S E I Z E T H E M O M E N T S E C U R I N G T H E F U T U R E

Transcription

1 S E I Z E T H E M O M E N T S E C U R I N G T H E F U T U R E January 31, 214 Fourth-Quarter 213 Earnings Jim Gallogly, Chief Executive Officer Karyn Ovelmen, Chief Financial Officer Sergey Vasnetsov, SVP - Strategic Planning and Transactions Doug Pike, VP - Investor Relations

2 Cautionary Statement The statements in this presentation relating to matters that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions of management which are believed to be reasonable at the time made and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially based on factors including, but not limited to, the business cyclicality of the chemical, polymers and refining industries; the availability, cost and price volatility of raw materials and utilities, particularly the cost of oil, natural gas, and associated natural gas liquids; competitive product and pricing pressures; labor conditions; our ability to attract and retain key personnel; operating interruptions (including leaks, explosions, fires, weather-related incidents, mechanical failure, unscheduled downtime, supplier disruptions, labor shortages, strikes, work stoppages or other labor difficulties, transportation interruptions, spills and releases and other environmental risks); the supply/demand balances for our and our joint ventures products, and the related effects of industry production capacities and operating rates; our ability to achieve expected cost savings and other synergies; legal and environmental proceedings; tax rulings, consequences or proceedings; technological developments, and our ability to develop new products and process technologies; potential governmental regulatory actions; political unrest and terrorist acts; risks and uncertainties posed by international operations, including foreign currency fluctuations; and our ability to comply with debt covenants and service our debt. Additional factors that could cause results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in the Risk Factors section of our Form 1-K for the year ended December 31, 212, which can be found at www. on the Investor Relations page and on the Securities and Exchange Commission s website at The illustrative results or returns of growth projects are not in any way intended to be, nor should they be taken as, indicators or guarantees of performance. The assumptions on which they are based are not projections and do not necessarily represent the Company s expectations and future performance. You should not rely on illustrated results or returns or these assumptions as being indicative of our future results or returns. This presentation contains time sensitive information that is accurate only as of the date hereof. Information contained in this presentation is unaudited and is subject to change. We undertake no obligation to update the information presented herein except as required by law. 2

3 Information Related to Financial Measures We have included EBITDA in this presentation, which is a non-gaap measure, as we believe that EBITDA is a measure commonly used by investors. However, EBITDA, as presented herein, may not be comparable to a similarly titled measure reported by other companies due to differences in the way the measure is calculated. We calculate EBITDA as income from continuing operations plus interest expense (net), provision for (benefit from) income taxes, and depreciation & amortization. EBITDA should not be considered an alternative to profit or operating profit for any period as an indicator of our performance, or as an alternative to operating cash flows as a measure of our liquidity. See Table 9 of our accompanying earnings release for reconciliations of EBITDA to net income. While we also believe that free cash flow (FCF) is a measure commonly used by investors, free cash flow, as presented herein, may not be comparable to a similarly titled measure reported by other companies due to differences in the way the measure is calculated. For purposes of this presentation, free cash flow means net cash provided by operating activities minus capital expenditures. 3

4 Highlights ($ in millions, except per share data) FY 213 FY 212 FY 211 EBITDA (1) $6,311 $5,88 $5,469 Income from Continuing Operations $3,86 $2,858 $2,472 Diluted Earnings ($ / share) from Continuing Operations $6.76 $4.96 $4.32 FY 213 EPS Growth ~ 36% vs. 212 and 56% vs. 211 $2, EBITDA (1) $4, Income from Continuing Operations 1,5 3, 1, 2, 5 1, 1Q'12 2Q'12 3Q'12 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q' (1) EBITDA includes a pre-tax lower of cost or market inventory valuation adjustment of $71 million in the third quarter 212 which reversed a charge in the second quarter of 212, due to a recovery in market prices. 4

5 Health, Safety and Environmental Performance Safety - Injuries per 2, Hours Worked (1) Indexed Environmental Incidents Indexed Process Incidents.6 1% 1%.45 75% 75%.3 5% 5%.15 25% 25% % % ) Includes employees and contractors. 5

6 213 Accomplishments Overall Finance Operations Record earnings 45% total stock return vs. 32% for S&P 5 (1) Maintained top decile HSE performance Normalized fixed costs managed flat since 29 Growth projects on schedule Generated $4.8 billion cash from operations Repurchased 27.4 million shares for $1.95 billion and paid $1.1 billion in dividends Increased quarterly interim dividend by 5% to $.6 per share Issued long-term bonds in an aggregate principal amount of $1.5 billion with an average interest rate of 4.6 percent Received $23 million equity income from JVs Increased NGL cracking to account for ~ 9% of North American ethylene production Our U.S. ethylene operating rate near 1% and above U.S. industry average Increased feedstock flexibility at our European olefin crackers Butadiene expansion and Methanol restart complete and online Construction underway on two of our ethylene expansion projects Canadian crude sourcing 1% to 15% of processed crude Segment EBITDA 211 EBITDA 212 EBITDA 213 EBITDA Change Change, % Olefins & Polyolefins - Americas $2,137 $2,968 $3,573 $65 2% Olefins & Polyolefins - EAI % Intermediates & Derivatives 1,41 1,621 1,492 (129) -8% Refining (299) -62% Technology % Total $5,469 $5,88 $6,311 $53 9% Record financial results, continued advancement made across the company 1) Total stock return based on CapIQ dividend adjusted beginning and closing prices for 212 and

7 Key Volumes and Margins: Ethylene Volumes Polyethylene Volumes Polypropylene Volumes billion lbs billion lbs billion lbs billion lbs 15 I&D Chemical Volumes (1) HRO Crude Oil Rates MBPD (*) US EU Indexed Ethylene Cash Margins (2) Indexed Polyethylene Spreads (3) Indexed Polypropylene Spreads (3) % % % MTBE Raw Material Margin (Cents/gal) ($/bbl) Maya Spreads US EU US EU US EU 1) I&D volumes exclude oxyfuels 2) EU ethylene cash margins normalized to 21 US margins. 21 indexed margin is equal to 1% 3) Polyethylene and Polypropylene spreads indexed to 21; 21 indexed margins are equal to 1% * 213 average crude processing rate excluding the impact from Q1 13 turnaround

8 Fourth Quarter 213 and FY 213 Segment EBITDA Q4 13 EBITDA $1,543 million Q4 13 Operating Income $1,264 million $1 $3,75 Fourth Quarter 213 EBITDA FY 213 EBITDA $6,311 million FY 213 Operating Income $5,12 million FY 213 EBITDA 8 3, 6 2,25 4 1, Olefins & Polyolefins - Americas Olefins & Polyolefins - EAI Intermediates & Derivatives Refining Technology Olefins & Polyolefins - Americas Olefins & Polyolefins - EAI Intermediates & Derivatives Refining Technology 8

9 Cash Flow FY 213 May 21 December 213 $1, $2, 8, 16, 6, 12, 4, $3,76 8, $8,384 $4,45 2, $2,732 4, $4,45 $2,711 (1) Jan 213 Beginning Cash Balance CF from Operations excl. Working Capital Working(2) (3) Capex Dividends & Net Debt Other Dec 213 (1) Capital Share Borrowings Ending Cash Cha nges Repurchases Balance (1) May 21 Beginning Cash Balance CF from Operations excl. Working Capital (2) Working (3) Capex Dividends & Net Debt Other (1) Dec 213 Capital Share Repayment Ending Cash Cha nges Repurchases Balance ~ $8.4 billion in dividends and share repurchases since inception 1) Beginning and ending cash balances include cash and cash equivalents; 2) Includes accounts receivable, inventories, and accounts payable; 3) Includes capital and maintenance turnaround spending. 9

10 Key Financial Statistics (Indexed to 28) 1% Indexed Cash Fixed Cost (1) $1,6 Capital Expenditures 75% 1,2 5% 8 25% 4 $6, Free Cash Flow (2) $15, Base Growth Cash Deployment 4,5 11,25 1,949 3, 7,5 6,435 1,5 3,75 3, Capex Free Cash Flow Source of Cash Use of Cash Cash from Ops Capex Dividends Share Repurchases 1) Cash fixed costs include costs related to compensation, travel, insurance, third party services, maintenance, marketing, selling, and administration; 2) Free Cash Flow = net cash provided by operating activities capex 1

11 Olefins & Polyolefins - Americas Highlights and Business Drivers - 4Q 13 $ (cents / lb) 6 EBITDA Performance vs. 3Q 13 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 Ethylene Chain Margins (1) U.S. Olefins Margins and volumes relatively unchanged Inventory build ahead of La Porte turnaround Metathesis unit running Polyethylene Price up ~ 2 /lb Volumes up ~ 2% Polypropylene (includes Catalloy) Spread flat Volumes down ~ 4% (cents / lb) 6. (2) Polypropylene Margins (1) EBITDA Margin Volume (2) 4Q 12 3Q 13 4Q 13 Jan 14 Ethane Margin Naphtha Margin HDPE Margin Ethylene/HDPE Chain. 4Q'12 3Q'13 4Q'13 Jan'14 1) Source: quarterly average industry data from third party consultants; 2) The direction of the arrows reflects our underlying business metrics. 11

12 Olefins & Polyolefins - Europe, Asia, International Highlights and Business Drivers - 4Q 13 $ EBITDA Performance vs. 3Q 13 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 EU Olefins Margin compression higher naphtha and LPG prices Operating rate ~ 85% Polyethylene Spread down ~ 1 /lb Volumes down ~ 4% Polypropylene (includes Catalloy) Spread flat Volumes down ~ 5% JV equity income (2) EBITDA Margin Volume (cents / lb) 5 European Ethylene Chain Margins (1) (cents / lb) 2 European Polypropylene Margins (1) 35 2 (2) 5 (4) (1) 4Q'12 3Q'13 4Q'13 Jan'14 (6) 4Q'12 3Q'13 4Q'13 Jan'14 HDPE Margin Naphtha Margin Ethylene/HDPE Chain 1) Source: quarterly average data from third party consultants; 2) The direction of the arrows reflects our underlying business metrics. 12

13 Intermediates & Derivatives Highlights and Business Drivers - 4Q 13 $ EBITDA Propylene Oxide and Derivatives Higher deicer sales Intermediates Lower styrene margins Methanol restart Performance vs. 3Q 13 Oxyfuels Seasonal volume and margin decline (2) EBITDA Margin Volume 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 45 P-Glycol Raw Material Margins (per Chemdata) (1) (cents / lb) EU MTBE Raw Material Margins (per Platts) (1) (cents / gallon) Q12 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 E 4Q'12 3Q'13 4Q'13 Jan'14 1) Data represents quarterly average; 2) The direction of the arrows reflects our underlying business metrics. 13

14 Refining Highlights and Business Drivers - 4Q 13 EBITDA Performance vs. 3Q 13 (2) $ Houston Refinery Crude throughput: 239 MBPD Maya 2-1-1: $24.32 bbl RINs cost down $24 million EBITDA Margin Volume 8 4 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 ($ / bbl) 3 Refining Spreads (per Platts) (1) (MBPD) 3 Refining Throughput Capacity = 268 MBPD Q'12 3Q'13 4Q'13 Jan'14 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 Lt-Hvy Lt-Gasoline Lt-ULSD 1) Light Louisiana Sweet (LLS) is the referenced light crude. Data represents quarterly average; 2) The direction of the arrows reflects our underlying business metrics. 14

15 Projects Annual Potential Values & Completion Timeline Annual Potential Value (1) ($ Million/ yr) $1,2 Q4 1, 8 Q1 6 Completed Q2 4 2 Q4 Q1 Q2 BD Expansion Methanol Restart PE Debottleneck La Porte Expansion Channelview Expansion Corpus Christi Expansion ) Annual potential values are based on LTM September 213 industry benchmark margins. 15

16 Fourth-Quarter Summary and Outlook Fourth-Quarter Summary Near-Term Outlook Continued strength in O&P Americas results Building inventory in preparation for La Porte turnaround Business declines driven by seasonal impacts such as Lower European polyolefin volumes Lower oxyfuels margins and volumes U.S. NGL advantage continues La Porte turnaround and expansion scheduled to begin in late Q1 214, estimate ~ 8 days January Maya crack spread ~ $28 per barrel Growth projects remain on schedule Polyethylene expansion project target completion in 1Q 214 Improved refining results Methanol project completion and restart of operations Increased interim dividend by 2% to $.6 per share 16