SKAGEN Tellus Statusrapport april 2017
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1 SKAGEN Tellus Statusrapport april 2017
2 Key numbers as of 30 April 2017 (SEK, net of fees) April QTD YTD 1 years 3 years 5 years Since inception* SKAGEN Tellus 0,03% 0,03% 0,24% 9,31% 6,62% 6,06% 5,55% JPM Broad GBI Unhedged ** 0,32% 0,32% 0,15% 6,86% 9,93% 5,07% 5,16% Excess return -0,29% -0,29% 0,09% 2,45% -3,31% 0,99% 0,39% *Inception date: 29/09/2006 **Benchmark index before 01/01/2013 was Barclay's Capital Global Treasury Index 3-5 years Unless otherwise stated, all performance data in this report relates to class A units, measured in EUR and is net of fees. 2
3 French election relief The results of the first round of the French election led to a relief rally in the Eurozone bond market. The prospect of the centric, independent candidate Emmanuel Macron becoming the next French president (confirmed on 7 May) reduced political risk. In addition, progress made in the negotiations between Greece and its creditors contributed to lower credit risk in the Eurozone. As a result, the euro appreciated and peripheral interest rates fell. The Portuguese bond in SKAGEN Tellus was the best performer in the fund in April. The fall in interest rates lifted the bond price by 2.7 percent. Falling commodity prices continued to weigh on commodity currencies. The New Zealand dollar and the Canadian dollar were the poorest performers in May, but the other commodity currencies also lost value relative to the euro. The duration of SKAGEN Tellus is currently 3.1 years, which is substantially lower than the index s duration of 7.7 years. Given the current state of the business cycle, we only take interest rate risk in countries where there is still a solid case for a fall in the interest rate going forward and/or the yield is attractive. We have longer duration in countries were we expect the credit premium to fall, such as Portugal and Croatia, or where there is a high interest rate, e.g. Peru and Chile. We have very low duration on our investments in the US, UK, Canada, Mexico and Norway. These holdings are based on an expectation that the currency will appreciate. 3
4 Accumulated gain since fund s inception from currency fluctuations, bond price changes and coupons 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% 63% 40% 15% 8% Fund total Currency Bond price changes Coupons 4
5 Accumulated gain YTD from currency fluctuations, bond price changes and coupons 1,5 % 1,0 % 0,5 % 0,0 % 0,98% 0,40% 0,00% -0,5 % -1,0 % -1,5 % -1,38% Fund total Currency Bond price changes Coupons 5
6 Top and bottom 5 contributors to absolute return YTD 0,40% 0,30% 0,20% 0,10% 0,00% -0,10% -0,20% -0,30% -0,40% -0,50% Peru Mexico Portugal Croatia Great Britain USA Norway Canada Greece New Zealand Absolute return 0,35% 0,34% 0,33% 0,19% 0,14% -0,44% -0,30% -0,26% -0,25% -0,17% 6
7 Top and bottom 5 contributors to absolute return last 12 Months 1,20% 1,00% 0,80% 0,60% 0,40% 0,20% 0,00% -0,20% -0,40% USA Peru Croatia Chile Lithuania Canada Norway Mexico Germany Absolute return 1,08% 0,75% 0,72% 0,56% 0,41% -0,27% -0,17% -0,08% 0,00% 0,09% Dominican Republic 7
8 Portfolio as of 30 April 2017 Holding Name Currency Numbers of bonds Percent of fund Maturity date Coupon Norwegian Government NOK , ,25 Croatia Government International Bond EUR , ,87 US Government USD , ,62 US Government USD , ,62 Portugese Government EUR , ,87 Chilean Government CLP , ,5 Peruvian Government PEN , ,9 Spanish Government EUR , ,6 UK Government GBP , ,0 Mexican Government MXN , ,0 New Zealand Government NZD , ,5 UK Government GBP , ,75 Canadian Government CAD , ,25 Slovenia Government EUR , ,12 Dominican Republic DOP , ,5 European Bank Recon & Dev INR , ,75 8
9 Distribution of the fund s 3.1 years interest duration PERU 0,62 NORWAY 0,01 MEXICO 0,01 EBRD* 0,02 BRITAIN 0,04 CANADA 0,04 UNITED STATES 0,05 PORTUGAL 0,49 DOMINICAN REPB. 0,14 SPAIN 0,44 CHILE 0,18 NEW ZEALAND 0,28 CROATIA 0,40 SLOVENIA 0,34 As of 30 April 2017 EBRD* : European Bank of Reconstruction & Development 9
10 3,00 2,50 Distribution of duration relative to benchmark 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 SKAGEN Tellus Benchmark - SOUTH AFRICA SINGAPORE SOUTH KOREA SWEDEN FINLAND BELGIUM ISRAEL AUSTRIA AUSTRALIA IRELAND DENMARK ITALY POLAND NETHERLANDS FRANCE JAPAN GERMANY NORWAY MEXICO EBRD* BRITAIN CANADA UNITED STATES DOMINICAN REPB. CHILE NEW ZEALAND SLOVENIA CROATIA SPAIN PORTUGAL PERU As of 30 April
11 29. sep feb jul des mai okt mar aug jan jun nov apr sep feb jul des mai okt mar aug jan jun nov apr sep feb Interest duration since the fund s inception 10,0 10,0 9,0 9,0 8,0 7,0 6,0 Duration Average duration = ,0 7,0 6,0 5,0 5,0 4,0 4,0 3,0 3,0 2,0 2,0 1,0 1,0 0,0 0,0 11
12 Currency exposure DOP 3,1 % INR 2,7 % EUR 26,9 % CAD 5,2 % NZD 5,8 % MXN 5,8 % USD 15,7 % PEN 5,8 % CLP 6,2 % GBP 11,0 % NOK 12,0 % As of 30 April
13 Currency exposure relative to benchmark 45% 40% 35% SKAGEN Tellus Benchmark 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% EUR USD NOK GBP CLP PEN MXN NZD CAD DOP INR TRY DKK JPY BRL CNY AUD RUB PLN ZAR CZK HKD HUF ILS KRW CHN SGD CNH PHP SEK As of 30 April
14 Moody s rating on Tellus portfolio relative to benchmark 60 % 50 % SKAGEN Tellus Benchmark 40 % 30 % 20 % 10 % 0 % Aaa Aa1 Aa2 Aa3 A1 A2 A3 Baa1 Baa2 Baa3 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 B1 B2 B3 Caa1 Caa2 Caa3 As of 30 April
15 For more information please see: SKAGEN Tellus A on our web pages SKAGEN s Market report Unless otherwise stated, all performance data in this report relates to class A units and is net of fees. Historical returns are no guarantee for future returns. Future returns will depend, inter alia, on market developments, the fund manager s skill, the fund s risk profile and subscription and management fees. The return may become negative as a result of negative price developments. SKAGEN seeks to the best of its ability to ensure that all information given in this report is correct, however, makes reservations regarding possible errors and omissions. statements in the report reflect the portfolio managers viewpoint at a given time, and this viewpoint may be changed without notice. The report should not be perceived as an offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments. SKAGEN does not assume responsibility for direct or indirect loss or expenses incurred through use or understanding of the report. Employees of SKAGEN AS may be owners of securities issued by companies or governments that are either referred to in this report or are part of the fund's portfolio.
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