Investor Meeting December 6, 2017 CMS MODEL: CONSISTENT PAST WITH A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE

Transcription

1 Investor Meeting December 6, 2017 CMS MODEL: CONSISTENT PAST WITH A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE

2 This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains forward-looking statements as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements should be considered in the context of the risk and other factors detailed from time to time in CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Forward-looking statements should be read in conjunction with FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION and RISK FACTORS sections of CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 and as updated in subsequent 10-Qs. CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION and RISK FACTORS sections are incorporated herein by reference and discuss important factors that could cause CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s results to differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. CMS Energy and Consumers Energy undertake no obligation to update any of the information presented herein to reflect facts, events or circumstances after the date hereof. The presentation also includes non-gaap measures when describing CMS Energy s results of operations and financial performance. A reconciliation of each of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is included in the appendix and posted on our website at CMS Energy provides historical financial results on both a reported (GAAP) and adjusted (non-gaap) basis and provides forward-looking guidance on an adjusted basis. During an oral presentation, references to earnings are on an adjusted basis. Adjustments could include items such as discontinued operations, asset sales, impairments, restructuring costs, regulatory items from prior years, or other items. Management views adjusted earnings as a key measure of the company s present operating financial performance and uses adjusted earnings for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, the company uses adjusted earnings to measure and assess performance. Because the company is not able to estimate the impact of specific line items that have the potential to significantly impact, favorably or unfavorably, the company's reported earnings in future periods, the company is not providing reported earnings guidance nor is it providing a reconciliation for the comparable future period earnings. The adjusted earnings should be considered supplemental information to assist in understanding our business results, rather than as a substitute for the reported earnings. References to earnings guidance refer to such guidance as provided by the company on October 26, Similarly, management views adjusted operating and maintenance (O&M) expenses as an important measure of operating efficiency. This measure excludes expenses related to energy efficiency because they have no impact on net income, as well as certain historical amounts that reduce comparability to the current period. Other adjustments could include restructuring costs and regulatory items from prior years. Because the company is not able to estimate the impact of specific line items that have the potential to significantly impact reported maintenance and other operating expenses, the company is not providing a reconciliation for the comparable future period expenses. Adjusted weather-normalized earnings are provided to show the impact of deviations from normal weather. Investors and others should note that CMS Energy routinely posts important information on its website and considers the Investor Relations section, a channel of distribution. 1

3 a EPS Results and Guidance... First Nine Months 2017 at $1.66: PROFIT up 8% from 2016 weather-normalized 2017 Full-Year guidance raised: to $ $2.18, up 6% to 8% 2018 Full-Year guidance introduced: at $ $2.33, up 6% to 8% Future long-term annual growth: at 6% to 8% _ a Adjusted EPS (non-gaap) Results and Guidance... raised! 2

4 Clean and Lean... Big Build Excess supply Old Utility Model Supply Excess supply Retirement Expected Demand Big Build Excess supply O&M Fuel Actual Demand Big Bets PLANET Modular Clean And Lean Modular EE & DR Fully utilize assets Supply O&M Fuel Modular Demand Lower Risk Results in excess capacity, higher cost Matches supply with demand... matches supply with demand in a modular way. 3

5 Renewables... PLANET Wind New Tariff Solar Cross Winds II Expected COD: Jan MW Cross Winds III Expected COD: Jan MW Large industrial program Purchase 20% to 100% of energy use Fully bundled service 3 to 20 year contracts with competitive fixed prices Solar Gardens Residential rooftop solar program MPSC evaluating net metering... building a clean future for our state. 4

6 Reducing Coal Intensity... Coal Energy a PLANET Renewable Energy a 49% b Shut down coal Demand from customers c 22% Meets RPS 15% d 10% b 15% 3% Future Future _ a CMS Energy b Includes Classic 7, includes PPA contracts c _ Excludes Classic 7, includes PPA contracts d Based on ten-year plan with opportunities _ a Consumers Energy b Includes Classic 7, includes PPA contracts... AND adding more clean renewables. 5

7 CMS Energy Coal Reduction Pre - Classic 7 Post - Classic 7 PLANET Gwh % Coal Gwh % Coal Gwh % Coal Coal 10,245 8,851 6,181 Other 12,417 12,417 15,207 Future Opportunities Wind, Filer City, & Potential Coal Shutdown Total 22,662 45% 21,268 42% 21,388 29% PPAs* 19,495 (21) 19,495 (20) 19,495 (14) Total 42,157 24% 40,763 22% 40,883 15% * PPAs uniquely large - - built by CMS AND controlled (most of the energy) by CMS. 6

8 Long-Term Regulatory Planning... Second Half Energy Law Customer Benefits Transparency 11/21: Capacity charge set at 115% of CONE Q2: File long-term generation plan (IRP) Gas Safety 7/31: Final order; $29 MM; ROE 10.1% +$18 tracker 2018 $47 MM 10/31: Filed new case, $178 MM 1/1: Gas investment tracker $18 MM By 8/31: Final order Electric Reliability 10/1: Self-impl.; $130 MM 3/1: File 5-yr electric dist. plan By 3/30: Final order... provides significant customer value and investment certainty. 7

9 Customer Investment... Capex $ (Bn) Gas Electric Total Plan Opportunities Plan With Ops $25 Electric Distribution $18 billion Supply Gas Infrastructure & Maintenance... driven by a large and aging system. 8

10 Electric Supply Investments... Electric Dist. Supply $4 Bn Gas Infra. & Maint. Renewables in Plan Current Supply PPAs Clean & Lean Opportunities Palisades expires 2022 MCV expires 2025 In the Plan Renewables (15% RPS) $1 Bn Owned Average age of coal plants >50 years; potential future shutdowns Maintenance & upgrades $3 Bn $3 - $4 Bn Opportunity... reflect our Clean & Lean strategy. 9

11 Electric Distribution Investment Opportunities... LVD System Electric Dist. $6 Bn Supply Gas Infra. & Maint. Substations $4 Bn $1 Bn $200,000 to rebuild one mile ~5,000 per year in plan $3,500 per pole replacement $1 MM avg per upgrade ($7 - $8 MM to replace) HVD System $1 Bn ~33% are past 60 year life $13,000 per pole replacement $330,000 to rebuild one mile... are substantial, prioritized, and modular in nature. 10

12 Age of Electric Distribution... Electric Dist. $6 Bn Gas Infra. & Maint. Replacements needed to renew our system Supply 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile Consumers Energy Source: FERC Form 1, remaining book value divided by original cost... requires substantial investment to improve reliability. 11

13 Electric System Investment... Electric Dist. $6 Bn Gas Infra. & Maint. Supply $4 Bn Supply $4 Bn HVD System $1 Bn LVD System $4 Bn Substations $1 Bn... consists of needed and modular projects. 12

14 Gas System Investment... Electric Dist. Supply Gas Infra. & Maint. $8 Bn Compression and Storage $1 Bn #1 Underground storage #5 Transmission miles Transmission $4 Bn #5 Distribution miles U.S. LDC Rank, Source: DOT Distribution $3 Bn... up 40% from the last 10 years. 13

15 Gas Transmission... Electric Dist. Supply Gas Infra. & Maint. $8 Bn Projects in Plan Saginaw Trail (2800) 94 miles, 24 $636 MM Mid-Michigan (100A) 54 miles, 36 $385 MM 1,670 miles of transmission pipelines South Oakland (3100) PIC TURE 22 miles... significant investment over time. 14

16 Gas Distribution... Electric Dist. Supply Gas Infra. & Maint. $8 Bn Main Replacement Started in year program $75 MM capex per year Benefits Customer safety Reduced leaks Lower future O&M Service Line Replacement 185,000 replacements needed Only 2% complete 20,000 per year at $3,500 each... replacement work underway, long runway left to go. 15

17 Zeeland Cross Winds Big 5 Palisades Generation Strategy: New Supply Sources... Levelized cost of new build ( /kwh) New Build Consumers Energy Sources Combined Cycle Gas Plant Wind Coal Gas price= $3.00 $4.50 $6.00 w/ tax w/o tax w/ emission credit credit controls 6 6 Back -up Back -up 7 Nuclear Residential Solar Today Future $3.00 per $2.00 per watt watt... combined cycle gas and wind are the most attractive new source of supply

18 Cost Reduction Strategy... Capital-Enabled Gas Replacements Pole-top Hardening Clean & Lean Technology-Enabled Structural/ Process Changes Smart Grid Mobility CE Way Digital Customer Benefits Safety Reliability Better Service Affordable Bills Retirements PPAs... largely funds customer investments. 17

19 a O&M Reduction Track Record... Actual Cost Reduction Peer Average ~4½% (Peers 2016 over 2006) Consumers -3% a year New Annual Cost Savings Good Business Decisions Three-Year Avg (MM) (MM) Attrition $ - 16 $ - 16 Productivity (Coal Gas) Enhanced capitalization Smart Meters Consumers Energy Way Work Management & Eliminate Waste Increases Mortality, Disc. Rates, & Other Service Upgr./Inflation Net savings $ - 35 $ Source: SNL, Form 1, Electric Non-fuel O&M _ a Consumers non-gaap Percent savings > 3% a year! 2% a year!... offers credibility for future savings. 18

20 Platforms For Customer Satisfaction Digital Customer Experience Field Mobility Smart Grid 19

21 Moments that Matter MOVING BILLING & PAYMENT OUTAGES Average of 60K moves per month Over 2.6M payments per month 4.3M outage-related page views in

22 Operational Excellence & Customer Satisfaction Performance since 2015 Cost Reduction Example Average Speed of Answer (ASA) has improved by 72% First Contact Resolution (FCR) has improved by 11% Live Call Reductions (MM) 5.5 Translates to $2.5 MM in Savings! 3.5 Combined Alert Enrollments have surpassed the 1MM mark a 2,700% improvement! YE Forecast 21

23 Our Entire Cost Structure... Cost Components Above Market Costs 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Fuel and Power Costs O&M Operating Costs Taxes Capital Investments PPA Fuel ~70% _ Source: FERC Form 1, 2016 & 2011 O&M Reductions in Rates $659 Down $166 MM or 7% annually Down $87 MM or 3% annually PPA Fuel $572 10% 0% _ a Case U _ b Case U Cost of Capital a provides opportunities to lower costs and create headroom. b 22

24 Economic Development is... a Our Service Territory Outperforms Building Permits b Grand Rapids MI. U.S. +355% +197% +110% Electric Gas Combination New Load 6% of Sales ~2,000 Gwh GDP Near-Term Pipeline 2017 Population ½ Unemployment (9/17) _ a Grand Rapids b Annualized numbers September 2010 September robust and helps drive our model. 23

25 GAAP Reconciliation

26 CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings By Quarter and Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited) (In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) Q 2Q 3Q 4Q YTD Dec Net Income Available to Common Stockholders Reported - GAAP $164 $124 $186 $77 $551 Pretax items: Electric and gas utility * 11 Tax impact - - (4) (*) (4) Enterprises * * * 1 1 Tax impact (*) (*) (*) (*) (*) Corporate interest and other * * Tax impact (*) (*) (1) (2) (3) Discontinued operations (income) loss * * (*) (*) * Adjusted net income - non-gaap $164 $124 $194 $81 $563 Average shares outstanding, diluted Reported earnings per share - GAAP $0.59 $0.45 $0.67 $0.28 $1.98 Pretax items: Electric and gas utility * 0.04 Tax impact - - (0.01) (*) (0.01) Enterprises * * * * * Corporate interest and other * * * Tax impact (*) (*) (*) (0.01) (0.01) Discontinued operations (income) loss * * (*) (*) * Adjusted earnings per share - non-gaap $0.59 $0.45 $0.70 $0.29 $2.02 (In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) Q 2Q 3Q Net Income Available to Common Stockholders Reported - GAAP $199 $92 $172 Pretax items: Electric and gas utility Enterprises * * 1 Tax impact (*) (*) (*) Corporate interest and other 1 1 * Tax impact (*) (1) (*) Discontinued operations loss * * * Adjusted net income - non-gaap $200 $92 $173 Average shares outstanding, diluted Reported earnings per share - GAAP $0.71 $0.33 $0.61 Pretax items: Electric and gas utility Enterprises * * * Corporate interest and other * * 0.01 Tax impact (*) (*) (*) Discontinued operations loss * * * Adjusted earnings per share - non-gaap $0.71 $0.33 $0.62 Note: Year-to-date (YTD) EPS may not equal sum of quarters due to share count differences. * Represents net (after-tax) impact of less than $500 thousand or $0.01 per share (unless segment is specifically referenced by tax impacts). 25

27 CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Summary of Consolidated Earnings Reconciliations of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income (In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) Third Quarter Nine Months (Unaudited) (Unaudited) Net Income Available to Common Stockholders $ 172 $ 186 $ 463 $ 474 Reconciling Items: Discontinued Operations (Income) Loss * (*) * * Voluntary Separation Program Tax Impact - (4) - (4) Restructuring Costs and Other Tax Impact (*) (1) (1) (1) Adjusted Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis $ 173 $ 194 $ 465 $ 482 Non-Normal Weather Impacts 10 (48) 82 (9) Tax Impact (4) 18 (32) 3 Adjusted Weather-Normalized Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis $ 179 $ 164 $ 515 $ 476 Average Number of Common Shares Outstanding Basic Diluted Basic Earnings Per Average Common Share Net Income Per Share as Reported $ 0.61 $ 0.67 $ 1.65 $ 1.71 Reconciling Items: Discontinued Operations (Income) Loss * (*) * * Voluntary Separation Program Tax Impact - (0.01) - (0.01) Restructuring Costs and Other 0.01 * 0.01 * Tax Impact (*) (*) (*) (*) Adjusted Net Income Per Share - Non-GAAP Basis $ 0.62 $ 0.70 $ 1.66 $ 1.74 Non-Normal Weather Impacts 0.03 (0.17) 0.29 (0.03) Tax Impact (0.01) 0.07 (0.11) 0.01 Adjusted Weather-Normalized Net Income Per Share - Non-GAAP Basis $ 0.64 $ 0.60 $ 1.84 $ 1.72 Diluted Earnings Per Average Common Share Net Income Per Share as Reported $ 0.61 $ 0.67 $ 1.65 $ 1.70 Reconciling Items: Discontinued Operations (Income) Loss * (*) * * Voluntary Separation Program Tax Impact - (0.01) - (0.01) Restructuring Costs and Other 0.01 * 0.01 * Tax Impact (*) (*) (*) (*) Adjusted Net Income Per Share - Non-GAAP Basis $ 0.62 $ 0.70 $ 1.66 $ 1.73 Non-Normal Weather Impacts 0.03 (0.17) 0.29 (0.03) Tax Impact (0.01) 0.07 (0.11) 0.01 Adjusted Weather-Normalized Net Income Per Share - Non-GAAP Basis $ 0.64 $ 0.60 $ 1.84 $ 1.71 Note: Management views adjusted (non-generally Accepted Accounting Principles) earnings as a key measure of the Company's present operating financial performance and uses adjusted earnings for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, the Company uses adjusted earnings to measure and assess performance. Adjustments could include items such as discontinued operations, asset sales, impairments, restructuring costs, regulatory items from prior years, or other items detailed in these summary financial statements. Adjusted earnings should be considered supplemental information to assist in understanding our business results, rather than as a substitute for reported earnings. Adjusted weather-normalized earnings are provided to show the impact of deviations from normal weather. * Less than $500 thousand or $0.01 per share. 26

28 CONSUMERS ENERGY Reconciliation of Cost Reductions (mils) (mils) CAGR Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses (GAAP) $ (1,179) $ (1,090) -0.8% Less: Gas & Energy Efficiency -2.7% Other 0.5% Total Adjustments -2.2% Cost Reductions (3% a year) -3.0% CONSUMERS ENERGY Reconciliation of O&M Costs (Annual decrease %) (mils) (mils) CAGR Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses (GAAP) $ (1,174) $ (1,090) -2.4% Less: Restructuring Costs & Other -1.1% O&M Costs (Annual Decrease %) -3.5% 27

29 CONSUMERS ENERGY Reconciliation of Distribution Cost per Customer 2016 Cost Per Customer Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses (GAAP)- mils $ (1,090) Electric Customers (mils) 1.80 Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses per Customer $ (604) Less: Gas & maintenance & other operating expenses not associated with Distribution $ 501 Other 7 Total Adjustments $ "Distribution O&M" Cost per Customer $ (96) CONSUMERS ENERGY Reconciliation of O&M Costs per Customer 2016 Cost Per Customer Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses (GAAP)- mils $ (1,090) Electric Customers (mils) 1.80 Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses per Customer $ (604) Less: Other including energy efficiency & gas maintenance & other operating expenses $ "Total O&M" Cost per Customer $ (329) 28

30 CONSUMERS ENERGY Reconciliation of Annual O&M Spend 2016 (mils) Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses (GAAP) $ (1,090) Less: Energy Efficiency & Other $ 142 O&M Spend $ (948) Rounded $ (950) 29