Workshop of Working Group F on Floods (Vienna: )

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Workshop of Working Group F on Floods (Vienna: )"

Transcription

1 Workshop of Working Group F on Floods Vienna Flood Risk Assessment in a Changing Environment H.P. Nachtnebel Dept. of Water-Atmosphere-Environment Univ. of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences hans_peter.nachtnebel@boku.ac.at

2 Objectives Discussion of a framework to assess flood risk in a changing environment Role and importance of uncertainties inherent to the assessment process Strategies to avoid (reduce) emerging risks

3 Layout of the presentation Some definitions and terms What do we observe with respect to flood risk? What are the changes and what are the reasons? What can we conclude? What kind of options do we have?

4 Speaking about flood risk Risk assessment and management is discussed by using a variety of terms, such as risk hazard exposure susceptibility vulnerability coping capacity resistance resilience adaptive capacity

5 Definition of risk flood risk combines the probability of a flood event and of the potential adverse consequences for human health, the environment, cultural heritage and economic activity (Directive 00/60/EC). Is frequently expressed as the expected annual damage (Merz et al. 00) R( X * ) X * f ( Q) D( Q) dq Q X i * f ( Q ) D( Q ) i i f(q) flood frequency D(Q) damage (losses) X* resistance

6 Flood risk management The main objectives are: Reduce efficiently economic losses ( ): properties, infrastructure, production, transportation.. minimize casualties and social impacts Protect cultural heritage Minimize ecological losses

7 What is the basis of risk assessment? Observations of flood series to estimate f(q) observations of flood damages to estmate D(Q) Annual mamixa at gauging station Korneuburg/Reichsbrücke (BMLFUW, 04) Annual major flood losses in Europe (Barredo, 009) today future

8 Observations: Flood damages are the most frequent and costly natural hazard (Jongman et al., 0; UNISDR, 0). the respective economic damages are about $9 billion/a (Kundzewicz, 00) and more than 5 million people/a are affected globally have increased in most regions of the world during the last decades (de Moel et al., 009, Barredo, 009; Bouwer et al., 00; Kreft, 0; UNISDR, 0). This fact is surprising because many countries, especially in Europe, have annually invested substantial amounts in physical flood protection measures, such as levees, dykes and flood detention reservoirs.

9 Observations: flood damages are the most frequent and costly natural hazard (Jongman et al., 0; UNISDR, 0). the respective economic damages are about $9 billion/a (Kundzewicz, 00) and more than 5 million people/a are affected globally have increased in most regions of the world during the last decades (de Moel et al., 009, Barredo, 009; Bouwer et al., 00; Kreft, 0; UNISDR, 0). This fact is surprising because many countries, especially in Europe, have annually invested substantial amounts in physical flood protection measures, such as levees, dykes and flood detention reservoirs. (Munich Re, 03)

10 Changes in flood frequency? (estimation of a HQ 00 by a moving window Gauging station Stein/Krems Danube) Peak discharge (m 3 /s) Moving window 50 years Peak

11 Changes in flood frequency Elbe river at Decin Time Series of winter and summer floods at Decin (Elbe) (Yiou, P. et al, 00) Water Resources Planning and Decision making Unit H.P. Nachtnebel

12 Tage Do heavy rainfall events become more frequent? 6 5 Zahl der Tage mit mehr als 30 mm Niederschlag in Wien Reihe Number of days per year with more than 30 mm/day (Vienna) YES!!!! Jahr (after Rudel, ZAMG 00)

13 Tage Do heavy rainfall events become more frequent? Zahl der Tage mit mehr als 30 mm Niederschlag in Wien Reihe Number of days per year with more than 30 mm/day (Vienna) NO 44!!!! Jahr (after Rudel, ZAMG 00)

14 Future changes in flood frequency The IPCC report on extreme events (IPCC, 0): there is limited to medium evidence available to assess climate driven observed changes in the magnitude and frequency of floods at regional scales. low confidence at the global scale regarding even the sign of the changes. The AR5 (Hartmann et al., 03) report: there is currently no clear and widespread evidence for observed changes in flooding except for the earlier spring flow in snow-dominated regions, at least in Europe and Asia. Arnell & Gosling (04): Under one climate model (HadCM3 and SRES Ab) in 050 the current 00-year flood would occur at least twice as frequently across 40 % of the globe

15 Future trends? Lack of evidence and thus low confidence regarding the sign of trend in the magnitude and/or frequency of floods on a global scale over the instrumental record. With high confidence, floods larger than recorded since the 0th century occurred during the past five centuries in northern and central Europe, the western Mediterranean region and eastern Asia. (5 th IPCC Assessment report)

16 What do we conclude? The reported flood damages show an increasing trend The reports about changes in flood frequency exhibit a large uncertainty and even opposite trends were found Consequences for risk assessment: Although we see (expect) trends, variabilities in the time series we estimate future risk from past observations Risk becomes time dependent

17 Redefinition of Risk Risk: R( X *, t) * X f ( Q, t) D( Q, t) dq f(q,t) flood frequency D(Q,t) damage (losses) X* resistance But then we have to trade-off future risk with todays risk (we have to discount the future)

18 What might be the reasons? Analysis of hydrological changes due to direct human impacts local measures (river channelisation) Regional measures (hydropower and flood protection) Large scale impacts (reservoirs and irrigation)

19 Local scale: Channelisation of rivers Frequently flooded

20 Impacts on floods Partial duration series of flood peaks Partial duration series of floods (96-99) River training works

21 Impacts on floods Partial duration series of flood peaks Partial duration series of floods (96-99) River training works

22 Climate change? No significant changes in the annual precipitation (rather a decrease) No significant change in intensive rainfall events Partial duration series of intensive rainfall events (Sajach) Intensive rainfall events in the catchment

23 Large scale: Upper Danube Basin hydropower schemes, levees and dams (Section of about 350 km)

24 Danube river: travel time of floods (From Miklanek et al., 000) (Miklanek et al. 003)

25 Analysing trends in flood losses Pielke & Downton (000): USA Barredo (009): Annual flood losses in Europe Original losses (US $) normalized data (inflation, population change, purchasing power)

26 Analysing flood damages The observed growth of flood damages is dominated by societal changes as changes in population density, and economic development (Hoppe & Pielke, 006; Mitchell, 003; Merz et al. 00) About 43 % of increase in flood damage can be attributed to population growth (Pielke and Downton, 000) No standardised approach for flood damage assessment Large uncertainties in flood damage assessment (Thieken et al., 008)

27 How to identify and assess emerging risks? Directive 007/60/EC requires repeated preparation of flood risk maps recognising the dynamic aspects in flood risk But still, mostly we look back when taking decisions for the future Whats about using scenarios? Assess recent damage potential for different flood events Assess trends in population density Assess future damage potential according to regional development plans for the same flood events Assess the sensitivity of the damage potential with respect to magnitude of the flood

28 Application to a province in Austria: Recent damage potential Recent damage potential obtained by overlay of cadastrial maps with inundation maps (HQ 30, HQ 00, HQ 00 sometimes HQ 300 ) Estimation of inundated residential areas and normalisation (% of building area) (Neuhold et al., 0) HQ 30 HQ 00 HQ 300

29 Recent qualitative flood risk

30 Emerging flood risk Analyse demographic changes Analyse regional development plans already designated but not utilized sensible land uses in the flood plain how strongly are development plans in conflict with (existing and future) inundation areas Estimate emerging damage potential

31 Demographic changes until 030

32 Changes in the damage potential Recent and emerging risks can be identified

33 Combining recent risk with emerging risk Hot spots: Area exhibiting already today high risk that will additionally increase in the future

34 Climate change driven flood risk Assess recent damage potential Consider regional development plans and demographic changes Sensitivity of changes of inundated (residential) areas with respect to DQ cc in HQ 30, HQ 00, HQ 300 (+ 0% in HQ 300 ) Identification of areas sensitive to climate change and regional development (sensitivity analysis by increasing flood peak by 0 %)

35 Conclusions: At the local scale land use changes may have impact on floods The climate signal in flood frequency may be regionally different and exhibits large uncertainties Increase in flood damages is correlated with economic development, migration etc. Increase in flood damages is mostly due to conflicting land uses with inundation maps Land development plans exibit often a stronger impact on the damage potential than changes due to climate A concept was presented which utilises available information layers to identify emerging risks with respect to land use changes and climate change Based on this information hots spots and a risk management strategy can be identified Tje approach is considered as robust as it tries to reduce regional land use conflicts reducing the vulnerability

36 Thank you for your attention

Improved tools for river flood preparedness under changing risk - Poland

Improved tools for river flood preparedness under changing risk - Poland 7th Study Conference on BALTEX, Borgholm, Sweden, 10-14 June 2013 Improved tools for river flood preparedness under changing risk - Poland Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Institute of Agricultural and Forest Environment,

More information

Ensemble flood risk assessment and adaptation strategies in Europe at 4ºC global warming

Ensemble flood risk assessment and adaptation strategies in Europe at 4ºC global warming Ensemble flood risk assessment and adaptation strategies in Europe at 4ºC global warming Lorenzo Alfieri, Luc Feyen, Alessandra Bianchi, Francesco Dottori, and Giuliano Di Baldassarre Climate Risk Management

More information

Flood risk analysis and assessment: Case Study Gleisdorf

Flood risk analysis and assessment: Case Study Gleisdorf Flood risk analysis and assessment: Case Study Gleisdorf H.P. Nachtnebel River room agenda Alpenraum 1 Integrated Flood Risk Managament Risk Assessment Increase of Resistance Reduction of Losses Prepardness

More information

Climate change and flood frequency: The critical roles of process and seasonality

Climate change and flood frequency: The critical roles of process and seasonality Climate change and flood frequency: The critical roles of process and seasonality Deborah Lawrence Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate HydroPredict 2012, Vienna, 24 27 September Climate Change

More information

Impacts and Economic Costs of River Floods in the EU and Costs of Adaptation

Impacts and Economic Costs of River Floods in the EU and Costs of Adaptation Impacts and Economic Costs of River Floods in the EU and Costs of Adaptation Luc Feyen Getty Images Joint Research Centre European Commission Water and Adaptation to Climate Change in Transboundary Basins:

More information

The impact of present and future climate changes on the international insurance & reinsurance industry

The impact of present and future climate changes on the international insurance & reinsurance industry Copyright 2007 Willis Limited all rights reserved. The impact of present and future climate changes on the international insurance & reinsurance industry Fiona Shaw MSc. ACII Executive Director Willis

More information

RISK-LEVEL ASSESSMENT SYSTEM ON BENGAWAN SOLO S FLOOD PRONE AREAS USING AHP AND WEB GIS

RISK-LEVEL ASSESSMENT SYSTEM ON BENGAWAN SOLO S FLOOD PRONE AREAS USING AHP AND WEB GIS rhadint@it.student.pens.ac.id RISK-LEVEL ASSESSMENT SYSTEM ON BENGAWAN SOLO S FLOOD PRONE AREAS USING AHP AND WEB GIS H A R I S R A H A D I A N TO A R N A FA R I Z A JAUA R I A K H M A D N U R H A S I

More information

The AIR Inland Flood Model for Great Britian

The AIR Inland Flood Model for Great Britian The AIR Inland Flood Model for Great Britian The year 212 was the UK s second wettest since recordkeeping began only 6.6 mm shy of the record set in 2. In 27, the UK experienced its wettest summer, which

More information

FLOOD HAZARD AND RISK MANAGEMENT UTILIZING HYDRAULIC MODELING AND GIS TECHNOLOGIES IN URBAN ENVIRONMENT

FLOOD HAZARD AND RISK MANAGEMENT UTILIZING HYDRAULIC MODELING AND GIS TECHNOLOGIES IN URBAN ENVIRONMENT Proceedings of the 14 th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology Rhodes, Greece, 3-5 September 2015 FLOOD HAZARD AND RISK MANAGEMENT UTILIZING HYDRAULIC MODELING AND GIS TECHNOLOGIES

More information

Sukhothai Flood Risk Management under changing climate

Sukhothai Flood Risk Management under changing climate 2012 AIT-NUS-ITB-KU JOINT SYMPOSIUM ON HUMAN SECURITY ENGINEERING Bangkok, Thailand, November 19-20, 2012 Sukhothai Flood Risk Management under changing climate Sucharit KOONTANAKULVONG Anurak SRIARIYAWAT

More information

Private property insurance data on losses

Private property insurance data on losses 38 Universities Council on Water Resources Issue 138, Pages 38-44, April 2008 Assessment of Flood Losses in the United States Stanley A. Changnon University of Illinois: Chief Emeritus, Illinois State

More information

Flood Risk Management Plan A National Pilot from the River Kokemäenjoki

Flood Risk Management Plan A National Pilot from the River Kokemäenjoki Flood Risk Management Plan A National Pilot from the River Kokemäenjoki 26-27th January 2010, Maastricht Olli-Matti Verta & Juha-Pekka Triipponen Southwest Finland Centre for Economic Development, Transport

More information

Danube Flood Risk Management Plan. Igor Liska & Raimund Mair ICPDR Secretariat

Danube Flood Risk Management Plan. Igor Liska & Raimund Mair ICPDR Secretariat Danube Flood Risk Management Plan Igor Liska & Raimund Mair ICPDR Secretariat 800.000 km 2 80 Mio. people 19 countries Most international River Basin in the World Danube River Protection Convention signed

More information

Delaware River Basin Commission s Role in Flood Loss Reduction Efforts

Delaware River Basin Commission s Role in Flood Loss Reduction Efforts Delaware River Basin Commission s Role in Flood Loss Reduction Efforts There is a strong need to reduce flood vulnerability and damages in the Delaware River Basin. This paper presents the ongoing role

More information

BACKGROUND When looking at hazard and loss data for future climate projections, hardly any solid information is available.

BACKGROUND When looking at hazard and loss data for future climate projections, hardly any solid information is available. BACKGROUND Flooding in Europe is a peak peril that has the potential to cause losses of over 14 billion in a single event. Most major towns and cities are situated next to large rivers with large amounts

More information

DO WE NEED TO CONSIDER FLOODS RARER THAN 1% AEP?

DO WE NEED TO CONSIDER FLOODS RARER THAN 1% AEP? DO WE NEED TO CONSIDER FLOODS RARER THAN 1% AEP? Drew Bewsher and John Maddocks Bewsher Consulting Pty Ltd Abstract Everyone is aware that floods rarer than the 1% AEP event occur. Australia-wide, over

More information

ADB s Experiences in Disaster Management. Neil Britton Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Asian Development Bank 25 November 2007

ADB s Experiences in Disaster Management. Neil Britton Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Asian Development Bank 25 November 2007 ADB s Experiences in Disaster Management Neil Britton Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Asian Development Bank 25 November 2007 Presentation Format Asia s changing hazardscape and vulnerability

More information

From Weather Conditions to Insurance

From Weather Conditions to Insurance Floods in Europe From Weather Conditions to Insurance Geo Risks Research Munich Reinsurance Company Topics Recent flood disasters Flood types Loss statistics and trends Reasons for increasingi losses Flood

More information

Climate risk management plan. Towards a resilient business

Climate risk management plan. Towards a resilient business Type your organisation name here Climate risk management plan Towards a resilient business 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Click the numbers to select your cover images 1 2 3 4 5 Document control sheet Document

More information

Flood risk assessment for sustainable urban development : Case study of Marikina-Pasig-San Juan river basin, Manila

Flood risk assessment for sustainable urban development : Case study of Marikina-Pasig-San Juan river basin, Manila International Conference in Urban and Regional Planning "Planning towards Sustainability and Resilience" 14 15 March, 2018 Manila, Philippines Flood risk assessment for sustainable urban development :

More information

What can be done to minimise future economic and social harm caused by flooding and improve resilience. Flood Warning and Informing

What can be done to minimise future economic and social harm caused by flooding and improve resilience. Flood Warning and Informing What can be done to minimise future economic and social harm caused by flooding and improve resilience Flood Warning and Informing Marc Becker SEPA Flood Risk Manager (Hydrology) 16 th September 2016 The

More information

Review of preliminary flood risk assessments (Flood Risk Regulations 2009): guidance for lead local flood authorities in England

Review of preliminary flood risk assessments (Flood Risk Regulations 2009): guidance for lead local flood authorities in England Review of preliminary flood risk assessments (Flood Risk Regulations 2009): guidance for lead local flood authorities in England 25 January 2017 We are the Environment Agency. We protect and improve the

More information

Adaptation Practices and Lessons Learned

Adaptation Practices and Lessons Learned Adaptation Practices and Lessons Learned Increased Flooding Risk Due To Sea Level Rise in Hampton Roads: A Forum to Address Concerns, Best Practices and Plans for Adaptation Nov. 16, 2012 Virginia Modeling,

More information

THE MAKING OF A RISKIER FUTURE

THE MAKING OF A RISKIER FUTURE THE MAKING OF A RISKIER FUTURE Disaster risks are increasing rapidly. While annual losses and deaths from natural disasters vary, long-term average of total annual damage is increasing at an exponential

More information

Integrated assessment of urban flood risk, coping capacity and vulnerability

Integrated assessment of urban flood risk, coping capacity and vulnerability IAPS 00 Integrated assessment of urban flood risk, coping capacity and vulnerability Sebastian Scheuer Dagmar Haase Volker Meyer Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Institute for Geography, Department of Landscape

More information

The approach to managing natural hazards in this Plan is to: set out a clear regional framework for natural hazard management

The approach to managing natural hazards in this Plan is to: set out a clear regional framework for natural hazard management 10 Natural Hazards 10.1 Scope and Background This chapter establishes an overall framework for natural hazard management under the Resource Management Act 1991 (RMA). It also sets out the division of responsibilities

More information

Canada s exposure to flood risk. Who is affected, where are they located, and what is at stake

Canada s exposure to flood risk. Who is affected, where are they located, and what is at stake Canada s exposure to flood risk Who is affected, where are they located, and what is at stake Why a flood model for Canada? Catastrophic losses Insurance industry Federal government Average industry CAT

More information

The new European Flood Management Directive and the municipal flood management system as one realization approach

The new European Flood Management Directive and the municipal flood management system as one realization approach The new European Flood Management Directive and the municipal flood management system as one realization approach, Manuela Gretzschel University of Kaiserslautern, Germany Prof. Dr. Volker Lüderitz Magdeburg

More information

Recent weather disasters Statistics of natural catastrophes Reasons for increasing losses Risk reduction strategies Conclusions

Recent weather disasters Statistics of natural catastrophes Reasons for increasing losses Risk reduction strategies Conclusions Geo Risks Research Munich Reinsurance Company Topics Recent weather disasters Statistics of natural catastrophes Reasons for increasing losses Risk reduction strategies Conclusions Weather records and

More information

The AIR Inland Flood Model for the United States

The AIR Inland Flood Model for the United States The AIR Inland Flood Model for the United States In Spring 2011, heavy rainfall and snowmelt produced massive flooding along the Mississippi River, inundating huge swaths of land across seven states. As

More information

Background to the PFRA European Overview UC10508

Background to the PFRA European Overview UC10508 Background to the PFRA European Overview UC10508 The individual Member State Reports reflect the situation as reported by the Member States to the European Commission in 2014 The situation in the MSs may

More information

Bates, P. D. (2016). Flooding: what is normal? Science in Parliament, 73(1),

Bates, P. D. (2016). Flooding: what is normal? Science in Parliament, 73(1), Bates, P. D. (2016). Flooding: what is normal? Science in Parliament, 73(1), 25-26. Peer reviewed version License (if available): Unspecified Link to publication record in Explore Bristol Research PDF-document

More information

Flood Risk Management and Columbia River Treaty Review

Flood Risk Management and Columbia River Treaty Review Flood Risk Management and Columbia River Treaty 2014 2024 Review Lower Columbia River Estuary Partnership 2013 Science to Policy Summit: The Columbia River Treaty May 10, 2013 Matt Rea Treaty Review Program

More information

Preliminary estimates of additional investment and financial flows needed for adaptation in 2030

Preliminary estimates of additional investment and financial flows needed for adaptation in 2030 Preliminary estimates of additional investment and financial flows needed for adaptation in 2030 Joel B. Smith Stratus Consulting Inc. Presented to: Dialogue on Long-Term Cooperative Action Vienna August

More information

Status of the implementation of FD 2007/60/EC in Austria and Styria

Status of the implementation of FD 2007/60/EC in Austria and Styria OFFICE OF THE STYRIAN GOVERNMENT Department 14 Water Management, Resources and Sustainability Protective Water Management Unit Status of the implementation of FD 2007/60/EC in Austria and Styria Christoph

More information

The costs of climate change and their insurance

The costs of climate change and their insurance The costs of climate change and their insurance Summary of AR5, WGII, Chap.10 Philippe Thalmann Professor of environmental economics EPFL Member of OcCC Scnat / FOEN / UniFR, "IPCC Climate Change 2014",

More information

Disaster resilient communities: Canada s insurers promote adaptation to the growing threat of high impact weather

Disaster resilient communities: Canada s insurers promote adaptation to the growing threat of high impact weather Disaster resilient communities: Canada s insurers promote adaptation to the growing threat of high impact weather by Paul Kovacs Executive Director, Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction Adjunct Research

More information

Oasis being used in international/ community projects. Julie Calkins & Fred Hattermann & Future Danube Team

Oasis being used in international/ community projects. Julie Calkins & Fred Hattermann & Future Danube Team Oasis being used in international/ community projects Julie Calkins & Fred Hattermann & Future Danube Team 1 Why applying OASIS LMF in international projects? There is a growing demand for user oriented

More information

Flood Hazards and Flood Risk, the Impact of a Changing Climate

Flood Hazards and Flood Risk, the Impact of a Changing Climate Flood Hazards and Flood Risk, the Impact of a Changing Climate Sally A. McConkey, P.E. CFM, D. WRE. Illinois State Water Survey June 14, 2017 Topics ISWS Coordinated Hazard Assessment and Mapping Program

More information

Planning and Flood Risk

Planning and Flood Risk Planning and Flood Risk Patricia Calleary BE MEngSc MSc CEng MIEI After the Beast from the East Patricia Calleary Flood Risk and Planning Flooding in Ireland» Floods are a natural and inevitable part of

More information

Need for a Closer Look

Need for a Closer Look Need for a Closer Look - Natural Catastrophes in India Anup Jindal emphasizes that if a realistic assessment of the catastrophe risks is to be made, one should also take into account the future projections;

More information

PHARE 2005 / Project: «Contributions to the development

PHARE 2005 / Project: «Contributions to the development PHARE 2005 / 017 690.01.01 Project: «Contributions to the development of the Flood Risk Management Strategy in Romania» EuropeAid/123064/D/SER/RO Euro RIOB 2008 : «Floods Directive» 2 October 2008 Agenda

More information

Solway Local Plan District 1 Flood risk management in Scotland 1.1 What is a Flood Risk Management Strategy? Flood Risk Management Strategies have bee

Solway Local Plan District 1 Flood risk management in Scotland 1.1 What is a Flood Risk Management Strategy? Flood Risk Management Strategies have bee Flood Risk Management Strategy Solway Local Plan District Section 1: Flood Risk Management in Scotland 1.1 What is a Flood Risk Management Strategy?... 1 1.2 How to read this Strategy... 1 1.3 Managing

More information

Managing Environmental Financial Risk Gregory W. Characklis Department of Environmental Sciences & Engineering University of North Carolina at Chapel

Managing Environmental Financial Risk Gregory W. Characklis Department of Environmental Sciences & Engineering University of North Carolina at Chapel Managing Environmental Financial Risk Gregory W. Characklis Department of Environmental Sciences & Engineering University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Carolina Climate Resilience Conference, September

More information

Overview of Actuaries Climate Index Research Project

Overview of Actuaries Climate Index Research Project Overview of Actuaries Climate Index Research Project Actuaries Climate Index Committee NAIC Climate Change and Global Warming Working Group Meeting August 17, 2014 Agenda Introduction Michael E. Angelina,

More information

Deciphering Flood: A Familiar and Misunderstood Risk

Deciphering Flood: A Familiar and Misunderstood Risk Special Report Deciphering Flood: A Familiar and Misunderstood Risk May 2017 Deciphering Flood: A Familiar and Misunderstood Risk Among natural disasters, floods are the most common, 1 but from an insurance

More information

Economic Risk and Potential of Climate Change

Economic Risk and Potential of Climate Change Economic Risk and Potential of Climate Change Prof. Dr. Peter Hoeppe; Dr. Ernst Rauch This document appeared in Detlef Stolten, Bernd Emonts (Eds.): 18th World Hydrogen Energy Conference 2010 - WHEC 2010

More information

Integrating climate risk assessment/management/drr into national policies, programmes and sectoral planning. G Midgley, South Africa

Integrating climate risk assessment/management/drr into national policies, programmes and sectoral planning. G Midgley, South Africa Integrating climate risk assessment/management/drr into national policies, programmes and sectoral planning G Midgley, South Africa The national policy framework South Africa s Disaster Management Act,

More information

Flood Risk Management Planning in Scotland: Arrangements for February 2012

Flood Risk Management Planning in Scotland: Arrangements for February 2012 Flood Risk Management Planning in Scotland: Arrangements for 2012 2016 February 2012 Flood Risk Management (Scotland) Act 2009 1 Contents Forewords 1. Introduction to this document... 5 2. Sustainable

More information

Effective Flood Risk Assessment Methodologies

Effective Flood Risk Assessment Methodologies Flood Risk Management and Urban Resilience Workshop II May 28-29, 2013 Venue: COEX, Seoul, Republic of Korea Effective Flood Risk Assessment Methodologies National Disaster Management Institute, NDMI Tae

More information

Economic Cost of Extreme Events Some Issues

Economic Cost of Extreme Events Some Issues Economic Cost of Extreme Events Some Issues Suren Kulshreshtha University of Saskatchewan Presentation Made at the DRI Workshop, February 2011 What is an Extreme Event? An Extreme Event could be a natural

More information

VULNERABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENT FOR THE PFRA IN IRELAND

VULNERABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENT FOR THE PFRA IN IRELAND WG F THEMATIC WORKSHOP FLOODS AND ECONOMICS VULNERABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENT FOR THE PFRA IN IRELAND Mark Adamson 25 th October 2010 OVERVIEW OF PFRA OVERALL APPROACH Risk Assessment Historic FRA (What

More information

Increasing Queensland s resilience to inland flooding in a changing climate:

Increasing Queensland s resilience to inland flooding in a changing climate: Increasing Queensland s resilience to inland flooding in a changing climate: Final report on the Inland Flooding Study A joint project of: Department of Environment and Resource Management Department of

More information

Disaster Risk Reduction

Disaster Risk Reduction 1 Disaster Risk Reduction for Climate Resilience Luna Abu-Swaireh United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR) abu-swaireh@un.org www.preventionweb.net Disaster and extreme weather trends

More information

WEATHER EXTREMES, CLIMATE CHANGE,

WEATHER EXTREMES, CLIMATE CHANGE, WEATHER EXTREMES, CLIMATE CHANGE, DURBAN 2011 ELECTRONIC PRESS FOLDER Status: 25.11.2011 Contents 1. Current meteorological knowledge 2. Extreme weather events 3. Political action required 4. Insurance

More information

Engineers Ireland Annual Conference

Engineers Ireland Annual Conference Engineers Ireland Annual Conference MANAGING FLOOD RISK AND BUILDING SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITIES Mark Adamson Office of Public Works 15 th May, 2015 FLOOD RISK IN IRELAND RECENT FLOODS November 2009: >1,600

More information

MANAGING FLOOD AND WATER-RELATED RISKS: A CHALLENGE FOR THE FUTURE

MANAGING FLOOD AND WATER-RELATED RISKS: A CHALLENGE FOR THE FUTURE MANAGING FLOOD AND WATER-RELATED RISKS: A CHALLENGE FOR THE FUTURE Tarek MERABTENE, Junichi YOSHITANI and Daisuke KURIBAYASHI Public Works Research Institute (PWRI), 1-6 Minamihara, 305-8516Tsukuba, Japan

More information

Making the Business Case for Risk- Based Asset Management

Making the Business Case for Risk- Based Asset Management Making the Business Case for Risk- Based Asset Management TRB 11 th National Conference on Transportation Asset Management Brenda Dix July 11, 2016 Presentation Agenda Setting the stage Why do we care?

More information

AIR Inland Flood Model for Central Europe

AIR Inland Flood Model for Central Europe AIR Inland Flood Model for Central Europe In August 2002, an epic flood on the Elbe and Vltava rivers caused insured losses of EUR 1.8 billion in Germany and EUR 1.6 billion in Austria and Czech Republic.

More information

Climate Change Adaptation A Study in Risk Management. T.D. Hall AAC Conference, Halifax Session 8 September 2015

Climate Change Adaptation A Study in Risk Management. T.D. Hall AAC Conference, Halifax Session 8 September 2015 Climate Change Adaptation A Study in Risk Management T.D. Hall AAC Conference, Halifax Session 8 September 2015 Themes Climate change as a risk Potential impacts and implications Risk Management considerations

More information

Flood risk management objectives and Romanian catalogue of potential measures for flood prevention, protection and mitigation

Flood risk management objectives and Romanian catalogue of potential measures for flood prevention, protection and mitigation Flood risk management objectives and Romanian catalogue of potential measures for flood prevention, protection and mitigation Daniela Radulescu 1, a, Mirel Bogdan Ion 1, Ramona Dumitrache 1 and Cristian

More information

Social vulnerability and climate change in Flood Risk Management in Scotland

Social vulnerability and climate change in Flood Risk Management in Scotland Social vulnerability and climate change in Flood Risk Management in Scotland Leigh Fraser leigh.fraser@sepa.org.uk Senior Policy Officer, Flood Risk Management Planning and Policy Scottish Environment

More information

Damage assessment in the stress field of scale, comparability and transferability

Damage assessment in the stress field of scale, comparability and transferability Damage assessment in the stress field of scale, comparability and transferability André Assmann 1,a and Stefan Jäger 1 1 geomer GmbH, Im Breitspiel 11B, 69126 Heidelberg, Germany Abstract. Damage assessment

More information

Czech Republic 2007/60/EC

Czech Republic 2007/60/EC Czech Republic 2007/60/EC Methodology & Results of the Flood Risk Mapping Budapest, 16.11.2009 V4 on Flood Protection Ing. Vaclav Jirasek Ing. Petr Brezina Present situation overview Legislation status

More information

Appraising, prioritising and financing flood protection projects in Austria: Introduction of new Guidelines and Tools for Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA)

Appraising, prioritising and financing flood protection projects in Austria: Introduction of new Guidelines and Tools for Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) Appraising, prioritising and financing flood protection projects in Austria: Introduction of new Guidelines and Tools for Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) Heinz Stiefelmeyer 1, Peter Hanisch 2, Michael Kremser

More information

WG F 20 Workshop - Berlin

WG F 20 Workshop - Berlin WG F 20 Workshop - Berlin THE PLUVIAL PFRA IN IRELAND Mark Adamson Office of Public Works 4 th October, 2016 OVERALL APPROACH TO PFRA OVERALL APPROACH Risk Assessment Three-String Approach Historic FRA

More information

Flood Risk Assessment Insuring An Emerging CAT

Flood Risk Assessment Insuring An Emerging CAT Flood Risk Assessment Insuring An Emerging CAT Vijay Manghnani Analytics and Exposure Officer Chartis Insurance Antitrust Notice The Casualty Actuarial Society is committed to adhering strictly to the

More information

A GUIDE TO BEST PRACTICE IN FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT IN AUSTRALIA

A GUIDE TO BEST PRACTICE IN FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT IN AUSTRALIA A GUIDE TO BEST PRACTICE IN FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT IN AUSTRALIA McLuckie D. For the National Flood Risk Advisory Group duncan.mcluckie@environment.nsw.gov.au Introduction Flooding is a natural phenomenon

More information

Flood Damage Assessment (Case study: Sirajganj District)

Flood Damage Assessment (Case study: Sirajganj District) Flood Damage Assessment (Case study: Sirajganj District) Photo Courtesy: Climate and Capitalism Photo Courtesy: Practical Action Blog A.K.M. Saiful Islam Professor Institute of Water and Flood Management

More information

CATASTROPHE RISK MODELLING AND INSURANCE PENETRATION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

CATASTROPHE RISK MODELLING AND INSURANCE PENETRATION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES CATASTROPHE RISK MODELLING AND INSURANCE PENETRATION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES M.R. Zolfaghari 1 1 Assistant Professor, Civil Engineering Department, KNT University, Tehran, Iran mzolfaghari@kntu.ac.ir ABSTRACT:

More information

DRAFT STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT SCREENING REPORT. Climate Change Sectoral Adaptation Plan for Flood Risk Management ( )

DRAFT STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT SCREENING REPORT. Climate Change Sectoral Adaptation Plan for Flood Risk Management ( ) Office of Public Works DRAFT STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT SCREENING REPORT Climate Change Sectoral Adaptation Plan for Flood Risk Management (2014-2019) Determination of the need for strategic environmental

More information

Financing Floods in Chicago. Sephra Thomas. GIS for Water Resources C E 394K. Dr. David Maidment

Financing Floods in Chicago. Sephra Thomas. GIS for Water Resources C E 394K. Dr. David Maidment Financing Floods in Chicago Sephra Thomas GIS for Water Resources C E 394K Dr. David Maidment Fall 2018 Abstract The objective of this term paper is to study the hydrology and social vulnerability of Chicago,

More information

The Costs of Climate Change

The Costs of Climate Change BACKGROUNDER The Costs of Climate Change Prepared by Clare Demerse, federal policy advisor, Clean Energy Canada November 17, 2016 CLIMATE COSTS IN CONTEXT Canada s governments are developing a climate

More information

C o p e r n i c u s E m e r g e n c y M a n a g e m e n t S e r v i c e f o r R i s k p l a n n i n g a n d R e c o v e r y

C o p e r n i c u s E m e r g e n c y M a n a g e m e n t S e r v i c e f o r R i s k p l a n n i n g a n d R e c o v e r y C o p e r n i c u s E m e r g e n c y M a n a g e m e n t S e r v i c e f o r R i s k p l a n n i n g a n d R e c o v e r y Copernicus Service Copernicus EU Copernicus EU Copernicus EU www.copernicus.eu

More information

High Resolution Catastrophe Modeling using CUDA

High Resolution Catastrophe Modeling using CUDA High Resolution Catastrophe Modeling using CUDA Dag Lohmann, Stefan Eppert, Guy Morrow KatRisk LLC, Berkeley, CA http://www.katrisk.com March 2014, Nvidia GTC Conference, San Jose Acknowledgements This

More information

EU FLOODS DIRECTIVE: SHARING A METHODICAL PROCESS TO IMPROVE FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT

EU FLOODS DIRECTIVE: SHARING A METHODICAL PROCESS TO IMPROVE FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT Prevention, Preparedness and Response to Natural and Man-made Disasters in the Eastern Partnership Countries www.pprdeast2.eu www.facebook.com/pprdeast2/ EU FLOODS DIRECTIVE: SHARING A METHODICAL PROCESS

More information

Overview of PADR process

Overview of PADR process SECTION 3 Overview of PADR process PADR is a methodology for use at community level. It involves active engagement, with the community, in a process to explore the risks they face and the factors contributing

More information

Background to the PFRA European Overview UC10508

Background to the PFRA European Overview UC10508 Background to the PFRA European Overview UC10508 The individual Member State Reports reflect the situation as reported by the Member States to the European Commission in 2014 The situation in the MSs may

More information

Impacts of severe flood events in Central Viet Nam: Toward integrated flood risk management

Impacts of severe flood events in Central Viet Nam: Toward integrated flood risk management Impacts of severe flood events in Central Viet Nam: Toward integrated flood risk management Bui Duc Tinh, Tran Huu Tuan, Phong Tran College of Economics, Hue University Viet Nam 1. Research problem 2.

More information

IRISH FLOOD PREVENTION PROGRAMME Example of integrating climate change adaptation into projects

IRISH FLOOD PREVENTION PROGRAMME Example of integrating climate change adaptation into projects IRISH FLOOD PREVENTION PROGRAMME Example of integrating climate change adaptation into projects JASPERS Networking Platform Event Climate Change Adaptation: Vulnerability and Risk Assessment and the Resilience

More information

August 2016 Flood Preliminary Report Amite River Basin

August 2016 Flood Preliminary Report Amite River Basin August 2016 Flood Preliminary Report Amite River Basin Prepared for Amite River Basin Drainage and Water Conservation District Prepared by August 21, 2017 Table of Contents Executive Summary Part I. Background

More information

Climate Change Impacts & Risk Management. A Guide for Business and Government

Climate Change Impacts & Risk Management. A Guide for Business and Government Climate Change Impacts & Risk Management Published by the Australian Greenhouse Office, in the Department of the Environment and Heritage. ISBN: 1 921120 56 8 Commonwealth of Australia 2006 This work is

More information

WG-F Workshop Floods and Economics. Introduction of new Guidelines and Tools for Cost-Benefit-Analysis in FRM

WG-F Workshop Floods and Economics. Introduction of new Guidelines and Tools for Cost-Benefit-Analysis in FRM WG-F Workshop Floods and Economics Austria: Introduction of new Guidelines and Tools for Cost-Benefit-Analysis in FRM Peter Hanisch Michael Kremser Heinz Stiefelmeyer Gent, 25./ 26.Oct. 2010 Table of Contents

More information

THE IMPACTS OF FLOODING ON WELL-BEING AND THE ROLE OF ECOSYSTEM-BASED ADAPTATION

THE IMPACTS OF FLOODING ON WELL-BEING AND THE ROLE OF ECOSYSTEM-BASED ADAPTATION THE IMPACTS OF FLOODING ON WELL-BEING AND THE ROLE OF ECOSYSTEM-BASED ADAPTATION Paul Hudson Philip Bubeck My Pham Liselotte Hagedoorn Ralph Lasage Toon Haer The problem of flooding Floods are one of the

More information

Stochastic model of flow duration curves for selected rivers in Bangladesh

Stochastic model of flow duration curves for selected rivers in Bangladesh Climate Variability and Change Hydrological Impacts (Proceedings of the Fifth FRIEND World Conference held at Havana, Cuba, November 2006), IAHS Publ. 308, 2006. 99 Stochastic model of flow duration curves

More information

Indicators and trends

Indicators and trends Indicators and trends Monitoring climate change adaptation Indicator name Version BT8 Railway network at risk of flooding 31/03/16 Indicator type: Risk/opportunity Impact Action X SCCAP Theme SCCAP Objective

More information

EFRA Select Committee Enquiry on Climate Change Submission from the Association of British Insurers (ABI), October 2004

EFRA Select Committee Enquiry on Climate Change Submission from the Association of British Insurers (ABI), October 2004 EFRA Select Committee Enquiry on Climate Change Submission from the Association of British Insurers (ABI), October 2004 Climate change will have a direct impact on the property insurance market, because

More information

EDIM. ADAPT and CCI-HYDR Workshop Liege, 10. January 2008

EDIM. ADAPT and CCI-HYDR Workshop Liege, 10. January 2008 EDIM ADAPT and CCI-HYDR Workshop Liege, 10. January 2008 THW MEDIS Overview and Interim Results Improved methods for the estimation and mapping of flood risks Annegret Thieken, Heidi Kreibich, Bruno Merz,

More information

Zurich s Post-Event Review Capability:

Zurich s Post-Event Review Capability: Zurich s Post-Event Review Capability: Global lessons for reducing risk and increasing resilience Key messages 1 Impacts from disasters are getting worse. Yet after a disaster, there is rarely time to

More information

Flood issues in the Danube RBD. Igor Liska ICPDR Secretariat

Flood issues in the Danube RBD. Igor Liska ICPDR Secretariat Flood issues in the Danube RBD Igor Liska ICPDR Secretariat PFRA report Introduction; Overall approach and methodology of PFRA; Historical floods in the Danube River Basin; Potential adverse consequences

More information

AUDIT OF THE FLOOD PREVENTIVE MEASURES IN THE SLOVAK REPUBLIC

AUDIT OF THE FLOOD PREVENTIVE MEASURES IN THE SLOVAK REPUBLIC Supreme Audit Office of The Slovak Republic AUDIT OF THE FLOOD PREVENTIVE MEASURES IN THE SLOVAK REPUBLIC Vladimír Maťuš Environment and Agriculture Division, Audit department 1 Supreme Audit Office of

More information

Flood Disaster Risk Management: The Critical Role of Awareness Building, V & A Assessment and Implementation of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures

Flood Disaster Risk Management: The Critical Role of Awareness Building, V & A Assessment and Implementation of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures 1 Flood Disaster Risk Management: The Critical Role of Awareness Building, V & A Assessment and Implementation of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures Introduction Prof. Kanayathu C Koshy Centre for Global

More information

Real Options as a Tool for Valuing Investments in Adaptation to Climate Change

Real Options as a Tool for Valuing Investments in Adaptation to Climate Change Real Options as a Tool for Valuing Investments in Adaptation to Climate Change Conference on Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change in Low-Income Countries 18 May 2011 Washington, DC Peter Linquiti

More information

Micro-zonation-based Flood Risk Assessment in Urbanized Floodplain

Micro-zonation-based Flood Risk Assessment in Urbanized Floodplain Proceedings of Second annual IIASA-DPRI forum on Integrated Disaster Risk Management June 31- August 4 Laxenburg, Austria Micro-zonation-based Flood Risk Assessment in Urbanized Floodplain Tomoharu HORI

More information

Flood Risk Management in EU Case Study Finland

Flood Risk Management in EU Case Study Finland Flood Risk Management in EU Case Study Finland Mr. Olli-Matti Verta Leading water resources expert Centre for Economic Development, Transport and the Environment for Southwest Finland ICIST 2016 "Water

More information

A PRESENTATION BY THE AMERICAN ACADEMY OF ACTUARIES TO THE NAIC S CLIMATE CHANGE AND GLOBAL WARMING (C) WORKING GROUP

A PRESENTATION BY THE AMERICAN ACADEMY OF ACTUARIES TO THE NAIC S CLIMATE CHANGE AND GLOBAL WARMING (C) WORKING GROUP A PRESENTATION BY THE AMERICAN ACADEMY OF ACTUARIES TO THE NAIC S CLIMATE CHANGE AND GLOBAL WARMING (C) WORKING GROUP MARCH 24, 2018 MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN COPYRIGHT 2018 2018 American Academy of Actuaries.

More information

Damage Scanner Jakarta

Damage Scanner Jakarta Damage Scanner Jakarta Yus Budiyono IVM-Vrije Universiteit Badan Pengkajian dan Penerapan Teknologi Overview of presentation Flood risk in general and the use of risk assessment Flood risk model: damage

More information

3. The paper draws on existing work and analysis. 4. To ensure that this analysis is beneficial to the

3. The paper draws on existing work and analysis. 4. To ensure that this analysis is beneficial to the 1. INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND 1. The UNFCCC secretariat has launched a project in 2007 to review existing and planned investment and financial flows in a concerted effort to develop an effective international

More information

Probabilistic Drought Hazard and Risk Model: A contribution of the Risk Nexus Initiative

Probabilistic Drought Hazard and Risk Model: A contribution of the Risk Nexus Initiative Workshop on Developing a Drought Monitoring, Early Warning and Mitigation System for South America 8 10 August 2017 Buenos Aires, Argentina Probabilistic Drought Hazard and Risk Model: A contribution of

More information

Mapping flood risk its role in improving flood resilience in England

Mapping flood risk its role in improving flood resilience in England Mapping flood risk its role in improving flood resilience in England Catherine Wright Director of Digital and Skills Flood and Coastal Risk Management Environment Agency 6 October 2017 The Environment

More information