Grain Stocks. Corn Stocks Down 3 Percent from March 2018 Soybean Stocks Up 29 Percent All Wheat Stocks Up 6 Percent

Transcription

1 Grain Stocks ISSN: Released March 9, 09, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). Corn Stocks Down 3 Percent from March 08 Soybean Stocks Up 9 Percent All Wheat Stocks Up 6 Percent Corn stocks in all on March, 09 totaled 8.60 billion bushels, down 3 percent from March, 08. Of the total stocks, 5.3 billion bushels were stored on, up 3 percent from a year earlier. -farm stocks, at 3.47 billion bushels, are down percent from a year ago. The December 08 - February 09 indicated disappearance is 3.33 billion bushels, compared with 3.67 billion bushels during the same period last year. Soybeans stored in all on March, 09 totaled.7 billion bushels, up 9 percent from March, 08. Soybean stocks stored on are estimated at.7 billion bushels, up 49 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks, at.45 billion bushels, are up 5 percent from last March. Indicated disappearance for the December 08 - February 09 quarter totaled.03 billion bushels, down percent from the same period a year earlier. All wheat stored in all on March, 09 totaled.59 billion bushels, up 6 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks are estimated at 368 million bushels, up 4 percent from last March. -farm stocks, at. billion bushels, are down percent from a year ago. The December 08 - February 09 indicated disappearance is 49 million bushels, percent above the same period a year earlier. Durum wheat stocks in all on March, 09 totaled 74. million bushels, up 50 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks, at 40.6 million bushels, are up 57 percent from March, 08. -farm stocks totaled 33.5 million bushels, up 4 percent from a year ago. The December 08 - February 09 indicated disappearance of 9.46 million bushels is 45 percent above the same period a year earlier.

2 Barley stocks in all on March, 09 totaled million bushels, down 7 percent from March, 08. -farm stocks are estimated at 46. million bushels, 5 percent below a year ago. -farm stocks, at 75. million bushels, are 8 percent below March 08. The December 08 - February 09 indicated disappearance totaled 3.4 million bushels, 9 percent above the same period a year earlier. Oats stored in all on March, 09 totaled 50. million bushels, 9 percent below the stocks on March, 08. Of the total stocks on hand, 8. million bushels were stored on, up 5 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks totaled 3. million bushels, down 5 percent from the previous year. Indicated disappearance during December 08 - February 09 totaled 7. million bushels, 48 percent above the same period a year ago. Grain sorghum stored in all on March, 09 totaled 93 million bushels, up 37 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks, at 5.0 million bushels, are up 89 percent from last March. -farm stocks, at 68 million bushels, are up 3 percent from a year earlier. The December 08 - February 09 indicated disappearance from all is 66. million bushels, 4 percent below the same period last year. Sunflower stocks in all on March, 09 totaled 88 million pounds, 33 percent below March, 08. All stocks stored on totaled 343 million pounds and off-farm stocks totaled 485 million pounds. Stocks of oil type sunflower seed are 676 million pounds; of this total, 93 million pounds are on-farm stocks and 383 million pounds are off-farm stocks. Non-oil sunflower stocks totaled 5 million pounds, with 50.0 million pounds stored on the farm and 0 million pounds stored off the farm. This report was approved on March 9, 09. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Stephen L. Censky Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons Grain Stocks (March 09)

3 Contents Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Domestic Units United s: 08 and Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Metric Units United s: 08 and Corn Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and Oat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and All Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: December, Sunflower Stocks by Position and Type s and United s: March, 08 and Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and Corn and Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: December, Oat and Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: December, All Wheat and Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: December, Statistical Methodology... 6 Information Contacts... 7 Grain Stocks (March 09) 3

4 Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Domestic Units United s: 08 and 09 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Date Corn September... December... 5,00,000,750,00 60,000 7,45,000 3,890,6,554,704,50,335 4,485,798 8,89,6 5,304,804,40,335,936,798 5,3,000 3,473,88 8,604,88 Sorghum September... December... 3,50 5,0 3,355 44,00 7,006 60,3 3,499 4,580 40,56 65,333 34,854 58,780 4,990 67,739 9,79 Oats September... December... 7,40,40 39,00 5,40 37,699 9,606 35,573 4,864 54,939 4,06 74,773 67,74 8,050 3,74 50,4 Barley September... December... 48,540 6,40 9,350 7,070 8,49 68,06 83,456 80,56 30,03 94,48 74,806 5,63 46,80 75,098,78 All wheat September... December... 59,30 30,475 63, ,80,36,3 968,44,757,07,505,05,495,44,098,889,389,77,009, ,870,,633,590,503 Durum wheat September... December... 5,800 4,950 5,800 46,700 3,740 9,996 38,60 36,830 49,540 34,946 90,060 83,530 40,600 33,47 74,07 Soybeans September... December , ,000 0,000,935,000,54,303 84,39 337,05,80,84 Included in All wheat.,09,303,9,39 438,05 3,745,84,70,000,445,55,75,55 4 Grain Stocks (March 09)

5 Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Metric Units United s: 08 and 09 [Data may not add to totals due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun.] Date Corn September... December... (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) 7,056,650 69,855,760 5,748,730 89,64,0 98,83,750 64,89,470 38,68,90 3,944,50 5,870,400 34,748,30 54,367,00 303,08,640 30,333,400 88,40,670 8,574,070 Sorghum September... December ,570 3,590 85,0,,730 3,6,00,56, ,0 5,450,580 3,56,670,659, ,330 6,573,30 634,780 4,60,770 4,895,540 Oats September... December... 50,40 65,60 568, , ,00 49,730 56, , , ,350,085, ,480 6, ,000 79,000 Barley September... December...,056, ,30,988,90,569,40,774,60,48,850,87,040,754,00,83,090,057,080 3,805,950 3,33,50,005,450,635,070,640,50 All wheat September... December... 7,057,60 3,550,950 7,9,70 3,74,50 33,64,970 6,355,90 47,89,640 40,964,970 40,699,30 9,906,860 65,038,90 54,689,0 0,0,780 33,74,60 43,86,400 Durum wheat September... December... 70,60 406,870,409,760,70, ,00 544,00,04,70,00,350,348,60 95,070,45,030,73,30,04,950 90,960,05,90 Soybeans September... December... 3,69,90 0,60,60,748,770 5,66,070 34,36,530,94,440 9,74,490 49,8,550 Included in All wheat. 57,405,80 33,84,700,93,60 0,944,60 34,563,740 39,34,480 73,905,0 Grain Stocks (March 09) 5

6 Corn Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and 09 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 4, ,000 5,996,497 4,769 7,305 39,408 9, , ,7 80,408,644,7 40, ,000 6,733,690,864 7,773 33,853 9, ,54 8, ,073 73,853,545,073 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri ,000,000,000 93,000 64,000 86, ,000 65,000 5, ,5 34,59 9,78 36,099 4,00 67,593 3,89 8,66 9, ,464,698,5 37,59 93,78 53,593,08,89 56, , ,000 94,000 7,000 0, ,000 40,000 5,57 576,83 39,49 3,874 33,356,69 66,875 4,855,798 83, ,57,566,83 333,49 04,874 76, ,855 3,685 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio ,000 7,000 65,000 85, ,33 3,750 34,7 95,06 40,7 957,33 5,7 60,06 35,7 600,000 4,000 80,000 40, ,439 3,33 30,030 66,706 4,03,006,439 44,030 46,706 38,03 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 66, ,000,6 3,78 4,500 94,586 7,58 8, ,05 7,094 79,78 499,586 56, ,000 0,330,49 4,36 8,557,8 76,36 448,44,6 67,49 463,557 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 85,000 40,9 35,9 90,000 36,96 36,96 Unallocated... 95,000 0, ,387 05,000 3, ,989 United s... 5,00,000 3,890,6 8,89,6 5,3,000 3,473,88 8,604,88 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 6 Grain Stocks (March 09)

7 Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and 09 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 4,48 6 0,380 0 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 8, , , , , ,7 779 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio , , , ,53 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington ,438,400 4,6 5,06,000 4,07,996 8,309 9,309 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... Unallocated... 3,400,036 8,099 3,800 4,947 7,783 United s... 3,50 7,006 40,56 4,990 67,739 9,79 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. Grain Stocks (March 09) 7

8 Oat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and 09 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri , , Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio , , , ,79 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington...,50, ,5,64 880, ,075 3, West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming...,600,700 5,70 6,970 Unallocated... 5,700 34,70 47,38 6,500 3,387 34,656 United s... 7,40 37,699 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 54,939 8,050 3,74 50,4 8 Grain Stocks (March 09)

9 Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and 09 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 4,500 46,376 8,730 0,500 35,000, ,46 669,553 35,053 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri..., ,79,079, ,834 5,934 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 3,500 5,000, ,89 4, ,89,000 4,500, ,80 4,03 3,30 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington , , , ,55 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 3,393 3,49 Unallocated...,900 8,763,530 4, ,98 United s... 48,540 8,49 30,03 46,80 75,098,78 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. Grain Stocks (March 09) 9

10 All Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and 09 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois ,300 5,500,400 4,509 4,03 6,66 8,638 35,644,509,48,605 4,707 38,034 6,636 9,038 44,944 40,07 39, ,000,000,000 4,659 4,7 6,03 0,04 3,563,4,3 4,696 7,908 5,049 6,04 0,64 44,563 48,908 6,049 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri...,00,500,00 9,000,00 35,040,40 335,5 0,936 4,45 5,970 35,956 8,986,04 5,744 36,40 347,75 38,056 57,986 6, ,000,700 37,000,500 6,43,83 355,60 8,96 4,044 6,05 39,65 9,87 8,68 7, ,60 4,35 66,87 9,668 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 5,000, , ,994 50,050 6,6 6,606 66,84 55,00 80,994 5,650 7,506 57,84 55,600 70,000,50,050 55,000,700 9,550 46,770 9,475 5,936 79,86 54,798 99,550 48,90 6,986 34,86 56,498 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 3,300,500 7,000,300 5,400 9,399 0,083 8, ,8,6 84,839 4,407 5,89 77,536,699,583 49,8 86,39 8,936,00 5,000 4,500,900 5,800 98,479 9,8 6, ,679 6,46 87,557 4,304 6,56 86,498 00,579 4,8 57,79 89,457 9,98 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 39,964 36,434 Unallocated...,500,7 9,670,000 3,050,745 United s... 59,30,36,3,495,44 367,870,,633,590,503 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 0 Grain Stocks (March 09)

11 Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and 09 [Included in All wheat] Montana... North Dakota...,933,39 7,79 3,00 Other s... 5,800 3,740 6,88 40,600 33,47 4,34 United s... 5,800 3,740 49,540 40,600 33,47 74,07 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: December, 08 [Included in All wheat] Montana... North Dakota... (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels),768 35,493 Other s... 46,700 36,830 6,69 United s... 46,700 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 36,830 83,530 Sunflower Stocks by Position and Type s and United s: March, 08 and 09 Varietal type and Oil North Dakota... (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) 75,000 38,98 603,98 5,000 7,006 35,006 Other s... 06,800 35,65 44,45 68,50 55,53 33,773 United s... 48, ,580,046,380 93,50 38,59 675,779 Non-oil North Dakota... 38,000 60,038 98,038 35,000 47,045 8,045 Other s... 6,350 66,969 93,39 5,00 54,964 69,974 United s... 64,350 7,007 9,357 50,00 0,009 5,09 All North Dakota... 33, ,966 70,966 60,000 74,05 434,05 Other s... 33,50 30,6 535,77 83,60 0, ,747 United s ,50 69,587,37, ,60 484,538 87,798 Grain Stocks (March 09)

12 Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 08 and 09 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 40,000 3,93 3,365,557 6,07 34, ,960 5,000 8,38 8,95 3,4 3,743 76,983 49,983 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 75,000 50,000,000 4,000 5,000 57,000 85,468 5,69 88,890,387 5,094 9,79 03,48 0,664 45,888 60, ,69 0,890 43,79 8,48 0,888 0,000 95,000 3,000 8,000 65,000 76,000 89,577 5,4 0,849 7,35 9,398 0,667 40,09 03,57 0,684 57,54 99,577 40,4 34,849 68,09 68,57 33,54 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 5,000 39,000 58,000 4,596 3,389 40,05 78,974 65,596 79,05 36,974 80,000 69,000 83,000 36,605,894 53,753 87,73 6,605,753 70,73 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 37,000 6,33 3,67 58,333 6, ,396,85 95,333,85 86,000 6,097,77 7,806 0,4,48 57,806,48 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 8,000 37,434 55,434,000 50,95 7,95 Unallocated... 79,000 0,484 98,09 0,000 5,749 58,6 United s ,000,54,303,09,303,70,000,445,55,75,55 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. Grain Stocks (March 09)

13 Corn and Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: December, 08 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Corn Sorghum 66,000,00,000 8,063 4,05, 7,650 45,57,55,050 5,495,074 97,86,57,07,86 68, Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri ,000,370,000 30,000 5,000 65, ,000 45,000 64,44 80,66 303,956 33,7 39,478 7,573 7, ,548,39 00,63 864,44,80,66 433,956 58,7 36,493,85, ,63 30,500,000 5, ,833,556 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 90,000 9,000 45, , ,4 4,35 38,979 87,637 58,98,449,4 67,979 33,637 58,98,800 8,905,705 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 9, ,000 3,40 70,993 3,546 90,497 7,90 09, ,4 0,65 0, ,497,500 4,35 3,77 35,49 37,99 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 65,000 70, ,959 Unallocated ,000 4,9 679,978 7,400 7,73 4,57 United s... 7,45,000 4,485,798,936,798 44,00 4,580 58,780 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. Grain Stocks (March 09) 3

14 Oat and Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: December, 08 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Oats Barley ,500,78 6,85,305 44,805 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri , , ,508 8,708 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio , ,500 7,000, , ,8 34, Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington...,000 3, , ,75 5, , ,8 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming...,600 9,04,64 4,85 Unallocated... 9,500 9,574 48,39 8,400 6,047 7,90 United s... 5,40 4,864 67,74 7,070 80,56 5,63 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 4 Grain Stocks (March 09)

15 All Wheat and Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: December, 08 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... All wheat Soybeans 30,00 4,500 8,000,850 6,6 6,59 9,034,506 39,88,05,84 5,39 40,045 33,36 9,064,706 54,38 68,045 35,086 35,000 7,039 4,59 3,00,6 344, ,369 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri...,00 7,000,800 57,000 3,00 3,353 3,39 433,706 3,39 4,473 47,535 36,784,696 4,93 33, ,706 49,335 93,784 7,393 90,000 50,000 47,000 46,000 00,000 0,000 05,866 77,503 0,78 8,099 6,309 44,504 39,33 8,08 7,456 95,866 57,503 67,78 90, ,33 9,456 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio...,000 3,700,00 88,000,800 38,934 58,449 8,834 9,053 89,58 7,605 50,934 6,49 0,53 77,58 73,405 0,000 05,000 50,000 78,338 9,85 74,447 0,7 98,338 79,447 5,7 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 3,600 7,00 8,000,00,500,75 30,509 6,884,056 40,38 8,48 0,44 5,03 7,404 0,695 6,35 37,709 68,38 03,54,95 0,000 6,66,046,083 4,773,99 4,70,083 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 4,989 33,000 58,04 9,04 Unallocated... 9,500 0,8 53,479 39,000 6,047 4,66 United s ,80,505,05,009,485,935,000,80,84 3,745,84 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. Grain Stocks (March 09) 5

16 Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The grain stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of December. Separate surveys are conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of approximately 8,400 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United s have a chance to be selected. These producers are asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of March, 09. This includes all whole grains and oilseeds stored whether for feed, seed, or sale as well as any stored under a government program. The off-farm stocks survey is an enumeration of all known commercial grain storage facilities. This includes approximately 8,500 facilities with.5 billion bushels of storage capacity. An effort is made to obtain a report from all facilities. Reports of stock holdings are normally received from operations covering about 90 percent of the capacity. Estimates are made for missing facilities to make the survey complete. Estimation Procedures: -farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the and National levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm stocks, the totals of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, imports, exports, crushings, millings, and all other recorded uses of grains and oilseeds are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: -farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December Grain Stocks report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculations, and production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed following the 5-year Census of Agriculture. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are very different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the United s level, is approximately.9 percent for corn,.0 percent for soybeans, and.8 percent for all wheat. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 00 that survey estimates for stocks will be within plus or minus 3.8 percent for corn, 4.0 percent for soybeans, and 5.6 percent for all wheat of the value that could be developed by averaging the estimates produced from all possible samples selected from the same population and surveyed using the same procedures. The relative standard errors for sorghum, barley, and oats are 9.4, 5.4, and 4.8 percent, respectively. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. -farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. 6 Grain Stocks (March 09)

17 Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. inquiries may be sent to Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch... (0) 70-7 Travis Thorson, Head, Field Crops Section... (0) 70-7 David Colwell Current Agricultural Industrial Reports... (0) Chris Hawthorn Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet... (0) James Johanson County Estimates, Hay... (0) Jeff Lemmons Oats, Soybeans... (0) Jannety Mosley Crop Weather, Barley... (0) Sammy Neal Peanuts, Rice... (0) Jean Porter Rye, Wheat... (0) Chris Singh Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum... (0) Travis Thorson Sunflower, Other Oilseeds... (0) Grain Stocks (March 09) 7

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19 USDA NASS Data Users Meeting Tuesday, April 3, 09 University of Chicago Gleacher Center 450 North Cityfront Plaza Drive Chicago, IL USDA s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold an open forum for users of U.S. domestic and international agriculture data. NASS is organizing the 09 Data Users Meeting in cooperation with five other USDA agencies Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Farm Service Agency, Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board and the Census Bureau s Foreign Trade Division. Agency representatives will provide updates on recent and pending changes in statistical and information programs important to agriculture, answer questions, and welcome comments and input from data users. For registration details or additional information about the Data Users Meeting, see the meeting page on the NASS website ( Contact Vernita Murray (NASS) at or vernita.murray@nass.usda.gov or Patricia Snipe (NASS) at or patricia.snipe@nass.usda.gov for information. The Data Users Meeting precedes the Industry Outlook Conference at the same location on Wednesday, April 4, 09. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss developments and trends. For registration details or additional information about the Industry Outlook Conference, see the conference page on the LMIC website ( Or contact Laura Lahr at or laura.lahr@lmic.info.