Williams Analytics LLC. Fair Value Report. Bronze Edition. April 27, May 1, 2015
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1 Fair Value Report Bronze Edition April 27, May 1, 2015 Disclaimer Notice: This Report must be read in conjunction with the below Disclaimer, which is hereby incorporated therein.
2 Table of Contents Indexes WA Broad Asset Index IN-1 Equities S&P 500 E-Mini EQ-1 Treasuries 10yr. Treasury Note TR-3 Exchange Rates Euro / USD FX-1 Energies Crude Oil EN-1 Metals Gold MT-1 Fair Value Report: 4/27/2015-5/1/2015
3 WA Broad Asset Index Last Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Fair Value Forecast (Red) Day Moving Average Day Moving Average (Grey Solid) Day Moving Average (Grey Dot) Day Moving Average % Change % 0.485% % 0.056% 0.493% % % 1.20% * Base Period: April 1995 (Value of 100); Excludes Currency and Treasury IN-1 Fair Value Report: 4/27/2015-5/1/
4 S&P 500 E-Mini Last Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Fair Value Forecast (Red) 2, , , , , , Day Moving Average 2, , , , , , Day Moving Average (Grey Solid) 2, , , , , , Day Moving Average (Grey Dot) 2, , , , , , Day Moving Average 2, , , , , , % Change 0.225% 0.278% % 0.173% % % 2,125 2,115 2,105 2,095 2,085 2,075 2, % 0.50% 0.30% 0.10% * Exchange: CBOT; CME Symbol: ES EQ-1 Fair Value Report: 4/27/2015-5/1/2015 2,130 2,110 2,090 2,070 2,050 2,030 2,010 1,990 1,970 1, % 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0% -2.5% -3.0% % Diverg. from Index 30-Day Beta
5 10 Year Treasury Last Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Fair Value Forecast (Red) Day Moving Average Day Moving Average (Grey Solid) Day Moving Average (Grey Dot) Day Moving Average % Change 0.194% % 0.125% % 0.071% 0.695% % 0.50% 0.30% 0.10% * US Treasury Note; 6.5 years Maturity 10 years; Exchange: CBOT; CME Symbol: TY/ZN 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% TR-3 Fair Value Report: 4/27/2015-5/1/ % Diverg. from Index 30-Day Beta
6 Euro / US Dollar Last Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Fair Value Forecast (Red) Day Moving Average Day Moving Average (Grey Solid) Day Moving Average (Grey Dot) Day Moving Average % Change 0.397% % 0.236% 2.852% 2.143% % % 3.00% 2.00% % -3.00% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 0.50% * CME Symbol: EC/6E FX-1 Fair Value Report: 4/27/2015-5/1/ % 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% -6.0% -7.0% -8.0% -9.0% -10.0% % Diverg. from Index 30-Day Beta
7 Crude Oil Last Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Fair Value Forecast (Red) Day Moving Average Day Moving Average (Grey Solid) Day Moving Average (Grey Dot) Day Moving Average % Change % 4.013% % % % 9.676% % % % -5.00% % % % % % * Light Sweet Crude Oil; Exchange: NYMEX; CME Symbol: CL EN-1 Fair Value Report: 4/27/2015-5/1/ % 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% -15.0% -20.0% -25.0% % Diverg. from Index 30-Day Beta
8 Gold Last Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Fair Value Forecast (Red) 1, , , , , , Day Moving Average 1, , , , , , Day Moving Average (Grey Solid) 1, , , , , , Day Moving Average (Grey Dot) 1, , , , , , Day Moving Average 1, , , , , , % Change % 2.278% % 0.223% 0.768% % 1,210 1,205 1,200 1,195 1,190 1,185 1,180 1,175 1,170 1,165 1, % 2.00% 1.50% 0.50% -0.50% % -2.00% -2.50% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 0.50% * Exchange: COMEX; CME Symbol: GC MT-1 Fair Value Report: 4/27/2015-5/1/2015 1,320 1,300 1,280 1,260 1,240 1,220 1,200 1,180 1,160 1, % 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% % Diverg. from Index 30-Day Beta
9 is the brainchild of Dr. Michael Williams. Dr. Williams has a MBA, a Masters in Economics, holds a PhD in Finance, is an Assistant Finance Professor, and is the President and CEO of Williams Analytics. Williams Analytics leverages a decade of experience in economics, general finance, time-series and financial econometrics, statistics, and market microstructure to provide quantitative solutions to the trading community. In addition to its informational reports, like the one you have in front of you, Williams Analytics offers the following solutions: Data Collection, Processing, and Descriptive Analysis Econometric Explanatory, Predictive, and Forecasting Analysis Market Microstructure Advisory Services What it is How it affects your trading How to exploit microstructure opportunities Developing Pattern Recognition and Trading Opportunity Detection Systems Operationalizing Academic Research into Trading Strategies Improving "Tried-and-True" Trading Strategy Rules-of-Thumb by Quantifying Them Analyzing Them Automating Them Optimizing Them Adapting Them to Other Markets To inquire about Williams Analytics' informational reports and/or its quantitative advisory services, please contact us at: Info@ (800) or visit us at... www. Disclaimer: The foregoing Williams Analytics Report has been prepared and is intended to be used for educational and/or informational purposes only. has based this and other informational reports on data obtained from sources, predominantly public, that it believes to be reliable but which have not been independently verified. Williams Analytics makes no guarantee, representation, or warranty regarding the information and/or data provided in this report. The information provided and/or opinions expressed within this Report are subject to change without notice or liability to any party. This Report, any content within, and any content of or, does not constitute and shall not be construed as investment advice. Additionally, Williams Analytics accepts no responsibility or liability for the content of this Report and/or its accuracy or completeness. Williams Analytics expressly disclaims any liability arising from or in reliance upon any part of this document or any other information provided by Williams Analytics,, other Williams Analytics publications, or any employee, agent, subsidiary, or other affiliate of Williams Analytics. Williams Analytics is not responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage, loss, or liability caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of or reliance on any content. Investment advice from shall be evidenced only by an explicitly-constructed agreement or other, similar, contractual document that has been appropriately authorized, signed, and fully executed. This Report shall not be construed as an offer for sale of or subscription for any investment or security, nor is its purpose, expressed, intended, or implied, to invite and/or solicit any offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment or security. Unauthorized republication, redistribution, storage, and/or transmission, by or on any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, and so on, of any material, including this Report, in part or in whole, is strictly prohibited without the prior written consent of Williams Analytics. "" and the Williams Analytics logos are registered and protected trademarks of. Reproduction and/or distribution for educational and/or informational purposes is permitted by Williams Analytics, provided that the source (i.e. ) is acknowledged and that Williams Analytics is notified in writing.
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