Weekly Commodity Report (28 th -Jan-2019)
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1 (28 th -Jan-2019) 1
2 28 th -Jan-2019 MCX GOLD Daily Chart GOLD Commentary Fundamental News: Gold touched the lows of January early in the week but has bounced back and is now at the best levels since last Friday. Technical Outlook: Gold has witnessed a positive bias and it possible to level by positional. So, Buy near with TGT & SL or else Short below with TGT & SL R R R S S S MCX SILVER Daily Chart Data to Watch: US CB Consumer Confidence, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, US FOMC Statement, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, CANADA GDP m/m, CANADA RMPI m/ m, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Employment Cost Index q/q, US Personal Spending m/m, US Chicago PMI, CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI, US Average Hourly Earnings m/m, US Non- Farm Employment Change, US Unemployment Rate, US ISM SILVER Commentary Fundamental News: The U.S. dollar has weakened again ahead of next week s FOMC meeting amid growing expectations that the [Federal Reserve] will reiterate the need to pause its [interestrate] hiking cycle. Technical Outlook: Silver has witnessed a positive bias. Go long near with TGT of & and maintain SL of or else Sell below with TGT & and keep SL of level. R R R Data to Watch: US CB Consumer Confidence, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, US FOMC Statement, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, CANADA GDP m/m, CANADA RMPI m/ m, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Employment Cost Index q/q, US Personal Spending m/m, US Chicago PMI, CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI, US Average Hourly Earnings m/m, US Non- Farm Employment Change, US Unemployment Rate, US ISM S S S
3 MCX CRUDE OIL Daily Chart CRUDE OIL Commentary Fundamental News: Oil prices rose on Friday as turmoil in Venezuela triggered concerns that its crude exports could soon be disrupted. Technical Outlook: Crude Oil may expect a positive range bound trade. Go long above 3844 With TGT of 3881 & 3927 and keep Sl of 3807 or else short below 3770 with TGT of 3733 & 3687 and keep stop loss of R R R S S S MCX NATURAL GAS Daily Chart Data to Watch: US CB Consumer Confidence, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, US Crude Oil Inventories, US FOMC Statement, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, CANADA GDP m/m, CANADA RMPI m/m, US Employment Cost Index q/q, US Personal Spending m/m, US Chicago PMI, CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI, US Average Hourly Earnings m/m, US Non-Farm Employment Change, US Unemployment Rate, US ISM NATURAL GAS Commentary Fundamental News: Enbridge Inc reversed the direction of natural gas flows on its Texas Eastern (TETCO) pipeline in Ohio after an explosion on one of its lines there on Monday, according to financial data provider Refinitiv. Technical Outlook: Natural Gas has witnessed a range bound trade. Go Short below with TGT of & and keep stop loss of Or else Go long above with TGT of & and Keep SL of level. Data to Watch: US Natural Gas Storage. R R R S S S
4 MCX COPPER Daily Chart COPPER Commentary Fundamental News: Copper s three-month price appreciated by 2.2% over the afternoon and total volumes traded topped the complex with 20,400 lots changing hands. Technical Outlook: Copper has witnessed a positive rally with resistance of level and to utilize a drop for buying opportunity. So, go long near 427 with TGT of & and maintain Stop loss of 424 or else go short near with TGT & and keep sl of 424 level. R R R S S S MCX ALUMINIUM Daily Chart Data to Watch: EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks, US CB Consumer Confidence, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Employment Cost Index q/q, US Personal Spending m/m, US Chicago PMI, CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI, GBP Manufacturing PMI, US Average Hourly Earnings m/m, US Non- Farm Employment Change, US Unemployment Rate, US ISM ALUMINIUM Commentary Fundamental News: Base metals prices on the London Metal Exchange were mostly higher at the close of trading on Friday January 25, with a downturn in the US dollar index supporting higher prices. Technical Outlook: Aluminium has witnessed a positive range bound trade. So, go short below with TGT of & keep SL of & Go long above with TGT of & and keep Sl of R R R S S S Data to Watch: EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks, US CB Consumer Confidence, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Employment Cost Index q/q, US Personal Spending m/m, US Chicago PMI, CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI, GBP Manufacturing PMI, US Average Hourly Earnings m/m, US Non- Farm Employment Change, US Unemployment Rate, US ISM 4
5 21 28 st th -May Jan-2019 MCX LEAD Daily Chart LEAD Commentary Technical Outlook: Lead was the third metal to break past its nearby support level over the afternoon, trading above $2,100 per tonne and reaching its highest level since October 16, So, go long near with TGT of & and keep SL of MCX ZINC Daily Chart Data to Watch: EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks, US ADP Non- Farm Employment Change, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, US Employment Cost Index q/q, US Chicago PMI, CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI. R R R S S S ZINC Commentary Technical Outlook: Zinc s three-month price is also trending higher and is taking a significant step towards $2,700 per tonne. So, long near with TGT of & and SL of MCX NICKEL Daily Chart Data to Watch: EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks, US CB Consumer Confidence, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI, US Core PCE Price Index m/m, US Employment Cost Index q/q, US Personal Spending m/m, US Chicago PMI, CHINA Caixin Manufacturing PMI. R R R S S S NICKEL Commentary Technical Outlook: Nickel has witnessed a positive bias. So, go long near with TGT of & SL of level. Data to Watch: EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks, US CB Consumer Confidence, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, US Federal Funds Rate, CHINA Manufacturing PMI. R R R S S S
6 Weekly MCX COMMODITY CHANGE Indices Close Change % GOLD SILVER CRUDE OIL NATURAL GAS COPPER ALUMINIUM LEAD ZINC NICKEL ECONOMIC CALENDER Country Economic Event Forecast Previous Date &Time JAPAN Current Account 0.23T -0.78T 9th June (5.20 AM) JAPAN Final GDP q/q 1.4% 1.5% 9th June (5.20 AM) CANADA Housing Starts 185K 195K 9th June (5.45 PM) AUD RBA Gov Stevens Speaks - - 9th June (9.00 PM) GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y - 4.2% 10th June (4.31 AM) JAPAN Tertiary Industry Activity m/m -3.3% 2.4% 10th June (5.20 AM) AUD Home Loans m/m 0.3% -0.9% 10th June (7.00 AM) CHINA CPI y/y 2.4% 1.8% 10th June (7.00 AM) CHINA PPI y/y -1.5% -2.0% 10th June (7.00 AM) EUR French Industrial Production m/m 0.3% -0.7% 10th June (12.15 PM) CHINA New Loans 750B 775B 10th 14th June GBP Manufacturing Production m/m 0.4% 0.5% 10th June (2.00 PM) Source : Forex Factory 6
7 Source : Forex Factory Weekly Commodity Report ECONOMIC CALENDER 7
8 Source : Forex Factory Weekly Commodity Report ECONOMIC CALENDER 8
9 RESEARCHED & PREPARED BY B.KESAVAMOORTHY SENIOR RESEARCH MANAGER ID: CONTACT NO: Disclaimer LAL S This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and is not for public distribution The information provided in the document is from information /data. available in public domain and other sources, which we believe, are reliable. We have made our best efforts to try and ensure accuracy of data however, Sky Commodities and/or any of its affiliates and/or employees shall not liable for resultant loss or damage that may arise from use of this document Sky Commodities and/or any of its affiliates and/or employees may or may not hold positions in any of the securities mentioned in the document. Investors should not solely rely on the information contained in this document and must make investment decisions based on their own investment objectives, risk appetite, investment horizon, financial strength or other parameter. The recipients of this material should take their own professional advice or consult your SEBI registered Investment Adviser for your specific Investment related advice/requirements and/or before acting on this information. The report also includes analysis and views expressed by our research team. The report is purely for information purposes and does not construe to be investment recommendation/advice or an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any securities. The opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing in the material and may be subject to change from time to time without notice. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to local law, regulation or which would subject Sky Commodities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction. 9
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