THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL

Transcription

1 THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered Likely Voters

2 Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 67% 24% 10% Right direction Unsure Wrong track Q1

3 October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered likely voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 57% 55% 54% 52% 54% 67% 62% 60% 51% 56% 55% 64% 63% 62% 72% 59% 75% 61% 59% 59% 57% 56% 57% 59% 54% 73% 67% 38% 41% 40% 40% 39% 28% 32% 31% 38% 36% 34% 31% 32% 28% 29% 35% 33% 32% 37% 38% 37% 39% 34% 24% Mar- 04 Jun- 04 Aug- 04 Oct- 04 Mar- 05 Oct- 05 Feb- 06 Sep- 06 Jul- 09 Dec- 09 Apr- 10 Aug- 10 Right Direction 38% 40% 40% 41% 39% 28% 32% 31% 38% 34% 36% 28% 31% 29% 32% 19% 18% 35% 33% 32% 37% 38% 37% 39% 34% 19% 24% Wrong Track 57% 55% 54% 52% 54% 67% 60% 62% 51% 56% 55% 62% 63% 64% 59% 72% 75% 59% 59% 61% 57% 56% 57% 54% 59% 73% 67% Unsure 7% 7% 9% 7% 11% 9% 9% 10% 7% 9% 9% 8% 6% 8% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 10% Sep- 10 Oct- 10 May- 11 Sep- 11 Nov- 11 Feb- 12 May- 12 Aug- 12 Sep- 12 9/27 /12 10/1 8/12 11/5 /12 12/6 /12 10/3 1/13 1/16 /14 Q1

4 In thinking about the past few months and leaders in Washington solving problems, do you think that things have gotten better, gotten worse, stayed the same over the past few months? 54% 32% 12% 2% Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused Q2

5 If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate, in your Congressional district? 43% 41% 16% Republican Undecided Democratic Q3

6 October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered likely voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for, the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate, in your Congressional district? 44% 43% 47% 45% 46% 45% 44% 42% 47% 45% 44% 46% 46% 46% 46% 47% 45% 42% 44% 41% 43% 41% 13% 8% 11% 13% 8% 13% 9% 10% 7% 15% 16% 11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14 Republican 43% 45% 46% 45% 45% 44% 46% 47% 42% 41% 43% Undecided 13% 8% 11% 13% 9% 10% 8% 7% 13% 15% 16% Democratic 44% 47% 44% 42% 47% 46% 46% 46% 45% 44% 41% Q3

7 Do you think your Member of Congress has performed their job well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance? 54% 29% 17% Deserves re-election Undecided New person a chance Q4

8 How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? 54% 41% 5% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q5

9 October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered likely voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? 51% 52% 50% 52% 53% 48% 49% 50% 49% 49% 49% 50% 54% 52% 46% 45% 45% 44% 45% 48% 48% 48% 49% 48% 49% 47% 45% 41% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5% 10/20/10 5/12/11 9/1/11 11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14 Approve 46% 52% 45% 44% 53% 48% 48% 50% 49% 49% 49% 50% 45% 41% Unsure 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5% Disapprove 51% 45% 50% 52% 45% 48% 49% 48% 49% 48% 49% 47% 52% 54% Q5

10 Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President, what is your impression of Barack Obama as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him? 61% 29% 10% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q6

11 I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue. Here is the first one: The economy 40% 3% 57% Solving problems 43% 3% 55% Working with Congress 40% 3% 56% The federal budget and spending 33% 4% 63% Jobs 43% 3% 54% Taxes 41% 6% 53% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q7-12

12 How would you rate the job Congress is doing? Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing? 87% 81% 9% 14% 4% 4% Approve Unsure Disapprove 10/31/2013 1/16/2014 Q13

13 How would you rate the job your Member of Congress is doing? Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing? 39% 47% 50% 44% 11% 9% Approve Unsure Disapprove 10/31/2013 1/16/2014 Q14

14 As you may already know, in December Congress passed and the President signed a law to fund the federal government for two years. Have you seen, read or heard anything about this federal budget deal? 47% 51% 2% Yes Unsure No Q21

15 Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about this budget deal, has it made you more likely or less likely to vote for your Member of Congress? (If Yes in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample) 36% 42% 10% 12% More likely Unsure No difference Less likely Q22

16 And, based on what you know, do you think this deal was more of a step in the right direction or giving up on key principles? (If Yes in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample) 42% 49% 1% 7% Step in the right direction Giving up on key principles Other Unsure/Refused Q23

17 In general, do you favor or oppose the Affordable Care Act, which is also called Obamacare? 53% 56% 43% 41% 4% 3% Favor Unsure Oppose 1/31/2013 1/16/20142 Q24

18 Do you think that the Affordable Care Act, also called Obamacare, went too far, did not go far enough, or was about right? Too far 49% 49% Not far enough Was about right 23% 23% 21% 20% Combo/Other None Unsure/Refused 1% 2% 6% 1/16/2014 1/16/20142 Q25

19 Do you think that the national economy has gotten better, worse, or stayed the same over the past four years? 35% 42% 23% Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused 1% Q26

20 Do you think that your personal economic situation has gotten better, worse, or stayed the same over the past four years? Gotten better 22% Gotten worse 36% Stayed the same 40% Combo/Other 1% Unsure/Refused 1% Q27

21 How big of a problem would you say that income inequality is? Would you say it is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, not much of a problem, or not a problem at all? Big problem 49% Somewhat of a problem 30% Not much of a problem 8% Not a problem at all 9% Unsure/Refused 4% Q28

22 What do you think would be the best way to make sure that everyone can move up economically? Would you say it is reducing the gap between the wealthiest Americans and the rest of the country or cutting taxes and removing unnecessary regulations? Closing the gap 43% Cutting taxes/removing regulations 45% Combo/Other 4% None 3% Unsure/Refused 5% Q29

23 What is the likelihood that you will actually watch the speech live from the floor of the House of Representatives? Are you extremely likely, very likely, somewhat likely, or not very likely at all to watch President Obama s speech? Extremely Likely 23% Very Likely 24% Somewhat Likely 18% Not at all Likely 33% Unsure/Refuse 1% Q30

24 Still thinking about the State of the Union speech, how important do you think this year s speech will be? Would you say this will be extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not very important speech? Extremely Important 18% Very Important 24% Somewhat Important 26% Not at all Important 31% Unsure/Refuse 2% Q31

25 And, in thinking about the State of the Union speech that President Obama will give this year, do you think the nation needs to hear a list of detailed policy proposals to address our problems or an inspirational speech that will bring us together as a nation? Detailed policy proposals 56% Inspirational speech 27% Both 8% Neither 4% Unsure/Refuse 5% Q32

26 Now I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think it is extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not very important for President Obama to talk about that issue. Here is the first one The economy 85% 11% 3% 1% The civil war in Syria 25% 45% 27% 3% Immigration 48% 40% 11% 2% Income inequality 55% 24% 18% 3% Jobs 83% 12% 4% 1% Very Important Somewhat Important Not at all Important Unsure Q33-37

27 Now I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think it is extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not very important for President Obama to talk about that issue. Here is the first one Taxes 66% 26% 6% 2% The Federal deficit 72% 19% 7% 2% The new healthcare law 66% 19% 13% 2% The role of government in our lives 53% 31% 13% 2% Very Important Somewhat Important Not at all Important Unsure Q38-41