Chart Collection for Morning Briefing

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1 Chart Collection for Morning Briefing April 3, 212 Dr. Edward Yardeni Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

2 Figure 1. SPANISH CREDIT INSTITUTIONS * EXPOSURE TO SPANISH SOVEREIGN DEBT (billion euros) Latest data as of February Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun * Excludes the Spanish Central Bank (Banca de Espana) holdings. Source: TesoroPublico. Figure 2. ECB LENDING TO SPANISH BANKS* (billion euros) Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun * Sum total of Main Refinancing Operations (MROs) and Longer-term Refinancing Operations (LTROs), which includes 3-year auctions done in December, 211 and February, 212. Source: Banco de Espana. Page 1 / April 3, 212 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

3 26 24 Figure 3. EUROPEAN BANKS EXPOSURE TO SPAIN (billion dollars) Latest data as of Q Q2-211 Q Q Austria Belgium Switzerland Source: Bank for International Settlements. Germany France United Kingdom Ireland Italy Portugal Figure 4. EUROPEAN BANKS EXPOSURE TO ITALY (billion dollars) Latest data as of Q Q2-211 Q Q Austria Belgium Switzerland Source: Bank for International Settlements Germany Spain 31. France United Kingdom Ireland Netherlands 34.4 Page 2 / April 3, 212 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

4 - S&P 5 Sectors Stock Price Indexes - Figure 5. CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY* INDUSTRIALS * Ratio scale CONSUMER STAPLES INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY ENERGY MATERIALS FINANCIALS TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES HEALTH CARE UTILITIES day moving average Source: Haver Analytics and Standard & Poor s Corporation. Page 3 / April 3, 212 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

5 5 45 Figure 6. S&P 5 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION x Consumer Discretionary Index /12 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* 4/19/12 x15 x * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. 45 Figure 7. S&P 5 CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION 45 Consumer Staples Index /12 Blue Angels implied price index* 4/19/12 x18 x15 x * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 4 / April 3, 212 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

6 Figure 8. S&P 5 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY RETAILING INDUSTRY GROUP INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION Consumer Discretionary Retailing Index /12 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* 4/19/12 x18 x x * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S Figure 9. REAL GDP (trillion 5 dollars, saar) Page 5 / April 3, 212 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

7 9 8 Figure 1. GDP: RESIDENTIAL vs. NONRESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT (billion 5 dollars, saar) Private Residential Investment Nonresidential Investment: Structures Figure 11. GDP: GOVERNMENT SPENDING (billion 5 dollars, saar) Federal State & Local Page 6 / April 3, 212 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

8 Figure 12. REAL GDP: THE BOOM-BUST SECTORS (trillion 5 dollars, saar) Residential Investment + Nonresidential Investment in Structures + Federal, State, & Local Spending Figure 13. REAL GDP vs. THE BOOM-BUST SECTORS (trillion 5 dollars, saar) Real GDP Real GDP Excluding Residential Investment + Nonresidential Investment in Structures + Federal, State, & Local Spending Page 7 / April 3, 212 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

9 Copyright (c) 212. All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. The views and the other information provided are subject to change without notice. This report and the others posted on www. are issued without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific recipient and are not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future results. Company fundamentals and earnings may be mentioned occasionally, but should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold the company s stock. Predictions, forecasts, estimates for any and all markets should not be construed as recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security--including mutual funds, futures contracts, and exchange traded funds, or any similar instruments. The text, images, and other materials contained or displayed on any Yardeni Research, Inc. product, service, report, or website are proprietary to and constitute valuable intellectual property. No material from any part of www. may be downloaded, transmitted, broadcast, transferred, assigned, reproduced or in any other way used or otherwise disseminated in any form to any person or entity, without the explicit written consent of All unauthorized reproduction or other use of material from shall be deemed willful infringement(s) of this copyright and other proprietary and intellectual property rights, including but not limited to, rights of privacy. expressly reserves all rights in connection with its intellectual property, including without limitation the right to block the transfer of its products and services and/or to track usage thereof, through electronic tracking technology, and all other lawful means, now known or hereafter devised. reserves the right, without further notice, to pursue to the fullest extent allowed by the law any and all criminal and civil remedies for the violation of its rights. The recipient should check any and any attachments for the presence of viruses. accepts no liability for any damage caused by any virus transmitted by this company s s or website. Additional information available on request.

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