8 Sample Business Cycle Charts from Thechartstore.com
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1 8 Sample Business Cycle Charts from Thechartstore.com Business Cycles Business Cycle Peaks 1. Dow Jones Industrial Average - 12 months before and after since Moody's Aaa Bonds - 12 months before and after since 1920 Business Cycle Troughs 3. Dow Jones Industrial Average - 12 months before and after since Moody's Aaa Bonds - 12 months before and after since 1921 Business Cycles (trough to trough) 5. Dow Jones Industrial Average - Monthly from Dow Jones Industrial Average (Inflation Adjusted) - Monthly from 1945 Federal Reserve Eases 7. Dow Jones Industrial Average - 12 months before and after since 1921 Federal Reserve Tightenings 8. Dow Jones Industrial Average - 12 months before and after since 1917 The information contained in this publication has been gathered from sources believed to be reliable, but Thechartstore.com makes no representations as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. This publication is further subject to the terms of the disclaimer and limitations of liability contained on the last page of this report. Copyright 2004 by Thechartstore.com
2 1 Peak Month = 1 August 1929 Business Cycle Peak 8/31/28 10/31/28 12/31/28 2/28/29 4/30/29 6/30/29 8/31/29 10/31/29 12/31/29 2/28/30 4/30/30 6/30/30 8/31/30 Peak Month =
3 4.85% 4.% 4.75% 4.% Moody's Aaa Bonds Monthly Average 4.85% 4.% 4.75% 4.% 4.65% 4.% 4.55% 4.% 4.45% 4.65% August 1929 Business Cycle Peak 8/31/28 10/31/28 12/31/28 2/28/29 4/30/29 6/30/29 8/31/29 10/31/29 12/31/29 2/28/30 4/30/30 6/30/30 8/31/30 4.% 4.55% 4.% 4.45% Moody's Aaa Bonds Monthly Average
4 Trough Month = March 1933 Business Cycle Trough 3/31/32 5/31/32 7/31/32 9/30/32 11/30/32 1/31/33 3/31/33 5/31/33 7/31/33 9/30/33 11/30/33 1/31/34 3/31/ Trough Month =
5 5.% 5.25% 5.00% Moody's Aaa Bonds Monthly Average 5.% 5.25% 5.00% 4.75% 4.% 4.25% 4.00% 4.75% March 1933 Business Cycle Trough 3/31/32 5/31/32 7/31/32 9/30/32 11/30/32 1/31/33 3/31/33 5/31/33 7/31/33 9/30/33 11/30/33 1/31/34 3/31/34 4.% 4.25% 4.00% Moody's Aaa Bonds Monthly Average
6 1 1 Cycle Trough Month = Business Cycle (trough to trough) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average February 1961 to November 19 Expansion months Contraction - 11 months 2/28/61 8/31/61 2/28/62 8/31/62 2/28/63 8/31/63 2/29/64 8/31/64 2/28/65 8/31/65 2/28/66 8/31/66 2/28/67 8/31/67 2/29/68 8/31/68 2/28/69 8/31/69 2/28/ 8/31/ Copyright 2004 Thechartstore.com 40 Cycle Trough Month =
7 1 Inflation Adjusted Beginning Cycle Trough Month = 1 Business Cycle (trough to trough) and the Inflation Adjusted Dow Jones Industrial Average February 1961 to November 19 Expansion months Contraction - 11 months 2/28/61 8/31/61 2/28/62 8/31/62 2/28/63 8/31/63 2/29/64 8/31/64 2/28/65 8/31/65 2/28/66 8/31/66 2/28/67 8/31/67 2/29/68 8/31/68 2/28/69 8/31/69 2/28/ 8/31/ Copyright 2004 Thechartstore.com 40 Inflation Adjusted Beginning Cycle Trough Month =
8 115 Month of Ease = Discount Rate - August 19 (Change from prior year level crosses 0% going negative) 8/31/59 10/31/59 12/31/59 2/29/ 4/30/ 6/30/ 8/31/ 10/31/ 12/31/ 2/28/61 4/30/61 6/30/61 8/31/ Month of Ease =
9 Month of Tightening = Discount Rate - January 1973 (Change from prior year level crosses 0% going positive) 1/31/72 3/31/72 5/31/72 7/31/72 9/30/72 11/30/72 1/31/73 3/31/73 5/31/73 7/31/73 9/30/73 11/30/73 1/31/ Month of Tightening =
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