ASIA SHIPPING OUTLOOK
|
|
- Lucy Hicks
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 OCTOBER 2015 ASIA SHIPPING OUTLOOK Market Fundamentals: A Look at Trans-Pacific and Asia-Europe Trades Mario O. Moreno, Senior Economist Mario.Moreno@ihs.com
2 FE Asia US trade outperforming FE Asia Europe Trade Divergent paths in the trans-pacific trade: US imports from FE Asia (FE Asia-US) outperforming US exports to FE Asia (US-FE Asia). The FE Asia US trade outperforms FE Asia Europe trade, reflecting stronger economic conditions in the US. Solid gains in US housing market will support import trade growth (e.g. furniture, miscellaneous plastic products, hardware, etc.) from FE Asia. SE Asia, Indian Subcontinent gaining market share in FE Asia US Trade at the expense of China, NE Asian advanced economies. US FE Asia trade falling but expect rebound in as demand improves, dollar starts multi-year descent. FE Asia-Europe trade declining but expect rebound in 2016 as Eurozone growth will improve slightly, aided by monetary stimulus, currency depreciation, and pent-up demand. 2
3 Trans-Pacific Trade 3
4 Divergent Paths in the Trans-Pacific Trade 4
5 FE Asia US Container Trade in Upward Trend JOC TPM Asia / October all time high: 14.7 mil. TEUs (+6.3% growth). US Real GDP growth picked up to 3.9% in Q2, led by accelerations in consumer spending, building construction. Home sales recovering at solid pace on low interest rates, improving labor market FE Asia US Trade Millions of TEUs and Annual Growth Source: JOC Insights f TEUs (LHS) % Change (RHS) 10% 5% 0% Housing: New construction improving on increased demand, lower supply side price pressures Strong dollar. 5
6 Positive Outlook for FE Asia US Container Trade US economy to grow % in up from 2.5% in 2015, led by solid growth in consumer spending, residential construction Housing starts (Mil. Units): 1.1 in 2015; 1.3 in 2016; 1.5 in Exist. House sales (Mil. Units): 5.3 in 2015; 5.6 in 2016; 5.7 in Improving consumer spending on stronger disposable income growth, lower energy prices, housing recovery. Favorable exchange rates. 5.4% 1.5% FE Asia US Trade: Growth Forecast 7.2% 5.8% 6.3% 4.9% 3.0% FE Asia Source: JOC Container Shipping Outlook SE Asia 15.6% 11.4% 10.2% 7.5% 7.6% f 2016f 2017f 6
7 Lower productions costs will continue to boost SE Asia, ISC market shares in FE Asia US Trade over Market Shares in the FE Asia US Trade 64% 64% 64% 65% 63% JOC TPM Asia / October 2015 China NE Asia exc. China SE Asia Indian Sub 18% 18% 17% 16% 15% 13% 13% 13% 14% 15% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% f f 7
8 US FE Asia Container Trade in Downward Trend Trade expected to fall in 2015 for 2 nd straight year, hit 5-year low at 6.4 mil. TEUs. Slowing economies in Asia- Pacific region. US exports to top-market China down 10% in 1H2015. Unfavorable exchange rates for US exporters. West Coast port disruption effects US FE Asia Trade Millions of TEUs and Annual Growth f TEUs (LHS) Source: JOC Insights % Change (RHS) 10% 0% -10% 8
9 US FE Asia Container Trade Expected to Moderately Rebound Over Asia-Pacific region continues to lead global growth, forecast to expand considerably faster than the world average. As global demand picks up, China will boost imports of inputs. The dollar begins a slow multiyear descent in 2H % US FE Asia Trade: Growth Forecast 3.2% FE Asia Source: JOC Container Shipping Outlook 5.4% 6.5% -0.6% -3.0% -3.0% f 2016f 2017f 9
10 Asia-Europe Trade 10
11 Asia-Europe Trade in Downward Trend 11
12 Asia-Europe Container Trade Expected to Rebound in 2016 Asia-Europe Trade: Forecast 5.2% 7.3% 6.6% Up 6.6% in 2016 to total approx million TEUs. Eurozone growth will improve slightly, aided by monetary stimulus, pent-up demand. Yen to depreciate against euro during % -3.4% Source: CTS; JOC Insights f 2016f 12
13 Summary The FE Asia US trade outperforming the US FE Asia trade as US economy slowly improves while Asia-Pacific region struggles. Source shifting expanding, favoring lowcost producers in SE Asia, ISC at the expense of China and advanced economies in NE Asia. US FE Asia trade to rebound over as demand improves, and dollar expected to start multiyear descent in 2H16. Asia-Europe trade will contract this year but expect rebound in 2016 as slightly better economic conditions in Europe and favorable exchange rates boost demand. 13
14 Contact us Thank You! IHS Customer Care: Americas: IHS CARE ( ); Europe, Middle East, and Africa: +44 (0) ; Asia and the Pacific Rim: ; COPYRIGHT NOTICE AND DISCLAIMER 2015 IHS. All rights reserved. No portion of this presentation may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without prior written consent of IHS. Content reproduced or redistributed with IHS permission must display IHS legal notices and attributions of authorship. The information contained herein is from sources considered reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not warranted, nor are the opinions and analyses which that are based upon it, and to the extent permitted by law, IHS shall not be liable for any errors or omissions or any loss, damage, or expense incurred by reliance on information or any statement contained herein. In particular, please note that no representation or warranty is given as to the achievement or reasonableness of, and no reliance should be placed on, any projections, forecasts, estimates, or assumptions, and, due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events and results may differ materially from forecasts and statements of belief noted herein. This presentation is not to be construed as legal or financial advice, and use of or reliance on any information in this publication is entirely at your own risk. IHS and the IHS logo are trademarks of IHS.
TRENDS IN THE TRANS-ATLANTIC AND ASIA-EUROPE TRADES
SEPTEMBER 2015 TRENDS IN THE TRANS-ATLANTIC AND ASIA-EUROPE TRADES Trade Projections for Trans-Atlantic, Asia-Europe in 2016-2017 Mario O. Moreno, Senior Economist +1 973 776 7850 Mario.Moreno@ihs.com
More information2015 CONTAINER SHIPPING OUTLOOK. By Mario O. Moreno Economist, JOC, IHS
2015 CONTAINER SHIPPING OUTLOOK By Mario O. Moreno Economist, JOC, IHS Weak 2015 Outlook for U.S. Container Trade 2015 imports forecast downgraded on severity of West Coast port congestion, weak January
More informationExtraction Oil & Gas IHS HEROLD. IPO Summary. Market Research. ihs.com. 15 September 2016
IHS HEROLD Market Research IPO Summary 15 September 2016 ihs.com Extraction Oil & Gas Raoul LeBlanc, Managing Director, Financial Services, +1 713 568 8852, Raoul.LeBlanc@ihs.com Andrea Anderson, Senior
More informationMEXICO S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Information Analytics Expertise AUGUST 2014 MEXICO S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Rafael Amiel Director, Latin America -IHS Economics +1 215 789 7405 rafael.amiel@ihs.com Why has growth in emerging markets slowed?
More informationIHS ECONOMICS & COUNTRY RISK Analysis: The Economic Impact of RhodeWorks
IHS ECONOMICS & COUNTRY RISK Analysis: The Economic Impact of RhodeWorks December 16, 2015 ihs.com Chuck Clowdis Managing Director Paul Ciannavei Senior Consultant Ryan Siavelis Analyst Contents Highway
More informationAustralian Dollar Outlook
Tuesday, 31 March 015 Australian Dollar Outlook Still Under Pressure We have revised our AUD forecasts for this year down slightly to reflect developments over recent months. We now expect the AUD to end
More informationTrade and Economic Trends Evolving Patterns and Attitudes
Trade and Economic Trends Evolving Patterns and Attitudes Paul Bingham AAPA Marine Terminal Management Training Program Long Beach California October 1, 2018 World Economic Growth Increasing Emerging Markets
More informationECONOMIC COMMENTARY. Vehicle Sales. Economics South Africa. Total sales growth continues to points towards a rebound off a low base.
ECONOMIC COMMENTARY Economics South Africa 01 November 2017 Vehicle Sales Total sales growth continues to points towards a rebound off a low base Total new vehicle sales increased to 51 037 units in October,
More informationEconomic activity gathers pace
Produced by the Economic Research Unit October 2014 A quarterly analysis of trends in the Irish economy Economic activity gathers pace Positive data flow Recovery broadening out GDP growth revised up to
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. May 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch May 2018 BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch / 2 Eurozone: more moderate growth with higher uncertainty The eurozone GDP growth slowed in more than expected. Beyond temporary
More informationEconomic Update. Port Finance Seminar. Paul Bingham. Global Insight, Inc. Copyright 2006 Global Insight, Inc.
Economic Update Copyright 26 Global Insight, Inc. Port Finance Seminar Paul Bingham Global Insight, Inc. Baltimore, MD May 16, 26 The World Economy: Is the Risk of a Boom-Bust Rising? As the U.S. Economy
More informationIreland Outlook. Economy powering on. February Economic Research Unit
Ireland Outlook February 218 Economy powering on Momentum in the Irish economy remains strong, with activity in the first three quarters of 217 ahead of expectations and high frequency data indicating
More informationGlobal economic overview and the new oil price environment
IHS AUTOMOTIVE Presentation Global economic overview and the new oil price environment IHS Automotive Conference Tokyo 5 March 215 ihs.com Sara Johnson, Senior Research Director, Global Economics +1 781
More informationInsolvency forecasts. Economic Research August 2017
Insolvency forecasts Economic Research August 2017 Summary We present our new insolvency forecasting model which offers a broader scope of macroeconomic developments to better predict insolvency developments.
More information2017 Mid-Year Commercial Real Estate Outlook for Asia Pacific
2017 Mid-Year Commercial Real Estate Outlook for Asia Pacific REAL ASSETS REAL ESTATE INVESTING TEAM INVESTMENT INSIGHT 2017 The global macroeconomic landscape continues its shift away from highly accommodative
More informationConsensus Forecast 2010 and 2011
Consensus Forecast 2010 and 2011 Seventeenth Annual Automotive Outlook Symposium Detroit, Michigan June 4, 2010 William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Review
More informationMarkit economic overview
Markit Economics Markit economic overview PMI data highlight growing variations in likely policy paths 9 June 2015 Global growth slows for second month running in May Global economic growth edged lower
More informationBrexit: Taking the pulse of the UK economy
Image courtesy of skeeze, pixabay.com, CC0 Brexit: Taking the pulse of the UK economy Katharina Utermöhl, Senior Economist Europe October 24, 2017 United Kingdom: Eurozone growth surprises on the upside
More informationMonthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Review of the Australian Economy
MELBOURNE INSTITUTE Applied Economic & Social Research Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends: Review of the Australian Economy December 7 Released on December 7 Outlook for Australia Economic Activity Actual
More informationRegional economic overview: Midyear assessment. Christopher Edmonds Senior Economist Pacific Department, Asian Development Bank, Manila
Regional economic overview: Midyear assessment Christopher Edmonds Senior Economist Pacific Department, Asian Development Bank, Manila ADB Developing Member Countries in the Pacific International and regional
More informationMain Economic & Financial Indicators Eurozone
Main Economic & Financial Indicators Eurozone 03 NOVEMBER 2015 AKIKO DARVELL ASSOCIATE ECONOMIST ECONOMIC RESEARCH OFFICE (LONDON) T +44-(0)20-7577-1591 E akiko.darvell@uk.mufg.jp The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy buoyed by rising US strength. June 12 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Global PMI Global economy buoyed by rising US strength June 12 th 2018 2 Global PMI rises but also brings signs of slower future growth At 54.0 in May, the headline JPMorgan Global Composite PMI, compiled
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy set for robust Q2 growth. June 8 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Global PMI Global economy set for robust Q2 growth June 8 th 2017 2 PMI indicates robust global growth in Q2 The global economy is on course for a robust second quarter, according to PMI survey data. The
More informationAsia/Pacific Economic Overview
Copyright E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company. All rights reserved. Distribution, reproduction or copying of this copyrighted work without express written permission of DuPont is prohibited. Asia/Pacific
More informationHAMBURGER HAFEN UND LOGISTIK AG
HAMBURGER HAFEN UND LOGISTIK AG Analyst Conference Call on the Interim Results January to March 2017 Hamburg, 12 May 2017 Disclaimer The facts and information contained herein are as up to date as is reasonably
More informationBusiness activity growth weakens in June
9 July 2018 NatWest Wales PMI Business activity growth weakens in June Key Findings Output rises at softer pace Rate of growth in new business weakest in almost two years Staffing numbers decline Wales
More informationKey figures as of March 31, 2018 April 26, 2018
Key figures as of March 31, 2018 Highlights Growth on track Growth above market All regions and business lines contributed to growth Strong activity in large projects business Execution of major strategic
More informationInvestec Services PMI Ireland
Embargoed until: 06:00 (Dublin) June 6th 18 Investec Services PMI Ireland Investec T: +3-1-421-0496 E: Investec.Economics@investec.ie W: www.investec.ie Investec in Ireland, a member of the Investec Group,
More informationInvestec Services PMI Ireland
Embargoed until: 06:00 (Dublin) July 4th 18 Investec Services PMI Ireland Sharpest rise in activity since January Investec T: +3-1-421-0496 E: Investec.Economics@investec.ie W: www.investec.ie Investec
More information2011 Ringgit Bond Market Outlook
211 Ringgit Bond Market Outlook Wan Murezani Wan Mohamad Head Fixed Income Research 211 Investor Briefing 22 March 211 MALAYSIAN RATING CORPORATION BERHAD Clarity and Integrity www.marc.com.my Disclaimer
More informationMain Economic & Financial Indicators Poland
Main Economic & Financial Indicators Poland. 6 OCTOBER 2015 NAOKO ISHIHARA ECONOMIST ECONOMIC RESEARCH OFFICE (LONDON) T +44-(0)20-7577-2179 E naoko.ishihara@uk.mufg.jp The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ,
More informationSummary. Economic Update 1 / 7 December 2017
Economic Update Economic Update 1 / 7 Summary 2 Global Strengthening of the pickup in global growth, with GDP expected to increase 2.9% in 2017 and 3.1% in 2018. 3 Eurozone The eurozone recovery is upholding
More informationSaudi Arabian economy Moderation in 2013 and rebound in 2014
Research Department Md. Rahmatullah Khan, Economic analyst Tel: +966 1 211 9319, khanmr@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi Arabian economy Saudi Arabian economy Moderation in 2013 and rebound in 2014 Saudi Arabian
More informationTrade & Economic Trends: Implications for Port Terminals Paul Bingham, Economics Practice Leader CDM Smith
Trade & Economic Trends: Implications for Port Terminals Paul Bingham, Economics Practice Leader CDM Smith AAPA Marine Terminal Management Training Long Beach, CA September 9, 2013 Marine Terminal Demand
More informationMarkit economic overview
Markit Economics Markit economic overview Global growth held back by emerging market stagnation August 11 2015 Developed world leads global growth higher for first time in four months Global economic growth
More informationGus Faucher Stuart Hoffman William Adams Kurt Rankin Mekael Teshome Chief Economist Senior Economic Advisor Senior Economist Economist Economist
September 217 Gus Faucher Stuart Hoffman William Adams Kurt Rankin Mekael Teshome Chief Economist Senior Economic Advisor Senior Economist Economist Economist Executive Summary Job Growth Slows in August,
More informationAmerican Association of Port Authorities 2015 Marine Terminal Management Training Paul Bingham, Economic Development Research Group
American Association of Port Authorities 2015 Marine Terminal Management Training Paul Bingham, Economic Development Research Group Long Beach, CA September 14, 2015 2 The Economic Forecast is for Slow
More informationGlobal PMI. Solid Q2 growth masks widening growth differentials. July 7 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Global PMI Solid Q2 growth masks widening growth differentials July 7 th 2017 2 Widening developed and emerging world growth trends The global economy enjoyed further steady growth in June, according to
More informationChina Economic Growth Slows in 1Q
Yao Shaohua, PhD Senior Economist shaohuayao@hangseng.com China Economic Growth Slows in 1Q 15 April 2015 Mainland China s economic growth continued to lose momentum in the first quarter, due largely to
More informationUlster Bank Northern Ireland PMI
Embargoed until 0101 UK (0001 UTC) 10 September 2018 Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI New orders rise at weakest pace in four months Key Findings Weaker growth of output and new orders Further increase
More informationNovember PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy November 2015 John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Theresa Miller Phone:
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy starts 2017 on the front foot, PMI at 22-month high. February 8 th 2016
Global PMI Global economy starts 2017 on the front foot, PMI at 22-month high February 8 th 2016 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved. 2 Global PMI at 22-month high The global economy started 2017 with
More informationProvince, regions and longer term outlook
Province, regions and longer term outlook HOUSING OUTLOOK CONFERENCE QUÉBEC Kevin Hughes Regional Economist November 18, 214 Housing market intelligence you can count on OUTLINE Housing market intelligence
More informationZenith Monthly Economic Report October 2011
Zenith Monthly Economic Report October 211 ECONOMIC STATISTICS SUMMARY Cash Rate Inflation Rate (%) Unemployment Rate (%) GDP Annual Growth (%) Country Latest Last Change Latest Change Latest Change Past
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Further Stock Gains with Macro Sweet Spot & Earnings Recovery.
More informationManufacturing sector expands strongly in June.
July 2018 Manufacturing sector expands strongly in June. Key findings Growth momentum in the Australian manufacturing sector picked up at the end of the second quarter. Demand improved at a sharp pace,
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. July 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 Eurozone: A shift to more moderate growth with increased downward risks BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 / 2 Hard data improved in May but failed to recover
More informationCESC Index Report for November
CESC Index Report for November China Exchanges Services Co Ltd (CESC) Highlights Mainland A shares outperformed Hong Kong stocks in November. The CES A80 surged 7.4 per cent. The CES 300 surged 3.7 per
More informationNorth American Economic Outlook: Climbing Out of Recession
North American Economic Outlook: Climbing Out of Recession Presentation to the Canadian Association of Movers Paul Ferley (1) 97-731 Assistant Chief Economist paul.ferley@rbc.com November 17, 9 U.S. Economic
More informationMUFG LATIN AMERICA TOPICS
MUFG LATIN AMERICA TOPICS Colombia s Macroeconomic Performance: Q3 17 GDP and Current Monthly Indicators MUFG UNION BANK, N.A. ECONOMIC RESEARCH (NEW YORK) KAREN MARTINEZ Latin America Economist +1(1)78-78
More informationCAV: THE ROAD AHEAD. Prepared for Clorosur 2016 Buenos Aires, Argentina NOVEMBER 2016
NOVEMBER 2016 CAV: THE ROAD AHEAD Prepared for Clorosur 2016 Buenos Aires, Argentina Hazel Kreuz, Global Director, Chlor-Alkali/Vinyls +1 832 619 8592 Hazel.Kreuz@ihsmarkit.com About IHS Markit IHS Markit
More informationUlster Bank Northern Ireland Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
Ulster Bank Northern Ireland Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Includes analysis of Global, Eurozone, UK, UK Regions, NI & Republic of Ireland economic performance by sector February 2016 Survey Update Issued
More informationQuarterly Economic Outlook: Quarter on 25 September 2018 Strong Economic Expansions amidst Uncertainty of Trade War
Foregin Direct Investment (Billion USD) China U.S. Asia World Quarterly Economic Outlook: Quarter 3 2018 on 25 September 2018 Strong Economic Expansions amidst Uncertainty of Trade War Thai Economy: Thai
More informationEurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast December 2014
Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast December 2014 Outlook for Road to recovery remains strewn with obstacles Published in collaboration with Highlights GDP growth With the Finnish economy still struggling to
More informationEconomic Outlook. December Dan McLaughlin. Chief Economist
Economic Outlook December 211 Chief Economist Dan McLaughlin 11q3(e) 11q1 1q3 Global growth has slowed this year... Global Growth (%) 6 4 2-2 -4-6 1q1 9q3 9q1 8q3 8q1 7q3 7q1 World US Euro And OECD expects
More informationGlobal Investment Outlook
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook 2015 Year Ahead - Global Investment Outlook Stocks likely to Post Solid Gains in 2015 Fuelled by Fresh QE Stimulus in Eurozone
More informationEurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014
Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014 Austria Belgium Cyprus Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Latvia Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Outlook for
More informationSaudi Arabian economy Saudi crude production less synchronized with global growth
Md. Rahmatullah Khan, Economic analyst Tel: +966 2 939, khanmr@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi Arabian economy Saudi Arabian economy Saudi crude production less synchronized with global growth Crude oil production
More informationSlower take-up but most prices continue to rise
PROPERTY INSIGHTS Singapore Quarter 1, 211 Slower take-up but most prices continue to rise Market Overview Following a 14.5% GDP growth in 21, the economy is forecasted to grow by 4-6% in 211. While interest
More informationMonthly Outlook. June Summary
Monthly Outlook June 2015 Summary Yields of US Treasuries (USTs) rallied in May, with the 2-year and 10-year yields up 4 and 9 basis points (bps) respectively as compared to end-april levels. During the
More informationPRIVATE BANKING PRIVATE BANKING
US (UNDERWEIGHT) Valuations remain high Downward revision to earnings forecasts persists Monetary policy realtively less supportive Recent rally relative to other markets looks March 211rebased 2 1 overstretched
More informationResearch Pent-up demand in investments could boost euro area growth
Investment General Market Conditions 3 September 2013 Pent-up demand in investments could boost euro area growth The euro area has finally moved out of recession and at this stage pent-up demand could
More informationEU steel market situation and outlook
75nd Session of the OECD Steel Committee Paris, 5th December 2013 EU steel market situation and outlook EU economy: on the road to recovery 2013: economy turned the corner in Q2 Indicators strengthening
More informationTHE CYPRUS ECONOMY CHARTBOOK September Bank of Cyprus Economic Research
THE CYPRUS ECONOMY CHARTBOOK September 2018 Bank of Cyprus Economic Research Table of contents Economic activity 3 Economic activity by sector 4 Consumer prices 5 Labour market 6 Industry 7 Construction
More informationLeumi. Global Economics Monthly Review. Arie Tal, Research Economist. July 12, Capital Markets Division, Economics Department. leumiusa.
Global Economics Monthly Review July 12, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist Capital Markets Division, Economics Department Leumi leumiusa.com Please see important disclaimer on the last page of this report
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationMain Economic & Financial Indicators Eurozone
Main Economic & Financial Indicators Eurozone 24 DECEMBER 2015 AKIKO DARVELL ASSOCIATE ECONOMIST ECONOMIC RESEARCH OFFICE (LONDON) T +44-(0)20-7577-1591 E akiko.darvell@uk.mufg.jp The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
More informationInvestec Services PMI Ireland
Embargoed until: 06:00 (Dublin) September 5th 18 Investec Services PMI Ireland Activity rises at sharper pace in August Investec T: +3-1-421-0496 E: Investec.Economics@investec.ie W: www.investec.ie Investec
More information29 th WLPGA Forum : Future Market Outlook. Florence, Italy 16 November 2016
29 th WLPGA Forum : Future Market Outlook Florence, Italy 16 November 2016 Forwardlooking Statements This presentation has been produced by BW LPG Limited ( BW LPG ) exclusively for information purposes.
More informationGlobal Investment Perspective
Global Investment Perspective April 09 March was an exceptionally strong month for equity markets. The MSCI World Index rose 7.6% as certain macro data, and US government initiatives boosted hopes that
More informationEurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast March 2015
Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast March 2015 Austria Belgium Cyprus Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Outlook
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationGauging Current Conditions:
Gauging Current Conditions: The Economic Outlook and Its Impact on Workers Compensation Vol. 2 2005 The gauges below indicate the economic outlook for the current year and for 2006 for factors that typically
More informationEconomic Outlook. DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months
Economic Outlook DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months GDP growth will be modest at approximately 2.5%, but the economy will experience periods of unstable growth. Consumer confidence will improve as
More informationWorld Economic outlook
Frontier s Strategy Note: 01/23/2014 World Economic outlook IMF has just released the World Economic Update on the 21st January 2015 and we are displaying the main points here. Even with the sharp oil
More informationRevision of macroeconomic forecasts - November Dimitar Bogov Governor
Revision of macroeconomic forecasts - November 2017 - Dimitar Bogov Governor 2 November 2017 Contents : Change in risks between the two forecasts External assumptions Macroeconomic scenario for 2017-2019
More informationINVESTOR REPORT HAPAG-LLOYD AG 1 JANUARY TO 31 MARCH 2015
INVESTOR REPORT Q1 2015 HAPAG-LLOYD AG 1 JANUARY TO 31 MARCH 2015 SUMMARY OF HAPAG-LLOYD KEY FIGURES KEY OPERATING FIGURES 1) Q1 2015 Q1 2014 Change absolute Total vessels, of which 190 153 37 own vessels
More informationUK Outlook. Steady as she goes for the economy. February Economic Research Unit
UK Outlook February 218 Steady as she goes for the economy Eight months into the formal Brexit negotiations, sufficient progress has been made on Phase 1 issues and the focus has moved to the future relationship
More informationLatest Macroeconomic Projections - May Vice-Governor Anita Angelovska-Bezhoska
Latest Macroeconomic Projections - May 2018 - Vice-Governor Anita Angelovska-Bezhoska May, 4 2018 Contents Key assumptions on external and domestic environment Macroeconomic scenario 2018-2019 Comparison
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economic growth kicks higher at start of fourth quarter but outlook darkens. November 14 th 2016
Global PMI Global economic growth kicks higher at start of fourth quarter but outlook darkens November 14 th 2016 2 Global PMI at 11-month high in October Global economic growth kicked higher at the start
More informationMonitor Euro area deflation
Investment Research General Market Conditions 17 July 2014 Euro area deflation Inflation outlook Euro inflation remained very low at 0.5% in June and is still far below the ECB s target. In response, the
More informationEurozone Economic Watch Higher growth forecasts for January 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch Higher growth forecasts for 2018-19 January 2018 Eurozone Economic Watch January 2018 Eurozone: Higher growth forecasts for 2018-19 Our MICA-BBVA model estimates a broadly stable
More informationThe Japanese Economy in Fiscal 2018 and Fiscal 2019
14 September 2018 Report The Japanese Economy in Fiscal 2018 and Fiscal 2019 The Economy Is Continuing to Recover, Driven Mainly by Improvement in Domestic Demand. (1) Current State of the Economy: Recovery
More informationHighlights and key messages for business and public policy
Highlights and key messages for business and public policy Key projections 2018 2019 Real GDP growth 1.5% 1.6% Consumer spending growth 1.1% 1.3% Inflation (CPI) 2.7% 2.3% Source: PwC main scenario projections
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. November 2017
Eurozone Economic Watch November 2017 Eurozone: improved outlook, still subdued inflation Our MICA-BBVA model for growth estimates for the moment a quarterly GDP figure of around -0.7% in, after % QoQ
More informationQuarterly Economics Briefing
Quarterly Economics Briefing March 2015 Review of Current Conditions: The Economic Outlook and Its Impact on Workers Compensation The exhibits below are updated to reflect the current economic outlook
More informationin the province due to differences in their economic makeup or base. External macro factors play an
Summary dependent on mining and resources but face a weak outlook for metal Ontario s economic performance markets, where growth will remain is not shared equally in all regions low and possibly negative.
More informationLeumi. Global Economics Monthly Review. Arie Tal, Research Economist. May 8, The Finance Division, Economics Department. leumiusa.
Global Economics Monthly Review May 8, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist The Finance Division, Economics Department Leumi leumiusa.com Please see important disclaimer on the last page of this report Key
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy & Outlook For 2009
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy & Outlook For 2009 December 17, 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact:
More informationBLACKROCK GLOBAL ETP LANDSCAPE
BLACKROCK GLOBAL ETP LANDSCAPE SEPTEMBER The opinions expressed are as of September 30th and may change as subsequent conditions vary. Summary BlackRock ETP Research A cross-regional team analyzing global
More informationGaming / Lodging Sector
Gaming / Lodging Sector Fortune Favors the Prepared Into the Golden Week October 3, 16 Macau Gaming Sector Bloomberg Price change (%) Code 1/09/16 MTD QTD YTD 1928 HK (6) 10 30 27 27 HK (3) 16 27 19 1128
More informationOpportunities emerge as China slows
Professional clients/institutional investors only. Opportunities emerge as China slows Why China s mini-cyclical slowdown is creating attractive fixed income opportunities UBS Asset Management Hayden Briscoe
More informationMain Economic & Financial Indicators Eurozone
Main Economic & Financial Indicators Eurozone 30 NOVEMBER 2015 AKIKO DARVELL ASSOCIATE ECONOMIST ECONOMIC RESEARCH OFFICE (LONDON) T +44(0)2075771591 E akiko.darvell@uk.mufg.jp The Bank of TokyoMitsubishi
More informationTHE CYPRUS ECONOMY CHARTBOOK June Bank of Cyprus Economic Research
THE CYPRUS ECONOMY CHARTBOOK June 2018 Bank of Cyprus Economic Research Table of contents Economic activity 3 GDP by expenditures 4 Consumer prices 5 Labour market 6 Industry 7 Construction 8 Tourism 9
More informationSaudi Economy: still shining
Saudi Economy: still shining - - - For comments and queries please contact the author: Fahad Alturki Senior Economist falturki@jadwa.com Real GDP growth 199 1 F Saudi Arabia World Advanced economies Head
More informationGlobal PMI. Global growth lifted by emerging market upturn. August 8 th 2016
Global PMI Global growth lifted by emerging market upturn August 8 th 2016 2 Global PMI buoyed by emerging market upturn Global economic growth edged higher at the start of the third quarter, but failed
More informationIndustry match-ups. Spain versus Czech Republic European football championship Sector playing field: chemicals industry Match preview 4:3
Industry match-ups Spain versus Czech Republic European football championship 2016 Sector playing field: chemicals industry Match preview 4:3 * Comparison of Atradius credit risk situation/business performance
More informationShort-term indicators and Updated Forecasts. Eurozone NOVEMBER 2016
Short-term indicators and Updated Forecasts Eurozone NOVEMBER 2016 EUROZONE WATCH NOVEMBER 2016 Key messages: resilience and unchanged projections The moderate pace of economic growth continued in the
More information3Q18 GDP Growth to Ease to 4.2% amid Moderating Agricultural and Industrial Output
ECONOMIC REPORT National Account Preview 13 November 2018 GDP Growth to Ease to 4.2% amid Moderating Agricultural and Industrial Output Moderating business confidences. Looking at leading indicators, Malaysia
More informationWorld Economy Geopolitics Investment Strategy. The Impact of EU s Sovereign Risks on Turkish Economy. Presentation given by
World Economy Geopolitics Investment Strategy OUTLOOK FOR WORLD S MAJOR FINANCIAL MARKETS The Impact of EU s Sovereign Risks on Turkish Economy Presentation given by Dr. Michael Ivanovitch, President MSI
More information