Weekly Commodity Report (26 th -Nov-2018)
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1 (26 th -Nov-2018) 1
2 26 th -Nov-2018 MCX GOLD Daily Chart GOLD Commentary Fundamental News: The first gold coins appeared around 560 B.C. Over time it became a practice to store larger amounts of gold in warehouses. Paper receipts were issued certifying that the gold was on deposit. Technical Outlook: Gold has witnessed a negative bias with positional support in between to level. So, Buy above with TGT & SL or else Short near with TGT & SL R R R S S S MCX SILVER Daily Chart Data to Watch: US CB Consumer Confidence, US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks, US Prelim GDP q/q, US Fed Chair Powell Speaks, ALL G20 Meetings, CANADA Current Account, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Personal Spending m/m, US Unemployment Claims, US FOMC Meeting Minutes, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, CHINA Non- Manufacturing PMI, CANADA GDP m/m, CANADA RMPI m/m, US FOMC Member Williams Speaks, US Chicago PMI. SILVER Commentary Fundamental News: The major silver miners stocks have been largely abandoned this year, spiraling to brutal multi-year lows. Such miserable technicals have exacerbated the extreme bearishness plaguing this tiny contrarian sector. While profitable silver mining is challenging at today s exceedingly-low silver prices, these miners are chugging along. Their recently-reported Q3 18 results show their earnings are ready to soar as silver recovers. Technical Outlook: Silver has witnessed a negative range bound trade. Go long above with TGT of & and maintain SL of or else Sell near with TGT & and keep SL of level. R R R S S S Data to Watch: US CB Consumer Confidence, US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks, US Prelim GDP q/q, US Fed Chair Powell Speaks, ALL G20 Meetings, CANADA Current Account, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Personal Spending m/m, US Unemployment Claims, US FOMC Meeting Minutes, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, CHINA Non- Manufacturing PMI, CANADA GDP m/m, CANADA RMPI m/m, US FOMC Member Williams Speaks, US Chicago PMI. 2
3 MCX CRUDE OIL Daily Chart CRUDE OIL Commentary Fundamental News: The short version is that oil prices are a reflection of supply and demand. Global demand has already been falling for the last several months and oil prices are now waking up that reality. Technical Outlook: Crude Oil has remains in under selling pressure. Go long above 3894 With TGT of 4005 & 4141 and keep Sl of 3783 or else short near 3673 with TGT of 3562 & 3426 and keep stop loss of R R R S S S MCX NATURAL GAS Daily Chart Data to Watch: US CB Consumer Confidence, US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks, US Prelim GDP q/q, US Crude Oil Inventories, US Fed Chair Powell Speaks, ALL G20 Meetings, CANADA Current Account, US Personal Spending m/m, US Unemployment Claims, US FOMC Meeting Minutes, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, CANADA GDP m/m, CANADA RMPI m/m, US FOMC Member Williams Speaks, US Chicago PMI. NATURAL GAS Commentary Fundamental News: Natural gas markets continue to be very volatile, after seeing so much in the way of gains over the last couple of weeks. We are going to finish the week with a less than impressive bullish tone, and I think it s only a matter of time before we see this market completely rollover. Technical Outlook: R R R Natural Gas has witnessed a high volatility trade and also positive bias has remains in this counter. Until close below 285 level. Go long above with TGT of & and Keep SL of level or else Go Short below with TGT of & and keep stop loss of Data to Watch: US Natural Gas Storage. S S S
4 MCX COPPER Daily Chart COPPER Commentary Fundamental News: Copper s 12,059 lots a close second. Across the afternoon however, selling pressure began to mount across base metals. Technical Outlook: Copper has witnessed a negative range bound trade. So, go long above with TGT of & and maintain Stop loss of or else go short near with TGT & and keep sl of level. R R R S S S MCX ALUMINIUM Daily Chart Member Bostic Speaks, GBP Bank Stress Test Results, US Prelim GDP q/q, US Fed Chair Powell Speaks, ALL G20 Meetings, EUR German Prelim CPI m/m, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Personal Spending m/m, US Unemployment Claims, US FOMC Meeting Minutes, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y, EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y, US FOMC Member Williams Speaks, US Chicago PMI. ALUMINIUM Commentary Fundamental News: QME made its debut in October this year when it launched a spot domestic alumina price. But liquidity has been slow to build up and few alumina market participants in China are using the spot platform. Technical Outlook: Aluminium has witnessed a tight negative range bound trade. So, go short near with TGT of & keep SL of & Go long above with TGT of & and keep Sl of R R R S S S3 133 Member Bostic Speaks, GBP Bank Stress Test Results, US Prelim GDP q/q, US Fed Chair Powell Speaks, ALL G20 Meetings, EUR German Prelim CPI m/m, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Personal Spending m/m, US Unemployment Claims, US FOMC Meeting Minutes, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y, EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y, US FOMC Member Williams Speaks, US Chicago PMI. 4
5 26 21 th st -Nov May-2018 MCX LEAD Daily Chart LEAD Commentary Technical Outlook: Lead has witnessed a momentum trade. So, go short near with TGT of & and keep SL of Member Bostic Speaks, GBP Bank Stress Test Results, US Prelim GDP q/q, US Fed Chair Powell Speaks, ALL G20 Meetings, EUR German Prelim CPI m/m, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Personal Spending m/m, US Unemployment Claims. R R R S S S MCX ZINC Daily Chart ZINC Commentary Technical Outlook: Zinc has witnessed a high volatility trade. So, short near with TGT of & and SL of Member Bostic Speaks, GBP Bank Stress Test Results, US Prelim GDP q/q, US Fed Chair Powell Speaks, ALL G20 Meetings, EUR German Prelim CPI m/m, US Core PCE Price Index m/m. MCX NICKEL Daily Chart R R R S S S NICKEL Commentary Technical Outlook: Nickel has witnessed a support near 740 range. So, go short near with TGT of & 740 SL of level. Member Bostic Speaks, GBP Bank Stress Test Results. R R R S S2 740 S
6 Weekly MCX COMMODITY CHANGE Indices Close Change % GOLD SILVER CRUDE OIL NATURAL GAS COPPER ALUMINIUM LEAD ZINC NICKEL ECONOMIC CALENDER Country Economic Event Forecast Previous Date &Time JAPAN Current Account 0.23T -0.78T 9th June (5.20 AM) JAPAN Final GDP q/q 1.4% 1.5% 9th June (5.20 AM) CANADA Housing Starts 185K 195K 9th June (5.45 PM) AUD RBA Gov Stevens Speaks - - 9th June (9.00 PM) GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y - 4.2% 10th June (4.31 AM) JAPAN Tertiary Industry Activity m/m -3.3% 2.4% 10th June (5.20 AM) AUD Home Loans m/m 0.3% -0.9% 10th June (7.00 AM) CHINA CPI y/y 2.4% 1.8% 10th June (7.00 AM) CHINA PPI y/y -1.5% -2.0% 10th June (7.00 AM) EUR French Industrial Production m/m 0.3% -0.7% 10th June (12.15 PM) CHINA New Loans 750B 775B 10th 14th June GBP Manufacturing Production m/m 0.4% 0.5% 10th June (2.00 PM) Source : Forex Factory 6
7 Source : Forex Factory ECONOMIC CALENDER 7
8 Source : Forex Factory ECONOMIC CALENDER 8
9 RESEARCHED & PREPARED BY B.KESAVAMOORTHY SENIOR RESEARCH MANAGER ID: CONTACT NO: Disclaimer LAL S This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and is not for public distribution The information provided in the document is from information /data. available in public domain and other sources, which we believe, are reliable. We have made our best efforts to try and ensure accuracy of data however, Sky Commodities and/or any of its affiliates and/or employees shall not liable for resultant loss or damage that may arise from use of this document Sky Commodities and/or any of its affiliates and/or employees may or may not hold positions in any of the securities mentioned in the document. Investors should not solely rely on the information contained in this document and must make investment decisions based on their own investment objectives, risk appetite, investment horizon, financial strength or other parameter. The recipients of this material should take their own professional advice or consult your SEBI registered Investment Adviser for your specific Investment related advice/requirements and/or before acting on this information. The report also includes analysis and views expressed by our research team. The report is purely for information purposes and does not construe to be investment recommendation/advice or an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any securities. The opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing in the material and may be subject to change from time to time without notice. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to local law, regulation or which would subject Sky Commodities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction. 9
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