November 27, 2017 Sheri Kaiserman

Transcription

1 ADVANCED SECURITIES DIVISION BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY AND CRYPTOCURRENCIES: IMPROVING LIVES AND TRANSFORMING BUSINESSES November 27, 2017 Sheri Kaiserman 1000 Wilshire Boulevard Los Angeles, CA (213) WEDBUSH SECURITIES INC WILSHIRE BLVD LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA (213) Member NYSE/FINRA/SIPC Member NYSE/FINRA/SIPC wedbush.com 1

2 TECHNOLOGY IN THE EARLY 1990 s wedbush.com 2

3 THE TECHNOLOGY BEHIND & NETSCAPE wedbush.com 3

4 IT S ALL ABOUT THE BLOCKCHAIN Open source technology innovation The mainframe, the pc, commercial internet. And now BLOCKCHAIN! The internet of value/ownership The Commercial Internet (of Information) - changed how we communicate and consume data Blockchain technology enables machine validated trust and will transform how we store, exchange and manage anything of value ANYTHING!! Development and adoption of countless use cases already underway at government, corporate, and consumer levels. Naysayers like early internet wedbush.com 4

5 WHAT IS A BLOCKCHAIN Public & Permissionless blockchains (Vs. Private & Permissioned) Append only digital ledger time stamped data, non-alterable, trusted Immutably keeps track of ANYTHING of value - money, securities, goods, property, identity, votes, healthcare records, driving stats, etc. Decentralized no central authority owns and no single point of failure Available to everyone provides transparency, accessible to 2B unbanked Allows for peer-to-peer transactions new business models? Micropayments Efficient Smart Contracts, Eliminates Redundancies, errors & reconciliation of silod record keeping, speeds up transactions less risk & less capital tied up Lowers Cost removes middleman & fees Intermediary Businesses Improves Security & Reduces Fraud, Protects asset rights, identity privacy wedbush.com 5

6 3 KEY PRINCIPALS OF BLOCKCHAIN: SECURITY, CONSENSUS, AND INCENTIVE Cryptography Creates a secure digital identity/signature based on holding the combination of a private and public cryptographic key. Authenticates ownership Decentralized, distributed network securing a shared ledger A peer-to-peer decentralized network come to consensus to establish validity of ownership and the recording of a transaction. Transaction data is hashed and contains hashed info from the prior block difficult to defraud, no single point of failure Incentives For providing computing power to perform the above, incentives are embedded in the platform. Nodes mint new crypto-currency and enjoy transaction fees. Aligned incentives with stakeholders wedbush.com 6

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8 BITCOIN THE SOLUTION TO DOUBLE SPEND & BYZANTINE GENERAL S PROBLEM Double Spend In the internet of information A copy is sent, not the original When sending an asset like money or a stock Need the original Solution Intermediaries who provide trust services Byzantine General s Problem A story in distributed computing world Illustrates possibilities of communication failures among 2+ parties Story: The need for geographically dispersed generals to trust their messengers to know when to simultaneously attack the castle Trusted intermediaries Bank s, Accountants, Lawyers, Real Estate Brokers, Depository Trust & Clearing Corp (DTCC), Brokerage Firms Blockchain establishes trust Eliminating the Need for an Intermediary wedbush.com 8

9 BITCOIN BLOCKCHAIN IT S ALL ABOUT THE BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY Bitcoin Merely an application of blockchain technology i.e. , Amazon Applications of various internet technologies 2008, Satoshi Nakamoto BITCOIN: A PEER-TO-PEER ELECTRONIC CASH SYSTEM 9 Pages Read it! Two main components of Bitcoin One can t exist without the other Crypto Currency Medium of exchange & incentive Disruptive Payment Network Technology wedbush.com 9

10 BASICS OF THE BITCOIN BLOCKCHAIN Amazing network built without fundraising The bitcoin community members/participants contribute computing power to the network to allow peer-to-peer transaction validation, and exchange of value Not centrally controlled Decentralized, distributed network Bitcoin Blockchain is a digital ledger that keeps record of every single bitcoin transaction Incentives to run bitcoin software bitcoin and transaction fees Contribution of one s computing power to support the network and earn bitcoin is known as Mining (PoW) wedbush.com 10

11 BITCOIN MINING: MORE THAN JUST MINTING COINS Mining is what secures the network and is both the mechanism to create bitcoin as well as to verify and process transactions. Copies of the bitcoin ledger sits on each computer (node) A majority (consensus) must agree when Person A wants to send person B money. Every computer examines their existing ledger to ensure the transaction is legitimate based on the history If legitimized, this transaction, along with other verified transactions of the last 10 minutes the next potential block in the blockchain Then computers all race to solve a computational puzzle- takes about 10 minutes to solve. (PoW Consensus Protocol) wedbush.com 11

12 MINING BITCOIN & ADDING A BLOCK TO THE BLOCKCHAIN GO HAND IN HAND Once a miner solves the puzzle, the solution is sent to the rest of the network for verification. If verified, the new block becomes a new trusted additional block in the blockchain ledger In addition to earning 12.5 bitcoin for creating a new block, miners are also paid transaction fees. i.e. Visa or MC interchange fees The longer the chain the more complex it is to hack. If someone alters something in the block, that block s hash (or cryptograph identifier) would change because it contains the hash of the previous block too Fraud immediately is identified wedbush.com 12

13 CONSENSUS PROTOCOLS Two Most popular Consensus Protocols Proof-of-Work (PoW) Proof-of-Stake (PoS) wedbush.com 13

14 CONSENSUS PROTOCOLS Proof-of Work (PoW) Miners compete to add the next block in the chain by racing to solve an extremely difficult mathematical puzzle Currently utilized by the most secure & therefore largest public blockchains: Bitcoin, Ethereum Computationally intensive operation requiring expensive ASICs (highly specialized processors) and enormous amounts electricity Probability of mining is equated to the percentage of computing power being contributed to the network To defraud the network by completing a 51% attack would require a bad actor to deploy more computing power and resources than the stolen asset is worth wedbush.com 14

15 CONSENSUS PROTOCOLS Proof-of-Stake (PoS) A 'validator' invests in the coins of the system, rather than expensive computers No mining involved Requires much less computational power and electricity All coins exist from day one, Validators/Stakeholders are paid in Transaction Fees How many blocks you get to create depends on the share of coins you own in the system. Once a validator creates a block, consensus to add the block is reached in 1 of 2 ways: Every node in the system has to sign off on a block until a majority vote is reached A random group of signers is chosen Validators required to have coins on deposit Lost if rules not followed Again, making an attempt to defraud, more costly than the potential gain is worth Ethereum currently relies on proof of work, but is planning a move to proof of stake Peercoin, Blackcoin and NXT all use POS wedbush.com 15

16 HOW IS THE BITCOIN NETWORK SO SECURE? Despite constant attempts, the bitcoin network has never been hacked Websites or wallets exchanging bitcoin have been hacked No different than a bank being robbed Decentralization and size is fundamental to blockchain s security No single point of failure or target for a hack. Hashing. A public blockchain is more decentralized and therefore viewed as more secure The bitcoin network code is constantly getting stronger. Soft Forks (backwards compatible), Hard Forks (messier progress) Bitcoin is resilient! Subsequent to each significant price correction, new highs have been made wedbush.com 16

17 BITCOIN SUPPLY There will be a capped total of 21M bitcoin in circulation by 2140 Every 10 minutes new bitcoin are created Originally a miner would earn 50 bitcoin incentive halves every 4 years. Currently the reward is 12.5 bitcoin (as of July 2016) What is the incentive when miners can no longer earn bitcoin? Transaction fees associated with each block As the bitcoin rewards decline, bitcoins earned from growing # of transaction fees will rise as network usage grows Miners aka Transaction Processors, the Visa & Mastercard of the new rails wedbush.com 17

18 VALUING BITCOIN Bitcoin (BTC) = equity in a payment network. As network usage grows, value of equity should increase Market cap M $8,150 = $136B $8 trillion of gold held in the world - 5% = $25,000 Bitcoin price. In the US Important demographic shift next 30 years $20T being handed down from the older generation Millennials already consider bitcoin a new asset class. According to the IMF, foreign currency reserves supporting cross border trade are around $7.5 trillion. 5% = $375B, $23,000 What percent of the $200 trillion currently in cash, stocks, gold and bonds will shift into cryptocurrencies as a new asset class? 1% = $2 trillion BTC > $100,000 wedbush.com 18

19 BITCOIN (USD) PRICE wedbush.com 19

20 WHY USE BITCOIN? Developed Countries Speculative Trading Money Remittance New Asset Class Currency Illicit Activities Developing Countries Receiving money & keeping more of it Currency Political upheaval safe haven Hyper inflation protection Access to the financial system. wedbush.com 20

21 BLOCKCHAIN TECH IS TRANSFORMATIVE DIGITAL LEDGER TECHNOLOGY IS NOT JUST FOR FINANCIAL ASSETS Internet allowed information to be digitized Ethereum Blockchain Enables any asset to be digitized and securely transferred over the internet. Smart Contract self executing contract when certain conditions are met ERC-20 Protocol Established a standard for token creation - ICO s Ethereum Enterprise Alliance - Over 150 participants from Gov t & many industries Learn about and leverage the Ethereum blockchain Disruption coming for all intermediary businesses wedbush.com 21

22 OTHER BLOCKCHAINS Private & Permissioned blockchains Gives operators control over permission rights Who can view the ledger Who can submit transactions Who can operate a node and verify transactions Allows for faster transactions No need to wait a couple of hours. Trusted parties are responsible for the verification process and broadcast to the rest of the network Ability to fix errors, reverse transactions, restrict access and reduce likelihood of outsider attacks. (Less secure relying on trust) Analogous to intranets vs. the internet wedbush.com 22

23 CRYTPO-CURRENCIES & TOKENS There are over 1200 crypto-currencies/tokens which can be traded on various exchanges Market cap is $245B Top 5 = 85% of the market cap: BTC= 56%, ETC = 14%, BCH =9%, XRP = 4%, DASH = 2% Crypto-currencies are the mechanisms used for incentives & exchanging value on their native blockchain BTC, ETH, XRP Tokens represent any asset or utility that is fungible in a decentralized application utilizing an existing blockchain like Ethereum. - Filecoin wedbush.com 23

24 USE CASE: INITIAL COIN OFFERINGS (ICO s) Ownership in the protocol layer vs. application layer Ie. Owning a piece of HTML vs. an app like Facebook Liquid Venture Capital, Security Token Similar to equity but liquid Utility Tokens - non dilutive capital More money raised in ICO s Vs. VC s in 2017 > $3.6B raised YTD in ICO s wedbush.com 24

25 ICO S: Total Raised $3,557,667,313 Total Number of ICO s: 222 Top Ten ICOs of 2017 Position Project Total Raised 1 Filecoin $257,000,000 2 Tezos $232,319,985 3 EOS Stage 1 $185,000,000 4 Paragon $183,157,275 5 Bancor $153,000,000 6 Kin $97,041,936 7 Status $90,000,000 8 TenX $64,000,000 9 MobileGO $53,069, KyberNetwork $48,000,000 wedbush.com 25

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27 USE CASE: MONEY REMITTANCE / CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS Blockchain speeds up and simplifies cross boarder payments Access to the Financial System for 2B unbanked = Internet connection + a smart phone The way developing countries leapfrogged landline technology wireless Expect to bypass intermediaries like banks Finance on the blockchain $600B/year is sent by international migrants to their families in other countries. 73% is to developing countries, recipient has no access to bank accounts (- World Bank) Businesses send $155T+ of cross boarder payments (- Standard Chartered) Spend $1.7T in supporting operational costs (- McKinsey, Global Payments Industry Study, 2016) wedbush.com 27

28 USE CASE: MONEY REMITTANCE / CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS Western Union takes 8-10% of funds - testing Coinbase integration Abra Allows money to be sent from mobile to mobile utilizing tellers Costs only 2% Ripple - real time cross border payments between banks in seconds 75+ clients including Bank of America, RBC, Standard Chartered, UBS, BBVA & a 47 bank consortium in Japan Microsoft using for mobile payments for the unbanked. JP Morgan announced a new interbank payment platform focused on correspondent banking market > Quorum, Ethereum based private blockchain wedbush.com 28

29 USE CASE: WALL STREET Clearing and Settlement of trades instantaneous, freeing up capital, reduce duplicative processes, creates synergistic simultaneous access to constantly updated information. $10B/yr savings ( Accenture) Smart Contract + Digital Ledger will automate work flows, speed up transactions, cut costs Nasdaq - Private Equity Cap Table Management The State of Delaware Incorporating new companies and simultaneously have the shares issued on the blockchain, keep track of them correctly and eliminate the many errors often made wedbush.com 29

30 USE CASE: DERIVATIVES By December 2017: CME Group (the world s largest derivatives exchange) is expected to trade bitcoin futures contracts Will give investors ability to hedge bitcoin investments The UK s Royal Mint & The CME Group will be putting gold on the blockchain to streamline trading 1 gram of gold = 1 token called RMG (Royal Mint Gold) issued by the Royal Mint and tradeable wedbush.com 30

31 USE CASE: INTERNATIONAL TRADE FINANCE Manual, paper based process involving 30+ pieces of original documentation, hundreds of copies and 50+ people Letters of credit, bills of lading, physical stamping of paper Shipping companies, agents, freight providers, ports, customs, insurers, etc. Companies all over the world are working to create a chain of custody which all involved parties can track. Eliminating all the paperwork from the supply chain CargoChain of Germany, Wave of Israel, EssDocs of Malta and Bolero in the UK wedbush.com 31

32 USE CASE: SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGMENT Provenance IBM - tomatoes on a blockchain Trusting a sticker Vs. a QR Code Which product would you buy? Walmart s blockchain-based supply chain test with IBM and Tsinghua University Focused on tracking pork in China Tainted food products are tracked in minutes vs. days wedbush.com 32

33 USE CASE: IDENTITY According to the World Bank, as many as 1.5 billion people lack "legal identity," - difficult to obtain bank account & access other services including education and social welfare programs Microsoft and Accenture Unveiled Global ID System for Refugees At the ID2020 Summit hosted in the United Nations June 2017 Millions of refugees and others without documents can whip out a phone or other device to quickly show who they are and where they came from Combines biometric data (like a fingerprint or an iris scan) and Ethereum s blockchain technology to create a permanent identity wedbush.com 33

34 USE CASE: LAND REGISTRY According to the American Land Title Association, the title insurance industry generated $14.3 billion in title insurance premiums during 2016 Peruvian economist, Hernando DeSoto, has estimated that worldwide, people have $20 trillion of value in houses, cars & other assets for which they do not have legal title Believes this is the #1 issue for economic mobility BitFury is helping the Government of Ukraine to move their land registry to the blockchain, Factom in Honduras wedbush.com 34

35 USE CASE: HEALTHCARE Enabling truly interoperable electronic health records Patient maintains full access & control of own data, easy to share Fraud significantly eliminated, Claims payment processes automated Phillips Healthcare formed a Blockchain Lab to develop solutions for industry Pfizer and Genentech formed MediLedger blockchain platform, powered by JPM s Ethereum based Quorum blockchain, to keep counterfeit goods out of medical supply chains The Estonian e-health Authority is developing a blockchain based system to secure medical records (with hash values indicating when files were updated) wedbush.com 35

36 USE CASE: THE INTERNET OF THINGS (IoT) Blockchain technology allows for trusted transactions not just among people but with and among smart devices Safeguarding against Cyber warfare IBM is using blockchain as the backbone for their IOT. According to Coindesk, IBM has 1500 employees dedicated to blockchain technology projects Devices will communicate with each other by exchanging information on the blockchain - NEM smart certificate program to control IoT devices. Owner of certificate has control of the IoT device. Transferable wedbush.com 36

37 USE CASE: AUTONOMOUS CARS AND INSURANCE Toyota enlisted a series of partners that specialize in different aspects of blockchain technology to explore how the technology may be applied to the car industry Initially focusing on sharing data on every trip that an autonomous vehicle takes; Create new insurance products that based on the way owners use the cars On developing tools that users can have to make ride-sharing easier wedbush.com 37

38 USE CASE: ANTI-CORRUPTION & ECONOMIC GROWTH Adeolu Fadele, President of CDIN says, CDIN (Cryptography Development Initiative of Nigeria) hopes to bring together relevant government agencies, investors, consumers and other stakeholders interested in Blockchain technology, in order to raise awareness, discourage crime, protect consumers and unlock new jobs and business opportunities in Nigeria. wedbush.com 38

39 USE CASE: ADVERTISING Comcast, Disney, NBC, Cox, and others to launch blockchain ad platform in 2018 Mediaset Italia, Channel 4, and TF1 group are also involved The platform will enable marketers, publishers and programmers to match their own customer data anonymously in order to determine which network program may have the best result for a certain product ad They will all share access to data without having to pool it in any one place wedbush.com 39

40 CONCLUSION Dream up the unimaginable blockchain technology can and will create! Blockchain - decentralized ledger, enables any asset to be digitized & kept track of updated securely, eliminating the need for manual, duplicative processes & trusted 3 rd parties Bitcoin public blockchain, disruptive payment network, a digital currency and possibly a new asset class Bitcoin is just one application of blockchain technology as Amazon is of the Internet We can t even imagine all the ways blockchain will be used but: Lives will be improved all over the world Businesses across all industries will be streamlined Disruption is coming all companies should expect competition from blockchain versions of themselves BLOCKCHAIN IS JUST AS, OR MORE TRANSFORMATIVE AS THE INTERNET wedbush.com 40

41 Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrencies: Improving Lives and Transforming Businesses Globally Sheri Kaiserman Head of Advanced Securities wedbush.com 41

42 BECOME A BILLIONAIRE New definition of a billionaire in a blockchain world: Someone who impacts the lives of billions of people Brock Pierce wedbush.com 42