Feltham & Heston Poll Fieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Transcription

1 Table Q. Many local people are saying that they probably won't vote at all when the byelection happens, while others say they definitely would vote. Please say how likely you are to vote in the byelection, when it happens? Page Lab LibDem Certain to vote () () () % % % % % % % % % % % () % % () () % % % % % % 0 % % % % () % % () % () % % % % % % Definitely would () not vote % % % % Don't know % % % % % % % % % Mean Standard deviation Standard error

2 Table Q. Which candidate will you vote for in the byelection? Page Lab LibDem Seema Malhotra, the Labour candidate % % 0% Mark Bowen, the servative candidate % % % % % 0% % Roger Crouch, the Liberal Democrat candidate 0% The UK Independence Party (UKIP) % % The British National Party (BNP) % % % % % % % % The Green Party % % % % % % % % % % % % % Some other party % % % Will not vote % % % % Refused Don't know % % % 0 0 % % % %

3 Table Q. Which candidate will you vote for in the byelection? expressing an intention to vote Page Lab LibDem Seema Malhotra, the Labour candidate % % % % 0% % Mark Bowen, the servative candidate % % % 0% Roger Crouch, the Liberal Democrat candidate % % % % % 0% % The UK Independence Party (UKIP) % The British National Party (BNP) % % % % % % % The Green Party % % % % % % Some other party % % % % % % % % %

4 Table Q. Which candidate will you vote for in the byelection? expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted) Page Lab LibDem Seema Malhotra, the Labour candidate % 0% % 0% Mark Bowen, the servative candidate % % % % 0% % Roger Crouch, the Liberal Democrat candidate % % % % 0% % The UK Independence Party (UKIP) The British National Party (BNP) % The Green Party % % % % % % Some other party % % % % % %

5 Table Q. Which candidate will you vote for in the byelection? (Turnout Weighted) Page servative Labour Liberal Democrats The UK Independence Party (UKIP) Q. General Election Vote The British The Green National Party Party (BNP) Some other party Did not vote Refused Don't know 0 Seema Malhotra, the Labour candidate % % % Mark Bowen, the servative candidate % Roger Crouch, the Liberal Democrat candidate % % The UK Independence Party (UKIP) % The British National Party (BNP) % The Green Party % % % % Some other party % Refused % Don't know % % % 0

6 Table Adjusted (Turnout Weighted) Page servative Labour Liberal Democrat Other

7 Table Q. Are you fairly sure that is what you'll do at the byelection, or do you think you may well change your mind between now and then? expressing an intention to vote Page Lab LibDem Fairly sure I will vote... 0% % % % 0% % 0 I may well change my mind % % % % % % % % Don't know % %

8 Table Q. If you change your mind, which party would you be most likely to switch to? expressing an intention to vote who may well change their mind Page Lab LibDem 0 servative % % % Liberal Democrat % % % % Labour % % % % % % The UK Independence Party (UKIP) % % % % The Green Party The British National Party (BNP) % Some other party % % Don't know % % % % % % %

9 Table Q. At the last general election, in May, many people didn't vote. Can you remember, did you vote in that election, or did you not vote? Q.b Could you tell me which party you voted for at the last general election in May? Page Lab LibDem servative % % 0 % % % % % % % 0% Labour % 0 % % 0 % 0% Liberal Democrats % % 0% The UK Independence Party (UKIP) % % % % % % % The Green Party % % % % % The British National Party (BNP) % % % % % % % % Some other party % % % % Did not vote 0% % % Refused % % Don't know % %

10 Table Q. At the last general election, in May, many people didn't vote. Can you remember, did you vote in that election, or did you not vote? Q.b Could you tell me which party you voted for at the last general election in May? who voted (and were willing to disclose who they voted for) Page Lab LibDem servative 0 % 0% Labour % 0 0 % 0% Liberal Democrats % % % % % % % % % 0% The UK Independence Party (UKIP) % % % % The Green Party % % % The British National Party (BNP) % Some other party % % % % % % %

11 Table Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister? Page Lab LibDem David Cameron, the Prime Minister. 0 % % Ed Miliband, the Labour leader. % 0 % % Nick Clegg, the Deputy Prime Minister. 0 Don't know/ none of them 0 % % %

12 Table Q. Please say how well or badly you think the coalition government is doing so far overall? Page Lab LibDem NET: Well 0 % 0 % 0 % 0 Very well () % % % Quite well () % 0 % Quite badly () Very badly () % % % % % % % % % % % 0 0 % % % NET: Badly 0 % % % % 0 Mean Standard deviation Standard error

13 Page Table Q. I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, please say in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...? (a) Shares my values The Labour Party 0 % % % % % % % % 0% 0 % % % % % 0% % The servative Party 0 % % % 0% 0% 0 % 0% 0 0% 0% % The Liberal Democrats % % 0 % % 0% % % %

14 Page Table Q. I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, please say in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...? (b) Clear about what they stand for The Labour Party 0 % % % % % 0 % % 0% % The servative Party % % 0% 0% % The Liberal Democrats % 0 % 0 0 % 0 0% % % 0% 0% %

15 Page Table Q. I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, please say in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...? (c) Willing to take tough decisions for the long term The Labour Party % 0 % 0 % % 0 0% 0 % The servative Party 0 0% % % 0 % % 0% % % % 0 0 % 0 % The Liberal Democrats 0 % % 0 0% %

16 Page Table Q. I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, please say in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...? (d) Competent and capable The Labour Party 0 0 % % % % % 0 % The servative Party 0 % 0 0 % % % % % % % The Liberal Democrats % % % % % % 0 0% % %

17 Page Table Q. I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, please say in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...? (e) Will do what they say The Labour Party 0 % 0 % The servative Party 0 % 0% 0% % % 0 The Liberal Democrats % % 0 % 0 0 % 0 0 0% 0 % 0% %

18 Page Table Q. I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, please say in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...? (f) On the side of ordinary people The Labour Party % % % % % % % % % % The servative Party 0 % % % % % % 0 % % % 0% % % 0 The Liberal Democrats % % %

19 Page Table Q. Here are two arguments that have been made about the amount the UK government borrows and how quickly this should be reduced through spending cuts and tax rises. Please say which of them is closer to your own view? Lab LibDem The government's spending cuts and tax rises are hurting the economy. It should cut taxes, and/or cut spending less fast, even if that means we go on borrowing more for longer, because given how much we already owe, borrowing an extra few billion pounds cannot do much more harm 0 % % Borrowing more at a time when we already owe so much money will simply make matters worse, as the country will have to pay even more money back in the longer term we have to bring the debt and the deficit under control even if it has some painful effects for the economy in the short term 0 0% 0% 0 0%

20 Table Q. Thinking about Britain's economy, which of the following comes closest to your view? Page Lab LibDem Although things are difficult now, the right decisions are being made and things will improve significantly over the next three or four years % In three or four years' time, the economy will be no better, or even worse than it is now 0% 0% % % 0%

21 Table Q. With our economy facing challenges in the months ahead, who do you most trust to manage the economy in the best interests of Britain David Cameron, Nick Clegg and the Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, or Ed Miliband and the Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls? Page Cameron, Clegg & Osborne % % 0 % Miliband & Balls % % Neither of these 0 % % % 0 % % % % Don't know % % %

22 Table Q. I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the servatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...? (a) Delivered leaflets or newspapers to your door Page Labour 0 % 0 % 0 % 0% % 0% The servatives 0 % 0% % % % % % The Liberal Democrats 0 % 0 % % % 0% % 0 % %

23 Table Q. I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the servatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...? (b) Put up posters or billboards in your area Page Labour % % 0 % % % % % 0 0% % The servatives % % % % % % % % % % % 0% 0 % 0 The Liberal Democrats % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

24 Table Q. I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the servatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...? (c) Knocked on your door Page Labour % 0 0 % % % % % % 0 0 % 0 0 The servatives % % % % % % % % % 0 % % % % % % The Liberal Democrats 0 % 0 0 % 0

25 Table Q. I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the servatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...? (d) Written a personally addressed letter to you Page Labour % % % % 0 % % % % 0 % % % 0% 0 The servatives % % % 0 % % % % % % % 0 % % 0 0% % 0% % The Liberal Democrats % % 0 % % 0 0

26 Table Q. I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the servatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...? (e) Set up stalls or handed out leaflets in your area Page Labour % % % % % % % % % 0 % % 00 0% 0% 0% 0% % % The servatives 0 % 0 0 % 0 % % % % % % % % % % % % 0 The Liberal Democrats 0 % % % % % % % 0 % % % % % % % % % %

27 Table Q. I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the servatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...? (f) Phoned you Page Labour % % % 0 % % % % % % % % % The servatives % % 0 % % % The Liberal Democrats % % % % % 0 % 0

28 Table Q. I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the servatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...? (g) Sent you an Page Labour % % 0 % % 0 The servatives % % % % % % % % 0 % % The Liberal Democrats % % % % % % % % % % 0% % 0% % % % 0 % %

29 Table Q. Regardless of which Party you might vote for, which Party do you think is most likely to win the by election in Feltham & Heston? Page Lab LibDem Labour 0% % % % % % The servatives % % % % % % % % % % % % % The Liberal Democrats % % % Another party % %

30 Table Q. Next May there will be a Mayoral election in London. Who do you think you will vote for to be Mayor of London? Page Lab LibDem Boris Johnson, the servative candidate % % % Ken Livingstone, the Labour candidate 0 % Brian Paddick, the Liberal Democrat candidate Will not vote % The UK Independence Party (UKIP) % % % % % % % % % % The British National Party (BNP) % % % % % % % % Some other party % % % % % % The Green Party % % % % % % % % % % Don't know % % % % % % % % % % 0 % % %

31 LibDem Lab LibDem Lab C C Female Male 0 White % 0% % 0% 0% % Mixed % % % % 0 0 NET: Asian % % 0 Indian % % % % % % % Pakistani % % % Bangladeshi % % % % % % % % % % % % 0 Other Asian background % 0 NET: Black % % Black Caribbean % % % % % % % % % % % % % Black African % % % % % % % Other Black background % % % % % % % % % % Chinese % % % % % % % % % % % Other % % Page Table To which of these ethnic groups do you consider you belong?

32 LibDem Lab LibDem Lab C C Female Male A % % B % % % % % % % 0 0 C % 0% % C % 0% % D % % % % % % % % E % % % % % % % % % Page Table

33 LibDem Lab LibDem Lab C C Female Male to % % % % % 0% % 0 % % % % 0% % 0 0 % % % % % % % 0% % % 0 % % % % % 0% % % % % % % 0% % % % or older % % % 0% % % Page Table Into which of the following age groups do you fall?

34 Table Page Male % 0% % % Female % 0% 0 0% % % % 0

35 LibDem Lab LibDem Lab C C Female Male Bedfont % % % % % % % % % Cranford % % 0 Feltham rth % % % % % % % % % % 0 0 Feltham West % % % % % % % % % Hanworth % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Hanworth Park % % % % % % % % % 0 Heston Central % % % % Heston East % % % % % % % 0 Heston West % % % % % Hounslow West % % % % % % % % % Page Table Ward