Reuters/Paul Hackett GLOBAL INVESTMENT BANKING REVIEW

Transcription

1 Reuters/Paul Hackett FULL YEAR 2011

2 Global IB Fees Down 6%; 2H'11 Fees Fall 30% JP Morgan Retains Top Spot Fees from Lending Up 34%; Capital Markets Down 22% Global Investment Banking Fees Total US$81 billion, down 6% from 2010; Second Half Fees fall 30% from First Half 2011 JP Morgan Retains Top Global Investment Banking Fees Ranking, Picks Up Share Financials, Resources and Industrials Account for 62% of Global Investment Banking Fee Pool Equity Capital Markets Fees Down 25%; Debt Capital Markets Fees Fall 17.8%, Loans up 34% Global Investment Banking Fee Leaders Highlight Differences across Major Asset Classes Fees for global Investment Banking services, from M&A advisory to capital markets underwriting, totaled US$81 billion during full year 2011, a 6% decrease over last year at this time. Fourth quarter investment banking fees totaled US$16 billion, an 8% decrease from the third quarter of 2011 and the slowest three-month period for investment banking fees since the first quarter of Fees from EMEA companies fell 16% during the fourth quarter, while fees in Japan decreased 20% in Q4. JP Morgan topped the global investment banking league table for full year 2011 with US$5.5 billion in fees, or 6.8% of overall "walletshare". Bank of America Merrill Lynch booked US$4.9 billion in investment banking fees during full year 2011, an increase of 1.3% over last year and the only year-over-year gain among the top five banks. Fees for Goldman Sachs fell 11.3% compared to full year 2010, resulting in a loss of.3 percentage points, as the firm fell one spot to fourth place during Investment banking activity in the financials, energy & power, industrials and materials sectors accounted for 62% of the global fee pool during full year JP Morgan topped the fee rankings in nine sectors during full year 2011, while Morgan Stanley collected 9% of fees in the high technology sector, which registered a 1% increase over last year at this time. Deutsche Bank, bolstered by sovereign debt underwriting, registered ed a 7.0% share of government e and agency underwriting activity, ty, which fell 14.5% over full year M&A advisory fees totaled US$30.1 billion during full year 2011, an increase of 1.8% over the same period last year, and accounted for 37% of the global fee pool. Fees from equity capital markets underwriting totalled US$18.2 billion, a decline of 25% compared to last year's tally while loan fees improved 34% to US$15.8 billion. Debt capital markets underwriting fees totaled US$16.9 billion during full year 2011, registering a 17.8% decrease over the same time last year. Goldman Sachs controlled 6.0% of fees from worldwide completed M&A transactions, a decline of.6 percentage points compared to full year 2010, while Morgan Stanley moved five spots to top the ranking for global equity capital markets fees with US$1.2 billion, despite a 25% decline compared to JP Morgan retained the top spot for global debt capital markets fees with 8.4% share. Bank of America Merrill Lynch maintained the top spot for fees from syndicated lending, with 8.9% market share during full year MEDIA CONTACT: CRITERIA SUMMARY: Americas Europe Asia-Pacific Japan Lauren Herman Clare Arber Thomas Lau Yukiko Matsushima lauren.herman@thomsonreuters.com clare.arber@thomsonreuters.com thomas.lau@thomsonreuters.com yukiko.matsushima@thomsonreuters.com Thomson Reuters Deals Intelligence, a part of Thomson Reuters' Investment Banking division, brings up to the minute market intelligence to our clients and the financial media through a variety of research reports including Daily Deals Insight, weekly Investment Banking Scorecard, monthly Deals Snapshots and our industry-leading quarterly reviews highlighting trends in M&A and Capital Markets. All data is as of 9:00am EST on January 2, 2011 and sourced via Deals Business Intelligence Volumes based on Thomson Reuters' industry-leading Deals content (M&A, Equity, Bonds and Loans) and Freeman Consulting's algorithm for imputing investment banking fees Date periods referred to within based on the effective date for M&A, the issue date for Equity and Bonds and the closing date for Loans Geographies and sectors are based on the nation of headquarters and macro industry of the deal participant's parent Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

3 Global Investment Banking Fee Trend (US$b) 19.2% CAGR % CAGR Global Investment Banking Fees by Region: Full Year 2011 (US$m) Global $ 80,984.0 fees -6.0% $115.1 $57.0 $66.7 $77.9 $99.0 $76.0 $76.2 $86.1 $81.0 Americas $ 43,008.2 fees -3.0% EMEA Japan $ 21,817.9 fees $ 3,713.2 fees -2.4% -28.6% Asia-Pacific $ 12,444.7 fees -12.5% YOY % Δ 17.1% 16.7% 27.0% 16.3% -34.0% 0.2% 13.1% -6.0% Global Investment Banking Fees by Product (US$b) Global Quarterly Investment Banking Fees by Region (US$b) $17.5 $22.4 $29.0 $38.3 $47.7 $6.3 $8.7 $11.5 $13.4 $15.2 $14.6 $17.9 $18.8 $23.2 $29.0 $34.8 $10.3 $17.2 $22.2 $8.4 $27.0 $29.6 $30.1 $11.7 $15.8 $24.3 $18.2 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 Q4 '11 vs. Q4 '10: Global (-40.2%) Japan (-31.1%) Asia-Pacific (-42.6%) EMEA (-41.5%) Americas (-39.5%) $18.6 $17.7 $18.6 $24.1 $23.2 $13.6 $18.6 $20.5 $ Bonds Equity Loans M&A $5 $ Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

4 Global Investment Banking Fees by Nation: Full Year 2011 Fees (US$) / Year-over-Year Change (%) Americas Europe, Middle East & Africa Asia-Pacific & Japan Region Fees (US$m) YOY Region Fees (US$m) YOY Region Fees (US$m) YOY Region Fees (US$m) YOY North America $ 39, % France & Benelux $ 5, % CIS 1, % North Asia $ 6, % South America 1, % UK & Ireland 4, % Middle East % Japan 3, % Caribbean % Germania 3, % Africa % Australasia 2, % Central America % Southern Europe 3, % CEE % Southeast Asia 1, % Americas $ 43, % Nordic 1, % EMEA $ 21, % South Asia % AsPac & Japan $ 16, % Canada $5.13b / -5.5% United States $34.82b / -2.4% Mexico $465m / 13.6% Sweden: $656m / -9.5% Norway: $462m / -17.4% Denmark: $338m / -22.6% Neth: $1.37b / 12.0% UK: $4.51b / -6.7% Germany: $2.44b / -4.3% Lux: $668m / 9.5% France: $2.89b / 22.9% Spain: $1.53b / -11.2% Switzerland: $1.00b / 9.6% Italy: $1.15b / -1.8% India $863m / -33.2% Russia $1.06b / 28.3% China $4.23b / -24.6% S. Korea: $1.11b / 4.8% Japan: $3.71b / -28.6% Hong Kong: $1.23b / -5.3% Singapore: $522m / -12.7% Malaysia: $413m / -22.6% Brazil $1.17b / -30.7% Australia $2.70b / 11.6% Note: Fee volumes & YOY change displayed for select countries based on 2011 fees from January 01 through December 31 South Africa $366m / 18.0% -50% -20% -10% -5% 0% +5% +10% +20% +50% Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

5 Global Investment Banking: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Rank Fees Share 2011 YOY Bank Name 2011 YOY 2011 YOY 1 - = JP Morgan $ 5, % 6.8% = Bank of America Merrill Lynch 4, % 6.1% Morgan Stanley 4, % 5.1% Goldman Sachs & Co 3, % 4.9% = Credit Suisse 3, % 4.2% Citi 3, % 4.1% Deutsche Bank AG 3, % 4.0% = Barclays Capital , % 28% 35% 3.5% = UBS 2, % 2.9% Wells Fargo & Co 1, % 1.9% = RBC Capital Markets 1, % 1.8% = BNP Paribas SA 1, % 1.8% HSBC Holdings PLC 1, % 1.6% RBS 1, % 1.5% Mizuho Financial Group % 1.2% Nomura % 1.1% Jefferies & Co Inc % 1.1% Lazard % 0.9% Sumitomo Mitsui Finl Grp Inc % 0.9% BMO Capital Markets % 0.9% Rothschild % 0.9% Societe Generale % 0.8% Credit Agricole CIB % 0.8% Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group % 0.8% Macquarie Group % 0.7% 0.1 Global Total $ 80, % PRODUCT MIX Bonds Equity Loans M&A Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

6 Global Investment Banking: Top Corporate Fee Payers (US$m) Market Fees (All Products) Market Fees By Product ( ) Top 3 Banks & Share ( ) Company Name Avg Ann'l Bonds Equity Loans M&A Top 3 Bank #1 Bank #2 Bank #3 AIG $ 319 $ 205 $ 595 $ % MS (15.7%) BOAML (8.7%) JPM (8.6%) GE % JPM (16.9%) CITI (14.6%) MS (12.3%) Gas Natural SDG SA % LA CAIXA (19.7%) UBS (11.9%) BNP (9.5%) Enel SpA % INTESA SP (8.0%) MEDIO (7.2%) JPM (6.8%) ING Groep NV % ING (12.6%) JPM (10.0%) MS (6.6%) Pfizer Inc % JPM (17.0%) BARC (13.6%) GS (12.8%) Porsche Automobil Holding SE % DB (9.4%) CS (9.0%) MS (9.0%) Ford Motor Co % DB (13.9%) GS (12.2%) JPM (10.4%) Rio Tinto PLC % MS (18.7%) JPM (13.3%) CS (12.6%) PPL Corp % BOAML (27.8%) CS (27.7%) WF (9.6%) Gazprom % GAZBK (13.0%) SG (8.6%) JPM (7.6%) Dai-ichi Life Insurance Co Ltd % NOM (37.4%) MIZU (29.8%) BOAML (10.9%) BHP Billiton Ltd % BARC (12.5%) UBS (8.9%) SBNS (6.9%) EDF SA % BNP (16.6%) BOAML (12.9%) BARC (9.5%) HeidelbergCement AG % DB (18.9%) RBS (16.5%) CMZ (15.2%) Fiat SpA % INTESA SP (11.6%) CS (9.6%) CACIB (9.3%) The Dow Chemical Co % CITI (16.6%) BOAML (16.5%) MS (16.0%) Axa SA % DB (15.9%) SG (10.5%) MAQGR (8.1%) Brookfield Asset Mgmt Inc % CIBC (17.9%) SBNS (9.8%) RBC (8.6%) Cemex SAB de CV % CITI (17.2%) SANT (11.4%) BBVA (10.5%) Hitachi Ltd % NOM (38.5%) MIZU (19.0%) GS (12.1%) HCP Inc % UBS (16.9%) BOAML (16.8%) CITI (14.0%) MetLife Inc % CS (14.6%) DB (13.6%) BOAML (12.0%) General Motors Co % JPM (14.0%) MS (13.6%) DB (8.9%) Continental AG % GS (21.4%) JPM (11.6%) DB (9.7%) Top 25 Fee Payers 3,593 4,867 3,758 2, % JPM (7.7%) BOAML (7.1%) CITI (6.8%) All Others 54,009 47,345 57,436 57, % JPM (33.9%) BOAML (29.1%) GS (23.8%) Global Total $ 57,602 $ 52,211 $ 61,194 $ 59, % JPM (7.1%) BOAML (5.9%) GS (4.9%) Notes: - Excludes Governments & Agencies, Government Sponsored Enterprises, Financial Sponsors, Banks, Brokerages, Credit Institutions & Other Financials Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

7 Global Investment Banking: Top Banks by Product/Region/Sector - Full Year 2011 (US$m) By Region By Product By Sector Market Fees (US$m) Top 5 Banks by Fees & Share - Full Year YOY Δ Top 5 Bank #1 Bank #2 Bank #3 Bank #4 Bank #5 Global IB $ 80,984.0 $ 86, % 17.9% JPM (6.8%) BOAML (6.1%) MS (5.1%) GS (4.9%) CS (4.2%) Americas $ 43,008.2 $ 44, % 24.4% JPM (9.2%) BOAML (9.0%) MS (6.1%) GS (5.6%) CITI (5.3%) Europe 20, , % 15.3% DB (5.5%) JPM (5.2%) GS (4.6%) CS (4.3%) BNP (4.1%) Asia-Pacific 12, , % 11.8% UBS (4.5%) GS (4.0%) CS (3.3%) JPM (2.6%) MS (2.6%) Japan 3, , % 46.0% MIZU (18.5%) NOM (14.0%) SMFG (13.5%) DAIWA (9.0%) MS (7.8%) MEA 1, , % 14.3% DB (6.2%) CITI (4.2%) MS (3.9%) JPM (3.5%) BARC (3.3%) M&A $ 30,147.5 $ 29, % 16.6% GS (5.9%) MS (5.4%) JPM (5.2%) CS (3.8%) BOAML (3.8%) Equity 18, , % 18.5% MS (6.6%) 6%) JPM (6.1%) BOAML (5.9%) GS (5.4%) CS (4.7%) Follow-On 10, , % 20.0% BOAML (6.9%) JPM (6.8%) MS (6.2%) GS (5.5%) CS (5.3%) IPO 6, , % 16.2% MS (7.0%) GS (4.9%) JPM (4.3%) DB (4.2%) BOAML (4.2%) Convertible 1, , % 23.4% JPM (9.9%) MS (7.0%) GS (6.6%) BOAML (6.5%) CITI (5.6%) Bonds 16, , % 22.7% JPM (8.4%) BOAML (7.8%) DB (6.6%) CITI (6.5%) BARC (5.6%) Loans 15, , % 22.5% BOAML (8.9%) JPM (8.8%) CITI (4.8%) WF (4.6%) CS (3.5%) Financials $ 22,743.0 $ 26, % 18.1% JPM (6.5%) BOAML (6.0%) GS (5.6%) MS (5.2%) CS (4.7%) Energy & Power 11, , % 17.5% JPM (6.4%) BOAML (5.9%) CITI (5.2%) CS (5.1%) BARC (4.5%) Industrials 7, , % 15.0% JPM (6.4%) BOAML (4.4%) GS (4.2%) CITI (3.8%) MS (3.3%) Materials 7, , % 17.2% JPM (6.4%) MS (5.6%) BOAML (5.2%) CITI (4.7%) CS (3.8%) High Tech 5, , % 21.1% MS (9.0%) JPM (6.6%) BOAML (5.5%) GS (5.4%) BARC (4.9%) Healthcare 4, , % 25.6% JPM (9.3%) BOAML (8.3%) GS (8.1%) MS (6.8%) CS (5.5%) Real Estate 4, , % 19.6% BOAML (8.5%) JPM (5.8%) WF (5.2%) UBS (4.4%) DB (4.4%) Consumer Staples 3, , % 17.9% JPM (6.9%) BOAML (5.6%) GS (5.5%) BARC (3.7%) CS (3.7%) Media & Ent 2, , % 22.1% JPM (7.9%) BOAML (7.2%) DB (7.0%) GS (5.3%) MS (4.8%) Consumer Products 2, , % 18.7% BOAML (7.0%) JPM (6.0%) CS (5.7%) CITI (5.4%) GS (4.1%) Govt & Agencies 2, , % 18.3% DB (7.0%) JPM (6.7%) RBC (4.6%) HSBC (4.4%) BOAML (4.3%) Telecom 2, , % 21.2% JPM (7.9%) BOAML (7.0%) DB (6.2%) MS (6.1%) BARC (5.7%) Retail 2, , % 23.3% JPM (8.7%) BOAML (7.8%) GS (6.8%) MS (5.9%) BARC (4.1%) Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

8 Global Investment Banking: Top Banks by Product (US$m) Global M&A: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Global Equity: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Rank Fees Share Region Mix Rank Fees Share Region Mix 2011 Bank Name Americas EMEA Asia-Pacific Japan 2011 Bank Name Americas EMEA Asia-Pacific Japan 1 - = Goldman Sachs & Co $ 1,792-8% 5.9% Morgan Stanley $ 1,195-24% 6.6% = Morgan Stanley 1,636 13% 5.4% JP Morgan 1,107-28% 6.1% = JP Morgan 1,564 13% 5.2% Bank of America Merrill Lynch 1,068-14% 5.9% = Credit Suisse 1,154 12% 3.8% Goldman Sachs & Co % 5.4% = Bank of America Merrill Lynch 1,146 26% 3.8% Credit Suisse % 4.7% = UBS 1,018 20% 3.4% Deutsche Bank AG % 4.3% = Deutsche Bank AG 857 4% 2.8% Citi % 4.1% Barclays Capital 763 8% 2.5% UBS % 3.5% Citi 707-2% 2.3% Barclays Capital 585-2% 3.2% Rothschild 706-4% 2.3% RBC Capital Markets % 2.0% Lazard % 2.3% Wells Fargo & Co % 1.7% Jefferies & Co Inc % 1.5% Nomura % 1.6% RBC Capital Markets 374 3% 1.2% Pingan Securities Co Ltd % 1.3% Nomura % 1.2% Guosen Securities Co Ltd % 1.2% Macquarie Group % 1.1% Daiwa Securities Group Inc 201-3% 1.1% BNP Paribas SA 303-1% 1.0% HSBC Holdings PLC 200-4% 1.1% = Evercore Partners % 0.9% CIBC World Markets Inc 194-4% 1.1% BMO Capital Markets % 0.8% BMO Capital Markets % 1.0% Houlihan Lokey % 0.8% Macquarie Group % 1.0% HSBC Holdings PLC % 0.8% Canaccord Genuity % 0.9% 0.0 M&A Total $ 30,148 2% Equity Total $ 18,199-25% Global Bonds: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Global Loans: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Rank Fees Share Region Mix Rank Fees Share Region Mix 2011 Bank Name Americas EMEA Asia-Pacific Japan 2011 Bank Name Americas EMEA Asia-Pacific Japan 1 - = JP Morgan $ 1,411-22% 8.4% = Bank of America Merrill Lynch $ 1,400 38% 8.9% = Bank of America Merrill Lynch 1,311-22% 7.8% = JP Morgan 1,384 61% 8.8% Deutsche Bank AG 1,109-15% 6.6% Citi % 4.8% Citi 1,089-21% 6.5% Wells Fargo & Co % 4.6% = Barclays Capital % 5.6% Credit Suisse % 3.5% Morgan Stanley % 5.4% Barclays Capital % 3.5% Goldman Sachs & Co % 5.2% BNP Paribas SA % 3.3% Credit Suisse % 5.1% Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group % 3.1% = RBS % 3.3% Deutsche Bank AG % 3.1% = UBS % 3.2% Mizuho Financial Group % 3.0% = HSBC Holdings PLC 535 1% 3.2% Sumitomo Mitsui Finl Grp Inc % 2.7% = BNP Paribas SA 490-7% 2.9% Morgan Stanley % 2.3% = Wells Fargo & Co % 2.4% RBS % 2.3% = RBC Capital Markets % 2.3% Goldman Sachs & Co % 2.1% Mizuho Financial Group % 1.6% HSBC Holdings PLC % 2.0% Nomura % 1.3% RBC Capital Markets % 1.9% = TD Securities Inc % 1.2% Credit Agricole CIB % 1.8% Credit Agricole CIB % 1.1% Societe Generale 247-1% 1.6% Societe Generale % 1.0% ING % 1.5% Jefferies & Co Inc % 1.0% General Electric Co % 1.5% 0.0 Bonds Total $ 16,860-18% Loans Total $ 15,778 34% Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

9 Global Investment Banking: Top Banks by Region (US$m) Americas Investment Banking: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) EMEA Investment Banking: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Rank Fees Share Product Mix Rank Fees Share Product Mix 2011 Bank Name Bonds Equity Loans M&A 2011 Bank Name Bonds Equity Loans M&A 1 1 JP Morgan $ 3,977 6% 9.2% Deutsche Bank AG $ 1,205 12% 6.1% Bank of America Merrill Lynch 3,864 0% 9.0% JP Morgan 1,112-6% 5.7% Morgan Stanley 2,633-1% 6.1% Goldman Sachs & Co 984 4% 5.0% Goldman Sachs & Co 2,417-12% 5.6% Credit Suisse 918-6% 4.7% = Citi 2,300-2% 5.3% Morgan Stanley 860-3% 4.4% = Credit Suisse 2,087-3% 4.9% BNP Paribas SA 858-4% 4.4% = Barclays Capital 1,914-6% 4.5% Barclays Capital 759 4% 3.9% = Deutsche Bank AG 1,615-16% 3.8% Citi 682 7% 3.5% Wells Fargo & Co 1,528 19% 3.6% Bank of America Merrill Lynch % 3.4% RBC Capital Markets 1,186 4% 2.8% HSBC Holdings PLC 629 9% 3.2% UBS 1,162-12% 2.7% UBS % 3.1% = Jefferies & Co Inc 738 7% 1.7% Societe Generale % 3.0% BMO Capital Markets % 1.6% RBS % 2.6% RBS % 1.2% = Rothschild 497 5% 2.5% = CIBC World Markets Inc 503-1% 1.2% = Credit Agricole CIB 451-1% 2.3% BNP Paribas SA % 1.1% UniCredit 376 2% 1.9% TD Securities Inc 440-1% 1.0% ING % 1.8% Scotiabank-Bank of Nova Scotia 434-1% 1.0% Santander % 1.4% Lazard 399-4% 0.9% Lazard % 1.4% = HSBC Holdings PLC 373 1% 0.9% = Commerzbank AG 241 3% 1.2% 0.2 Americas Total $ 43,008-3% EMEA Total $ 21,818-2% Asia-Pacific Investment Banking: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Japan Investment Banking: Top Banks - Full Year 2011 (US$m) Rank Fees Share Product Mix Rank Fees Share Product Mix 2011 Bank Name Bonds Equity Loans M&A 2011 Bank Name Bonds Equity Loans M&A 1 - = UBS $ 557 1% 4.5% Mizuho Financial Group $ % 18.5% Goldman Sachs & Co 501-2% 4.0% Nomura % 14.0% Credit Suisse 408-8% 3.3% = Sumitomo Mitsui Finl Grp Inc % 13.5% JP Morgan % 2.6% = Daiwa Securities Group Inc % 9.0% Morgan Stanley % 2.6% = Morgan Stanley % 7.8% = Deutsche Bank AG % 2.5% = Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group % 6.8% Citi 281-4% 2.3% Bank of America Merrill Lynch 147-2% 4.0% HSBC Holdings PLC % 2.2% Deutsche Bank AG 90-5% 2.4% Macquarie Group 249-2% 2.0% Goldman Sachs & Co 78-71% 2.1% Pingan Securities Co Ltd % 1.9% UBS 56-34% 1.5% Bank of America Merrill Lynch % 1.9% JP Morgan 51-63% 1.4% Guosen Securities Co Ltd % 1.8% Citi 48-68% 1.3% State Bank of India % 1.6% Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings 24-10% 0.6% CITIC % 1.6% GCA Savvian Group Corp 21 2% 0.6% Standard Chartered PLC % 1.4% = Shinsei Bank % RBS % 1.4% Barclays Capital 17-69% 0.5% China Merchants Securities Co % 1.4% CIBC World Markets Inc % 0.4% Barclays Capital % 1.2% Credit Suisse 17-30% 0.4% Bank of China Ltd % 1.2% Lazard % 0.4% China International Capital Co % 1.1% Resona Holdings Inc 14-15% 0.4% 0.1 Asia-Pacific Total $ 12,445-13% Japan Total $ 3,713-29% Source: Thomson Reuters Deals Business Intelligence

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