure to Eastern Europe and European financials and initiated a new position in commodity equities. We purchased an ETF that tracks shares in gold producing companies, which are currently trading at attractive valuations. In fixed income, we reduced exposure further to emerging market local currency debt as part of a broader risk reduction programme. CHARGES ABACUS DFM MODEL PORTFOLIO CHARGES TAVISTOCK PROFILE CHARGES PORTFOLIO OCF TRANSACTIONAL On-Going COSTS Charges PORTFOLIO AMC Abacus Low - DFM 1.13% 0.05% 1.18% Abacus Low Plus - DFM 1.17% 0.05% 1.22% Abacus Medium Minus - DFM 1.16% 0.03% 1.19% Abacus Medium - DFM 1.17% 0.03% 1.20% Abacus Medium Plus - DFM 1.18% 0.02% 1.20% Abacus High - DFM 1.19% 0.02% 1.21% Abacus Low Plus Income - DFM 1.14% 0.06% 1.20% Abacus Income - DFM 1.19% 0.06% 1.25%
27 ANNUALISED RETURN The annualised return of the portfolio since inception GLOSSARY OF TERMS CUMULATIVE RETURN Total amount a portfolio has gained or lost over a given time period POSITIVE MONTHS Number of months a portfolio has made a positive return; expressed as a percentage STANDARD DEVIATION/ANNUAL Variance in the returns of a portfolio. The more spread apart from the mean, the higher the deviation and higher the volatility SHARPE RATIO The risk-adjusted return of a portfolio. A measure of how much money a portfolio can make per unit of risk taken MAX DRAWDOWN RETURN Represents the worst possible return since inception E.g. Buying at the maximum price over the period and selling at the worst MAX DRAWDOWN DURATION The length of time (in months) from the beginning of the drawdown to the time when the new peak is attained
28 REVOLUTIONARY THINKING Speak with your Financial Adviser or contact us on The value of investments held in the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios may fall as well as rise. Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance. Abacus Associates Financial Services is a trading style of Tavistock Partners (UK) Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Tavistock Partners (UK) Limited and Tavistock Wealth Limited are wholly owned subsidiaries of Tavistock Investments Plc. Abacus Associates Financial Services, 2nd Floor Office Suite, Kemble House, Broad Street, Hereford, HR4 9AR T: +44 (0) info@abacusadvisers.co.uk THIS DOCUMENT IS ISSUED BY TAVISTOCK WEALTH LIMITED AND IS FOR USE BY FINANCIAL ADVISERS ONLY. IT SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON BY A RETAIL CLIENT. This document does not constitute an offer to subscribe or invest in the Abacus DFM Model Portfolios nor buy or sell shares in the ACUMEN Portfolios. The ACUMEN Portfolios are sub-funds of the ACUMEN OEIC. The Prospectus is the only authorised document for offering shares in the ACUMEN Portfolios and investors are required to read the Key Investor Information Document (KIID) before investing. Documentation is available free of charge at or by calling Tavistock Wealth Limited does not provide investment advice. This document may not be reproduced, disclosed or distributed without the prior written permission of Tavistock Wealth Limited. ishares and BlackRock are registered trademarks of BlackRock, Inc. and its affiliates ( BlackRock ) and are used under license. Further, BlackRock, Inc. and its affiliates including, but not limited to, BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, are not affiliated with Tavistock Wealth Limited and its affiliates. Accordingly, BlackRock makes no representations or warranties regarding the advisability of investing in any product or service offered by Tavistock Wealth Limited or any of its affiliates. BlackRock has no obligation or liability in connection with the operation, marketing, trading or sale of any product or service offered by Tavistock Wealth Limited or any of its affiliates. The rolling 1 year dividend yield is quoted as of 30th September 2018 (applicable to income share class only). The portfolio returns are quoted net of fees and all performance data prior to 1st October 2014 is proforma data. Source of data: Tavistock Wealth Limited, Thomson Reuters and Lipper for Investment Management unless otherwise stated. Date of data: 30th September 2018 unless otherwise stated.
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